Dude was right in 2016, and he's still right now in 2020, even with some small error margins he correctly predicted almost every election. That's scarily impressive
@@Tempe415 He was using it for Popular vote. He changed it after 2000 to predict electoral winnner. So in 2000, his formula predicted the winner it was looking for.
Biden will probably win, it all depends on the results in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Minnesota. It can be crazy. In my home state of NC it went with Trump in 2016 but also voted in Democrats to be Governor, attorney general, and many other positions. It can also happen where there will be a split in the party vote for the presidential and the senate results.
I'm not impressed at all that he has predicted every Presidential election correct since 1984. I'm no expert , and yet even I have only gotten one wrong since 1972. (I had thought Gore would beat Bush in 2000, and some would say I was still right). The fact of the matter is that most of the modern elections were predictable, especially once the debates were all done and the best polls released . The Gore/Bush election was an exception. That's about it. I haven't picked a winner for 2016 yet, because the debates haven't happened yet, which to me is everything. But this could be one of those rare elections that are not so predictable.
The Supreme Court stopped the counting of the Florida voting prior to its conclusion. Gore was closing in on Bush. Gore would have won. That election was stolen from Gore.
its trump u can see it how can this country elect hillary whats bill clinton be the first man u can see the media just focusing on trump bc hes such a bossess grinch america loves these people trumpp will be elected
My granny died in her 70's with all her hair & no gray. My dad died at 81 yo. He had a full head of hair & a few gray hairs in his sideburns. My 77 yo cousin's hair has not thinned & still natural color including her dark eyebrows. There must be a gene for that.
11sweetdixie Why, yes, this dude's hair is real, not a rug. That said... I happen to be part owner of the Brooklyn Bridge, and I am willing to sell some of my shares at a very fair price. Contact me soon about it.
I never said it was real. I was replying to Hunter Scott's comment that "nobody that old has that much hair or that hair color". Don't understand your need to direct a snarky remark to me. Just sayin' . . .
+Gilbert Vasquez don't let polls fool, Trump will win with a Landslide. Hillary couldn't even fill her convention nor can fill up rallies. she's may be HIV Positive or have brain damages.
Exactly... The conventions are long past, and his silence is deafening. Let's hope he is a Hillary supporter and what he 'foresaw' has driven him to truly super duper serious drinking, so much so, that it has left him totally incapable of climbing out of an alley on skid row.
He predicted Trump and Biden. He'll predict 2024 after dem convention, says it's leaning dem at the moment. Depends on if there is a significant third party challenge
It depends on the specific election year. He predicted 1984, 2008, 2012 a couple years early because the Keys were determined early on. In 2016 and 2020 he made his prediction a few months before the election because a lot of factors were not yet determined. He said he won’t predict 2024 until July/August because it depends on the situation in the Middle East / Ukraine and if the economy crashes.
You don't see short term economy key as a loss? Even though technically the economy has been good for some time, the perception of it is horrible by much of the country. My understanding is, as a result, this perception of the country trumps the factual reality. Is this incorrect?
You don't see short term economy key as a loss? Even though technically the economy has been good for some time, the perception of it is horrible by much of the country. My understanding is, as a result, this perception of the country trumps the factual reality. Is this incorrect?
You don't see short term economy key as a loss? Even though technically the economy has been good for some time, the perception of it is horrible by much of the country. My understanding is, as a result, this perception of the country trumps the factual reality. Is this incorrect?
You don't see short term economy key as a loss? Even though technically the economy has been good for some time, the perception of it is horrible by much of the country. My understanding is, as a result, this perception of the country trumps the factual reality. Is this incorrect?
You don't see short term economy key as a loss? Even though technically the economy has been good for some time, the perception of it is horrible by much of the country. My understanding is, as a result, this perception of the country trumps the factual reality. Is this incorrect?
@Sean Bayly I didn’t say he was smart. Mr. Leroy here did. I was just pointing out that in the last election conservatives were in love with this guy because of his prediction. And now they’re all calling him a paid shill or a quack because his most recent prediction doesn’t fit their narrative or false-reality where Trump is going to some how miraculously win in a land slide even though he didn’t win in a land slide last time and now this election is on the heels of a pandemic and a recession under his watch.
For those interested, the professor still hasn't made a prediction yet. Although a couple of weeks ago he said he's counted five strikes against a Hillary win. If there is a sixth, he thinks Trump wins the election.
Predict this. Election, 1980-Style. There was only one presidential debate in 1980 between challenger Ronald Reagan and President Jimmy Carter. Just two days before the October 28 debate, Carter was eight points ahead in the Gallup poll. Gallup poll on October 26th in 1980, two weeks before the election, Gallup had it Jimmy Carter 47, Ronald Reagan 39. That election two weeks later ended up in a landslide that was so big that Carter conceded before California closed. A Gallup Poll of July 26, 1988, showed Michael S. Dukakis leading George H. W. Bush by 17 points. The New York Times reported,
So pretty much he can't predict the way he thinks then?i mean if he predicts shit two years in advance the wtf it's five months away?this makes no sense!!annoying
3:30 No... A year before this video aired on TV Bernie Sanders was saying that he'd support whichever Democrat is nominated. Remember Bernie Sanders, a self-described Independent, is generally more of a Democrat than others in office. His life story is an uphill fight against conservative Democrats: Civil rights, workers' rights, gay rights, women's rights. Democratic officials have been reluctant to embrace these issues. For example, "I didn't want my kids growing up in a 'racial' jungle" 1977 Joe Biden was among Democratic forces opposed to ending segregation, siding with Republicans on the issue. Also, Clinton was against federally legalizing gay marriage up until 2012, having sided with Republicans on the issue against her fellow Democrats. These conservatives within the Democratic party were pillars of intolerance defending systems of discrimination and injustice. Not until they flipped was segregation ended federally and gay marriage legalized federally
@James Remus Plus during that time Biden didn't present or sign any bills for the economy. Both Trump and Pence have both presented and signed bills that have helped the economy rise.
Dude was right in 2016, and he's still right now in 2020, even with some small error margins he correctly predicted almost every election. That's scarily impressive
Does he have a formula for the Senate?
@@hamstersaregood9302 officially not, but maybe the presidential one applies there too
His formula works as far back as a 100 years
he wasn't right in 2000 but people still say he is for some reason
@@Tempe415 He was using it for Popular vote. He changed it after 2000 to predict electoral winnner. So in 2000, his formula predicted the winner it was looking for.
Who's here after his 2024 prediction of Kamala Harris winning?
😂 ✋️
✋✋
😂 yep
He’s gonna be wrong
@@4gegtyreeyuyeddffvyt You don't know what you are saying buddy
Dudes good. Weird, science works. I wish I paid attention in school.
they didn't learn any of this in school
He predicted Biden would win in 2020
Helmut Norpoth's model, which has correctly predicted 25 of the last 27 elections, gives Trump a 91-95% chance of reelection.
Helmut Norpoth's model, which has correctly predicted 25 of the last 27 elections, gives Trump a 91-95% chance of reelection.
Pinhead the last 27 elections goes back to the 1910s. How can the model correctly predict elections that happened before Helmut Norpoth was born
@Dwboutit drink Lysol
#Trump2020
He will be proven right again
Right now I'd put everything I own on Trump winning! 😂🤣😂🤣😂
get ready to be homeless
Biden will probably win, it all depends on the results in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Minnesota. It can be crazy. In my home state of NC it went with Trump in 2016 but also voted in Democrats to be Governor, attorney general, and many other positions. It can also happen where there will be a split in the party vote for the presidential and the senate results.
@Venomous of course you will, what else do you have going on in your life.
Lol
Pay up
He could sell a car from a picture
Okay. Both conventions are over. Prediction?
Time for another Allan Lichtman interview. What are you guys waiting for to call him in? And call in Rachel Bitecofer as well.
He said Biden to the New York Times
Awaiting his prediction!
That is one saucy wig.
Will Lichtman fight Helmut Norpoth?
"That's froth on the waves of the real trends that decide elections" - Allan Lichtman
Genius! 🙌💙
I'm not impressed at all that he has predicted every Presidential election correct since 1984. I'm no expert , and yet even I have only gotten one wrong since 1972. (I had thought Gore would beat Bush in 2000, and some would say I was still right). The fact of the matter is that most of the modern elections were predictable, especially once the debates were all done and the best polls released . The Gore/Bush election was an exception. That's about it. I haven't picked a winner for 2016 yet, because the debates haven't happened yet, which to me is everything. But this could be one of those rare elections that are not so predictable.
Yep really only 1988 and 2016 were surprising...Bush Sr beating dukakis and of course trump
The oldest comments here look so clownish now lol.
He got Al Gore wrong.
and hopefully the 2024 election😆😆😆😆😆
al gore lost by 500 votes
Yes he’s said that before. 2000 was a fluke though since they never finished the recount and the supreme court ultimately handed the election to bush
@@emowithagun5828500 or 500,000??
The Supreme Court stopped the counting of the Florida voting prior to its conclusion. Gore was closing in on Bush. Gore would have won. That election was stolen from Gore.
And in 2017 he predicted Trump will be impeached. I wouldn't buy food from this guy if I were starving.
Dwboutit he was literally impeached. you guys are so stupid. there are official
documents
Sarah Lynn you can be impeached for basically anything. It means nothing.
An Egg With 500 Subs yep that’s why only 4/45 have been impeached
So why didn’t they get impeached... this seems to prove my point
If it isn’t that serious then why has is only happened four times
Has anybody looked into this guy? He seems just creepy. I see no scientific or popular argument that's has any basis in reality.
Its his wig, it's hypnotising me,...help.!
its trump u can see it how can this country elect hillary whats bill clinton be the first man u can see the media just focusing on trump bc hes such a bossess grinch america loves these people trumpp will be elected
My how things have changed
This man actually did predict trump would win.
He just predicted Biden would win now
Does he have a formula for the Senate?
Can he come back to make another prediction for 2020?
He just did on NYT website.
He predicted Biden would win
@@Pixley7 went? That is a 2016 video.
hannah smith Yeah he was in a new, New York Times video and he predicted Biden would win
@@Pixley7 Thank you, I got to see the new video.
i feel stupid
Remember it's 2020 everything is f'd up
Thank god he got it right again in 2020
Still can you just
Did you
So he colluded w Russia? Lol
AFC NFL Teams have longevity... NFC teams don't.
why is youtube showing me this video now🥴🥴🥴🥴🥴
look like Bloo if he was 70yrs old
I'm trying to remember a more outrageous toupee, and come up with nada.
*gorgeous
So true! Nobody that old has that much hair or that hair color.
My granny died in her 70's with all her hair & no gray. My dad died at 81 yo. He had a full head of hair & a few gray hairs in his sideburns. My 77 yo cousin's hair has not thinned & still natural color including her dark eyebrows. There must be a gene for that.
11sweetdixie Why, yes, this dude's hair is real, not a rug. That said... I happen to be part owner of the Brooklyn Bridge, and I am willing to sell some of my shares at a very fair price. Contact me soon about it.
I never said it was real. I was replying to Hunter Scott's comment that "nobody that old has that much hair or that hair color".
Don't understand your need to direct a snarky remark to me.
Just sayin' . . .
Trump
its my anitials
Trump will win
Hillary will win.
+Gilbert Vasquez don't let polls fool, Trump will win with a Landslide. Hillary couldn't even fill her convention nor can fill up rallies. she's may be HIV Positive or have brain damages.
Fran Ra lmaaaoook
are you fucken kidding me???
Okay the conventions are over... lets hear the results... or predictions.
Exactly... The conventions are long past, and his silence is deafening.
Let's hope he is a Hillary supporter and what he 'foresaw' has driven him to truly super duper serious drinking, so much so, that it has left him totally incapable of climbing out of an alley on skid row.
Or CBS will not let him back on to make his prediction. Knowing the media, Im probably right.
He predicted Trump and Biden. He'll predict 2024 after dem convention, says it's leaning dem at the moment. Depends on if there is a significant third party challenge
The Jim Acosta wanna be can't except it.
its 'accept' dumbo. uneducated trump voter.
@@SebinMatthew can you accept a smack in the mouth?
This is one strange looking guy. So, he makes his living by making prediction before or after the primaries?
It depends on the specific election year. He predicted 1984, 2008, 2012 a couple years early because the Keys were determined early on. In 2016 and 2020 he made his prediction a few months before the election because a lot of factors were not yet determined. He said he won’t predict 2024 until July/August because it depends on the situation in the Middle East / Ukraine and if the economy crashes.
No... he's a professor. He makes a living in academia
He ultimately predicted Trump would be the winner beforehand.
welp
CBSN, this was over 5 min. that said nothing at all... Not "Fake News"... This was "no news" at all...lol
It’s got to be trump to save America
The voters are actually going to vote against Trump, to save America....you can't write this kind of irony
And now I expect Biden to win in 2024 as well. The only keys I see going False are
-Midterm gains
-Charismatic Incumbent
-Foreign Policy Success
You don't see short term economy key as a loss? Even though technically the economy has been good for some time, the perception of it is horrible by much of the country. My understanding is, as a result, this perception of the country trumps the factual reality. Is this incorrect?
You don't see short term economy key as a loss? Even though technically the economy has been good for some time, the perception of it is horrible by much of the country. My understanding is, as a result, this perception of the country trumps the factual reality. Is this incorrect?
You don't see short term economy key as a loss? Even though technically the economy has been good for some time, the perception of it is horrible by much of the country. My understanding is, as a result, this perception of the country trumps the factual reality. Is this incorrect?
You don't see short term economy key as a loss? Even though technically the economy has been good for some time, the perception of it is horrible by much of the country. My understanding is, as a result, this perception of the country trumps the factual reality. Is this incorrect?
You don't see short term economy key as a loss? Even though technically the economy has been good for some time, the perception of it is horrible by much of the country. My understanding is, as a result, this perception of the country trumps the factual reality. Is this incorrect?
1984 called, they want their haircut back
yoooooooo
You mean his wig
WHAT A BUCH OF CRAP
I know
+JLS nope 😂
Haha
in other words he colluded with the Russians to come up with his theory. LOLOL. This guy truly doesn't know.
lol Trump colluded with Russians in 2016 then got impeached for doing it again in 2020
Gonzalez Edward Thompson Cynthia Thompson Edward
SMART GUY !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Joey Leroy ikr!!
Do you still agree he’s smart now that he’s saying Trump will lose in 2020?
@@aaroncain403 hahah I was just about to ask that
@@aaroncain403 papa bless
@Sean Bayly I didn’t say he was smart. Mr. Leroy here did. I was just pointing out that in the last election conservatives were in love with this guy because of his prediction. And now they’re all calling him a paid shill or a quack because his most recent prediction doesn’t fit their narrative or false-reality where Trump is going to some how miraculously win in a land slide even though he didn’t win in a land slide last time and now this election is on the heels of a pandemic and a recession under his watch.
For those interested, the professor still hasn't made a prediction yet. Although a couple of weeks ago he said he's counted five strikes against a Hillary win. If there is a sixth, he thinks Trump wins the election.
He was right tho
Dems should listen and focus on talking about achievements.
I’m sure Joe’s capable of that.
What sayeth ye.
Kamala harris!!! My how times have changed
@@narda1072 YES! 💙💙🥥🌴🌴
Here after he predicted Kamala for president
Same here
@@RayRaySoShysame
Predict this. Election, 1980-Style. There was only one presidential debate in 1980 between challenger Ronald Reagan and President Jimmy Carter. Just two days before the October 28 debate, Carter was eight points ahead in the Gallup poll. Gallup poll on October 26th in 1980, two weeks before the election, Gallup had it Jimmy Carter 47, Ronald Reagan 39. That election two weeks later ended up in a landslide that was so big that Carter conceded before California closed.
A Gallup Poll of July 26, 1988, showed Michael S. Dukakis leading George H. W. Bush by 17 points. The New York Times reported,
Thats why I dont trust the polls
ॐ कृष्णं वन्दे जगद्गुरुम् 🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🕉🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩
He just predicted Kamala for 2024
Hoping he’s wrong for one of the first times
@@Greylynrikerson6 He was wrong when he predicted Al Gore will be president over Bush Jr. He has been only wrong once.
Keep hoping I'm celebrating@@Greylynrikerson6
@@Greylynrikerson6he was also wrong in 2000 but he's too smug to admit it
LOL impossible to find this video in 2019!
im watching this 2 weeks before the actual election, and this guy is all over the news now!
He was right again lmao
Well I'd vote for his wig anytime
Not trump's wig, as he doesn't wear one
the MSM could not possibly accept this man. He does not use polsters and beltway ivory tower prognosticators
The great not so great Richard Nixon 🤣🤣
So pretty much he can't predict the way he thinks then?i mean if he predicts shit two years in advance the wtf it's five months away?this makes no sense!!annoying
Old video
Yea Christmas you don't listen
Funny... No prediction here
Ko rigth can still
See you
Don't list
This guy and Helmut Norpoth were correct. Larry Sabatao bless him was out by 90 in the electoral college.
Now 2020 is fascinating cause both those 2 are on opposite sides now. Alan is saying Biden and Norpoth is saying Trump.
3:30 No... A year before this video aired on TV Bernie Sanders was saying that he'd support whichever Democrat is nominated. Remember Bernie Sanders, a self-described Independent, is generally more of a Democrat than others in office. His life story is an uphill fight against conservative Democrats: Civil rights, workers' rights, gay rights, women's rights. Democratic officials have been reluctant to embrace these issues. For example, "I didn't want my kids growing up in a 'racial' jungle" 1977 Joe Biden was among Democratic forces opposed to ending segregation, siding with Republicans on the issue. Also, Clinton was against federally legalizing gay marriage up until 2012, having sided with Republicans on the issue against her fellow Democrats. These conservatives within the Democratic party were pillars of intolerance defending systems of discrimination and injustice. Not until they flipped was segregation ended federally and gay marriage legalized federally
I FLIPPED A COIN 3 TIMES AND GOT IT RIGHT TWICE. IM A GENIUS!!😅😅😅😅😅😅
I gave Biden the same test to Biden on his 40+ years in politics and came up with all false.
@James Remus Plus during that time Biden didn't present or sign any bills for the economy. Both Trump and Pence have both presented and signed bills that have helped the economy rise.
@@calyxprophet5221 so? look whats happening now there is no point on talking about obama he isnt in office anymore
You should’ve done it only on his 2021- present term.
What's the point of his silly book if it doesnt have his answer to the books central question?