A thought I had for a possible contributing factor: hurricanes. September is the peak month and understandably would dampen market expectations watching large areas hit by strong storms in addition to direct impacts for insurance companies, businesses operating in those areas, and people fleeing or otherwise changing spending habits in response.
I really appreciate how much you dig and use sources that make sense Thank you VERY much. Looking forward to your next upload regardless of the topic because I learn something from you every video. Dig dig dig, love it 👍
The Fed's talk of interest rate cut leaves me pondering what stocks to buy now and when do I sell? I'm unsure how to properly allocate my money to achieve an optimal portfolio in this present economy, my goal is $3m for retirement.
Some things actually go up during September such as Gold, or the USD/CHF (Swiss Frank). But what you forgot to mention is that hurricanes happen a lot and are at their worst during September. This has an effect on oil, which is typically a pretty indicator of how the market is going to go. September also had the terrorist attacks and Germany invade Poland in 1939. While 1939 didn't necessarily have the S and P 500, just goes to show you that a lot of terrible stuff happens during September.
Needless to say, it is probably just a coincidence that September follows the reporting season (mostly in August) for the previous financial year. Why would any investment entity re-adjust their investments based on nothing more than individual company results for that previous year?
If you were to invest in October then sell at the end of August you'd pay more on short-term capital gains tax (10+%) than you would lose on returns (1%)
I noticed this as a complete moron just starting out. Someone told me to check long term performances before buying a position, and though we aren't supposed to rely on timing the market, any 12 year old can look at performance charts and tell you not to sell in September, and watch it for your best price. Late October is the same, but the dip is for a few days. After that things stabilize. Now you're right, it doesn't happen all of the time, and not with all sticks. So when it happens with large indexes, it's likely only some stocks dragging the index down, but other stocks keeping it from taking a nose dive. One of mine took a sharp turn and I was able to use that to buy some off setting ballast positions that corrected those losses within a week. And like I said, I'm a newbie moron just starting out.
Yet another fantastic video about something I knew very little about…
thank you, much appreciated!!
It's actually because I had just recently started investing into the stock market. Sorry about that guys
😂
I also started investing, hahhaa, but thats good we get cheaper stocks. Now it has to go up "As usual"
Happens to me all the time
@@thechuches3879I started right before, so the duo made me a little more cautious which is a good thing.
**slight correction. The Stock market has increased 279 times in value since 1950, not 1957. Since '57, it's increased 125 fold.
DCA a moderate amount of money into an S&P 500 index ETF/ Mutual Fund, and throughout the year collect and sit on money until September.
Great video, and really appreciate your research and unusual angles all the time, Hamish!
Glad you enjoyed it!
As allways fantastic research Hamish 🇦🇺🤗
Can you please do a video examining what happens historically during fed rate cuts. 🙏
Will we get a marker crash before the release of GTA6 ?
finally someone asking the important questions
Apparently GTA 6 has been delayed till 2026. So likely
@@SuperLari1234a release date has never been actually announced
Good job! I appreciate the seriousness of the approach and all nuances in your conclusion. Very interesting and well done analysis. Thank you!
Wake me up when September ends.
Wake me up when life ends.
A thought I had for a possible contributing factor: hurricanes. September is the peak month and understandably would dampen market expectations watching large areas hit by strong storms in addition to direct impacts for insurance companies, businesses operating in those areas, and people fleeing or otherwise changing spending habits in response.
I really appreciate how much you dig and use sources that make sense Thank you VERY much. Looking forward to your next upload regardless of the topic because I learn something from you every video. Dig dig dig, love it 👍
The Fed's talk of interest rate cut leaves me pondering what stocks to buy now and when do I sell? I'm unsure how to properly allocate my money to achieve an optimal portfolio in this present economy, my goal is $3m for retirement.
Great breakdown, homie!
Some things actually go up during September such as Gold, or the USD/CHF (Swiss Frank). But what you forgot to mention is that hurricanes happen a lot and are at their worst during September. This has an effect on oil, which is typically a pretty indicator of how the market is going to go. September also had the terrorist attacks and Germany invade Poland in 1939. While 1939 didn't necessarily have the S and P 500, just goes to show you that a lot of terrible stuff happens during September.
Interesting data!
good work
What about the "rule" that I know from Germany? I.e.: "Sell in May and go away, but always remember to come back in September."
Run backtest on SPY, it's much better to sell in the early summer which is often a temporary top. Rebuy later. But you can check it out for yourself.
Wake me up when September ends!
Come on 200k!!!!!!
Soo ..index puts on Feb, May and September then.
Good man ! thank you
thanks for watching!
Nice 👍
Why is berkshire execs selling their shares?
Needless to say, it is probably just a coincidence that September follows the reporting season (mostly in August) for the previous financial year. Why would any investment entity re-adjust their investments based on nothing more than individual company results for that previous year?
so will this video kill the September prophecy 😄
If you were to invest in October then sell at the end of August you'd pay more on short-term capital gains tax (10+%) than you would lose on returns (1%)
I noticed this as a complete moron just starting out. Someone told me to check long term performances before buying a position, and though we aren't supposed to rely on timing the market, any 12 year old can look at performance charts and tell you not to sell in September, and watch it for your best price. Late October is the same, but the dip is for a few days. After that things stabilize.
Now you're right, it doesn't happen all of the time, and not with all sticks. So when it happens with large indexes, it's likely only some stocks dragging the index down, but other stocks keeping it from taking a nose dive. One of mine took a sharp turn and I was able to use that to buy some off setting ballast positions that corrected those losses within a week. And like I said, I'm a newbie moron just starting out.
So far its been the best month of the year for me lol
Curious of the September effect during election years?
Average .03 positive but aye not red 🤷♂️
We all gotta pay taxes
:(
First!
winner winner!