Are Aston Villa genuine top four contenders?
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- Опубликовано: 13 июн 2024
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Aston Villa look to be challenging for Europe again this season, where they sit in 5th place and just 1 point off the top 4 going into an International Break.
Unai Emery's side are unbeaten at Villa Park where their solid form has helped cement themselves among the Top 6 in the Premier League. But can they maintain this form through-out this season, or will their away form prove to be too poor to maintain the charge?
Sam Tighe joins us to take a look at Villa's chances of actually grabbing a Champions League spot this season
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I'm an Arsenal fan. Unai is a fantastic manager. I'm glad we have Arteta. Wouldn't change that for anything. But Unai came to us at the wrong time. Our backroom was a mess and he needed more time than the fanbase could give him. He language barrier was huge. He just needed more grace to grasp the language to transmit his ideas. It's really clear Villa is taking to his tactics. Really happy for those fans because they're a good base.
The players we have doesn’t want to sit an hour being overloaded with info when 15 minutes of concise summary would suffice and the players do the rest on their time.
Fair play mate, know a load of Arsenal fans and your lit are always a great craic. All the best for the season bar against Villa of course 😂
Local Arsenal fan I hope and not an American in New Orleans listening to Taylor Swift
Unai was great back then, until rob holding get injured
Emery is clearly an excellent manager when given time. Well done to him and to his very likeable team
Given time? Didn’t he come in straight away and sort out Gerards mess? 😂
@@MrDwightKSchrute I meant in relation to Arsenal. As an Arsenal fan myself, no one can deny that he's not an excellent manager. At that time, our dressing room was a little toxic, and so the players got him fired by not playing for him. Also, the Villa players say he's demanding but his style, training and tactics has them with a 60% win rate from 45 or so games, so it clearly works if you stick with him and play like he wants you to play.
@@gentleken7864As a Villa fan I think you are right about his Arsenal time. I think he had the right ideas but I think anyone coming in after Wenger was likely to be a failure as from the owners, board to the players and fans there had to be a mindset change.
My take on Emery, firstly thank you Gerrard for being such an awful Manager in such a short space of time...without him we would not have Emery. He is the right fit for us, we love the guy just as a human being as he is very thoughtful, honest and such a hard worker and he is quite brilliant as well. As fans we are always learning something about the game, so I can't imagine what it must be like for the players as he has improved every single player, we are still virtually the same team that was 17th under Gerrard.
Not sure about likeable
Average manager for top clubs and Champions League, but excellent manager for non-top clubs and Europe League.
As a Villa fan I’m just happy that pundits; teams and rival fans are seeing us as a genuine threat
Do you genuinely believe you're a top 4 team thou?
@@God_is_an_Atheist666 even if they don't finish top 4, they'll still be finishing 5th which will give them CL football since there's new updated UCL next season. On top of that, they'll get Conference League 100%.
@@babatunski6672 Conference League gets you Europa not UCL, right? Liv, City and Arsenal are guaranteed. Spurs with a full team is better and so is Newcastle. Top 5 is not guaranteed but they'll be challenging not to mention Chelsea look to be reviving themselves.
I’ve always said Villa have the 3rd best manager in the league
You are definitely strong contenders (if everyone stays fit)
I'm not. I prefer us going under the radar tbh! :)
So 1) Emery gets the right plugs for his system - Tielemans and Bailey are better options than Zaniolo.
2) 2 of 3 away losses were at Anfield and St James park - any team would struggle there so Villa fans aren't at all panicked about away form.
3) Emery is excellent but these players are executing so they deserve just as much credit.
Thank you for making this video and Up the Villa!
I am really happy that Villa has more and more attention from pundits and Tifo ( something like Newcastle last season). I hope that Emery's boys keep giving them reasons to doing it.
For this video - not so great analysis - nobody spoke about a lot of goals coming from midfield players, a lot of assists coming from wings, comparison between teams we played in home ( some middle and low table teams) against visits ( Liverpool,Newcastle, Chelsea), you mentioned Mings has been injured but not mentioned how Konsa is growing up as leader in defense and ,finally, got an international call-up.... I know you can do better :)
About time Tifo have taken a positive look on Villa, was genuinely disappointed with the last couple videos with negative outlook (over-performing or have new signings made us worse) never understood the love teams in similar positions were getting even though Emery has held 2ppg since taking over
I agree. I turned them off because of that.
Villa fan here. I'm really pleased to finally see an in depth look at my team on Tifo, and I agree with most of this video, unfortunately the analysis of Villa's shape and Kamara's positional change is not accurate.
Villa under Emery have always played as a 4-4-2 out of possession and 3-2-5 in possession (or 3-box-3 if you prefer). When transitioning from out of possession to in possession, the LB would push up to become the LW, LM tucks into the left half space, second striker drops into the right half space, RM/RW stays wide, 2 CBs and RB would shift across a little to become a back 3. This gives the 3-2-5 shape.
The change that was made recently is that instead of the RM (McGinn) staying wide, the RB (Cash) pushes up to the RW position, RM (McGinn) drops in to the right DM slot, and the right DM (Kamara) drops back to the RCB slot vacated by Cash. The attacking shape has not changed, only this one rotation has been added to change which personnel are in which positions within the shape.
Luckily for Villa there is another transfer window between the ned of the group stages and the start of the knockout rounds in Europe. As such we'll hopefully be able to bring in some more reinforcements. Potentially another RB and maybe a CDM as well as one more attacking player. We have consistently been linked with nico Williams for the past year and if we are in top 4 places come January perhaps he'd be willing to consider us.
Brilliant that you focused on game state as that was a criticism of the previous video on Villa when only focusing on xG. I think the away from is both early goals conceded and the fact that three of our away games so far have been Newcastle, Liverpool and Chelsea. Toughest team we've played at home has been Brighton
Think both Newcastle and Liverpoool were effected by Mings injury as well and Pau taking a while to get hold of a complex highline defence. Also Konsa hadn't elevated fully until lately.
@@MindSurf248 Carlos went off injured early in the Liverpool game. With Mings off in Newcastle game. Losing the steel CBs early in two difficult games were factors for sure
ST holder with Villa - Best I have seen a Villa team play since early 90s, brilliant time being a Villa fan
Emery is the best manager villa have ever had. What a job he's done
Aston villa have won the champions league 🤦
@@joaquinferrazzi923 that's like say Roberto Di Matteo is the greatest ever Chelsea manager... Just because he won the champions league. Same circumstances for Tony Barton who took over from Ron Saunders to lift the European cup for villa
@@adams1253 so? They still won it thanks to a managers work. So that manager is automarically better than emery
@@joaquinferrazzi923 that's not true. I'm a villa fan....
Tony Barton is a hero for winning the cup but our league form was awful, then he eventually got the sack
Emery league form in a calendar year is the best in our history. It's early days I know but I've never seen Villa play good football like this. Taking us from relegation to top 4 contenders all in the space of a year in incredible especially with all the injuries. He's a genius.
Emery is the best manager we’ve ever had. By quite some distance.
UTV.
Im just enjoying being a Villa fan. Best football we've played since Martin Oniell. In Emery we trust.
Martin 'No Plan B' O'Neil? Check out his home record and compare with Emery. Emery has a different plan for every game. Chalk and cheese.
@@bertiew6771he didn't say they played similar football, he said it's the best football they've played since
@@joeyriches6218 i understood what he said. Did you understand what I said? Football under MON despite the results (mainly away from home) was generally turgid.
Hi guys! Great content as always. Question: What app do you use to manipulate tactics on the Wacom tablet?
Thanks.
The team and manager are too good not to be considered and they've shown such good consistency in performance and results. Hard to argue with anyone claiming they could do it, they've got every right, but this season is pretty wild
Isn't this the same guy that said our summer transfers were terrible and villa were getting lucky? That hasn't aged well has it. Emery is a genius.
and big enough to big them up despite being proven wrong......I am sure he is just like you and i...cant foretell the future.
@@am5790 very true. I think as a fanbase we thought the coverage of Emery's success was a bit harsh before the season started. Glad he's continuing to do so well!
4th maybe, can't see us finishing ahead of City, Arsenal or Liverpool. Will be very difficult though with Newcastle and Spurs in contention, but if they struggle with injuries we could hopefully take advantage.
I said at start of season, based of transfer window and difficulty of European games that I believe that Villa would cope with the extra games better than Newcastle and Brighton. We have stronger squad depth and the way we play isnt as intensive. Newcastle always going to struggle playing a million miles an hour 3 times a week. I currently measure Villas position by how many points clear of these two teams we are (can start to throw Man Utd in there to a degree and if we get above Spurs as well). if we stay above them we at least get top 6 anything on top of this is a bonus. With our injuries being present from the start we've also had time to adapt as this video shows, all the teams below us that have had fresh injuries now have to adapt on the fly or just hope hope the incoming players can adapt, as we saw with Spurs Vs Wolves, this isnt going to be easy!
I feel like Villa's injuries are as bad if not worse than Newcastle's.
Mings and Buendia out for the season, Moreno and Ramsey with big injuries too, that's 4 of our starting 11 yet to play.
@@RenewedRS Diego Carlos has been constantly in and out too. Baileys had injuries... it's been a tough ride.
Better than Spurs as a team/squad. Their style won't hold up all season. Emery is a class act. 4th Most decorated manager in Europe behind Pep, Jose and Ancelotti atm. Newcastle are very good too. Easily seen how Europe can tax a team that hasn't been in it in a while. Spurs don't have this issue. They'd not be as high if they'd europe aswell
Arsenal fan here, and Villa is certainly not better than Spurs as a team/squad@@mattzoid87
top presentation, quick, clear and precise - good presentation skills, great job!
Great video! Analysis and presentation were fantastic.
This is a phenomenal video, well done! Great analysis.
spot on about the away form. Really slow starters atm conceding that early should not happen nearly as often, a mentality shift might be in order. It is also interesting to note how a few key players, most obviously Bailey play so much better at home.
Best summary analysis I’ve seen of Villa under Emery on any platform. Excellent job! 👍👏👏
As villa fan I’m happy to see the hype but we need to turn up in the big games. When I mean big games I’m talking about those moments where we can push on but always ultimately crumble. Forest couple weeks back was that moment where we could have put ourselves amongst the top 3 briefly to make a statement but completely crumbled. I feel next week against spurs is another key moment.
Brilliant analysis, fantastic insight into Aston villa, that left side last season was brilliant for villa, and they should be back for the Christmas period
Great video thank you, just to point out that the improvement on possession is 7.84% not 4% 👍 Emery is a genius, this video is spot on
This was great work, Sam.
Great video, you're my fav Tifo guy now :D
This is a great video Sam. Brilliant
I think this is fair and valid. I’m a die hard Villa fan and it’s clear to see that our away form needs to approve. But the key thing is, I really think Emery can get it out of them. And we are getting better week on week. It’s a seriously exciting time. The other thing is - I take your point about conference league but I feel that most Villa fans if we can pretty much guarantee top 6 before the end of the conference run, would rather we went for the league, because that enables more money, more growth and overall it elevates our status on the world stage back to what we used to be. Not to say we throw away the conference league but we need to trust in the 2nd side, and with the exception of Legia, they have shown they’re up to it. Here we go!! UTV ❤
Yer completely agree
go for the league?! bit optimistic mate & i’m a villan myself… also, we should 100% play the first team in europe if we progress to the knock outs, I want a cup even if you don’t
Great analysis, Sam! Loved it
Unreal video from a Villa fan! class content
Great video Sam. Brilliant analysis
perfect analysis - exactly what I'm seeing week after week and refreshing after 25 years of being a season ticket holder
Didn't John MacKenzie say Villa would get found out I seem to recall........that aged well John.
Our current ppg gets us 82 points
That is guaranteed top 4 even without 'fixing' away form
And that's without considering we've gone to SJP Anfield a d the City Ground, the 3 hardest away games for opposition teams
Luckily the premier league isn't over in November
Omg the legend of Sam Tighe. I remember when this guy was a huge meme on brfootball for some reason
Very good analysis top stuff 👍
I think the best part of being a Villa fan atm is the home form being SO good. We never used to have that kind of control and dominance at home and now it's a bit of a fortress, I now expect them to win most games at home.
Away is definitely trickier right now, we have to be better, though I will say going to Newcastle and Liverpool are some of the toughest games you can get.
The Newcastle game was just too early for Villa who were trying to bed in new players, four key players injured and against a Newcastle side that looked great pre-season from the off. Both will finish in the top 6.
Why not top 4 and Conference League? Moreno and Ramsay back soon, and there's the January window. Quite a bit of depth already. Tielemans, Diego Carlos, Bailey, Duran are class players add in Lenglet, Dendonker, Traore+ our January signings (probably a RB, CM and forward) and we've probably got the squad to do both...
Love this analysis mate. As a villa fan this is spot on. Emery is a brilliant man manager and especially a great tactician. UTV
A decent overview of how we're playing but the point about away form doesn't take into account how good our record was last season (1.9ish ppg) and that the corresponding away fixtures last season against Newcastle, Liverpool, Forest, Wolves only yielded 2 points (as opposed to 1 this season). We were brilliant playing away against bottom half teams in 22-23 under Emery and I expect similar results this time around (even if we're playing a more progressive style of football now). If we can keep our home form up and raise the away average to 1.5 ppg then we could finish top 3/4 no problem. Also it's worth mentioning the multiple reasons WHY we are creating so much more xg this season:
- Flexible build-up play where the threat can come from several dimensions (multiple midfielders who can take the ball under pressure, forwards dropping into the half spaces to receive/lay-off/turn, centre-backs like Pau and Lenglet who can play accurate long passes).
- More effective and varied ways to play through teams who sit deep (Tielemans wide role vs Fulham for instance)
- More touches in opp. box (6th this season vs 14th last)
- More penalties (3 already vs. 3 entire season in 22/23)
- Luiz having more impact higher up the pitch (his attacking stats now surpass Bruno G, for instance, in most areas).
- Even more ruthless on the counter
- Leon Bailey super sub!
Great watch as a villa fan. But one thing I wanna know is where you get that t shirt from? 😅😅😅
If we can get 9 points in our next four games (Spurs, Bournemouth away, Man City, Arsenal, home) I think we are definitely top 4 contenders and even title contenders. I would think 5th would be where we will finish. We have Ramsey and Moreno back after the break from long term injuries.
title contenders 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
@@delronmackay1473you laugh,but since Emery came in and leading up untill now villa would be 3rd potentially 2nd. And that’s over 34 games I think.
So yes.
Title challenge
@danielhughes7228 I wouldn't bother responding to idiots who use a line of emojis. Clearly, he has no writing skills. Or it borrowed his mommy's phone.
@@sebulreath7401 mate,I don’t think we’re in a title race,I don’t think we ever will be.
But you can’t argue with that stats and facts and villa would be up there since Emery came in the blokes a genius and easily one of the best managers in the world. We’re so lucky to have him and all this success is down to him.
@@danielhughes7228 We are still a club in development. However everything is in place to achieve a lot more than in recent times.
Sam highlights just why,we Villa fans love Unai.If any other team lost 4 starters,2 for the season,they'd be in the bottom half at best.Well done Sam.
Bang on, most of us fans see it this way. Players to come back and we are still improving despite the blip against Forrest. To Emery's credit, every loss is a lesson and we are better thereafter. Kamara, Torres, Bailey and Digne started the season slowly but now on form; Tielemans is at last emerging as the player we hoped for, and Ramsey and Moreno will add depth and hopefully another level of threat to what we have. Diaby is still finding his feet but he will be a killer when fully established. I see better things to come, check again after December's games, this is the litmus test.
Finally another Villa video! Hurray!
Great analysis. Home form definitely needed root and branch surgery too many teams enjoyed playing at Villa Park. Now we go there just expecting the Villa to score even if the other team get one we'll go up another gear. Big few weeks for us to see where we're really at in terms of pushing the top 4, Spurs away, Arsenal and City at home.
Ive backed villa £20 to finish top 4 and
Villa to win the league £20 with a 30 point start
villa to finish top 4 okay, villa to win the league? ehh
@@jaycartwright1170
That's with a 30 point start remember
@@marineboy1964 wait what’s a 30 point start? does it add on 30 points to villas season end total
@@jaycartwright1170 yes
Man city get 0 points
Liverpool get 7 points
Man utd get 12 points
Villa and brigton get 30
Points start
Where can I get the tee-shirt you're wearing? Available in USA?
I could definitely see Villa getting CL meaning top 5 this season… United, spurs and newcastle seem inconsistent and chelsea are playing catch up at this point
Wouldn’t be surprised if Chelsea got it tbf they can’t actually score goal now 😂
Champions league won’t be top 5 unless we get to be one of the best 2 leagues in Europe this season, and with Brighton, Man U, and Newcastle all being awful in Europe that doesn’t look likely
@@connor4435I'd hardly say Brighton's European form is terrible plus there's West Ham and Liverpool in Europa and City in Champions League to push it aswell as us in the Conference League
@@connor4435Top 5 and maybe a slipping into the Top 4 in what something like 1 of 4 seasons
Similar to Newcastle
I think that's a really fair assessment
The current away games (newcastle and anfield) are pretty brutal places to go and hard to win at. Forest you could look at the match stats and see villa were just unlucky. Think a few more away games at mid table teams is required to have full judgement on the away form
excellent analysis, they're lucky to have Emery but you have to give them credit for letting him build his team.
Every Villa fan knows the away form needs to improve and it's still far too early to talk about top 4 with only a third of the season gone. The plus for Villa fans is the incremental improvement. Since Unai has come in everyone can see what he's doing and how he's improving players on a weekly basis. He's got everyone at Villa onboard regardless of how this season pans out.
Great video
i personally think so. The likes of Liverpool, City, Arsenal all take 3rd 4th is up for grabs
As an Unai emery fan (I am a Spanish football fan in general)...I just am loving his redemption arc in English football.
I hope he creates something tangible there.
Hope Nico Williams moves to Villa if he ever leaves Athletic.
Perfectly put...our big players lost to injury have cost us and if we had kept them and with UNI doing his magic we would be 2nd and in a very strong 4th placed position... With a good signing in January and 2 I'm the summer then we will be a real danger next season and we are already this season... VTID
I honestly don't think so. Would be nice of them to do it, like Newcastle did last year, but I can't see them having the consistency to get in there come end of season. 6th would be a great achievement.
When have they been inconsistent since emery has taken over?
@@jeriswani6062 I didn't think much of them on the opening day of the season. In general they've been relatively consistent up to this point, I just can't personally see it lasting. Happy to be proven wrong, as I was last season with Newcastle.
Id just like to qualify for the Europa League next season weather thats by fa cup, conference league or league position. Its crazy how things are right now
They have the 3rd best manager IMO
If they keep most of the squad fit and make a few additions in January for depth, they can definitely stay in the top 4 race
maybe 3rd best in cups, fall a few places in league format. This could be the season to change that
Finally an intelligent pundit with legitimately speaking facts that is not London club or ‘top six bias for views’ or how Man United changed their toilet paper in the bathroom that lead to a change in form blah blah
Talksport,Sky Sports take note.
depends on financial backing and being able to retain their players and attract quality players, along with full backing and respect to Emery.
Financial backing, isn't a problem. Villa's owners are some of the wealthiest in the Premier League. Albeit, having to remain within the FFP restraints.
@@temporaryuseraccount0012 therefore, the finical backing has to continue
@@am5790 Villa have to increase their incoming revenue, in order to keep spending on improving the squad without breaking FFP is what I meant. The owners could easily plough a billion dollars into the club. But without enough money being generated, that would break FFP. Of course, they could always take the Man City route of artificially inflated sponsorship deals to circumnavigate the rules. But Villa's owners aren't as corrupt as Man City's and the ex Chelsea owner.
@@temporaryuseraccount0012 financial back has several attributes aside from injecting directly own money, as stated, FFP transgression etc....oh, all billionaires and establishment rich folks are corrupted and criminal....they have influence to subject laws and medias perception and how it's applied to them.....
2 of the away loses were against Newcastle and Liverpool. Very tough places to go. 5th would be an amazing achievement and i beleive very possible.
Hopefully Villa can start to beat the teams above them in the table. They really need to string some good results together over the next 4 games and sharpen their away form. UTV!!
2nd highest point haul in 2023 (GD aside) - I guess we really are the (joint) second best team in the league! Unless points are bad, of course...which we all know they are.
Thanks for the video, Sam et al. Please ignore the large swathes of our fanbase that moan when nobody talks about us and also moan when we're talked about in anything less than glowing terms. We've been crap for a long time, so there are a few that are getting carried away with it; and who am I to blame them...
Need that Aston Villa -- Man City analysis from Johh ASAP
Tifo finally give a positive video about Aston Villa, we must be in the end times.
Villa fan: we are doing amazing under Emery and he’s doing with players that just survived relegation a few seasons ago, we need to sort our away form out though, next 4 games will tell how far we’ve come Spurs (a) Bournemouth (a) City (H) Arsenal (H)
They need to improve their away record that going to be key 🔑
7:51 where are you getting those xGD numbers? 14.7 - 8.8 = 5.9, 6.0 - 9.9 = -3.3, no? Or is that not how you calculate it?
for various reasons i think the current top 4 will remain the same - but who finishes 1-4 is up for grabs. Villa are in the next rank alongside Chelsea, Man Utd, Brighton (probably), West Ham (possibly) & Newcastle who might get CL via 5th but will be happy with EL qualification and good runs in europe and/or the FA Cup
Right for a lot of it but when you have 6 away games and half of those are Chelsea, Newcastle and Liverpool you can forgive them results especially when the side had been injury hit and sandwiched between away games in Europe.
Unai is amazing
"he has lost his left side", i took that way too literally and thought he had a stroke
Depends on how many clubs get points deductions as I’m sure all of them have done what Everton have done I’m sure .
Williams and Abraham's are available for us in January ....may be another Saunders and Atkinson partnership in the near future VTID
Unai is good coach, that Barça comeback overshadow it
If they beat arsenal next week then they could definitely win it
I don't think they are unless they sort their away form out. The top teams will punish the high line that they play as Newcastle and Liverpool did.
Only 4 major injuries? As a United fan, I'd be happy with that. lmao That aside, Emery really has shown his class by being able to get this team to perform at a top 6 level, and so quickly, too. Given that he's made it work with what he's got, it'll be interesting to see where they land at the end of the season.
4 nailed down starters is a big deal
Yes
can villa do a leicester this year?
Don Unai knows.
Im not worried about the away form. Emery will fix it like he did the home form. If Enery fixes the away form like he has fixed the home form Villa will win the league.
Fair point on away form,,,beat spurs and results our way we'll be 3rd for most away wins,, amazing UTV
Man ! What a difference two weeks make 😂
can i ask why we are still talking about "top 4" like its a cut off that matters? its practically guaranteed that 5th place will get ucl next season
Are we sure the away form isn’t due to playing Liverpool, Newcastle and Forrest away? 3 of the hardest away grounds.
I am a Gunners fan, and I felt Unai was treated poorly. He caught the back end of Arsene’s poor signings are the fans were delusional. He is a great manager, a bit of a genius
Up the Villa!
10Hag "the fighter" needs to take notes
nice
LFC and Newcastle away are tough games for any team.
Wolves player their game like a flippin cup final.
Fair play to Forest, they played their socks off and cut off the passing lanes well.
Villa always come out of internation breaks stronger and the next 4 games will say a lot about our top four chances. Well done to TIFO for not putting our performances down to "luck" this time.
Stop calling Kamara 'Camera'. He's not an optical instrument!
Arsenal didn't give him a chance, he is probably better than Arteta but he needed time. But for him even though it ended badly I am sure he learned a lot (as smart people always do from bad situation) and ultimately it made him a better coach.
Lol you clearly werent watching out latter matches with him. We were getting outshot, outscored by teams like Burnley, Crystal Palace and Watford
Yeah I'm truly blind, I shouldn't comment here. I am grateful there are genuinely nice people like you in the world to help me see my character flaws. @@AlphaCenturi16
Even if that first season where he gets praised for doing well, we absolutely capitulated against Leicester,Wolves , and Everton away. Can see him struggling away from home wjth Villa.
I like Emery, he's NOT better than Arteta
if they get 2 or 3 injuries they will literally fall apart, especially in the defence
We have already had our injuries - 4 key players out and still coping. Emery will tweak it.
I know we need to sort out our away form, but Man Utd’s away form last season was abysmal & they still managed top 4. Also top 5 will more than likely get ECL this season.
The top 3 will be Man City Liverpool and Arsenal, finishing in that order, 4th place for Villa is definitely possible, our home form is superb but we must pick up more away points, the next month will see how good we've progressed as a team, Spurs Man City and Arsenal all coming up.
People need to understand contenders it doesn’t mean they will be top 4 but be 5-7th
We might be top for Christmas. Something seems to be fixed.