POKEMON INVESTING ***CRUCIAL KNOWLEDGE***
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- Опубликовано: 7 фев 2025
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Great video. One thing to add: IMO gem rate is highly affected by hype and card value. Example: the gem rate is way high on Jesse James because with a $40-$60 card, you’re only going to send it in if you’re 99% sure it will 10. With an expensive and hyped card like bubble mew, people are more likely to gamble on sending it in, even if it’s a 30-50% chance it gets a 10. Hence way more 9s and 8s on hyped cards. Sure some cards are “harder” to grade but people’s willingness to play the risk/reward game for that 10 plays a big role as well and hype and value often steer that.
great comment
Very good point
I'm going to start rating the stares we get a the beginning of each video and with this one I gotta say 7/10 I felt it deep in the soul. Changed up the hat to really grab attention solid stare
Felt it deep in my plums
Message received Alex. Battle Academies are the future.
Alex definitely loves listening to his voice. He made a stream a while ago showing his cards and he had a photo of his "sister." That frame was the same size that people use to hold the frame on one hand while they herk off with the other. Dude is seriously messed up if that's his sister's photo
@@BlackNigerKFC… bro what are u on about…
@@BlackNigerKFCso he had a small picture frame of someone who might have been his sister in the back of a stream… he must be jacking off to her fs
@@Deon-nm7sqright 😂 bro just went full schizo
“folks” close enough, welcome back rudy
Hey Alex, love the videos.
One thing that I think is worth adding here is that the low 10 rate cards actually have an even worse 10 rate then is visable on the pop report. The ones on the pop report are only the copies that people actually thought were worth grading. There are a lot of copies that are pulled and people dont even try to grade, because they have zero chance at a 10. The Magikarp as an example, I would guess the actual 10 rate to be closer to 10-15% for a fresh pull to grade a 10.
This is an EXCELLENT video. Great job explaining.
Great vid! The only caveat I can think of is Gamestop's impact on the graded market. Before Gamestop, you had to get a membership and either send in cards yourself and pay a premium to grade a single card or submit multiple cards in a bulk order. Mostly die-hard collectors and shops graded cards since it wasn't very accessible and affordable.
Now that you can just drop off your card at Gamestop, anyone can get their cards graded for a pretty reasonable price. I would argue that the majority of people who go to Gamestop don't even know what PSA's grading standards are and drop off any rare card that they own. Thus, the percentage of 10s is much lower since people aren't taking the time to see if their cards actually qualify for a 10.
Therefore, older cards might see a much higher percentage of their cards in a 10 vs. more modern cards.
Love the information. Thanks for sharing!
Thank you for the video! Very helpful information!
Great data presentation and analysis! Very similar to what folks do with stocks.
Always appreciate people that use Data cause at the end of the day numbers don't lie.
thx you for the explanation , very direct and well done video
Great point/insight Alex - cheers man‼️📈🤑
Great video Alex! Thanks for all the knowledge for free
Thanks Alex for the information!!💪🏿
Good video ! Love the channel thanks brother!
Thanks again for the knowledge! I'd been taking in your advice to somewhat ignore the total population report number, but had never thought about how that ratio between submitted and 10s is a good way to value the gap between the raw and the 10.
I bought J&J back on Jan.4th just wanting the card & thinking about the Team Rocket drop. Ty for the insight & def learned something new today. It was funny seeing the price go from $105 to $150 in a span of 2 days 😂 felt like I was day trading again LOL
Very good explanation of a much overlooked aspect of the hobby.
Thanks for the info 🥃
This was good to see. I would just caveat by saying that if you catch a surge quick enough on a card that is likely going to do a 2-300% gain (and the card is selling for over maybe $200 bucks), it would might be worth paying psa for the 10 or 20 day turnaround. The Greninja ex Promo and the Kingdra ex Promo from the shrouded fable box sets are a great example of that right now - But I haven't checked the pop report on those myself, so idk. I was snagging those boxes for $29.99-gme pro discount when they were just sitting there. (and you can kinda pre-grade the boxes you want - making it even easier to eliminate corners and centering from the grading factor). Lots of boxes of both on ebay rn and they have pictures for the most part.
thanks alex! great vid
I kinda see it like the grading play is priced into the psa 10. If a card is $100 raw, has around a 33% gem rate, then on average you'd have to send in 3 to get one psa 10. A psa 10 like that may go for $300 then. It doesn't always work but it's a good rule of thumb
A fun exercise to think about is in the sports card market, how do we value 1/1's or extremely low pop PSA10's and low numbered. The general concepts still apply in Pokémon with respect to all the differences between the Sports and Pokémon hobby.
Awesome Job explaining that Great Job👈👍👈
still waiting for the 5 second stare
Thank you ❤
Also worth mentioning what caused a shift in consumer value, i.e. Team rocket set. JJ #68 is no different than a pump-and-dump crypto. Foresight, hype, opportunity = over value; if you got in early great if you didn't, dont buy-in and pass. Look for the next opportunity. But i agree 100% with the statistical analysis of gem mint percentage difference 🔥 🔥
What you are saying makes a lot of sense. However, I think looking at the total gem mint 10 count along with how old/available the set is would also be very important when deciding if a particular psa10 card is worth the pickup.
I seen that I got up at 2am to get ready for work lol
Great information Thank you.
Really cool video, not seen information like anywhere else before
my goat - some good info
Can you talk about strategies with some of these cards... if you hit the 10, is it better to drop it now... or hold for 10 years?
Bubble mew is in a bubble 🤫
I'm sad I missed the opening! That sounded like an epic opening
You liking the giratina v alt art long term?
Genuinely confused - why doesn't the old set you can't buy make a difference exactly for J and J? It sounds like data that the J and J's are getting opened way less than new packs you can open and buy now at a much lower pack price?
I didn't realize how expensive that Rayquaza Vmax card was in NM raw. Beautiful card. I want it now.
Do you think we will find Journey and Rocket set at the usual 110$ per box or we will have to pay more like for Suring Sparks?
I think we should take in consideration the price per pack in the equation ! All the cards compare to Jessie and James was Scarlet & Violet set. For my part, this card was under value. I pay 70$ in Psa 10 15 months ago. Love this card. Don’t want to sell it 😊
Se really good points made here.
all good and of course that is the right way to check for over under value etc, BUT don't you think that the popularity of the pokemon plays crucial role?
Also, the tarountula svi 199 has only 6 gem mint 10s. STill the raw card is about 5 euro here, psa 10 sold for the amount of 350 USD.
so cards like the japanese psa10 moonbreon should be way less in price than the english moonbreon? even tho the overall pop is less in japanese?
ngl this right here is some intel id be willing to buy a small course for
It’s so simple…. People do your own research or you deserve the crushing you’re about to get. Don’t forget in 2021 jungle Pikachu psa 10 sold for 1000 bucks. Then it dropped to 60 lmao
Nomics steady dropping GEM (mint 10s) on us 💎
Messaged received Alex, just bought 20 Vivid Voltage booster boxes
I just opened a couple paldea etb’s and got no full art nothing only two ex cards in each etb 🤦♂️ not in one etb but both only got ex cards
Not that this takes away from the points made in the video, but I think the base price should include the grading fee. For expensive cards the grading fee is negligible to the percent increase, but for cheaper cards the grading fee can drastically change the percent increase (for instance a $4 card that’s worth $40 in a psa 10)
Would love to know the numbers on the blazikin alt art. Theres only like 4k in psa 10
Hello ! Dommage que la traduction RUclips ne soit plus disponible pour tes vidéos 😢
is there another factor for gem rate being that less expensive cards (J+J, Umbreon star) are less likely to be sent in unless they are 10 candidates since the return isn't worth it? Whereas Karp, Zard, and Bubble Mew may still be sent in even if not a 10 candidate. This would bump up the gem rate on less expensive cards and decrease them for more expensive ones.
I think the thing with the Jessie/James card is that the card is not being pulled daily like Bubble Mews and Charizards still are. So maybe there's a perceived scarcity that is causing people to FOMO into buying it.
Rocket set is causing that
News flash timmys psa 7’s are near mint 😂 it says it on the slab
I used to think that as well, but a near mint raw card is 100% different than a PSA seven I have some PSA sevens that have a lot of whitening and I would get flamed for trying to sell those as a near mint raw card but they got a seven
@ right but near mint to psa is a 7 but people have the perspective of NM being black label quality as a raw card 💀
@ ah yeah i gotcha
@@teamrocketjoey That's just people upset that they couldn't buy a PSA 10 candidate on TCGPlayer, so then they feel entitled to say you lied about the quality. Shits so annoying.
Isnt the fact that the jesse and james and celebration umbreon since they are older cards are harder to find in a good enough condition for it be worth sending... hidden fates isnt openend so much anymore same with celebration.
Compared to paldean fates and 151?
If its harder to pull it yourself and buy it mint enough to send it yourself to grade isnt that making it be worth more to go directly buying it in a psa10?
Im not saying jesse james isnt over valued but im just saying it harder to find a raw copy thats grade worthy to be sent hence going buying it graded directly and raising the demand for graded compared to raw?
this is all true but doesnt supply demand still play a pretty big roll with these cards?
i would say yeah but with the team rocket set coming up im still not selling at $300 when i got my jesse james at $45 psa 10 😂😂 i love that card anyway
Dang i didnt realize umbreon was so expensive i got mine for 12$ 😂
I thought PSA 10 was King until I saw my first BGS BLACK LABEL. Sent 150 poke to them, no BL yet :(
i have 3 near mint j&j full arts....stonks
queue read when?
The only issue I have when I look at these numbers is how many people are deluded when they send their Charizards, mews, or Magikarp vs the maybe "less popular" Umbreon gold star or Jesse James card? I imagine way more people want to believe that the Charizard SIR they pulled/purchased is a 10 simply because they are viewing it with rose tinted glasses. It's obviously impossible to know, just something I think about. Saying your Jesse James isn't a 10 before sending is a much easier pill to swallow than saying your Charizard SIR isn't so I wonder if just less "fringe 10s" get sent for cards like that.
the jesse james card is a bad example to use simply because it’s being inflated due to the upcoming announcement of the new team rocket set.
Great video but title and thumbnail are too clickbaity. Almost didn’t watch it because it gives literally no info on what the video is actually about
Poke Plummer will be ripping untill he hits the god pack
Thanks for ze video cheeseburgermaster
Pokemon = Rolex
Lemon, honey and warm water for your voice. 😉
Japanese Triple Beat Karp is 28k population. Over valued?!😅
94 percent PSA 10 rate. Crazy how English sub par quality affected the graded market.
🔥
Maybe if English cards had the same quality as Japanese, people wouldn't obsess over PSA 10. PSA 10 Magikarp in Japanese is dirt cheap compared to English, has the same art work.
That’s only because the demand isn’t there for it. If that card only existed in Japanese like the corocoro mew then it would be a different story
Grab your tinfoil hats and booster packs, it's time for another market meltdown special!
@NostalgiaNomics So my question is how come shops sell cards at graded prices or what they think it would grade for? This wasn't really a thing until prices really started to raise on cards. I don't think this is a fair practice due to the shop not being able to guarantee the value if it were to be graded after purchase. And if that's the case and it is supported then what's the point of a raw price valuation? Cards should then only have value when they are graded.
Get rekt chat!!
🍣 or 🍔
Collecting cards causes FOMO. Quit doing it
I’ll never be able to bring myself to buy an already graded PSA 10 at more than a 50% multiple. There are like 5-10 cards per generation that enough people will care about in the future. Good luck with those $500 Marill IRs in the future folks..
🍔
🥛🍔
I sold all my Giovanni's last month
Sooooo, buy shrouded fable yeah? Yeah. 😊
how can you not understand the basics of the PSA 10 attraction. its literally nerd knowledge 101. geeks need it clean not a 9 not a 9.5 , a 10! rates don't determine price point its the hype around the card. period.
Van Gogh
“Pokemon investing” 😂😂😂 yall some vultures on a fun card game
It’s really the same thing as any other collectible in existence. People do the same exact things with clothing and sneakers aswell. There are investors and resellers in every area of business
Folks
This is all because of streamers just like you. Turning a child's card game into a way to get get rich. Now you sit behind your camera after you just ripped 1000s of packs trying to explain why there's a shortage, why there's scalpers, why the market is screwed. I see your hypocracy. I see you😊
First