Pulitzer Prize Predictions for Fiction 2023
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- Опубликовано: 12 сен 2024
- It's time! Time to see if I can predict what book will win the 2023 Pulitzer Prize for Fiction. I'll run through likely and unlikely candidates and make a guess at who the ultimate winner will be. Expand for more information. 👇
The winner will be announced on May 8: www.pulitzer.o...
Links 💻
My Full Post for My Prediction: supposedlyfun....
Further Viewing 🎥
The ALA Notable Titles for 2022: • Reacting to the ALA No...
Last Year’s Winner Reaction: • Pulitzer Prize for Fic...
My Favorite Reads of 2022: • The Best Books of 2022
The NY Times Top 10 Books of 2022: • The New York Times Boo...
The Washington Post’s Top 10 Books of 2022: • The Washington Post’s ...
My Review of Less Is Lost: • My Thumbs Down Rant Re...
My Review of Young Mungo: • Young Mungo Book Revie...
My Video About the Pulitzer Controversy of 2012: • Do Book Prizes Owe Us ...
Previous Pulitzer Predictions 🎥
2022: • Pulitzer Prize Predict...
2021: • Pulitzer Prize Predict...
2020: • Pulitzer Prize 2020 Pr...
2019: • 2019 Pulitzer Prize Pr...
Time Stamps ⏰
Frontrunners: 04:27
Strong Candidates: 15:38
Previous Finalists: 23:03
Potential Surprise Winners: 31:34
Longshots: 38:57
Previous Winners: 44:14
My Prediction: 50:36
Titles Mentioned 📚
Trust, Hernan Diaz
Demon Copperhead, Barbara Kingsolver
The Swimmers, Julie Otsuka
The Furrows, Namwali Serpell
If I Survive You, Jonathan Escoffery
The Rabbit Hutch, Tess Gunty
Night of the Living Rez, Morgan Talty
Glory, NoViolet Bulawayo
Nightcrawling, Leila Mottley
The Birdcatcher, Gayl Jones
Dr. No, Percival Everett
The Magic Kingdom, Russell Banks
Babysitter, Joyce Carol Oates
Either/Or, Elif Batuman
Dinosaurs, Lydia Millet
The Properties of Thirst, Marianne Wiggins
The Haunting of Hajji Hotak: And Other Stories, Jamil Jan Kochai
Mecca, Susan Straight
Sweet, Soft, Plenty Rhythm, Laura Warrell
My Government Means to Kill Me, Rasheed Newsom
Stories From The Tenants Downstairs, Sidik Fofana
Didn't Nobody Give a Sh*t What Happened to Carlotta, James Hannaham
Bliss Montage, Ling Ma
Booth, Karen Joy Fowler
Liberation Day, George Saunders
The Kingdom of Sand, Andrew Holleran
Lessons in Chemistry, Bonnie Garmus
Elsewhere, Alexis Schaitkin
Young Mungo, Douglas Stuart
Don’t Cry For Me, Daniel Black
The Candy House, Jennifer Egan
Less Is Lost, Andrew Sean Greer
The Passenger/Stella Maris, Cormac McCarthy
French Braid, Anne Tyler
Horse, Geraldine Brooks
Lucy By the Sea, Elizabeth Strout
#PulitzerPrize
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I just finished Demon Copperhead and was blown away. Rooting for this one.
It is SUCH a good book. I'm glad you liked it.
Yes I’m half way through and it’s great.
@@oliviaacosta6239 I love all the love for Demon Copperhead!
I finished Deamon Copperhead this week and I didn’t want it to end. I loved it so much. Thank-you for gushing so much. I picked it up because of you initially
I’m so glad you liked it!
I just discovered your channel. I read the BookBrowse and Pulitzer winners every year. Amazing predictions, and you nailed both of them.
I honestly can't believe it. What a shock!
I am just catching up on your old vids. Love that the first two you talk about end up tieing for the prize XD
Thank you so much!
I really enjoy your videos about the Pulitzer Prize which are always well researched and put together. I am currently on my own quest to read all the winners. 32 read thus far. My favourites of those I have read so far would be The Age of Innocence, Independence Day, Beloved and American Pastoral. My money this year is on Demon Copperhead😎
Thank you so much! You've made a lot of progress. I love The Age of Innocence and Beloved. I have yet to get to Independence Day or American Pastoral.
@@SupposedlyFun the other one I failed to mention is To Kill A Mockingbird. I would recommend American Pastoral. I also liked Middlesex and The Killer Angels
I love To Kill a Mockingbird! I will get to The Killer Angels at some point.
Great analysis of Pulitzer predictions. Loved your comment, "Joyce Carol Oates is the Susan Lucci of te Pulitzer Prize for fiction." LOL...
📚🥂
Fantastic video. Loved your “case for” and “case against” each book. I don’t follow the Pulitzer Prize for fiction, mainly for the reasons you mentioned…no long or short list. But your video has given me a great list to check out. Thank you.
Thank you! I liked the way the "case for" and "against" structure worked, so I'll probably revisit it next year.
I always look forward to this list every year!
🤗
This was an absolutely exhausting and fabulous list! I am blown away with all the research you did! THANK YOU!! 🎉🎉😊😊
I'm so glad you enjoyed it!
Thanks for your hilarious and astute assessment. I couldn’t have said it better. In fact, I couldn’t have said it!
Thank you for your book! I really enjoyed it and would love to see the Pulitzer Board make a bold choice.
Oh, that makes sense. Now I understand what is the criteria for winning the Pulitzer prize. My favorite so far is Donna Tartt. 💕
And John Steinbeck of course. 🥰 ❤
I'm reading The Grapes of Wrath now and loving it.
As always, great analysis! My heart is with Demon. It’s a winner even if it doesn’t win the Pulitzer.
I would love to see Demon win!
Excellent job! And you really showed your work and the work it took to put this all together. Given my druthers I’d like to see Candy House in at least the top three, but it would be hard to have lightening strike twice.
I think Egan has the best chance of any of the former winners, so it will be interesting to see what happens. I do think it's about time a woman landed in the two-timers club.
Great video & fair point about how rare it is for someone to pull a NBA & a Pulitzer. The Rabbit Hutch is the most quality book I’ve read in at least a decade. I was forced to stop so many times, marveling at her talent & how masterfully she relates the absurdity of existence.
I'm definitely curious to follow Tess Gunty's career from here. She's a very promising talent.
I adored Demon Copperhead! What a remarkable, wonderful, painful, depressing, joyful, and hopeful book! Somehow, I managed not to cry while reading it, but that last sentence had me balling :). I hope it won't suffer because of all the hype, albeit well deserved. On the other hand, I barely made it through Trust. Although I appreciated what it said, the actual reading experience was tedious at best. The Rabbit Hutch completely took me by surprise, I didn't expect to be blown away and love it as much as I did. I also loved Night of the Living Rez (which I read based on your recommendation, so thank you!). I don't know why, I still haven't made it through Stories from the Tenants Downstairs. It just didn't manage to get my attention, still only half way through after many, many months. I loved Nightcrawling so, so much, although it broke my heart!
I'm so glad you liked Night of the Living Rez! And I loved Demon Copperhead as well. I would love to see it win. I almost didn't make it through Trust as well.
i appreciate this run down of some excellent books of the past year.
Thank you!
I'd never thought about NoViolet Bulawayo for the Pulitzer Prize. I figured her nationality would be an automatic disqualifier, and her novel doesn't really meet the mandate as strongly as other contenders. It would be a wild left-field choice though, and I hope that the tired rationalizations of being the "African Animal Farm" aren't held against her for this award or the Women's prize. No one seems to do that for Barbara Kingsolver for Demon Copperhead as the "American David Copperfield," and I bet I know why that is. Comprehensive predictions video, and the one that I was waiting to see post. Kudos.
Thank you for the heartfelt thoughts and for watching. I think there's something to be said about how Barbara Kingsolver owns David Copperfield as her inspiration while the publisher for NoViolet Bulawayo keeps trying to distance her book from Animal Farm, but you're probably right that other factors could be at play.
Always impressed by the breadth of different works you bring into consideration for these predictions. Personally I'm an Otsuka fan, but I agree that the storylines in The Swimmers are fragmented which would make for an odd Pulitzer winner.
My personal lovable longshot pick is Helen DeWitt's The English Understand Wool. There are plenty of cases against it-it's very short, it's from a small publisher, and the first half isn't set in America-but the reception to it has been positive and I would love for it to be the next Tinkers-level surprise.
I hadn’t even heard of the DeWitt book, although I’m pretty sure I have heard of her before. Thank you for the recommendation!
I've read 10 of these; my favorites were Demon Copperhead, Night of the Living Rez and Lucy by the Sea. I've been reading David Copperfield and it has made Demon Copperhead even better in retrospect. An amazing retelling. My predictions are usually wrong but I hope Kingsolver wins.
I hope so, too! I haven't read David Copperfield yet but I've heard it definitely enhances the experience.
Greg, this is such an intelligent and thoughtful video. I enjoy all your Pulitzer related videos. I'm on the journey of reading them all myself, 29 finished, with many to go. I'm currently reading Ironweed. Keep up the great work!
Thank you so much! I hope you're enjoying the Pulitzer journey. I still need to get to Ironweed.
Have you ever done an analysis of size of publisher that tends to win? I'm sure it's usually the larger, corporate publishers, but looking at some of the finalists there is some decent indie and non-profit representation. For example, last year NYRB was the publisher of The Netanyahus, Grove the publisher of Monkey Boy, and Beacon Press for Palmares. I think those are all indie or non-profit? Then in 2021 it was Harper, Little Brown, and Graywolf. So, just one indie. Hernan Diaz's In the Distance was Coffee House Press. Overstory was Norton. Wondering if they try to have at least one indie represented in the finalists. Could be part of their "out of left field" strategy to look especially at independent publishers, though it does seem to be the largest of the indies that are frequently represented (Norton, Grove). Thanks again for the great video!
I have not really looked into the publisher or publisher size, but that is an interesting approach. It's good to know that smaller presses are in the mix.
I appreciate your presentation of these Pulitzer prize contenders. So many compelling novels to add to my TBR aka pile of possibilities as you have so aptly renamed. Watching your video's have expanded my book choices that I might not necessarily been exposed to otherwise. I value all the time and effort you put into your content.
Thank you so much! It's good to know that the time and effort come across. I included a lot more books in my prediction video this year because there are so many interesting books in the field, and yet I had to cut a good deal as well.
In my limited experience, “bold” and “daring” don’t seem like words associated with the Pulitzer jury and especially, board. So, those choices from your list do indeed seem unlikely.
I haven’t read Trust or Demon Copperhead, so I have little to contribute to that discussion. I’m definitely one to complain when obvious heavyweight front runners are bypassed for a book (or three like last year) coming out of left field, but if they were to step down one tier, still well known and well liked but not a heavy hitter, there are some interesting choices.
Here’s my bottom line: please God, not The Swimmers. 😂
I agree please NOT The Swimmers! 😂
And yes, daring and bold are definitely not the buzzwords to watch for here.
I agree with Trust as the front runner. It seems very up their alley. I could see the Lydia Millet pick as a surprise too. Great list as always.
Thank you for watching! It's always fun for me to do.
Thanks, Greg. I'm rooting for "Nightcrawling," but there are a lot of good options here. There is only one that I absolutely hope does not win.
Not gonna lie, I'm super curious about which one you don't want to win. 🤔🧐
@@SupposedlyFun "Lessons in Chemistry." It was good, but not great, and while I love the premise and the theme, there are plenty of other books that have made the same point in stronger ways. Of course a whole lot of people like this book and I heard it mentioned more than once as a candidate for the Women's Prize. So we'll see. I'd just be really disappointed if it was a surprise winner.
I hope your visit to WSU is going well and that you and Joel and Jamie are doing as well as can be expected.
Thank you so much--the visit has gone well, we just need to decide on next steps at this point.
I'm not convinced Lessons in Chemistry will win, but I had a feeling that if I cut it people would start commenting to ask why I didn't mention it. 🤪
1 hour and counting down until the announcement! Demon Copperhead was truly an American story, and I would be so happy if it won. I haven't read Trust yet, but his novels have been so popular I wouldn't be surprised if he won, either. I don't ever dare guess the winner, haha. There are too many moving pieces in that decision 😂.
I never would have seen the twist in the announcement coming!
Whether Demon Copperhead wins or not it will be a modern classic.
I hope so!
I chose Trust to win and my goodness I’m satisfied it won.
I respect Trust much more than I like it, but I can't be unsatisfied with the outcome.
Nailed it!
🤗 📚 🥂
My fingers are crossed for Night of the Living Rez, Nightcrawling (I sadly don’t think this will win) The Furrows and Demon copperhead!!
Any one of those would make an interesting winner!
Well... I'm rooting for "Don't Cry for Me," "Night of the Living Rez," and/or "Nightcrawling." If any of those win I'll be happy... though I know it's unlikely.
I would definitely be happy with any of those three winning.
I would love to see Don't Cry For Me as well but I will happily see Trust win ❤️
Don't Cry For Me definitely deserves more recognition than it gets.
your first 2 picks just won the Pulitzer!!!!
you still have to do a happy dance hahhahaha
@@franciscaneumann1803 I unanimously choose Trust for the Prize but a tie completely taken me by surprise.
I am SO GLAD I decided to film my reaction! No happy dance but needless to say, I was absolutely SHOCKED. It's uploading now.
Fingers crossed for Demon Copperhead even though I haven’t read it yet love Barbara Kingsolver. Lessons in Chemistry m. Have read it and just no. Need to investigate Dinosaurs. That has peaked my interest.
Dinosaurs does sound very interesting.
Such a thoughtful analysis! I am from Canada so I tend to follow The Giller Prize. Do you have thoughts about To Paradise as a possible contender for Pulitzer Prize? A wee little one dragged me away for popcorn while watching your video so if you talked about it and I missed it, I apologise. Apparently popcorn > Pulitzer with little ones. Lol.
To Paradise has an outside chance but it feels weird to bet on it since it completely vanished from discourse--which was surprising given how popular (and divisive) her last book was.
I would love to see 'Nightcrawling' win, but agree it's unlikely. 'The Passenger' and 'Stella Maris' handicap each other. If they were to somehow be allowed to be grouped together, then maybe they'd have a chance, but it is what it is. Great books though. I've got about a hundred pages left of 'Demon Copperhead' (finally picked it up after the eighth time I saw you talking about it) and it's fantastic. I wouldn't mind seeing it win at all. I still haven't picked 'Trust' up, due largely to the wide disparity between those who love it and those who do not. Might give it a shot soon and see what I think. I also enjoyed 'The Swimmers' but, like you said, the transition between stories wasn't great, and I think that hurt it for the purposes of a prize like this. Anyway, that was a lot, but always enjoy your videos, man, and I'm excited to see how this entire Awards season goes with the PEN/Faulkner and Booker International and Women's Prize in addition to the Pulitzer!
It was a long video this year, thank you for watching! Book award season is always a lot of fun. We'll see what happens with the Pulitzer on May 8!
I know you have been doing your videos ahead of time so I’ll add Ling Ma and Bliss Montage won the Story Prize. The Birdcatcher was first published in Germany in 86, so that won’t be considered Hernan Diaz should have won for In The Distance so that gives him an edge. Demon Copperhead is too oblivious and also has some detractors. I’m pulling for a sleeper Four Treasures Of The Sky by Jenny Tinghui Zhang.
That's really interesting about Birdcatcher--especially since that has somehow managed to stay out of the conversation about Gayl Jones and the book. It was even a finalist for the National Book Award! I wonder if there's a loophole that makes it eligible. I considered including Four Treasures of the Sky but it was one of the books that got cut for time.
Oh interesting point you brought up about the frontrunner obstacles, it happens for lots of other prize as well. A clear favorite usually miss out the big prize.
Anw out of curiosity, who do you think is the frontrunner in the year of The Overstory and Middlesex? I always thought they are the shoo-in.
I wasn't fully doing predictions when Middlesex won but I think there are a lot of things about it that make it a surprising winner. It's a sweeping immigrant story, which sounds like catnip for the Pulitzer, but it also features incest and follows an intersex character--which are extremely unusual for the Pulitzer. So while Middlesex was a bestselling, critically acclaimed book the year it was released, it also sounded like a tough sell for major prizes. I remember I was guessing it would be Everything Is Illuminated that year.
I looked back at the PPrize prediction list and The Overstory was in ninth place on their list (they predicted The Mars Room by Rachel Kushner instead, followed by the books that became finalists: There There and The Great Believers). I gave my prediction to The Great Believers.
As usual very interesting and informative on what could be in the conversation for the prize. I would love to see many of the disruptive picks take it, but really I rather project it will be someone straight, white, and non-immigrant... though immigrant American experiences seem to be increasingly important and spotlighted, so that would be intriguing for them to acknowledge that in recognizing a work. I think Demon would be the most obvious, so it feels like that makes it lesslikely perhaps.
There are A LOT of strong candidates who have diverse backgrounds and/or orientations, so I feel like this year in particular it will be INCREDIBLY frustrating if it goes to a white male.
Absolutely agree regarding Demon Copperhead & Night of the Living Rez, the latter = I’d never have read if not for your channel, so thank you . Susan Lucci of the Pulitzer 🤣☠️⚰️🤣. Always a treat these videos 📖💚🪱
Thank you! I’m always nervous to say Susan Lucci because my foster son once replied “who’s that?” 🤪
I'll put the big money on Demon Copperhead, but Trust makes sense. I could also see Percival Everett winning because he's Percival Everett and they might not want to take a chance on there not being another chance to award him. Great list you have here.
Thank you! I'm really hoping for Demon Copperhead but I've been disappointed so many times before.
the dinosaurs book seems like it would be an interesting pick - at this point, i feel like demon copperhead has more of a chance than trust which i also did not love as much as others did
I'm really hoping Demon Copperhead wins. I just feel like the book I want to win hasn't won in a long time, so maybe I'm a jinx. 😉
Oh real fun
🤗
I really think Demon Copperhead has a very good chance. Part legacy/ part quintessential American story. If she's going to get one, it'll be for this one.
I really, really hope so!
Hello! I look forward to watching your video. In the past this has complemented the pprize prediction website which does not look like it has updated for 2023… or am I missing something? Your guidance oh Pulitzer Savant!
Last year the PPrize site started putting their updated predictions in the comments and not in the actual post. The most recent prediction was 16 days ago from Mike. I'll paste it here in case you can't find it (I think they'll do a final prediction soon):
1. The Furrows by Namwali Serpell
2. Babysitter by Joyce Carol Oates
3. Dr. No by Percival Everett
4. Trust by Hernan Diaz
5. The Rabbit Hutch by Tess Gunty
6. Bliss Montage by Ling Ma
7. Demon Copperhead by Barbara Kingsolver
8. French Braid by Anne Tyler
9. The Candy House by Jennifer Egan
10. The Passenger by Cormac McCarthy
11. The Haunting of Hajji Hotak by Jamil Jan Kochai
12. The Swimmers by Julie Otsuka
13. If I Survive You by Jonathan Escoffery
14. Dangerous Business by Jane Smiley
15. Stella Maris by Cormac McCarthy
@@SupposedlyFun interesting that JCO is up there, I have heard little buzz about that book and what I have was pretty neutral at best. Read The Furrows, but enjoyed others below it much more: Dr No, Rabbit Hutch, Bliss Montage, Swimmers for example. My sentimental favorite will be Percival Everett until he wins a Pulitzer. He is phenomenal and challenging. Trees deserved it more than Dr No, I believe; but the latter was very fun. Clearly Trust and Demon need to be bumped to the top of the pile, though!
@@ReadingintheDriftless I think Mike bases his list for PPrize off of a mathematical formula, but even with that I have no idea how Babysitter got to be so high on the list. I decided not to even include Dangerous Business on my own predictions. I agree that Percival Everett is an author who will inevitably win. His next project coming in 2024 could be a really good case.
@@SupposedlyFun his win of the Jean Stein award this year after growing recognition in other awards over the past few years would be a good indicator for me. And when he does, I would be shocked if there isn’t a general outpouring of “I knew it’s!” 😂 nevertheless… deserved. It seems a good year for short stories: I loved Rez and am wrapping up If I Survive You this weekend… both excellent. Would you be shocked if a collection snuck in this year? (BTW… been reading and haven’t finished your video, so apologies if you discussed this!)
@@ReadingintheDriftless There has been a strong showing for story collections this year, so I wouldn't be altogether surprised. I am still rooting for Demon Copperhead, but if it can't be that I'm hoping Night of the Living Rez gets in.
I’ve read 5 on your list. Can suggest a curve ball ?
Deluge by Stephen Markley
Fellowship Point by Alice Elliot Dark ( currently reading and loving)
🍀👋☘️📚📕📖☕️
I think Deluge was released in January, which would put it on the slate for next year. I'll have to look up Fellowship Point! We love a curveball!
My heart is with Trust but I don't think it will win. Great video with the for and against :)
Thanks! We'll see what happens on May 8.
Demon Copperhead is a great choice but I’m pulling for “Didn’t Nobody Give a S***About Carlotta”
That would be an audacious choice for the Pulitzer and I would 100% support it.
I’m wondering if True Biz could make an appearance for the great disability representation.
Or perhaps Mercy Street given the Roe v Wade ruling - feels like a novel that has a lot to say about America right now.
I considered adding Mercy Street and made some difficult cuts to keep the video from getting too long (believe it or not). True Biz would be an interesting winner for sure!
Cormac
We'll find out May 8!
Well this aged hilariously
😂 It did and I'm so happy! And I'm so glad I decided to film my reaction (uploading now).
Rooting for Gayle Jones tbh
Lots of people would agree! I still haven’t read one of her books.
Trust
It has very good odds!
I'm so sad I didn't like Rabbit Hutch.
It's okay. It makes some big swings that don't always land, so I can see why someone wouldn't like it all that much.
prince harry
Alas, his book was published in 2023 and is nonfiction.
Not meaning to be argumentative, but is not Less and The Hours explicitly queer?
No worries: Less is the one explicitly queer winner I was referring to. I didn’t count The Hours as explicitly queer because it has both straight and gay characters and storylines. I hope that helps.
CNN?
I'm not sure what you mean.
@@SupposedlyFun CNN? Fake-news fiction?
Idkw I ended last comment on a Yoda vibe, but eloquently stated sir w the black & queer stories. 📖💚🪱
There should be a Yoda emoji for situations like this.