UFC 302 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown
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- Опубликовано: 9 июл 2024
- UFC 302 Full Card Breakdown, Preview, Predictions, and Analysis.
In this video I'll analyze each fight, breakdown positives and negatives of each fighter, and make a pick and prediction for each fight.
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0:00 Intro
0:35 Mitch Raposo vs Andre Lima
3:44 Joselyne Edwards vs Ailin Perez
8:14 Mickey Gall vs Bassil Hafez
11:40 Niko Price vs Alex Morono
13:52 Phil Rowe vs Jake Matthews
16:08 Grant Dawson vs Joe Solecki
18:43 Roman Kopylov vs Cesar Almeida
21:47 Randy Brown vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
25:35 Jailton Almeida vs Alexandr Romanov
28:11 Kevin Holland vs Michal Oleksiejczuk
30:39 Main & Co-Main Event
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#ufc302 #fightanalysis #ufcpredictions 
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if DP wins by guillitotine, 138 should chug a root beer next livestream
Done. Absolutely 💯 I’m in. In fact, I’ll chug two. 🍻
lol that would be epic
I’ll be devastated to see Makhachev lose like that, but it would make for some hilarious content. 😅
Wicked timing, just finished work, opened RUclips, and the new vid notification popped!!
same. was waitin for 138s breakdown this week
Can’t beat that timing! I usually get the video out by Tuesday but as for what specific time, even I don’t know. 😂
Great breakdown as always brotha , I don’t give a damn how many subs or views those other RUclips mma breakdown dudes got! I’m loyal to the soil! 138 mma all day for the best breakdowns and mma insight! Keep bringing in that good content brotha u da man 👍🏽
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I appreciate you my friend!
One day we will have the same level of views as those channels. I’ve been doing this for less than two years though and many of those channels have been around for much longer. Only a matter of time!
I appreciate the picks as always!
You know I’m gonna gamble it :)
Best of luck tonight brother!
Not too many people are picking Raposso, glad you saw what I saw in Raposso, tough task in front of him, but he definitely had a shot
I like the point spread better than the moneyline as I’m not super confident in the pick, but he certainly has the tools to get it done. 👊
Ayyyy, good luck this week!!
Best of luck JD!
i agree, Kopylov experience is the difference despite the line flipping to Almeidam
I wish I had pulled the trigger blind on Almeida now that there’s the free profit opportunity, but at this point I think I’ll have to pass. I lean Kopylov but I can’t feel good about a bet on either side. Way too many unknowns.
Haircut looking good
Thanks friend! 👊
138_MMA Tyler I'm glad your a good sport about getting picks wrong and having someone call them out on it after unlike Liam.Picks who blocked me for holding him accountable for that D.Flowers to beat Michael Johnson pick he made and tried to play off it next video as if was a good pick. saying " It went the way he thought it would go " and told him: no you didn't, you picked D.Flowers, {yelled and then blocked. smh
🤣 yeah man I miss picks all the time. None of us hit 100%. If I get it wrong then so be it. I’ll get more right than wrong and that’s what we are here for.
I'll be watching after work
On my 45 min drive home
Sounds like the perfect amount of time for a full card breakdown. 👊
REALLY think youre underselling/underestimating Almeida bro (Cesar, not Jailton lol). Hes looked SUPER impressive since transitioning to MMA and that Contender Series fight was a HELL of a performance. Ive been really impressed with him in all aspects, including his wellroundedness, intangibles and control, but I also really think, as a kickboxer, his grappling is being really underestimated and overlooked. He is definitely a little old to be making the jump to MMA and to be starting out in the UFC, but he is clearly putting the work in and he's really impressed me so far. Also, he fought Alex "Touch Of Death" Pereira 3 times in kickboxing and took him the distance all three times, winning one. That is no easy feat.
Sure but kickboxing and MMA are much different.
I’m not underestimating him at all, we simply haven’t seen enough to know. It’s like I said, I’m passing due to unknowns, but for these videos I have to make a pick so I’ll take the guy with 3x the experience and still just entering his prime. Almeida could totally win though. Just haven’t seen enough to take him here.
@@138MMA of course man, very different, thats why I was talking mostly about his career SINCE transitioning, but I do feel like his high level kickboxing background, and specifically the Pereira trilogy, are worth a passing mention. To be clear though, he has impressed me with his overall performances, wellroundedness, ability to mix martial arts, control and grappling since transitioning to mma, I wasnt basing what I said on his kickboxing career lol.
@@138MMA hes looked great in mma so far, if he was a few years younger I'd say he's one of the best prospects in the entire UFC💯💯💯
@JD-bx7ob I agree he has been impressive so far, we just have not see. It against anyone that lets me know we can count on that. He’s looked good but his best opponent so far is Budka and he’s very one dimensional.
@@138MMA I think Fernando was better than Budka tbh (although Budka is admittedly a pretty tough stylistic matchup for Almeida), and Almeida looked phenomenal in that fight. Plus, I feel like 5-0 with a pretty high level DWCS fight and a UFC fight, that both went the distance (not to mention the long kickboxing career), tells us more than like 12-1 or whatever against all nobodies🤷♂️ just my opinion though
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Ay bro, what do you think about this Raposo line movement? Super weird, it seems like everybody and their momma was already on Raposo as a dog and then Lima missed weight badly, so youd think those odds would really start to move towards Raposo, but for some reason Lima has still been steadily growing as a favorite🤔 pretty weird, making me a little nervous tbh, wonder if theres something we don't know
Nah he missed weight by enough it looks intentional. I was tempted to switch my pick but too late.
@@138MMA looks like you mightve been right😬 and idk what Raposo was thinking with that gameplan🤣
@JD-bx7ob horrible gameplan. I was watching and yelling at the tv 😂
@@138MMA bro fr🤣🤣🤣 I was doing the exact same thing, that was wild lol
@JD-bx7ob it’s one thing to lose, it’s another thing to have plenty of opportunities to win but refuse to take them 🤦♂️
Good picks im with you on most picks im just slightly concerned because edwards beat the brakes of perez in a street fight, and morono already got ko by price so i cant bet him, zeleski got rocked by rinat the wrestler so im scared a striker will put him out i mean li knocked him out
To my knowledge there wasn’t video evidence of that street fight. She did have a black eye but the thing about a street fight is we don’t know how it started. If Edwards threw the first punch before Perez knew they were even fighting, she easily could have gotten cracked. That won’t be an issue in a sanctioned bout.
As for price, yeah don’t be betting morono in this one. I think Price is declining tho so I believe morono is the side, but like you said, morono did get KOd by price already.
Lastly, Rinat was a huge hyped up prospect before the Zaleski fight. Getting rocked by him but coming back to absolutely whoop him in the 3rd gives me more confidence in Zaleski, not less. I know you mentioned getting rocked by the wrestler, but wrestling threat opens up hands. That happens far more often than people think. When you’re worried about being taken down, you are more open to strikes because you can’t defend everything at once.
Remember, picks and bets are not the same thing. I make a pick on every fight for entertainment purposes. I don’t bet every fight.
@@138MMA mma is funny you lose 2 in a row by knockout and everyone says your declining remember black beat got ko by tuivasa then sergey everyone said he was done I don't care how many losses you had I look at the matchup and see if you have a path to win and looking at price full record one thing stood out to me ALL 7 of his losses are to strikers so I like this matchup for him but we shall see I just know I'm not betting morono at -200 after that ugly court mcgee performance
@daniellebrooks7510 100% can’t bet morono. That is a very bad idea.
And as for the knockout, it’s not that he got knocked out. The issue is it was to a retiring Lawler who had looked like a shell for quite a few fights and Price just didn’t look good at all.
@@138MMA let me ask you when you research what does that involve??? I do 13 hours of research that involves tape study stats and a look at each fighters entire mma record and one thing I notice when looking at price record ALL 7 of his losses were to strikers so that's why my lean is price in this fight since this would be the first time in his career he would lose to a grappler and FYI morono looked damn bad in his last fight against 40 year old court mcgee I actually think mcgee won so no way should he be -200 favorite
@daniellebrooks7510 13 hours each fight??? No way.
How long for me depends on the fighter. Doesn’t take all that long to watch all 5 or Cesar Almeida’s fights for example.
I don’t watch every fight a fighter has had and anyone who says they do is lying. Sure I will if they only have a few fights but it doesn’t do much good to watch fights from 10 years ago.
I spend the amount of time needed based on the fighters in the matchup and what fights are relevant be that by timeframe or stylistic matchup.
Morono may be a grappler but he has good striking and lands clean shots on the feet. He’s not a pure grappler at all and he was even landing clean on Court, but Court is still relatively durable. Price has been KOd in most of his losses. Morono has looked better recently than Price in my opinion. It’s a pass fight for me but if Price wins you can say you knew and ol 138 didn’t have a clue.
Let’s go!!
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Time
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Lfg
Phil Rowe best underdog. I believe in him
We are on opposite sides there but I do agree Rowe is a decent underdog. He could most certainly get the win. I was tempted to pick him as well.
I think he's better than Jake but his IQ is pretty bad. I'm hoping he learned his lesson by now. That's why I have faith in him.
@Poffenberger1PicksUFC the fight IQ is actually one of the things that led me to switching off of Rowe and onto Matthews. I see him trying to grapple and giving up minutes to Matthews.