UFC 303 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown
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- Опубликовано: 25 июл 2024
- UFC 303 Full Card Breakdown, Preview, Predictions, and Analysis.
In this video I'll analyze each fight, breakdown positives and negatives of each fighter, and make a pick and prediction for each fight.
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0:00 Intro
0:29 Ricky Simon vs Vinicius Oliveira
3:41 Carlos Hernandez vs Rei Tsuruya
6:21 Andrei Arlovski vs Martin Buday
10:00 Michelle Waterson vs Gillian Robertson
13:31 Payton Talbott vs Yanis Ghemmouri
18:51 Charles Jourdain vs Jean Silva
23:48 Cub Swanson vs Andre Fili
27:34 Joe Pyfer vs Marc-Andre Barriault
29:31 Ian Garry vs Michael Page
33:52 Mayra Bueno Silva vs Macy Chiasson
38:30 Roman Dolidze vs Anthony Smith
46:15 Brian Ortega vs Diego Lopes
51:09 Main Event/Wrap Up
If you enjoy this sort of content consider subscribing so you can see all of my weekly breakdown videos for UFC, DWCS, and Bellator.
#ufc303 #fightanalysis #ufcpredictions 
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Good luck and hope everyone has a great week!
This guy is the best ! Love the content man🔥
No brother, you’re the best. 👊
I’m glad you enjoy the content, there’s plenty more on the way!
Buday said that Shamil mentally broke him with the pace and he gave up. He started training with Aspinall this camp so that gives me a bit more confidence, I can't knowingly choose Arlovski to win a fight anymore.
I get it. I don’t actually advocate for betting him at this point, but I couldn’t forgive myself if I took Buday and somehow Arlovski wins a greasy split.
You out here WORKING tonight bro🤣🤣🤣👍👍👍
Man I tell you 🤣 this week has an insane content schedule! Tonight I’m on JohnnyK’s channel at 7pm EDT so go check that out. We are back on my channel for the panel on Thursday, and I’m pretty sure I’m scheduled for best bet this week on Saturday
@@138MMA 🔥🔥🔥good shit bro! Hope everything goes great! And good luck with your picks this week!
@JD-bx7ob thanks brother! Hopefully we can both come out of this one with 💰💰💰💰
@@138MMA hell yea man!🍻🍻🤑🤑
I ❤your videos, the break down of fighters, puts you as the #1analyst! Ty 🎉
🙏 I greatly appreciate it. Being the best analyst is exactly what I set out to do. 🙂
hope all is well brotha! I'm liking this card a lot! ton of fun matchups, thank you for the great breakdown! you leading me on the right path to the $$$!
Glad I have provided you with some benefit. Thanks for tuning in each and every week! 👊
LFG TYLER!! Great breakdowns 🎉
🙏 thank you brother
Great breakdown as usual!
Thanks Kiwi! You’re the best!
Just joined thank you. Gonna sub to patreon as well
🙏 I appreciate it more than you know!
I hope you find far more value than $9.99 per month in the Patreon. 👊
Love the breakdown
Thanks Derek! You da man. 👊
Hernandez has only been subbed once his whole career idk i think hes live for this1
He has only been subbed once, TKOd once, and lost one decision. It’s the same percentage for all methods. He’s live for sure but Tsuruya will sure test him in the grappling.
nahh silva for sure it's a training diff hardcore. Love the women's picks and MVP let's go ❤
Sounds like we are mostly on the same page! 📃
🤞
Love the break down!
My picks for this fight card from most confident to least confident are:
Talbott, Tsuruya, Dolidze, Pyfer, Simon, Fili, Arlovski, Page, Ortega, Pereira, Jourdain, Waterson-Gomez, Bueno Silva.
Good Luck Everyone.
We line up on a lot of those! Best of luck this week!
@@138MMA Good Luck to you as well.
Who doesn't love a good phalanx
Charles knows what I’m talking about!
I really like Alex periera, Diego lopes, and Michael page I would like to add Jean Silva and Vinicius
I’m on board with the first 3. Very confident in Alex. 🗿
@@138MMA how about the Michael page and Ian Garry I’m so on the fence with that fight but I feel like Ian Garry still needs a couple more years to develope
@Frankbank22 that’s a sit back and watch fight for me. It’s so hard to predict that one. Garry is looking so much different from fight to fight it’s nearly impossible to know exactly what version of him shows up.
🙏 Appreciate the shout out!
I still think Macy should be the favourite, but since I bet her as a big dog, MBS at plus money is gonna be hard to pass up… line might keep moving after weigh-ins/face-offs 🤞
I’m 💯 going to bet MBS at plus money when I can. That’s free money no matter what happens and I’m all for it.
Btw… Invicta 55 is this Friday… you watching? All women’s mma, that’s right up your alley!
Heck ya, can't wait for it! I wanted to study for it, but works been chaos 🤕
Really hope I can make it to the Panel tonight...
@pinkfreud13 I hear ya, it’s been tough catching up with all the comments this week even.
and I missed the Panel 😡💔😭
@pinkfreud13 just going to have to go back and watch it….
👍👍👍
Vai solta o análise PFL ?
PFL 6 Regular Season 2024 Breakdown & Predictions w/ Coty Dankh
ruclips.net/user/livepiVs8P2C-vk?feature=share
I was really surprised by the line movement on the MBS-Chiasson fight, although after looking into it, I understand it more now, but I still think Bueno Silva beats the brakes off Chiasson tbh🤣💯 Im a little biased, big Bueno Silva fan, but I think she gets the finish here💯 Ive said it before and Ill say it again, Mayra Bueno Silva is the female Chito Vera
MBS being the female Chito Vera…. You’re hitting me with a concept I really need to wrap my head around…
@@138MMA think about it man, the number of similarities is crazy💯💯
Kinda in reverse with their output. Chito turns it up as fights go on where MBS falls off.
I swear UFC analysis bros on RUclips must try to mispronounce names on purpose for engagement. Nice to see someone who actually can get them right. My favorite is the guy that called Jared Cannonier "Ca-non-nee-ay" It's like.. Have you EVEN watched a fight or seen someone give an interview? Do you strictly live in a print and math only universe?
🤣 I still struggle with some names but I do try my best. Some dialects are more difficult for me than others.
I was gonna try to teach you how to pronounce Diego Lopes but I realized I can’t write it down 🤣
It’s hard via text! 😂 from my understanding it didn’t make the ez sound but instead an es sound, but everyone else has said otherwise. 🤷♂️
if youd really like to know how to say it 100% correctly, type his name on portuguese google translator, it will be pretty accurate.
@rodsmonster4470 oh good idea!! Yes I do try to get names correct. It’s always the goal to be as accurate as possible.
GOAT!
First 🎉
Arlovski fought well enough against Acosta. I could see a split decision
Finally someone understands exactly what I’m saying! I’m not out here saying Arlovski dominates here, but that Arlovski close decision is not even close to out of the question. 👊
Like the mvp, ortega, macy, smith, dog picks but im scared macy will go for take downs and get subbed she should just keep it standing, i like smith but his takedown defense is quite horrible, ortega i like him in this spot i dont like hearing he was moving up now he has extra weight to cut, mvp can cause garry issues but if it goes to decision i worry judges will rob him blind like they do whenever their favorites fight like garry, paddy, omalley, Demopolis, so i cant put money on a guy i think may only have one way to win.
I don’t have a ton of bets on this card. I’m more exposed to some of the regional stuff this week. I did get Macy at +180 quite a while back so my hope is to get MBS at plus money yet so we can make it an easy win either way.
I also think MVP could get the bad end of a shady decision. If it’s close, it’s likely a Gary win.
"Demopolis"🤣🤣🤣 you are a professional grade hater dude🤦♂️🤦♂️
@@JD-bx7ob yes I'm hating on a stripper winning fights because all 3 male judges have a hard on she lost a couple fights but gifted the decision that's not cool this is people careers imagine you get robbed by decision than your cut it happened to spann he was robbed in his decision vs Smith now lost 3 in a row may be cut when he should only be on a 2 fight losing streak so now that I see to stay away from omalley paddy garry Demopolis fights all of a sudden I'm hit 100% on my bets so with that it's no way I'm betting garry fight or paddy upcoming fight
@@138MMA you got macy at +180 I didn't kno she was that big of an underdog now she is a -115 favorite I don't like betting with the public so I'm done with this it's wmma I have been hitting 100% on bets since I stopped betting wmma these chick's get their period then don't know how to fight, so I have 4 guys I'm betting on $100 parlay to pay $1000
@@daniellebrooks7510 case in point🤣🤣🤣👎👎👎
That arlowski pick lol
🤷♂️ is an Arlovski Dec really the craziest thing?
@@138MMA it’s not but chances are slim
@michaelovsepyan7759 so you’re saying there’s a chance!
@@138MMA slim to none lol
@michaelovsepyan7759 I’ll take it!
Im strangely confident in arlovski ml
This is what I love to see!!! Arlovski is going to do right by us here!
@138MMA I might put 10$ on arlovski ITD. I don't think someone needs to hit Martin super hard to get him out of there. A good 20-30 punches of any strength could do it if he's overwhelmed. Plus Martin has fought exclusively at the apex which noone is bringing up this week
@N_B_MMA Arlovski inside the distance isn’t even something that crossed my mind…. 🧐
@138MMA buday has fought exclusively at the apex until his last fight and he we saw what happened there. How will the (pro arlovski) ppv crowd affect the "gamer" with social anxiety? I think it's there if arlovski shows up to get it
@N_B_MMA he’s got social anxiety? That is an interesting aspect. Could play a role for sure!
Why is UFC giving Tabbot contender series bums instead of William Gomes? smh
It’s a slow build sort of thing. We have to remember, Talbott hasn’t even had 10 pro fights yet. Soon he will be fighting the bigger names.
I think MVP gets robbed if its close, but Im still picking him🤣🤣
🤞 hopefully we don’t see any robberies on this card… that sounds like too much to ask.
@@138MMA 🤣🤣🤞🤞
Anthony smith - on paper I’m the better fighter😂
You should see the parchment that man is on!
this guy is disrespecting me and Canada with his pronunciation
😆 But he's trying!!
😅 that bad huh?
@@138MMA 🤏
Whoa arloski??? I follow 50 analyst only you and one other guy are picking him i hope for all of our sakes he doesnt win.
Something of a throw away pick but a split decision Arlovski win isn’t out of the question.
My “one more for the road” comment was something of a wishful joke that he can maybe pull it off and retire.
I’m not betting this fight at all.
@@138MMA I mean it's not like it can't happen it's heavyweight you have two big guys in there so it can happen I mean he lost by dec to acosta he didn't get steam rolled
Exactly. I’d be shocked to see Buday have a higher output. Idk call me crazy but Arlovski has a good chance here. He’s 45 I get it, but he’s still the guy with more skill, it’s whether or not he can still access those skills.
@@138MMA oh I'm not picking against arloski because of his age I have won alot on old dogs 40 year old miesha tate, jim miller, canetti, osp, weidman, anthony smith, aldo, but arloski last 4 wins were against collier, vandera, Sherman, boser all cut I don't like how mayes ko him mayes is not the fastest striker he should have been able to get out of the way of that punch seems like he slowed down I fear he actually gets ko'ed here
@daniellebrooks7510 he could. Buday is a big dude and I’m sure he hits hard. He just tends to want to cage grapple so I imagine that’s his game plan.
Here for the phalanx walkthrough ❤
🤣 it’s a little odd topic but somebody had to be that guy.