You're No Rudy - STOP Trying to be Alpha Investments!
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- Опубликовано: 28 июл 2024
- As far as Rudy's business model goes, it's all fugazi and fairy dust. It's probably not smart to structure a business like how he operates.
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Игры
What we see in Rudy as his YT persona is the tip of the iceberg. Below the surface the 90% we don't see is his history and the foundation he laid in traditional investments and an insane amount of cash producing assets. Cardboard is just his play money since all else is taken care of.
Not only that but people forget Rudy has over 3000 Patreon who buys everything he gets, when you sell and get most of your money back if not everything almost instantly any set/product looks good, he literally cannot lose is only a question of how much profit he will get
By cash producing assets you mean his patreon members lol
@@Vinko7469 He owns actual assets like houses & art. Probably gold & silver & has a stock portfolio.
@@rngesus6472 okay?? 3,000 loyal patreon members who pay out monthly is still his greatest asset lol.
Ive strictly been eating tacos for the last 3 months thinking I’d become more like Rudy. I’m still a Timmy.
😂
He is also diversified and def suggests to get your life together before ever touching his style of investing
But also tells you to stay the course and tells you how everything will sky rocket 🚀 like argent saga which he supported and is died out or metazoo which is not doing great but hey atleast mon 1st is at 1k RIGHT? Like rudy said it would be well running his kit with that rudy promo that was supposed to give his patrions a discount that he never honored but hey! If you believe this is a good person to idolize then clearly you are part of the problem.
idolizing is way further than I'm willing to go as i eat popcorn and watch people throw around the term investing when they have very little in actual savings or investments that are legitimate. Not a patron here but as a Econ grad its he has a entertaining take on it. TLDR: don't go to RUclips to learn how to invest your cash. @@tysnow9524
its not investing...there's no investing in MTG unless you're basically a millionaire ALREADY.
My favourite sealed product thats been sitting the last 10 months is the friends we made along the way 🙂
In short Rudy is dealing with massive numbers not just 3-5 cases like the average Juan.
Hello, You are 100% correct here. Unfortunately, most people still will not listen to you. They do not care to understand how these markets work. I know people down six figures with bankruptcy looming and they still believe the market will magically turn in their favor. This is exactly how the junk wax era of sports cards started too. Collectibles are extremely high risk...especially modern era mass produced collectibles that everyone is hoarding at present time.
You'd think that. But pokemon has a track record of success. So it's no sports cards. And besides he says many times 10 years plus+. Also sure people may be hoarding the new stuff. But I watched 5 videos of people selling off cause they made a little bit. Then when everyone made double or triple the market is empty. You win long term.
Data from the BLS shows that approximately 20% of new businesses fail during the first two years of being open, 45% during the first five years, and 65% during the first 10 years. Only 25% of new businesses make it to 15 years or more.
The main reason why Rudy does it this way is because you can’t scale buying singles, sure you can just buy more, but the good deals where you actually make money will soon dry up. While you can scale buying products, because the deals don’t change and you can buy basically as much as you want from distribution.
Ummm didn't rudy sell monarch 1st kits for 500+ with a promo card that has supposed to get his patrions some sort of discount...never happened....Argent saga rudy pumped dead his 6.9 anniversary kits are a joke on the market. But hey rudy would never steer you wrong speaking of which how is metazoo doing? Lol
Only way to scale buying singles is in bulk =]
@@tysnow9524 And that is how you get real honesty. You deserve a lot more thumbs up for honesty.
Yeah, Rudy just trays sealed product like a 10-year CD. He’s got the money, and he figures over 10+ years he’ll probably make at least 5-10% . If you’re not ready to hold for that long, or if you have better investment options, you shouldn’t try to copy him.
People still don't understand that Ruddy it's in a whole different level from a regular person in what is about product adquisition.
The amount of his cash flow, credit line and negotiation power can't be beaten by anyone for this moment.
Just the mere fact of thinking that someone can be like him makes you the greatest and king of all Timmys.
Great video friend.
That's 2 of the things that allows Rudy to do what he does but you still are forgetting the most important one and the most difficult to replicate, his Patreon. His huge Patreon makes him no matter what he is selling he is already recovering most if not going equal in anything he buys so he can keep the rest and always make profits no matter how terrible something ends up being
Rudy can't smell the fire burning in the house of Bezos. His business model is whack and it makes even less sense for the people he preaches to.
I’m sitting on 25 pikachu vmax figure collections from celebrations. They been sitting still for the longest but I still have faith.
Celebrations is about as close to a sure thing as you can get in TCG's because of the base starters. Not sure about going for the figure collections though. I avoided them because they're so big! Mind you if everyone avoided them for that reason then maybe you'll be one of the only ones holding them, which means bigger returns.
Always liked your videos and this is why. Great video and much needed.
I think Rudy would agree with pretty much everything you said.
Thats a funny joke😂
@@sahnikahz ok, I guess
this all depends on the situation you are in. if you want to be selling stuff everyday like a store owner, then ya long term holding might not make as much sense. but if you aren't trying to sell stuff everyday and want a more relaxed style within the hobby, then holding long and not worrying about the day to day makes sense. same goes for the stock market. there's day traders and long term holders. usually the long term holders tend to deal with less stress.
Absolutely spot on Take, good listen. Many Rudy acolytes need to hear this message.
It's a fundamental disconnect between Rudy's investment model and what most people need which is an operator model. Most of us don't need to sit on cards, especially now, because we could just buy CDs if we were just needing to sit on money. We need returns faster, at greater risk, but some of that risk is mitigated by being a decent operator.
The difference I see is that an investor seeks to buy at market price now in hopes that the market price increases a certain amount over a certain lengthy time period. An operator seeks to buy below market price by arbitraging some kind of effort or process to add value to the product and sell quickly at the current market price. And not a lot of people talk about that.
Sounds like a video
Fates collide has an incredible Lugia, Umbreon and Alakazam secret I believe. Great video man. Absolutely love watching your stuff. Always find it informative. Agree about the opportunity cost but also feel his business model does rely heavily on big capital so good point on that.
Spicy take 😂 Hard message to hear but your right in a lot of ways. I'm personally not a business, I'm just a small collector so I still think buying sealed boxes in very low amounts is still a great play longterm for getting the most for my collection. And if im suck with a mountain of valueless products. Will be a fun as shit opening, end of the world party. 😁
I love watching you Rudy and Chase. Helping to get a good perspective on three levels of business models. 😁
Thank you for your kind words =]
Love Fates Collide for the Alakazam EX with Umbreon and Lugia. One of my fave cards! Also had the sick FA Genesect EX.
I buy sealed product the same way i buy into my retirement. Im buying it now, slowly aquiring, with no short term plans of selling. It truely is a LONG term investment. People forget that when your investing for your future, anything over 7 percent average annual return is a win, and it does continue to outpreform in that reguard. Saying it doesnt work just isn't really true, so long as your expectations are rational and your patient.
You’re right, sealed product investment really only works with a ton of product, then you have to have to liquidate at some point. None of this works if you’re on a budget
Thats what people tend to forget about, Rudy is in the 1% of the shiny cardboard world.
More like the 0.001%
I guess about all my sealed stuff didn't move up in value over the last ten month, most of it is actually offered cheaper than 1 year ago. But it doesn't matter to me, so far I can sit on it and wait for better times. Will they come? I don't know. Worst case, I can still open them and have a few drafts. Many few drafts but still.
Things are different now than how they were in the early 2000s when Rudy started with his ideas of AE, boxes of Urza where about 100 and not 10-15k - so naturally having this early start gave a good boost.
Great video man!
Rudy was the “not real” one the lady pointed at when she got off that plane.
Great comment 😂
I for sure thought the background was real.
Awesome video!
I love the fates collide ETB artwork. That's the only reason it sells for 300, collectors itch. Have to have one of everything.
This all only makes sense for flippers or businesses. Investing is about your money working for you not working for your money man. The 2 shouldn't be compared. It's like saying you can make more running a side business then investing in a 401k.
EXACTLY!
I had the exact same thought. When you sit on a product you can focus on anything else you like and forget about it for a few years.
@@FlickSwitchGoand if it only increases by %10 in 24 months you could’ve done something else with the money during that time like he said
You always speak facts Alex.
@@FlickSwitchGo but sitting on tcg product to gain any significant investment money requires time space and the confidence that said products will rise in pricing...however, with the way WotC has been operating in trying to enter the 2ndary market themselves now via reprint pricing, it is a waste compared to other investment commodities like gold/silver bullion that actually have real, not intrinsic value.
Thanks for trying to keep everyone grounded
I swear to God, this world is going to oblivion. A full grown Man behaving like a child. "Omg they said i can't be Rudy, oh noooooooo, mooomyyyyyyyyy!!! Dddaaaaadddddyyyyyyy!"
Deep down, Mason loves Fates Collide
Good vid and a good reality check.
He has the benefit of massive scale, substantial outside cash flow, and the benefit of the advantage of first action.
Without those benefits, it does not typically make sense.
You could even put it in the S&P and generally do better.
Great video!
Great vid mason.
I think it's fair to give him credit for being the first person to successfully copy the costco model in the magic market.
Get enough people to pay you every month to cover your costs and you don't have to worry about making profit on the product itself, and you guarantee the products will sell in bulk.
To touch base on a few of the comments on here, Rudy is insanely diversified. He is the only employee of his shop, has a background in finance, rental properties, youtube cash, online stores, patreon account, art collections, and more than likely has figured a way to circumnavigate inventory tax. At a certain point it's probably part of his own collection and not "inventory" per say. The man laid a hellnof a foundation that would be hard to replicate.
I agree the product doesn't mature in 6-12 months, it's more like 24-48 months on average. I have not been doing cards for super long, but from what I've seen once it actually does pop off after 2-3 years, the yearly annualized ROI is really good. You really have to be willing to park your money for a long time, which most individuals may not have the patience or ability to do so. But that being said, if you stick it out for the long haul it does yield a good return. It's a long tail investment, and should be utilized alongside shorter term as you mentioned to balance out the overall strategy.
I wouldn't say to not do it at all though. I believe it's a good way to diversify your snowball.
If you put 5% away from each Pokemon set, in 3 years those returns can be snowballed into multiple cases of the new set at the time, and rinse and repeat. After the first cycle of this, the next cycle is the free money.
Edit:
Also one thing worth mentioning is the storage costs of holding product for that long. Not a big deal for just a few cases, but if you do it on a larger scale it does eat into the profits.
Rudy wouldn't have the success he's had in hoarding sealed product without the RUclips channel taking off. When it did, he went all-in and luckily that paid off. Even he admits that no one else is hoarding sealed product these days, for exactly the reasons you've stated. You can get a better return just by dumping money in a high-interest bearing account at this point, with practically no risk or effort!
In Rudy's defense (speaking as his close friend here...) Rudy DOES in fact tell people not to buy tons of sealed product and sit on it when you are not already secure and stable in the other ways. He has clearly said many times people should have little to no debt, other traditional investments, and not need the capital before they start buying sealed collectible product and sitting on it.
The greenscreen revelation made me question a lot
“And I took that personally”
i didnt know it was a green screen :*(
Good video bro
Taco Bell futures and bad haircuts are what I live for.
Each to their own; one can be a flipper, sealed collector, investor, a LCS, a retailer, online reseller, and/or individual Ebayer. This is no difference than being in the financial markets. It all depends on one’s goal. If you bought Tesla, Apple, Nvidia, Google, Meta, Netflix for quick profits, then you would left +100x on the table. No difference than Pokémon. I have held and bought a boatload at the bottom of Evolving Skies..... please don’t tell me this set is going to be stagnant in the coming months or when it retires. Once it hits my target price to sell enough to cover my initial cost, I can keep 90% at the expense of the house, free riding, no risk, and no worries. Others sets have appreciated in price but at different rates and percentage. Pokémon in general, sealed that is, is a no brainer. They go up, as supply of sealed will decline after retirement. At the end of the day, there is no right or wrong, as long it fits to the individual.
lol I thought the background was real😂😂😂😅
I’m a simple, Timmy . I see Rudy, I click Rudy
I mean this is nothing new. Rudy says this about once a week. Don't invest in anything unless you're all squared away with all your other expenses. Cardboard is a long term game. 5+ years minimum.
One thing l see is the popularity of collecting sealed product. Its silly because if not many people rip packs the cards will get more rare and the box will not be more rare so card value will increase rather than box value.
But card value increases box value. The demand for a high priced card encourages people to rip packs and at some point the sealed product will always be less available then the opened product.
@@FlickSwitchGo card value is high mainly because of un opened boosters. You are correct card value and box value are interdependent.
But you should be aware that many sealed product holders/flippers have little to no interest in Pokémon cards. Will there be more collectors or more sealed product flippers? If there is too many flippers/holders it's not going to allow the cards to increase in value much.
Flippers/investors are not good for our hobby because it cause there to be an abundance of unopened product causing downward financial pressure on cards and boxes.
Deep down isn't everyone Rudy? Tacos?
But the ones of us that do this dont want to run a business... We invest in the sealed products and let it sit! Called passive investing :) We have extra money, we love pokemon, so we buy sealed boxes and let it sit. If it never appreciates, then we have a hell of a time opening it in the future. But look at the history of every pokemon box.. They have ALL gone up starting at a 3 year after release mark.
Exactly. Real investors are looking long term not a few months or even a few years. And we aren't pressed for money. Card board is just a diversification from the IRA
@@michaelburt8890 Did we just become best friends?! lol
I only have the 1 Evolving Skies BB
Good video 👍
His heavy bags in MTG sealed is dead money and illiquid.
Nice video, Favorite seal product i own is ye chases of evolving skies, i am in that "lucky" position to be able to throw money in and let it sit for years before i have to sell but i get your point some people try to buy in a flip to make some money within a year or so, and that is likely not gonna happen in this new block of pokemon.
Regarding Fates Collide, i wasnt collection when it was out at the time, but umbreon / alakazam cards are pretty dope imo, Rest of the fillar cards is meh ofc as it is in many sets. and the break cards are useless imo.
website looks good
It 5 year minimum but realistically it 10. I am holding for 2042. Been doing this since 2006. Most of my income is from dividends from dividend paying stocks. I am not a business just a guy who saved and invested early and have everything in the world I want. I just hobby that I love. Best part is flip singles it the fun part but I only do magic. I have started since 2015 doing Pokemon sealed . 2006 is magic sealed. There not all winners holding some L5R sealed and it pretty worthless. I did move 95% of my sealed yugi oh from 2000 to 2005. But most of that was bought because of my nephew loved the game and I just bought extra because well it crashed in 2006 both sealed and singles and most of it was given for free.
Wise
Also, Rudy has another business, which allows him to be crazy, with collectibles. That he can take crazy losses.
He's a "Market Maker".
You may as well make a video criticising apples for not being oranges. His channel is called Alpha Investments, not Alpha Trading. From what I've seen his advice is basically to buy at a good price and hold long term - same advice from anyone that has made good money in the stock market, property, etc.
This can be done even at a small scale. So anyone CAN be him in principle, just not at the same scale. Also, it's far easier to make investments than build a business or run an LGS, so for most people buying some sealed product at a good price and sticking it in the cupboard for a few years is very doable. Is it going to make them millions? Probably not, but is flipping singles or running an LGS going to achieve that? Probably not.
It's just two different ways to potentially make money, each with different time frames, different risks, and different level of effort. Personally I do a bit of both as I recognise the trade-offs and benefits of both and enjoy both. Neither is toxic - just two different tasty, juicy fruits at the end of the day!
its not significantly feasible in any way shape or form unless you are successful at manipulating the market pricing which is what Rudy and his circle of a$$hole$ do.
I give Rudy credit, he states quite often that if you don’t have your shit together in life then investing in cardboard is not a good option for you. He says the goal is 5% returns and that sealed product should be a small part of a large and diverse portfolio. Of course he flexes and people buy in to the dream of being surrounded by a cardboard castle, but at the end of the day he’s a store owner, not some Ponzi scheme puppet master.
Whats it up to you? Get of ma back!
Sealed products take up too much space over time. Money is better off putting it in risk free rate high yield saving account.
I believe flipside gaming is going to be the next Rudy. Rudy has other investments for income. Flipside Gaming out NY I believe been making moves. Aka buying stupid quantities and have the eBay deal to get paid to sell on eBay.
Personally I have no use for Rudy. All he does is manipulate the market and pains me to see others out there trying to be like him. I followed him and sent him money. Like the key point of your video. I decided to invest my money elsewhere.
Well you have stupid in your name
word of the day: opportunity cost
It has nothing to do with Rudy its has to do with the Magic Collectors
As so many reprints are being brought on the market They (Collectors)are pushing The ORIGINAL PRINT price down with The NEWER reprint price trying to make the all prices the same NOT THINKING That OLDER Cards are more Valuable pushing it down that Collections are worthless ..ALL MY CARDS from the 90s Dropped half its Value
Just so you know. His real name is rudolph koehler
Go ahead. You can say it Mason. Rudy is not the problem... but Nostalgia Nomics is 😂
LOL, I was thinking for throwing your channel in my response :)
Alex you taking over, the quick flippers and vintage vestors getting outpaced by the modern sealed kings. 😅
I love fates collide cause of my man alakazam
I Love Fated Collide! The reason is because Card N All Gaming told me i'm supposed to!
LOL, JK! Love Yall!
So we should listen to a guy that whines about not selling enough stuff or should we listen to Rudy who has outlasted everyone. ill leave this bum to his own tears
I think there is a fundamental difference in perspective between you and Rudy. Rudy’s advice of “if the price goes up it doesn’t matter where you got in along the way” is a perfectly classic and legitimate Investment advice. And your take on “you are better off using that money to snowball in the meantime” is a perfectly correct business running advice. The jury remains whether the audience is more akin to an investor or a business owner. And I would venture to insist that an average tcg collector is more like an investor within the scope of this thought experiment. The fact is most people do not have any high churning activity to snowball their money. The money with which they “shouldn’t have bought sealed product and sit on” they would have to sit on that money anyways.
War of the Spark
Im thinking baldur's gate will be the next product to start rebounding. Kamigawa's been holding strong.
Sitting on sealed product is great if you already have money and can just afford to wait, but I agree with you it's better to use the capital in other ways. I make more money selling graded cards than I would if I sat on sealed boxes for years.
no it‘s not you fuck the players and actual collectors.
shame on you scummy people!
I agree to a point. You have to understand basic economics and really do your research in order to make money at this. Rudy has a business background. But even he has overbought certain products. You have to buy within your means. There are excellent deals out there but you have to know the product you are buying.
Rudy made his money well before starting his channel… and it wasn’t in trading cards.
You mean heavy bags rudy?
I'm rudy
Everyone should have at the very least an emergency fund ($1000 or preferably 3-6 months' worth of living expenses in cash) and a maxed out Roth IRA, every year in index funds. Bonus if you can match your company's 401k (better to max out, index funds). All this before considering "investing" (re: hoarding) in sealed product.
I am Rudy
I 100% agree with you. I invested a lot of money into sealed Pokemon and did very well in it. But I often think how much more I could have made if I used that capital in my graded card business.
Got too think like Jake from pokenomics;) mason knows what’s up too cuz they friends
Bullshit that’s your supply and Rudy stole your background for his channel I’m on to you Mason 😂😉
I disagree. All the Pokémon sets I’ve bought in the sword and shield era have significantly increased, even something like battle styles. A lot higher than a 5% gain I’m getting in a high interest savings account. But maybe I’m missing something? 🤷🏼♂️
Exactly how I feel, I understand what he’s saying but also can’t name one other investment of any kind ,that can compete with the evolving skies cases of boosters? (purchased below $900/box) Any investments I’ve made in life barely compare and I got into beanie babies a full two years before the surge, I used those funds for Pokémon and paintball, obviously only one of those was an actual investment. That being said evolving skies is kinda stalling or equalizing… so I dunno 🤷🏻♂️
who is investing in anything only looking at the next 6 months lol, investmest short term is like 3 years. Should be looking at the next 10 years. Pokemon has almost a 100% track record of going up over time, there are always ups and downs, but hold anything sealed for 5 years and you will go up X%. dont invest looking at the next 6 months, that is dumb lol. this is investing, its always been the same, If you go up more than 10% a year, then ur doing good. This advice that you should put the money else where and flip it into more is not great advice lol, the "other stuff you could put you money in" is usually mistakes.
Here is the thing about Rudy. he is very LGS friendly and sais everyone must support their LGS but every week he sells 5000-10,000 boxes in the USA under the LGS price and basically destroying their sales (I am not from the US).
this is true and admitted by Rudy himself...he is literally an inside trader and would be in jail if tcgs were regulated like stocks
@@cavemantero yeah but Rudies insider knowledge is based on the us ex Amazon and he still has no idea how much sales Amazone does because his expertise is not e-commerce. I ballpark the us is 33% of all sales, Europe 33% and the res of the world 33%
Diamond hands
This whole market is kind of a self fulfilling prophecy in a way. Just not for the small guys lol
Damn. That's deep.
🤣 Rudy is not toxic, it’s called a business model. He clearly understands his margins and revenue streams, content creation being one of them. He’s doing more to generate revenue than he shares on YT. True, it’s probably not a good idea to do exactly what he does in his YT content, but if you didn’t know that already then…
Favorite investment that hasn’t moved would be battle styles. Made money but I think I’m ready to sell
Battle styles will take another 3 years to double in price. But it will be in the thousands in 15 years from now no doubt if you can hold that long.
It’s went up. 40 bucks a bb from the point I bought in at.
I thought you built a fort of cards behind you 🤣😂
Opened up Lorcana to play and the singles went up so much I sold everything. Now I can come back in a month and I've gotten 5 times my money back 😂
The real winner.
There's a reason he always says "the 10% evil investors"; he isn't trying to make everyone do what he's doing or think like he does; he's simply providing insight in to a perspective most people don't have, knowledge many could find useful, and in some cases advice to people interested in what he does (and a lot of times that advice is you better think twice).
Nothing about that is toxic, and it isn't just purely for entertainment.
Edit: the idea that his predictions cause his audience to act a certain way is absolutely absurd. Very few (if any) of his audience's feelings are dictated by what Rudy predicts is going to happen. He's generally reporting on what he feels is out there already in regards to overall sentiment; he isn't creating it.
Pump and Dump IS economically toxic and bad for the game
I like fates collide lol
This is the saltiest video😂🤣
That backgrounds insane, worse than the charizard upc stacks i saw on fb marketplace that i saw someone panic selling