Finally some optimism in this dark age Everywhere I go I see pessimistic predictions about the end of civilization but u really made my day! Here's to the future!
@@rustyshackleford234 realism is just people pretending that their depression actually have a point but in reality they're just pessimistic and depressed
A few small gripes. 2200's Mars would be a "wet desert" in that there is enough water to run a small hydrosystem but no plants worth mentioning, and the water is toxic. Venus underutilized, cloud seeded algae farms would serve nicely to transfer nitrogen to Mars.
@@ganieraorison6192 Algae that floats in the nitrogen rich clouds and is harvested with trolley ships and compressed for nitrate rich nutrient bars and fed to martians and have them poop out good fertilizer is key to a interplanetary economy.
As someone who’s also been obsessing over our future in space for the past few years, I like this, we seem to have converged on a lot of ideas (I especially like the idea of exploring a semi-post-scarcity society). I’d be interested to see how you think the Moon and Mars will look into the 23rd century, as I’ve imagined them as having different colonial territories and/or slowly breaking off into their own nations
If I expand on this scenario at some point I may focus more on the various political entities throughout the solar system and how they're structured. As for what I actually think, I'm very uncertain, which is why I think this "alternate history" format works great, as I can just guess and make assumptions. In this scenario as of 2200 I image the political entities of the Moon are very closely tied to Earth. The United Nations has been restructured, veto rights are gone, and it actually has real power, functioning as a loose confederation akin to the European Union. The Lunar Council, now a unified federal republic, is a member of the United Nations just like the EU, China or North American Union. The Lunar Council is their means of resolving local disputes, and how all Moon colonies are represented at the UN. But political entities overlap, with Earth nations retaining the rights to use infrastructure on the moon to some capacity, as its how they colonize the solar system without being tied down by expensive Earth launches. So I think it would be a mix. By 2200 I think almost all decisions would be made locally on the moon through some framework like a Lunar Council, as well as smaller subdivisions, while Earth nations would keep some sort of loose ties to their Lunar settlements in order to maintain acces to their space infrastructure.
I’d imagine it would be similar to European colonies in the Americas but without the natives and wouldn’t be looked back upon as horrific. Slowly these martians and lunar men will culturally become more and more different than the mother country that their colony is ruled by. Eventually they’ll secede and become solar system powers themselves. Heck, one might mirror the United States and become the most powerful and influential nation in the system.
The scope of the video just grew and grew, the flickering effects and solar system map in particular, took a lot of work. So at some point I just decided to finish the video. I do regret not including it though, only would've taken a couple more hours. As for the explanation, though, it's a country with a lot of potential. Southeast Asia broadly is growing rapidly. I wouldn't be surprised if a couple notable powers arise there in the coming century.
@@Smilemonster1912 japan won't be very relevant in the future, they have experience but they're losing power rapidly, paved the way for a booming countries like indonesia to replace them, at this point the future scenario of indonesia become one of major space powers in the future become very likely to happen.
@@_martian101 Vietnam is promising too. Maybe it’ll democratize and more countries would invest into it. It’s already an ally with the U.S., maybe they’ll pressure them out of communism?
@@rustyshackleford234 Many southeast Asian countries are promising, but Indonesia will be the one that joining 5 biggest economy list in the future, so Indonesia is more likely to have large scale space industry, just like 5 biggest economy countries today, plus Indonesia is a neutral country and have close relations to all space powers which greatly help them to build their own space industry, especially China that potentially will give Indonesia a significant amount of technological transfer
I might not agree with some details (Mainly some of the population stuff’s far future projections) or certain geopolitical developments (Russia remaining a major world power, The NAU not being a greater USA) but overall this is a reasonable head-cannon for the future.
It’s certain that Russia will at least remain a decently strong force. the separation into multiple states of what we call Russia now is highly unlikely, every time there has been an attempt of doing so it has come back to a similar level of power and form
@kenos911 there is a very good chance that Russia will have fewer than 100 million people by the end of the century. Current Russian power is merely a fading remnant of Soviet power.
Definitely many countries you overestimate or underestimate, and the predictions overall are iffy at best. Though it is cool to see this kind of content.
I think he may have overestimated China and Russia. Though with the anti-aging stuff solves their largest problem, population collapse. But who knows if we’d actually invent that. He may have just used it to keep Russia and China in the story which I’m all for. The U.S. needs some enemies to compete against to actually achieve stuff nowadays lmao
@@rustyshackleford234 anti-aging is common futurism trope, but I wouldn't count on that just yet. Maybe I will live to see that, maybe it won't work for my generation, maybe there are other restrictions, maybe it won't come for several more centuries, maybe Alien AI invades... lot of unknowns.
I'm writing a sci-fi universe called "Ikanis Universe" with a friend and I really liked the way you treated this alternate future. Right now I am in the process of researching futurology in numerous places, in addition to reading books on the subject. Also my search is on the internet, looking for pages on this topic, and watching videos like these as a way to base myself on the data given here to create the future of the science fiction universe that my friend and I are creating, it seems. As for the idea presented here, I have a very similar vision about the future of today in 200 years. I have seen the previous parts of this video and they are very good, I rely on a part of it for my science fiction universe as well as other sources where I look for guidance and inspiration for it. Thank you very much and good video :D
@@tom_skip3523 My friend and I who are working on the project try to be as realistic as possible. Although in reality this universe is utopian science fiction in some aspects, like Star Trek, not in all but in some, such as showing that humanity and the Earth evolved to be a better civilization in the centuries to come. But it's also about dystopian and dark themes. There are several things that I could consider realistic to the point of being hard science fiction, such as the space battles that we make realistic. While in other things there are aspects of this that could be considered speculative and fantastic, because there are quite a few exotic concepts like parallel universes and alternative timelines, or beings of great cosmic powers. The Ikanis Universe is divided into three parallel realities called Nuclei: N1, N1.1 and N2, the main realities, although there are 7 in total, and other multiverses, within a Multiverse called "The Registry" by a brane hypercomputer created by a type six civilization that records numerous past, present and even future events from across the multiverse. By the way, the name of the universe "Ikanis" comes from the name of the protagonist, "Ikanis Calinner", a human-like alien woman, artificially created in a laboratory as a project of an alien species also human-like, called the Sanssahar. If you are interested in knowing more about this universe, keep contacting me, thank you. And I have a blog, on the blogger platform where we publish the stories of this universe and others of our authorship, you can find the link in the links on my RUclips channel. By the way, my native language is not English, it is Spanish, the blog is in Spanish, but right now I am trying to translate our stories into English so that more people can read them. I'm also learning English. By the way, now I ask, what is your universe about? Greetings.
@@Alcyon_C That sounds great! Congratulations on getting this far already. I love sci fi utopias and dystopias. Keep up the good work sounds very interesting. Am German btw, nice to meet you :) About my story. I'm planning a sci fi story in several parts. At the time of the prequel we are in the 23rd century. Humanity, which has evolved more and more into a united species and has already colonized many planets and moons in the solar system with a lot of trade between the colonies and Earth. A dyson sphere is currently being built, but it is far from finished. In any case, humanity is starting a project to spread humanity throughout the galaxy. :) So much for the backstory, don't want to give too much away. The real story is about a girl born in a colony as part of the project. There is a really dystopian ending, at least for the 1st part. So much for that :D I'm currently doing a lot of research and philosophizing. Long time project.
@@tom_skip3523 Thank you very much, really what motivates us the most is seeing that other people like what we write. I'm from Mexico, great pleasure too. Your story is interesting, it seems that humanity reached a class II civilization quite quickly by already having a Dyson sphere under construction around the Sun. It seems that humanity is in a golden age. Something I wonder about is that there are other alien species, in addition to this galactic colonization project. I understand, I don't want to reveal too much of my backstory either. And you already have a character, that girl born in space. I would love to read about the universe. Right now the Ikanis Universe of me and my friend have started writing the first book, we plan to send it to a publisher, and we are also trying to find a way to copyright our writings since it is something very important. In short, these types of projects require a lot of patience, research and philosophizing as you indicate. Greetings :D
He explained it quite well in the video. There is a big chance of a power struggle if Putin dies. And like he said if there is in this case a big chance for China to try to influence the results and in this case Russia will become less relevant on it's own but will be part of the Chinese sphere of influence.
Pretty much the expanse lmao. I can visualize the scenario but I also feel other externalities will come into play that either heavily hinder the timeline of space colonization or possibly accelerate it.
I know that this was 5 months ago but it's genuinely so interesting and well made! I hope you make it into a series. I know it may get "crazier" as time goes on but it'd be interesting and certain "crazy" things might seem less crazy in the further future.
We may have means to maybe send a probe to Alpha Centauri (with big price tag), but until fusion drive works as advertised I wouldn't bet on anything bigger going there. A colony needs to have 2000 people at the very least minimum, unless we send an AI ship and androids act as parents for the vat babies (artificial womb, 3D bio-printer). Even that wouldn't change the politics, besides having a colony somewhere out there.
@@PaulZyCZthe Alcubierre drive and fusion power aren’t as far off as you seem to believe. Recently a fusion research lab achieved fusion at around 1/3 gross power gain, only problem is the power waste to get there. The Alcubierre drive also has seen some development with the power required dropping substantially to the point that a. Fusion reactor is all that’s needed to utilize it theoretically, no testing has occurred yet. Quantum computing is seeing a lot of progress as well to guide and control a faster than light ship. It’s all happening, it may take 50 years but it will happen
@@giovannibini6809because the moon is a big rock that we’ve already been to. We also have rovers going back there to study whatever we need. The only reason to go back would be to mine or colonize it, and we haven’t had the tech for that until recently
Seriously, I really like how you go in-depth with the future state of Earth politics; particularly with how the United States eventually subsumes the provinces of Canada and the states of Mexico (Granted, I do think Greenland would eventually become another state in the union given how much it resents the Netherlands for not paying attention to its needs and it'd probably be taken care of by the US due to vested interests in the Arctic). I think that with the onset of anti-aging medicines and the rise of personalized medicines (thanks to the protein folding problem being solved by AI) and CRISPR, it's not too far off to suggest that personal gene-editing of the human race by choice is out of the picture. Certain attributes to make selected individuals be more suited for long voyage space missions around the solar system and even beyond into interstellar exploration missions. In any case, I hope this becomes a series!
@@rustyshackleford234 Well, given the proximity to the US and that Greenland has been looking to be independent from Denmark for a while because they've felt neglected makes it seem like they're looking for a new country to act on its behalf and provide resources for them. Greenland's next parliamentary election is coming next year so I think it's a fair shot to assume that they'll try to vote for independence by then.
@@macwarrenconnor Do you really know anything about local Greenlandic politics? They are very much against becoming a part of the US, they want more autonomy from Denmark yes (not the Netherlands, as you first said in your comment), but they also do know they do not have a large enough population to serve themselves with their current local economy, security and infrastructure and so would much rather continue being part of Denmark. You sound clueless
@@mommoffa they are going to vote out of being part of Denmark because of how little Denmark is taking a part in their nation’s affairs, and both Canada and the US are much closer to provide support from them than Denmark would. This is literally in the far future, you just sound like a dolt that thinks they’re smarter than they really are.
Really liked this scenario. You are one of the only creators I know who competently uses AI generated images, both fittingly and tastefully. This in combination with your beautiful maps which are a combinations of realistic and yet beautiful borders make for some of the best contents on the site. TL;DR: Great vid, dawg. Hello from Sweden.
For the North America country, a better flag would be something along the lines of a horizontal tricolor of a red stripe on top, a blue stripe in the middle, and a green stripe on the bottom.
@@giovannibini6809that’s more viable but not a great looking flag. Considering the US would very likely dominate the union a flag incorporating the colors of all 3 with 3 stripes and stars representing the states (or whatever they become) of each nation is most likely, as each nation does have a federal government and it’s likely that this union would also follow an American style republic
This has lead to a future I did not think about, a split between people living in the void or on lighter worlds traveling wherever while people from heavy worlds are for all intents and purposes largely trapped.
It was an amazing, difficult but realistic scenario, I really love it, it's even perfect for a book. But I have one tiny question, is the anti-aging treatment you mention based on the one explained in the Red Mars book saga?
Thanks! It's actually just based on real world efforts which I find interesting, and imagine could lead to an eventual complete curing of ageing. From what I can gather scientists have successfully not just prevented, but also reversed ageing in mice through gene therapy. So I don't think it's that big a leap to say we may do the same in humans this century. Perhaps first in our pets, so we can have them with us for longer. Then the ultra wealthy will have acces to it, and then eventually the general population. In this scenario specifically I imagine wealthy ageing societies like Europe, Japan, China and North America offer the treatment either freely or cheaply through government subsidies to their populations, in order to avoid the worst affects of collapsing birth rates. But in poorer countries it would probably be more difficult to get acces to, some countries might even restrict the acces to anti ageing medication because their populations are growing too much.
@@Neatlingone of the only things I done really agree with is the anti aging medication, I think that's a bit too far fetched for the next 100-200 years. It is technically possible though.
@@NeatlingAre you sure you've seen studies where they've managed to prevent aging in a mouse? I've definitely seen the studies about reversing age, they are fascinating and 100% legit but haven't heard of anyone PREVENTING aging in mice.
@@alexander-5848The biggest hurdle right now in Aging science is the astronomical amount of data needed to predict protein folding and the mechanisms involved in the process of aging. Our current systems are incapable of managing this and we're still collecting the neccesary data but AI will 100% become advanced enough in as little as a decade of time. After that, it's basically just collecting data and letting the AI do its thing with enough compute. The AI will predict new, as of yet unknown proteins which will result in a LOT of new medications and let us better understand how proteins behave in our bodies. Preventing aging altogether is, I agree here, at least a century away but with AI spearheading the number crunching which we desperately need, we'll extend our lifetimes by decades if not a century. That means that we'll keep extending our lives as long as it's needed for proper gene editing to be perfected and let us finally cure aging. This is already starting, really. Over the last few years, thousands(if I remember correctly) of new biomed companies have been opening up with their mission being curing aging or at least extending life. As of yet, it's only really billionaires funding these in hopes of extending their lives but it should start picking up steam once research gets going.
These future solar system colonization thoughts are so much fun to listen to. Thank you for this. I wonder if we'll manage to do something comparable. God be with you out there everybody. ✝️ :)
Had been fun if you made scenario like this video, but with the orion-drive as a foundation to faster (mayby interstellar) space travel. Amazing video btw ; )
I feel like the US uniting with Mexico is always done in scifi scenarios. I think a LatAm union that incorporates Mexico is more realistic. Maybe there would be a conflict over trade between the US and LatAm when Mexico joins them. I think a cultural union of the anglo states (US, UK, Canada, Australia, and NZ) makes more sense for the US too
A union of the Hispanic world or the Iberian-speaking countries is more realistic than Latin America, In Spanish-speaking countries a movement is starting that could be translated as "Hispanism" Which can be very strong if it continues to expand, thanks to the internet this ideology could easily enter politics, It is literally creating a Spanish empire 2.0, but in phases that would last decades, Milei won the presidency due to the corruption of the corrupt Argentine governments and his popularity on the internet, Hispanism, being a decentralized ideology, So it can be adapted to communism, protectionism, ancap, etc.
I disagree. You’re thinking culturally and not economically, politically, geographically, diplomatically, etc etc. Mexico and the US are already melding culturally. The “immigrant crisis” isn’t being overblown, most states along the border have a substantial Mexican population, and the same will happen as he said in the video in reverse to Mexico as they stabilize. There’s also the issue of LatAms instability and Americas already strong position, if Mexico had to choose today they’d choose the US and it isn’t odd for them to do the same in future. Maybe a LATNAU would form between Mexico, the Central Americans and the Caribbean states that may then join a NAU, but I think the NAU is inevitable in some form, especially as cultural divides weaken
@oldylad you make a fair, if uncomfortable point. I agree that the current immigration crisis could completely change the cultural fabric of the US, if it hasn't started already. However, with the rise of strict anti immigration politicians and rhetoric, it's not impossible to think that the trend could be halted or even reversed with the original cultural ties being restored. Birth rates are also collapsing throughout Latin America and the Hispanic population in America. While it still might be more realistic for a north american union, I was perhaps yearning for something different. An alternate future where cultural norms and values don't decline.
@stevenroshni1228 In economic terms, sure. But politically and socially, it's still pretty far off. I don't see the economic ties ever fading away but as the Anglosphere grows more and more skeptical of immigration and concerned more with cultural preservation, I don't think a full on political union with Mexico is as likely as portrayed in the sci fi genre. I said previously that a LatAm union would be more realistic but perhaps that's not true either as there are many major disagreements between these nations and they have widely different cultures and societies. I would need to research more into though. I wonder if the difference between American and British culture is smaller than the difference between say Argentine and Colombian culture. I've only ever been to Mexico and Costa Rica and while there are similarities, I was able to pick up on many differences with even my miniscule capability of the Spanish language. Anyways those are my thoughts, sorry for ranting lmao
Cool video. Consider doing an alternate future on what if the "Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (the AMOC)" collapsed. Like in the Day After Tomorrow movie but realistic and gradual.
8:42 the USA would still hold most of the power and domination of the union. Canada won’t be able to catch up because it’s mostly uninhabitable and it wouldn’t be able to grow faster than the USA.
I liked this and found that the ideas you presented are the same ideas that I have when I think into the future of our civilization and space colonization
Private space companies in the future will play a important role in space expansion. While space agencies lead the way in space exploration, they can be hampered by bureaucracy and political setback. I feel like private space companies have an advantage with profit motive incentives like orbital launches from SpaceX and alike. One day, private space companies will send interplanetary payloads to other planets Like SpaceX is attempting to do with Mars and other companies like Rocket lab are planning to send a payload to Venus to study Venus's atmosphere with their own privately built rockets.
@@digitaldud3664 Because exponential growth is what we are undergoing right now and we humans are the best when it comes to underestimating/not understanding the nature of exponential growth.
@@icarus387 Indeed, the nature of space exploration in the future will shift from government space agency centric to private merchant centric combined with governments shifting focus to space security through space forces, rather than doing the space missions themselves.
2:00 - Don't forget more advanced launching systems. Some cargos can "yeet" in space at 1000 G, such as using orbital cannon or Spinlaunch. There's ongoing research towards the orbital elevator. Using active support (think bouncing castle, but with molten iron instead of air) it's possible to build other launching megastructures. Orbital ring seems like the best 1960's science approach towards daily commute to LEO or even evacuating Earth if it comes to that (same colony ships as A.C.Clarke envisioned). It may turn out the Orbital ring is easier to build than Elevator, although politics may play against it. There are also other conceptual ways to get in space, which often seem like UFO: For example there's induction-based engine NASA is already testing in satelites, but like atmospheric ion engines it may require serious advances in superconductor and material engineering. More down-to earth approach is using laser instead of the oxidizer. If I remember right, the proposal claimed instead 90 % reduction of the rocket mass. So a ship like Starship would deliver kilotons of cargo in one go or instead of 500 $/kg it would be 50 $/kg. Want a dirt cheap electricity from space? See Mars Valineris up close at Christmas? Move to Epsilon Eridani, after spending few decades in cryo and never look back, once the new optimized fusion starliner launches? We are so close yet so far, but it's possible.
Hi Neatling! I don't know if you will notice my comment, but some time ago I came across an article about the fact that the Anglo-Saxons had a colony in the Crimea which was called New England, they founded it supposedly after the Norman conquest of England in 1066, there are some sources out there that confirm this but there is no exact certainty. I would like to ask you, will there be a video with an alternative history at your place as if this would actually happen? I am curious about your opinion, greetings!
Yeah no, it can be said about their leader Alexander Lukashenko but from what the population has been demanding for few years now i certainly doubt that if they saw an opportunity they wouldn't go for it to be independant
@@KiraiKatsuji Portugal isn't an alliance. It's a country. You mean with the UK. But the UK and Portugal have multiple common interests like balancing Spain/Ireland. Meanwhile Belarus actively has it's national interest worked against by Russia
@@hazb8026 Portugal is an alliance of empty land and a big coastline, but in seriousness yes i meant Portugal and England/UK as you asked which alliance in history lasted centuries so i gave you portugal and it also is politically unstable for a long time and poor
If I may ask where did you get the idea that we would develop technology that would reverse and prevent aging, and how long would the average human live in this future world.
Ok so this was pretty neat but what about going beyond our home system? Would be intersting to see how a civilization tries to keep together when even the speed of light is too slow to reasonably communicate between the stars.
Good video, but this is only assuming the world doesn't get crazier than it currently is and that the status quo is more or less maintained. Could you do a video where the current earth crisis runs its course and shakes up the world order and dedollarization and all that, and then space travel takes off.
I feel like another dwarf planet that should have been mentioned is Eris, like pluto not a lot of ppl will live there but it could be a good outpost for mining the kuiper belt. It would also be interesting how things will look like once we colonize alpha centauri
It'd be interesting if Indonesia managed to form ASEAN into a union or at least limited union. That would make a regional cold war between Indonesia and china, and it would make sense for japan korea and australia to rethink their sides in the declining us order. It would also be ideal to see more resurgence for middle eastern nation and south america.
@@KVUAA You guys let Aceh practice sharia law, no other southeast Asian nation would allow that. Malaysia’s also ruled by like 7 sultans rotating constantly so it’s a mess that’s getting colonized by China
@@JohnDoe-sw1rs We let them? We literally fought against their guerilla campaign rebellion for decades since the 70s to early 2000, at it peaks during Indonesia instability period after the 97 Asia Financial crises, Fall of Suharto, and 2004 Indian Ocean Tsunami is when we decided to negotiate with compromise to given them amnesty and granting special autonomy.
Really Good! Though, I'd like to Point out (in my Opinion) a Flaw in your Final note: 1. Assuming Good Automation with AGI in the Future, as well as Semi-Equal Distribution of Resources, a kind of FALSC (Fully Automated Luxury Space Communism) Society would Develop. I'm also Assuming that Good Technology would allow us to Extract and Use the Resources of Any Patch of Space Rock Larger than a City Block. With AGI(and Potentially ASI) we could Relatively Rapidly Develop Advanced Technologies like Biological Immortality, Quick ISRU and small- Scale Self-Sufficiency, Cybernetic Augmentations, Digital Consciousness Uploading, Comfortable Space Habitats, ect... Such a Society would see Rapid Growth in Colonies for the Simple Reason that there are lots of Resources, we have the Technology to Efficiently Extract and use them and Everyone in the Colony has the Material interest to do so. Whilst Earth would still be a Paradise where we Evolved, many wouldn't need it anymore. Some (Digital Consciousnesses) would Probably Actually find it more Comfortable to Live inside some Icy Asteroid where they Could mine the "Ice" for Nuclear Fusion Energy and Run their Computers at much Lower and More Efficient Temperatures. If such is the Case, Places like the Moon and Ceres would become Megalopolises, Constructing O'Neill Cylinders and other Megastructures. Additionally, Utilizing Self- Replicating Robots, it would be Relatively Easy to Build a Dyson Swarm, giving Access to Virtually Limitless Energy and Destructive Potential (1). Furthermore, even if such a Megastructure is Hard or Impossible, Nuclear Fusion, with Deuterium or other Fuel mined from Space "Ice", Energy would also be Trivially Cheap, giving Access to Expanse-Style Propulsion. Now, given the Picture of a Virtual(ly) Utopian Space Civilization with Limitless Energy, Easy Ability to Self-Replicate and Everyone having the Material interest to mine Space, what do you think will happen? Will we stay Content with our reach and Stay Mostly Around Earth, or will we see Rapid Resource Extraction and Resource Utilization of the Bodys in our Solar System? I Personally think that the Latter Option is more Realistic. Space Colonies would have next to no Limit on their Expansion, while Civilization on Earth is Limited by Gravity, Surface Area and the Biosphere. Space Colonies could Upload themselves to Digital Utopias or Build O'Neill Cylinders with Earth-Like Conditions, whilst Earthbound Countries have to be Careful to not Disrupt the Ecosystem too much. Finally, Megastructures like Magnetically Levitating Orbital Rings (2), Launch Loops (3), Space Tethers (4) and Space Elevators (5) would make Travel from Earth to Space and Around the Solar System Fast and Dirt Cheap. In Summary, I believe that once we have Self-Sufficient Space Colonies, AGI and good Tech, things will move Relatively Quick. Orbital rings allowing Literal Trains into Space, a Lunar Megalopolis, O'Neill Cylinders at the L4 and L5 Lagrange Point, Rapidly Expanding Outer Solar System Colonies, Mind Uploading, ect... Our Future among the Stars will be Extremely Bright, Grand, Huge and Certainly Not Centered around Earth after more than 1000 Years or so.(6) Sources: (1):ruclips.net/video/pP44EPBMb8A/видео.html (2): en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orbital_ring (3): en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Launch_loop (4): en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space_tether (5): en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space_elevator (6) ruclips.net/video/VIMV6E8OxG8/видео.html (watch this Video to get a Sense of there I'm coming from)
@@death_paradeThe first Comment in this Thread of Replies to the Comment I made about the Video? It seems like RUclips is hiding some comments/Replies from you. Either that or I misunderstood what you meant with "Comment" and "Reply".
You should make a video also about the far future, in which humanity is at the brink of exhausting resources in the solar system, like maybe in 10 thousand years or so
Excellent analysis and scenery building. In a previous prospective exercise I came to the same conclussions. Setting up space exploration infrastructure off Earth is essential in any expansion though the solar system. I hope the Chinese prove successful in their plans to establishing a lunar base by 2040. By the way, when it comes to forming a sustainable alternate habitat I would choose Europa instead of mars.
I enjoyed this very much! Tell us more on this space lore like what new sciences and technologies would be invented, breakthroughs on them and integration of AI/robots in all this. Also what new events would happen in the universe (info on black holes, nebulae. maybe death of a star etc)? I believe humans in some planets close to Earth's atmosphere like Titan and Europa would be genetically modified to have no problem living without special suits.
Mercury could host civilization in its polar craters. But it's incredibly expensive to travel to without gravity assists. It requires almost as much Delta-V as going from Earth's surface to orbit. And with gravity assists, the travel time can be as much as 7-8 years. So I doubt it would be a civilizational hotspot. I overlooked it in this video, but I imagine it being settled similarly to Pluto. Either temporarily inhabited, or only smaller permanent settlements. Venus on the other hand, I think would be limited to science outposts. Yes, the environment in its upper atmosphere is great. But all the resources are on the surface, which is inaccessible. So maintaining a floating city would be crazy expensive with only resources from other planets. Plausible though, sure. You could drop resources from other planets with parachutes and catch them at the floating outpost. But you would be pretty stuck there, launching into orbit from there is similar in cost to launching from Earth's surface since it almost has the same gravity. It's only the getting there part that's cheap like I showed in the video, leaving is costly. So other places are in my opinion just much better for settlement. I should still have covered them though.
@@Neatling Plenty of carbon dioxide and nitrogen to collect in the atmosphere. That CO2 could be used to build the habitats and provide oxygen , and the nitrogen could be exported. Plenty of solar power too. Maybe mass drivers could help ships reach orbit, and metals could be provided by asteroids.
![I.N "HALLUCINATION" | [Stray Kids : SKZ-PLAYER]](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/n5B5q1Hwt_U/mqdefault.jpg)
You should make a series about an alternate future of space colonization, it would be pretty neat
Like interstellar human civilization.
definitly
Agreed
Please do
Yes
I like this scenario. Not unreasonable but also optimistic
Very optimistic. Nothing wrong with that tho
@@IC3XR agreed
Нет! Ужасно, как создатель думает, что Россия станет слабой, ее пропаганда со стороны европейцев, как обычно. 😢😠
@@isaacbourdeau3167
It lacks the takeover of artificial superintelligence in the near future, but humans are more fun.
THE UNAGING solution? That's super sci-fy.
Finally some optimism in this dark age
Everywhere I go I see pessimistic predictions about the end of civilization but u really made my day! Here's to the future!
by the 2200s much of the solar system will be colonized by humans from the planet earth
Yeah “realism” is way too negative. We need some optimism or we are lost.
@@rustyshackleford234 realism is just people pretending that their depression actually have a point but in reality they're just pessimistic and depressed
@@magicalmagicmagician5223Realism and Idealism is equally important in human society.
@@Robweisenhowser because they contradict each other
A few small gripes.
2200's Mars would be a "wet desert" in that there is enough water to run a small hydrosystem but no plants worth mentioning, and the water is toxic.
Venus underutilized, cloud seeded algae farms would serve nicely to transfer nitrogen to Mars.
@@ganieraorison6192 Algae that floats in the nitrogen rich clouds and is harvested with trolley ships and compressed for nitrate rich nutrient bars and fed to martians and have them poop out good fertilizer is key to a interplanetary economy.
@@akigreus9424Interesting…
@@akigreus9424that’s a really good idea
As someone who’s also been obsessing over our future in space for the past few years, I like this, we seem to have converged on a lot of ideas (I especially like the idea of exploring a semi-post-scarcity society). I’d be interested to see how you think the Moon and Mars will look into the 23rd century, as I’ve imagined them as having different colonial territories and/or slowly breaking off into their own nations
If I expand on this scenario at some point I may focus more on the various political entities throughout the solar system and how they're structured. As for what I actually think, I'm very uncertain, which is why I think this "alternate history" format works great, as I can just guess and make assumptions. In this scenario as of 2200 I image the political entities of the Moon are very closely tied to Earth. The United Nations has been restructured, veto rights are gone, and it actually has real power, functioning as a loose confederation akin to the European Union. The Lunar Council, now a unified federal republic, is a member of the United Nations just like the EU, China or North American Union.
The Lunar Council is their means of resolving local disputes, and how all Moon colonies are represented at the UN. But political entities overlap, with Earth nations retaining the rights to use infrastructure on the moon to some capacity, as its how they colonize the solar system without being tied down by expensive Earth launches. So I think it would be a mix. By 2200 I think almost all decisions would be made locally on the moon through some framework like a Lunar Council, as well as smaller subdivisions, while Earth nations would keep some sort of loose ties to their Lunar settlements in order to maintain acces to their space infrastructure.
I’d imagine it would be similar to European colonies in the Americas but without the natives and wouldn’t be looked back upon as horrific. Slowly these martians and lunar men will culturally become more and more different than the mother country that their colony is ruled by. Eventually they’ll secede and become solar system powers themselves. Heck, one might mirror the United States and become the most powerful and influential nation in the system.
@@Neatling Hi, couldn't Brazil have a space colony too???
You should turn this into a mapping series, with a video for every decade or so. I would love to see how each country grows and evolves.
GREAT suggestion. Everybody loves maps!
YES
Alternate Future history is awesome
As Indonesian i love how you put Indonesia as top 5 world power out of nowhere and didn't bother to explain it unlike another 4 countryside
In context of space travel it should have been japan.
The scope of the video just grew and grew, the flickering effects and solar system map in particular, took a lot of work. So at some point I just decided to finish the video. I do regret not including it though, only would've taken a couple more hours.
As for the explanation, though, it's a country with a lot of potential. Southeast Asia broadly is growing rapidly. I wouldn't be surprised if a couple notable powers arise there in the coming century.
@@Smilemonster1912 japan won't be very relevant in the future, they have experience but they're losing power rapidly, paved the way for a booming countries like indonesia to replace them, at this point the future scenario of indonesia become one of major space powers in the future become very likely to happen.
@@_martian101 Vietnam is promising too. Maybe it’ll democratize and more countries would invest into it. It’s already an ally with the U.S., maybe they’ll pressure them out of communism?
@@rustyshackleford234 Many southeast Asian countries are promising, but Indonesia will be the one that joining 5 biggest economy list in the future, so Indonesia is more likely to have large scale space industry, just like 5 biggest economy countries today, plus Indonesia is a neutral country and have close relations to all space powers which greatly help them to build their own space industry, especially China that potentially will give Indonesia a significant amount of technological transfer
I might not agree with some details (Mainly some of the population stuff’s far future projections) or certain geopolitical developments (Russia remaining a major world power, The NAU not being a greater USA) but overall this is a reasonable head-cannon for the future.
It's a speculative scenario thinking of the less sad things
It’s certain that Russia will at least remain a decently strong force. the separation into multiple states of what we call Russia now is highly unlikely, every time there has been an attempt of doing so it has come back to a similar level of power and form
@kenos911 there is a very good chance that Russia will have fewer than 100 million people by the end of the century. Current Russian power is merely a fading remnant of Soviet power.
@@kenos911 Always Weaker
Russia is not a world power. It just thinks it is.
Honestly You need a Part 2 on this, Events happening between 2300's to 2500's. and what possible new nations might occur
Starship, Stellaris music and just space in general! This is an awesome video!
As a native of the Moon Titan, we don’t need humans here. We are fine without them present out here.
You have oil tho? We comin
@@jagdawgii929 then come and take it Terran
FOR THE EMPEROR!!!!
No Xenos!!
@@jagdawgii929it’s actually just methane and ethane in some liquid lakes. Still would be hella useful for fuel nonetheless
love the quality of your content
This is genius. Please make a series on this!
You just perfectly combined my two favorite subject matters! Bravo, you have definately earnt my sub for as much as that is worth lmao.
I wish this was longer, amazing vid!!
Definitely many countries you overestimate or underestimate, and the predictions overall are iffy at best.
Though it is cool to see this kind of content.
which countries did he overestimate?
I think he may have overestimated China and Russia. Though with the anti-aging stuff solves their largest problem, population collapse. But who knows if we’d actually invent that. He may have just used it to keep Russia and China in the story which I’m all for. The U.S. needs some enemies to compete against to actually achieve stuff nowadays lmao
@@rustyshackleford234 US does have a penchant for inventing enemies when it runs out of them. So I wouldn't be too worried about that.
@@death_parade we have to or else we’ll start hating each other lmao
@@rustyshackleford234 anti-aging is common futurism trope, but I wouldn't count on that just yet. Maybe I will live to see that, maybe it won't work for my generation, maybe there are other restrictions, maybe it won't come for several more centuries, maybe Alien AI invades... lot of unknowns.
DAMN, what a good video man! Love all of it, mainly the asthethics looks sooo coool man, nice work!
Very good video would love to see more content related to these parameters possibly exploring the individual history of each colony
I think this is somewhat of a best case scenario and I'm 100% here for it. :)
This is NOT the best case. This is an optimistic view, but it isn’t the best case by a long shot
This reminds me a lot of The Expanse, which I think is the most accurate depiction of what our future could look like. Great job!
You put music from Stellaris! Great video as always
I'm writing a sci-fi universe called "Ikanis Universe" with a friend and I really liked the way you treated this alternate future. Right now I am in the process of researching futurology in numerous places, in addition to reading books on the subject.
Also my search is on the internet, looking for pages on this topic, and watching videos like these as a way to base myself on the data given here to create the future of the science fiction universe that my friend and I are creating, it seems. As for the idea presented here, I have a very similar vision about the future of today in 200 years.
I have seen the previous parts of this video and they are very good, I rely on a part of it for my science fiction universe as well as other sources where I look for guidance and inspiration for it.
Thank you very much and good video :D
I am also writing a book with the same topic. Does the Ikanis Universe depict a realistic approach of mankind in the future?
@@tom_skip3523
My friend and I who are working on the project try to be as realistic as possible.
Although in reality this universe is utopian science fiction in some aspects, like Star Trek, not in all but in some, such as showing that humanity and the Earth evolved to be a better civilization in the centuries to come. But it's also about dystopian and dark themes.
There are several things that I could consider realistic to the point of being hard science fiction, such as the space battles that we make realistic. While in other things there are aspects of this that could be considered speculative and fantastic, because there are quite a few exotic concepts like parallel universes and alternative timelines, or beings of great cosmic powers.
The Ikanis Universe is divided into three parallel realities called Nuclei: N1, N1.1 and N2, the main realities, although there are 7 in total, and other multiverses, within a Multiverse called "The Registry" by a brane hypercomputer created by a type six civilization that records numerous past, present and even future events from across the multiverse.
By the way, the name of the universe "Ikanis" comes from the name of the protagonist, "Ikanis Calinner", a human-like alien woman, artificially created in a laboratory as a project of an alien species also human-like, called the Sanssahar.
If you are interested in knowing more about this universe, keep contacting me, thank you. And I have a blog, on the blogger platform where we publish the stories of this universe and others of our authorship, you can find the link in the links on my RUclips channel.
By the way, my native language is not English, it is Spanish, the blog is in Spanish, but right now I am trying to translate our stories into English so that more people can read them. I'm also learning English.
By the way, now I ask, what is your universe about? Greetings.
@@Alcyon_C That sounds great! Congratulations on getting this far already. I love sci fi utopias and dystopias. Keep up the good work sounds very interesting.
Am German btw, nice to meet you :)
About my story. I'm planning a sci fi story in several parts. At the time of the prequel we are in the 23rd century. Humanity, which has evolved more and more into a united species and has already colonized many planets and moons in the solar system with a lot of trade between the colonies and Earth. A dyson sphere is currently being built, but it is far from finished.
In any case, humanity is starting a project to spread humanity throughout the galaxy. :)
So much for the backstory, don't want to give too much away. The real story is about a girl born in a colony as part of the project.
There is a really dystopian ending, at least for the 1st part. So much for that :D
I'm currently doing a lot of research and philosophizing. Long time project.
@@tom_skip3523
Thank you very much, really what motivates us the most is seeing that other people like what we write. I'm from Mexico, great pleasure too.
Your story is interesting, it seems that humanity reached a class II civilization quite quickly by already having a Dyson sphere under construction around the Sun. It seems that humanity is in a golden age. Something I wonder about is that there are other alien species, in addition to this galactic colonization project.
I understand, I don't want to reveal too much of my backstory either. And you already have a character, that girl born in space. I would love to read about the universe. Right now the Ikanis Universe of me and my friend have started writing the first book, we plan to send it to a publisher, and we are also trying to find a way to copyright our writings since it is something very important.
In short, these types of projects require a lot of patience, research and philosophizing as you indicate.
Greetings :D
@@Alcyon_C Exactly :) Have a good day and weeks and months :D
I like how Indonesia is considered as a viable space colonial power but not Russia. It makes sense but it's pretty hilarious.
Like the population growth and economic growth as well as very suitable location for launching space ships makes a lot of sense
He explained it quite well in the video. There is a big chance of a power struggle if Putin dies. And like he said if there is in this case a big chance for China to try to influence the results and in this case Russia will become less relevant on it's own but will be part of the Chinese sphere of influence.
Russia: the Portugal of Space
@@k.umquat8604 Insult to Portugal
@@Terranallias18 I meant the Portuguese Empire, not modern day Portugal
Interesting and rich video. Thank you!
Pretty much the expanse lmao. I can visualize the scenario but I also feel other externalities will come into play that either heavily hinder the timeline of space colonization or possibly accelerate it.
I new exactly when that MCRN flag was used
He specifically said no OPA type BS will form.
I know that this was 5 months ago but it's genuinely so interesting and well made! I hope you make it into a series. I know it may get "crazier" as time goes on but it'd be interesting and certain "crazy" things might seem less crazy in the further future.
This is essentially The Expanse lore
But without the United planet trope.
To say that no interstellar missions have been attempted by the 2200s is a gross underestimation of the future.
They might have been attempted, but would be hardly relevant to this scneario, would they?
We may have means to maybe send a probe to Alpha Centauri (with big price tag), but until fusion drive works as advertised I wouldn't bet on anything bigger going there. A colony needs to have 2000 people at the very least minimum, unless we send an AI ship and androids act as parents for the vat babies (artificial womb, 3D bio-printer). Even that wouldn't change the politics, besides having a colony somewhere out there.
it took 50+ years just to go back to the moon
@@PaulZyCZthe Alcubierre drive and fusion power aren’t as far off as you seem to believe. Recently a fusion research lab achieved fusion at around 1/3 gross power gain, only problem is the power waste to get there. The Alcubierre drive also has seen some development with the power required dropping substantially to the point that a. Fusion reactor is all that’s needed to utilize it theoretically, no testing has occurred yet. Quantum computing is seeing a lot of progress as well to guide and control a faster than light ship. It’s all happening, it may take 50 years but it will happen
@@giovannibini6809because the moon is a big rock that we’ve already been to. We also have rovers going back there to study whatever we need. The only reason to go back would be to mine or colonize it, and we haven’t had the tech for that until recently
Seriously, I really like how you go in-depth with the future state of Earth politics; particularly with how the United States eventually subsumes the provinces of Canada and the states of Mexico (Granted, I do think Greenland would eventually become another state in the union given how much it resents the Netherlands for not paying attention to its needs and it'd probably be taken care of by the US due to vested interests in the Arctic).
I think that with the onset of anti-aging medicines and the rise of personalized medicines (thanks to the protein folding problem being solved by AI) and CRISPR, it's not too far off to suggest that personal gene-editing of the human race by choice is out of the picture. Certain attributes to make selected individuals be more suited for long voyage space missions around the solar system and even beyond into interstellar exploration missions. In any case, I hope this becomes a series!
Sad to born in this time
Heck, the U.S. has offered to buy Greenland from Denmark recently but the Danes refused. Maybe someday it’ll be ours…
@@rustyshackleford234 Well, given the proximity to the US and that Greenland has been looking to be independent from Denmark for a while because they've felt neglected makes it seem like they're looking for a new country to act on its behalf and provide resources for them. Greenland's next parliamentary election is coming next year so I think it's a fair shot to assume that they'll try to vote for independence by then.
@@macwarrenconnor Do you really know anything about local Greenlandic politics? They are very much against becoming a part of the US, they want more autonomy from Denmark yes (not the Netherlands, as you first said in your comment), but they also do know they do not have a large enough population to serve themselves with their current local economy, security and infrastructure and so would much rather continue being part of Denmark.
You sound clueless
@@mommoffa they are going to vote out of being part of Denmark because of how little Denmark is taking a part in their nation’s affairs, and both Canada and the US are much closer to provide support from them than Denmark would.
This is literally in the far future, you just sound like a dolt that thinks they’re smarter than they really are.
Really liked this scenario. You are one of the only creators I know who competently uses AI generated images, both fittingly and tastefully. This in combination with your beautiful maps which are a combinations of realistic and yet beautiful borders make for some of the best contents on the site.
TL;DR: Great vid, dawg. Hello from Sweden.
That was a fun & interesting watch, well done 👍
For the North America country, a better flag would be something along the lines of a horizontal tricolor of a red stripe on top, a blue stripe in the middle, and a green stripe on the bottom.
and three stars in the middle
if it is based on the EU model why not use a similar flag with different colors? White flag with red, blu and green stars
@@giovannibini6809that’s more viable but not a great looking flag. Considering the US would very likely dominate the union a flag incorporating the colors of all 3 with 3 stripes and stars representing the states (or whatever they become) of each nation is most likely, as each nation does have a federal government and it’s likely that this union would also follow an American style republic
That would look awful. But the flag he has makes it look like a Mexican country which is extremely wrong
Stelaris music on the background is just on point.
I'd love to see a similar scenario about the future but in a world where nuclear apocalypse happens and civilization survives in bunkers
This has lead to a future I did not think about, a split between people living in the void or on lighter worlds traveling wherever while people from heavy worlds are for all intents and purposes largely trapped.
This will age well
And testing of reusable rockets just succeeded lately
Please make a part 2 of this.
Already have!
@@Neatlingwow you have? When will it release?
@@KVUAA Part 2 is here: ruclips.net/video/IkzY9Pzc5gM/видео.html
I'm also working on a third installment, which should be out some time in January
No countries, only *UNIFIED HUMAN EMPIRE*
Impossible tbh.
Homo sapien ape alliance
Yes but maybe in 500 years
@@8.4.8.2 nope, would take about 1 millenia, a Unified human empire is unrealistic.
No thanks. We are not interested.
Curing of anit aging would be nice
Not immortal but able to still live young and be able to work and enjoy life and not be force to retire be nice.
Or at least to slow the degradation of our genes with age
entropy forbids immortality but it seems an end of aging, or at least indefinite lifespans is very plausible this century.
It was an amazing, difficult but realistic scenario, I really love it, it's even perfect for a book. But I have one tiny question, is the anti-aging treatment you mention based on the one explained in the Red Mars book saga?
Thanks! It's actually just based on real world efforts which I find interesting, and imagine could lead to an eventual complete curing of ageing. From what I can gather scientists have successfully not just prevented, but also reversed ageing in mice through gene therapy. So I don't think it's that big a leap to say we may do the same in humans this century. Perhaps first in our pets, so we can have them with us for longer. Then the ultra wealthy will have acces to it, and then eventually the general population.
In this scenario specifically I imagine wealthy ageing societies like Europe, Japan, China and North America offer the treatment either freely or cheaply through government subsidies to their populations, in order to avoid the worst affects of collapsing birth rates. But in poorer countries it would probably be more difficult to get acces to, some countries might even restrict the acces to anti ageing medication because their populations are growing too much.
@@Neatlingone of the only things I done really agree with is the anti aging medication, I think that's a bit too far fetched for the next 100-200 years. It is technically possible though.
@@NeatlingAre you sure you've seen studies where they've managed to prevent aging in a mouse? I've definitely seen the studies about reversing age, they are fascinating and 100% legit but haven't heard of anyone PREVENTING aging in mice.
@@alexander-5848The biggest hurdle right now in Aging science is the astronomical amount of data needed to predict protein folding and the mechanisms involved in the process of aging. Our current systems are incapable of managing this and we're still collecting the neccesary data but AI will 100% become advanced enough in as little as a decade of time.
After that, it's basically just collecting data and letting the AI do its thing with enough compute. The AI will predict new, as of yet unknown proteins which will result in a LOT of new medications and let us better understand how proteins behave in our bodies.
Preventing aging altogether is, I agree here, at least a century away but with AI spearheading the number crunching which we desperately need, we'll extend our lifetimes by decades if not a century. That means that we'll keep extending our lives as long as it's needed for proper gene editing to be perfected and let us finally cure aging.
This is already starting, really. Over the last few years, thousands(if I remember correctly) of new biomed companies have been opening up with their mission being curing aging or at least extending life. As of yet, it's only really billionaires funding these in hopes of extending their lives but it should start picking up steam once research gets going.
These future solar system colonization thoughts are so much fun to listen to. Thank you for this. I wonder if we'll manage to do something comparable.
God be with you out there everybody. ✝️ :)
Had been fun if you made scenario like this video, but with the orion-drive as a foundation to faster (mayby interstellar) space travel.
Amazing video btw ; )
Edit, spelling
And it all changed when Humanity activated the Charon relay.
Mass Effect reference
Bro hit us with the Gundam Newtype Theory
Really nice and creative scenario 👍
I feel like the US uniting with Mexico is always done in scifi scenarios. I think a LatAm union that incorporates Mexico is more realistic. Maybe there would be a conflict over trade between the US and LatAm when Mexico joins them. I think a cultural union of the anglo states (US, UK, Canada, Australia, and NZ) makes more sense for the US too
A union of the Hispanic world or the Iberian-speaking countries is more realistic than Latin America, In Spanish-speaking countries a movement is starting that could be translated as "Hispanism" Which can be very strong if it continues to expand, thanks to the internet this ideology could easily enter politics, It is literally creating a Spanish empire 2.0, but in phases that would last decades, Milei won the presidency due to the corruption of the corrupt Argentine governments and his popularity on the internet, Hispanism, being a decentralized ideology, So it can be adapted to communism, protectionism, ancap, etc.
I disagree. You’re thinking culturally and not economically, politically, geographically, diplomatically, etc etc. Mexico and the US are already melding culturally. The “immigrant crisis” isn’t being overblown, most states along the border have a substantial Mexican population, and the same will happen as he said in the video in reverse to Mexico as they stabilize. There’s also the issue of LatAms instability and Americas already strong position, if Mexico had to choose today they’d choose the US and it isn’t odd for them to do the same in future. Maybe a LATNAU would form between Mexico, the Central Americans and the Caribbean states that may then join a NAU, but I think the NAU is inevitable in some form, especially as cultural divides weaken
@oldylad you make a fair, if uncomfortable point. I agree that the current immigration crisis could completely change the cultural fabric of the US, if it hasn't started already. However, with the rise of strict anti immigration politicians and rhetoric, it's not impossible to think that the trend could be halted or even reversed with the original cultural ties being restored. Birth rates are also collapsing throughout Latin America and the Hispanic population in America. While it still might be more realistic for a north american union, I was perhaps yearning for something different. An alternate future where cultural norms and values don't decline.
Legally, Mexico is much closer to merging with USA than it is with Latin America
@stevenroshni1228 In economic terms, sure. But politically and socially, it's still pretty far off. I don't see the economic ties ever fading away but as the Anglosphere grows more and more skeptical of immigration and concerned more with cultural preservation, I don't think a full on political union with Mexico is as likely as portrayed in the sci fi genre. I said previously that a LatAm union would be more realistic but perhaps that's not true either as there are many major disagreements between these nations and they have widely different cultures and societies. I would need to research more into though. I wonder if the difference between American and British culture is smaller than the difference between say Argentine and Colombian culture. I've only ever been to Mexico and Costa Rica and while there are similarities, I was able to pick up on many differences with even my miniscule capability of the Spanish language. Anyways those are my thoughts, sorry for ranting lmao
This is super entertaining!
Cool video.
Consider doing an alternate future on what if the "Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (the AMOC)" collapsed. Like in the Day After Tomorrow movie but realistic and gradual.
What software do you use to make your maps on earth?
I use Photoshop for all my maps
8:42 the USA would still hold most of the power and domination of the union. Canada won’t be able to catch up because it’s mostly uninhabitable and it wouldn’t be able to grow faster than the USA.
Definitely a truly quality content.
Is that the Mars flag from The Expanse? 14:32
It is!
I really love this series
This was pretty cool.
Gave me goosebumps and hope for future. Nice video
im begging you, please expand this!! it sounds so cool :D
Another bonus of anti-aging methods is genom fixes for low gravity. This is a hugh hurdle for space colonization
keep this topic going
MAKE A PART 2
I liked this and found that the ideas you presented are the same ideas that I have when I think into the future of our civilization and space colonization
Hey, what if Earth becomes just one big country?.
Not gonna happen. Ever. Nope. Never. We Indians won't allow it. We've had enough of globalists killing our culture.
That is communism end goal, fyi. Yet it is seen as evil.
We whould be more advance if we work together
I love the green boxes with additional information
I feel like a lot of this will happen on a timeline quicker than we would think.
Why? Go into more detail please
I agree. Why? Because of singularity. Need a better why? Whatever religion was going on about.
Private space companies in the future will play a important role in space expansion. While space agencies lead the way in space exploration, they can be hampered by bureaucracy and political setback. I feel like private space companies have an advantage with profit motive incentives like orbital launches from SpaceX and alike. One day, private space companies will send interplanetary payloads to other planets Like SpaceX is attempting to do with Mars and other companies like Rocket lab are planning to send a payload to Venus to study Venus's atmosphere with their own privately built rockets.
@@digitaldud3664 Because exponential growth is what we are undergoing right now and we humans are the best when it comes to underestimating/not understanding the nature of exponential growth.
@@icarus387 Indeed, the nature of space exploration in the future will shift from government space agency centric to private merchant centric combined with governments shifting focus to space security through space forces, rather than doing the space missions themselves.
2:00 - Don't forget more advanced launching systems. Some cargos can "yeet" in space at 1000 G, such as using orbital cannon or Spinlaunch. There's ongoing research towards the orbital elevator. Using active support (think bouncing castle, but with molten iron instead of air) it's possible to build other launching megastructures. Orbital ring seems like the best 1960's science approach towards daily commute to LEO or even evacuating Earth if it comes to that (same colony ships as A.C.Clarke envisioned). It may turn out the Orbital ring is easier to build than Elevator, although politics may play against it.
There are also other conceptual ways to get in space, which often seem like UFO: For example there's induction-based engine NASA is already testing in satelites, but like atmospheric ion engines it may require serious advances in superconductor and material engineering. More down-to earth approach is using laser instead of the oxidizer. If I remember right, the proposal claimed instead 90 % reduction of the rocket mass. So a ship like Starship would deliver kilotons of cargo in one go or instead of 500 $/kg it would be 50 $/kg.
Want a dirt cheap electricity from space? See Mars Valineris up close at Christmas? Move to Epsilon Eridani, after spending few decades in cryo and never look back, once the new optimized fusion starliner launches? We are so close yet so far, but it's possible.
This makes wanna live more even if my life isn't that good just to see something like this happen would be great
Hi Neatling! I don't know if you will notice my comment, but some time ago I came across an article about the fact that the Anglo-Saxons had a colony in the Crimea which was called New England, they founded it supposedly after the Norman conquest of England in 1066, there are some sources out there that confirm this but there is no exact certainty. I would like to ask you, will there be a video with an alternative history at your place as if this would actually happen? I am curious about your opinion, greetings!
i love it when you do videos like this!
I love the flags you made for the different planets/moons/dwarf planets.
This Video is Awesome, it would be Nice if there would some more Videos coming About this Topic
10:37 Belarus is firmly allied with Russia for centuries to come, this is a weird part of the video lol
Yeah no, it can be said about their leader Alexander Lukashenko but from what the population has been demanding for few years now i certainly doubt that if they saw an opportunity they wouldn't go for it to be independant
Lol what? What alliance in history has lasted for centuries? Let alone in a deeply poverty stricken and politically unstable country like Belarus
@@hazb8026 Portugal
@@KiraiKatsuji Portugal isn't an alliance. It's a country. You mean with the UK. But the UK and Portugal have multiple common interests like balancing Spain/Ireland.
Meanwhile Belarus actively has it's national interest worked against by Russia
@@hazb8026 Portugal is an alliance of empty land and a big coastline, but in seriousness yes i meant Portugal and England/UK as you asked which alliance in history lasted centuries so i gave you portugal and it also is politically unstable for a long time and poor
Nice job explaining Change Velocity (Delta V)
If I may ask where did you get the idea that we would develop technology that would reverse and prevent aging, and how long would the average human live in this future world.
Excellent work! Congratulations 👏 👏👏👏👏👏👏 this is a pretty neat and well researched video. I've shared it a lot.
I friggen love the classic analytical green matrix’s
Soooooooooooo....basically we have a plot of "The Expanse"....highly recommend it...one of the best sci-fi shows ever
You should do a part 2 maybe about the future minor powers?
Space Mongolia like in subnautica!
Ok so this was pretty neat but what about going beyond our home system? Would be intersting to see how a civilization tries to keep together when even the speed of light is too slow to reasonably communicate between the stars.
Loved this
Good video, but this is only assuming the world doesn't get crazier than it currently is and that the status quo is more or less maintained. Could you do a video where the current earth crisis runs its course and shakes up the world order and dedollarization and all that, and then space travel takes off.
Where does Latin America fit into this?
I feel like another dwarf planet that should have been mentioned is Eris, like pluto not a lot of ppl will live there but it could be a good outpost for mining the kuiper belt. It would also be interesting how things will look like once we colonize alpha centauri
No United Earth or Federation :(
Good
love it🎉
welp we just got reusable rockets i think
I like how the narrator assumes the UK will be in the European Union again by 2100.
I hope Middle Eastern, African and South American Countries get to establish their own Space Colonies in the future
God made humans so our glorious species would conquer the stars
Plese make this into a more comprehensive series pleasse
It'd be interesting if Indonesia managed to form ASEAN into a union or at least limited union. That would make a regional cold war between Indonesia and china, and it would make sense for japan korea and australia to rethink their sides in the declining us order. It would also be ideal to see more resurgence for middle eastern nation and south america.
Indonesia is Muslim, we won’t allow it to lead ASEAN.
@@JohnDoe-sw1rsWdym we are Muslim? Just because we are the majority doesnt mean our whole system based on Islam sharia law
@@KVUAA You guys let Aceh practice sharia law, no other southeast Asian nation would allow that. Malaysia’s also ruled by like 7 sultans rotating constantly so it’s a mess that’s getting colonized by China
@@JohnDoe-sw1rs We let them? We literally fought against their guerilla campaign rebellion for decades since the 70s to early 2000, at it peaks during Indonesia instability period after the 97 Asia Financial crises, Fall of Suharto, and 2004 Indian Ocean Tsunami is when we decided to negotiate with compromise to given them amnesty and granting special autonomy.
Really Good! Though, I'd like to Point out (in my Opinion) a Flaw in your Final note:
1. Assuming Good Automation with AGI in the Future, as well as Semi-Equal Distribution of Resources, a kind of FALSC (Fully Automated Luxury Space Communism) Society would Develop.
I'm also Assuming that Good Technology would allow us to Extract and Use the Resources of Any Patch of Space Rock Larger than a City Block.
With AGI(and Potentially ASI) we could Relatively Rapidly Develop Advanced Technologies like Biological Immortality, Quick ISRU and small- Scale Self-Sufficiency, Cybernetic Augmentations, Digital Consciousness Uploading, Comfortable Space Habitats, ect...
Such a Society would see Rapid Growth in Colonies for the Simple Reason that there are lots of Resources, we have the Technology to Efficiently Extract and use them and Everyone in the Colony has the Material interest to do so. Whilst Earth would still be a Paradise where we Evolved, many wouldn't need it anymore. Some (Digital Consciousnesses) would Probably Actually find it more Comfortable to Live inside some Icy Asteroid where they Could mine the "Ice" for Nuclear Fusion Energy and Run their Computers at much Lower and More Efficient Temperatures.
If such is the Case, Places like the Moon and Ceres would become Megalopolises, Constructing O'Neill Cylinders and other Megastructures.
Additionally, Utilizing Self- Replicating Robots, it would be Relatively Easy to Build a Dyson Swarm, giving Access to Virtually Limitless Energy and Destructive Potential (1).
Furthermore, even if such a Megastructure is Hard or Impossible, Nuclear Fusion, with Deuterium or other Fuel mined from Space "Ice", Energy would also be Trivially Cheap, giving Access to Expanse-Style Propulsion.
Now, given the Picture of a Virtual(ly) Utopian Space Civilization with Limitless Energy, Easy Ability to Self-Replicate and Everyone having the Material interest to mine Space, what do you think will happen?
Will we stay Content with our reach and Stay Mostly Around Earth,
or
will we see Rapid Resource Extraction and Resource Utilization of the Bodys in our Solar System?
I Personally think that the Latter Option is more Realistic. Space Colonies would have next to no Limit on their Expansion, while Civilization on Earth is Limited by Gravity, Surface Area and the Biosphere.
Space Colonies could Upload themselves to Digital Utopias or Build O'Neill Cylinders with Earth-Like Conditions, whilst Earthbound Countries have to be Careful to not Disrupt the Ecosystem too much.
Finally, Megastructures like Magnetically Levitating Orbital Rings (2), Launch Loops (3), Space Tethers (4) and Space Elevators (5) would make Travel from Earth to Space and Around the Solar System Fast and Dirt Cheap.
In Summary, I believe that once we have Self-Sufficient Space Colonies, AGI and good Tech, things will move Relatively Quick. Orbital rings allowing Literal Trains into Space, a Lunar Megalopolis, O'Neill Cylinders at the L4 and L5 Lagrange Point, Rapidly Expanding Outer Solar System Colonies, Mind Uploading, ect... Our Future among the Stars will be Extremely Bright, Grand, Huge and Certainly Not Centered around Earth after more than 1000 Years or so.(6)
Sources:
(1):ruclips.net/video/pP44EPBMb8A/видео.html
(2): en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orbital_ring
(3): en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Launch_loop
(4): en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space_tether
(5): en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space_elevator
(6) ruclips.net/video/VIMV6E8OxG8/видео.html (watch this Video to get a Sense of there I'm coming from)
This comment is underrated.
Ah, a fellow Issac Arthur enjoyer!
@@death_paradePerhaps you made an Extensive Reply to my comment, aldough it seems to have been deleted. Could you perhaps please Reiterate it?
@@Astrokratie Err....I don't understand. Where is your comment that I replied to? It seems that this is your first comment on this thread.
@@death_paradeThe first Comment in this Thread of Replies to the Comment I made about the Video? It seems like RUclips is hiding some comments/Replies from you.
Either that or I misunderstood what you meant with "Comment" and "Reply".
I like the idea that each of the main planets is like its own region, and the colonies on their moons.
You should make a video also about the far future, in which humanity is at the brink of exhausting resources in the solar system, like maybe in 10 thousand years or so
I like these videos
15:31 I love Saturns flag
Excellent analysis and scenery building. In a previous prospective exercise I came to the same conclussions. Setting up space exploration infrastructure off Earth is essential in any expansion though the solar system. I hope the Chinese prove successful in their plans to establishing a lunar base by 2040. By the way, when it comes to forming a sustainable alternate habitat I would choose Europa instead of mars.
I enjoyed this very much! Tell us more on this space lore like what new sciences and technologies would be invented, breakthroughs on them and integration of AI/robots in all this. Also what new events would happen in the universe (info on black holes, nebulae. maybe death of a star etc)? I believe humans in some planets close to Earth's atmosphere like Titan and Europa would be genetically modified to have no problem living without special suits.
Tbh that feels a lot like the future of the expanse
It seems quite optimistic. I hope things move in that direction.
We either go in this direction, or we wipe ourselves out. Let’s hope it’s the former.
What about the polar craters of Mercury or the cloudtops of Venus?
Mercury could host civilization in its polar craters. But it's incredibly expensive to travel to without gravity assists. It requires almost as much Delta-V as going from Earth's surface to orbit. And with gravity assists, the travel time can be as much as 7-8 years. So I doubt it would be a civilizational hotspot. I overlooked it in this video, but I imagine it being settled similarly to Pluto. Either temporarily inhabited, or only smaller permanent settlements.
Venus on the other hand, I think would be limited to science outposts. Yes, the environment in its upper atmosphere is great. But all the resources are on the surface, which is inaccessible. So maintaining a floating city would be crazy expensive with only resources from other planets. Plausible though, sure. You could drop resources from other planets with parachutes and catch them at the floating outpost. But you would be pretty stuck there, launching into orbit from there is similar in cost to launching from Earth's surface since it almost has the same gravity. It's only the getting there part that's cheap like I showed in the video, leaving is costly.
So other places are in my opinion just much better for settlement. I should still have covered them though.
@@Neatling I hoped a Mercury will be someday a great forgeworld 😢
Mercury and Venus will enjoy an energy advantage.
@@Neatling Plenty of carbon dioxide and nitrogen to collect in the atmosphere. That CO2 could be used to build the habitats and provide oxygen , and the nitrogen could be exported. Plenty of solar power too. Maybe mass drivers could help ships reach orbit, and metals could be provided by asteroids.
@@richardpavlov442 It could be, once we get better engines.