Probability Comparison: Gaming Speedrun
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- Опубликовано: 10 сен 2024
- We compare the odds of people actually getting certain lucky elements in gaming speedruns, to the odds of getting a perfect run obtaining every item in 1 try. We look at games including Minecraft, Pokemon, Among Us and Mario Kart, and popular streamers which events actually happened to them.
Music: "Neon Laser Horizon by Kevin MacLeod
Link: incompetech.fi...
License: filmmusic.io/s..."
Note: Probability calculated based on the cited streamer's video description and may be susceptible to biasness, else calculated using arbitrary odds stated in the description, and may have wide margin of error. Numbers at that scale pretty much has zero odds anyways. This video merely lists the odds and does not imply legitimacy or fraud. When there are millions of people playing, improbable events are bound to happen to the some people.
This "probably no one" guy sure is lucky...
Ikr
nO! iT mEaNs iT hApPenEd tO nO oNe
@@mohynado He is joking
@@srivathsan8421 hE iS jOkInG
LOOL
1 in a billion: DarkViperAU getting non-armed players to shoot at him
Hey fellow friendo
Millions to 1!
Funny DarViperAU stan isn't storming
Jollyclimate flotilla has arrived, brother
You have no conception of how rare that is: it is millions TO ONE!
2:40 1 in ⬛ probability
Last one should be "me getting a girlfriend" lol
1 in square is still 1 so Speedrun your life is 100% Chance
Disruptor 6 the more I read these kinds of comments the more I realize that people only post these for likes and they aren’t even funny anymore
1 in ⬜
■
You know, I was going to a "Life perfect speedrun" but corona came along...
your son might get that.
Any% ?
@@Gaellka corona?
We can make a meme out of that.... *”and then along came Zeus!”*
lol
WATCHOUT EVERYBODY, THE DREAM STANS ARE COMING!!!
Not a stan, just not stupid.
*speedrun music intensifies*
@@thrawn4388 That's a blatant lie, shut up.
they are so unsupportable
#CancelDreamStans
Thanks for adding me! 1:31
Let me elaborate:
The odds were 1 in 49,152,000.
It didn’t happen to me, it happened to someone else. I just happened to trade for the Loomian (pokemon).
Edit: A rarer loomian was found! Which is why I originally got confused at the odds you put there.
omg hi lit guy
LETS GOOO LOOMIAN LEGACY
He fire guy
Lit
Also the mythic goldfish from Fortnite isn't 1/1,000,000, it's 1/750,000.
Auto-generated Ender Portal: 1 In a Trillion
Dream's luck : Hold my luck
Lol
he is just so "lucky" :D
Yeah he is really "lucky"
69420000000000 clovers by his side
The 1 in 7.5 Trillion number is wrong, it is much lower then that.
He was not that lucky.
When something is higher in odds than Dream's luck, you know it's serious.
There's a higher percentage of the person watching being subscribed
@@5plash215 Higher percentage means that it's less rare.
@@Drakonus_ well higher odds also means more likely to happen
Its funny how the first person after him is geosquare, the guy that called him out for it
@@Theheartnet no bro but geo square i’m pretty sure found it by a computer searching for it, he didn’t find it just by creating a map and finding it on coincidence .
So where's the speedrun for Mr.Krabs overdoses on Ketamine?
@@mrmr2255 Shut up, its great and you know you want the source *cough cough*
@@lordpumpkinhead265 da sauce
@@lordpumpkinhead265 that's a no from me man
It’s to big of a number to be on this list
*E*
Technically, a stillbirth is a perfect speedrun of life.
@Kadir Garip Dark
Hell yeah suicide is just a rage quit
I want to like but it's 69
*E*
For any% yeah, but it ruins any other kind of run
Fun fact: The odds of earth getting kicked out of the solar system in the next billion years is much more likely than dream's luck in his speedrun
The chance of winning the lottery 5 times in a roll is more likely than dream's "luck"
@Exagear Master luck
@@dokiiscute Partly right.
Mexico's Chispazo has the best odds of winning the lottery, with a 1/98,300 chance of winning jackpot.
1/9.18×10^24 is the chances of winning Mexico's Chispazo jackpot 5 times in a row
While Dream's "luck" of 42/264 Ender Pearl & 201/305 Blaze Rod Combo was
1/2.10×10^22 chance.
If we compare the odds of both events, Dream would need the same luck 437 times in a row.
1/437 chance is not even classified as "Rare" (0.1%-0.01%), it's classified as "Uncommon" (1%-0.1%).
Dream’s luck is too good, so good in fact that if he let me barrow it, I’d instantly win the lottery every day.
geo square calculated the probabilities completely wrong, those weren't the actaul odds
The people at r/statistics sided with Geo odds more than dream... So...
@@spookyscarylamppost3431 did you not see dreams response video? geo was off by more than 7.4 trillion
@@iyashh Dude, so many people said that Dream's response video Is wrong
the calculation was shiiiiit
We are only here for one thing:
*Dream's "Luck"*
True
Nah Im here because Im subscribed and I got notified. Also because I saw Pewds in the thumbnail
@@yamikagevg7841 Good!!
Wrong, foolish peasant.
No i, for Bubble Gum Simulator on roblox
Fun fact: Dream's luck is every speedrunners dream.
Yeah dream is so "lucky"
yeah i definitely want to have a luck to get myself struck by lightning twice in row whenever i go outside
“Luck”
*”luck”
"luck"
Imagine playing a game that you are the only 1 playing and you got world record for no reason
and then imagine getting the world record on every stage.
Jaiden: Intentionally plays a game which was never speedrunned to get world record
Just do obscure ILs
the candy crush one is not possible, because some presets are given by the game and they cannot create the color bombs with one swipe.
*E*
@@face.... that makes sense to me
@@face.... true
*EEEEEEEEEE*
*E*
The “probably no one” guy should play the lottery
*E*
A time a person won 14 times the lottery
@@rocketpadgamer he was a genius who actually calculated it but still lucky
He is the lottery bruh
"Probably no one"
The guy called probably no one: I'm lucky
This guy is a legend
Nah man the Not YOU for certain is the luckiest one.
even Probaly No One luck is lucky
@@andgame000 Probaly No One: is luckier then that
1:41 eyeyeyey aquiiií el RICH en minecraft
Grande
Grande
Grande
Grande
Grande
Me: becomes impostor 4 times in a row*
Also me: got banned by the host*
Me: *laughing at the same impostor threesome thrice in a row* Ha, pathetic! [1/1,728,000]
(Sorry for my bad english, I'm brazilian)
0:24 me: gets crewmate 57 times in a row
@@Cyucotutxutolztih assuming 8 crew vs 2 impostor, the odds of being crewmate 57 times in a row is no more than 1/334,096 [~0.0003%] bruh
1:43
"Enchanted Diamond Chicken Jockey"
Wait, is that ElRi...?
Oh yeah it is
EY EY EY
I love how Dream has everything what he could get only in his dreams
He use mods
the odds were wrong, did you not see dreams response video?
Anyone who cheated could say that
@@iyashh Karl Jobst and AntVenom posted video with all explanation, dream lied to his fans and millions of drops simulation per hour was run, non of them can obtain dream's drops.
Also, dreams expert was criticise for doing the math wrong, take that as you will.
@@spookyscarylamppost3431 geo only took dreams luckiest 6 runs and left out the other streams he had
Philza a speedrunner? He literally is the exact opposite but ok.
Yeah, he is the chillest MC player lol.
philza is a certified slowrunner
Philza is hardcore player
@@peterszucs3533 Hardcore is easy peasy when you have a Protection IV netherite armor, 50 totems and NOTCH apples.
@@RodriHermo Thats the point, those items are for you not to die
Just so y'all are aware, the
7,500,000,000,000
number that gets thrown around is completely false, as the blaze rod AND ender pearl odds COMBINED are at least
20,178,000,000,000,000,000,000
which is so indescribably bigger, so please stop arguing.
Teacher: Did you do your math homework?
Scholar: No, I've spent all night to calculate the odds of a perfect candy crush speedrun.
Next Video: Chances that Dream is using modified game files.
%98.83618927462828174828261009883
@@woombus6385 those are some rookie numbers
Increase them
7.5 trillion
@@kast7n336 aight %99.8688895482727443383867863527263735482727443383635272637354827274433836352726373827993222543327443383867863527263733222254827274433832666352726373548272744338363527263739868889548272744338386786352726373548272744338363527263735482727443383635272637382799322254332744338386786352726373322225482727443383266635272637354827274433836352726373
@@woombus6385GOOD
Missed opportunity to add the odds of cpu resolving EXODIA pieces in lost memories (ps1) good list tho
Hahaha yeah
1:42 GRANDE RICH!!!! Se merece tener esa "medalla" después de haber dado tanto por el juego
32 crewmate streak : 1 in 1262
Me : more like 1 in 2
1:17 I want to talk about this
Abney had to run over a wall (using a mushroom) did a frame perfect jump, he reached enough height to go higher than the finish line, he then went over it, landed behind it, and somehow the lap counted
And he did that 3 times in a row
More information, the 3 lap record is about 14 seconds by abney while the single lap (only 1 weathertenko) is barely sub 3 seconds by Frankie, later tied by abney
The trick was discovered by weatherornot in September 6th 2013, the biggest discovery in Mario kart 64 history and arguably the biggest discovery in Mario kart overall
Good to see my boi ElRichMC among the lukiest ones, enhorabuena 👍
He played minecraft for years, it was expected
Ooh "Your Life Speedrun" huh
Fastest one to do that was a baby died in the hospital
Chances of winning if you play as Bo Jackson in Tecmo Bowl - 100%
ah yes i love having a 1/⬜ chance of speedrunning life
1 in 10^10^10^56 probability.
@@LadyMcGiusti No, 1 in ??? probability
??? = Undefined
dang "not YOU for certain" is pretty lucky, I think they are able to compete with "Probably no one" but I don't know for sure
Candy Crush ideal colour speed run: *Impossible*
My Mom: Are you challenging me?
So true lmfao
1:56 The Completely Filled Ender Portal is wrong. The chances are 1 in 1 trillion and there are multiple seeds this way
Wait thats me at the start lol. Why is my forehead so big though? did you photoshop it lmao?
Has no one else noticed that the text boxes in the thumbnail are reused from the most googled things of the year video? For the perfectly aligned frame it talks about Kobe’s death and for Dream’s speedrun it said millions were awaiting the results worldwide 😭😂
Yeah why somebody do that
Can't be a reigarw video without YOU at the end
Dream should have hired you lmao.
Did you hear about the Minecraft movie?
It's going to be a BLOCKbuster.
DO NOT Piston-me off with your -joke- Juke...box of comment.
Fun Fact: *The Comment Section Is Flooded By "Dream"*
Dream is so lucky, that was a one in sextillion chance!
One in infinity
*1 in 15,625 chance of getting imposter 6 times In a row*
Me who got imposter 5-6 times in a row: *h u h*
Auto-generated Ender Portal : 1 in a trillion
dream's luck : hold my luck
Why would he cheat huh?!?!
@@anthonyeet1103 for good speedrun, obv.
@Mr. Llama Watch Carl Jobst's video on topic, he for sure cheated
@Mr. Llama stop lying to yourself
@Mr. Llama i can't believe there are still mindless idiots who believe he is innocent lol
Dr Strange saw a reality where all of these have happened, ever.
"Not you for certain" Ouch thats harsh
hahahahahaha ive speedrun minecraft in 10 minutes loser lolololol
@@void1571 i speedran minecraft in 9:59 and therfor, my existence shall now overide yours and you will become irrelevant again
@@void1571 What a kid, also he said about the perfect life :/ just that small text about 'Happened to: ...' Also u won't reply anyway cuz u never seen the bell u blind
@@abailumlerrad1037 i was just kidding, i speedran 8 minutes
@@void1571 What 8 minutes? U train urself for 8 minutes or u beat Minecraft for 8 minutes only?
Reigarw Comparisons: Not you for certain
The guy called Not you:🙂
Can we just appreciate how much statistics he found just for us to enjoy his video? It's amazing! Keep it up.
Ummm.... Excuse me? In the "Simon Says 5X same pattern on #1", HAFU WAS THE ONE WHO GOT IT, TRIKO IS AN AMONG US HIGHLIGHTS CHANNEL THAT JUST COMPILED HAFU'S CLIP...
Everyone:dream is so lucky omg!
“Probably no one”: am i a joke for you?!
And that prob no one is me, the guy that found a seed with 7 villages next to each other, a nether fortress at spawn, and a treasury bastion with full prot 4 enchanted diamond armor and 3 netherite ingots. I got lucky with piglin trades, and beat the ender dragon with a bunch of beds from the villages. I also found an ocean monument nearby, too.
"lucky"*
@@Cyucotutxutolztih who asked
Nah you forgot the rarest of all it’s a 1 in quadrillion chance to start the run in second gear
Quick Correction, The "Rarest Loomian" happened to LilHotPxcketYT, Armenti just traded for it but LilHotPxcketYT was the one to find it.
y e s thats true
@@Vintecro21 hi vintecro
@@MythicalNick hi nick
mythical facts
Actually I revived Eisenstein to disprove this video and he wrote a 200 page report as to why the math in this video is incorrect.
I brought Abraham Lincoln from the dead to analyze this video and he found about 9,394,601 errors in the binary code of the subject, Dream
I farted ½ time today
i don't think this guy knows that dream cheated
I think he make it pretty obvious that he cheated
He said there was no bias but the chances for someone to legitimately do it is 1 in 7 trillion
@@kleck3846 no no Mr.Kleck
It's *experience*
Yk?
*Experience b!tch*
@@kleck3846 I'm so frickin tired of that excuse of dream's stans
Azraus bruh I didn't say dream didn't cheat, all I'm saying is that this guy said there was no bias in putting the odds of getting that many pearls and blaze rods. I guess the "happened to dream" part is a little biased but he isn't siding with anyone
btw theres a lot more than just 1 seed to have all 12/12 eyes filled
1:44 eyeyeye aqueeeyyy el rich
EEEEN MINECRAFT
The last one: Odds: 1 in:
2.96*10^70434: Jackpot for Life
4.2*10^167: All Achievements Unlocked
???: Born with All Super-Power Mutations
Total: 1 in 10^10^10^56(+/-)
Does anyone else notice that the text in the thumbnail doesn't match up
Yeah finally 'YOU' at the end
I'm satisfied now
we are 1 in
*S Q U A R E*
@@youmissedthejoke3089 not we, but you, just you
the part with the 12/12 eyes in the endportal is wrong actually
Still awesome video
1:43 grande rich
Sí XD
Grande
Its always neat to see speedrun rng displayed like this
Philza when he sees an
Enchanted Diamond Chicken Jockey
The last one is 1 in 1 because it is one square
1:45 dream cheated to get that many ender pearls
And as a Dream "hater" how can you explain that?
Damn this ''no one'' guy is really good
This joke is so cheesy and i love it 😂
From the tutorial of level 1-1 to survival roof hard in under 30 minutes:
Impossible
That moment when youfound a pink sheep after joining a world but you don't know there's a speedrun about it
Dream cheated. end of discussion
^
^
That Dream luck though 😳
"Luck"
What do you call a Minecraft celebration?
A block party.
candy crush ideal colour speedrun exists:
moms: are you challenging me?
l0l relatable
The candy crush one has been got by all moms
So apprently among us is a speedrun game...
The ones featuring Dream aged like milk. He cheated lmao
this video was from 3 days ago (and yes, I agree he cheated)
@Hornet Gamer I think they looked at all of the streams he did, not just the record one.
still not as rare as that ONE GOD DAMN COLLECTIBLE IN EVERY GAME THAT YOU CANT FIND TO SAVE YOUR LIFE
Not to be annoying but the rarest Loomian is actually a Gamma HA Pharo at 1/49,152,000 found by LilHotPxcket
Disappointed no mr crabs overdosed on ketamine speed runs made an appearance
"Happened" to Dream
Wym he just has a good gaming chair
@@mostlywholesome PewDiePie has a better gaming chair
2:50 Life perfect speedrun?
Lmao I call that being a teen girl's child
Well i was so close to to finishing The speedrun but another player who got to be my kid in The speedrun was going any% and his death ruined my 100% speedrun
2:39 Ah yes, my favorite probability: 1 in square
"The test will be easy"
The test:
We should speedrun presidency, become president and second after inauguration you end it all, ultimate gamer moment
I was literally thinking yesterday "What if the comparison guy made a luck comparison and added Dream to it as a meme" and here we are. Holy shit ahahahah
You have no idea, of how rare that is. It's a MILLION TO ONE!!!!!
DarkViperAU after getting shot on OHKO
1:50 They could replicate Dream's speedrun... in their dreams
or by cheating like dream did
@@nuts7793 doesn't count tho
@@myhand4272 then why people still defending him, might as well add /give to the rules
I know the music, but from which game does it come?
Me on my next life
The news: Baby from hospital jumps out window and dies!!
Me: Speed run!
The news: The baby was only 8 minutes and 46 seconds old!
Also me: Yes new world record!!
Forget about Dream! This Probably No One guy is a cheater! Can't believe they got away with it for so long!
1 in 1 see dream stan comment
Just looking for Dream somewhere in here
The lowest chance: Getting Valentine Ideal in the Valentine Egg Machine in Puzzle & Dragons
If I had any of those "probably no one speedruns" and I don't record it I would feel like I want to die on the spot.
2:33 wait since when do FIFA speedruns exist lol
It would cost tons of money to do it, sooooooo...... thats a no from me
Honestly I was waiting for Your life at the end, not disappointed.
Dream winning the lottery 250 times in a day
(He is just very lucky )
Winning the lottery 250 times in a day is way luckier lol
@@rallvegd yeah ik I’m just joking, it’s pretty obvious he cheatee
dream getting struck by lightning 26726922 times in a row
(He is just very lucky)
Perfect speedrunning life*
Harem Anime Main Character :
*heh*
Srsly dude its annoying
0:44
I know a few people who have gotten impostor over ten times in a row!