2024 AFL Draft Predictions with TRADES | September Edition
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- Опубликовано: 29 сен 2024
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Giving north berry and Armstrong is giving me a shinboner my dream draft 🙏
I'll add that 21 is worth more than whatever the point value is because its the start of the 2nd round and teams will go hard and pay over for the player they want. So 15 will get traded but I don't think 21 will be part of the deal.
Another bottom two finish for norf
@@Chuckakhanwhat’s your point?
I'll be shocked and disappointed if Melbourne take Reid at 6. Melbourne lack speed and Reid is as slow as treacle. Can't see it happening.
Pretty confident Saints take 2 mids, would be very surprised if we passed up Smillie & O’Sullivan if available.. Also lots of words of Trainor sliding to the mid teens, had quite a few concussions, seems possible to go at Nth’s 2nd pick in your scenario.
Agreed. Injury issue is a concern for Trainor. Also character issues. Saints are crying for midfielders
As a bombers supporter I’ve never entertained the idea of Josh smillie being available at our but would be a steal if he was and this draft could go anywhere from all reports
i think Saints will definitely pick him up given he’s available so likely no chance of him going to essendon, unless Battle compensation is band 2
Would we want another big body midfielder when we have Hobbs ready to roll? I’d see us taking Smilie if Hobbs was to request a trade. I’m hoping we get Armstrong, Shanahan or Berry so we have Caddy, Kako and another forward to team up for many years
Rather than WC slide back to 9 in the Baker trade (which is just too far for an uncontracted player) why not to 6, they could nab that Gold Coast pick instead
Agreed, i see eagles trading pick 3 (and later picks) for 6 and baker. Win win for both clubs as tiges will use later picks to potentially swap up with Brisbane.
With respect, you’ve absolute reamed the tiges with this one 😂 great vid as always
FOS and Smillie for St Kilda would be a dream come true. Instant win
Surely that doesn't happen !
Why would the Tigers trade 21 and 29 for 15 when they have three 3rd round picks and two 4th round picks?
Yeah they absolutely won't
Tigers should not trade up in such a deep draft I would much rather get the picks in 6 and 15 than pick 2 and 22 as you can see there are so many good mids there is no reason for us to trade up.
Rumours are they are keen for 2 picks in the top 3. They want to set up their midfield for a long time to come and will pay up a bit for it
North wouldn't do 2 and 22 for picks 6 and 15. That's a shit deal. I wouldn't even do pick 2 for pick 6 and 15. I would do pick 2 for pick 6 and 9 or 10 though.
@@wayno845 This draft is far too deep and even to remotely even consider 6 and 9/10 for 2 lmao. 2-6 are all so close, and the idea is North wants to trade down as they don't need a mid - thus getting the player they want (key position), while sliding up 7 places on their following pick.
North are the ones that want to trade down for this reason. As we will happily take one of FOS, JAGGA, Smilie, Reid, Lalor, Langford at 6. We aren't giving up pick 9 in a deep even draft, to chose 1 over the others.
The thing is the draft is deep but ninthmonds midfield is deep
man if west coast take lalor i think he's the kid to set the team up with reid both them together oh man!!!!!!
Great draft again Jesse! Love your content. I personally think Freo will target a forward-half player like Hutton, Haynes or Berry with one of their first rounders. They definitely need to add another key forward as they just delisted Taberner and Kuek, and Corbett retired. However, given the top-end quality we have, I can see this being a later pick. As a result, I can see us targeting Allan or Travaglia for some half-back run and carry with out first pick.
If St Kilda (given the degree of flexibility) doesn’t get another pick inside the too ten, the AFL are overseeing a strategy to undermine a club which has won only one premiership in 152 years. If that’s not blatant discrimination - I don’t know what is !!!
Caddy, Smilie and Kako in the span of 12 months... oof.
No finals wins in the span of 20 years… oof.
Richmond won't be burning capital to trade from 6 to 2 if Finn will be available at 6. From 9 to 2 maybe but not 6 to 2.
As a Fremantle supporter, we need speed, elite skills, and a small forward.
Would much prefer Lindsay, Berry, Hannaford, etc with our picks.
I'm hoping That St Kilda pick up Smillie before O'Sullivan. We're in desperate need of a big bodied midfielder who can win the ball on the inside. He also goes forward and kicks goals.
Like your picks for North but I think Ollie Hannaford has jumped Berry as number 1 small forward and he would be more likely at North's second pick
Hoping Melbourne get Sam Lalor, imagine him learning behind Petracca and Viney 😮💨
When u do ur top 40 or so draft don’t forget Sam Davidson Richmond VFL team he just won the best and fairest VFL to Richmond lol
Saying you don’t think the saints need to get two mids in the first round is how I know you don’t really watch them. If they take trainor I’ll spew
Liam Baker not worth 3. Also feel like Eagles are about to appoint a coach that will have me lose interest for the next 5 years.
Why would north do that trade just to slide down a few spots from 22 in an open draft like this
Jonty Faull would be better wat I heard Jonty Faull is their favourite
Bulldogs will recruit hazem el Masri with a surprise late 40s code switch
Luke Trainor is not a top 10 pick in this draft.
Could Tigers end up with the top 3 picks?
1st - their own.
2nd - swap with North for picks 9 and maybe 10? With Freos bolton trade.
3rd - swap with WC for pick 6 (Rioli trade) and Bolton.
Why would west coast do that
Pick 9 and scraps won’t get Bolton done
Smillie, built like Tarzan plays like Jane.
FINALLY!!! A well weighted trade of North trading pick 2 in mutually beneficial deal.
Pick 2 and 22 for 6 and 15 is my dream for North to make. Think we could ask for another later 3rd pick/future pick back in say a future 3rd or 4th though, as pick 2 has quite alot of value for just that little bit more. In terms of a done deal though mate, that's a solid trade.
- Smith and Langford screams so much sense for Richmond.
- WC making the Ashcroft bid is perfect! MAKE CLUBS PAY!!!
- Lalor is a good fit for your eagles too. Really polish and agile as a draftee which fits what you can build.
- Armstrong is the perfect fit for North. With Darling coming across it just makes drafting a forward all the more valuable as we have time to develop and build Armstrong without putting too much pressure on him for 2yrs.
- Travaglia makes ALOT of sense for Carlton too as Saad isn't getting younger and he'd be a perfect fit for the Blues when he calls it time.
- Berry to North is perfect! North have been screaming for a pure small forward for years and Berry fits that build on the money.
If either of Bo Allen or Alix Tauru were available, then I'm sure North would target them ahead of Berry. Simply because North has River Stevens a F/S coming through and he is a pure small forward too.
Another thing to consider is that IMO North are in for a real chance of getting Matt Owies, so IF they land Owies than Cooper Hynes or Jonty Faull are definitely in contention for landing at North.
All in all mate that's a VERY SOLID mock draft. Suits needs perfectly for clubs and everyone is winning out remarkably well.
North also in contention to get houston and a few others too!
@@thecentrebounce Houston I think we should pass on. He'd be a handy inclusion, though the cost to get him would be too great IMO. Plus North has been on record by various people such as Clarko, Viney and Rawlings saying they won't compromise our standings in the next few drafts.
@ShadowLight-kn7rl and yet were on record saying we'd give up our future first for him. Larkey, zurhaar and a fee others will be in their 3ps before we know it. Need to start to look to bring in good players around their age group and less 18yr olds.
@@thecentrebounce Houston for the future 1st round pick. Tbh that looked like nothing but postering on North's part. We put the offer out there and Port knock it back demanding two 1st round picks as the starting price.
Far too much IMO. For all the manoeuvring we'd have to do to get that deal done and not compromise our draft hands we'd be better off bringing in the talent.
Houston is also a HB Defender. Granted he's great at that role, but we brought in Fisher to do just that. If we bring in Houston we make the Fisher deal wasteful as we gave up a 1st round pick as part if that deal too.
Houston certainly isn't a need. Parker on the other hand is a different kettle of fish and should be our priority target for the recruitment team.
@ShadowLight-kn7rl fisher is a flop and needs to he delisted. Houston is a backline general and the reason why port aren't making the GF.
If the trade does go through it'll be our fiture first to port and them trading it for a first this year to whoever will take it.
Carlton would be giving up something like pick 11 and ours could be similar and we'd be offering more $$ to houston.
Great video again jesse I never have a idea with the trade and draft period 😅
Are you going back to bunnings and buying a drill and wall plug and screw to hang up that pulp fiction frame when you get back to Perth
😂 go eagles 🔵🟡
dont understand why north would do that trade lol
There is absolutely no chance Richmond trade 2 first rounders for pick 2 in a draft where there is no clear stand outs. Richmond will opt for 4 picks minimum in the top 20. Strategy is off here. Richmond will have Pick 1, 6, 9, 12 (from hawks for baker), 15 (tied to Brisbane).
I don’t think Richmond would mind if they end up with Lalor or Reid ahead of Langford.
Exactly. I also don’t think Richmond won’t trade Shai without 10 attached as well. Also what they might do is trade compensation to goldcoast to match bid on Lombard for pick 12
@startupdiaries your not getting 15 for Baker, that's basically like the eagles swapping Barrass for Baker, not exactly good list management
Saints definitely take two midfielders, Saints perfectly placed to pounce with their first selection - OSullivan Smillie Draper or Reid then happy days , 2nd selection becomes best available remaining midfielder, I would love to see Xavier Lindsay at this pick to be considered.
Nah they’ll take Luke trainor with their first pick and Zac Dawson with their second
@@Chuckakhan I’m more hanging on us trading our 1st pick for Sam Frost 😂
@@garrymoss2079 hey now Sam frost is great he just can’t kick so only hand balls for frosty
Why would Freo take another or two big bodied mif when erasmus and brodie can even get a game. They need a small forward (Berry) and an outside wing or running back (travaglia/lindsay)
I’m big on all 3 as a freo fan, Allan should be good for us as an extra utility option but I do agree with what u said bout travaglia and lindsay, I’ve got huge hopes for travaglia but if freo were to get him, he should be good as a half back option now with the re-signed O’Driscoll who should possibly be set to lock in that wing spot alongside sharp
Erasmus will phase in next year. Has been developing nicely in the WAFL. Brodie is irrelevant really.
Fremantle will have a greater emphasis on speed and skill than body size and Lindsay, Travaglia, Berry and Tauru seem to have weapons they could use. But Allan and Hynes aggression would be fantastic to unleash together.
@@Pak_Gigit Erasmus plays over who? you clearly dont watch the games. Freo has plenty aggresion and grunt. they need agility and polish which allan lacks
@@redtiger4352 settle down tiger. I'm not advocating for Allan or Hynes, I'm discussing them. They are definitely options.
If Fyfe plays more than half the games next year I hope it is because he is the best option. But I think Erasmus will steal 50%.
@@Pak_Gigit again wrong. if fyfe is not injured he aint resting for erasmus 😅 get out of here
Dylan Alexander has suggested North pick Alix Tauru with pick 2. Where would you have placed him in the draft if not top 20?
Not sure why the Tiges would give up 21 and 29 for 15, just as likely to get the player you want at 21 as opposed to 15 such is the closeness of the 15-25 draft picks.
Why is it that 9 out of 10 of your predicted top 10 come from Victoria? Not a dig but I thought there would be plenty of players coming out of WA and SA
As a Richmond supporter, I very much agree with Jagga, but ive been seeing many rating FOS at #1, even still. I feel that, especially with 1&2, FOS could be a bit of a pick 2 wild card with Jagga for security.
Would also love to see Murphy Reid in Richmond, being a tigers supporter himself, but apparently he had a bad (knee?) injury in the grand final, so that might cause a slide to our 3rd pick (or 2nd if norf dont come through)
If houston does leave Port they probably get 2 picks inside the top 20 which throws a spanner in draft predictions
Who has the draft capital though? Apart from north?
@@TheBigM31 sides can trade future picks to Port who in turn trade them for picks in this years draft....say they might get carltons 1st pick this year which is say 11 so keep that then trade other picks they receive or futures to another club and grab another pick inside top 20...I think they might use one of those picks though for Jack Lukious if he wants to come to Port,he is good mates with Rozee so wait and see about that one
As much as i like the idea of Lalor and Tauru for the Eagles, i really think we need at least 1 of those picks on a classy mid.
Draper is the consistent inside/outside mid, FOS the outside class, and Lindsay/Travaglia the possibilities with pick 13.
I think we need 1 of those 4, pairing them with Lalor or Tauru would be good, but 2 of those 4 would also be great.
My top 20 before trades
1. Harvey Langford (Richmond)
2. Luke Trainor (North Melbourne)
3. Levi Ashcroft (Brisbane)
4. Jagga Smith (West Coast)
5. Sid Draper (Adelaide)
6. Harry Armstrong (Melbourne)
7. Finn O’Sullivan (Gold Coast)
8. Leo Lombard (Gold Coast)
9. Murphy Reid (StKilda)
10. Josh Smilie (Essendon)
11. Sam Lalor (Fremantle)
12. Joe Berry (Fremantle)
13. Isaac Kako (Essendon)
14. Toby Travaglia (Carlton)
15. Xavier Lindsay (Hawthorn)
16. Taj Hotton (Greater Western Sydney)
17. Jobe Shanahan (Brisbane)
18. Alix Tauru (Geelong)
19. Bo Allen (Fremantle)
20. Sam Marshall (Brisbane)
I don’t think the bombers need another midfielder. I think if Stringer goes then key forward, if not we’ve delisted and retired a lot of small defenders so that’s the highest priority atm
Eagles should take fos at that pick rather than lalor, as you said, he gives us a little more variety to the midfield that lalor doesn’t. Tauru looks to be climbing the board whilst trainor is dropping(based on medical reasons apparently). I imagine tauru is the first key defender taken. But would love him at the eagles
Thanks man. Challenge yourself and do a top 60 after trade week. The draft is super deep and I recon you can do it......
I think in any other draft, the nth/Richmond trade would happen. But not in this even draft.
Richmond might do pick 15 (WC Baker) and pick 19 (Freo Bolton) for the saints pick 8 or Ess at 10, but thats the only picks they would swap.
Langford for Armstrong and Berry shows why Richmond wouldn't do that swap. I think Richmond would just take the picks to the draft.
As an Essendon fan getting access to Smillie would be the absolute best case scenario for us, I have him number 1 on my draft board personally just based on what his attributes are and the impact he would have on the balance of the list. Guys like O'Sulivan, Reid, Smith etc might be higher rated players and more developed and consistent at this stage of their careers and if any of those guys slid to us instead of Smillie we'd have to pick them, but if I was in charge of the list and Essendon had pick 1 I'd be taking Smillie all day.
Can't see us taking another mid, we already have a log jam there.
Will be Travaglia or Lindsay as we have a massive need for half-backs
@joshuagulliver3543 we do have a lot of small mids for sure but we still need a bigger body in there, Smillie would be ideal. I absolutely love the prospect of Lindsay, I also have him very high on my draft board for his elite speed and ball use but a player like Smillie who could turn into a Cripps, Bont, Greene or Fyfe type of inside mid is too good to pass on if available and is much harder to find as opposed to a quick half back
West Coast need quality midfield depth. I wouldn’t be using our top 30 picks on forward or defender talls while we have the picks.
Gee the back end of that top 20 is juicy. Allan, Travaglia, Tauru and Hynes are exciting.
Agree Fremantle seem to have doubled up on similar 'types', and could have a better mix from those 4, but doubt there would be complaints. Also worth remembering Erasmus looks primed for next season and has some similarities. Berry also available would be tempting.
Surprised you opted for Lalor for WC. Expected an emphasis on silk rather than power.
Not bad selections for wc. Be happy with Tauru at that selection, he looks exciting. Feel Lalor at 3 is a reach tho although he looks to have a few reid qualities so having a resting reid or Lalor in the fwd line would be great.
The problem for North trading down to 6 is they ( I think) want Armstrong who Demons will take at 5. I like your content. TY
Cheers, Jesse.
Maybe do a 'Best' list next to your selected 20 - a list of who the best players are in the draft regardless of team preference.
I would rather eagles get Finn he’s different to the rest of are midfielders. Also has the most potential in the draft
I don't think you should end a sentence with a preposition. That's where I am at.
Finn going at 8 might be the worst take i've seen on this draft
Murphy reid would be perfect for us 😍 we've got JVR and Disco Turner improving every year, we dont need another key forward, we need someone to kick well inside 50, reid would be perfect
We need a 200cm key forward for JVR and Disco to work around.
2 for 6 and 15 in most years but not this year.
Finn O'Sullivan at 8 would be a dream. I could definitely see Saints taking two mids and scooping up FOS and Smillie here they would compliment each other and two types of young mids we don't currently have. Trainor unfortunately i think ruled himself out of a St Kilda selection with his recent concussion isssues. We are still recovering from Paddy Mccartin on that 2014 Pick 1.
Dream is right. He won't get out of the top 2.
Hard disagree on the Carlton pick. Running half back with potential in the midfield is the last thing we need.
Small forward or Key Back are our needs at the moment
Good. Because I am dead keen on getting Tobie to West Coast. So works for me.
Think WC look to split their 1st pick and drop around 10 to pick up Bo Allan
Who are they splitting it with?
Nice job Jesse👍
i genuinely think because Shai had a relatively good year considering our ladder position and also with the amount of time left on his contract we should nab pick 9 and 10, id accept 9, 17 and future 2nd for Shai and maybe a later pick but id prefer pick 9 and 10 for Shai and future 2nd or something or if baker decides to go to Freo I'd really like pick 9, 10 and a future 1st for Shai, Baker and a future 2nd or 3rd, its probably not gonna happen but i can only hope lol
Freo should also throw in Serong while you are fleecing them
Dreaming mate,,9 and something,no way 2 firsts
@@jarradlee3867,,well said
Richmond’s Actual Strategy
Own picks: 1, 21, 29, 39, 41, 47 and 57
Gold Cost trade: Pick 6 and 20 for Rioli and future third round pick
Fremantle trade: 9 and 10 for Bolton and 20
West coast trade: Pick 3 for Baker and pick 9
Brisbane trade: Pick 14 for pick 29, 39, 41, 47, 57 and 66 (1161 points for 2098 points)
Picks post trades: 1, 3, 6, 10, 14 and 21
What ?
You didn't make any sense
So Essendon would have Merrett, Caldwell, Hobbs, Setterfield, Tsatas, Shiel, Durham, Smilie, Parrish, Perkins all for the same roles. That’s 10 guys. For a team with zero decent small forwards I’d be staggered if they ended up getting a midfielder with their pick.
They get kako
@@aidobado2172 still don’t need yet another midfielder with their first pick. Berry or Shanahan make some sense
He is too good to take shanahan we are already getting kako
@@scraggythebeast141 where would he actually play and ahead of who?
@@jamesm3723 don’t need him to play straightaway but someone of his ceiling… like Cripps was taken at pick 13 or something we haven’t ha d a big bodied midfielder since Watson.
Berry and Armstrong to the roos sounds good, but I'd prefer to keep pick 22 😂
It will be 9 and 10 minimum for Bolton or it won't get done. Ditto 6 and 12 (with something like 29 going back to GC) for Rioli. Start again.
you're dreaming buddy, try to see past the yellow and black glasses
Giving up 9 and 10 basically 2 guns for one player would be crazy.
basically two guns is where you lose this. go check the history of 9s and 10s.
@@endakis1 yeah many flops at that range
As a Freo supporter I would rather go to the draft with those picks than give them both up for one player and I rate Bolton highly!