Stock market: Every indicator points to a 'historic bubble,' strategist says
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- Опубликовано: 15 май 2024
- Is a bubble forming around the stock market (^DJI, ^IXIC, ^GSPC)? And if so, is it about to burst?
B. Riley Wealth Management Chief Investment Strategist Paul Dietrich sits down with Yahoo Finance to discuss whether certain sectors of the market are becoming overvalued and if the equity market is edging closer to correction territory.
"I'm sure that every analyst... is looking at all the different valuation methodologies, and they've got to come to the same conclusion because there's no ambiguity here," Dietrich says about the probability of a market bubble. "It is bizarrely overvalued in most of these things. And so, you're seeing the smart money right now moving massive amounts into cash."
#youtube #stockmarket #stocks
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Great video, I have a quick question. I am an aspiring trader, I am looking study some traders and earn off their expertise rather than investing myself and lose money emotionally. Whats your take on copy trading? Do people really make money? Just looking for some reassurance.
Thank you!
On occasion you can beat the market with blind luck, but I wouldn't depend on it. Having a science background there is a saying, 'Luck favors the informed', I've found it to be true, allowed me in great part to retire early
No doubt, having the right plan is invaluable, my portfolio is well-matched for every season of the market and recently hit 100% rise from early last year. I and my CFP are working on a 7 figure ballpark goal, tho this could take till Q3 2024.
Impressive! How can I contact this advisor? My portfolio has underperformed, and I need guidance.
ANGELA LYNN SCHILLING' is her name. She is regarded as a genius in her area and works for Empower Financial Services. She’s quite known in her field, look-her up.
Thank you for this tip. It was easy to find your coach. Did my due diligence on her before scheduling a phone call with her. She seems proficient considering her resume.
Every week I buy more of whatever is the lowest percentage of my portfolio and try to keep everything around 10%. Please what could be my safest buys with $400k to outperform the market in 2024?
Find quality stocks that have long term potential, and ride with those stocks. I have found it takes someone who is very familiar with the market to make such good picks.
I agree Such considerations can certainly have a role when I think about whether I ought to buy into a share. But I never purchase purely on that basis, i always have to seek the advice of my financial planner who has helped me gain $985k in a well-diversified portfolio that has experienced exponential growth
‘Tenley Megan Amerson’ is the licensed advisor I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
It's enticing to consider purchasing some stocks in this bull run. I'm contemplating investing more than $300k for retirement. While the bull run can generate short-term excitement, i also need long-term investment strategy
It seems like there's potential, but caution is warranted. hence I will advice you get yourself a financial advisor that can provide you with entry and exit points
Having an investment advisor is the best way to go about the stock market right now. I used to depend on RUclips videos but it wasn't working. I’ve been in touch with an advisor for a while now, and just last year, I made over 80% capital growth minus dividends.
I've been looking to get one, but have been kind of relaxed about it. Could you recommend your advis0r? I'll be happy to use some help.
*Jennifer Leigh Hickman* is the licensed advisor I use. Just search the name. You’d find necessary details to work with to set up an appointment.
I am going to look her up, I have about $81k i want to start with, might be small but it's better than nothing though. Since the 08 crash is playing out again.
Guys, no worries. I haven’t bought yet.
should worry cuz i bought it.🤕
His management lost $82,000,000.00 for the 2023 year. He has an invested interest in a bubble as the excuse for bad insight.
Thanks for the clarification😅
😂😂😂
what paul's saying: yada yada yada
what paul means: damnit, i was overweight cash last year and now i'm bitter
So true 😂
Not until I buy...😂
Bro 🤣
That "magic touch" you know.. 😜
Hahaaa 😂that was good
என் இனமடா நீ😊
I recently but 5k in and immediately went down 20% 😅 before that I invested in one stock and it went down 98% I think investing isn't for me 😂
yes...burst is coming soon.....should be sometime between 2028-2030.
do you mean 3028-3030?
Once the stimulus is done, the Inflation reduction was another 760 billion to pump into the economy. But is is all coming to a close.
Lot of people do expect de-dollarization would be materialized before end of this decade. What you said is probably true.
Yes say good bye to 50% of your investments
you are an optimist I see =)
I would expect it to blow 2 years sooner.
End of 2025 untill spring 2026. Winter holidays may be the trigger.
80% equities 20% cash. I plan to take advantage of the s&p 500 as leading indicators predict above 10% rise by this year, my only issue is how to properly allocate a large stock/bond portfolio for substantial gains at minimum risk.
the strategies are quite rigorous for the regular-Joe. As a matter of fact, they are mostly successfully carried out by pros who have had a great deal of skillset/knowledge to pull such trades off.
Even with the right strategies and appropriate assets, investment returns can differ among investors. Recognizing the vital role of experience in investment success is crucial. Personally, I understood this significance and sought guidance from a market analyst, significantly growing my account to nearly a million. Strategically withdrawing profits just before the market correction, I'm now seizing buying opportunities once again.
Mind if I ask you to recommend this particular coach you using their service?
Yvette Ruta Musto' is the licensed coach I use. Just research the name. You'd find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
Thank you for this Pointer. It was easy to find your handler, She seems very proficient and flexible. I booked a call session with her.
All I heard in terms of analysis was that the SP 500 was 13% above its 200 day moving average, that forward p/e has increased (which is fairly normal given the expected increase in productivity and other economic growth assumed from AI over next decade), and that multi-billionaires sold some stock. Not really anything too significant in my opinion.. we are probably going to trade sideways or decrease a bit from now until the Fed starts cutting, that’s been expected. And many analysts have been calling for the 2nd half to be better than the 1st for the stock market. So can the SP decline 13% over the next 6 months? Absolutely. It doesn’t mean a bubble is bursting and I am highly critical of someone trying to make it sound like some dramatic economic moment. Sounds more like someone who’s trying to suppress retail investors from buying into the market so he can get better pricing as we ramp up a multi-year bull market.
Do you know technical analysis? Charts? If not, you have no idea what you are talking about. 😂
yes the market is overvalued by 15%. The trigger for a correction is very simple. It isn’t some huge geopolitical event. It is not a large bank collapse. It is not Putin blasting a device. None of these complex things. Rather it is the simple thing of earnings missing expectations by a wide margin in Q2 for the S&P 500. Suddenly all the downward revisions from all the analysts happen in one day which will lead to a correction.
but with the magnificent 7 stocks having such influence on the S&P 500 index, this may take longer than expected.
I would say 20% to reach a 18PE
comparing this to NASDAQ crash of 2000? the S&P P/E at the time was > 30 and US 10 yr rate was north of 6%. We are no where near a bubble by those standards !
It's always just a "handful of stocks" making up all the profit.
The losses are about to blow up.
Real Estate is dead so money will come here.
Yeah the handful is not only in the S&P500 Mag7 either. In the Russell 2000 YTD ----TWO companies(SMCI, MSTR) drove 42 points of the gain YTD and without them the index would be -2% negative! $SMCI(AI server and rack co. tied to NVDA), and $MSTR(bitcoin buyer).
The former was just moved out of the Russell and into the S&P 500 so small caps may struggle even more from here esp if FED gets hawkish or econ slips. The latter is 100% correl to BTC and we know how that likely ends.
GL stay safe!
Another so called expert trying to engineer a crash.
Market timing is always a great idea. He should tell us when is a good time to sell and a good time to get back in.
Climbing the wall of worry.
Only when people stop taking about a bubble will it pop.
An old Wall Street axiom: " Bulls make money -- Bears make money---Pigs get slaughtered"....
Cant wait long enough for a massive bubble...make it happen ASAP... Everything is overpriced/overvalued.
even value stocks have PE ratio of upwards 20...any region..thats too expensive
Well, CPI came in hot and it’s likely that a recession is on the cards. I still can’t see rate cuts in June/July just like March (like everybody claimed but didn’t happen).
Over valued!
It is not until it is. When a major crash hits, then maybe it was a bubble. You know when you are there. Until then, keep your focus and take profits.
I understand your concerns, and it's natural to be worried about the impact of economic factors on your retirement plans. The 2008 financial crisis indeed had a significant impact on many individuals' financial situations, and it's a valid concern to compare the challenges of that time with the current situation.
We are looking for that 'triggering event' that will pop the bubble again just like we did all last year.
In the last 2 years we’ve seen: SVB collapse and a run on regional banks, war breaking out in Europe, war escalating in MidEast, inflation spiking to 9%. And yet, here we are, at the highest levels the stock market has ever seen. Maybe we have to start accepting that we have an economic system that has learned from mistakes and has evolved through technological advancements to weather crises. And that the US economy is the standard bearer for the rest of the world.
Your reference is a bit off. The last crash was in 2021, not last year.
@@Druuhew I am sort of seeing your view on that. We may never return to that 'every 8 to 10 years' recession cycle like we did before.
@@etvow 'This time is different' hahaha
B. Riley nearly bankrupt giving advice on where the market is going 😂
Are stocks over valued? Yes. Can it go higher? Yes. Is this guy bitter about missing out on the rally? Yes
Fact: If I had sold out every time experts warned about a "market crash" I would have stayed in the 50% and never made it to the 1%. Experts warned about a crash all last year - my best year ever. This year I'm up a little more than 20%. Not saying he's wrong - its just not actionable info imho. [BTW he is wrong about watching CEO selling. Research shows very little correlation between CEO buying/selling and future market returns. Jobs sold a massive amount of Apple stock when he became CEO second time around - probably the biggest market miss in history!]
You hit the nail on the head!
The market doesn’t seem as narrow now as people are saying. Financials and industrials are also way up from the bottom as are consumer staples and discretionary.
ok grandpa let's get you to bed
Alceva, hm, ce? 😮
Nicolas Cage has changed careers!
😂🤣🤣😂😂😂
Seriously cracked me up 🤣
Can’t wait🖤
100% agree with Paul
Hmm . ..
I hope it drops 90%. I need somw serious discounts.
Keep waiting bruv
@@saikathbose8120 I'm still investing in my Roth IRA and 401k each month. However, I have a large sum of cash for individual stocks when the time comes, and it will. It always does.
So prepare cash in other words
Warren Buffett is sitting on $168 Billion of cash. 😅
Stock market is overvalued because Nvidia market cap by itself is causing markets to move.
2021 - Bubble Bursting Soon
2022 - Bubble Bursting Soon
2023 - Bubble Bursting Soon
2024 - Bubble Bursting Soon
2025 - Fill in the blanks 😂😂😂😂😂
It's sad how difficult things have become in the present generation. I was wondering how to utilise some money I had. I used some of it for e-commerce business, but that sank. I'm thinking of how to use what's left to invest, but I don't really know which way to go.
Dot com ressession was bad one, stock market did not apprecite for dacade after dot comm burst. It stayed flat.
April
Here's the translation:
More and more retail investors are investing in the S&P 500 as a do-it-yourself investment strategy. Buying low-cost ETFs is becoming the norm for long-term investors. If more and more people deploy cash into the S&P 500, I expect it to continue to grow exponentially even if the underlying assets are overpriced. Am I wrong?
YES, traders need bubble to keep earning
The recent market action of up and down 300 points is the sign of a top here.....be careful. Look at Apple.Look at Tesla....both look sick.
Every day the stock market is a bubble. People trade in dollars for pieces of company paper that has no real intrinsic value. Think of it as a casino with plastic chips. As long as people believe they can still sell those plastic chips back in for cash the system grinds on. Unfortunately, once in a great while people panic as they eventually all do (1929, 1987 ....) and realize their chips are plastic.
Internet bubble in the 90s
The stocks were up 10X even though there was no profits and small revenues .We saw 36 IPOs of internet related every week .
It is not the same at all with AI today .
AI is a much bigger game changer than internet .
Yes it is a bubble started but feels like 96’ rather than 99’
No they are not. Next
Nah. Bubbles will burst until everyone says market won’t fall.
Some profit taking isn’t the worst thing you can do.
BCAN IS ABOUT TO JUMP UP 400%
Stocks have simply recovered from the previous crash. That is not a bubble! What an absurd notion.
Grafyku, bun, B, 😮allcevaaa,,
DRSGME! 🚀🚀🚀
he was being vague the entire time and didn't show any supporting evidence.
Let it burst.
I sold all the stocks. I only need 10% growth per year.
I made it in the first 2 months of the year. Wake me up in 10 months.
yes the AI hype bubble lol!!!
maybe smart money is moving into cash because they trynna diversify their portfolios lol. If you own 200 billion of META, i can understand if you'd like to sell 1 billion for real estate or upcoming economic boom!
I feel like it’s just a matter of time when insiders sell heavily after maybe another rally or 2 up and then the baby boomers right around the same time will move their 401ks will pull out leaving all the passive bulls holding the bag. Just don’t sell welhen it tanks. You will be ok in 3-5 years when it gets back to where you are now! But I don’t think you should plan that the markets will just start returning 25 30% a year again. Maybe 8-12 % like normal for a period of time. The young passive investors and traders that COVID created will eventually get a slap in the face showing them their not as smart as they all think they are. That’s my 2 cents. When it happens I don’t know. I inow COVID made everyone a professional, and basically a baboon could have bought the stock market in the last 10 years and would of looked like a super investor. Us, well we just moved out of 90 % equities into safety for now leaving 10% to see what happens. Im ok with sitting out for a while.
Yup. It's in a bubble. I sold a year ago and the SP500 rocketed to the moon. When I decide to buy back in, the stocks will crash back to earth. That's the power I seem to have. God or the universe just wants to keep me poor.
it gets worse, you do not own this power alone, I do, too :)
Keep at it. Made mistakes and had huge loss when the fraud at Worldcom came to light. However, I kept investing and now I'm in the 1%. No CEO job, bitcoin or lottery ticket involved. As Warren Buffet says; time in market beats everything. Good luck!
Sygur e real, 😮
Again manipulating retail investors into not investing, he gave no substantial evidence other than referring to black swan events which are unlikely to happen. This is the sign guys, go for it
🫧🥂🍾. Spot on sir. Let the party continue. Rip to those who don’t understand reality
The S&P has been higher than 200 day SMA a few times before, even 16% higher, and went onto rise further for months. That's not a good indictor, insider selling however is notable. More money is lost waiting for a recession than actual recession - Peter Lynch. So don't want to stay in cash if signals are false positives.
The most powerful countries in human history weren’t trying to copy Pets websites $IPET like they are with Nvidia $NVDA. I don’t think your strategists understand bubbles.
Laughs in DCA
Buy $BTC
🌈🐻
yawn
Guys all you need is couple thousands to get financially free, even if it takes waiting 2-5 years. Just imagine knowing tha that the market corrects betwee 2-5 years. I'm saving aside cash for whenever that correction comes. Don't worry, it's going to comoe, don't know when, don't care when. But when it does, i'll prefer putting 100k on good companies in bad markets than good companies in good markets..But that's just me.. I can wait all day, all year, al decade. .not a prob for me..
It will be a blood bath.
Get your bag before it's too late $DAO
Huge bubble. bye bye sheep
You're a sheep if think bubbles last 1 year lmao
Historic bubble based on revolutionary new tech that will change whole world(no fundamentals lmao) that only lasts one year! What a clown!
I was advised to diversify my portfolio among several assets such as stocks and bonds since this can protect my portfolio for retirement. I'm seeking to invest $200K across markets but don't know where to start.
Bs
"Everything animate or inanimate that is within the universe is controlled and owned by the Lord. One should therefore accept only those things necessary for himself, which are set aside as his quota, and one should not accept other things, knowing well to whom they belong."
This is the type of perma bear who will sit in cash and bonds because he feels better making terrible underperforming returns year over year to be able to say “I told you so” when markets make a correction or enter a recession once every few decades.
Great Depression 2 , soup kitchens opening soon.
BS
Sell your stocks today, Buy the Bitcoin ETF on April 15th
If you so called “analysts” focused more on company financials as opposed to “moving day averages” you would realise we are not in a “bubble”. Pathetic click bait.
This guy is a clown