Danielle Deadwyler is a super snub for leading actress. Her nomination would help Till be seen by more people and she is a young dynamic actress. Oscar has a big problem only recognizing blk women in supporting roles and rarely when we are young, Angela had to stay fit and fine in her 60s to finally be recognized for her work. same ole’ stuff. Angela deserves her nomination, the film has made almost 900 million on the back of her performance.
Angela's win for Supporting Actress has been a long time coming. She SHOULD already have a Best Actress Oscar, for "What's Love Got To Do With It?" from 30 years ago. I will die MAD about her not getting that.
Guys, I wouldn’t count out Brendan Fraser simply because The Whale only got that and a supporting actress nomination. Don’t forget, The Whale also got a makeup nomination. That’s all Jessica Chastain needed last year!
Elvis is also nominated for best hair and makeup and it could win also. If Elvis wins makeup then it clears the path for Austin to win best actor. The only way Fraser can win is if THE WHALE wins makeup
For Lead Actor the rules are different than Lead Actress. For Lead Actress BP is not needed, but for Best Actor is virtually a requirement. And yes, Fraser is not Jeff Bridges, who won 14 years ago, and no other Lead Actor ever since won without BP.
Brendan faces much tougher competition with Farrell and Butler than what Chastain had last year. Chastain also had been nominated twice before winning on her third attempt.
@@jonathanvelazquezph.d.2719 I agree that Chastain had no competition last year. But ultimately, the Oscars are all about creating 'moments.' I think it'll come down to who's predicted to earn the biggest standing ovation and round applause the moment after their name is announced. In my opinion that would be Yeoh, Fraser, Quan, and Bassett.
Andrea Riseborough was good (not great) in “To Leslie” but it was a very depressing movie to watch. Reminds me of Melissa Leo in “Frozen River”. Exactly like Joyce said, it was the cleverly coordinated last minute celebrities social media campaign that let her through in the top five. Unfairly done but they obviously allowed it lol.
Look guys, I agree it's not Angela Bassett's greatest performance. As she portrayed in "Wakanda Forever." Her Performance is a legacy performance for all the work she have been previously overlooked. Yeah Ryan Coogler, turned to Angela for to the heavy lifting for the movie after Chawick Boseman's death.
Ironically Cate Blanchett is on the same career path as Katherine Hepburn regarding not caring about getting nominated after so many wins and nominations and she won an Oscar playing Hepburn!
Is she doesn’t care, why does she keep making these obvious awards clickbait movies? She’s probably just really uncomfortable if she’s the reason she gets it this year over Michelle Yeoh. She is still amazing in blockbusters!
@@Awardshq Oh, I agree, but I still think in the back of her mind, she doesn’t want to be the blamed for the backlash if she wins. I just disagreed with the original commentator saying she doesn’t care about winning and getting nominated. She totally does.
I'll be rooting for Angela. Long over due. She was so outstanding in Wakanda Forever. I still get chills when I think about her scenes. Not sure what to make of the whole Andrea Riseborough situation
Maybe but last year’s but none of the Best Actress nominees weren’t in a Best Picture nominee and it was a weak year. So it was easier for Chastain to win. Fraser is nominated with Butler and Farrell, who’s pictures were nominated.
Lead Actor win is always matched with Best Picture nomination. It's not impossible, but I just don't see it happening this year. It's been 14 years since Jeff Bridges won without Best Picture nomination. The odds are against Fraser.
I’m happy for Andrea Riseborough I just watch “To Leslie” on Demand. She gives an outstanding performance one of the best I’ve seen. And as a child that had to deal with a parent with addiction it’s dead on and so many scenes I was emotional and were reminisced about my own mother. But for Danielle to miss is heartbreaking. In any other year she would of not only been nominated but won. She is one of the great talents of this generation. And I pray she gets more opportunity for lead roles and as meaty as the one in Till.
@@freemangriffin4953 available to rent for $6.99 on iTunes, Amazon Prime Video, Google Play, Vudu, and RUclips, but unfortunately hasn’t hit a major streaming service yet. I rented it for $5.99 on Xfinity.
Loved this video. Love all of these. I will say though, I was blown away by Bassett from the get-go. There's so much chatter that "she isn't in it very much" -- which I just don't get. Especially early on, I felt like she was in it A LOT, until she's not. And then when she's not, her hangs in the air. When she IS onscreen, I thought she was moving, nuanced and powerful.
The reason why Bassett became the frontrunner is because Michelle Williams gave up her spot and basically a guaranteed win. So film Twitter didn't know who to champion. I actually argue that the frontrunner was Jamie Lee Curtis an overdue legend whose hot because of Halloween Ends, Knives Out OG, and EEAAO all at once. The issue was in the midst of the confusion. Globes were the first awards show and I'm convinced they were ready to give JLC the globe, the problem was Yeoh was the only logical winner for Lead Actress Comedy, and KHQ was the sweeper for supporting. That means if JLC won then one film would've won 3 Globes and even they knew that was overkill. Condon didn't have the name or icon status of Bassett and JLC to ever be a real contender but with JLC pushed to the side to allow Yeoh and Quans win, the only leftover nominee was Queen Angela Bassett. Previous Globes winner and overdue veteran. So if JLC couldn't, they could reward Bassett. Then Critics realized that wait she's Angela Bassett and probably going to win SAG, so let's predict her to launch her to the Oscars and because we want an overdue legend to get her gold as well. Plus mix in visibility of Black Panther, her character is a mourning mother who dies herself, her role has Oscar clips, and lingering grief of Chadwick Bosemans death. Which means giving her the Oscar is a way to celebrate Boseman especially how after the Academy did him dirty when they didn't give him the Oscar for Ma Raineys. This is how Bassett won the Oscar The only way she loses the Oscar is if JLC wins BAFTA, and they the Brits upset her to win. But either way 100 an overdue legend is winning this all because Michelle Williams campaigned for Lead Actress
I think Michelle Yeoh will win over Blanchett now because of the film she's in receiving 11 nods and to have a historical win. Shameful that Danielle Deadwyler didn't get a nod.
I thnk the votes that may have gone to Deadwyler or Viola are more likely top shift to Yeoh than the others + Riseborough will take votes from Blanchett possibly opening the door for Michelle. Still.......it's a BIG hill to climb - people are comparing Blanchett to Daniel Day-Lewis as far as Masterclass performances (though he did lose for Gangs of New York + Phantom Thread)
Chris, I don't think you're an idiot or a hack, I love your enthusiasm. You called Brian Tyree Henry and stuck to your guns! I had him for a few months and then dropped him after Redmayne got in at BAFTA. I also had Park Chan-wook and Ruben Ostlund in for Director since the Predictions Centre opened and only dropped Ostlund after BAFTA nominations.
Oh please. By Hollywood's standards, "hillbilly" is any white person NOT from New York or LA. How Riseborough delivers complete authenticity in her performance while avoiding all of the obvious cliches' is breathtaking to watch.
The last time Best Actor had all first time nominees was 1934. There were only 3 nominees that year; Clark Gable(winner, It happened one night),William Powell (Thin man) and Frank Morgan ( Affairs of Cellini).
I can’t justify giving EEAO a clear advantage over Banshees quite yet. Both got pretty much everything they should have, EEAO has the small edge since Banshees was never contenting for song and costumes.
More options than those, and WAY too early to pick a winner. EEAO lost some steam with the BAFTA nominations, and this was even the case for the UK (Irish) film Banshees to receive LESS nominations than All Quiet on the Western Front. Top Gun: Maverick is a serious contender for PGA, and that may carry it to Oscar Best Picture. The Fabelmans has checked all the precursor and festival boxes, and, heck, even Tar is professed to have a lot of #1 votes according to Gold Derby and many Academy voters.
Knew this would be a good one. Am thrilled for "Women Talking," "EO," Paul Mescal, Stephanie Hsu, Brian Tyree Henry; sad about "Decision to Leave," Paul Dano, "Top Gun" Cinematography, Danielle Deadwyler. Andrea Riseborough now wins the Sally Kirkland Grassroots Campaign Award (it's like the Thalberg, only shinier). I also liked the presentation by Riz and Allison. It's going to be a very wild campaign season. Let the games begin. As ever, youse twose are the berries. More, please, thank you.
I wonder if the subject matter - Harvey Weinstein, was too much for the Oscar’s to recognize knowing how much he played a role in the Academy awards in the 90’s and early 2000s. That could be why She Said didn’t make it. It was one of my favorites of the year. Shame.
Weinstein practically dominated and ruled the academy awards for a good decade. I wouldn't be surprised if it came out that he practically called the shots.
FINALLY Andrea Riseborough gets some recognition! And for one of her absolute best performances, too (there are a *lot* of them) I am just totally stunned at this year's nominations. So many inspired choices across the board.
I think All Quiet has an easy path to Cinematography. And it feels like the 'oh wow!' type of winner that somehow gets another tech or two that no one was expecting. Either PD or Hair/Make-Up, if there is tight voting happening between it, Elvis and The Whale. But I do think it, at least, gets Cinematography along with International.. And I think you're mayyybe overthinking Song, a bit. Yes, someone like Gaga or Rihanna could win because their films received nominations. But I think the prior wins for Naatu Naatu + the love for RRR will push it over the top (and the moment it would get on stage). I will be surprised if it doesn't win. But of course, I could be dead wrong, Lol.
You’re way overestimating EEAAO’s chances. On a preferential ballot it will get a certain amount of 1s but I think an awful lot of 9s and 10s rather than 2s. That’s how polarizing this film is. I think Ke Huy Quan could be the only winner from it. Although I have a sneaking suspicion Judd Hirsch pulls out a shock win.
Plus Banshees did just as well. Yes it got two less, but it was never gonna get quite as many below the line nominations as EEAO since it was never competing in costumes and original song.
I doubt he loses - the closest thing I can think of is Eddie Murphy vs. Alan Arkin. Eddie had a bad reputation for his movie choices in the past + the timing of the Norbit movie release opening the door for the Veteran. People LOVE Ke Huy Quan!
Voters nominate who/what they like the most. It doesn't matter where or how they heard about that performance, or how many others liked it. Andrea Riseborough actually has a chance of winning this year, her performance is stellar and the fact that so many fellow actresses agree says a lot. Reminds me of back when Tom Cruise and Morgan Freeman lost the Oscar to Daniel Day-Lewis. The perceived backlash over Riseborough's nomination is embarrassing and destructive. She didn't take anyone's 'spot.' She got the nomination for giving a great performance, which is how the voting process is supposed to work. Ro quote Lydia Tar, "Don't be so eager to be offended."
@1:01:40 Lord of The Return of the King (the 3rd film) was the movie that won best picture from that franchise. The academy wasn't over it until the Hobbit.
Does she even like her co-host? I've noticed quite a bit of attitude and eye-rolling at most things he says. It's like she's just here until a better gig comes along.
I am finding it very distressing that Banshees might go home empty handed ): At least give it Original Screenplay, academy! I would give it 6 awards: BP, Director, Actor, Supporting Actor (Keoghan), Supporting Actress, and Original Screenplay. I love Everything Everywhere but Banshees for me is the better movie. the most obnoxious fan bases this awards seasons have been Austin Butler and Angela Basett's - they make me not want them to win. Both are my second choices in their categories. Do they have to be so obnoxious?
I feel awful for Danielle Deadwyler and Viola Davis, after they both campaigned so long and hard for themselves and their movies, just to be lowballed at the last minute by CAA's gorilla tactics to get their client in. No one was even watching that movie and there was next to no campaign (not even zooms) prior to the last weekend. The optics of this is really bad. But kudos to CAA for changing the way award campaigns will be done in future. Michelle Yeoh for the win!
Exactly! I haven't watched the movie and don't care how good she is in that movie but this isn't how you play the game! Like, you had no money to campaign for so long but all of a sudden on the voting day you wake up and yell I want the Oscars and all of a sudden your powerful 'friends' starts to help you PR by 'copy and paste'? This is a JOKE!
I don't understand. Why? What's wrong about it? What's unfair? Is getting in without campaigning at all 'unfair' as well? Or is saying that you badly want the nom not ok? There are no rules.
Sure no one watched the movie but Andrea's Oscar nom was nice enough for more people to know what she did in that movie. The best thing about the Oscars was discovering some acclaimed movies that i never heard off through it's nomination especially Best Internasional Feature and To Leslie was an example
@kevinappearshere Every other nominee could have done the same thing if they had thought of it. Personally I think it is unfair that the big studios put so much money into campaigning for their stars, anyone in a small independent film hasn't got a hope in hell of being recognised. Weinstein was guilty of campaigning hard for his films. That's why Shakespeare in Love did so well.
I could imagine (and fear) some Academy members avoiding Women Talking for its subject matter and choosing a crowd-pleaser like Top Gun: Maverick (a movie everyone has seen) to win Best Adapted Screenplay. If it can win adapted along with Best Editing, it could easily speed-run a Best Picture win along with it.
@@petrilio And in 2009 everybody assumed The White ribbon or A prophet would win. I didn't say Argentina 1985 was better or worse than All quiet. However, I have the feeling it's gonna win.
Catherine Martin has won every time she's had double nominations in Costume and Art Direction/Production Design. She lost when she was only nominated for Art Direction for Romeo + Juliet and lost Costume Design for Australia. She won both awards for Moulin Rouge! and The Great Gatsby. I've got Elvis for Production Design and Costumes.
Apparently she's the most awarded Australian in Oscar history with 4 Oscar wins in her belt. Add 2 more with Elvis, she might break her own record lol. It's amazing that she took different job in one movie and did all very well
I think the academy choice would be Austin Butler (the type of role the Oscars reward every single year), but I wouldn't underestimate Colin Farrell. For Brendan Fraser is an uphill battle without Best Picture nod for "The Whale" and just can't see him winning.
Nominating anything related to the Woman King is insulting. Why are people unable to take thirty seconds to look up the "True Story" behind the movie. Schindler's List didn't pretend the Nazi's were the good guys.
Not certain Joyce that Angela Bassett is winning because she's that much of a legend. A genuine legend, Lauren Bacall won the precursors and still lost the Oscar. Plus, you two are starting to worry me. Top Gun's screenplay is sheet.It's militaristic, macho propaganda ...such a turn off.
@@nycartist3421 No, I love Angela Bassett. But she's not Hollywood royalty like Lauren Bacall was. There are very few people with that kind of legendary status. Maybe when she turns 75.
Without getting too into the talk about legendary status, Lauren Bacall lost to a performance from a rising star in a Best Picture winner and the movie Bacall was in itself had a lukewarm reception at best. Fortunately for Angela Bassett (who I also consider a legend!), Jamie Lee Curtis and Stephanie Hsu are likely to take votes from each other and Bassett's movie was very popular. Kerry Condon is in a Best Picture nominee though she hasn't won anything yet, which to me says something because most of these Oscar prediction experts had her ahead of Angela Bassett for awards like the Golden Globe.
,@@smann87 I don't disagree with that, but Black Panther: Wakanda Forever is not exactly high art, and can't be considered in the same league as "The English Patient." I adore Angela Bassett. I just wish she were going to be awarded for a film that is equal to her amazing talent.
@@josephdigristina2808 - ideally, I would agree with you though an important issue to recognize is that people of color often don’t get any roles that white people often do which more easily generate the buzz of being Oscar worthy. We all seem to agree on Angela Bassett’s talent yet over the course of a career spanning at least five decades has she rarely been able to find roles that helped get her the right buzz. Both of her Oscar nominations came from roles specifically written for a black actress which says something about the casting problems faced by people of color in Hollywood.
Danielle Deadwyler is a super snub for leading actress. Her nomination would help Till be seen by more people and she is a young dynamic actress.
Oscar has a big problem only recognizing blk women in supporting roles and rarely when we are young, Angela had to stay fit and fine in her 60s to finally be recognized for her work.
same ole’ stuff. Angela deserves her nomination, the film has made almost 900 million on the back of her performance.
Angela's win for Supporting Actress has been a long time coming.
She SHOULD already have a Best Actress Oscar, for "What's Love Got To Do With It?" from 30 years ago.
I will die MAD about her not getting that.
Joyce and Christopher are great together! You got to love Christopher's enthusiasm; it's infectious!
Contrasted with Joyce’s sardonic humour 😂
@@janlyrliu9697 Agreed! Also, Joyce needs to take more credit for her consistently excellent Oscar predictions; it's very impressive!
Guys, I wouldn’t count out Brendan Fraser simply because The Whale only got that and a supporting actress nomination. Don’t forget, The Whale also got a makeup nomination. That’s all Jessica Chastain needed last year!
Elvis is also nominated for best hair and makeup and it could win also. If Elvis wins makeup then it clears the path for Austin to win best actor. The only way Fraser can win is if THE WHALE wins makeup
For Lead Actor the rules are different than Lead Actress. For Lead Actress BP is not needed, but for Best Actor is virtually a requirement. And yes, Fraser is not Jeff Bridges, who won 14 years ago, and no other Lead Actor ever since won without BP.
Fraser is going to win. The academy loves a comeback story, because most of its members want the same for their own careers.
Brendan faces much tougher competition with Farrell and Butler than what Chastain had last year. Chastain also had been nominated twice before winning on her third attempt.
@@jonathanvelazquezph.d.2719 I agree that Chastain had no competition last year. But ultimately, the Oscars are all about creating 'moments.' I think it'll come down to who's predicted to earn the biggest standing ovation and round applause the moment after their name is announced. In my opinion that would be Yeoh, Fraser, Quan, and Bassett.
Andrea Riseborough was good (not great) in “To Leslie” but it was a very depressing movie to watch. Reminds me of Melissa Leo in “Frozen River”. Exactly like Joyce said, it was the cleverly coordinated last minute celebrities social media campaign that let her through in the top five. Unfairly done but they obviously allowed it lol.
Look guys, I agree it's not Angela Bassett's greatest performance. As she portrayed in "Wakanda Forever." Her Performance is a legacy performance for all the work she have been previously overlooked. Yeah Ryan Coogler, turned to Angela for to the heavy lifting for the movie after Chawick Boseman's death.
Oscars will be vindicated for me if Babylon wins for Best Original Score, Costume and Production Design.
I don't think it deserves to win costume over Black Panther but it did have amazing score and production design
Ironically Cate Blanchett is on the same career path as Katherine Hepburn regarding not caring about getting nominated after so many wins and nominations and she won an Oscar playing Hepburn!
Yea, no. Hepburn didn't show up to the show. Ever. Blanchett has been there every single time.
Is she doesn’t care, why does she keep making these obvious awards clickbait movies?
She’s probably just really uncomfortable if she’s the reason she gets it this year over Michelle Yeoh.
She is still amazing in blockbusters!
@@ssshar2176 she wants it. Don't show up to the events, don't do the roundtable interviews or the actor on actor segments. She's campaigning.
@@Awardshq Oh, I agree, but I still think in the back of her mind, she doesn’t want to be the blamed for the backlash if she wins. I just disagreed with the original commentator saying she doesn’t care about winning and getting nominated. She totally does.
@ssshar2176 I am not a far of Tar at all, I don't want her to win, but the backlash shouldn't be on her. That's just ridiculous.
I'll be rooting for Angela. Long over due. She was so outstanding in Wakanda Forever. I still get chills when I think about her scenes. Not sure what to make of the whole Andrea Riseborough situation
Could Brendan be this years Jessica Chastain? Hair and makeup and Best Actor?
Maybe but last year’s but none of the Best Actress nominees weren’t in a Best Picture nominee and it was a weak year. So it was easier for Chastain to win. Fraser is nominated with Butler and Farrell, who’s pictures were nominated.
It's interesting because everyone kept screaming that The Whale was surging and then it missed 2 categories. I'm interesting in seeing SAG and BAFTA.
Lead Actor win is always matched with Best Picture nomination. It's not impossible, but I just don't see it happening this year. It's been 14 years since Jeff Bridges won without Best Picture nomination. The odds are against Fraser.
@petrilio I agree but the rules keep on breaking every year (look at CODA last year) so I definitely think it's a three way race still. So exciting!
I was wondering if gender is a hard and fast rule still with the Jeff Bridges example vs Jessica Chastain last year. We’ll see!
I’m happy for Andrea Riseborough I just watch “To Leslie” on Demand. She gives an outstanding performance one of the best I’ve seen. And as a child that had to deal with a parent with addiction it’s dead on and so many scenes I was emotional and were reminisced about my own mother.
But for Danielle to miss is heartbreaking. In any other year she would of not only been nominated but won. She is one of the great talents of this generation. And I pray she gets more opportunity for lead roles and as meaty as the one in Till.
Agreed regarding Deadwyler
I wish there was a way to see the movie - which on demand did you find it on?
@@freemangriffin4953 available to rent for $6.99 on iTunes, Amazon Prime Video, Google Play, Vudu, and RUclips, but unfortunately hasn’t hit a major streaming service yet. I rented it for $5.99 on Xfinity.
Loved this video. Love all of these. I will say though, I was blown away by Bassett from the get-go. There's so much chatter that "she isn't in it very much" -- which I just don't get. Especially early on, I felt like she was in it A LOT, until she's not. And then when she's not, her hangs in the air. When she IS onscreen, I thought she was moving, nuanced and powerful.
The reason why Bassett became the frontrunner is because Michelle Williams gave up her spot and basically a guaranteed win. So film Twitter didn't know who to champion. I actually argue that the frontrunner was Jamie Lee Curtis an overdue legend whose hot because of Halloween Ends, Knives Out OG, and EEAAO all at once. The issue was in the midst of the confusion. Globes were the first awards show and I'm convinced they were ready to give JLC the globe, the problem was Yeoh was the only logical winner for Lead Actress Comedy, and KHQ was the sweeper for supporting. That means if JLC won then one film would've won 3 Globes and even they knew that was overkill. Condon didn't have the name or icon status of Bassett and JLC to ever be a real contender but with JLC pushed to the side to allow Yeoh and Quans win, the only leftover nominee was Queen Angela Bassett. Previous Globes winner and overdue veteran. So if JLC couldn't, they could reward Bassett. Then Critics realized that wait she's Angela Bassett and probably going to win SAG, so let's predict her to launch her to the Oscars and because we want an overdue legend to get her gold as well. Plus mix in visibility of Black Panther, her character is a mourning mother who dies herself, her role has Oscar clips, and lingering grief of Chadwick Bosemans death. Which means giving her the Oscar is a way to celebrate Boseman especially how after the Academy did him dirty when they didn't give him the Oscar for Ma Raineys. This is how Bassett won the Oscar
The only way she loses the Oscar is if JLC wins BAFTA, and they the Brits upset her to win. But either way 100 an overdue legend is winning this all because Michelle Williams campaigned for Lead Actress
I think Michelle Yeoh will win over Blanchett now because of the film she's in receiving 11 nods and to have a historical win. Shameful that Danielle Deadwyler didn't get a nod.
Cate was amazing but boring movie to me
I thnk the votes that may have gone to Deadwyler or Viola are more likely top shift to Yeoh than the others + Riseborough will take votes from Blanchett possibly opening the door for Michelle. Still.......it's a BIG hill to climb - people are comparing Blanchett to Daniel Day-Lewis as far as Masterclass performances (though he did lose for Gangs of New York + Phantom Thread)
"I don't know how your brain works" is the quote of the day.
Chris, I don't think you're an idiot or a hack, I love your enthusiasm. You called Brian Tyree Henry and stuck to your guns! I had him for a few months and then dropped him after Redmayne got in at BAFTA. I also had Park Chan-wook and Ruben Ostlund in for Director since the Predictions Centre opened and only dropped Ostlund after BAFTA nominations.
So Danielle Deadwyler lost to a Hillbilly Elegy type performance? Got it.
For the obvious reason, note my sarcasm.
Oh please. By Hollywood's standards, "hillbilly" is any white person NOT from New York or LA. How Riseborough delivers complete authenticity in her performance while avoiding all of the obvious cliches' is breathtaking to watch.
Riseborough deserves to be nominated. Deadwyler wasn't that good.
Riseborough had a more impressive performance 🤷🏼♂️
If people actually cared about extraordinary acting, Ana de Armas would win for showing the most range
Would appreciate if you would give a spoiler alert before giving a major spoiler in a film. Thanks
The last time Best Actor had all first time nominees was 1934. There were only 3 nominees that year; Clark Gable(winner, It happened one night),William Powell (Thin man) and Frank Morgan ( Affairs of Cellini).
She Said is a better film than any of the BP nominees (save EEAO)
I can’t justify giving EEAO a clear advantage over Banshees quite yet. Both got pretty much everything they should have, EEAO has the small edge since Banshees was never contenting for song and costumes.
More options than those, and WAY too early to pick a winner. EEAO lost some steam with the BAFTA nominations, and this was even the case for the UK (Irish) film Banshees to receive LESS nominations than All Quiet on the Western Front. Top Gun: Maverick is a serious contender for PGA, and that may carry it to Oscar Best Picture. The Fabelmans has checked all the precursor and festival boxes, and, heck, even Tar is professed to have a lot of #1 votes according to Gold Derby and many Academy voters.
Won't it be great if the Angela Bassett nod becomes The Mirror has Two Faces with the Binoche win going to one of the EEAAO nods? YAY!!!
It could happen but they could cancel each other out and give Bassett the win
I think the most deserving of the 5 is Hong Chau.
@@trao1938 Yep, Hong Chau in The Whale gave the best sup actress role of the year
Been waiting all day for this video!
Knew this would be a good one. Am thrilled for "Women Talking," "EO," Paul Mescal, Stephanie Hsu, Brian Tyree Henry; sad about "Decision to Leave," Paul Dano, "Top Gun" Cinematography, Danielle Deadwyler. Andrea Riseborough now wins the Sally Kirkland Grassroots Campaign Award (it's like the Thalberg, only shinier). I also liked the presentation by Riz and Allison. It's going to be a very wild campaign season. Let the games begin. As ever, youse twose are the berries. More, please, thank you.
I wonder if the subject matter - Harvey Weinstein, was too much for the Oscar’s to recognize knowing how much he played a role in the Academy awards in the 90’s and early 2000s. That could be why She Said didn’t make it. It was one of my favorites of the year.
Shame.
Weinstein practically dominated and ruled the academy awards for a good decade. I wouldn't be surprised if it came out that he practically called the shots.
FINALLY Andrea Riseborough gets some recognition! And for one of her absolute best performances, too (there are a *lot* of them)
I am just totally stunned at this year's nominations. So many inspired choices across the board.
Yep, it pays to be good friends with the Hollywood white privilege clique; Gwenyth Paltrow and Edward Norton.
I think All Quiet has an easy path to Cinematography. And it feels like the 'oh wow!' type of winner that somehow gets another tech or two that no one was expecting. Either PD or Hair/Make-Up, if there is tight voting happening between it, Elvis and The Whale. But I do think it, at least, gets Cinematography along with International..
And I think you're mayyybe overthinking Song, a bit. Yes, someone like Gaga or Rihanna could win because their films received nominations. But I think the prior wins for Naatu Naatu + the love for RRR will push it over the top (and the moment it would get on stage). I will be surprised if it doesn't win. But of course, I could be dead wrong, Lol.
Oh, how I've been waiting for this! 😂
Most happy for Jamie Lee. She has her nomination!!!
Then, Paul. My favorite movie of the year,
I am so happy for Andrea!
Let's go Angela!!!
You’re way overestimating EEAAO’s chances. On a preferential ballot it will get a certain amount of 1s but I think an awful lot of 9s and 10s rather than 2s. That’s how polarizing this film is. I think Ke Huy Quan could be the only winner from it. Although I have a sneaking suspicion Judd Hirsch pulls out a shock win.
Plus Banshees did just as well. Yes it got two less, but it was never gonna get quite as many below the line nominations as EEAO since it was never competing in costumes and original song.
I doubt he loses - the closest thing I can think of is Eddie Murphy vs. Alan Arkin. Eddie had a bad reputation for his movie choices in the past + the timing of the Norbit movie release opening the door for the Veteran. People LOVE Ke Huy Quan!
@@kevink9764 arkin won bafta too
nah if anyone upset quan it's keoghan
Voters nominate who/what they like the most. It doesn't matter where or how they heard about that performance, or how many others liked it. Andrea Riseborough actually has a chance of winning this year, her performance is stellar and the fact that so many fellow actresses agree says a lot. Reminds me of back when Tom Cruise and Morgan Freeman lost the Oscar to Daniel Day-Lewis. The perceived backlash over Riseborough's nomination is embarrassing and destructive. She didn't take anyone's 'spot.' She got the nomination for giving a great performance, which is how the voting process is supposed to work. Ro quote Lydia Tar, "Don't be so eager to be offended."
@1:01:40 Lord of The Return of the King (the 3rd film) was the movie that won best picture from that franchise. The academy wasn't over it until the Hobbit.
I've watched To Leslie and Andrea R. was astounding and gave the best performance of the year for me.
Does she even like her co-host? I've noticed quite a bit of attitude and eye-rolling at most things he says. It's like she's just here until a better gig comes along.
It’s just banter mate
I am finding it very distressing that Banshees might go home empty handed ): At least give it Original Screenplay, academy! I would give it 6 awards: BP, Director, Actor, Supporting Actor (Keoghan), Supporting Actress, and Original Screenplay. I love Everything Everywhere but Banshees for me is the better movie.
the most obnoxious fan bases this awards seasons have been Austin Butler and Angela Basett's - they make me not want them to win. Both are my second choices in their categories. Do they have to be so obnoxious?
Interessante rever as previsões desses dois em agosto, na época nem citaram everything everywhere all at once
I feel awful for Danielle Deadwyler and Viola Davis, after they both campaigned so long and hard for themselves and their movies, just to be lowballed at the last minute by CAA's gorilla tactics to get their client in. No one was even watching that movie and there was next to no campaign (not even zooms) prior to the last weekend. The optics of this is really bad. But kudos to CAA for changing the way award campaigns will be done in future. Michelle Yeoh for the win!
Exactly! I haven't watched the movie and don't care how good she is in that movie but this isn't how you play the game! Like, you had no money to campaign for so long but all of a sudden on the voting day you wake up and yell I want the Oscars and all of a sudden your powerful 'friends' starts to help you PR by 'copy and paste'? This is a JOKE!
I don't understand. Why? What's wrong about it? What's unfair? Is getting in without campaigning at all 'unfair' as well? Or is saying that you badly want the nom not ok? There are no rules.
@@kevinappearshere So you want Andrea out of the line eventhough you haven't seen her movie and you have no interest in it? Okay boomer
Sure no one watched the movie but Andrea's Oscar nom was nice enough for more people to know what she did in that movie. The best thing about the Oscars was discovering some acclaimed movies that i never heard off through it's nomination especially Best Internasional Feature and To Leslie was an example
@kevinappearshere Every other nominee could have done the same thing if they had thought of it. Personally I think it is unfair that the big studios put so much money into campaigning for their stars, anyone in a small independent film hasn't got a hope in hell of being recognised. Weinstein was guilty of campaigning hard for his films. That's why Shakespeare in Love did so well.
I could imagine (and fear) some Academy members avoiding Women Talking for its subject matter and choosing a crowd-pleaser like Top Gun: Maverick (a movie everyone has seen) to win Best Adapted Screenplay. If it can win adapted along with Best Editing, it could easily speed-run a Best Picture win along with it.
Top Gun was a great movie and there’d be no problem winning adapted screenplay, it totally deserves!
@@Spaceghost22it's one of my favourites. I'm concerned the lack of support for Women Talking could cause some voter a to skip it.
Argentina 1985 seems unstoppable right now. I think the only other movie than can beat it is Eo.
I saw it today, but for me All Quiet is a better film. The ending of Argentina 1985 was anticlimactic.
@@petrilio And in 2009 everybody assumed The White ribbon or A prophet would win. I didn't say Argentina 1985 was better or worse than All quiet. However, I have the feeling it's gonna win.
Joyce your humor is everything!
Riseborough is fantastic in To Leslie.
Can you please advise *contains spoilers* in your title rather than announcing a spoiler one second before spilling it ?!?!?!?!?
Thank you, yess!!
Catherine Martin has won every time she's had double nominations in Costume and Art Direction/Production Design. She lost when she was only nominated for Art Direction for Romeo + Juliet and lost Costume Design for Australia. She won both awards for Moulin Rouge! and The Great Gatsby. I've got Elvis for Production Design and Costumes.
Apparently she's the most awarded Australian in Oscar history with 4 Oscar wins in her belt. Add 2 more with Elvis, she might break her own record lol. It's amazing that she took different job in one movie and did all very well
Academy is investing Andrea’s nomination.
Woman King was way better than Women talking.
No
What happen to Danielle Deadwyler? That To Lesile and Blonde most be such awesome films?
Who do you think will win Best Actor?
I think the academy choice would be Austin Butler (the type of role the Oscars reward every single year), but I wouldn't underestimate Colin Farrell. For Brendan Fraser is an uphill battle without Best Picture nod for "The Whale" and just can't see him winning.
Nominating anything related to the Woman King is insulting. Why are people unable to take thirty seconds to look up the "True Story" behind the movie. Schindler's List didn't pretend the Nazi's were the good guys.
Not certain Joyce that Angela Bassett is winning because she's that much of a legend. A genuine legend, Lauren Bacall won the precursors and still lost the Oscar. Plus, you two are starting to worry me. Top Gun's screenplay is sheet.It's militaristic, macho propaganda ...such a turn off.
I hope you are not questioning Angela Bassett's status as a legend.
@@nycartist3421 No, I love Angela Bassett. But she's not Hollywood royalty like Lauren Bacall was. There are very few people with that kind of legendary status. Maybe when she turns 75.
Without getting too into the talk about legendary status, Lauren Bacall lost to a performance from a rising star in a Best Picture winner and the movie Bacall was in itself had a lukewarm reception at best. Fortunately for Angela Bassett (who I also consider a legend!), Jamie Lee Curtis and Stephanie Hsu are likely to take votes from each other and Bassett's movie was very popular. Kerry Condon is in a Best Picture nominee though she hasn't won anything yet, which to me says something because most of these Oscar prediction experts had her ahead of Angela Bassett for awards like the Golden Globe.
,@@smann87 I don't disagree with that, but Black Panther: Wakanda Forever is not exactly high art, and can't be considered in the same league as "The English Patient." I adore Angela Bassett. I just wish she were going to be awarded for a film that is equal to her amazing talent.
@@josephdigristina2808 - ideally, I would agree with you though an important issue to recognize is that people of color often don’t get any roles that white people often do which more easily generate the buzz of being Oscar worthy. We all seem to agree on Angela Bassett’s talent yet over the course of a career spanning at least five decades has she rarely been able to find roles that helped get her the right buzz. Both of her Oscar nominations came from roles specifically written for a black actress which says something about the casting problems faced by people of color in Hollywood.
Joyce is a meme, love her
top gun saved cinema it should be winning