I couldn't understand why the books opened this line at only Michigan -4. I jacked it up and took the Michigan Wolverines -7.5 (+130) to cover against the Washington Huskies in the National Championship Game. Penix demonstrated he was nothing short of sensational but the Michigan Defense should come to life. He shouldn't be able to shred them up like he did with Texas.
So much factors into the result of a football game that I don't understand how people can be so confident in the predicted outcome. Then people get upset and make excuses when the game doesn't go the way they predicted. Officiating, injuries, little mistakes, it's all apart of the game. May the team who makes the most right and timely adjustments win the chip
I’m a die hard Michigan fan since I was young and I honestly couldn’t agree more. Both these teams are incredibly talented and it’s gonna be another nerve racking game for me.
I can say that we’ve all seen some games at some points where officials just seemed to leaning one way or the other in games. Doesn’t happen every game or really often but it does happen. With that being said the excuses come down to playing it safe and not going for it 4th and 3 or bad play calling in my opinion. The other excuses are just to soothe the nerves or feelings of the losing team. And it’s amazing at some of the excuses some fans and teams come up with!! In the end there can only be 1 winner we all know that and we’ve all felt the heartbreak of losing but when you start making excuses on WHY your team lost it looks so horrible for the entire fan base. Just stop, and say great game to other team that played better today and they earned it. Congratulate the coaches and players of the other team and look forward to next year.
@@jonathanholden2684 the bama game probably got u more worked up. my cortisol levels skyrocketed. that late 4 and 2 conversion changed everything. go blue
Unpopular take, but I don't think this game plays out much differently than the same match-up 2 years ago. Jim doesn't care about style points. He is perfectly comfortable putting on the most boring national championship show we've ever seen. Ground and pound. Run it 40 times, burn the clock, and dare washington to do a damn thing about it. I don't think they can.
Washington's run defense is 130th in success rate. Michigan should be able to dominate time of possession and keep Washington offense off the field. Also, Michigan has 2nd best pass defense. Don't get me wrong, Washington will be able to move the ball. I just don't think they will see the same as their previous success.
Two teams will show up, meet on the field and one of them will walk away as the winner. Hard to tell which one. Perhaps, Michigan because of its rushing and defense. Perhaps, Washington with it incendiary passing attack. That is why we wish fervently for a game like this to end the season. I am a very long Washington fan, 65 years. But, I feel no impulse to put down the opposition. Michigan deserves to be here and so does Washington. Let the games go on!!!!!
Nothing but respect for Pennix and Johnson for the way they battled through pain. Washington is a good team. Both teams came in with a gameplan. Michigan's plan worked. Washington's didn't, and they couldn't find a plan B especially with a gimpy RB1.
I’m sure they paid attention to the TX game too. TX was getting more than 6 yards per carry and for some reason moved away from the run. That will not happen with Michigan.
@@jackpackage4278 haha, not at all. OSU and Bama both screwed up in not running more against Michigan but Michigan does not GAF if they run it 40 straight times, if its working.
@@jackpackage4278 yeah, Michigan does something that's easy to do in theory but hard to execute in practice: if it's working, KEEP GOING. A lot of teams will sacrifice slow and steady progress for large chunks that are riskier just to look more impressive. Michigan doesn't.
I see I was proven very wrong about Washington defeating Michigan in an amazing competitive championship game mainly because the Wolverines never trailed in the championship game. While the Huskies did make it a dramatic close game in the second quarter by scoring a critical touchdown, it was futile because the Huskies couldn’t get the game tied. Any realistic hope of a successful Huskies comeback was ended when the Wolverines had a long return for an interception. Also the Wolverines scored 10 points from 2 turnovers created by the Wolverines defense. Michigan was the better team which doesn’t surprise me because I was proven very wrong by Michigan for how Washington wins the game. The Wolverines did have a great game running the football including 2 touchdowns in the 1st half, it was fruitless that Penix had a great game throwing mainly because the Wolverines defense got pressure on him and because of creating 2 turnovers, the Wolverines did execute more great plays, and the Wolverines scored first which forced the Huskies to have to comeback. I’m happy as a Huskies fan that they gave great effort to attempt to comeback instead of just quit after being faced with adversity. As a Huskies fan it’s a great 2023 season that is very bittersweet because the Wolverines impressively outplayed the Huskies in the National Championship game.
That’s what I’ve been saying line of scrimmage is huge Washington best O line in The country vs Michigan’s d line Washington’s d line is under the radar will be interesting to see how it plays out
@@gatornationforlife2001 Statistics can be deceiving. When a team barely wins against teams in a conference that is giving up the ghost compared to a team that has faced much better opponents and one of the best conferences in the nation, how comparable are these statistics? Penix fled the Big 10 for a reason and it has a lot to do with finding weaker opponents.
@@vernonfrance2974penix fled the terrorism of playing behind Indiana’s Swiss cheese o line. Was happy for him when he transferred, he give IU all he could but he deserved better.
2021 UGA had the #1 defense and a top ten offense. 2019 LSU had the #1 offense and #33 defense. Washington’s defense is in the 80s or something and Michigan’s offense isn’t even top 50. Not a great comparison.
@@INoticeTooMuch1maybe. 2021 UGA had #1 defense and #9 offense; 2023 UM has #1 defense and #14 offense. actually not that far off. UW's defense being somewhere in the 90s and would be the worst defense ever if they win the championship.. but man Penix is playing with some Burrow stats..
Washington is a scary team, they have an xfactor that is Penix. Great receivers and TEs. Michigan has a few Xfactors too. I think this is a good match up for Michigan. I thought that last year for TCU too. Mistakes throwing the ball, very aggressive defense (Turner) and officiating kinda screwed us. I believe that has been fixed. Mistakes will be very minimal if at all. They probably won’t even throw it much. Officiating might suck but hopefully they are up so many points it won’t matter. Pate is usually never right, but he might be here.
@@jamesh7469 if it wasn’t for a muffed punt Washington would’ve won that game by 2 scores - Michigan will have to run the ball because McCarthy can’t throw
Washington is a great team glad their in the B10 next year, if Penix has time they win. Michigan going to move up and down the field taking time off the clock and scoring .
Really great analysis, Josh! In summary ... Push: Michigan's not stellar pass O vs Washington's not stellar pass D. Push: Michigan's stellar D vs Washington's stellar O. Michigan edge (on paper): Michigan's rushing O vs. Washington's rushing D. On paper, Michigan has the edge. Washington will have to flip the script on one of the above.
This is the best CFP in memory ... from what I have seen so far ....any one of these teams, could have come out on top at the end. Thankfully, ...... no Cincy, No TCU, no FSU. I have a request for a topic after the CFP over ....with conferences of 16 - 18 teams ... how much harder will it be to create Dynasties ? So much will depend, doubly, on the schedule. 1. What teams you play and 2. What teams you play at home.... if you face your biggest challenges on the road ... and have your cupcakes at home, thats a tough season to get thru when your rival has the opposite. As to the pass comparison, here's how I see it ... Milroe never checks down to his 3rd receiver .... his long passes, for the most part came from when he leaves the pocket, the safety comes off his receiver... Milroe throws and the receiver has the room and time to run under an inaccurate throw.
Keep in mind they narrowly beat OSU and that was with McCord tossing two picks. Washington’s chances aren’t as slim as people think, still stylistically I think Michigan matches up well against us and they deserve to be the favorite. It’s going to be a fun game and this will enshrine a cool new rivalry in the Big 10. Go Dawgs
Washington’s defense isn’t in the same galaxy as Ohio State’s and Michigan’s penchant all year has been not taking chances when they don’t think they have to. They’ll play Washington like they played Ohio State when they had Stroud, Olave, Wilson, and Smith-Njigba. They’ll keep the Washington offense in front of them and force some 3 and outs, some TO’s, and some FG’s. On offense they’ll run and pass when convenient and necessary. If that all works, and it should, when they get up 2 scores they’ll start dialing up the pressure, and put Washington away. Michigan 38, Washington 27.
I think you've overvalued Big Ten Defense and undervalued the level of competition in the Pac-12 this year. Iowa is #7 nationally on defense and, with 0 bowl opt outs to make excuses for, gave up 35 to a Tennessee team missing their starting QB and top two RBs.
@@Jared-q1w Cherry pick stats much? Iowa can’t play complimentary football. Michigan dropped 26 on them and shut them out without breaking a sweat and cracked open the champagne when they got up 10. Bowl wins outside the playoffs are notoriously unreliable; if you knew anything about football you’d know that. But hell, I’ll cherry pick too. A bunch of mechanical engineers in training at Northwestern took down Utah by the same margin Washington did, while holding them to 7 points. By your “logic” Northwestern has a better defense than Washington.
@@Jared-q1w yet….Michigan is in the national championship game…we must be really good at cheating….or else maybe just have a good coaching staff and great athletes the past 3 years that are hungry to prove themselves and win…
Playing Pac-12 defenses or Big 12 defenses doesn't prove anything. Michigan's defense will dominate Washington who has never seen a defense like this one before
As a Michigan fan, I appreciate you embracing the wrongness. Every other pundit I've listened to who's been picking against Michigan like you have haven't said a word about their wrongness.
Michigan reminds me of Nebraska vs Florida in this game. they could absolutely bully them around and embarrass them. But those special teams problems show up again they would absolutely get into a hot mess and lose.
@@winnemucca-sk5392great comparison for sure. I compared last year natty with Georgia and TCU to the 2012 natty Bama vs notre dame and it was more of a beat down than that. A pass happy team is what Michigan can create turnovers off of.
This game will resemble my Buckeyes beating Oregon. A rugged, tough, run-first physical team vs a high-paced spread offense. Michigan can run the ball, and their defense is built to stop the run. I expect Kenneth Grant and Mason Graham to stuff Washington's run game. Dillon Johnson being banged up is a problem for Washington, because you need to run the ball if you want to beat Michigan. Alabama could, which is why they had a chance to win. Michigan has the secondary to slow down Washington's passing attack. I think Michigan will dominate the LOS and control the clock. I think Washington's defense is below average. Washington would have to win in a high-scoring shootout, but the game will not be like that. Styles make fights, and Michigan's style works, especially against Washington. I don't think Washington will get enough possessions to put up 40 points, but their below average defense is ripe for the picking. This is a very easy bet. I have Michigan covering and winning easily, 38-27.
Glad you got one right Josh! 1-7 never looked so good. Go Blue!!! Saw you working on the field in the background of the B1G Network's post-game commentary desk last night. Looking forward to your reporting and thoughts on last night's game.
That being said, Michigan dragged Washington and forced them to play Big 10, grind it out style football, they really didn't want to play. Welcome to the B1G, Huskies.
I believe PF Chang's is letting us that Monday's game will be so good that we are all winners in watching. It's fair to compare Wash offense to Bama and OSU but the piece those offenses lack that Washington has is a experience playmaking QB in Penix. And in a close, give me Penix to close it out. UW 35 - UM 33
Feeling confident about a win for either side is foolish. That’s why they play the game. You don’t know and neither do I, but I do find it comical that the Washington fans think the Big10 is weak. I remember Nebraska saying the same thing when they joined the conference. That hasn’t worked out like they thought. Looking forward to the west coast teams joining the Big10. Definitely makes the conference tougher.
@@tonyturntable8025 you forgot Bama who just beat Georgia 3 weeks ago. So you saying Washington will beat all 3 of these teams? Get real. I respect Washington had a good year but. Not a chance
Washington has nothing to lose because most didn’t expect them to be here in the first place. Me personally I am taking the underdog. Because nothing feels better than doing what people say you cannot do.
Problem is that no one is talking about its all about Washington and the wr... no one is talking about Michigan and those cb's. Will Johnson and Mikey Sainristil. This husky team has not seen a secondary like this before. Michigan has played ohio st with that wr core McCord and those wr through for over 3k yards Milroe and those wr have had a solid year with almost 3k yards and sitting a couple games. It's not like Michigan has not faced talented passing attacks. However Washington has not seen a D anything like Michigan's. That the difference I see
Dillon Johnson's health is the X factor. Not just to maintain a run game threat, but a great pass blocker. If he was healthy I'd say UW. Probably not, so more of a toss up. Unfortunately both can't lose.
Odunze, Harrison and Nabers... This draft reminder me of the 1988 draft when Michael Irvine from my University of Miami, Tim Brown and Sterling sharp... Three HOF WR's these three from this year are going to be incredible and fun to watch, it's just a matter of who their QB will be to see who will be most successful I am an Odunze guy..
The Dawgs Defense has improved mostly due with health and playing together for two really big games. My concern is Washington's ability to run the ball and stop the run. If Dawgs are down in the 4th no big deal however if Michigan is down two scores in the 4th that is a huge deal.
Wasington's offense is lethal, Michigan should be able to score on them, but that offense if Penix is on is almost impossible to defend. If Michigan can get pressure in his face he's not nearly as effective, but if he can sit back there in a clean pocket and throw lasers to those receivers it's gonna be tough. Grubb and DeBoer can scheme up a team as well as anyone I've seen, Michigan's offense will need to put up points.
My favorite analysis yet Josh. You made a lot of points I have yet to hear. I have a feeling Penix is about to through 2-3 INTs and this will be a 27-13 game.
Michigan is dramatically more prepared to stop Washington's offense than Washington's defense is to stop Michigan. If the Wolverines can run 32 straight times against Penn State, I don't see how Washington's defense is gonna fare any better. Penix and co will need to be nearly flawless to keep pace with UM's run game, and he's not just facing Texas secondary again. Without a turnover advantage this feels like a classic death by boa constrictor game
Uh huh. This feels like a schembechler ball game a la 2021 OSU. Yes Penix is the best qb and UW is a great offense and a fantastic team especially as an underdog but this matchup plays into Michigan’s hands
Michigan doesn’t trust McCarthy to throw because he can’t that’s why they ran against Penn State - Penix is levels above JJ and it’s not close. Washington defense will have to stop the run though.
@@thevic8400 I know. But I'm superstitious when it comes to Michigan Football and all my years of fandom (and subsequent disappointment) have made me a pessimist. If Michigan loses I am putting all the blame squarely on the shoulders of Josh Pate and the bad juju he just gave us.
As Penix goes so goes the Huskies. Penix has a below avg game, Michigan rolls. Penix plays like he did against Texas it might be a blowout for Washington.
Alabama had way more self inflicted issues than Michigan. 5 bad snaps alone changed the entire game. My god look at MI schedule. Played absolutely horrible offenses all year long. The Iowa game might have been the biggest joke of the year. Put the final rankings up next to those teams because OSU is not ranked 2nd.
so many unforced errors by UM. we had untimely penalties, two botched fair catch punts (1 turned into 7 points for bama) & the other nearly a Safety (pinning us at the goal line), dropped passes, missed field goal and botched extra point. we did everything we could to keep bama in the game.
I honestly think Odunze worries me more than Marvin Harrison Jr did. Odunze fights for the ball harder. He's not quite as talented, but it's close enough. Plus, Penix is more than willing to throw the 50/50 ball. Will Johnson is going to be a busy man. Not to mention, picking against Washington in big games has been absolutely terrible. Washington has made me money all year when they're underdogs. Will Johnson vs Rome Odunze may decide this game.
Is this guy seriously comparing Washington to a 4-8 Purdue team? If McCarthy didn't have a big game against the boilermakers, then that would be a story. And bleeding clock against Bama? Alabama had the advantage in Time Of Possession, and was ahead late in the 4th qtr. Not much of what he's saying is actually factual.
Not really true. Running the ball involves 10-15 plays to score, with many chances to make mistakes or not pick up a third down. When you can score is 45 seconds on 2-3 plays almost at will it is hard to keep up.
Ever since UW beat Oregon for the second time, I said whole country better watch out. They don’t understand this is the best passing attack of the last 20 years. Michigan is gonna find out in 3 days.
Honest respectful question: Cause I’m about to lay down a bet… Oregon’s defense is good but how does that equate to your statement and the #1 defense in the country? You all have the best QB and WR’s in the country. Expound on that comment.
133 teams in Division 1. Each team plays 10% of the 133 other teams and yet analysts never seem to talk about which “conference” has better passing games or rushing attacks or pass or rush defenses to upgrade or down grade stats. Usually they just assume the SEC is better and if the stats favor the PAC 12 they figure, “well yeah but it’s the PAC 12…”. Conference quality is rarely considered and then when two teams get together from different conferences after the game it’s “that’s weird. How did that happen”. Stats favor Michigan, but which conference was better too top to bottom? PAC 12 or Big 10? No way to know, but PAC 12 offenses averaged 62 yards a game more yards (in conference games only not including exhibitions with weaker non Power 5 opponents out of conference) compared to Big 10. Were the PAC 12 offenses better or were the PAC 12 defenses worse? Add 62 yards a game to Big 10 defenses and they don’t rank as high. No way to know for sure with 133 teams that only play 10% of the other teams. The game is played on the field. We’ll learn more on Monday.
I tend to agree, and because of that this matchup is hard to pin down. But you need to consider the flip side as well. Were B1G offenses worse statistically because the defenses in the B1G were better? Or stylistically many B1G offenses play for ball possession and bleed clock leading to less yardage production? If you look at scoring offense, Michigan scores 36ppg vs. UW's 37.5ppg. We will find out Monday for sure. Penix will have to be lights out, which he may very well be to have a chance to win the game.
The data point is Michigan vs Ohio State the last 3 years. Michigan is built to beat Ohio State and Washington is a freaking CARBON COPY of what OSU has been under Ryan Day, sure McCord isn't Penix but CJ was just as good. OSU's WRs were slightly better. Washington will be dangerous all game but they are built in a way that Michigan was designed to stop. Anything can happen but I have Michigan winning 31 - 20 and I think anyone ignoring what I said above is outing themselves as a casual.
Washington is not Ohio State. Very different offense. Not even close to a carbon copy, and I watched every single game of both teams this year. You obviously did not.
if washington wins i’ll be happy but if michigan wins, i won’t be surprised. how well washington’s ol holds up for penix will dictate if washington can be competitive or not.
my biggest concern for michigan is the whiplash between Alabama and Washington. Alabama was a bad match-up. they did a great job this past month adjusting to bama in order to win. especially on defense. Washington is a completely different animal. can michigan erase what they practiced quickly enough and go back to how they played against osu. it's like preparing to fight slugger Roberto Duran. then the next day fight Floyd Mayweather.
Michigan's D has not played ANY teams with a decent offense. 13 games against offenses not even in the Top 50 and one (Ohio State) was only #47! Monday's game will be the first and ONLY game all season that Michigan's D has faced a halfway decent offense. Bama not even in the Top 50 in Total Offense and Big 10 was devoid of great QB's and great offenses this year.
Utah. #13. Oregon #22. Big 10 looks like they have great pass defenses but no team throws the ball. It's easy to look good on defenses when your conference is full of Iowas! @@HyzersGR
Comparing Washington pass defense to Purdue is crazy. Look at the offenses in the Big 10, then look at the Pac 12. Pac 12 offenses are far superior. These overall rankings on offense and defense mean very little.
I think the biggest thing in this one is who wins up front both these teams pride themselves there and have got here with that. To me Washington’s ability to run the football is crucial the last 6-7 games they’ve been running the ball really well up there with the best in the country, don’t know if Dillon Johnson will play but he’s been a big factor in that. Regardless I believe it’ll be a great game I honestly don’t know who to pick my gut says Michigan while my head’s saying Washington
Just watch what Mike Penix Jr did three years ago to Michigan’s CBs when he was with Indiana….dude dropped absolute dimes into places where only his WRs could catch it….and they were blanketed by Wolverine DBs. It didn’t matter.
Im a husky fan, i hope we win this, but i have seen several of michigans games and they are scary on both sides of the ball, we are scary in our pass game, i really dont see a path to victory for us unless michigan had a melt down or something...they are just that good...jj is much better than people think, doesnt throw alot because he doesnt have to or need too, they run 1st because they can and eat up the clock and wear down opponants D, pains me to say but michigan will win this game, close for a half but they pull away and control the clock in the 2nd half, michigan wins by 17, ill say 44-27 michigan
Check out the box score of the 2021 Michigan Ohio State game. Elite 1st round NFL pick quarterback throws for 394 yards with 2 touchdowns and no interceptions, 3 elite receivers, all 1st round draft pick, combine for 340+ yards, and Ohio State wins both turnover margin and time of possession. Final score: Michigan 42, Ohio State 27. @@swid2153
@@swid2153you mean like we have against OSU for the last 3 years? Michigan’s defense was deliberately built to deal with exactly the situation you are describing.
Michigan hasn’t seen an offense like UW this year, Huskies haven’t seen a defense this stout. Will be an absolute war but my guys haven’t let me down yet. 34-31 Huskies
Except Michigan has for the last 3 years in osu.. Washington is exactly what they are.. Michigan has played the 30th & 21st best passing offense & picked them both off twice this year alone. & Washington’s best Defense they have played is Oregon ranked 22nd.. best pass defense they have played is 54th in Oregon.. Michigans secondary is seasoned & have seen the Garrett Wilson’s, Chris Olave, Jackson smith, & marv Harrison Jr of the world. Their whole scheme is built for this game.. defensively.. Washington is terrible.. 37-27 〽️
Why want one UW fan say they going to stop michigan in football UW fans there's offense and defense is it because u know ur defense stinks so all u talk about is scoring michigan limit penix touches and win the game Corum will run through ur defense
Washington also hasn’t faced an O line and RB combo like Michigan’s. Alot more to the equation there- if we ran on Bama then Washington should expect to give up 200 on the ground at least
Don't forget, this SAME UM TEAM played a GREAT OSU team last year that had 3 TOP NFL receivers and a TOP TEN NFL QB drafted last year... and UM ...CRUSHED them. This UM team was DESIGNED to beat an OSU team EXACTLY like the Huskies - yea, I'm not too worried.
Michigans defensive stats feel inflated to me. They play in a conference with the worst offenses in all of collage football, yet Washington has to play some of the best offenses in collage football (usc, Oregon, Arizona). Could it be that the big10 has good defense that are presumed great because of the lack of offensive competition they’ve played? And as for Alabama, they have a terrible offensive line and a qb who is a great runner, terrible passer. Doesn’t surprise me they held them to 20 points. I have Washington winning 38-28. Mark it
His pont was the stats are inflated both ways pac 12 d might not be as bad as you think but they go against the best qbs in the nation week in week out. Look who they play at qb its nuts all of them could start almost anywhere.
Nope! UCLA, Utah, Oregon, Oregon State (and even Texas) all have excellent and highly rated defenses - average around 20th or so. All the more amazing because they played in the conference with the best offenses and best QB's in the nation! Michigan didn't play even ONE team ranked higher than #47 in Total Offense all season!@@jackpackage4278
@@TheCollectorCave Michigan never gets respect even when they beat the best teams. Watch if they beat Washington everyone will say UW was the easiest championship team to beat in playoff history 😂
At this point you can pick Michigan to win outright and I dont think it matters. As good as Udub is they are not ready for this Michigan team. Blake Corum runs for 150+ and 2 TD's and Michigan wins 35-21
Key to the game will be redzone defense and turnovers. I don’t think either team will have issues moving the ball, but if UM limits big plays, forces Washington into methodical drives, and holds Washington in the red zone, they will win. If Washington hits big plays, and Michigan turns the ball over/gives Washington extra possessions, Washington will win.
To Washington fans the two best defenses you faced during the season was ASU and WSU. The Huskies struggled in both games. Especially that Arizona state game. Added to that Michigan has a much better offense than both teams. Yes you have the best QB in the land but not the best team
Stop it. Michigan fans need to look in the mirror before commenting on the defenses that Washington has faced. Best Offenses Michigan has played (with their national rankings). Penn St (53) Alabama (56) Maryland (63) Purdue (69) Indiana (99) #1 defense my ass.
Washington will be the best offense Michigan has faced. Michigan has also beat some good offenses soundly. Washington has struggled with the best defenses in the PAC 12 and the tape proves that
Michigan (#4) was favored in the 1978 Rose Bowl against Washington (#13) by 14 points. Washington won that matchup 27 to 20. That was 45 years ago. Four plus five equals 9 which is the number on the uniforms of both QBs in this national championship.
45 years ago...put a point between them and you get 4.5.... Divide 9 by 4.5 and you get 2 ...thats how teams are playing in the national title game. And of those 2 teams all their jerseys will have numbers and thats what you and I both have used in our 2 posts to waste the time of who ever reads them!
i think its an even matched game each team wins 5/10 times but i think whoever wins will win by 20, if washington starts hot michigan offense will panic and throw more than they should, if michigan starts hot, they will run it 40 times and put pressure on wahsington offense
We all have opinions ... here's mine: If WA plays their best game and MI plays typical, MI will win by a few points. If MI offense plays at the same level as their defense (which is not usual) it will be a tough day for WA.
I couldn't understand why the books opened this line at only Michigan -4. I jacked it up and took the Michigan Wolverines -7.5 (+130) to cover against the Washington Huskies in the National Championship Game. Penix demonstrated he was nothing short of sensational but the Michigan Defense should come to life. He shouldn't be able to shred them up like he did with Texas.
So much factors into the result of a football game that I don't understand how people can be so confident in the predicted outcome. Then people get upset and make excuses when the game doesn't go the way they predicted. Officiating, injuries, little mistakes, it's all apart of the game. May the team who makes the most right and timely adjustments win the chip
Truth!!
I’m a die hard Michigan fan since I was young and I honestly couldn’t agree more. Both these teams are incredibly talented and it’s gonna be another nerve racking game for me.
I can say that we’ve all seen some games at some points where officials just seemed to leaning one way or the other in games. Doesn’t happen every game or really often but it does happen. With that being said the excuses come down to playing it safe and not going for it 4th and 3 or bad play calling in my opinion. The other excuses are just to soothe the nerves or feelings of the losing team. And it’s amazing at some of the excuses some fans and teams come up with!! In the end there can only be 1 winner we all know that and we’ve all felt the heartbreak of losing but when you start making excuses on WHY your team lost it looks so horrible for the entire fan base. Just stop, and say great game to other team that played better today and they earned it. Congratulate the coaches and players of the other team and look forward to next year.
99% make their next video post-game, acting like they knew all along who the winner would be
@@jonathanholden2684 the bama game probably got u more worked up. my cortisol levels skyrocketed. that late 4 and 2 conversion changed everything. go blue
Unpopular take, but I don't think this game plays out much differently than the same match-up 2 years ago. Jim doesn't care about style points. He is perfectly comfortable putting on the most boring national championship show we've ever seen. Ground and pound. Run it 40 times, burn the clock, and dare washington to do a damn thing about it. I don't think they can.
Schembechler ball at its finest. Go blue!!!
You weren't far off lol
I’m a GA fan, but go Blue
Same, big UGA fan but Michigan is my 2nd team… Go Blue
Washington's run defense is 130th in success rate. Michigan should be able to dominate time of possession and keep Washington offense off the field. Also, Michigan has 2nd best pass defense. Don't get me wrong, Washington will be able to move the ball. I just don't think they will see the same as their previous success.
Good call. Ml squeaked it out by 21. 😅
Two teams will show up, meet on the field and one of them will walk away as the winner. Hard to tell which one. Perhaps, Michigan because of its rushing and defense. Perhaps, Washington with it incendiary passing attack. That is why we wish fervently for a game like this to end the season. I am a very long Washington fan, 65 years. But, I feel no impulse to put down the opposition. Michigan deserves to be here and so does Washington. Let the games go on!!!!!
So it may come down to who has better skill and more mental fortitude
@@League-f9x It evidently did. Hail to Michigan, the conquering heroes. Still proud of the accomplishments of my Huskies, though.
Nothing but respect for Pennix and Johnson for the way they battled through pain. Washington is a good team. Both teams came in with a gameplan. Michigan's plan worked. Washington's didn't, and they couldn't find a plan B especially with a gimpy RB1.
@@TJ_Loves2fish Pretty much so!
Michigan will NOT be baited into not running the ball haha. Have you met Michigan's coach?
Not to mention that the OC is also the offensive line coach. He's going to let his boys do their thing.
I’m sure they paid attention to the TX game too. TX was getting more than 6 yards per carry and for some reason moved away from the run. That will not happen with Michigan.
Not mention that whont last games with our cotch
@@jackpackage4278 haha, not at all. OSU and Bama both screwed up in not running more against Michigan but Michigan does not GAF if they run it 40 straight times, if its working.
@@jackpackage4278 yeah, Michigan does something that's easy to do in theory but hard to execute in practice: if it's working, KEEP GOING. A lot of teams will sacrifice slow and steady progress for large chunks that are riskier just to look more impressive. Michigan doesn't.
I see I was proven very wrong about Washington defeating Michigan in an amazing competitive championship game mainly because the Wolverines never trailed in the championship game.
While the Huskies did make it a dramatic close game in the second quarter by scoring a critical touchdown, it was futile because the Huskies couldn’t get the game tied.
Any realistic hope of a successful Huskies comeback was ended when the Wolverines had a long return for an interception.
Also the Wolverines scored 10 points from 2 turnovers created by the Wolverines defense.
Michigan was the better team which doesn’t surprise me because I was proven very wrong by Michigan for how Washington wins the game.
The Wolverines did have a great game running the football including 2 touchdowns in the 1st half, it was fruitless that Penix had a great game throwing mainly because the Wolverines defense got pressure on him and because of creating 2 turnovers, the Wolverines did execute more great plays, and the Wolverines scored first which forced the Huskies to have to comeback.
I’m happy as a Huskies fan that they gave great effort to attempt to comeback instead of just quit after being faced with adversity.
As a Huskies fan it’s a great 2023 season that is very bittersweet because the Wolverines impressively outplayed the Huskies in the National Championship game.
Welcome to the big ten... frauds
It comes down to both D-lines and secondary in my opinion. Whoever is better wins the games.
That’s what I’ve been saying line of scrimmage is huge Washington best O line in The country vs Michigan’s d line Washington’s d line is under the radar will be interesting to see how it plays out
@@gatornationforlife2001 Statistics can be deceiving. When a team barely wins against teams in a conference that is giving up the ghost compared to a team that has faced much better opponents and one of the best conferences in the nation, how comparable are these statistics? Penix fled the Big 10 for a reason and it has a lot to do with finding weaker opponents.
@@vernonfrance2974 That would be a good point if the Pac wasn't 3-1 against Big10 this season.
@@jimsomerville3924 True. But the best teams in the Big 10 did not play the best teams in the Pac 12 (R.I.P.) except for Northwestern which beat Utah.
@@vernonfrance2974penix fled the terrorism of playing behind Indiana’s Swiss cheese o line. Was happy for him when he transferred, he give IU all he could but he deserved better.
It’s going to be close and I always go with the team with the best QB when it’s close so I’m going with Washington
It’s only close BECAUSE of Washington’s QB. Passing game aside it’s definitely NOT close.
You’re double counting the impact of the QB
throwing more picks than TDs is no way to validate your confidence in him, hmm
Was a blow out
Not close at all.....
This game is like B1G version of 2021 Georgia playing against 2019 LSU - would be fun regardless. Go Blue! 42-27 Michigan!
2021 UGA had the #1 defense and a top ten offense.
2019 LSU had the #1 offense and #33 defense.
Washington’s defense is in the 80s or something and Michigan’s offense isn’t even top 50.
Not a great comparison.
@@INoticeTooMuch1maybe. 2021 UGA had #1 defense and #9 offense; 2023 UM has #1 defense and #14 offense. actually not that far off. UW's defense being somewhere in the 90s and would be the worst defense ever if they win the championship.. but man Penix is playing with some Burrow stats..
@@stuartchuang9618
Playing with Burrow stats in the Pac12 with a LOT of close games with not so great teams.
I predicted same score at work
@@INoticeTooMuch1 Offense isn't measured by yards, it's measured by points. Michigan's offense was one of the most efficient in the country.
Washington is a scary team, they have an xfactor that is Penix. Great receivers and TEs. Michigan has a few Xfactors too. I think this is a good match up for Michigan. I thought that last year for TCU too. Mistakes throwing the ball, very aggressive defense (Turner) and officiating kinda screwed us. I believe that has been fixed. Mistakes will be very minimal if at all. They probably won’t even throw it much. Officiating might suck but hopefully they are up so many points it won’t matter. Pate is usually never right, but he might be here.
Michigan beat themselves so badly against TCU and still nearly won. Will take a miracle for Washington
@@jamesh7469 if it wasn’t for a muffed punt Washington would’ve won that game by 2 scores - Michigan will have to run the ball because McCarthy can’t throw
TCU had a dual threat qb which killed us. Also JJ wasn’t as developed. Corum was hurt. Tons of mistakes/overturned calls for us to lose that TCU game
@@jamesh7469a miracle he says!😂 UW is not TCU, you’ll see.
@@erikolson5440 yup, I saw 〽️
Washington is a great team glad their in the B10 next year, if Penix has time they win. Michigan going to move up and down the field taking time off the clock and scoring .
Penix has such good timing and ball placement, pressure is almost immaterial.
Really great analysis, Josh! In summary ...
Push: Michigan's not stellar pass O vs Washington's not stellar pass D.
Push: Michigan's stellar D vs Washington's stellar O.
Michigan edge (on paper): Michigan's rushing O vs. Washington's rushing D.
On paper, Michigan has the edge. Washington will have to flip the script on one of the above.
This is the best CFP in memory ... from what I have seen so far ....any one of these teams, could have come out on top at the end. Thankfully, ...... no Cincy, No TCU, no FSU.
I have a request for a topic after the CFP over ....with conferences of 16 - 18 teams ... how much harder will it be to create Dynasties ? So much will depend, doubly, on the schedule. 1. What teams you play and 2. What teams you play at home.... if you face your biggest challenges on the road ... and have your cupcakes at home, thats a tough season to get thru when your rival has the opposite.
As to the pass comparison, here's how I see it ... Milroe never checks down to his 3rd receiver .... his long passes, for the most part came from when he leaves the pocket, the safety comes off his receiver... Milroe throws and the receiver has the room and time to run under an inaccurate throw.
Mich 38-27.. Huskies D not good enough, Michigan will slow them to fg 2 or 3 drives
Keep in mind they narrowly beat OSU and that was with McCord tossing two picks. Washington’s chances aren’t as slim as people think, still stylistically I think Michigan matches up well against us and they deserve to be the favorite. It’s going to be a fun game and this will enshrine a cool new rivalry in the Big 10. Go Dawgs
Washington’s defense isn’t in the same galaxy as Ohio State’s and Michigan’s penchant all year has been not taking chances when they don’t think they have to.
They’ll play Washington like they played Ohio State when they had Stroud, Olave, Wilson, and Smith-Njigba. They’ll keep the Washington offense in front of them and force some 3 and outs, some TO’s, and some FG’s. On offense they’ll run and pass when convenient and necessary. If that all works, and it should, when they get up 2 scores they’ll start dialing up the pressure, and put Washington away.
Michigan 38, Washington 27.
I think you've overvalued Big Ten Defense and undervalued the level of competition in the Pac-12 this year. Iowa is #7 nationally on defense and, with 0 bowl opt outs to make excuses for, gave up 35 to a Tennessee team missing their starting QB and top two RBs.
@@Jared-q1w
Cherry pick stats much?
Iowa can’t play complimentary football. Michigan dropped 26 on them and shut them out without breaking a sweat and cracked open the champagne when they got up 10.
Bowl wins outside the playoffs are notoriously unreliable; if you knew anything about football you’d know that.
But hell, I’ll cherry pick too. A bunch of mechanical engineers in training at Northwestern took down Utah by the same margin Washington did, while holding them to 7 points. By your “logic” Northwestern has a better defense than Washington.
@@DeshCanter thank you for that.
@@Jared-q1w yet….Michigan is in the national championship game…we must be really good at cheating….or else maybe just have a good coaching staff and great athletes the past 3 years that are hungry to prove themselves and win…
Hate the huskies. I hope PF Chang was right on the 8th cookie. Is that really how this works?
Yes! Keep picking against UW it’s worked great for us all season!
Playing in the PAC, you havent faced any defenses yet
He’s also picked against Michigan all year.
Playing Pac-12 defenses or Big 12 defenses doesn't prove anything. Michigan's defense will dominate Washington who has never seen a defense like this one before
@@rayelee1301 Oregon had a top 15 defense, so you are 100 percent wrong.
@@rayelee1301 please tell us, what offenses has Michigan played all season?
Nobody giving Washington a chance, that’s why I’ll take them👊🏻
Lol
As a Michigan fan, I appreciate you embracing the wrongness. Every other pundit I've listened to who's been picking against Michigan like you have haven't said a word about their wrongness.
Michigan reminds me of Nebraska vs Florida in this game. they could absolutely bully them around and embarrass them. But those special teams problems show up again they would absolutely get into a hot mess and lose.
@@winnemucca-sk5392 That's a good comparison.
@@winnemucca-sk5392great comparison for sure. I compared last year natty with Georgia and TCU to the 2012 natty Bama vs notre dame and it was more of a beat down than that. A pass happy team is what Michigan can create turnovers off of.
Phew!! 😅 Thank you for sticking with the model! Go Dawgs!
Are you still saying that? Pate knows ball!
@@econprofaj okay, so he’s 1-14 GREEEAAAAAAT prediction
This game will resemble my Buckeyes beating Oregon. A rugged, tough, run-first physical team vs a high-paced spread offense. Michigan can run the ball, and their defense is built to stop the run. I expect Kenneth Grant and Mason Graham to stuff Washington's run game. Dillon Johnson being banged up is a problem for Washington, because you need to run the ball if you want to beat Michigan. Alabama could, which is why they had a chance to win. Michigan has the secondary to slow down Washington's passing attack. I think Michigan will dominate the LOS and control the clock. I think Washington's defense is below average. Washington would have to win in a high-scoring shootout, but the game will not be like that. Styles make fights, and Michigan's style works, especially against Washington. I don't think Washington will get enough possessions to put up 40 points, but their below average defense is ripe for the picking. This is a very easy bet. I have Michigan covering and winning easily, 38-27.
UW does not play a spread offense. UW chucks it long and down the middle. Spread offenses throw little dink and dunk 5 yard passes.
I also think this is similar to the 2014 championship game. Mariota threw for 333 yards and lost by 22.
Below average? Their D is like 90th in the country. They gave up 500 yards to TX ffs.
@@doctordetroit4339 I'm a Buckeye fan and I said Michigan is gonna win. Chill out.
You know ball, my friend.
Glad you got one right Josh! 1-7 never looked so good. Go Blue!!!
Saw you working on the field in the background of the B1G Network's post-game commentary desk last night. Looking forward to your reporting and thoughts on last night's game.
That being said, Michigan dragged Washington and forced them to play Big 10, grind it out style football, they really didn't want to play. Welcome to the B1G, Huskies.
I believe PF Chang's is letting us that Monday's game will be so good that we are all winners in watching.
It's fair to compare Wash offense to Bama and OSU but the piece those offenses lack that Washington has is a experience playmaking QB in Penix.
And in a close, give me Penix to close it out.
UW 35 - UM 33
Feeling confident about a win for either side is foolish. That’s why they play the game. You don’t know and neither do I, but I do find it comical that the Washington fans think the Big10 is weak. I remember Nebraska saying the same thing when they joined the conference. That hasn’t worked out like they thought. Looking forward to the west coast teams joining the Big10. Definitely makes the conference tougher.
Well played sir. GO BLUE!
NCAA statistics show Texas's defense as #34. That's a long way from playing against the #1 defense (Michigan).
Texas played a harder schedule. Michigan has not faced an offense that ended up higher than about #45.
NCAA statistics also show the best offense Michigan has played is Penn St. at #53. So how good is that defense, really?
Oh my God STOP with that Michigan hasn't played anyone bullshit already. @@darrynfrost3401
@@tonyturntable8025 you forgot Bama who just beat Georgia 3 weeks ago. So you saying Washington will beat all 3 of these teams? Get real. I respect Washington had a good year but. Not a chance
@@tonyturntable8025 I think our defense is pretty good 😅
Washington has nothing to lose because most didn’t expect them to be here in the first place. Me personally I am taking the underdog. Because nothing feels better than doing what people say you cannot do.
Lol
Problem is that no one is talking about its all about Washington and the wr... no one is talking about Michigan and those cb's. Will Johnson and Mikey Sainristil. This husky team has not seen a secondary like this before. Michigan has played ohio st with that wr core McCord and those wr through for over 3k yards Milroe and those wr have had a solid year with almost 3k yards and sitting a couple games. It's not like Michigan has not faced talented passing attacks. However Washington has not seen a D anything like Michigan's. That the difference I see
Josh, pretty new listener here. (UW fan) all I can say is you do a great job with your analysis and commentary whether I agree with you or not. 🙏🙏
Dillon Johnson's health is the X factor. Not just to maintain a run game threat, but a great pass blocker. If he was healthy I'd say UW. Probably not, so more of a toss up. Unfortunately both can't lose.
Odunze, Harrison and Nabers... This draft reminder me of the 1988 draft when Michael Irvine from my University of Miami, Tim Brown and Sterling sharp... Three HOF WR's these three from this year are going to be incredible and fun to watch, it's just a matter of who their QB will be to see who will be most successful I am an Odunze guy..
Nabers 😂😂😂
nabers had better numbers than harrison so idk whats so funny lil dude?
I'm a Harrison guy of course
@@detectif1061 played an easy schedule tiny
lol you are geeked up boy. @@justinadonis1453
Throughout the season, when I've backed Washington, I've won. When I've played against them, I've lost. That's all I have to say.
The Dawgs Defense has improved mostly due with health and playing together for two really big games. My concern is Washington's ability to run the ball and stop the run. If Dawgs are down in the 4th no big deal however if Michigan is down two scores in the 4th that is a huge deal.
Should be a GREAT game !!!
Wasington's offense is lethal, Michigan should be able to score on them, but that offense if Penix is on is almost impossible to defend. If Michigan can get pressure in his face he's not nearly as effective, but if he can sit back there in a clean pocket and throw lasers to those receivers it's gonna be tough. Grubb and DeBoer can scheme up a team as well as anyone I've seen, Michigan's offense will need to put up points.
They got enough pressure I'd say to throw off his timing.
Yes they did! Beat them up front on both sides of the ball, impressive effort especially from Michigan's defense.@@Mr.Martini549
Michigan's offense put enough points on the scoreboard to win the game 2 minutes, 24 seconds into the first quarter.
They never face a top 20 defense in the regular season. Maybe Oregon but it's unlikely
Go Michigan!!!! From Oregon fans!
Josh finally woke up, and picked Michigan! He wrongly picked Penn State, Ohio State, Alabama…I’m surprised he didn’t pick Iowa to beat Michigan! 😆😂🤣
My favorite analysis yet Josh. You made a lot of points I have yet to hear. I have a feeling Penix is about to through 2-3 INTs and this will be a 27-13 game.
Michigan is dramatically more prepared to stop Washington's offense than Washington's defense is to stop Michigan. If the Wolverines can run 32 straight times against Penn State, I don't see how Washington's defense is gonna fare any better. Penix and co will need to be nearly flawless to keep pace with UM's run game, and he's not just facing Texas secondary again.
Without a turnover advantage this feels like a classic death by boa constrictor game
Uh huh. This feels like a schembechler ball game a la 2021 OSU. Yes Penix is the best qb and UW is a great offense and a fantastic team especially as an underdog but this matchup plays into Michigan’s hands
Michigan has no offense. Michigan offense is similar to the bottom offenses in the Pac 12.
Michigan doesn’t trust McCarthy to throw because he can’t that’s why they ran against Penn State - Penix is levels above JJ and it’s not close. Washington defense will have to stop the run though.
@@o4tw382 JJ just threw for 200+ and 3 tuddys against the best pass defense in the country
@@brandonpurdy7658 Washington has no defense
Washington 49
Michigan 14
Come on now, don’t you think that’s a little to crazy of a score
Damn you, Pate, damn you. Michigan has just received the kiss or death.
No it hasn't. And he clearly said "not lose."
@@thevic8400 I know. But I'm superstitious when it comes to Michigan Football and all my years of fandom (and subsequent disappointment) have made me a pessimist. If Michigan loses I am putting all the blame squarely on the shoulders of Josh Pate and the bad juju he just gave us.
As Penix goes so goes the Huskies. Penix has a below avg game, Michigan rolls. Penix plays like he did against Texas it might be a blowout for Washington.
Michigan can give up 350 passing yards and still win this game
Because Michigan has Washington’s signs?
Lol^
@@michaelshawusa1 not this shit again😂. Ncaa president said we one that game fair and square.
Think Huskies come up with another great timely stop to WIN!
instead they threw a pick-should've-been-6 to seal their fate
Alabama had way more self inflicted issues than Michigan. 5 bad snaps alone changed the entire game.
My god look at MI schedule. Played absolutely horrible offenses all year long. The Iowa game might have been the biggest joke of the year. Put the final rankings up next to those teams because OSU is not ranked 2nd.
so many unforced errors by UM. we had untimely penalties, two botched fair catch punts (1 turned into 7 points for bama) & the other nearly a Safety (pinning us at the goal line), dropped passes, missed field goal and botched extra point. we did everything we could to keep bama in the game.
It's either Michigan wins in the trenches or Washington wins with their passing attack
Two colossal qbs and very strong defenses. It will be a good game. Go blue
@@mrprincemusicandgaming Washington didn't have a good defense
I honestly think Odunze worries me more than Marvin Harrison Jr did. Odunze fights for the ball harder. He's not quite as talented, but it's close enough. Plus, Penix is more than willing to throw the 50/50 ball. Will Johnson is going to be a busy man. Not to mention, picking against Washington in big games has been absolutely terrible. Washington has made me money all year when they're underdogs. Will Johnson vs Rome Odunze may decide this game.
Um then how do you double Polk and McMillin? They are just as good..
Is this guy seriously comparing Washington to a 4-8 Purdue team? If McCarthy didn't have a big game against the boilermakers, then that would be a story. And bleeding clock against Bama? Alabama had the advantage in Time Of Possession, and was ahead late in the 4th qtr. Not much of what he's saying is actually factual.
It feels like Washington has some magic to be here and I'm still taking the wolverines.
Its simple...if WA DL cannot stop the run, this game is already over
So it's a given M can stop the pass?
Not really true. Running the ball involves 10-15 plays to score, with many chances to make mistakes or not pick up a third down. When you can score is 45 seconds on 2-3 plays almost at will it is hard to keep up.
They may stack the box, then JJ has to beat them.
@@scottlaux6934 haha, then stack the box like OSU did last year, PSU this year....2 defenses that are better than WA and UM still rushed on them.
@@darrynfrost3401 really true. 10-12 plays, 75 yds and 8 minutes are Michigan specialties. WA scored in 45 secs against PAC defenses
Thank you for picking Michigan. Nothing sweeter to see Washington win it for the Pac12!
😂
Ever since UW beat Oregon for the second time, I said whole country better watch out. They don’t understand this is the best passing attack of the last 20 years. Michigan is gonna find out in 3 days.
Honest respectful question: Cause I’m about to lay down a bet… Oregon’s defense is good but how does that equate to your statement and the #1 defense in the country? You all have the best QB and WR’s in the country. Expound on that comment.
Lol. Washington hasn't seen a defense like michigan.
It’s not the best. Ohio State had Olave, Wilson and Smith-Njiba all healthy vs Michigan.
I'm sorry, but 2019 LSU with Justin Jefferson, jamarr chase, and joe burrow at qb was the best passing attack maybe ever.
@@samourlian2801"Michigan hasn't seen a team as Alabama's."
I just wish the game was Saturday night
133 teams in Division 1. Each team plays 10% of the 133 other teams and yet analysts never seem to talk about which “conference” has better passing games or rushing attacks or pass or rush defenses to upgrade or down grade stats. Usually they just assume the SEC is better and if the stats favor the PAC 12 they figure, “well yeah but it’s the PAC 12…”.
Conference quality is rarely considered and then when two teams get together from different conferences after the game it’s “that’s weird. How did that happen”.
Stats favor Michigan, but which conference was better too top to bottom? PAC 12 or Big 10?
No way to know, but PAC 12 offenses averaged 62 yards a game more yards (in conference games only not including exhibitions with weaker non Power 5 opponents out of conference) compared to Big 10.
Were the PAC 12 offenses better or were the PAC 12 defenses worse?
Add 62 yards a game to Big 10 defenses and they don’t rank as high.
No way to know for sure with 133 teams that only play 10% of the other teams.
The game is played on the field. We’ll learn more on Monday.
I tend to agree, and because of that this matchup is hard to pin down. But you need to consider the flip side as well. Were B1G offenses worse statistically because the defenses in the B1G were better? Or stylistically many B1G offenses play for ball possession and bleed clock leading to less yardage production? If you look at scoring offense, Michigan scores 36ppg vs. UW's 37.5ppg. We will find out Monday for sure. Penix will have to be lights out, which he may very well be to have a chance to win the game.
@@whitetail.roots.89 Yep. No way to tell. Two completely different styles. Should be an interesting match up.
@@Williamsl99 I kinda knew michigan was going to win. We deserved it more than Washington anyway
The data point is Michigan vs Ohio State the last 3 years. Michigan is built to beat Ohio State and Washington is a freaking CARBON COPY of what OSU has been under Ryan Day, sure McCord isn't Penix but CJ was just as good. OSU's WRs were slightly better. Washington will be dangerous all game but they are built in a way that Michigan was designed to stop.
Anything can happen but I have Michigan winning 31 - 20 and I think anyone ignoring what I said above is outing themselves as a casual.
Yes but Washington doesn't have RYAN DAY as a coach.
@@TheRacy the Ryan Day who’s team outplayed Georgia and lost on a missed field goal?? Also see Clemson game
So funny that people think that Washington is now OSU.
Washington is not Ohio State. Very different offense. Not even close to a carbon copy, and I watched every single game of both teams this year. You obviously did not.
@@gregorycampbell9386 exactly, you're not, you're worse.
Sounds a lot like the 96 Fiesta Bowl and we know how that went for a pass-happy Florida! Go Huskers!
RIP Silverdome. Gone too soon 🪦
Michigan will win by at least 24. I'm predicting 38-14
Pretty close
Thank you having terrible luck with this and picking Michigan. Go Purple (I’m a buckeye fan)
Terrible.
Seethe
if washington wins i’ll be happy but if michigan wins, i won’t be surprised. how well washington’s ol holds up for penix will dictate if washington can be competitive or not.
So what if Wash removes the punt muff, Injury and punt interference?
my biggest concern for michigan is the whiplash between Alabama and Washington. Alabama was a bad match-up. they did a great job this past month adjusting to bama in order to win. especially on defense. Washington is a completely different animal. can michigan erase what they practiced quickly enough and go back to how they played against osu.
it's like preparing to fight slugger Roberto Duran. then the next day fight Floyd Mayweather.
Conversely you could say that they've been prepped for this opponent for 3 years now and they're just falling back on their basic principles
@jamesh7469 hopefully. I think they will. they came out super aggressive last week. I just don't think that would work against Washington.
Michigan's D has not played ANY teams with a decent offense. 13 games against offenses not even in the Top 50 and one (Ohio State) was only #47! Monday's game will be the first and ONLY game all season that Michigan's D has faced a halfway decent offense. Bama not even in the Top 50 in Total Offense and Big 10 was devoid of great QB's and great offenses this year.
What's the best passing defense Washington has faced all year?
Utah. #13. Oregon #22. Big 10 looks like they have great pass defenses but no team throws the ball. It's easy to look good on defenses when your conference is full of Iowas! @@HyzersGR
Bet
feeling more confident in UM's defense now?
@@johndavidlatta8192 Iowa honestly seemed like a tougher game than Washington did LOL
Comparing Washington pass defense to Purdue is crazy. Look at the offenses in the Big 10, then look at the Pac 12. Pac 12 offenses are far superior. These overall rankings on offense and defense mean very little.
Husky stats mean nothing, that's why no one picks them. It is VERY obvious 90% of the country never saw this team..
PAC 12 teams are trash
@@jytxs313 Yet one of them is in the Natty.
No chance Harbaugh lets this chance slide.
Michigan 42 Washington 28
I think the biggest thing in this one is who wins up front both these teams pride themselves there and have got here with that. To me Washington’s ability to run the football is crucial the last 6-7 games they’ve been running the ball really well up there with the best in the country, don’t know if Dillon Johnson will play but he’s been a big factor in that. Regardless I believe it’ll be a great game I honestly don’t know who to pick my gut says Michigan while my head’s saying Washington
He's playing, but no where near 100%
I don't think you should listen to your head anymore lol
A big thank you from Husky Nation for picking Michigan!😂
Np he will be correct
Wolverines: 🤭😂🤣
Hope Washington wins! Cheaters do not deserve to win!
Just watch what Mike Penix Jr did three years ago to Michigan’s CBs when he was with Indiana….dude dropped absolute dimes into places where only his WRs could catch it….and they were blanketed by Wolverine DBs. It didn’t matter.
Michigan was a completely different team. Plus that was covid era
He did it again😂😂
Im a husky fan, i hope we win this, but i have seen several of michigans games and they are scary on both sides of the ball, we are scary in our pass game, i really dont see a path to victory for us unless michigan had a melt down or something...they are just that good...jj is much better than people think, doesnt throw alot because he doesnt have to or need too, they run 1st because they can and eat up the clock and wear down opponants D, pains me to say but michigan will win this game, close for a half but they pull away and control the clock in the 2nd half, michigan wins by 17, ill say 44-27 michigan
Michigan 49-28, 49 might be a little generous but I think it’s gonna look just like the last couple Ohio state games.
Is beer on sale at Walmart? right score but backward. Best passing offence in the history of the NCAA. Good luck doubling 3 guys...]
wishful thinking
Check out the box score of the 2021 Michigan Ohio State game. Elite 1st round NFL pick quarterback throws for 394 yards with 2 touchdowns and no interceptions, 3 elite receivers, all 1st round draft pick, combine for 340+ yards, and Ohio State wins both turnover margin and time of possession. Final score: Michigan 42, Ohio State 27. @@swid2153
Bro didn’t watch the last Ohio state game
@@swid2153you mean like we have against OSU for the last 3 years? Michigan’s defense was deliberately built to deal with exactly the situation you are describing.
Michigan hasn’t seen an offense like UW this year, Huskies haven’t seen a defense this stout. Will be an absolute war but my guys haven’t let me down yet.
34-31 Huskies
This is the game your boys let you down. GO BLUE!!!!!!
Except Michigan has for the last 3 years in osu.. Washington is exactly what they are.. Michigan has played the 30th & 21st best passing offense & picked them both off twice this year alone. & Washington’s best Defense they have played is Oregon ranked 22nd.. best pass defense they have played is 54th in Oregon.. Michigans secondary is seasoned & have seen the Garrett Wilson’s, Chris Olave, Jackson smith, & marv Harrison Jr of the world. Their whole scheme is built for this game.. defensively.. Washington is terrible.. 37-27 〽️
Why want one UW fan say they going to stop michigan in football UW fans there's offense and defense is it because u know ur defense stinks so all u talk about is scoring michigan limit penix touches and win the game Corum will run through ur defense
@@Im__juju this is still the dumbest comparison in the comments. OSU and UW are not the same offensively just because they both throw a lot.
Washington also hasn’t faced an O line and RB combo like Michigan’s. Alot more to the equation there- if we ran on Bama then Washington should expect to give up 200 on the ground at least
Josh pate is one of the most talented college football analysts. So reasonable in his style.
How is he wrong every week then😂?
Thank you for refraining from picking a winner and jinxing Michigan
Why would you put this curse on us! You ALWAYS pick against Michigan!
He is trying to save his bald head. He though Bama would be playing TX. He is so sideways,. he cannot recover
Don't forget, this SAME UM TEAM played a GREAT OSU team last year that had 3 TOP NFL receivers and a TOP TEN NFL QB drafted last year... and UM ...CRUSHED them. This UM team was DESIGNED to beat an OSU team EXACTLY like the Huskies - yea, I'm not too worried.
Keep in mind this guy chose oregon over washington and said they would cover.
He is messed up.
If you include last year's game than Josh Pate is 0-3 on Washington vs Oregon games.
JJ will light them up
He’s never light anyone up 😂😂😂
49-0 @@tayewatson6754
As an avid fan of fortune cookie prediction models, well done bypassing the first six.
Michigans defensive stats feel inflated to me. They play in a conference with the worst offenses in all of collage football, yet Washington has to play some of the best offenses in collage football (usc, Oregon, Arizona). Could it be that the big10 has good defense that are presumed great because of the lack of offensive competition they’ve played? And as for Alabama, they have a terrible offensive line and a qb who is a great runner, terrible passer. Doesn’t surprise me they held them to 20 points. I have Washington winning 38-28. Mark it
It’s the same with Washington playing against terrible defenses in the PAC 12.
His pont was the stats are inflated both ways pac 12 d might not be as bad as you think but they go against the best qbs in the nation week in week out. Look who they play at qb its nuts all of them could start almost anywhere.
Nope! UCLA, Utah, Oregon, Oregon State (and even Texas) all have excellent and highly rated defenses - average around 20th or so. All the more amazing because they played in the conference with the best offenses and best QB's in the nation! Michigan didn't play even ONE team ranked higher than #47 in Total Offense all season!@@jackpackage4278
This sounds like SEC/Bama slappies before that game. No disrespect, but it sounds exactly the same.
@@TheCollectorCave Michigan never gets respect even when they beat the best teams. Watch if they beat Washington everyone will say UW was the easiest championship team to beat in playoff history 😂
Thank you for the information!
At this point you can pick Michigan to win outright and I dont think it matters. As good as Udub is they are not ready for this Michigan team. Blake Corum runs for 150+ and 2 TD's and Michigan wins 35-21
This is classic unstoppable force meets an immovable object
I'm cheering for Washington! BAMA girl here, I wasn't going to even watch, but I love football too much, lol.
ROLL TIDE!!
It is Harbaugh-Mania and Ric Flair is the Headliner.
No cheating they are that.good!
Key to the game will be redzone defense and turnovers. I don’t think either team will have issues moving the ball, but if UM limits big plays, forces Washington into methodical drives, and holds Washington in the red zone, they will win. If Washington hits big plays, and Michigan turns the ball over/gives Washington extra possessions, Washington will win.
Fuck ive been rooting for michigan all year. But seen washington play and think this is the game Michigan falls
Never believe what Hulk Hogan says. EVER
Josh has picked against UW all year. Why stop now. Can’t wait to watch the post game show where he was wrong once again. From a ND fan, GO WASHINGTON!
To Washington fans the two best defenses you faced during the season was ASU and WSU. The Huskies struggled in both games. Especially that Arizona state game. Added to that Michigan has a much better offense than both teams. Yes you have the best QB in the land but not the best team
Stop it. Michigan fans need to look in the mirror before commenting on the defenses that Washington has faced.
Best Offenses Michigan has played (with their national rankings).
Penn St (53)
Alabama (56)
Maryland (63)
Purdue (69)
Indiana (99)
#1 defense my ass.
@@tonyturntable8025 I agree with you
Washington will be the best offense Michigan has faced. Michigan has also beat some good offenses soundly. Washington has struggled with the best defenses in the PAC 12 and the tape proves that
This will play out like Ohio St vs Oregon in the final. @@tonyturntable8025
I think the defense for the wsu and Oregon state game was the weather and penix was sick during the asu game
Michigan (#4) was favored in the 1978 Rose Bowl against Washington (#13) by 14 points. Washington won that matchup 27 to 20. That was 45 years ago. Four plus five equals 9 which is the number on the uniforms of both QBs in this national championship.
45 years ago...put a point between them and you get 4.5.... Divide 9 by 4.5 and you get 2 ...thats how teams are playing in the national title game. And of those 2 teams all their jerseys will have numbers and thats what you and I both have used in our 2 posts to waste the time of who ever reads them!
Hail to the victors. Victory is just around the corner✊🏾💛💙〽️
You guys missed too many of Michigan's games. McCarthy didn't play the second half in 3 games, they were so far ahead.
i think its an even matched game each team wins 5/10 times but i think whoever wins will win by 20, if washington starts hot michigan offense will panic and throw more than they should, if michigan starts hot, they will run it 40 times and put pressure on wahsington offense
We all have opinions ... here's mine: If WA plays their best game and MI plays typical, MI will win by a few points. If MI offense plays at the same level as their defense (which is not usual) it will be a tough day for WA.
Not a chance. If WA plays their best game, it will be 34-20 WA. If MI can actually pressure Penix effectively, they will win.
You are not a Michigan Fan.
@@darrynfrost3401 why all u UW chest pounders so quiet now? 🏈