Glad to see Peter's getting back his roots. He had gotten weirdly positive for a few episodes there, but we're back to famine and political purges. The world has balance again.
His books have a fair bit of mix, and so do his videos if you look hard enough. He's pretty bullish on America *compared* to most of the other parts of planet, for instance. But yeah, I come here for my dose of "Here's a concern for you" content, too.
@@augustuslxiii He's pretty bullish on the Americas in general, both North and South. The Americas when taken as a whole generally have low population density (compared to Europe and Asia) excess food production, adequate industrial output, and loads of capital (both financial and intellectual). They're also separated from the rest of the world by oceans on both sides. The Americas has more than sufficient energy resources within their own boundaries. Finally the Americas does not have anywhere near the blood soaked national and tribal enmities that the old world does (although the Americas does have rather appalling level of casual non-state violence mostly between gangs and mafias). The worst wars in the Americas were all civil wars occurring within countries, rather than wars between countries. (Mexican and US civil wars were particularly brutal).
When I was in college (many years ago), I noticed that my very best instructors were the ones who could take dull material and make it compelling. Those are the kind of teachers whom I would visit during their office hours because their fascinating insights also helped me master the class content. Peter is like one of those professors. He is compelling and totally plugged into the latest data, which he then runs through that amazing thinker of his and provides compelling entertaining analysis. This is why he gets paid big bucks to speak all over the world and can afford to take well-deserved vacations in New Zealand. Hats off to you Peter!
Agree with your comparison...and if you look at the end result...does it matter whether your "professor" has a piled-higher-and deeper"? Sarcasm and negativity has made the world what it is today....definitely not the brainless optimists. What is the usefulness of positivity when it's been thoroughly debunked by results that are not in the best interest of a society ...the west and the US particularly. I found way back then that the courses and teachers I most disliked..were the ones I learned the most from. Peter is a teacher more eloquent and articulate than most of the phd talking heads in the media. Realistic fact-based presentations are a rarity. He cruises the world to meet eye-to-eye with sources....a job requirement..not a playful luxury.
Man, I am just in awe. Most humans have trouble simultaneously mentally composing and verbally delivering their sentence. But here we have both happening perfectly. With variation in diction and tempo so it is ALWAYS interesting. What a gift, your mind is!
Yes, he speaks as if he has something interesting to say. Since he does not use the word "like" or say "um" a lot, people think he is insightful. However, in reality he contradicts himself quite often.
WOW !! This was a good one ! (This is the Peter Zeihan who hooked me into a new zone of thought lost since my college days and my younger self.) This was historic Peter...I think I begin to see your next book!!! Now we begin to see what an empty husk the insipid American corporate media is. We have to search for streams of intelligence and thought and assemble a portfolio of pragmatic, logical observers and thinkers. Here we find the reason for reason.
This wasn't the "reveal" about American corporate media. Although birthed much earlier, that became apparent around 2016, and abundantly clear around the fall of 2020. Now it's such a clown show, even basic normies are starting to look nervously around themselves wondering what else in their previously comfy reality is also a lie.
when I hear Peter talk in his latest American elections video and his viewpoints on Bernie and his supporters, it's a clear reminder that we always must think for ourselves haha. His perception is so mistakenly skewed on quite a few things. But he also says a lot of interesting and correct things.
I follow quite a number of analysts. Agreed that China's decline is both baked in and sure to be severe. What is perhaps most shocking to me, though, is the hollowness of Chinese tech infrastructure that has been revealed in recent years. The Chip Act should be added to the major factors acting as tipping points and drivers of decline.
Spending money isn’t enough to advance your technology. You need to have systems in place to turn that funding into technological advancement. Government spending will always have some level of corruption, but it’s really bad in China.
its not the chip act that screws the chinese in short term, its actually the war russia started combined with covid that has the lowest gdp growth in china in 30 years at 2.4 percent. factor in the problems of financial system in china and interest rates going up means capital flight out of china to a more stable euro or us treasury bills that pay higher interest. thats why china was complaining about the american fed raising interest rates because it was gonna screw over the chinese economy but they can blame russia for that.
@@ianshaver8954 I think one of the things people often overlook about the success of the US in the tech sector is the unique relationship between govt/military and private sectors. Via the military there is huge government expenditure in research and tech, which at a later point is just turned over the private sector to iterate on. The early work can happen without a profit motive. The Soviet Union also invested heavily in the 1950s onwards in tech but never handed it over to anyone to iterate on, so early advancements were often on a par with the US (eg the Space Race), but ultimately just hit cul de sacs, with no repurposing or iterating into other avenues
It's hilarious to hear gringos talking about the "failing" of the world's largest economy (China) while their decrepit cities (Chicago, Baltimore, LA) are full of feral criminals 😄
"Aren't the Chinese smarter? Don't they think 30 steps ahead? Aren't they the chess players, while the Americans are the checkers players?... Yeah that's a bunch of bullshit." Hahahaha! God I love you Peter.
What's really an accomplishment is how both Russia and China have made enemies of almost every country in their area. And pretty much all of them have become defacto or dejure supporters of the United States.
One straight evidence would tell you if you believe in Peter’s bullshit you would r come to regret it in future. The Chinese don’t think 30 years ahead how were they able to get Saudi and Iran to cooperate and come to a peace deal. In case you didn’t know these 2 countries are in competition for regional power and in competition religiously.
there are certain macro advantages/disadvantages outside the control of any economic/military strategist or commander: e.g. demographics, geography, history which has already occurred etc... it's possible to be silly and get ahead, and possible to be smart and get screwed - if you were born on the wrong boat...
for me I would say investing in Bitcoin was the best decision, I and my wife ever took because at some point we were running down and didn't know what to do anymore, thanks to my colleagues at work who introduced me to Mrs Sophia
He speaks with a remarkable confidence about complex, interconnected and fluid moving parts as related to geopolitics and foreign policy... It's like a dude confidently calling the winning numbers on a roulette table before he gets to the casino 😂
You’re forgetting the best part; At least to my ears, this dude is a plant. Once he said he’s consulting with our government and can’t speak on it, I said check please. At this point, he could be who exactly who he says he is but I can’t trust the shit he says. I also think he’s avoiding or simply blind to one of the greatest problems facing the U.S. What about the upcoming idiocracy.? Of all things most likely to destroy us I think that’s most likely to end our run and it’s already in motion. The ripple effect from that could be catastrophic to the future of all western civilization. But that’s just my guess. I think it’s as good as his. I think Armageddon is extremely rare and it’s the smallest occurrences that happen gradually right under our nose that ultimately change everything. I just see us trending that way based on the numbers I’m seeing, as well what I see anecdotally.
He is a true China expert, I take every word he says as the grand truth. He can't be wrong. Just see how confident and comfortable he is when predicting China's fall time and again. That is where I would bet my money on.
Thanks Peter, for making these. It's hard to get around all the dramatic shit in today's media. After listening to your videos I don't find quite as much hysteria out there. Or at least I should say, I'm able to logically work through the hysteria so it doesn't keep me up at night.
"Just as all creatures wage the battle of life with the best of weapons given to them by nature, the Chinese wage theirs with their foremost weapon - acting. They have no talent for warfare. They are not inventive. They cannot compete in industrial organization. They are at heart seemingly immune to the loyalties by which national unity might be achieved to them greater strength. Thus about all that is left to them protectively is their remarkable ability to detect the emotional susceptibilities of opponents, and to attack these with the display best calculated to achieve the desired results. The display may be designed to induce sympathy, to mollify anger, to inspire generosity, or to flatter conceit. But the Chinese are adept at deciding what method is best, and before this talent many a sturdy diplomat has given way against the accusations of his rational self in the manner that Samson melted in the arms of the cooing Delilah. " -"Ways that are dark: The Truth About China" by Ralph Townsend (Former US consul who lived in 1930s China)
@@patrickt49 Resurrect Mr Townsend and let him be marveled at the advancement China has made in the last 4 decades. The US can't keep up and is afraid of losing its hegemony.
@@patrickt49 had a job in electronics manufacturing back in the 90’s. And had the chance to work with a man who emigrated from Thailand. Here we are sitting in an assembly plant in southeastern Michigan on midnight shift, talking about China 🇨🇳, and their actual history, political beliefs and true end goals. This guy had worked for the CIA during the Vietnam 🇻🇳 war. And was a studied and resident go to guy on China during the war. Still had an ID 🪪 with his photo on it. Amazing conversations. He basically said that what the western public was fed on China was, and is mostly propaganda structured by the western, really U.S. Security State/CIA. Basically confirmed that the western media is completely infiltrated and controlled by the deep state. Yes Virginia, the Deep State does exist. Not that China wasn’t a danger. They were, and still are. But not anything of the actual sort that is portrayed in western media. He kept saying, if you want to know what is most likely going to happen in the future, look at the past. Just about all of the wars that China has been involved in, involved invasions of China itself. Very seldom have they ever been an aggressor to the outside. It is not in their paradigm to think that way. With the exception of Taiwan 🇹🇼. Which they thoroughly believe actually is part of china 🇨🇳
@@garylancaster8612 SciFi author Robert A. Heinlein was bitterly disappointed by his time in New Zealand, which he details in his book Tramp Royale. So much so that at the end of the book he describes how everything worth seeing or doing in New Zealand can be found in the United States, for less cost for Americans and with more comfort, and how Americans shouldn't bother going. Everything except one cave where the roof is covered in glow worms.
@@barreloffun10 it has a spectacular landscape but it obviously doesn't have any history or traditions or historical and glorious architecture, dating before the 19th century. To make a long distance visit really worthwhile you surely want a mix of scenery, landscape and historical or fascinating townscapes.
Great analysis as always. Has Peter ever spelled out in explicit terms what he thinks will happen when China "collapses"? Are we talking about the loss of central control, civil war, mass famine (or all of the above)? I know Rogan pressed him a bit on this but his answers remained pretty general. As grim as it must be, I'd like to hear the gritty detail.
When China collapses stupid questions because no one knows as no one will be alive when that happens or if that happens China's growth is just started it's still in first gear.
I think he means the collapse of the current government, which may or may not be accompanied by events such as famine or fracturing depending on what causes the collapse.
I live here. A bunch of us are moving to Australia because it's too expensive here compared to incomes (and Australia is a terrible deal too, so tells you the scale of the issue in NZ). Nice place to visit but the numbers don't stack up to move here for most, unless they don't care and are just escaping somewhere. If there is a war that disrupts petroleum shipping for a while we will be back to the stone age.
@@Pyriold it's not worth going half way around the world to see mountains lakes beaches and fjords though. All of those things are available much closer to wherever you are
Zeihan isn't doing analysis. It's narrative pushing. China is failing, China is going to collapse, China is this, China is that. If China is "failing" then why is the U.S spending so much money trying to contain a "failing state"? Absolute joke. Again Zeihan has never debated anybody, His credibility is nil.
Hi Peter big fan. So glad I found you through the podcast you did with Joe Rogan. It would be really nice to get your take on the Brics including Saudi Arabia moving away from the US dollar for an international currency exchange. What effects will this have on the US over the coming years?
@@nemanjababic7141 I certainly don’t want to hear what he’s saying. I’d much rather his videos ended with, “…and everyone will live happily ever after”!
I would love to her Peter's opinion on a suggested BRICS common currency. With all of the "the dollar is doomed," fear mongering I'm being inundated with lately, it would be nice to hear a well thought out counterpoint. Even though I know this is about the 5th time BRICS has made such a claim, maybe this time, there is some merit behind it.
He covered this a few months ago. Essentially the volume of international trade is so great, no other currency even comes close to being able to handle it but the dollar (the Euro would be the next most-likely substitute, but it's far, far behind the dollar).
I think we can only really start to analyse what this might look like should a serious proposal ever be floated. Until that point its like having an opinion on the best way to swim up a tree. People who talk about such a thing, I would ask them if they know when its likely to be introduced (and say you'll reserver judgement until then because otherwise its like.....having an opinion on the best way to swim up a tree)
look at it this way say the saudi accept chinese yuan for their oil. do you think the saudi want chinese yuan or gonna hang onto it? hell no. first thing they do is convert that yuan into us dollar cuz its more stable.. same thing with all these Brics currencies, so they trade with each other in each others currency. So india gets some brazilian peso, you think they gonna hang onto that when brazil had gone bankrupt 3 times and defaulted on imf loans? hell no, they gonna convert it into us dollar. so the us dollar is much more stable and safer than any of those countries currencies.
Regardless of the feasibility of a common currency, such an endeavour requires common responsibility and understanding, which just doesn’t really exist here; the best we can say for BRICS is that its a fragile marriage of convenience. We all know that China and Russia are on thin ice, South Africa might not exist by the end of the decade and it’s actually decide to follow the Zimbabwean economic model (eek!) as the ANC desperately trys to secure power - meanwhile the Zulu and Xhosa are on the brink of a civil war. India is just playing both sides but will jump at any point it feels it’s not being the no 1 player ( it’s no secret they wish to supplant China in the manufacturing sector), and Brazil well I’m not sure how they will factor into it but knowing their lack of historical stability theyre hardly in a position to support a shared currency. Consider how hard the EU has to work to make the Euro work - and that’s at least a bunch of nations coming from a common cultural and philosophical root (even if they aren’t all friends they have core similarités that keep them together). BRICS was setup by a Goldman Sachs exec and honestly it shows.
😂😂! I acknowledge that it’s definitely not a comfortable feeling for you but… don’t you feel like laughing at the hopelessness of the situation? And how Peter finished his China doomsday delivery with a smile 😅.
@Thomas Singer he has front row seats to india china water war that is guaranteed to happen within 5 years, with china building 7 dams on the biggest fresh water river in tibet before it flows into india and bangladesh to cut them off of their fresh water and irrigation for farms. if you want a guaranteed war, cut off a countrys fresh water and see what happens.
I really appreciate these videos. I doubt I’d do better in university courses on geopolitics, they are enthralling and fill my desire to know the world I live in. Just incredible.
@@SeattlePioneer There are various levels of fundamentals worth diving into. Peter dives into geography, demographics and agriculture. He will sometimes discuss current politics. The other areas you mentioned that he does not do a deep dive on are the proper province of academia.
I'd like to hear more from you. Your analysis of China seems straight. The more concentrated their society becomes based on one person's thoughts, the more likely to have cracks opening in their society where problems are not seen or addressed. They need an environmental movement, freedom of speech and music, and fashion style to create healthy softness, less foreign policy threat.
Peter I'm gobsmacked that one of the key guys I turn to in order to gain understanding of international policy, real time moves and a dose of reality is filming in our neck of the woods! I was literally looking at the background at the start of this video thinking it looked like Banks Peninsula - kudos to you buddy, I really appreciate your insight and now I know you're you spent time here makes me double happy :)
@sonekulla Yes. Why not? The audio doesn't sound like amazing outdoors quality. It sounds like excellent indoor quality. The contrast between him and the backdrop looks like it could be green screened. Just asking a question.
Talk to military guys and they will tell you that submarines are the only important thing in or on the water. All the big powers have long range missiles which can take out aircraft carriers and other vessels with ease if the fighting really starts in earnest.
I would really love to hear your thoughts about Australia's Victorian Premier, and his close relationship with China. And how this could disrupt Australian progress. Especially after his recent visit to China.
Don't you know China didn't care about Australia? They have more energy backup to replace Australia, Russia, Brazil, Africa. But Australia has replaced big customers? Do you rely on your so-called freedom to live?
As always data matters - Take a look at US Treasury debt held by China, yeah they have dumped about 17% of their holdings of US debt(Y/Y 2022 data). This can be a function trade or dedollarization. France also reduces their holdings. As US treasuries demand drops the price will also drop and rates will increase making it every harder to fund the bloated out of control central planning machine of the US govt. China may be a lot of things, but they serve the US economy by buying debt - now not so much - enjoy the outcome of China bashing.
Does anyone have some pointers to where I can learn more about what Peter is talking about when he says that France has a history of being wildly creative at causing problems for people they don't like?
Its lovely that China used to be strong but since they accepted the fact their US enemy now they are weak. I duunno how many idiots need to watch same analysis that mainstream media gives them. This guy here got no clue what he is talking about
@C Koba Exactly. Totally opposite stances. They're both so confident in their opinions on China and geopolitics in general I can't tell who's right. Andrew: China is well on their way in total world domination Zeihan: China is grossly dysfunctional and will collapse within the next 8-10 years.
@@far-middle What does Bustamante say? I've seen him a couple of times, and something doesn't feel right about him but I can't put my finger on it exactly
China also is seeing a demographic shift from a rural peasant with low education to a class stratified society. They have been so successful as the worlds workshop, that they soon will be too expensive to be the worlds workshop. Similar to how Japan and Korea progressed from making cheap crap by the containerful to higher quality stuff. Except that niche already has plenty of countries vying for "middle class country that makes quality stuff". But also, a middle class is rarely not vocal about what they do not like. Their mass surveillance state can only hold so much of that back.
For some reason all of his videos full of "thanks for your videos" and other flattary. One dude wrote that he can watch zeihan all day without distraction, he has
Peter, can you please speak to the apparent shift away from the US Dollar? I see that as a possible threat but I am sure you have great thoughts on it. Thanks.
I had lived in China under the former China leader Hu Jintao. When Xi came to power, the big thrust was to “purge government corruption” and the people applauded that. As society seemed to be heading in a positive direction under Hu, we didn’t realize at the time that Xi was killing off all political opposition and methodically moving back to the way things were under his formative years mentor Mao Zedong. I’m still embedded in China with friends and family there and since Covid lockdowns they have awakened to the deterioration in society that Xi has single-handedly caused. I foresee a lot of bad down the road under this misguided monster.
US learned a lot from Vietnam actually. If anything Vietnam caused massive changes in how war is fought by the US because of all the logical errors that were corrected after the war. From how air combat works to how to fight guerilla warfare more effectively. Afghanistan is its own thing and was mostly caused by political nonsense then anything.
Sir, your vibes are so good, I particularly have so much interest in Geo-politics, the more I look and watch carefully, the more I love and your channel is what I have to add in my sub list. Thanks for these insights
Americans & French are family? 32 years old first time iv heard of this. Allies yes, family definitely not. I think Peters personal views once again interfere with Logic & the facts.
One of the bassists for Peter Paul and Mary told me a story. He was in Paris looking for guitar picks. At that time tortoise shell products were banned in America, but they are the best material for any type of instrument picks. The bassist went into a Parisian instrument shop and saw a whole container of picks and wanted to buy a bunch. The shopkeeper asked him if he was American and he confirmed. He asked for the price a few times but the shopkeep wouldn't say directly. He kept rummaging and picking out until he finally was satisfied with his massive haul. "how much?" he asked. The shopkeeper looked at him in the eye and said, "For you, no charge. When you freed us from the Nazis, you did not charge us." If it weren't for France, the US would not have won the Revolutionary war. If it were not for the US, the French would be speaking German. As for what Macron is doing, for the past 10 years, the European economy has been depressed. Had it not been for the Chinese tourists and billionaires, Paris would not have survived. If you've been to Paris in the past 15 years, there are Chinese tourists everywhere. They're obnoxious and loud and spend 50k on a single shopping spree. Given how China's demography is on the decline, their consumption days are nearly over and France will pivot away from China. And France's birth rate is amongst the best in the developed world. I'm not worried.
The best thing to do with china is remove the most favored status in trade china does notice when they gotta trade and pay more its the more fair since int tech theft and other bad acts they ate going down and moving manufacturing somewhere anywhere else chi's not changing
As an Australian I love how you put as "America's Deputy" we prefer to call ourselves the "51st State" although we might have to change that if DC or Puerto Rico gets statehood. There is one major difference we have in the South China Sea. China has become our top trading nation mainly because we export a staggering amount of iron ore to China. In the year 2000 we were the #3 producer with 169 Million tons that year. By 2010 we had jumped over Brazil to 416 million tons. In 2017 it was 870 million tons. Almost all of that growth is to China. ruclips.net/video/emm5aHAifMg/видео.html On the other hand South Korea and Japan are our #2 and #3 trading partners. So that Sea Lane up the middle of the South China Sea is pretty damn important to us. And for reference India is #4 and America is #5 on our trading partners list. *So if anyone tries to start some sort of SHlTFEST in the South China Sea its at the top of our agenda.* In a twist to that. America's foreign policy (as Peter has pointed out numerous times) was ridiculous under Bush, almost non-existent under Obama and completely off the rails with Trump. Mid-2017, around 18 months after trump took office it was reported here in Australia that we had a major problem. Since the end of WW2 our #1 foreign policy was basically "What does America want now?" With Trump even that didn't exist, so DFAT (pronounced dee-fat, the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade) which is basically our equivalent (in some ways) to the US State Department, had to start thinking for itself. That was a serious problem because DFAT hadn't had to think for itself in decades. The report at the time (mid-2017) was that DFAT had made it past the worst of that as was starting to actually do its job. So yes Australia is still America's deputy in SE Asia, *BUT* America better not be of the mindset that we will just do what America wants. As for those subs wait for the shitfight that is about to start. Despite the current government we have in power having partisan support the cost of that program is so idiotically ridiculous that IT WILL BE MODIFIED or CANCELLED. Once the Australian population realises that the American Military Industrial Complex is trying to take us to the cleaners EXPECT a backlash.
@@re1v3r Yeah but getting a score of 2 out of 10 might be better than 1 out of 10 but its still a fail. And a score of 49 out of 100 might be even better but its still a fail. You can get a score of 98 out of 100 and it can still be a fail if the passing grade is 99. I'd take Australia over many other places but that doesn't mean we get a passing grade on anything.
"Never interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake." - Napoleon Bonaparte
This is Sun Tzu.
@amcmillion3 *Shut Up Mimsy!*
@@amcmillion3 Never believe quotes you read on the Internet - Julius Ceasar
Napoleon during Waterloo: Will someone please fucking interrupt me right now.
@@mattpadgett5266hilarious
Glad to see Peter's getting back his roots. He had gotten weirdly positive for a few episodes there, but we're back to famine and political purges. The world has balance again.
he didn't seem giddy enough to be back to normal. mebe he's low energy. or maybe it's not as exciting/interesting when it's imminent.
His books have a fair bit of mix, and so do his videos if you look hard enough. He's pretty bullish on America *compared* to most of the other parts of planet, for instance.
But yeah, I come here for my dose of "Here's a concern for you" content, too.
And China is about to collapse for the last 10 years. Don’t forget his STRATFOR beginnings. When he was learning the grift. Lol.
he is still cheerleading while the last president is being indicted and fednow is scheduled for july implementation...
@@augustuslxiii He's pretty bullish on the Americas in general, both North and South. The Americas when taken as a whole generally have low population density (compared to Europe and Asia) excess food production, adequate industrial output, and loads of capital (both financial and intellectual). They're also separated from the rest of the world by oceans on both sides. The Americas has more than sufficient energy resources within their own boundaries. Finally the Americas does not have anywhere near the blood soaked national and tribal enmities that the old world does (although the Americas does have rather appalling level of casual non-state violence mostly between gangs and mafias). The worst wars in the Americas were all civil wars occurring within countries, rather than wars between countries. (Mexican and US civil wars were particularly brutal).
When I was in college (many years ago), I noticed that my very best instructors were the ones who could take dull material and make it compelling. Those are the kind of teachers whom I would visit during their office hours because their fascinating insights also helped me master the class content. Peter is like one of those professors. He is compelling and totally plugged into the latest data, which he then runs through that amazing thinker of his and provides compelling entertaining analysis. This is why he gets paid big bucks to speak all over the world and can afford to take well-deserved vacations in New Zealand. Hats off to you Peter!
That's a working vacation!
Agree with your comparison...and if you look at the end result...does it matter whether your "professor" has a piled-higher-and deeper"? Sarcasm and negativity has made the world what it is today....definitely not the brainless optimists. What is the usefulness of positivity when it's been thoroughly debunked by results that are not in the best interest of a society ...the west and the US particularly. I found way back then that the courses and teachers I most disliked..were the ones I learned the most from. Peter is a teacher more eloquent and articulate than most of the phd talking heads in the media. Realistic fact-based presentations are a rarity. He cruises the world to meet eye-to-eye with sources....a job requirement..not a playful luxury.
Not comparing, but all those magnificent business trainers/couches/scammers get even more bucks from idiots around the world ;)
see, my college professors just played peter zeihan youtube videos for us. Before there was a channel, back when you had to find recorded lectures
I guess you never took a critical thinking class if you think Peter is insightful.
Peter’s videos are the only videos I can watch all the way through and not get distracted. Always totally gripped. Thanks Pete
Hahaha
Sad that he doesn't know what the fook he's talking about.
@@markmark5269 😆👍
Man, I am just in awe. Most humans have trouble simultaneously mentally composing and verbally delivering their sentence. But here we have both happening perfectly. With variation in diction and tempo so it is ALWAYS interesting. What a gift, your mind is!
Yes, he speaks as if he has something interesting to say. Since he does not use the word "like" or say "um" a lot, people think he is insightful. However, in reality he contradicts himself quite often.
It always makes me nervous when Peter goes to places that have the best chance of surviving the nuclear winter.
😮
good one
Do You konw what are the "First Five" by Russian military command? than good luck.
Hence y the wealthiest who benefit most from wars own homes there
😂😂😂
WOW !! This was a good one ! (This is the Peter Zeihan who hooked me into a new zone of thought lost since my college days and my younger self.) This was historic Peter...I think I begin to see your next book!!! Now we begin to see what an empty husk the insipid American corporate media is. We have to search for streams of intelligence and thought and assemble a portfolio of pragmatic, logical observers and thinkers. Here we find the reason for reason.
This wasn't the "reveal" about American corporate media. Although birthed much earlier, that became apparent around 2016, and abundantly clear around the fall of 2020.
Now it's such a clown show, even basic normies are starting to look nervously around themselves wondering what else in their previously comfy reality is also a lie.
when I hear Peter talk in his latest American elections video and his viewpoints on Bernie and his supporters, it's a clear reminder that we always must think for ourselves haha. His perception is so mistakenly skewed on quite a few things. But he also says a lot of interesting and correct things.
@@abcxyz123 Bernie Sanders is a moron and so is anyone that blindly listens to him. Keep seething about his appropriate takes.
I follow quite a number of analysts. Agreed that China's decline is both baked in and sure to be severe. What is perhaps most shocking to me, though, is the hollowness of Chinese tech infrastructure that has been revealed in recent years. The Chip Act should be added to the major factors acting as tipping points and drivers of decline.
Spending money isn’t enough to advance your technology. You need to have systems in place to turn that funding into technological advancement. Government spending will always have some level of corruption, but it’s really bad in China.
its not the chip act that screws the chinese in short term, its actually the war russia started combined with covid that has the lowest gdp growth in china in 30 years at 2.4 percent. factor in the problems of financial system in china and interest rates going up means capital flight out of china to a more stable euro or us treasury bills that pay higher interest. thats why china was complaining about the american fed raising interest rates because it was gonna screw over the chinese economy but they can blame russia for that.
@@ianshaver8954 I think one of the things people often overlook about the success of the US in the tech sector is the unique relationship between govt/military and private sectors. Via the military there is huge government expenditure in research and tech, which at a later point is just turned over the private sector to iterate on. The early work can happen without a profit motive.
The Soviet Union also invested heavily in the 1950s onwards in tech but never handed it over to anyone to iterate on, so early advancements were often on a par with the US (eg the Space Race), but ultimately just hit cul de sacs, with no repurposing or iterating into other avenues
They have been stopping China rise for 30 years but keeps on epic failing, why do you keep listening to zi0nist zeihan shill is beyond me
It's hilarious to hear gringos talking about the "failing" of the world's largest economy (China) while their decrepit cities (Chicago, Baltimore, LA) are full of feral criminals 😄
I always feel so optimistic towards humanity after listening to Peter
He's lost😂
Strange seeing as most of his messages are negative
@@Muzzy0085 OP was sarcastic
Love your stuff man
As the old soviet joke put it: whatever goes wrong, blame the Amerikanskys and everything will be fine.
Works in the Third World, too! Just ask Maduro!
Thats an old CIA joke though....
@@SirGeneTX I can see your bias from just 2 comments
They teach that at the Victoria Nuland school for military imbeciles at Harvard.
@@darrinito idk what this has to do with anything
Must admit, when I hear the French are getting involved I do wonder when the fighting is going to start.
😂😂😂 last time we "negotiated" with Russia it didn't turn out so well 😂😂😂
After 3 years in France, I can say that they don't shave is some places of the body, and their breath stinks.
Figjhting? Lol. Pretty sure he went there to surrender.
@@no_more_free_nicks Et tu? 😅 I beg to disagree. & you are giving us too much information about yourself
@@no_more_free_nicks 😂😂 that's a bit ridiculous though
Damn... Not just a masterful explanation, Peter provides the receipts and motives... Love this guy.
Kia ora Peter, welcome to Aotearoa New Zealand
Keep it coming, dude
"Aren't the Chinese smarter? Don't they think 30 steps ahead? Aren't they the chess players, while the Americans are the checkers players?... Yeah that's a bunch of bullshit."
Hahahaha! God I love you Peter.
after 9 years living in china....in my experience he is bang on.
What's really an accomplishment is how both Russia and China have made enemies of almost every country in their area. And pretty much all of them have become defacto or dejure supporters of the United States.
One straight evidence would tell you if you believe in Peter’s bullshit you would r come to regret it in future. The Chinese don’t think 30 years ahead how were they able to get Saudi and Iran to cooperate and come to a peace deal. In case you didn’t know these 2 countries are in competition for regional power and in competition religiously.
Han Chinese are much smarter than gringos, PISA results and IQ testing prove it.
there are certain macro advantages/disadvantages outside the control of any economic/military strategist or commander: e.g. demographics, geography, history which has already occurred etc...
it's possible to be silly and get ahead, and possible to be smart and get screwed - if you were born on the wrong boat...
Love your content, you make what’s going on the world more interesting and understandable. Keep up the good work!
I'm from UK 🇬🇧🇬🇧
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How much exactly does she make of you in every trade don't mind me asking
I remember when this guy said China would crumble within 10 years, more than 10 years ago.
He speaks with a remarkable confidence about complex, interconnected and fluid moving parts as related to geopolitics and foreign policy...
It's like a dude confidently calling the winning numbers on a roulette table before he gets to the casino 😂
You’re forgetting the best part; At least to my ears, this dude is a plant. Once he said he’s consulting with our government and can’t speak on it, I said check please. At this point, he could be who exactly who he says he is but I can’t trust the shit he says.
I also think he’s avoiding or simply blind to one of the greatest problems facing the U.S. What about the upcoming idiocracy.? Of all things most likely to destroy us I think that’s most likely to end our run and it’s already in motion. The ripple effect from that could be catastrophic to the future of all western civilization. But that’s just my guess. I think it’s as good as his. I think Armageddon is extremely rare and it’s the smallest occurrences that happen gradually right under our nose that ultimately change everything.
I just see us trending that way based on the numbers I’m seeing, as well what I see anecdotally.
Boy never been to China
He is a true China expert, I take every word he says as the grand truth. He can't be wrong. Just see how confident and comfortable he is when predicting China's fall time and again. That is where I would bet my money on.
He's doing China a favor by calming nerves to prevent US overreaction.
Who else wants to see a special edition of Sid Meir's Civilization with scenarios written by Peter Zeihan?
Paradox need to make a new game, focused on the contemporary world
I just want reboots of Sid Meiers civil war games
I'm thinking Civ 7 is going to include Ukraine in the country and leader list. They have Georgia already.
😎👍
Bags I play America in that edition.
Thanks Peter, for making these. It's hard to get around all the dramatic shit in today's media. After listening to your videos I don't find quite as much hysteria out there. Or at least I should say, I'm able to logically work through the hysteria so it doesn't keep me up at night.
I get the exact same feeling. Wouldn’t exactly call it comfort, but certainly piece of mind
Very well said. I feel the exact same way.
It's because Peter says what you want to hear. Doesn't make everything he says true.
@@darksword1 Just because he says something that makes someone feel good doesn't make him wrong lol
@@EricAndradeMusic sure. whatever. go back to sniffing paint.
“Yeah, that’s a bunch of Bull $hit”
lol 😂
I love how he expresses these issues.
Also "intensiveness"
What? What parts are Bull $hit? Is it a blanket statement?
"Just as all creatures wage the battle of life with the best of weapons given to them by nature, the Chinese wage theirs with their foremost weapon - acting. They have no talent for warfare. They are not inventive. They cannot compete in industrial organization. They are at heart seemingly immune to the loyalties by which national unity might be achieved to them greater strength. Thus about all that is left to them protectively is their remarkable ability to detect the emotional susceptibilities of opponents, and to attack these with the display best calculated to achieve the desired results. The display may be designed to induce sympathy, to mollify anger, to inspire generosity, or to flatter conceit. But the Chinese are adept at deciding what method is best, and before this talent many a sturdy diplomat has given way against the accusations of his rational self in the manner that Samson melted in the arms of the cooing Delilah. " -"Ways that are dark: The Truth About China" by Ralph Townsend (Former US consul who lived in 1930s China)
@@patrickt49 Resurrect Mr Townsend and let him be marveled at the advancement China has made in the last 4 decades. The US can't keep up and is afraid of losing its hegemony.
@@patrickt49 had a job in electronics manufacturing back in the 90’s.
And had the chance to work with a man who emigrated from Thailand.
Here we are sitting in an assembly plant in southeastern Michigan on midnight shift, talking about China 🇨🇳, and their actual history, political beliefs and true end goals.
This guy had worked for the CIA during the Vietnam 🇻🇳 war.
And was a studied and resident go to guy on China during the war.
Still had an ID 🪪 with his photo on it.
Amazing conversations.
He basically said that what the western public was fed on China was, and is mostly propaganda structured by the western, really U.S. Security State/CIA.
Basically confirmed that the western media is completely infiltrated and controlled by the deep state.
Yes Virginia, the Deep State does exist.
Not that China wasn’t a danger.
They were, and still are.
But not anything of the actual sort that is portrayed in western media.
He kept saying, if you want to know what is most likely going to happen in the future, look at the past.
Just about all of the wars that China has been involved in, involved invasions of China itself.
Very seldom have they ever been an aggressor to the outside.
It is not in their paradigm to think that way.
With the exception of Taiwan 🇹🇼.
Which they thoroughly believe actually is part of china 🇨🇳
Excellent Peter and thank you. I pass on many of your podcasts.
Welcome to New Zealand. I enjoy your material.
Wow I want to go visit New Zealand now.
It's overrated
@@garylancaster8612 SciFi author Robert A. Heinlein was bitterly disappointed by his time in New Zealand, which he details in his book Tramp Royale. So much so that at the end of the book he describes how everything worth seeing or doing in New Zealand can be found in the United States, for less cost for Americans and with more comfort, and how Americans shouldn't bother going. Everything except one cave where the roof is covered in glow worms.
Half of New Zealand is in Australia
@@barreloffun10 it has a spectacular landscape but it obviously doesn't have any history or traditions or historical and glorious architecture, dating before the 19th century. To make a long distance visit really worthwhile you surely want a mix of scenery, landscape and historical or fascinating townscapes.
Great analysis Peter. As always.
I can always count on Peter for positive, uplifting news. Or failing that, interesting news. :P
Feeding the RUclips algorithm. Informative video. Thanks.
Great analysis as always. Has Peter ever spelled out in explicit terms what he thinks will happen when China "collapses"? Are we talking about the loss of central control, civil war, mass famine (or all of the above)? I know Rogan pressed him a bit on this but his answers remained pretty general. As grim as it must be, I'd like to hear the gritty detail.
Peter has spoken of half a billion dead of famine, and China fracturing into multiple states.
When China collapses stupid questions because no one knows as no one will be alive when that happens or if that happens China's growth is just started it's still in first gear.
It will be the worst humanitarian crisis in history.
There's no point in debating the finer details.
I think he means the collapse of the current government, which may or may not be accompanied by events such as famine or fracturing depending on what causes the collapse.
Chinese food would take on a whole new meaning.
Ending on a cheery note.
I hope you vacation to New Zealand was well worth the travel time to get there, from your videos it sure looked like it was.
I wish every American listens to you so they can keep dreaming. Good job!
Everything he said was so TRUE, so CONFIDENT, so CONVINCING, what are you talking about? 🐶Baoming
another good one P. TY.
Very insightful, thank you.
I need to visit New Zeland, that place looks amazing!
It's overrated.
@@garylancaster8612 No its not. I am there atm. It's really worth a visit if you like beautifull nature.
I live here. A bunch of us are moving to Australia because it's too expensive here compared to incomes (and Australia is a terrible deal too, so tells you the scale of the issue in NZ). Nice place to visit but the numbers don't stack up to move here for most, unless they don't care and are just escaping somewhere.
If there is a war that disrupts petroleum shipping for a while we will be back to the stone age.
@@Pyriold it's not worth going half way around the world to see mountains lakes beaches and fjords though. All of those things are available much closer to wherever you are
@@robreid6195 Hmm... I didn't realize that it was soo expensive I guess. I just thought it looked pretty nice there....
This is actually fun for me a Chinese to read all the comments. Wow, 😂😂😂 wow😂😂😂keep it coming, need something entertaining to kill time. 😂😂😂
This is why I watch your videos, this is a brilliant summary of current situation.
Zeihan isn't doing analysis. It's narrative pushing. China is failing, China is going to collapse, China is this, China is that. If China is "failing" then why is the U.S spending so much money trying to contain a "failing state"? Absolute joke. Again Zeihan has never debated anybody, His credibility is nil.
😂😂😂 briliant lol
Some people drink to feel better some people drink to stop feeling
How much is your check from the government?
Thk you Peter
It’s alright Pete, looking forward to seeing your grandkids’ youtube videos in Chinese ;)
Funny how Macron always shows up when it's obviously too late.
He is a little man in a hurry!😂😂
he is an escargo
really interesting like always
This is a really good one…keep it coming
This is such a great presentation. Every point well made and supported with knowledge and facts. I subscribed today !
Hi Peter big fan. So glad I found you through the podcast you did with Joe Rogan. It would be really nice to get your take on the Brics including Saudi Arabia moving away from the US dollar for an international currency exchange. What effects will this have on the US over the coming years?
Thanks for visiting NZ Peter.
Peter, great show although I don’t always agree with your views you never fail to provide me with food for thought.
Thank you for your insight.
Anybody seen Paris recently?
Peter Zeihan is always such a ray of sunshine...
Great commentary, great analysis, very interesting delivery. Love this channel.
He says what you like to hear; it sells well 😂😂😂
@@nemanjababic7141 I certainly don’t want to hear what he’s saying. I’d much rather his videos ended with, “…and everyone will live happily ever after”!
I would love to her Peter's opinion on a suggested BRICS common currency. With all of the "the dollar is doomed," fear mongering I'm being inundated with lately, it would be nice to hear a well thought out counterpoint. Even though I know this is about the 5th time BRICS has made such a claim, maybe this time, there is some merit behind it.
He covered this a few months ago. Essentially the volume of international trade is so great, no other currency even comes close to being able to handle it but the dollar (the Euro would be the next most-likely substitute, but it's far, far behind the dollar).
its simple if you think Brics is gonna take over the world economy, you dont understand math or economics.
I think we can only really start to analyse what this might look like should a serious proposal ever be floated. Until that point its like having an opinion on the best way to swim up a tree. People who talk about such a thing, I would ask them if they know when its likely to be introduced (and say you'll reserver judgement until then because otherwise its like.....having an opinion on the best way to swim up a tree)
look at it this way say the saudi accept chinese yuan for their oil. do you think the saudi want chinese yuan or gonna hang onto it? hell no. first thing they do is convert that yuan into us dollar cuz its more stable.. same thing with all these Brics currencies, so they trade with each other in each others currency. So india gets some brazilian peso, you think they gonna hang onto that when brazil had gone bankrupt 3 times and defaulted on imf loans? hell no, they gonna convert it into us dollar. so the us dollar is much more stable and safer than any of those countries currencies.
Regardless of the feasibility of a common currency, such an endeavour requires common responsibility and understanding, which just doesn’t really exist here; the best we can say for BRICS is that its a fragile marriage of convenience. We all know that China and Russia are on thin ice, South Africa might not exist by the end of the decade and it’s actually decide to follow the Zimbabwean economic model (eek!) as the ANC desperately trys to secure power - meanwhile the Zulu and Xhosa are on the brink of a civil war. India is just playing both sides but will jump at any point it feels it’s not being the no 1 player ( it’s no secret they wish to supplant China in the manufacturing sector), and Brazil well I’m not sure how they will factor into it but knowing their lack of historical stability theyre hardly in a position to support a shared currency. Consider how hard the EU has to work to make the Euro work - and that’s at least a bunch of nations coming from a common cultural and philosophical root (even if they aren’t all friends they have core similarités that keep them together). BRICS was setup by a Goldman Sachs exec and honestly it shows.
Hi Peter, can you explain more about dedollarization that most people are talking right now. Thanks.
m.ruclips.net/user/results?sp=mAEA&search_query=peter+zeihan+us+dollar
Yeah the reporting on that at the moment is terrible
Great video thank you
Appreciate the weekly updates, thanks man hope your next travel destination is just as beautiful :)
Sitting in my Beijing office listening to this makes me feel things I don't like feeling.
😂😂!
I acknowledge that it’s definitely not a comfortable feeling for you but… don’t you feel like laughing at the hopelessness of the situation? And how Peter finished his China doomsday delivery with a smile 😅.
Jag trodde dom flesta hade stuckit därifrån redan😄, vad gör du kvar där? Där finns ingen framtid.
@@Aussie-Mocha Yes wouldn't want to be on the wrong end of that stick
Perhaps it is time to change locales before the food riots start.
@Thomas Singer he has front row seats to india china water war that is guaranteed to happen within 5 years, with china building 7 dams on the biggest fresh water river in tibet before it flows into india and bangladesh to cut them off of their fresh water and irrigation for farms. if you want a guaranteed war, cut off a countrys fresh water and see what happens.
I really appreciate these videos. I doubt I’d do better in university courses on geopolitics, they are enthralling and fill my desire to know the world I live in. Just incredible.
Look for his 2 hour lecture at the Naval War College on youtube. Gives you the full world picture
A lot of history professors don't even know geography well. Instead, they focus on ideology, especially in PolySci courses.
>
What you would get is drilling down into the fundamentals of history, economics, geography and such. PZ mostly surfs along the surface, in my view.
@@SeattlePioneer There are various levels of fundamentals worth diving into. Peter dives into geography, demographics and agriculture. He will sometimes discuss current politics. The other areas you mentioned that he does not do a deep dive on are the proper province of academia.
LoL this guy just sells copium! He almost reports the opposite of what’s happening!!
I come to this channel once in a while when I feel dumb, and I instantly feel better.
same
Do you mean that you feel good when you realize Peter is dumber than you??
Great job Petter! Keep it up!👍
Thank you for teaching us about our crazy geopolitics
I'd like to hear more from you. Your analysis of China seems straight. The more concentrated their society becomes based on one person's thoughts, the more likely to have cracks opening in their society where problems are not seen or addressed. They need an environmental movement, freedom of speech and music, and fashion style to create healthy softness, less foreign policy threat.
The CCP won't allow softening. CCP wants war.
The sense of entitlement you have to tell other countries how they should govern themselves is hilarious lol 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
Peter I'm gobsmacked that one of the key guys I turn to in order to gain understanding of international policy, real time moves and a dose of reality is filming in our neck of the woods! I was literally looking at the background at the start of this video thinking it looked like Banks Peninsula - kudos to you buddy, I really appreciate your insight and now I know you're you spent time here makes me double happy :)
😂 finishes off the Doomsday breakdown of China with a smile. Oh I love listening to Peter. 😎👊🏻
Will you host any events or meet ups in New Zealand while you’re here?
My absolute favorite RUclips channel !
I want to know *how* Peter is getting such good audio quality while recording outdoors. He sounds like he's in a studio.
Maybe he is 🤔
@@2wheelsr2wheels39 Green screen at home vs. actual world traveler?
@sonekulla Yes. Why not? The audio doesn't sound like amazing outdoors quality. It sounds like excellent indoor quality. The contrast between him and the backdrop looks like it could be green screened. Just asking a question.
If it’s too good to be true, it probably isn’t.
This guy is a lot of fun. I did not realize the importance of a Navy before.
Yepp, our pale blue dot is 70% ocean after all 🙏🏾
Talk to military guys and they will tell you that submarines are the only important thing in or on the water. All the big powers have long range missiles which can take out aircraft carriers and other vessels with ease if the fighting really starts in earnest.
Interesting as always, and liking the New Zealand backdrops every day. A month vaca there would be great😎✌️🙏🇺🇲
You don't live here, it's become a divided woke shit hole, scenery's still nice though lol
I woke up this morning in a good mood. Then I watched this video.
Incredible audio quality. What kind of camera and Mike do you use?
I would really love to hear your thoughts about Australia's Victorian Premier, and his close relationship with China. And how this could disrupt Australian progress.
Especially after his recent visit to China.
Don't you know China didn't care about Australia? They have more energy backup to replace Australia, Russia, Brazil, Africa. But Australia has replaced big customers? Do you rely on your so-called freedom to live?
As always data matters - Take a look at US Treasury debt held by China, yeah they have dumped about 17% of their holdings of US debt(Y/Y 2022 data). This can be a function trade or dedollarization. France also reduces their holdings. As US treasuries demand drops the price will also drop and rates will increase making it every harder to fund the bloated out of control central planning machine of the US govt. China may be a lot of things, but they serve the US economy by buying debt - now not so much - enjoy the outcome of China bashing.
“ failing China “ ? Or you wish that !!! 😂
Interesting report on China. Your macro reports are unique…I always learn current events when tuning in.
That landscape is so beautiful and peaceful
Does anyone have some pointers to where I can learn more about what Peter is talking about when he says that France has a history of being wildly creative at causing problems for people they don't like?
That time they "quit" NATO, possibly? Or the Rainbow Warrior incident?
For starters you might want to read about how they humiliated England's George III by backing the American colonists.
Another thing to note is that France dislike everybody… even the French Canadians. & especially the anglophone world.
It’s part of their charm.
Vietnam War. Do some reading.
Yes please study their role in American independence war against the Great Britain. It was disastrous. Hope they will do the same for China
This comment section is in lala land. China is not any kind of decline. China will be the dominant world power.
Very interesting
But China isn't falling up to now. You've been saying it years ago.
6:02 😂😂😂 Peter dropping truth bombs on the China cheerleaders. Love it.
Its bunch of bs for stupid people
Its lovely that China used to be strong but since they accepted the fact their US enemy now they are weak. I duunno how many idiots need to watch same analysis that mainstream media gives them. This guy here got no clue what he is talking about
From personnel experience , nothing like family to screw over people .
As per usual, Zaihan being happy and with a positive out look on life and the future. Good thing he is not a doom and gloom sayer :)
Wow. That’s food for thought.
..on that happy note, Have a great weekend everybody!
I'd love for you to debate Andrew Bustamante (former CIA operative) on China or be a guest on the Shawn Ryan show
Exactly what I was thinking when I watched that. I like Andrew Bustamante but his opinion of China and Russia seem ironically misinformed.
Peter isn't a self professed CIA agent.
@@far-middle I think I have the opposite after watching the two, which is why I think I would like to see them debate.
@C Koba Exactly. Totally opposite stances. They're both so confident in their opinions on China and geopolitics in general I can't tell who's right. Andrew: China is well on their way in total world domination Zeihan: China is grossly dysfunctional and will collapse within the next 8-10 years.
@@far-middle What does Bustamante say? I've seen him a couple of times, and something doesn't feel right about him but I can't put my finger on it exactly
China also is seeing a demographic shift from a rural peasant with low education to a class stratified society.
They have been so successful as the worlds workshop, that they soon will be too expensive to be the worlds workshop.
Similar to how Japan and Korea progressed from making cheap crap by the containerful to higher quality stuff.
Except that niche already has plenty of countries vying for "middle class country that makes quality stuff".
But also, a middle class is rarely not vocal about what they do not like. Their mass surveillance state can only hold so much of that back.
Why listen to this man? His opinions are invariably wrong.
For some reason all of his videos full of "thanks for your videos" and other flattary. One dude wrote that he can watch zeihan all day without distraction, he has
Peter, can you please speak to the apparent shift away from the US Dollar? I see that as a possible threat but I am sure you have great thoughts on it. Thanks.
Such a pleasant take-home thought at such a pleasant place. Not (on the former).
I feel the Gordon Chang vibe for this dude. Maybe he should publish his own coming collapse of China book😂
haha, i feel the same!
Exactly !!! 😮😅
where is Gordon Chang now and his crystal ball ..and still ...China standing tall 😅
I had lived in China under the former China leader Hu Jintao. When Xi came to power, the big thrust was to “purge government corruption” and the people applauded that. As society seemed to be heading in a positive direction under Hu, we didn’t realize at the time that Xi was killing off all political opposition and methodically moving back to the way things were under his formative years mentor Mao Zedong. I’m still embedded in China with friends and family there and since Covid lockdowns they have awakened to the deterioration in society that Xi has single-handedly caused. I foresee a lot of bad down the road under this misguided monster.
The US didn’t learn anything from mistakes of Vietnam and Cambodia. Dear God I hope we actually learn from Afghanistan but I’m not optimistic
US learned a lot from Vietnam actually. If anything Vietnam caused massive changes in how war is fought by the US because of all the logical errors that were corrected after the war. From how air combat works to how to fight guerilla warfare more effectively. Afghanistan is its own thing and was mostly caused by political nonsense then anything.
@@moalboris239 then why did we repeat so many of the same mistakes decades later?
Sir, your vibes are so good, I particularly have so much interest in Geo-politics, the more I look and watch carefully, the more I love and your channel is what I have to add in my sub list. Thanks for these insights
Sorry, 'hosed' got me 😂😂😂
Peter accusing anyone of groupthink is just rich!! 😂
Americans & French are family?
32 years old first time iv heard of this.
Allies yes, family definitely not.
I think Peters personal views once again interfere with Logic & the facts.
When the shit hits the fan, we do become family. Revolutionary war, ww2
One of the bassists for Peter Paul and Mary told me a story. He was in Paris looking for guitar picks. At that time tortoise shell products were banned in America, but they are the best material for any type of instrument picks. The bassist went into a Parisian instrument shop and saw a whole container of picks and wanted to buy a bunch. The shopkeeper asked him if he was American and he confirmed. He asked for the price a few times but the shopkeep wouldn't say directly. He kept rummaging and picking out until he finally was satisfied with his massive haul. "how much?" he asked. The shopkeeper looked at him in the eye and said, "For you, no charge. When you freed us from the Nazis, you did not charge us."
If it weren't for France, the US would not have won the Revolutionary war. If it were not for the US, the French would be speaking German.
As for what Macron is doing, for the past 10 years, the European economy has been depressed. Had it not been for the Chinese tourists and billionaires, Paris would not have survived. If you've been to Paris in the past 15 years, there are Chinese tourists everywhere. They're obnoxious and loud and spend 50k on a single shopping spree. Given how China's demography is on the decline, their consumption days are nearly over and France will pivot away from China. And France's birth rate is amongst the best in the developed world. I'm not worried.
Nobody breaks down world politics as efficiently as Peter.
just found you thanks
By all means, “failing” is not an adjective to describe China. Quite the opposite!
The best thing to do with china is remove the most favored status in trade china does notice when they gotta trade and pay more its the more fair since int tech theft and other bad acts they ate going down and moving manufacturing somewhere anywhere else chi's not changing
As an Australian I love how you put as "America's Deputy" we prefer to call ourselves the "51st State" although we might have to change that if DC or Puerto Rico gets statehood.
There is one major difference we have in the South China Sea. China has become our top trading nation mainly because we export a staggering amount of iron ore to China. In the year 2000 we were the #3 producer with 169 Million tons that year. By 2010 we had jumped over Brazil to 416 million tons. In 2017 it was 870 million tons. Almost all of that growth is to China.
ruclips.net/video/emm5aHAifMg/видео.html
On the other hand South Korea and Japan are our #2 and #3 trading partners. So that Sea Lane up the middle of the South China Sea is pretty damn important to us. And for reference India is #4 and America is #5 on our trading partners list. *So if anyone tries to start some sort of SHlTFEST in the South China Sea its at the top of our agenda.*
In a twist to that. America's foreign policy (as Peter has pointed out numerous times) was ridiculous under Bush, almost non-existent under Obama and completely off the rails with Trump. Mid-2017, around 18 months after trump took office it was reported here in Australia that we had a major problem. Since the end of WW2 our #1 foreign policy was basically "What does America want now?" With Trump even that didn't exist, so DFAT (pronounced dee-fat, the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade) which is basically our equivalent (in some ways) to the US State Department, had to start thinking for itself. That was a serious problem because DFAT hadn't had to think for itself in decades.
The report at the time (mid-2017) was that DFAT had made it past the worst of that as was starting to actually do its job. So yes Australia is still America's deputy in SE Asia, *BUT* America better not be of the mindset that we will just do what America wants.
As for those subs wait for the shitfight that is about to start. Despite the current government we have in power having partisan support the cost of that program is so idiotically ridiculous that IT WILL BE MODIFIED or CANCELLED. Once the Australian population realises that the American Military Industrial Complex is trying to take us to the cleaners EXPECT a backlash.
Why are we building Frigates in Australia? South Korea can build them for us at a quarter of the price/ a quarter of the time and way better quality.
I'd take Australia over PR ❤
@@re1v3r Yeah but getting a score of 2 out of 10 might be better than 1 out of 10 but its still a fail.
And a score of 49 out of 100 might be even better but its still a fail.
You can get a score of 98 out of 100 and it can still be a fail if the passing grade is 99.
I'd take Australia over many other places but that doesn't mean we get a passing grade on anything.
I’m pretty sure America is the one starting the shitfest
The first third of your view seems right on tract; the second part not so much so.