Rooting for Best Actor: Austin Butler Best Actress: Michelle Yeoh Sup Actor: Ke Huy Quan Sup Actress: Kerry Condon Cinematography, Costume, Hair&Makeup : Elvis Best International Film: All Quiet
I wonder if James Hong at the SAG awards saying EEAAO needs to be watched a second or third time has allowed some (older and confused voters) to reassess the film and appreciate not every movie needs to be perfectly digested on first viewing. EEAAO is the definition of a movie with layers that need to be examined and explored with repeat viewings. It will be a highly deserving Best Picture winner should it win.
I feel Austin is gonna win because he put in the work in making sure Elvis wasn’t the caricature or impersonation that we as the public know Elvis can be. He was AMAZING and deserves the win I hope Michelle Yeoh wins but I won’t be surprised if Cate Blanchett wins because her performance in TAR is what I call is an OMFG performance but in a good way. This might be the evil in me but I kinda want an Elvis sweep just so I can see film twitter explode with tantrums 😈
Jonathan Wong, EEAAO’s Producer said during the Producer’s Roundtable that the $25 million budget going around is incorrect and that it was actually only $14.3 million.
When a movie sticks to you for days, weeks, months after you see it on the big screen, there’s something spiritual going on. What Austin Butler did was more than a performance, but rather guided by something unseen. Watching him was a transcendental experience. That doesn’t happen very often.
crazy how the same thing happened to me? this hasn't happened in a long time for me, a movie sticking in my head for so long, wanting to rewatch it?? it's insane, i don't know what he did but he did it. The performance of a lifetime, IMO. He truly deserves this.
@@strayfreckles The last time it happened to me was in the live theatre. A production of Richard II blew my mind. I didn’t realize I was sitting in a seat and at the end I flew out of my seat, applauding, totally unaware or caring what anyone else was doing. Of course, everyone was doing the same. The lead actor died shortly after that from HIV/Aides…I think he was connecting to the spirit world.
This is the last of the various prediction shows we will catch; turns out that we saved the best for last. LOVE your picks - especially the willingness to buck the odds in the shorts category -- and am in complete agreement with the choices and rationales theretofore, though as always we hope for worthy upsets, operative word being "worthy" -- "Crash" over "Brokeback" may be the most shocking upset ever. As for top 4 Oscar-winning original screenplays, "Citizen Kane," "All About Eve," "The Apartment" and "Network" all spring to mind.. Overdue actor: Derek Jacobi, Mary Kay Place, Rita Wilson. Some of your quips are as good as anything we've gotten from this particular slugfest all year. Moreover, the chemistry between Chris' enthusiastic energy and Joyce's affectionate acerbity continues unrivalled. Cannot wait to see the recap after Sunday. Once again, with feeling: youse twose are the berries. More, please, thank you.
I totally agree that EEAAO is perhaps best original “concept.” But that is not exactly the same thing as best original screenplay. When you have a line in a film like “I just came up to bring you your finger back,” I’d vote for that screenplay hands down!
@@charlesfranklinlambeth3944 Yeah, it depends on how the voters of the Academy interpret the "Best Original Screenplay" category. If they emphasize the screenplay aspect of this category then Banshees would win because it is more of a writing film, heavy on dialogue. If they emphasize the original element of this category then EEAAO would take it. It'll be interesting to see how it plays out Sunday.
the difference between andrea and michelle is andrea’s marketing team did not push for the film and her best pals all sworn in to push for it. where else michelle is just sharing the fact. i mean, how many times the oscars need to give the award to biopics or movie about depression and addiction?
Michelle was always winning. I've stuck with her this entire time. I wasn't at all surprised by the wins. Cate was expected to win BAFTA, Michelle SAG, they each took a Globe. CCA is such a non factor, as you guys repeatedly state, they only want to predict the Oscar. Even though Chris did say after CCA that Cate would sweep the rest of the season. Cate wants the 3rd Oscar, 100%. Her reactions from CCA to BAFTA to SAG to the Spirit Awards, has shown she's not all that blaise about the awards. It's Michelle's moment. EEAAO is a juggernaut of a film. It's their time and it's deserved.
Lol people have just jumped on the EEAAO bandwagon because the cast are out begging for the awards. Cate was clearly the best performance of the year, but Michelle can get her award and be happy that she "made history".
I have Everything Everywhere winning 6, Elvis winning 5, and no other film more than once. I'm not going to change it. When I think about it too much I make it worse. Regarding song, the last time a song beat a song that won both the Golden Globes and the Critic's Choice award was Jai Ho, an Indian song tied to the best picture winner. So the best bets are Naatu Naatu and This is a Life.
I honestly do not think Cate was better than Michelle. I think the performances were so different. We think of Cate as better because it is what we expect of an Oscar movie. Michelle meanwhile did every aspect of acting and made it work in one movie.
totally agree. For all the praise given to Cate, I would give the same to Michelle. The 2 movies couldn't be more different than each other. If anything, how I distinguish them is whether another actress can play Lydia Tar / Evelyn Wang. I can think of 3 names for Lydia Tar but no other for Evelyn Wang, and that's not because there are inherently fewer Asian actresses working in Hollywood.
@Jane Choy that is exactly what I have been saying to people! I say, Michelle or viola davis could have stepped into that role and been amazing in their own way. Amazing acting starts with a great script and production team. People like Cate get those roles cause she has the look and resume to get her hired. But he role is interchangeable. And Cate could never be Evelyn, as you said. Let Michelle win the Oscar. It will give her the status to finally get roles like Tar. Producers can't see it because it's never been done.
Honestly do not agree with Bardo being a filler nomination for cinematography. Watched it yesterday and its cinematography is incredible. It’s the best thing about the movie.
All that breathes or all the beauty and blooshed will win bcz Oscar are more liberal to international subjects ranging from topics like healthcare women rights pollution but bafta is more conservative in approach. Remember period end of sentence winning over major documentries of usa. Navalny feels more like propaganda rather than documentry. Iam rooting for all that breathes bcz shaunak sen it's director is a sheer genius
Are they going to give the Daniels three Oscars? You see, though, and I'm sure you know... They don't list the names of nominees on the ballot excepts for performers. While voters might know who's doing what in these non-performing categories, when they're marking the ballots they're not being reminded that they are voting for the Daniels three times. They're voting for the movies and aren't necessarily obsessed on who's receiving the trophies, except for the spelt out, highly publicized and politicized acting categories.
@@slickwill9000 Technically, Bong didn't get the trophy for Foreign Language Film. His country does. He gets to make the speech and receive it on South Korea's behalf.
@@aftarsun The Fabelmans have their passionate fans regardless of what is considered the "momentum", otherwise it would've been called #MomentumOscars Some films have been so heavily pushed this year that there has been a marketing brainwash
@@simonemoncada I loved The Fabelmans, but I think if there was a passion for the movie it would've gotten deserved nominations in Best Editing, Best Costume Design, Best Cinematography, and Paul Dano.
Why would Kerry win? BAFTA got Jennifer Lawrence, Rachel Weisz, Kate Winslet, and Helena Bonham Carter all wrong last decade??????? SAG is wayyyyy more accurate in this category guys!
The arguments against Frances McDormand getting a third Oscar were similar to the ones we're getting for Cate Blanchett but this one is a bit more vicious. It's still a photo finish until Sunday night. Who do I think wins? Boringly, it'll probably be Cate.
Joyce and Chris…loved the four best iconic screenplay question….I’ll go with All About Eve, Chinatown, Network, and I’m going to say The Graduate (even though it didn’t win…how did that movie not win for screenplay?)
you are absolutely right! this movie talks about the cultural wars of our era and the ways we are constructed as social subjects like no ther. A legend of a film for the Ages, with the misfortune of getting released in an era that social media accounts are against arthouse cinema
@@allabouteve2390Social media has helped promote Tar and other arthouse movies, how is it against it? There are going to be people on any platform in any time period who are not interested in arthouse movies.
@@Rob16164 social networks promote an uncritical discourse on the evaluation of reality, construct identities that stand against it and cultural ghettos. From this point of view, the hysterical cries of fans of any film cannot prevent the creation and dominance of an audience that stands against quality cinema.
I hope it happens... Todd Field is so underrated; his In the Bedroom was one of the most devastating movies about grief with such unique vision and it's basically buried and forgotten...
Y’all aren’t even giving into the performance difficulties. Angela did her own swimming stunts and had real emotion. Like stop dismissing her because you have implicit bias. Then you’ll blame marvel. But news flash the Oscar’s owe her and they love to makeup for their mistakes. Plus she already has a sag for the same character. And who cares about baftas like y’all pick and choose when you want to follow the Brits.
?? Questions to Joyce and Christopher: 1. Doesn’t losing SAG upset Austin’s momentum since all the Oscar voting came after that? 2. If the biopic narrative always gets it, why not Anna de Armas for Blonde or Taren Egerton for Rocket Man? I’m sincerely curious.
Good question. I guess I would say with regard to Ana, that she even got nominated is a testament to the strength of biopic narratives -- that movie was widely disliked by critics, viewers, and presumably members of the industry. Taron could've gotten in that year but again, the movie wasn't particularly strong. For Butler, Elvis is very strong as a nominee and seven of the last 10 Best Actor winners are biopic roles -- plus, an actor hasn't won in this category without a Best Picture nomination in the last 13 years. So then you're left with Butler vs. Farrell, and Butler has the edge to me because of the biopic factor.
@@chrisjrosen Thank you so much for responding to my question. I’ve seen all three performances (Austin, Colin and Brendan). I do hope that Austin wins because I feel there was so much more to the role that drew on so many levels of talent needed in comparison to the others. But I am wondering if the Brendan narrative and the extremely sensitive good guy thing he has shown in interviews and speeches will be what gets him there. His long career is certainly not relevant to me because it’s not like his previous roles were considered Oscar worthy. Austin (supporting role) as Tex Watson was fantastic and also transformative. Colin is just good at everything he does, but I think his personal bad boy stuff has inhibited him in the past with nominations… This could be a JB Crazy Heart scenario with Fraser but I hope not. Thanks again.
@@chrisjrosen regarding the Rocketman. Do you think it was problematic because the Elton character came off as a real jerk? That’s why I didn’t like it.
for me Michelle's post actually admits Blanchett is the top actress of our times but herself (Michelle) has to be awarded not for the best performance but for the narrative... facts! and i don;t remember this kind of intense reaction when other actresses got it for the 3rd time not for the best performance of their lives... right?! Also lets cut the crap, this year especially people were so confused that many waited until the last moment.
@@janechoy2073 it is not her fault, these people have their teams to renew their pages, but someone from her team obviously broke Academy''s rules. She could have used the "michelle you Blew my mind" Blanchett's praise. In other words instead of projecting why a fellow actress should not get awarded, to concentrate on why she should
@Christopher Rosen you can have favorites but that doesn't mean that your favorites are going to win just because you like some things about those movies. And yes, answering your question there ARE many ways, and picking your personal favs as winners isn't one.
@Christopher Rosen I do understand that. But just as an example you're picking Top Gun in Song and Elvis in production design where those clearly aren't front runners not major upseters... I'm just saying that when predicting any kind of favoritism has to be put apart. Let's see what happens Sunday night
Ok I'm sorry but this whole Cate doesn't want to win stuff is so not true, so many people just run with this but Cate when giving her BAFTA speech specifically and just in different talks she has done during this season and with how much she has promoted this movie it is so clear that this movie means a great deal to her and she said over and over how thankful she was to Todd for giving her this amazing role and how this will probably not happen again that she'll have such a fulfilling and demanding role. She wants to win. Not saying y'all saying this is making any difference especially now that voting is closed and no voters are watching I assume but this fake narrative just always seemed like people who don't want Cate to win just because she already won twice.
God the songs are not what they used to be...................remember "What a feeling", "My Heart Will Go On", "Iris" or "Uninvited" , which both should have been nominated. Even the animated films, "Circle of Life" A Whole New World", "The Colors of the Wind" This category has taken a hit ever since they nominated that awful Counting Crows song from Shrek.
Brenden has, won all he's gonna win. It will be Austin. His movie was a smash the industry loved elvis. Thsts the way it is. Brenden us lucky he won anything really. I don't even know his to spell his name.
@tonygeckler76 Biopics win cause they're more challenging roles especially playing a real person. Which is why it's popular in the Academy and I really don't blame them. Especially playing the King of Rock n' Roll and Austin nailed it! Overall an amazing performance.
Its funny because Cate actually deserves 3 Oscars. She has the range, depth and career to justify it. Meanwhile, Francis McDormand is FAR from the 3- time Oscar tier. I mean she was basically forgotten between 3 billboards and Fargo. I was very disappointed when Francis won. Carey Mulligan or Vanessa Kirby should have won this.
I saw T'ar last night, and while I loved Cate Blanchett's performance, the film felt cold and analytical to me. I also didn't like the character arc of Lydia T'ar's character. Michelle Yeoh's character was fantastic and went through a complete and full arc and I was personally able to connect with her character whereas Cate Blachett's character felt just as abrasive at the end of the film as she did at the beginning. I don't mean to offend anyone who loves this film, but I couldn't connect with it as I could with "Everything Everywhere All at Once".
One of my arguments why it should be Michelle over Cate (other than performance)… Cate will be nominated 5-10 more times in her lifetime. Let’s be real, she is our generations Meryl Streep. Michelle, this will be her only shot.
Lots of people bring this up but idk if it’s really a fair argument. Being nominated opens lots of doors and Michelle has gotten so much exposure and goodwill from this run. It’s not really fair to her to assume this is her only shot. And at the end of the day, no one really knows what lies ahead.
@drawthemap2123 agreed. I don't know the future. She could get 2 amazing roles coming up, nominated 2 more years and win both. Who knows? Why not Award it to the Best - Cate!!!
That is such a stupid argument. How many times has that narrative resulted in a beloved performer never getting their deserved Oscar. It happens, but it makes me so mad. The vote should be based on what happened this year, not those that have past, and definitely not those that haven’t happened yet.
@@ssshar2176 I'm not trying to compare their careers. I'm just saying taking Michelle's on its own, it seems like selling her short to just assume this is her last shot. I know what people mean by it, but it's not an argument with much weight imo.
Great chat, guys. Especially like your 4 best original screenplays. Joyce, if you like Kenny Lonerghan, you must like Margaret, one of my favourite movies of its decade and I love You Can Count On Me too. My honorable mentions would be On The Waterfront, The Apartment, Chinatown, Network, Hannah and Her Sisters, The Piano, Pulp Fiction, Almost Famous, Lost in Translation, Eternal Sunshine of The Spotless Mind and Parasite. My top 4 - Citizen Kane, Butch Cassidy and The SUndance Kid, Dog Day Afternoon and Thelma and Louise
![Tee Grizzley - Blow for Blow (feat. J. Cole) [Official Video]](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/wNLN5xsx5dc/mqdefault.jpg)
Found you both online this year and loved every one of your chats. Here’s to Oscar’s 2024 discussions 🤗
Thanks for watching!
Rooting for
Best Actor: Austin Butler
Best Actress: Michelle Yeoh
Sup Actor: Ke Huy Quan
Sup Actress: Kerry Condon
Cinematography, Costume, Hair&Makeup : Elvis
Best International Film: All Quiet
"the internet is not a real place....."
My favorite quote , today.
I wonder if James Hong at the SAG awards saying EEAAO needs to be watched a second or third time has allowed some (older and confused voters) to reassess the film and appreciate not every movie needs to be perfectly digested on first viewing. EEAAO is the definition of a movie with layers that need to be examined and explored with repeat viewings. It will be a highly deserving Best Picture winner should it win.
I feel Austin is gonna win because he put in the work in making sure Elvis wasn’t the caricature or impersonation that we as the public know Elvis can be. He was AMAZING and deserves the win
I hope Michelle Yeoh wins but I won’t be surprised if Cate Blanchett wins because her performance in TAR is what I call is an OMFG performance but in a good way.
This might be the evil in me but I kinda want an Elvis sweep just so I can see film twitter explode with tantrums 😈
😏
❤
Jonathan Wong, EEAAO’s Producer said during the Producer’s Roundtable that the $25 million budget going around is incorrect and that it was actually only $14.3 million.
the 25 probably includes marketing... which just ASTOUNDS me that they made this movie for < $15m.
When a movie sticks to you for days, weeks, months after you see it on the big screen, there’s something spiritual going on. What Austin Butler did was more than a performance, but rather guided by something unseen. Watching him was a transcendental experience. That doesn’t happen very often.
crazy how the same thing happened to me? this hasn't happened in a long time for me, a movie sticking in my head for so long, wanting to rewatch it?? it's insane, i don't know what he did but he did it. The performance of a lifetime, IMO. He truly deserves this.
@@strayfreckles The last time it happened to me was in the live theatre. A production of Richard II blew my mind. I didn’t realize I was sitting in a seat and at the end I flew out of my seat, applauding, totally unaware or caring what anyone else was doing. Of course, everyone was doing the same. The lead actor died shortly after that from HIV/Aides…I think he was connecting to the spirit world.
This is the last of the various prediction shows we will catch; turns out that we saved the best for last. LOVE your picks - especially the willingness to buck the odds in the shorts category -- and am in complete agreement with the choices and rationales theretofore, though as always we hope for worthy upsets, operative word being "worthy" -- "Crash" over "Brokeback" may be the most shocking upset ever. As for top 4 Oscar-winning original screenplays, "Citizen Kane," "All About Eve," "The Apartment" and "Network" all spring to mind.. Overdue actor: Derek Jacobi, Mary Kay Place, Rita Wilson. Some of your quips are as good as anything we've gotten from this particular slugfest all year. Moreover, the chemistry between Chris' enthusiastic energy and Joyce's affectionate acerbity continues unrivalled. Cannot wait to see the recap after Sunday. Once again, with feeling: youse twose are the berries. More, please, thank you.
Great conversation! I've seen other Oscar prediction videos but I enjoy Chris and Joyce the most! You two are fun and insightful
Elvis with the 5 Oscars (I really hope so!!!) I’m with you!! 😊 Austin fan since Nickelodeon/Disney days!
Love the thoughtful back and forth discourse between the two of you. Like watching a really good ping pong match!
I totally agree that EEAAO is perhaps best original “concept.” But that is not exactly the same thing as best original screenplay. When you have a line in a film like “I just came up to bring you your finger back,” I’d vote for that screenplay hands down!
you know that screenplay is more than just a few lines of dialogue right?
@@yk1997-o8q well duh…Banshees had a lot more than just a few lines of good dialogue.
@@charlesfranklinlambeth3944 Yeah, it depends on how the voters of the Academy interpret the "Best Original Screenplay" category. If they emphasize the screenplay aspect of this category then Banshees would win because it is more of a writing film, heavy on dialogue. If they emphasize the original element of this category then EEAAO would take it. It'll be interesting to see how it plays out Sunday.
the difference between andrea and michelle is andrea’s marketing team did not push for the film and her best pals all sworn in to push for it. where else michelle is just sharing the fact. i mean, how many times the oscars need to give the award to biopics or movie about depression and addiction?
Good stuff guys
Michelle was always winning. I've stuck with her this entire time. I wasn't at all surprised by the wins. Cate was expected to win BAFTA, Michelle SAG, they each took a Globe. CCA is such a non factor, as you guys repeatedly state, they only want to predict the Oscar. Even though Chris did say after CCA that Cate would sweep the rest of the season. Cate wants the 3rd Oscar, 100%. Her reactions from CCA to BAFTA to SAG to the Spirit Awards, has shown she's not all that blaise about the awards. It's Michelle's moment. EEAAO is a juggernaut of a film. It's their time and it's deserved.
Swing and a miss for me! Thanks for watching.
Lol people have just jumped on the EEAAO bandwagon because the cast are out begging for the awards. Cate was clearly the best performance of the year, but Michelle can get her award and be happy that she "made history".
I have Everything Everywhere winning 6, Elvis winning 5, and no other film more than once. I'm not going to change it. When I think about it too much I make it worse.
Regarding song, the last time a song beat a song that won both the Golden Globes and the Critic's Choice award was Jai Ho, an Indian song tied to the best picture winner. So the best bets are Naatu Naatu and This is a Life.
Carter Burwell- God's and Monsters; sooo great!!!
I honestly do not think Cate was better than Michelle. I think the performances were so different. We think of Cate as better because it is what we expect of an Oscar movie. Michelle meanwhile did every aspect of acting and made it work in one movie.
totally agree. For all the praise given to Cate, I would give the same to Michelle. The 2 movies couldn't be more different than each other. If anything, how I distinguish them is whether another actress can play Lydia Tar / Evelyn Wang. I can think of 3 names for Lydia Tar but no other for Evelyn Wang, and that's not because there are inherently fewer Asian actresses working in Hollywood.
@Jane Choy that is exactly what I have been saying to people! I say, Michelle or viola davis could have stepped into that role and been amazing in their own way. Amazing acting starts with a great script and production team. People like Cate get those roles cause she has the look and resume to get her hired. But he role is interchangeable. And Cate could never be Evelyn, as you said. Let Michelle win the Oscar. It will give her the status to finally get roles like Tar. Producers can't see it because it's never been done.
Naatu Naatu for the win!! 🔥🔥🔥
Honestly do not agree with Bardo being a filler nomination for cinematography. Watched it yesterday and its cinematography is incredible. It’s the best thing about the movie.
I highly doubt Tar is going home empty handed. Get ready for some upsets.
Steve Buscemi for Best Actor!
54:57 This guy is crazy to say that
Angela is still winning. I don’t understand why you’re so convinced Kerry is going to win here.
All that breathes or all the beauty and blooshed will win bcz Oscar are more liberal to international subjects ranging from topics like healthcare women rights pollution but bafta is more conservative in approach. Remember period end of sentence winning over major documentries of usa. Navalny feels more like propaganda rather than documentry. Iam rooting for all that breathes bcz shaunak sen it's director is a sheer genius
EEAAO is the most overrated movie of year
💯
This is Angela’s year….. Rooting for Angela Bassett all the way…
Are they going to give the Daniels three Oscars? You see, though, and I'm sure you know... They don't list the names of nominees on the ballot excepts for performers. While voters might know who's doing what in these non-performing categories, when they're marking the ballots they're not being reminded that they are voting for the Daniels three times. They're voting for the movies and aren't necessarily obsessed on who's receiving the trophies, except for the spelt out, highly publicized and politicized acting categories.
They gave Bong Joon-ho four Oscars in one night. Just putting that out there.
@@slickwill9000 and soooo well deserved 👏 🙌 👍
@@timgriffin3368 Big facts. Just watched that movie again last week.
@@slickwill9000 Technically, Bong didn't get the trophy for Foreign Language Film. His country does. He gets to make the speech and receive it on South Korea's behalf.
@@TimeIdle you're probably so quiet in life with only balls to correct people online. How sad
There's no passion for The Fabelmans? This is ridiculous. You should change job for sure.
It’s true though… there are individuals who like it but it doesn’t have enough momentum.
@@aftarsun The Fabelmans have their passionate fans regardless of what is considered the "momentum", otherwise it would've been called #MomentumOscars
Some films have been so heavily pushed this year that there has been a marketing brainwash
@@simonemoncada I loved The Fabelmans, but I think if there was a passion for the movie it would've gotten deserved nominations in Best Editing, Best Costume Design, Best Cinematography, and Paul Dano.
@@simonemoncada If it had passion it would have won some guild awards. Seriously are you really this clueless?
Why would Kerry win? BAFTA got Jennifer Lawrence, Rachel Weisz, Kate Winslet, and Helena Bonham Carter all wrong last decade??????? SAG is wayyyyy more accurate in this category guys!
austin lets gooo
Austin Butler is Best Actor without a doubt
biopic fatigue
The budget for Everything was around 15 million, according to one of the Daniels.
The arguments against Frances McDormand getting a third Oscar were similar to the ones we're getting for Cate Blanchett but this one is a bit more vicious.
It's still a photo finish until Sunday night.
Who do I think wins? Boringly, it'll probably be Cate.
I do agree, but the difference is Frances was competing with a Best Picture frontrunner and Cate is not.
Joyce and Chris…loved the four best iconic screenplay question….I’ll go with All About Eve, Chinatown, Network, and I’m going to say The Graduate (even though it didn’t win…how did that movie not win for screenplay?)
Regardless if Cate wins or not, I absolutely love that Lydia Tár is becoming an iconic movie character. She will be talked about for years to come.
I am not, Lydia is such an intelectually dishonest study character.
you are absolutely right! this movie talks about the cultural wars of our era and the ways we are constructed as social subjects like no ther. A legend of a film for the Ages, with the misfortune of getting released in an era that social media accounts are against arthouse cinema
@@allabouteve2390Social media has helped promote Tar and other arthouse movies, how is it against it? There are going to be people on any platform in any time period who are not interested in arthouse movies.
@@Rob16164 social networks promote an uncritical discourse on the evaluation of reality, construct identities that stand against it and cultural ghettos. From this point of view, the hysterical cries of fans of any film cannot prevent the creation and dominance of an audience that stands against quality cinema.
I hope it happens... Todd Field is so underrated; his In the Bedroom was one of the most devastating movies about grief with such unique vision and it's basically buried and forgotten...
Y’all aren’t even giving into the performance difficulties. Angela did her own swimming stunts and had real emotion. Like stop dismissing her because you have implicit bias. Then you’ll blame marvel. But news flash the Oscar’s owe her and they love to makeup for their mistakes. Plus she already has a sag for the same character. And who cares about baftas like y’all pick and choose when you want to follow the Brits.
I would be so happy if Cate and Michelle tied at the oscars! THAT WOULD BE EPIC!
It Could happen with preferential
Team Tie here as well!!!!
I'd vote for a tie here as well. Unlikely to happen given how many voters there are in the Academy, but one can dream lol.
Re: Best Song, “Naatu Naatu” won both the Globe AND Critics’ Choice. Historically, that’s a pretty tough combo to beat…
?? Questions to Joyce and Christopher: 1. Doesn’t losing SAG upset Austin’s momentum since all the Oscar voting came after that? 2. If the biopic narrative always gets it, why not Anna de Armas for Blonde or Taren Egerton for Rocket Man? I’m sincerely curious.
Good question. I guess I would say with regard to Ana, that she even got nominated is a testament to the strength of biopic narratives -- that movie was widely disliked by critics, viewers, and presumably members of the industry. Taron could've gotten in that year but again, the movie wasn't particularly strong. For Butler, Elvis is very strong as a nominee and seven of the last 10 Best Actor winners are biopic roles -- plus, an actor hasn't won in this category without a Best Picture nomination in the last 13 years. So then you're left with Butler vs. Farrell, and Butler has the edge to me because of the biopic factor.
Butler won golden and Bafta. Sag is not important to the public.
@@chrisjrosen Thank you so much for responding to my question. I’ve seen all three performances (Austin, Colin and Brendan). I do hope that Austin wins because I feel there was so much more to the role that drew on so many levels of talent needed in comparison to the others. But I am wondering if the Brendan narrative and the extremely sensitive good guy thing he has shown in interviews and speeches will be what gets him there. His long career is certainly not relevant to me because it’s not like his previous roles were considered Oscar worthy. Austin (supporting role) as Tex Watson was fantastic and also transformative. Colin is just good at everything he does, but I think his personal bad boy stuff has inhibited him in the past with nominations… This could be a JB Crazy Heart scenario with Fraser but I hope not. Thanks again.
@@chrisjrosen regarding the Rocketman. Do you think it was problematic because the Elton character came off as a real jerk? That’s why I didn’t like it.
@@ldfm-z5r Thank you for taking the time to listen and comment!
You've got guts, Chris. You've gone way out on a limb with so many categories. My clangers are not that big.
for me Michelle's post actually admits Blanchett is the top actress of our times but herself (Michelle) has to be awarded not for the best performance but for the narrative... facts! and i don;t remember this kind of intense reaction when other actresses got it for the 3rd time not for the best performance of their lives... right?! Also lets cut the crap, this year especially people were so confused that many waited until the last moment.
Michelle didn't write that post. It's from Vogue magazine, and she simply shared the entire article because it partly talks about her.
@@janechoy2073 it is not her fault, these people have their teams to renew their pages, but someone from her team obviously broke Academy''s rules. She could have used the "michelle you Blew my mind" Blanchett's praise. In other words instead of projecting why a fellow actress should not get awarded, to concentrate on why she should
Michelle Yeoh will win the Oscar!
Austin Butler (“Elvis”) better than Jamie Foxx (“Ray”)…🥴
Take a shot every time Christopher say that Elvis is beloved and you'd be dead drunk long before this video ends...
So exciting! Can't wait to tuck into this!
Christopher Rosens's arguments for his choices are favoritism-driven. He auto-convinces himself about his own beliefs in a way that is hilarious.
Is there any other way?
@Christopher Rosen you can have favorites but that doesn't mean that your favorites are going to win just because you like some things about those movies. And yes, answering your question there ARE many ways, and picking your personal favs as winners isn't one.
@@charliebeast50 with mostly due respect, if I was picking my favorites, I'd have Top Gun and The Fabelmans winning everything.
@Christopher Rosen I do understand that. But just as an example you're picking Top Gun in Song and Elvis in production design where those clearly aren't front runners not major upseters... I'm just saying that when predicting any kind of favoritism has to be put apart. Let's see what happens Sunday night
@@charliebeast50 To be fair, you're right and I already changed to Babylon and Naatu Naatu again in my picks. "Final" is a loose term, it turns out!
All the Elvis predicted winnings LMAOOO
I agree 100% with your predictions!
Chris “hopeDIcting” again. Elvis winning 5? You are wild sir 😂😂
Is it hopedicting when you don't even particularly like the movie lol I don't even know anymore!
@@chrisjrosen you don’t like Elvis anymore? You said it was a great movie, so I may have taken it wrong.
Ok I'm sorry but this whole Cate doesn't want to win stuff is so not true, so many people just run with this but Cate when giving her BAFTA speech specifically and just in different talks she has done during this season and with how much she has promoted this movie it is so clear that this movie means a great deal to her and she said over and over how thankful she was to Todd for giving her this amazing role and how this will probably not happen again that she'll have such a fulfilling and demanding role. She wants to win. Not saying y'all saying this is making any difference especially now that voting is closed and no voters are watching I assume but this fake narrative just always seemed like people who don't want Cate to win just because she already won twice.
Very true. It's called humility. She probably is pining in private and 'it's all good' in public.
@ 1:27:56 -- is this The Drexel Theatre in Columbus Ohio?
God the songs are not what they used to be...................remember "What a feeling", "My Heart Will Go On", "Iris" or "Uninvited" , which both should have been nominated. Even the animated films, "Circle of Life" A Whole New World", "The Colors of the Wind" This category has taken a hit ever since they nominated that awful Counting Crows song from Shrek.
Skyfall, Shallow
supportng actress should go to Chau but noone talks about it
I’m rooting for Everything Everywhere all at once for best picture and MORE and Brendan Fraser for best actor for The Whale.
Brenden has, won all he's gonna win. It will be Austin. His movie was a smash the industry loved elvis. Thsts the way it is. Brenden us lucky he won anything really. I don't even know his to spell his name.
@tonygeckler76 Biopics win cause they're more challenging roles especially playing a real person. Which is why it's popular in the Academy and I really don't blame them. Especially playing the King of Rock n' Roll and Austin nailed it! Overall an amazing performance.
@@dreamliving9669 ajajaa rami was terrible
the Vogue article is SO on point and truthful.
Daniel Craig deserves to be Oscar nominated!!
What does “I have notes” mean? Does it mean you have a lot of comments or criticisms?
Yes that’s what is means
What's the hate with EEAAO. Just stirring the pot or what?
@@tonyg76 You are far and few between but to each their own.
Its funny because Cate actually deserves 3 Oscars. She has the range, depth and career to justify it.
Meanwhile, Francis McDormand is FAR from the 3- time Oscar tier. I mean she was basically forgotten between 3 billboards and Fargo.
I was very disappointed when Francis won.
Carey Mulligan or Vanessa Kirby should have won this.
Yeah, Nomadland = Boring. Bad year, stupid, Covid. It'll be stained in history.
@tonygeckler76 disagreed on the volume of great movies that came out now vs then. Same with last year actually.
I saw T'ar last night, and while I loved Cate Blanchett's performance, the film felt cold and analytical to me. I also didn't like the character arc of Lydia T'ar's character. Michelle Yeoh's character was fantastic and went through a complete and full arc and I was personally able to connect with her character whereas Cate Blachett's character felt just as abrasive at the end of the film as she did at the beginning. I don't mean to offend anyone who loves this film, but I couldn't connect with it as I could with "Everything Everywhere All at Once".
Felt the same way! And it was too long
One of my arguments why it should be Michelle over Cate (other than performance)… Cate will be nominated 5-10 more times in her lifetime. Let’s be real, she is our generations Meryl Streep. Michelle, this will be her only shot.
Lots of people bring this up but idk if it’s really a fair argument. Being nominated opens lots of doors and Michelle has gotten so much exposure and goodwill from this run. It’s not really fair to her to assume this is her only shot. And at the end of the day, no one really knows what lies ahead.
@@aftarsun she’s been in the business longer than Cate. You can’t compare careers.
@drawthemap2123 agreed. I don't know the future. She could get 2 amazing roles coming up, nominated 2 more years and win both. Who knows? Why not Award it to the Best - Cate!!!
That is such a stupid argument. How many times has that narrative resulted in a beloved performer never getting their deserved Oscar. It happens, but it makes me so mad. The vote should be based on what happened this year, not those that have past, and definitely not those that haven’t happened yet.
@@ssshar2176 I'm not trying to compare their careers. I'm just saying taking Michelle's on its own, it seems like selling her short to just assume this is her last shot. I know what people mean by it, but it's not an argument with much weight imo.
I didn't like EEAAO. It was confusing and too silly.
Great chat, guys. Especially like your 4 best original screenplays. Joyce, if you like Kenny Lonerghan, you must like Margaret, one of my favourite movies of its decade and I love You Can Count On Me too.
My honorable mentions would be On The Waterfront, The Apartment, Chinatown, Network, Hannah and Her Sisters, The Piano, Pulp Fiction, Almost Famous, Lost in Translation, Eternal Sunshine of The Spotless Mind and Parasite.
My top 4 - Citizen Kane, Butch Cassidy and The SUndance Kid, Dog Day Afternoon and Thelma and Louise
I will cry if Michelle Yeoh wins.
Of happiness or sadness?
Happiness, of course!
@@glenn8861 Yay!! 🥲