The heat may not kill you, but the global food crisis might!
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- Опубликовано: 14 май 2024
- A super strong El Niño and record high global sea surface temperatures are set to deliver devastating extreme weather events all over the planet in 2024. They will be extremely costly and traumatic for many millions of people around the world. But the real concern is what the consequences of those events will show us about the fragility and vulnerability our global food supply network is. A worrying portent of our near-term future?
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Research Links
MINTEC - El Niño prediction for 2023 24
www.mintecglobal.com/top-stor....
IPCC 6th Assessment
www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/ch...
2023 US billion dollar disasters
laist.com/news/climate-enviro...
Ocean Heat Absorption
www.theguardian.com/environme....
www.resilience.org/stories/20...
Cheng et al 2022 - Ocean Heating
link.springer.com/article/10....
Bentley et al 2022 - Global wheat supplies
www.nature.com/articles/s4301...
Hedlund et al 2022 - Impacts of climate change on global food trade networks
iopscience.iop.org/article/10...
Callahan et al 2023 - Persistent effects of El Niño on global food supplies
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/s...
Barclays - Global food systems under mounting pressure
www.cib.barclays/our-insights...
www.cib.barclays/content/dam/...
NOAA ENSO Update April 2023
www.climate.gov/news-features...
WMO reports
public.wmo.int/en/media/press...
public.wmo.int/en/media/press...
Other media reports on El Niño and food supply network
edition.cnn.com/2023/06/29/ec...
edition.cnn.com/2023/07/05/wo...
edition.cnn.com/2023/05/17/wo...
Check out other RUclips Climate Communicators
zentouro: / zentouro
Climate Adam: / climateadam
Kurtis Baute: / scopeofscience
Levi Hildebrand: / the100lh
Simon Clark: / simonoxfphys
Sarah Karvner: / @sarahkarver
Rollie Williams / ClimateTown: / @climatetown
Jack Harries: / jacksgap
Beckisphere: / @beckisphere
Our Changing Climate : / @ourchangingclimate
Engineering With Rosie / engineeringwithrosie
Ella Gilbert / drgilbz
Planet Proof / @planetproofofficial
Our Eden / @oureden
How arrogant have we become to think famine could not happen to us anymore?
It's easy, just teach everybody to be selfish and self centred and thus don't care about the greater good. That's why we're trully driving straight at the cliff edge.
@@TheLRiderDon't forget the most important lesson they teach...GREED IS GOOD! and that unbridled capitalism and the free market is our only hope.
Depends who "us" is. Actually, famine should not happen to first world nations. Failed crops does not equal famine; failed cultures and societies = famine.
Yea first world countries will have food reduction but not enough for everyone to starve. The only people who will starve are the ones already starving. Oh well. For everyone else you just won't get to eat an orange in the winter in New York. So what. Potatoes and corn are going nowhere.
Famine never stopped occurring, it just became easier to ignore.
Over here in Cape Town, South Africa, I have noticed that some of my veggies have bolted at the end of our winter, so as a veggie gardener I am considering shade cloth over my plants even this early in spring. Global warming as far as I can see is real. I am going to plant some more trees. I even dug a water retaining swale in my front yard to get more water into the ground.Might not be much, but every bit will help.
So, is man messing up your garden?
An elderly neighbor in Texas had two commercial car shade structures installed in his backyard garden. Ugly but sturdy in high winds and effective. His garden is still feeding him all year.
Mine is also feeding me all year, but I just let it die back and ate natives. I cut up my local prickly pear and doubled my prickly pear "orchard" instead of eating pads. The fruit is delicious.
I grew up on European vegetables but they require irrigation ad infinitum. I normally plant them during monsoon, which did not happen this year. Even so, I have 8 raised hugelkultur beds filled with deadwood that holds rainwater like sponges.
Yeah man sounds like it's going to be a full-time job just keeping the land healthy
One thing we do here is add wood chips to the area around the plants base to help hold in water
I've planted quite a few fruit trees too. It keeps our home cooler and protects the smaller plants. The plantains and bananas are not doing so well, falling before the fruit is edible. I'm worried because we have nice rain. This is in the Caribbean. I was planning to feed myself 😢
Thanks for making these videos Dave. This looming food security disaster as the primary disruptive factor of global heating has been apparent to many of us for many many years. Which is depressing, but it needs to be said over and over again. I’m glad there are people out there like you who continue to do it.
Too bad nobody listened in 2010 ~ 2012 when I started warning about this. And it's coming already... check food prices over the last ten years... We're going to have shortages coming within a few years, imo.
The shortages, of course, are 100% climate change related. They are not at all related to the fact that world governments are paying farmers to not farm their land and are forcing farmers to cut their use of fertilizers which directly results in lower crop yields.
The food shortages are definitely due to climate change; man-made climate change at that. No other factors at play here at all. No sir. Climate change is the only reason.
I’m just glad we’ve collectively pinpointed the exact reason for all the trouble, so we can come up with a plan of action. 😅
For the worlds collective governments to act with such disgraceful and indeed demoralising impunity on the subject of marine warming is despicable, to say the least. If history has taught us anything, it's that no sentient being or corporate entity is untouchable.
The comedic hubris of the lack of a utilitarian approach to all this is certainly not lost on me. It's time to take heed, or else more vehicle emission tax schemes will be the least of our worries; as we'll be swimming to work instead!
We've been dumbed down by successive generations of bright-eyed bushy tailed intelligence bearing body snatchers & and mind-numbing vampires.
Never mind, in this media age, all we can hope for is the next forthcoming iceage that will set the climate debate back to reset.
In the meantime, sit back, switch off your brain and enjoy the latest episode of the sensationalist media tell you what to think and how to act, swivelling in your methane and ammonia inducing leather armchair, drinking copious amounts of Pepsi and eating diabetically driven popcorn PTSD style.
Whilst watching a GOAT of a supercell hurricane, smash into California, creating next level destruction and creating a new measurement system for catastrophic weather in the process.
The duel between expectation Vs. reality has never been so important; forget 2050 targets, and COP14, the last one of note - it's what happens now that counts!
Cut the red tape and get on with producing effective change and stop pilfering around the edges.
*Suez Climate Machine*
If a channel of 10km width and 100m depth is to be dug in the Isthmus of Suez and a pumping station is to be built, then the warm water from the tropical area of the Indian Ocean, through the Red Sea, will be pumped into the Mediterranean Sea. If pumped at a rate of 1 million m³/s, then the warm water will lead to increased evaporation from the waters of the Red Sea and the Mediterranean Sea and increase atmospheric precipitation by approximately 820 km³ per year. We calculate how much thermal energy per second will be extracted from the Indian Ocean and the Pacific Ocean.
10^6m³/s × 1000 kg/m³ × 4200 J/(kg × °C) × (29°C ˗ 3°C) = 0.11•10^15 W = 0.11 PW (petawatt)
The heat flow power of 0.11 PW is comparable to the excess heat received by the Planetary Ocean due to global warming. That is, this system will be able to extract excess heat from the Southern Hemisphere, preventing the melting of the Antarctic glaciers and the rise of the sea level. At the same time saving the coral colonies from death due to the overheating of the ocean waters in the tropical zone. This is like installing the fan. If too many greenhouse gases have accumulated in the room or it has become too hot, we turn on the fan and quickly solve the problem. We apply the slow solutions later.
How much energy is needed to pump water at a speed of 1 million m³/s? The evaluations show that at most
33 GW of power. At the price of $0.04 per kW*h the cost of electricity will be $12 billion per year. Is that a lot or a little? If the climate will improve for 1 billion people, then on average $12 per person per year. The package includes 820 km³ of additional atmospheric precipitation. This amount of water is enough to grow food for another 1 billion people.
Along with the water from the Red Sea, a large amount of salt will be pumped into the Atlantic Ocean, which will significantly increase the energy of the ocean currents in the North Atlantic. The Golfstream current system will not ruin itself.
Thus, the "Suez Climate Machine" will have a global effect, from Antarctica to the Arctic.
walkingman8943 Part of my state went through a drought this summer. Now how much of that drought was caused by "governments are paying farmers to not farm their land and are forcing farmers to cut their use of fertilizers"?
The supreme irony of this starkly revealing analysis is that I am now selfishly content to be an old man who is "on his way out". Nevertheless, my heart bleeds for young people everywhere. The guilt that I now genuinely feel, in no way mitigates my generation's denialism and profligacy. I am startled beyond words for the error of our ways.
I have often said, "I'm glad I'm on my way out." But we are doing what we can. We have had solar for 21 years, 5,000 gallons of rain tanks, careful recycling, and a Chevy Volt and using it 95% on electricity.
@@humblecourageous3919too bad there aren't a few more billion like you.
@@weldonyoung1013as long as the kids keep mining the R.E.M. we need for those electric cars, we will eventually get there.
I’m just glad we have enough cheap labor on the mining front to get us what we need affordably, we have enough oil today to get all the supplies to the manufactures and we know exactly how to dispose of all the waste on the back end.
Wow, I can really relate to your pain -- but, while old, we can still do our part, like avoiding plastic by using reusable bags, walking to a local market, and voting for people that believe there is a problem and who are seeking a practical solution.😊
@@extraincomesuz what’s the practical solution?
I’ve been waiting to hear a solution the whole time they’ve been shouting about global cooling, then global warming, then climate change.
as a geoscientist I kept talking about all that during my entire professional life, witnessing ignorance, negligence, denial... on all (!) levels - this is the way the human kind most obviously prefers to deal with it - thank you very much for your elaborated and illustrative discourse
You understand that "mankind is and can only possibly be imaginary?
All universals are necessarily imaginary; the idea that some imaginary mankind has "preferences" is religious mumbo jumbo.
Attributing the failures of global capitalism and its externalities to something akin to “human nature” is a huge disservice to the adaptability of human beings as a species.
if you are spiritual then you are correct all is illusion. however in the illusion the laws of physics apply for the illusion to work. it appears you have not asked your self one question. why would i reincarnate at this point in the earths evolution? is it to sit on my ass, or to take action that benefits all humans? @@vhawk1951kl
thanks for having a go camo. i am a climate change activist for 17 years and had the same experience. what i learned was the level of corruption through out the government and dept heads is total. pretty much corporations write government policy now and politicians are merely perception mangers that we have choice or are a democracy. until you realise how much mental conditioning we go through education, tv, radio, SM and then we get reinforcement through our friends. its also really hard for feeling people to understand that the people at the very top of the tree are psychopaths. the problem lies with feelings people have a lot of trouble understanding that psychopaths have no feeling what so ever for you and your children other than to be worker bees for them. Sun Tzu said an evil man will burn his own nation to the ground to rule over the ashes. if just means fight back.
You neglect to mention Canada could gain 4.2 million square kilometres of agricultural land as a result of climate change. Global agricultural landmass could increase by one-third within the next century, with boreal Canada and Russia set to gain the most arable ground.
Thanks Dave. Another great video.
It's OK to say it out loud now. Collapse is now inevitable and the only questions remaining are when, and how hard it will hit and how many deaths it will entail. Given all that I've read and researched, when I 'just have a think', nowadays it's never very optimistic. I sometimes wish I didn't have an enquiring mind and, like the vast majority of people, could just go about my daily life in blissful ignorance, or bury the knowledge in a permanent state of cognitive dissonance. It's all so messed up, it makes me want to cry on a daily basis. What the hell have we done?
The global population will collapse in the near future. By 2100, we will learn the hard way how unsustainable our lifestyle is. Teach your children how to grow a garden! Sadly, most children only know how to operate their phones. That won't put food on the table.
Same here, I've had an extremely bleak view of the times ahead for a few years now - it's started materializing now.
Food, clean water & shelter from extreme events will become increasingly scarce with all three being available together a real luxury.
Disruptive changes to global supply chain including food sourcing, regional geo-political balances & population health parameters are all going to be upended in the upcoming decade.
We're all marching towards an increasingly volatile & uncertain future with a great sense of ignorance - I think humanity is in for a rude awakening, despite us knowing & foreseeing it from miles away yet not having taken any definitive action to mitigate it.
When does the collapse begin? Food production is at an all time high and is projected by FAO to grow over the next 10 years. It could grow more, but there isn't the demand. When does the actual data start showing the "collapse?"
@@johnkosowski3321 The problem is that no-one really knows. When IPCC climate scientists were polled by Nature a few years ago, 85% of them stated that they expected to witness 'the catastrophic effects of climate change in their lifetimes'. Their average age at the time of polling was 57. So that gives us an indication.
Personally, I don't expect collapse to be sudden. What we will witness is a gradual worsening of everything (access to services, the cost of living, economic hardship, political unrest, global tensions etc) until life becomes unbearable and the system starts to slowly crumble. Prof Jem Bendell, in his Deep Adaptation paper suggested that this process has already commenced in many countries. I tend to agree.
Although I trust scientists on this issue, I do agree with Nate Hagens when he suggests that scientists can often tend to miss the big picture due to their propensity to see things through the somewhat narrow lens of their discipline or specialism. I think he's right on that point.
It is the systems experts, like Nate, Simon Michaux and Arthur Berman who speak with the most clarity as they understand just how fragile are the systems that meet our basic needs (food, energy, water etc) and they can see the cracks starting to appear. Nate Hagens expects complex societies to start to collapse in less than a decade, but in the slow, gradual way that I described above.
And all that is a very roundabout way of saying I haven't the faintest clue when things will collapse, but I've taken action assuming it will be soon. I gave up my job, took early retirement and am working towards self sufficiency on a couple of acres of land. (or 'lifeboat building' as William Rees likes to call it). Like the IPCC scientists, I expect to see deep, deep difficulties in my lifetime and like Jem Bendell, I think that the process has already started in some countries.
@@MrPaddy924 Which countries are those? The bottom line is that we could easily increase food production 25%, but there is no demand. The only negative impacts on cost of living so far are pressures on fossil fuel prices, which really hurt the poor. The warming that we have experienced so far has been beneficial and has accompanied the greatest advance in the history of human civilization. There is very little case to be made that another degree would be "catastrophic."
Who else seen this coming decades ago & then rightfully ensured they didn't create future generations who would have to suffer the consequences?
O/
I chose not to reproduce, I am also vegetarian and own no car. I get rides though, I get tea shipped to me, stuff like that. It's really hard in this system not to have a negative impact.
@@ingridgilbert4917 The world just sucks that much, but your efforts are appreciated man. Some people may not get it, but I see what you are doing as great.
Yep, it's several decades since I first became aware of potential extinction. All our green campaigning didn't work. I've done everything in the smallest possible footprint throughout life, but as you say, the best thing we can possibly do is stop breeding, which my family did a long time ago.
I'm very sorry for those with young children.
But it is the bright ones who should reproduce. Without them all is truly lost😢
Guy McPherson warned us of this decades ago. He was ostracised and smeared for that contribution. I’ll repeat his words here: “If we think we can continue in this set of living arrangements, we are not paying attention”.
All we can do now is provide planetary hospice. Be kind to one another, and other creatures around us. And do the best we can to help the earth maintain life after we have left the scene. Because, at the edge of extinction only love remains.
No I think we should all be mean and cruel to each other
@@andrewshotathompson5116 which we are
I think this is the single best summary of its kind that I have seen. No "news" reporting has even come close to making anything like its depth and scope. Just excellent work here!
it's sad really
lol
One of our US senators has presented some of this information also.
This is concern troll. Climate activists are shutting down agricultural sector and then blaming its consequences on CO2.
Nah he’s horribly biased. Never includes info like that climate change is creating more arable land than it’s destroying.
In Malaysia, 95% or more, of seeds, are imported, not to mention food. The gov even sells the rice crops to neighboring countries for 💰 instead of selling it cheaper here. So I asked my husband where he will buy his breakfast bread next year if there is no bread, or flour. He started playing with the cat to avoid the question. Sigh... I think our government leaders are all playing with cats.
I have to go make compost, and order seeds before the end of the year. **Grabbing the bucket and garden gloves**
I bet you’re so much fun !
Thank you; good to hear from a realist that isn't buffered by living in the Rich countries. Hope you can plan ahead and anticipate some of the worst effects.
I grow all my fruits and vegetables since 2013. Every year is more difficult, more labour-intensive, more expensive to obtain the same yield. Pests, sunburn, drought, hail, erratic rain are more and more frequent and severe. Seasons are no longer predictable, we have 24°C spell in february, then frost in april and all fruits and blossoms are lost. In the meantime, governments are busy making war one-another.
As if this want true for farming forever. My granddad would have told you the same thing, as he told me... and he was born in 1904.
that's the typical objection from a climate change denier... please, try to be original!@@paulsnow
@Picci25021973 So what you are saying is that indeed weather has always been erratic, crop production per acre worldwide is higher than it has ever been, floods and droughts are not statistically worse, and the elderly (and weather records) see nothing unusual...
But the sky is still falling, and we are all going to die?
BTW, how can anyone "deny climate?"
The world is clearly getting warmer. Seas have been rising for 20,000 years. Growing seasons are slightly longer.
What we really don't know is how much warming there is, what the current global temperature is, what exactly CO2 does, etc. Because the climate is poorly understood.
it's like to play chess with a pidgeon. @@paulsnow
@Picci25021973
Yeah, I get it. It is like you really, really, really believe something, but you have no pieces (facts) on the chess board, right?
It's hard to even beat a pigeon if you have no pieces to move.
The biggest threat from climate change, IMO, is exactly this. I can deal with 20 cm of sea level rise, with less snow in winter. What I cannot is survive a multiple catastrophic event that hits not one but many crop production areas. It's mind boggling.
It is because most governments are fu*king around with the weather. Cloud seeding would be a good example.
Sure you can. Odds are you’re obese, if you live in a western country. No one will starve. Rabid leftist alarmists needs to take their meds
Cloud seeding is a funny byword for carbon emissions 😂
@@gustabeumer688 You clearly have no idea what are you talking about.
@@gustabeumer688 Yeah we've ALL been screwing the weather with fossil fuels.
My "favorite" bit of Canadian climate change nonsense is when people suggest that warmer temps thawing the north means we'll be able to start farming up there. I'm sure that acidic, nutrient poor soil with no infrastructure for hundreds upon hundreds of miles will be amazing for agriculture.
Poor education about how soil is actually made. I’m pretty sure most people just think the world has always been covered in semi-fertile dirt.
Agreed. There’s a reason why 85% of Canada’s population lives within 100km from the USA border. Living up north is underdeveloped with lack of services and resources. Also building on permafrost is horrible long term since the soil isn’t stable to support large infrastructure.
Yep, we will replace fertile soil nearer the equator with poor soil in temperate and sub-polar regions. Plus there will be no time for evolution to do its thing and allow plants to adapt to its new environment
Yep, I trained with the Canadian Army up Along the James Bay. Nothing but muskeg for thousands of miles, threaded with tannin orange rivers and ponds.
Good Point.
And what about the Methane (CH4) locked up in the Permafrost?
Methane stays in the air for a shorter time than does CO2.
HOWEVER, Methane is a more potent trapper of Heat than is CO2, by a factor of about 20 to 80 times,
Across the globe, there are hundreds of millions of acres of semidesert that may receive monsoon type rain during a few month window. These areas suffer from both flooding & drought. India has started building permaculture as you can see w/ Andrew Millison's recent videos. Farmers in remote villages dug swales & retention hills & ponds. Now they have water for crops year-round. They went from 1 growing season with 2 monocrops, to 3 growing seasons of about 2 *dozen* varieties of edible food. Check dams, swales, ponds, beaver dams; can restore water on millions of acres. Feeding people, livestock & wild animals.
And all on 300mm annual rainfall too!
It is the only answer.
Amazing skills.
As well as minimising poisons and chemicals.
The bigger problems on our small pasture farm is neighbouring and upstream non permitted activity causing biohazards.
I do think much of the issues the US and Europe are having with die offs are in large part to do with spray drifts from cropping. Herbicides and insecticides, not just change in weather patterns although that will weaken resilience.
In Australia up to 10% of the cotton crops(which are stupid and toxic to plant here) have been killed due to other cotton farmers spraying the toxic sprays during inversion temperature events . It has been regulated against, and the government has forecasting for it, but still happens .The spray can travel up to 70kms.
I can't imagine how many random forrests and surrounding areas are being exposed to unexpected chemical influence.
Water management is key. You have over 8 billion people on this planet, and everybody needs fresh water all the time. With more fresh water supplies comes more irrigation, and more plants taking CO2 out of the atmosphere every day as they feed the growing populations.
People will make incremental improvements, but we are fundamentally spending the world's environmental capital. Dr William Rees has attempted to compute the stable carrying capacity of the planet, and his result is 2-3 million humans. He contends that we are in 'overshoot' -- heading for a crash. He has multiple videos available on RUclips -- worth a look.
Ya but these periods of drought & rain are going to be extreme.The flooding in Libya is the new normal.
Crops will be carried away or over watered countered by years of drought.
Your optimistic narrative is untenable.
In Australia we have just finished with 3 years of La NIna, which was such a blessing, even though it brought floods. As we go back into El Nino, I'm so worried about food production. My son-in-law's family have very large wheat and cattle farms. At the end of the last El Nino every farm in the area was wiped out through lack of water. What cattle hadn't been sold off early were slowly dying. Fodder and water were being trucked in for the farms that could afford it. Workers were laid off, local towns ran out of water and the small farmers just packed up and left. We live in a large rural city and a lady I knew asked for dry lawn clippings, as she ran a horse refuge and she was triple capacity and no fodder was available.. As farmers left they "donated" their horses instead of letting them starve. I'm 60 and I never saw it as bad as it was then, and I'm terrified of what's coming. City folk just don't understand that the markets won't always have food in future.
Farming cattle was nice a good idea now they take to many resources to breed at large scale.........we love our cows but let's be real.
@@bitkrusher5948
Are you a Vegan ?
@@davidwatson2399 Does it matter? It's not a question of diet or even animal rights, its a simple function of resources required per calorie.
Cows simply take significantly more resources to grow than other meat products (pigs and chickens being the primary comparison).
All meat products take more to produce than plant products - a statement that should be obvious given that you have to use plant products to grow meat products.
You as a consumer might not care, at least if you're still in the mindset that "food comes from the supermarket", but farmers and ranchers don't have that luxury. If they can't afford to raise cattle then they just won't.
@@altrag
Yes it does matter.
I am a farmer and do care, I produce food.
Livestock are an important part of crop rotation.
We can't eat grass, stubble, crop residue etc, sheep, cattle, goats can.
We can't run chooks, pigs, ducks etc on grass and rangeland.
Here is large areas of grassland/ rangeland that we cannot grow crops on due to many reason, including water supply, soil type, fertility and structure etc.
Biodiversity and ecosystems are adversely affected by farming grain and legume crops (clearing and ploughing )while grazing can be compatible and actually benificial.
@@davidwatson2399 > We can't eat grass, stubble, crop residue etc,
The problem is when those things don't exist. Cows aren't any better than humans at eating grass that never had a chance to grow because it hasn't rained in 6 months and now you're facing a 100 degree heatwave.
That's what happened in Texas last year. Ranchers were selling off entire herds because they couldn't graze and buying enough food from elsewhere wasn't financially viable.
I didn't say farmers don't care. In fact I specifically said they don't have the luxury of not caring.
You will have to change. I can't tell you when that will be because I don't know you or the conditions around your particular locale, but it will happen. Assuming temperatures keep rising (which they will because we're not doing much of fuck all to stop or even slow it), there will come a point where there simply isn't enough grass and stubble to feed your cows and you'll have to come up with another plan.
Pigs or chickens are the obvious plan if your goal is bringing meat to market as our culture pretty much only consumes three types of meat so options are limited.
In your case it sounds like you're more focused on bringing the produce to market so for you switching to more goats instead of cows might be the plan (again, not knowing your specific situation - throwing out hypotheticals). Regardless of what you choose though it will be different from what you're doing now, because the world will be different.
We’re so screwed. When I see my children’s faces in the morning my first thought is how tough they are going to have it… I mean, they quite possibly are going to witness the end of humanity
My father is suffering the effects of a flood here in Southern Brazil. He was a supporter of the former extreme Right wing government who lost last year. Now he strongly believe that the current government just open the dams against them. It is crazy!
Almost like fifty years of playing ostrich with our head in the sands, was not a good idea.
Love the sense of humor and sarcasm displayed in this video, Dave.
I think that 2024 could be one of the first years we truely see a glimpse of what we are actually in for as species, and will be the first warning sign and test to make some changes.
These changes will likely have to be very drastic and well that is not an easy thing to do especially when we have so much infrastructure we rely on.
I remember the heatwave of 2022 in the UK, not only did people struggle with the near constant 30+ degrees, it was the first time I have seen my mum struggle with the heat, especially travelling where our infrastructure is just not tailered to it.
The effects of freak weather where I saw places flash flood out of nowhere, I have never seen so many sudden heavy downpours. While amazingly fun and unusual they highlight to me how fragile our system is.
And lets not forget what happened during covid, where panic buying cleared all our shelves of food, in london I sae people crying looking at the shelves who shop normally, imagine knowing food supplies are short and seeing more of these events in a modern city like london.. Just highlights how reliant we are, and how quickly it can Uturn. Lukily for me I live in the country so a local food supply of farmers is avaliable, but how will that cope with the extreme temporal changes or droughts and flooding?
It was also the first year my garden crops really struggled, some of the plants I had did not recover very well and likely wont recover, especially the fruit trees which are plagued with disease.
We needed to really be prepared for next year and learn from it. I hope its not as bad as it all seems it could be.
I'm seeing the same things happening in my area of the US. We grow and raise our own food, for the most part. We have built the hen house into the ground, half below, in order to keep it cooler for them. We brought a lot of food production indoors in a spare room, to grow alliums, herbs, greens, sugar snap peas, cherry tomatoes, peppers, sweet potatoes, carrots, radishes, celery, turnips, beets, and other vegetables all year. We still grow potatoes, onions, tomatoes, cucumbers, zucchini, okra, beans, squash, and maize outdoors, in season. I'm not going rely on anyone else to feed my family. I'd like to see an effort madenow to encourage people to grow food indoors, even if it's just a few things that add nutrition to a beans and rice diet. Food is too fundamental to life to leave to chance.
@@GeckoHiker Most won't (or can't) try to help them selves by growing a bit. They will rail against whatever Govt. they have and expect it to cater to them. And where you gonna get your rice from; maybe just 'beans' !!
And I have just planted my corn ! Springtime !
@@linmal2242 You make a good point with the rice. We grow millet and sorghum for our "rice" as a sustainable survival plan. And we grow Native American heirloom maize, which I nixtamalize the way my grandmother did. Plant on! It's nearly garlic planting time in the Ozarks.
People in the comments are certainly not inspiring confidence in an understanding of basic statistical concepts like risk, and the climate change crowd are some of the most antithetical toward policy that would actually help improve human capital/innovation: they support even more education inflation, even more affirmative action, don't believe in the heritability of intelligence or that intelligence is even a thing, are anti-nuclear, etc. If we're screwed, the reason will be a cultural and demographic death spiral caused by that group.
2030 is THE year. Mr.Gates is counting on it.
To those who refuse to take this message seriously: You're right, there's nothing to worry about. Go on believing there will be food at the grocery store & make sure you don't even have enough to get through a weather emergency.
I thought we handled the toilet paper shortage quite well.. I'm sure it'll all be fine.
/end sarcasm
Indeed when finding a package of toilet paper was the equivalent of finding the golden ticket in the Willy Wonka movie😃
I agree - we handled it admirably! I must admit though, I dare not think how many litres of Diesel I used driving around to purchase all the available rolls in a 30km radius.
Great to have it all confirmed by someone who has done the research. Most people haven't got the faintest idea of what is coming.
Says the guy who thinks there are thousands of genders🤡🤡🤡🤡
With record food production, it is unlikely to be famine.
Going on ALL past climate doom predictions...nothing is coming.
@@carleddison7479 When the facts dont fit the propaganda they just ignore them...
@@carleddison7479 I can tell you didn't watch the video but thanks for expert analysis!
Industrial agriculture around the world is already teetering on the edge with the over pumping of groundwater and the rapid loss of top soil so adverse changes in climate growing conditions may well be the last straw. We could make a big impact on the food available to support the still rising global population by eating lower on the food pyramid. The U.S. where I live is a major food exporter, but that may change when the whole mid west (the wheat belt) dries out in coming years.
NEWS FLASH
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Same here but the predictions are that we my get a wetter climate. Check out the BOM...www.bom.gov.au on its future of Ag in AUS.
Just wanted to say i really appreciate you digging through the research and presenting it so wonderfully: simple yet effective delivery with graphics supporting, no distracting music or overly long and attention grabbing intro. Seems so simple yet somehow people get this so wrong so often.
So graphics are impressive? Not actual data? So gullible.
@@dcpackYes, actual data represented by the graphics
Your show should be on main stream TV, this is vital information thanks for doing all the hard work putting it together
Main stream TV wants hopeium dealers to tell people everything will be OK.
What makes you think people will view this over the reality TV pap they are being fed?
@mattelphinstone-walker45 - Thank you for your support and feedback. Much appreciated.
@@PaulG.x well, this IS reality and it is a big Drama as well.
I find it more disturbing that so many people GLEEFULLY dismiss the human related component of this crisis. Education really IS inadequate in the vast majority of the population.
Go back to your drag queen story hour, let me guess, you dont like white people either?
Even educated people chose to not believe it, not care or think we can just solve it with some magical future technology without inconveniencing people
Yes, and the power doesn't want them educated, either.
Let us not overlook the power DENIAL has over the human mind, especially regarding humanity's extinction.
I find it disturbing that it was so easy to convince this many people they are responsible for their doom and should pay accordingly, despite such weak evidence pointing towards such a conclusion. The entire field demonstrates what happens when the scientific method breaks down due to politics and you people are so sure of yourselves from a mixture of brainwashing and perceived moral high ground.
Reality is CO2 is inconsequential, your measuring systems do not add up with each other and are largely useless such as Ice cores and humans are so small we could not affect the earth on a major scale if we tried . Its human ego to believe otherwise right now and also completely unscientific to believe such an idea.
Thank you for putting this together. I've been trying to communicate the same thing on my channel, but you really knocked it out of the park with your presentation. I'll shoot you an email shortly.
That's funny. I was thinking about you & your message while listening to this
You neglect to mention Canada could gain 4.2 million square kilometres of agricultural land as a result of climate change. Global agricultural landmass could increase by one-third within the next century, with boreal Canada and Russia set to gain the most arable ground.
And
Mfatw COT Reports
To Assist in Troubled Times
The Final Days Channel Utube According To Matt.24 Signs in The Heavens
People For the Most Part
Have Not Concidered
But will soon enough
As these events Will intensify Daily
SOTT
The Two Preachers
Paul Begley Too
All To Share And Not Be overtaken
By Deceit
I started studying climate change in the 90’s and made fighting it my career. In the last couple of years I’ve been through all the stages of grief over mass extinction, an enormously painful process, and come out the other end. I recommend it. It helps you appreciate the abundant beauty of the world we have left. While we still have it.
how did you manage to come out the other end? It is so painful and the feelings and actions are difficult to navigate.
@@NMPT777
It’s very painful. Excruciating. But in the end, I found spirituality and the ability to live in the present moment. I’m breathing more deeply now than I have in 30 years.
@@NMPT777
I traded hope for acceptance
I've found the grief overwhelming and about 3 years ago I just couldn't do it any more. I worked in research forecasting the impacts of climate change on biodiversity.
@@user-ie5ii2yg2e
I’m so sorry. I agree the grief is overwhelming. We’re going to need a lot more mental health professionals as the years go on. But there is a bottom to the grief and you’d think it would be the worst place ever, but once you get there it’s like falling from the darkness into the light and you can finally find peace, rest, and loving comfort. I think it takes a leap into spirituality though.
I spent 20 years teaching climate science and environmental stewardship to thousands of young people who today are newly eligible voters. I feel content that I did what I could.
As part of my job I sat next to a marine biologist and we had many discussions about his job because it was more interesting than mine. He was working on understanding why fertility of fish, both farmed and caught was collapsing and the evidence pointed to warming seas. He said that the impact is being downplayed because if investors knew the industry was in peril investment would be pulled, bringing forward the collapse of the fishing and fish farming industries. I know a similar issue exists in horticulture. There is endless criticism of climate alarmism from the scientific community but I think the opposite is occurring
I'm not sure the marine biologist understands economics. Fewer fish means higher prices.
@@robertwalker1079 Art Vandelay knows marine biology, economics and is a railway architect too.
Shit. Thanks for informing us
well, sperm production in humans is also greatly decreased and still lowering, maybe accelerating. So far we've not reached levels where this becomes a problem, but... well, just saying.
Fish farming is a horrific industry causing extreme suffering to hundreds of billions of vulnerable fish every year. I hope it collapses.
I hope our compassion for one another wins out to greed. Greed has never sustained us in our history.
If only hoping for a change ever brought about it.
Rather unnerving to think that two among the top 5 food producers are in the largest war since WWII at this time. Well humanity always has to learn things the hard way, and quite often more often than once.
Greed and self interest always trumps the common good. One reason rump was selected president of the US in 2016 (note: NOT elected.)
Food security and the impact of climate change on food production is one of the two critical aspects we need to be trying to mitigate.
The other critical issue is the impending fresh water crisis, particularly in the tibetan plateau/Himalayas, where loss of ice stock will cause increase lack of fresh water to China, India and most of South East asia. This equates to around 3 billion people. Maybe a video on that could be done?
Yes this going to be the problem that gets us, if the accelerating climate effects don't get us first. As someone with a Physics background, I'm alarmed by the accelerating change. I'm also alarmed that my government (U.K.) is not.
Are you following the earth energy imbalance, aka climate forcing? You realize it’s gone from around +.5 in 2000 to around +1.8 in 2023? Of course there’s a lag, increase forcing and temp will follow. What does that tell you about the next 10 years?
@@anabolicamaranth7140 very fascinating in a scary way. Where did you get the +1.8 ? The latest I read was a bit above +1.2. Thanks!
Here in Slovakia there are currently Elections i don't think there is a single party that even mentioned anything about climate change in their policies.
@@ronb8066The most important number on the planet is kind of hard to find. Hmmm. Professor Eliot Jacobson posts it on his Twitter page often.
Let's be very clear: we use more energy every day (and it will only increase more with the use of more air-condition systems). The share of fossil fuels is actually going down for electricity, but the total fossil fuels used is still going up ! We've done FAR to little.
Well Dave, great to start Sunday with such a ... sunny view of the world we are in now...
Keep up the good work though, keeping us informed is much appreciated
Cheers Peter. Sorry it wasn't cheerier news!
@@JustHaveaThink At least the delivery was quite cheery ;) Better to know, forewarned & all that..
The entire religion of global warming or climate change is based upon one fundamental misapprehension which, if you remove it, causes the entire theory or religion to collapse, and the fundamental misapprehension is that there either is or can be, any such thing as a Global temperature.
It is impossible to talk about a single temperature for something as complicated as the climate of Earth.
A temperature can be defined only for a homogeneous system. Furthermore, the climate is not governed by a single temperature. Rather, differences of temperatures drive the processes and create the storms, sea currents, thunder, etc. which make up the climate.
Planet Earth doesn’t have ‘a temperature’, one figure that says it all. There are oceans, landmasses, ice, the atmosphere, day and night, and seasons. Also, the temperature of Earth never gets to equilibrium: just as it’s starting to warm up on the sunny-side, the sun gets ‘turned off’; and just as it’s starting to cool down on the night-side, the sun gets ‘turned on’. The ‘temperature of Earth’ is therefore as much of a contrived statistic as the GDP of a country. (If the Earth was in equilibrium, that is, if it absorbed and re-emitted the Sun’s radiation perfectly, as a ‘blackbody’, then its rotation would be irrelevant, and the temperature would be a constant 6 ⁰C. Mocking up the effects of Earth’s albedo brings the ‘blackbody’ temperature down to -18 ⁰C, and including greenhouse warming brings it back up to around 15 ⁰C.)
‘The climate’ is difficult to define: is it a trend over one decade, century, or millennium? For what sized region is it defined ? Weather is very variable - how can we go from weather to climate? Furthermore, climate change on human timescales is a very small effect, and the empirical data needed for climate models have large ‘error’ bars.
If you cannot define what is changing, you cannot say it is changing; It is essential to understand that no man apprehend or experience the entire plant -the whole-thing all-at-once. You cannot even sense apprehend experience yourself - he-whole-thing, all-at-once, so how could you possibly experience something as gigantic as the planet on which you live, other than piecemeal and seriatim - little bit after little bit.
If you remove the fallacy that there either is or can be, any such thing as a “Global Temperature” , the entire edifice of climate change and/or global warming, collapses, because it is contingent on the idea that there can be , or is, a “ Global Temperature, which is a thermodynamic and mathematical
impossibility. While it is possible to treat temperature statistically locally, it is meaningless to talk about a global temperature for Earth. The Globe consists of a huge number of components which one cannot just add up and average. That would correspond to calculating the average phone number in the phone book. That is meaningless. Or talking about economics, it does make sense to compare the currency exchange rate of two countries, whereas there is no point in talking about an average 'global exchange rate'.
If temperature decreases at one point and it increases at another, the average will remain the same as before, but it will give rise to an entirely different thermodynamics and thus a different climate. If, for example, it is 10 degrees at one point and 40 degrees at another, the average is 25 degrees. But if instead there is 25 degrees both places, the average is still 25 degrees. These two cases would give rise to two entirely different types of climate, because in the former case one would have pressure differences and strong winds, while in the latter there would be no wind.
@@vhawk1951kl Hi Peter
I think you have misunderstood Climate Change and its entire science there... Yes the Earth is far from an homogeneous system, it is quite chaotic as shown by the heat change graphs Dave uses in this video, however, that does not devalue the statistical work to derive an average temperature as there are underlying patterns that the statistical analysis would detect. The analysis would include protocols that would lead to a statistically useful number, such as readings from the same time of day at each location, etc, etc.. With many other factors way beyond my pay grade. Although your opening phrase would suggest that you may not be looking at this from a scientific perspective? The sheer volume of academic / observational work in this area, and the consistency of the conclusion that we are creating a significant change in our climate by increasing by 50% one of the main greenhouse gases that lift our planet's temperature from the -18C that would be expected from our distance from the sun, to the habitable 15C we have. Surely that change in concentration of a key greenhouse gas means the increasing temperature should not be a surprise, I would note that Exxon had some of the most accurate work on Climate Change in the 80s as recently reported by Harvard and Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research. Although from your opening phrase, does that mean you doubt the greenhouse gas effect that was independently experimentally established by Eunice Foot & John Tyndale among others about 1860, following Faure's suggestion around 1823 (now often a schoolchild science project)?
Even with my limited understanding of statistics, I do know that there are established techniques to see trends in chaotic systems subject to many influences, I have colleagues who use Box-Jenkins for example to take a 10ish year series of fairly chaotic data to discern the underlying trends, and therefore make reasonable predictions for future status of the systems leading to those chaotic data sets, allowing the benefit of interventions in that chaotic system to be reliably measured.
You should also not lose sight of the trends in local regions, for example polar amplification leading to higher temperature at the poles as warming reduces ice cover, leading to less heat reflected and more absorbed by the uncovered sea. Peter Wadhams at Cambridge University for example has done some great work in this area looking at Arctic ice thickness for example, a good illustration of part of his work being shown by the Arctic Death Spiral, a graphical summary of his work measuring Arctic ice thickness over two and a half decades.
Climate science uses many definitions, with the terms of those definitions clearly defined. The science has to be well organised to survive per review. Global temperature is not the single underlying basis of global Climate Change science, just one aspect that quite well summarises the trends we are seeing in our climate as measured in many ways, and well illustrated by the graphical representation of those temperatures used in Dave's video here. Perhaps one aspect that does demonstrate that the climate effects are from the atmosphere and not increased sunlight is the higher night time temperature reflecting the 'blanket' effect of increased CO2 concentrations, where accurate and consistent readings are required to clearly measure that effect over large data sets.
"If you cannot define what is changing," is your misunderstanding. The science must clearly define each state to demonstrate any changes, so far from your assertion, it is my understanding that it is all quite well defined, and consistent with theories looking at significant time periods to compensate for the inherent chaos.
"contingent on the idea that there can be , or is, a “ Global Temperature," is therefore a false assumption, along with others in your final paragraph. Global temperature, with sufficient safeguards within the statistics can be a valid observation, and can be for the day, week, year or whatever, as long as that definition is clear and the data set large enough, even in paleo-climate although the error bars there are a bit larger. Your false premises therefore are not a valid basis for devaluing one the larger bodies of recent research. Comparing average temperature for example with an average number for the phone book is somewhat spurious, although I guess there may be mathematical ... enthusiasts who would be entertained by such analysis. Climate science does not just take one figure, there is a far far richer body of work that uses well defined measures that clearly show how the climate is changing.
Thank you. Time to start praying/meditating/invoking great kindness and compassion as we face collapse.
I am 62, a limited education...but smart enough to understand reality..
Your presentation are informative, necessarily disturbing AND
Pleasantly entertaining
The whole thing is religious nonsense.
The entire religion of global warming or climate change is based upon one fundamental misapprehension which, if you remove it, causes the entire theory or religion to collapse, and the fundamental misapprehension is that there either is or can be, any such thing as a Global temperature.
It is impossible to talk about a single temperature for something as complicated as the climate of Earth.
A temperature can be defined only for a homogeneous system. Furthermore, the climate is not governed by a single temperature. Rather, differences of temperatures drive the processes and create the storms, sea currents, thunder, etc. which make up the climate.
Planet Earth doesn’t have ‘a temperature’, one figure that says it all. There are oceans, landmasses, ice, the atmosphere, day and night, and seasons. Also, the temperature of Earth never gets to equilibrium: just as it’s starting to warm up on the sunny-side, the sun gets ‘turned off’; and just as it’s starting to cool down on the night-side, the sun gets ‘turned on’. The ‘temperature of Earth’ is therefore as much of a contrived statistic as the GDP of a country. (If the Earth was in equilibrium, that is, if it absorbed and re-emitted the Sun’s radiation perfectly, as a ‘blackbody’, then its rotation would be irrelevant, and the temperature would be a constant 6 ⁰C. Mocking up the effects of Earth’s albedo brings the ‘blackbody’ temperature down to -18 ⁰C, and including greenhouse warming brings it back up to around 15 ⁰C.)
‘The climate’ is difficult to define: is it a trend over one decade, century, or millennium? For what sized region is it defined ? Weather is very variable - how can we go from weather to climate? Furthermore, climate change on human timescales is a very small effect, and the empirical data needed for climate models have large ‘error’ bars.
If you cannot define what is changing, you cannot say it is changing; It is essential to understand that no man apprehend or experience the entire plant -the whole-thing all-at-once. You cannot even sense apprehend experience yourself - he-whole-thing, all-at-once, so how could you possibly experience something as gigantic as the planet on which you live, other than piecemeal and seriatim - little bit after little bit.
If you remove the fallacy that there either is or can be, any such thing as a “Global Temperature” , the entire edifice of climate change and/or global warming, collapses, because it is contingent on the idea that there can be , or is, a “ Global Temperature, which is a thermodynamic and mathematical
impossibility. While it is possible to treat temperature statistically locally, it is meaningless to talk about a global temperature for Earth. The Globe consists of a huge number of components which one cannot just add up and average. That would correspond to calculating the average phone number in the phone book. That is meaningless. Or talking about economics, it does make sense to compare the currency exchange rate of two countries, whereas there is no point in talking about an average 'global exchange rate'.
If temperature decreases at one point and it increases at another, the average will remain the same as before, but it will give rise to an entirely different thermodynamics and thus a different climate. If, for example, it is 10 degrees at one point and 40 degrees at another, the average is 25 degrees. But if instead there is 25 degrees both places, the average is still 25 degrees. These two cases would give rise to two entirely different types of climate, because in the former case one would have pressure differences and strong winds, while in the latter there would be no wind.
Thank you again for a concise video, the more people who understand food systems the faster we will see change.
The Greatest droughts and famines and 'calamities' occurred in the 19thC. Nuttiness news back to the Civil War searchable PDFs. But you won' t bother to research. Better to feed, nomm, nomm. The Power of Baby Green Jebeezus compels you.
Thanks Harry
Hopefully!
Do you really think we’ll change? We’re headed quickly toward 8 billion people. Do we really need to do that? No, certainly not, but we will anyway.
@@JustHaveaThink a recent paper from independant italian scientists saw no statistically observeable fchange in the climate.
but i guess those arent scientists because they went againstthe cult narrative right, so they by definition dont count?
the earth is currently greener than at any time before the industrial revolution. lifeforms were in fact far far healthier and plentiful at a time when co2 levels were 20x current ones and deaths from climate related events are down 99% over the last 100 years.
youre buying MSM propaganda
I commercial fish in Alaska. Last August we had 65 degree water with anchovie runs and mako sharks, by fairweather glacier. That shoked us all.
My grandfather told me that during the great depression, he saw people eating the bark of trees. In light of the financial crisis we are in combined with record heat levels, I'd say that we need lots of green house gardens that can be shared with shade cloth in order to maintain our food production. It's going to take a tremendous amount of cooperation on the citizens to get through the upcoming crisis. The Chinese have already been experimenting with growing crops indoors, under climate controlled atmosphere, and the US and Europe need to be doing this as well. Some folks in Texas have been experimenting with this and I'm hopeful that they get it right.
You're free to grow food in your own backyard. My wife & I have been attempting so for 2 years.
The produce is mere percents of out total intake, not even near enough to be of any significance.
But we're gaining massive knowlegde in how to farm & grow food, and that might come in handy when food insecurity rears its head.
All we need to do by then is increase scale...
I don't know that you meant by "get through the upcoming crisis", as it will not be a short-term, temporary interruption but a permanent and drastic change.
@@rey_nemaattoriProbably fresher and healthier foods
In the US in the great depression food prices were very low. Farmers moved away due to low revenues. It was affording food without work that was difficult
925 million humans (1 in 9) suffer from hunger, yet 80 billion animals enslaved in farms are given enough human edible food that could support 4 billion humans directly. -University of Minnesota
Animal agriculture is the leading cause of deforestation, habitat destruction, water pollution, ocean dead zones and *species extinction* . -United Nations
The most comprehensive *meta-analysis* conducted to date with 119 countries, shows avoiding animal products is the *"SINGLE BIGGEST WAY"* to reduce our environmental impact. -journal Science
People started to get this around 2019 and then the movement just lost momentum. We need to dramatically downscale animal agriculture operations. The amount of food energy waste, water waste, and emissions is insane.
15 years vegan.
Here’s my secret to not eating body parts and drinking breast milk,.. I don’t purchase them.
It is not about climate change and the direct consequences to humans (like some of us needing to buy air conditioning, or move, or build storm proof houses). It is not even about needing to migrate where we grow certain crops because zones are moving around.
It is about the little tiny keystone species that make our food possible.
What if we lose bees, or worms, or algae, or plankton? What of all our pollenators, or the base of food chains.
What if the algae that produces most of our oxygen dies, or gets replaced by a different algae bloom that puts something poisonous into the atmosphere instead?
What if a new bacteria thrives in the warm water, or goes airborne and kills us all?
Or just a general blight affecting ALL plants?
Sure humanity can adapt to live in a warmer climate, move away from coastlines, build stronger storm shelters. Just a minor inconvenience of some human tragedy as we adapt.
But that does not mean much if there is no food, or no oxygen.
It is the little things that will kill is, and it is the little things mose effected by climate change.
And I ask, all the time, did we really need 7 billion people?
@@nickiemcnichols5397 it is not that we need or not. Issue is that with current approach and technology we cannot support more.
When the bee ceases to hum, the world will cease to turn.
@@jamesetal7088they have robot bees.
If we survive we still die. Stop worrying. You shiuld be scared of AI not climate change. Climate change is just about turning us into scapegoats. It's a scam.
I can't believe that people still keep talking about what's going to happen at the end of the century. Deer in the headlights! We do not have that much time.
Fire and flood used to be how we prepped land for growing. How strange to succumb to such dire abundance.
I live in Oklahoma and the heat wave this summer caused me to lose half of my garden this year. On top of the heat stress, the insect pressure pretty much put the plants in survival mode with very few produce. I have irrigation so the local drought was not a variable in my failure. There are no bees, I had to hand pollinate every single squash, zucchini and cucumber. The only insects around are crop destroyers. I do not use pesticides but I think I may have to reconsider and just be careful when and where I apply it.
"I live in Oklahoma and the heat wave this summer caused me to lose half of my garden this year. On top of the heat stress, the insect pressure pretty much put the plants in survival mode with very few produce" Speaking as a gardener in Ohio, that's awful to have that happen. "There are no bees" The neonics farmers are spraying are just wiping them out--we have to stop their use.
I've been saying for years that it's peak food we have to worry about, not peak oil. Then again it would help if we didn't feed 40% of agricultural production to animals.
There ain’t no brotein in plants, bro!
@@anabolicamaranth7140 Pulses, nuts, seeds.
@@anabolicamaranth7140 Well, as a plant eater for over thirty years and an Olympian, World Championship winning athlete, 105kg, 6% body-fat, 260kg squat and 275kg deadlift (just training for the running), you ain't got no idea.
@@luzr6613Sounds like Clarence Kennedy’s stats. No, I think he’s only been vegan 15 years.
@@anabolicamaranth7140We can switch meat sources to more poultry and pigs (which require less feed than cattle). Until then, I'll enjoy eating beef.
With every week that passes I am amazed at your ability to deliver such grave news with such extreme calm and occasional humour. Thank you so much for everything that you do Dave. I have to tip my hat to you sir..!
Thanks for your kind feedback. Sorry it's not better news!
I’m afraid it’s not going to be good news for some time. Unfortunately the people polluting the most are those most insulated from the consequences, so they keep flying off on 4 holidays a year and driving the Range Rover to drop Tarquinius off at the Polo match after the Sunday Roast. (perhaps a little too much stereotyping there?)
@@JustHaveaThink I don't anticipate any good news when it comes to climate change or societal collapse. My only real hope if I have any is that some of these technologies will take hold regardless of political inaction and maybe make the possibilities of survival more likely...
a recent paper from independant italian scientists saw no statistically observeable fchange in the climate.
but i guess those arent scientists because they went againstthe cult narrative right, so they by definition dont count?
the earth is currently greener than at any time before the industrial revolution. lifeforms were in fact far far healthier and plentiful at a time when co2 levels were 20x current ones and deaths from climate related events are down 99% over the last 100 years.
youre buying MSM propaganda
I love how you emphasize at how conservative the organization is to declare such a thing, meaning they are reluctant to publish the news....and if they did, then it means it's wayyyyy worse than they are letting on.
Love love love it.
And yet still it will go over peoples' heads 😂
We are very near to learning the hard way that Human population levels obey the same basic laws as other animals, when their environment is imbalanced
This is what scares me the most - the world starves long before it bakes.
Excellent video Dave - this is an issue that the general public in wealthier nations aren't really aware of.
There is an general ignorance of where our food originates and the global network of food production.
In a global climate that isn't facing breakdown the global food system is able to pick up the slack due to poor yields in other areas.
What happens when the yield starts to fall globally, over multiple years?
It looks like we are going to find out, well within our lifetimes.
Trump 2024
Sadly, I think you are right Matthew.
Crop yields have increased dramatically in the last hundred years, so there shouldnt be a problem. The real issue is govts shutting down farming, looks what happening in Europe, now THAT is scary.
Please get you facts straight, the EU try to lower animals farming for meat. that takes a lot of food for people so lower the amout of that type means more basic grains for the world. Crop farming is not shutting down @@manoo422
@@manoo422They will reverse that decision once food becomes scarce.
Excellent video and thanks for the summary. This is one of my primary immediate concerns. i fully expect a massive population "drop" as a result of these issue sand further nationalistic responses as thousands, or millions, die. It's going to be horrific.
I congratulate you on raising this subject. Another aspect that has not been given much coverage is Bee colonies. If they can't fertilise our crops, a combination of crops wilting from the heat is the loss of Bees to produce the next harvest.
Great video, thank you.
Bees are being breeded and shipped around the world and have been for some years. But yes it’s a problem to add to all the others
When food sources becoming scarce, the Western nations will out bid everyone else on foods and those that are being out bid will show up at the Western nations door step. Which is going on now but will increase years after years.
Exactly. It will be quite like WWZ.
@@eriktempelman2097 or like the fall of the Western Roman Empire.
Im wondering what will happen to those regions which are dependent on imported, donated grain paid by EU or US.... this will backfire badly and those are not small amounts decades of aidwork has been helping feed people.
Though one caveat is that western rich nations had for couple decades tendency to outsource raw materials produyction to these places simply coz it was cheaper and they(We?) are richer countries... creating new dependencies and possibly made local communities faraway worse off
Don't worry the process of migration would lead to political changes that would stop mass migration... at least shift towards populist right, though more hardliner leaders are also going to get popularity boost...
We will have to close the borders then.
Thanks for covering this very important topic so well! You are doing very important work.
Thanks Gavin. Much appreciated.
Brilliantly produced and presented as always. Outstanding research. About as good as it gets across the subject matter.
This is the best video I have EVER seen on climate change. So well researched, great explanations and understandable examples. I knew most of this already, yet you managed to terrify me; for people who still need "more proof" this video might just be exactly what they need to change their mind. THANK YOU. Will be sharing this with everyone I know. It's too important not to.
The entire religion of global warming or climate change is based upon one fundamental misapprehension which, if you remove it, causes the entire theory or religion to collapse, and the fundamental misapprehension is that there either is or can be, any such thing as a Global temperature.
It is impossible to talk about a single temperature for something as complicated as the climate of Earth.
A temperature can be defined only for a homogeneous system. Furthermore, the climate is not governed by a single temperature. Rather, differences of temperatures drive the processes and create the storms, sea currents, thunder, etc. which make up the climate.
Planet Earth doesn’t have ‘a temperature’, one figure that says it all. There are oceans, landmasses, ice, the atmosphere, day and night, and seasons. Also, the temperature of Earth never gets to equilibrium: just as it’s starting to warm up on the sunny-side, the sun gets ‘turned off’; and just as it’s starting to cool down on the night-side, the sun gets ‘turned on’. The ‘temperature of Earth’ is therefore as much of a contrived statistic as the GDP of a country. (If the Earth was in equilibrium, that is, if it absorbed and re-emitted the Sun’s radiation perfectly, as a ‘blackbody’, then its rotation would be irrelevant, and the temperature would be a constant 6 ⁰C. Mocking up the effects of Earth’s albedo brings the ‘blackbody’ temperature down to -18 ⁰C, and including greenhouse warming brings it back up to around 15 ⁰C.)
‘The climate’ is difficult to define: is it a trend over one decade, century, or millennium? For what sized region is it defined ? Weather is very variable - how can we go from weather to climate? Furthermore, climate change on human timescales is a very small effect, and the empirical data needed for climate models have large ‘error’ bars.
If you cannot define what is changing, you cannot say it is changing; It is essential to understand that no man apprehend or experience the entire plant -the whole-thing all-at-once. You cannot even sense apprehend experience yourself - he-whole-thing, all-at-once, so how could you possibly experience something as gigantic as the planet on which you live, other than piecemeal and seriatim - little bit after little bit.
If you remove the fallacy that there either is or can be, any such thing as a “Global Temperature” , the entire edifice of climate change and/or global warming, collapses, because it is contingent on the idea that there can be , or is, a “ Global Temperature, which is a thermodynamic and mathematical impossibility.
While it is possible to treat temperature statistically locally, it is meaningless to talk about a global temperature for Earth. The Globe consists of a huge number of components which one cannot just add up and average. That would correspond to calculating the average phone number in the phone book. That is meaningless. Or talking about economics, it does make sense to compare the currency exchange rate of two countries, whereas there is no point in talking about an average 'global exchange rate'.
If temperature decreases at one point and it increases at another, the average will remain the same as before, but it will give rise to an entirely different thermodynamics and thus a different climate. If, for example, it is 10 degrees at one point and 40 degrees at another, the average is 25 degrees. But if instead there is 25 degrees both places, the average is still 25 degrees. These two cases would give rise to two entirely different types of climate, because in the former case one would have pressure differences and strong winds, while in the latter there would be no wind.
A small point: During a La Nina, ocean heat content generally increases because average global sea surface temperature is lower. When surface temperature is higher the ocean looses more heat and cools. Problem with 3 years of La Nina is that vast amounts of heat have accumulated in the ocean and is now being released by the developing El Nino.
That’s a point that very few people grasp. If you’re really into data points, keep your eye on earth energy imbalance. It’s been rising consistently for 20 years and is the indicator for future temp increases. Increase the forcing, temp increases follow. It’s now around 1.8, good luck getting it back to .5 as it was in 2000. Even if you did, +.5 means a steadily warming planet.
@@anabolicamaranth7140 Yes I'm aware of the apparent dramatic increase in the EEI. It's very alarming but has received little media coverage. In addition to that (and related?) is the accelerating rise in atmospheric methane level which doesn't seem to be primarily a direct result of human activity. I think this is all starting to look pretty scary.
The disruption of the Atlantic oscillation for reasons having nothing to do with *Magic CO2* have skewed the data, just as the National Climate Center location within urban heat islands PROVEN 10°F-to-15°F higher than surrounding suburbs has skewed the UN-IPCC climate records as the vociferously deny it. The HOTTEST DAY ON Record! was their Climate Model SIMULATION, just like Mann'scwholly debunked Hockey Stick. The Green MIC will ultimately be more terrible than Vatican's 1000-Year Dark Ages. They will genocide billions of humans while claiming it's CO2, reducing Science© to a Borneo Cargo Cult or a Souix Ghost Dance. That's the 'eat the bitter fruit' end of our brief 500-year Enlightenment and Renaissance!
Methane Hydrates is the result of man made global warming.
@@petewright4640 This is an interesting video on the raising methane gaz levels in the earths atmosphere: ruclips.net/video/72uza9JpT-I/видео.html
Great video, Dave, progressively more difficult to look my kids in the eye.
At least you have a conscience
These are structural problems - NOT YOUR FAULT - no one is steering the ship !!! Even the CEO's are aware but they are stuck with a single task to make profit - if they don't someone else will - Chomsky talks about how F&$ked we are and he shares corridors with a lot of world class climate scientists who speak off-line. I think capitalism is a kind of AI that controls us completely!!!!@@bobcukla6017
@@TobinMiller-wt6yf I don't and decided years ago this planet doesn't need me adding to the population, also I live in a small 4 room house with a composting toilet and haven't been more then 55 miles from my house in 4 years, haven't been on a plane since 1969 , and have donated many thousands to environmental organizations , I'm rooting for the comet . We are the only specie who needs STUFF , we simply don't fit.
look into how animal ag is destroying their future, and the difference a plant based diet makes. how its the only chance they have.
Man the f up. I assume you havent had a hand in any of the advances we have made. Probably a car salesman......
During the lockdowns when all business slowed down, the world witnessed how our planet quickly began to heal itself, skies cleared of smog, murky waters became clear again, vegetation grew, wildlife began to thrive a little. We have the answer to what it takes to heal our planet and save our species, sadly we just cant help ourselves to simply slow down and give the earth some days off. Even machines need downtime for repair, we need downtime, but we will not give our life sustaining ecosystems our planet any downtime, no rest. Such a shame.
My friend Hannibal says not to worry, when there's no food left, we'll still have each other.
I was waiting for this update since last April, so ty! Oh and no need to worry anyhow here in France: Our forward-thinking National Government and main agricultural trade-union have started to dig artificial ponds to be filled with (free) water from the aquifer, so that massive (at France's scale) corn fields can keep producing low cost food for the international livestock markets. See? What could go wrong, they're prepared.
I guess ya need to switch to livestock diet then, contrary to vegan synthetic beef hype for past 10 years.
Not to mention all of the piping being done in Luberon to water…wine grapes WTF
Just have a scream
Thanks for this, I watched it all. The significance is not lost on me. I feel individually, most people I know are cognizant of this but collectively, as a society, we are ignoring it. I work at a university and nobody talks about this because we already know about it. We unfortunately need the global disaster before the penny will drop it seems.
Just have a holler 😅
I wish people would take this as a warning and start taking action
Have you taken any action?
@@khankrum1 I quit buying from Amazon and I used to recycle.not really I don’t drive a car usually
"aww.. cooperative action.... ...Yeah"
Good god I felt that "yeah" in my soul.
The sad thing is in the 1990's we saw this damage. But we kept denying, or ignoring what was happening. Starting 30 years ago the way we are now might have had less drastic impacts, and been easier to implement. Now every year, it needs to be more drastic changes needs to be done, which means it's harder to bring in fixes. And we might have gotten past the point of no return.
I think up until the early 2000’s climate change was quite benign. Some glaciers were melting but the warmer temps probably helped crop production. Further temp increases, on the other hand, will absolutely not increase crop production. I am very confident we are well past the point of no return. The most dangerous thing about climate change is the lag between cause and effect and then another lag before meaningful action.
I'm sorry but President Johnson gave a speech in 1965, the first president to do so stating we need to start controlling or CO2 emissions or were going to make the planet uninhabitable...he was ignored.
We would not be able to feed the over 8 billion people on this planet under the conditions of over 30 years ago. Is it mass starvation and poverty you are hoping for?
@@joemccarthy7120are you referring to global trade and fertilizers + tech? I take main point is while now is decently good, it may change relatively soon and big ways we cannot fully predict.
What do you think has changed in the last 30 years...??
Pest population growth curves get a big bump when you don't have winter dieoffs of pathogens. The population development slope may be the same, but it is simply moved forward on the time axis.
The biggest pest that needs to be controlled is US.
This is why we see dead forests in North America, stretching as far as the eye can see. Bark beetles that used to die off in the winter are now surviving in numbers large enough to kill the trees.
@@incognitotorpedo42 Yep. I've seen the damage in the California Sierra Nevada's. Entire stands of dead standing, and dying tree's from the top down... More and more fuel every year.
@@incognitotorpedo42 Same stuff happens in NE Europe - pretty much all elk trees ("Christmas trees") in my property are dead and luckily if can use in some 2nd hand planks or such (but not real commercial material) that was supposed to stand as "bank" for few decades more.
The pests we need to be rid of are all at Davos once per year
The thing with global hunger is we have more than enough food to feed all of us. The problem is getting all that food to where it's needed.
The big problem however wars among tribes is those areas have to be stopped first. You can't have food safety without order. You can pour billions over the next 100 years into f.e. Africa and the situation will never change. They need to want to stop fighting among eachother first and want to get themselves out of their misery. Giving handouts will never change the situation.
Biggest issue is social one - our society is so used to goalposts moved by interested parties, and changes are critical and behavior changing, there will be huge drag. People would come out and say they want to hear expertise, then will try to do max not to listen to experts if they say something they can't just ignore.
Interested parties are just tapping into this energy - current energy system stakeholders and incredible political power to it. They act on self preservation and interest angle.
Society has to change dramatically to survive this. It remains to be seen if that is capable to do so.
*Video Summary*
0:00 - Intro: Video revisits changes in the ENSO (El Nino-Southern Oscillation) system discussed in April.
0:16 - ENSO Phases: El Niño, La Niña, and neutral phases explained; system was in neutral as of last video.
0:28 - Meteorologists' Classification: El Nino defined based on sea surface temperatures in the Niño 3.4 region.
0:50 - Projections for 2023-2024: Moderate to strong El Nino was expected.
1:12 - Impact of Climate Change: Record high sea surface temperatures globally.
1:32 - Updated Prediction: Stronger-than-expected El Nino; potential for extreme global weather.
2:00 - Consequences: Risks to global food supply network due to extreme weather and El Nino.
2:37 - Thermal Inertia: Oceans slower to react but store more heat, providing a "false sense of security."
3:28 - Ocean Heat Content (OHC): 2021 study shows elevated ocean temperatures despite La Nina conditions.
4:02 - OHC in Perspective: Energy increase compared to Hiroshima bombs.
4:49 - Temperature Anomalies: Sea-surface temperatures described as "off the charts."
5:38 - Extreme Weather Events: Increase in billion-dollar natural disasters.
6:12 - Global Impact: Effects seen globally, including recent events in Libya.
6:30 - Fragility of Food Supply: Risks even to nations with resources and infrastructure.
6:59 - Food Trade: Study on global wheat supply and interconnected agri-food systems.
8:00 - Challenges: Reliance on a few major global producers for food security.
8:49 - Financial Institutions: Barclays’ report on fragility of global food system and "Heatflation."
9:56 - Specific Global Events: Damage to crops in Pakistan, Horn of Africa, and Europe due to various climate events.
*Positive Learnings*
1. *Understanding of ENSO Phases:* The video gives an in-depth look into the El Nino and La Nina phases, helping to understand how they impact global weather patterns. This knowledge can be important for preparing for extreme weather events.
2. *High-Quality Data:* Meteorological organizations had made predictions using robust data, making their projections credible.
3. *Scientific Insights on Thermal Inertia:* Explanation of how oceans' "thermal inertia" slows down climate change impact provides an important perspective for long-term climate planning.
4. *Global Food Supply Network Insights:* The analysis of global food supply stability, especially relating to cereal crops like maize, rice, and wheat, offers actionable information for policymakers.
5. *Awareness of Financial Institutions:* Even financial giants like Barclays are acknowledging the severity of climate change impacts, potentially encouraging greater investments in climate solutions.
*Negative Learnings*
1. *Unprecedented Sea Surface Temperatures:* Record high sea surface temperatures due to climate change, combined with a strong El Nino, could lead to catastrophic global weather events.
2. *Underestimated Strength of Coming El Nino:* Earlier predictions for the strength of the coming El Nino were off, with new data showing it might be stronger than anticipated.
3. *Global Food Supply Vulnerability:* Extreme weather events can disrupt the global food supply network, which has ramifications for food security worldwide.
4. *Financial Costs:* Already, the U.S. has seen billions of dollars in damages due to natural disasters, with the toll expected to rise.
5. *Public Perception Gap:* The ocean's thermal inertia might create a false sense of security, causing underestimation of the urgency required for climate action.
I just swapped anytime I read “el Nino” for “climate change” and it became infinitely more “honest” ✌️
bro used that AI i forgot the name of to make this, still a useful AI summarisation.
What this video really taught, is that humans easily forget observed facts like the Roman warm period and Medieval warm period being warmer than we are today, and that civilizations thrived then.
Climate Alarmism is another in a long list of false religions.
Get a life
@@aldionsylkaj9654a really good use for AI too. If someone knows what it's called tell it here, please
I once heard a climate scientist compare the climate crisis along the lines of... all the nations of the Earth are on the Titanic that is full speed ahead on a course to hit the ice burg and mostly the nations are arguing over who gets the best cabins...
This is why they are changing laws to stuff more bugs in our food, renamed to "Earthen" makes it more palatable sounding.
0:00: 🌊 The ENSO weather and ocean current system in the South Pacific is transitioning from a cooler La Nina phase to a potentially stronger El Nino phase.
6:44: 🌍 The video discusses the long-term impacts of global events on the interconnected food supply network.
9:21: 🌍 Barclays report highlights the fragility of the global food system due to food price volatility and climate change impacts.
12:00: 🌍 Protectionism and reduced exports can lead to food insecurity and declining economies, while the effects of climate change are becoming increasingly undeniable.
Recap by Tammy AI
Im thankful demonstrating a Zetajoule is out of Thunderf00t's hands.😬 We're not all going to make it with 1/2 of my country denying anything is wrong while claiming its space lasers and a few acers of HF megawatt cloud burners in Alaska.
As long as "our" governments continue to please billionaires and wage wars I fear we won't see effective action 😢
What ever happened to the idea of government by the people for the people.
Ask industry lobbyists.
@@sustainablelivingnl773 Not while the WEF are running our govt...
@@sustainablelivingnl773 Republicans don't want that. They would be out of power if there was an actual democracy.
Spot on. No matter the government, they are all puppets of the super rich who only look out for themselves.
Thank you for another great video.
I am currently traveling in Japan and am rather surprised to see how it's business as usual here. I haven't seen any electric cars on the roads. There is a nonchalant attitude towards the impending crisis that is disconcerting.
I wonder if the 2024 promise of greater climate and food supply impact will act as a turning point in world awareness.
Criiss is a much overused term, particularly by those(for whom there is a special term) that suppose that there is a democracy of truth or that believe pasively mechanically because thy suppose their fellow cretins believe, aka the fallacy so beloved of the Elsies argumentum ad populum.
The entire religion of global warming or climate change is based upon one fundamental misapprehension which, if you remove it, causes the entire theory or religion to collapse, and the fundamental misapprehension is that there either is or can be, any such thing as a Global temperature.
It is impossible to talk about a single temperature for something as complicated as the climate of Earth.
A temperature can be defined only for a homogeneous system. Furthermore, the climate is not governed by a single temperature. Rather, differences of temperatures drive the processes and create the storms, sea currents, thunder, etc. which make up the climate.
Planet Earth doesn’t have ‘a temperature’, one figure that says it all. There are oceans, landmasses, ice, the atmosphere, day and night, and seasons. Also, the temperature of Earth never gets to equilibrium: just as it’s starting to warm up on the sunny-side, the sun gets ‘turned off’; and just as it’s starting to cool down on the night-side, the sun gets ‘turned on’. The ‘temperature of Earth’ is therefore as much of a contrived statistic as the GDP of a country. (If the Earth was in equilibrium, that is, if it absorbed and re-emitted the Sun’s radiation perfectly, as a ‘blackbody’, then its rotation would be irrelevant, and the temperature would be a constant 6 ⁰C. Mocking up the effects of Earth’s albedo brings the ‘blackbody’ temperature down to -18 ⁰C, and including greenhouse warming brings it back up to around 15 ⁰C.)
‘The climate’ is difficult to define: is it a trend over one decade, century, or millennium? For what sized region is it defined ? Weather is very variable - how can we go from weather to climate? Furthermore, climate change on human timescales is a very small effect, and the empirical data needed for climate models have large ‘error’ bars.
If you cannot define what is changing, you cannot say it is changing; It is essential to understand that no man apprehend or experience the entire plant -the whole-thing all-at-once. You cannot even sense apprehend experience yourself - he-whole-thing, all-at-once, so how could you possibly experience something as gigantic as the planet on which you live, other than piecemeal and seriatim - little bit after little bit.
If you remove the fallacy that there either is or can be, any such thing as a “Global Temperature” , the entire edifice of climate change and/or global warming, collapses, because it is contingent on the idea that there can be , or is, a “ Global Temperature, which is a thermodynamic and mathematical
impossibility. While it is possible to treat temperature statistically locally, it is meaningless to talk about a global temperature for Earth. The Globe consists of a huge number of components which one cannot just add up and average. That would correspond to calculating the average phone number in the phone book. That is meaningless. Or talking about economics, it does make sense to compare the currency exchange rate of two countries, whereas there is no point in talking about an average 'global exchange rate'.
If temperature decreases at one point and it increases at another, the average will remain the same as before, but it will give rise to an entirely different thermodynamics and thus a different climate. If, for example, it is 10 degrees at one point and 40 degrees at another, the average is 25 degrees. But if instead there is 25 degrees both places, the average is still 25 degrees. These two cases would give rise to two entirely different types of climate, because in the former case one would have pressure differences and strong winds, while in the latter there would be no wind.
All the other credululous hysterical chickens think that the sky is falling, thus so must you eh titch?
As a scientist with a long background in Palaeoanthropology and Palaeoclimates (and as a humanist) I thank you for creating this video.
Food insecurity is one of my major concerns with anthropogenic climate disruption. And the rest. We are already seeing huge movements of desperate dusplaced people across the planet. The Syrian humanitarian crisis initiated with the impact of climate change on food production. Political breakdown is a key warning.
I hope doubtful westerners will start finding videos like these so they can understand that the situation is real and potentially extremely dangerous.
What a cheery submission.... 🧐 But necessary to inform us all of a global view, sadly lacking in our daily news! Much appreciated! 🙏
2023: record amount of flooding
2024: hold my beer.
..cant wait -_-
You do a fantastic job of presenting these complex subjects so well thanks
Thank you so much for making such a useful video. Now everyone around the world needs to pay attention to this problem!!
In the face of this forthcoming super strong El Niño and other global climatic displacements to agriculture, I hope forward-thinking National Governments will see their way to speed investments in mass-scale farming strategies (e.g., greenhouses, aquaculture, etc) where the inputs to grow synthetic protein is 1/10 of current agriculture techniques -- so as to lock in a more predictable food sources for their populations, as well as to aid to the billion or more people who will be displaced by the Global Climate Crisis.
bill gates will be sure to sell us gmo food that will slowly kill us all
Regenerative agriculture is possibly the only way to rescue our food supply and should become mandatory in order to sequester the carbon we keep pushing into the atmosphere
Also, one hopes, rapid developments in water retention, fire suppression, and general disaster mitigation measures.
Trump 2024
so, NOT the United States.
Sobering for those that are aware of what's happening and think CC is real.
To those that don't "believe" in 'observable results", ..nothing to see here,....
Don't forget to VOTE,...
VOTE like Your Life depends on it.
Trump 2024
@@ugiswrong
Well, ..if you want to be ruled by a Gangster from NyNy, ..VOTE, i don't think MOST people do want a Gangster for the President of the United States.
Trump 2024
@@-LightningRod- his mess-iah DOES love the ignorant.
Ignore those trolls Lighting ...@@-LightningRod-
We’re all in this together, but China, the largest producer of greenhouse gases, isn’t required to decrease its emissions. Neither is India, with the world’s largest population.
_Population_
China is 1.412 billion (2021)
India is 1.408 billion (2021)
USA is 331.9 million (2021)
Australia 26 million
_Carbon footprint per capita_
*China is 8.73 tons of CO2 per capita.
*India is 1.9 tons of CO2 per capita.
*USA is a whopping 16 tons of CO2 per capita.
*Australia 15.4 tons of CO2 per capita.
*You're welcome*
“Modern Mammon” was such a quick, beautiful line.
i'm so hopeless i think the fear of dying is the only thing keeping me from kiIl*ng m*seIf but at the same time i feel that is just dragging the inevitable suffering
Too much far left channels to maintain sanity?
Don't listen to the fear mongers. They have been predicting famine and all sorts of climate catastrophes for over 250 years and have always been proven wrong.
A friend of mine did kill himself because he couldn't handle the constant negative news anymore. He left a wife and 2 children. It's not worth it.
We are literally heading towards the Interstellar scenario, where only GMO corn can survive. Monsanto rejoices though.
We should all be grateful for the work this man does.
His sources and citations alone are a rare comfort to a student studying climate change and its social, economic & geopolitical ramifications.
Cheers.
-applause from the back-
I think it would be interesting and scary to see a study of what happens to food prices in the US and Europe with different percentages of crop losses
I bet the USDA has that data
The Midwest US has been amazingly spared from increases in summer temperatures the last 20 years. This year it was only about +.5C vs +1.18C for the planet as a whole. This year was an extreme example but there’s something systemic keeping the Midwest RELATIVELY cool in the summer.
I think it would be scarier to see the impact of carbon taxes, fuel taxes, transportation taxes, grower costs for diesel and crop drying on the COST of food, causing what those in wholesale know as The Death Spiral. Big Retail and AgriBusiness forced to hold costs by squeezing small livestock out of business, while Fed fatwahs and tithes and inflated currency CRUSHES retail discretionary spending, _to where food sits unsold in warehouses,_ backing up the supply chain, distributors and truck transporters going bankrupt and THAT, not bullshit Magic CO2, will cause famine.
Even as mobs and mass migrations pour in with no resources, further CRUSHING food sales, any Media Mullah can set up a Luddite channel and spin wholly synthetic models and pitch catatrophy then call it the New Normal.
The Cult of The Baby Climate Jebeezusand their _paid child actress Greta!_ Sickening ignorant and ultimately, truly anti-Human. _The Global Green Cult is going to genocide BILLIONS of humans._
I predict olive oil will reach 20€/l... in Spain, the largest global producer.
I predict goats will save many lives, they are hardy and cheap.
@@LuisAldamizSpain has been one of the hardest hit countries on the planet. I doubt it will be inhabitable in five years.
Tx for the update on El Nino 2023 / 2024 and the inevitable impacts on food production - very sobering. I've been watching various global events unfold with much anxiety.
Whever I hear about temps reaching 1.5 C above "normal" I auto think irreversible cascading tipping points even if it is only temporary - many ecosystems are already highly stressed due to other human induced factors so even a short temp shock might be enough to trigger something terrible. There are 3 things to watch re climate
- CO2 concentrations at 420 ppm (safe threshold is 350 ppm); methane also dangerously high
- global temps around 1.2 C above "normal" (safe limit is 1.5 C above "normal")
- atmos energy imbalance (I forget the exact term) which is dangerously high now
Also, a new report on the 9 ecological systems shows most have been vastly exceeded. Things are about to get VERY interesting indeed!
Our food system is HIGHLY complex
- we waste a lot of food from farm to fork, sometimes as high as 40%
- much crops produced is used to feed livestock (who live a thoroughly miserable lives, usually on high polluting factory farms, and die a terrible & painful death)
- much of the cost of food is related to expensive farm inputs & machinery, processing, transportation (linked to the price of diesel), refrigeration, storage / warehousing, packaging, marketing & ads, retail expenses etc). Farmers live at the edge of bankruptcy (there's a high rate of suicide among the farming community) while food retailers earn billions in profits
- humans also produce non-food crops like alcohol, tobacco, perfumes & cosmetics, medicines etc
Cities are particularly parasitic when it comes to food. For this reason we need to see more urban agri, such as green roofs, indoor farming, community farming etc.
France is the first country to ban food waste to landfill (where is releases methane) - food must be donated, used as feed for animals or composted.
Much crop production is also used to service debt, especially in developing countries. In Africa, for example, many crops are grown that don't suit conditions with many native species going extinct. There are many African endemic crops that are extremely nutricious & better suited to local conditions.
While there are MANY issues around food & water security (the FAO uses the term food- water- energy- (land-) nexus), there are also MANY solutions
- switch to a more plant-based diet
- waste less
- share more
- urban agri
- switch to crops better suited to local ecological conditions
- switch to restorative agriculture & silvopasture, use water more wisely (most water used for agri) etc
Tx for another awesome video topic. The climate crisis IS an ecological, biodiversity, water, energy, economic, socio- cultural, political & infrastructure crisis. We cannot separate any of these systems as they all interact.
That is a pretty powerful religious argument.
@@joemccarthy7120 Huh?
Just thanks from Belgium.
AS my grandmother said, we’re getting too big for are own britches and too smart for her own good.
That was the best sarcastic expression you’ve made (‘cooperation’). …and I fully agree. Market driven (corporate) capitalism (and competitive greed) is destroying the planet. It’s SO depressing…
I wouldn't say it's all down to "capitalism and competitive greed". Democracy actually plays a part in this. Which Western nations have a 30 year plan? If Biden goes at the next election, expect the reversal of many 'good' policies. Think also about Brazil -the rainforests may be in less danger now since the expulsion of Bolsonaro but it only takes a change in government. Look at the UK -along with a new coal mine, oil and gas exploration, it's now even possibly considering rescinding the ban on ICE vehicles by 2035. China for all its faults, makes a plan and sticks to it.
I have to say that you keep a remarkably equable tone of voice given the gravity of the developing situation.
Here in the UK, everything will be just fine. Both of our business-friendly, capitalistic political parties are delaying any substantial action on climate change, so there cannot be a problem, can there? And the corporate media's message is: don't panic, and whatever you do, don't think socialism and solidarity have anything to offer.
Britain was a lovely warm country in the middle ages and Roman period. It was because of the weather that England is the most invaded country in the world. You could grow crops all year around.
Climate change = 0.2 deg C of global Cooling since 900AD.
Just do some research on historical climate. There is no emergency just profiteers on the CO2 band wagon.
Try reading Blood and Gore and see where the money is going.
Net Zero is bankrupt your country while places like China and India are opening new coal fired power stations weekly. Your children and grand children are the ones who will suffer.
Greetings from Canada! We've been on fire since May, and the air is pretty much always full of smoke. There's also been lots of crop impacts this year from severe weather, so we'll see how it goes. Canada is mostly food self-sufficient, but I have a feeling that'll be threatened without plenty of adaptation and mitigation strategies going forward.
Kansas, USA has a tradition of cereal grain production. Farmers are already in conflict for aquifers because no one thought to preserve runoff. In areas where "water rights" are bought and sold, it is often illegal to block runoff by installing a pond(s). The sinking valleys in CA are a subject for another video.
Crops and growers have been destroyed by flooding and now a hurricane in Atlantic Canada.
But according to people reacting to my comments, there's nothing wrong with the environment.
Actually we are self sufficient in some things, and import a bunch of other things.
Mainly fruits and vegetables that don't grow well here. (poster plant: Bananas)
However, if we began growing food crops within our cities in multistory warehouse like buildings, we would have a lot less food insecurity.
@@jimthain8777 Yeah, I reckon we would do well to build more greenhouses all over the country for increased resiliency with fresh vegetables and the like. And folks might need to adapt to eating more seasonally if certain options became scarce during the winter, etc.
I love you.
Youve hit all the key points Ive been talking about for years.
Not just food insecurity, but the amount of energy required to raise water temps.
Thank you
I love you too rittenhouse! My favourite vigilante haha
@@SamuraiPoohBearI love you too, PoohBear. You'll always be my pookie bear cutie pie 😍
Absolutely agree!!
@@zekiah7 I love you both, zerkia pooh bear.
You are both wonderful trolls
What would we do without people like you?
The co-operative action bit made me spit my tea out, yep... we're doomed alight. 😂
Glad you are covering this, it has been my concern for years now. Already learning to grow food and homesteading techniques. The time to learn how to grow food is not when it is already short
But, the food can't be grown on poisoned soil and with tainted water. Ur just wasting energy growing ur own food to feed yourself poison. It's unavoidable.
So true. And I have a year worth of dehydrated & freeze dried food for my family (10 people, 4 generations) to supplement my large garden I've been working on for years. Plus we only have solar power & our houses are set up to live 100% without power of any kind, including hand pumps on our deep water wells
Fortunately for mankind, predictions of food shortages have been around for more than 50 years, without ever coming true. Just have a look at "the limits to growth" by the Club of Rome in 1972. In reality, the world's food production just keeps on growing and is more dependable then ever!
I don't know how you make such videos, Dave, and stay sane. Thank you.
our human leaders are just terrible.....we are not ready at all....we have been lied to and are asleep.....
Did they teach you that at your drag queen story hour, you know there are only 2 sexes right?🤡🤡🤡
There are non human leaders .. ?