Loving this structure, the avalanche is no joke this year. Curious how far you think Chubb is going to jump up in ADP given the news of his recovery. Would you reach on him? Seems like the potential for a league winning 3rd or 4th RB if he has his best case scenario.
As someone who has not been as immersed in NFL best ball content this year as much as last. This is a great video to try and catch onto the drafting zeitgeist of this year.
@@DepositKingdom sincerely awesome to hear. Go live a little (and be careful to volunteer to be an assistant coach when your little one gets older). Pot committed to coaching a bunch of 6 year old girls a few times a week for 10 months.
I guess my only real question is in redraft home league where they take RB's above adp and fast/early, I'm leaning towards hero RB with Bijan at 3 since he truly has legendary upside
as much as Cook might be overpriced in some rooms, Cook/Davis = discount Gibbs/Monty this year - have loved Davis since pre-draft - he is a steal now with that landing spot
yes, thats why he's 2 rounds cheaper than he'd be otherwise. check out this video for why we can exploit that: ruclips.net/video/CaJ50W7KnwM/видео.htmlsi=1-l-PO9TpuWHmL_x
@@DepositKingdomThat’s what I meant, I don’t like those ADPs, if Nabers drops to the 5-6th then he’s a good pick, I mean even top touted 1st round WR don’t do anything half the time… but I only went back to like 2020 But not one RB in the first 4 rounds… that’s crazy to me… and McBride in the 4th when Andrew’s, Kinkaid, Pitts and Kittle are all going later, espn has Andrew’s above McBride and Kinkade right below him. I’d take a TE in the 5th… a lot of value there… In the 6th I think White, Warren and Moss are better values than Brooks… (with the biggest debate over White being because we only saw what he did in 4 games, but yet Richardson is a star in 4 injury riddled 4 games???… oh and that line for Raiders got so much better with 2 absolute pros in Whitehair and Peat…) I love Brooks’ talent but they are going to slow walk him (per charlotte observer) and the first year of recovery from ACL RBs don’t do well, the Panthers coach was with Seattle for 12 years, and went out and got former first rounder Penny… Sander is on the hook for 7 million and Chubba has the experience there… I love his talent but it might be mid season before he takes over This is getting long, but bottom line is that you just go with what makes sense and other picks make more sense to me
Prefer Godwin to Keenan. Safeish 170 points with upside if Mike loses a few TDs, and if he goes back to the slot like rumored, I really like him here. Have a ton of him.
@@DepositKingdom A year ago I would agree. But, for me, Godwin staying with Baker elevates him over Keenan who is moving to a new team, with a rookie qb, and loads of target competition. It could go either way, for sure.
Agreed, I got heavy into UD last year, especially BBM. First vids I came across were some from Pete, and then ones with the ship chasing crew. I pretty much watch vids from Pete, Pat, and Beimfohr. Add in all the great guests they have throughout the year and you get a good mix of different attitudes, strategies, and build ideas. Throw in a little Mattek for comic relief and it can’t be beat.
Nabers at cost is going to be a bust. Daniel jones is not Eli manning so the Odell comparison falls flat. Their offense was already god awful and now without saquon will be even worse. In home leagues nabers will be a good pick cause he'll go in round 6. But in best ball taking him in 3rd round over proven stars like DK metcalf or DJ moore is nuts to me
@DepositKingdom fair enough Eli was coming off a bad year but Eli still averaged 25 tds over his career and threw for a decent amount of yards. Daniel jones career year in passing TDs is 15. Nabers is their only threat so will face constant double coverage. Betting on a rookie WR on a likely bottom 5 nfl offense is a risky proposition especially in 3rd round. If nabers was going 4th or 5th then would be different but taking him over DK especially with the new OC and being a massive end zone target I never will get. Nabers over/under on tds for season on UD and sportsbook is 4.5 Tds. They are not in business of losing and in a half pt ppr site where touchdowns are king he's being overvalued greatly.
@Gogi2Fresh LOL what a stupid comment. I've watched that clown like 7 times and each video he says repeatedly " I won 100k playing fantasy, I won 100k playing fantasy, I won 100k playing fantasy" and I turn it off. Believe it or not you don't have to have a youtube channel to have your own original player takes. If that's what Mason is saying about nabers he is also correct.
I love taking 3 qbs in the last 4 rounds on dk. They have just as much upside as any pick in those rounds. Bonix, oconnel, russ! It's criminal taking those late qbs!
@@DepositKingdom That would give me hope if Nick Mullens was resigned and was the early season starter and not Darnold before McCarthy takes over. We have seen star WRs like Smith, Hopkins, Moss and Fitzgerald hit rock bottom due to QB play so I will always be hesitant to call a WR QB proof especially with a limited 4 game sample size. It might give one a thought at taking JJ over the likes of ARSB, Bijan or Hall in round 1. Out of all the round 1 WRs he has the worst QB throwing to him.
Daniels has only topped 15 TDs once and over 3000 yards twice… Daniels played with 1st round pick Engram, and Engram had his best years by far at 28 after leaving NY Same with Shepard, 2nd round pick who had his worst numbers with Daniels same with Golloday… He makes people worse because he’s so bad… he had lots of guys in their prime and couldn’t do anything, like dump it off to Barkley… His line is projected to be 4th to last per pro football focus… Nabers would need to be so out of this world good to over come a team with a horrible line, no Barkley, and a QB who drags players down, oh, and is coming off an injury… There is also the style of play in college, at LSU it was primarily one read… and wait to throw open or run… that’s why he was 3rd in target share in the NFL (but that’s not necessarily a bad thing)… Fan duel compared his stats and everything almost across the board to Jamar Chase… and Slate is calling him a chase clone… but Chase had Joe… and he still didn’t go crazy… Nabers in the 5th or 6th makes sense
@@Artilleryfrost no it’s built on logic, ceiling is part of logic… which player logically has the highest ceiling, you use logic to figure out the hight of the ceiling
@@Thoughtpologetics you are telling me that one of the best WR prospects in the last 10 years that went 6th overall doesnt have one of the highest ceilings? You realize this video is about bestball ADPs right?
also I just want to say that the Ray Davis bull case makes me gag the goal line back for the Bills is Josh Allen, there’s not too much there for Davis, and Cook owns all the between the 20s work on all three downs Ray Davis’s ceiling is 7 fantasy ppg
Can we please stop with the "if x gets hurt he's an absolute smash" No kidding! That only applies to what, pretty every single RB/wr/te2??? Wow, if najee gets hurt warren would be a smash. Cool. Didn't know that.
um, absolutely not. contingent upside is a huge part of these tournaments and understanding which players would fully take the job vs. see a modest boost in usage is v important
@@DepositKingdomas far as paying off their ADP, it pretty much applies to almost any rb1/rb2 with maybe a few exceptions. Injuries are also totally random, and I would guess at least some of it is already priced in. I guess you could say it's not properly priced in, but no one ever really says that. It's always "if something happens to.......his backup is a smash"
@@DepositKingdomscanning the depth charts id estimate about 75% or more of them have a very clear #2 rb who would totally smash adp "if something happens" to the top guy. There's also some chance the #2 just sucks or gets hurt himself too. To me it seems like a lot of it is priced in already.
@@mm-gp9ot the diff of what happens to corum if kyren goes down vs. what happens to the colts backfield if jt goes down is wildly diff, corum would be a smash, the colts backups wouldnt, we dont even know who it is lol, so thats the pt
"A te pick like Kyle Pitts or George Kittle" how dare you put them together. Pitts had been trash since being drafted, and no, it's not all the QB play. Anyone who takes Pitts before round 14 deserves to lose their money
@@DepositKingdom you mean the line about how you could draft this other guy instead and be fine. Even though that guy has been one of the worst picks you could have made at his adp every year of his career so far.....
💸 Sign up with promo code Pete to claim your special pick + 1st time deposit offer up to $250 in bonus cash ➝ play.underdogfantasy.com/p-pete-overzet
Know you said 16k but it's 19k now for your last video, congrats on the growth man! Love to see it
Click charbs, click lloyd, print
thanks man
Loving this structure, the avalanche is no joke this year. Curious how far you think Chubb is going to jump up in ADP given the news of his recovery. Would you reach on him? Seems like the potential for a league winning 3rd or 4th RB if he has his best case scenario.
i think he could be a big riser, i have no problem chasing him up into 120s but mainly want to grab him now and then chill out pre rise
As someone who has not been as immersed in NFL best ball content this year as much as last. This is a great video to try and catch onto the drafting zeitgeist of this year.
love to hear it
Have you ever used that surfboard in your background Pete. Honestly really wondering??
after ever vid brother
@@DepositKingdom sincerely awesome to hear. Go live a little (and be careful to volunteer to be an assistant coach when your little one gets older). Pot committed to coaching a bunch of 6 year old girls a few times a week for 10 months.
i feel so good bc i'm drafting a lot of most of these guys - ty for today's validation
🤝
Do you still like all the WRs in Round 2 better than Gibbs if he falls to Round 2.
ya, bc i think achane and gibbs are similar bets and would prefer the wr in rd2 and then achane rd 3 as opposed to the inverse
Need to get that Zeke exposure up. Best pick in round 11. Great video Pete!
i took him in a puppy today for you
Pete you are becoming a Best Ball God... ''The Overzet Tablets'. Lets Fuckin Go!!!!!
lol thanks Sammy
Does this count for redraft? or will you put any out for redraft?
I guess my only real question is in redraft home league where they take RB's above adp and fast/early, I'm leaning towards hero RB with Bijan at 3 since he truly has legendary upside
yes i would definitely make that shift for redraft bc you can get so many of the rookie wrs much cheaper
Great video Pete. Now you need to get this exact team in 1 draft. Imagine if this 3-7-7-1 combo shipped it, after giving the answers to the test.
haha i should
Brb I’m drafting this whole team rn
don't dupe me bro
Great vid keep em coming
🫡
I almost couldn’t like this because you’re sharing the secrets on Olave. The WR thirst is only getting worse! 😊
my bad
great stuff as usual - i will forgive the shade at Watson & Jamo bc the much-needed sanity on JSN outweighs it ❤
love it peter. solidarity on 17/18 with the exception of jaxon stinks njigba
tough but fair
Great vid Pete 👍🏼
🫡
Another great show Pete! ☕️☕️
🙌
as much as Cook might be overpriced in some rooms, Cook/Davis = discount Gibbs/Monty this year - have loved Davis since pre-draft - he is a steal now with that landing spot
that's a fun comp
I have 0% Olave and I’m not mad about it
you'll be sad tho
Peter overzet I am 40% Gus Edwards and 30% nix plz pray for me
im praying bigly
Isn’t Rice going to be suspended?
yes, thats why he's 2 rounds cheaper than he'd be otherwise. check out this video for why we can exploit that: ruclips.net/video/CaJ50W7KnwM/видео.htmlsi=1-l-PO9TpuWHmL_x
Scream it from the mountain tops, its PETER BLAH BLAH BLAH!!!
great bit ross!
Bob Loblaw?
I can’t get behind a lot of these picks… especially at the spot you think they are good picks at
well the spot is adp so it's where the market is taking them
@@DepositKingdomThat’s what I meant, I don’t like those ADPs, if Nabers drops to the 5-6th then he’s a good pick, I mean even top touted 1st round WR don’t do anything half the time… but I only went back to like 2020
But not one RB in the first 4 rounds… that’s crazy to me… and McBride in the 4th when Andrew’s, Kinkaid, Pitts and Kittle are all going later, espn has Andrew’s above McBride and Kinkade right below him. I’d take a TE in the 5th… a lot of value there…
In the 6th I think White, Warren and Moss are better values than Brooks… (with the biggest debate over White being because we only saw what he did in 4 games, but yet Richardson is a star in 4 injury riddled 4 games???… oh and that line for Raiders got so much better with 2 absolute pros in Whitehair and Peat…) I love Brooks’ talent but they are going to slow walk him (per charlotte observer) and the first year of recovery from ACL RBs don’t do well, the Panthers coach was with Seattle for 12 years, and went out and got former first rounder Penny… Sander is on the hook for 7 million and Chubba has the experience there… I love his talent but it might be mid season before he takes over
This is getting long, but bottom line is that you just go with what makes sense and other picks make more sense to me
I’ll pass on Nabers until round 4….historically even elite wr in bottom 5 offenses have only a 12% chance of being a top 24.
he aint ever falling to rd 4 haha
@@DepositKingdom he should be
Pete setting up the audience for land mines 😂
these comments always sting harder from the gym selfie guys
Hfsp
@@DepositKingdomself reflection is a bitch...pun intended
Prefer Godwin to Keenan. Safeish 170 points with upside if Mike loses a few TDs, and if he goes back to the slot like rumored, I really like him here. Have a ton of him.
godwin is fine just a shakier bet than keenan, keenan has never had spells where he didn't command a ton of targets like godwin has
@@DepositKingdom A year ago I would agree. But, for me, Godwin staying with Baker elevates him over Keenan who is moving to a new team, with a rookie qb, and loads of target competition. It could go either way, for sure.
@@ETL1151plus Keenan just turned 32. Doubt he makes it through the whole season
Godwin clears Keenan to me. His increase in slot usage this year will make him go crazy
Rookie qbs rarely support 1 top 30 wr..but for some reason everyone expects the bears to support 3...I don't get it lol
That AJ Brown fade
im scared
@@DepositKingdom hide under a 4% exposure blanket
Love ray davis
🤝
31% Ray Davis highest owned player currently..a little Bills fan bias caked in I'll admit haha
Another quality video from Peter. The most helpful bestball content poster around
🙌
Agreed, I got heavy into UD last year, especially BBM. First vids I came across were some from Pete, and then ones with the ship chasing crew. I pretty much watch vids from Pete, Pat, and Beimfohr. Add in all the great guests they have throughout the year and you get a good mix of different attitudes, strategies, and build ideas. Throw in a little Mattek for comic relief and it can’t be beat.
Good players to pick for sure, but the ADP doesn't match ESPN at all, these recommendations are for best ball, not redraft.
correct: "From the Round 1 layups to the deep sleepers in Round 18, here are the best picks in every single round of drafts on Underdog Fantasy."
Nabers at cost is going to be a bust. Daniel jones is not Eli manning so the Odell comparison falls flat. Their offense was already god awful and now without saquon will be even worse. In home leagues nabers will be a good pick cause he'll go in round 6. But in best ball taking him in 3rd round over proven stars like DK metcalf or DJ moore is nuts to me
it's actually a really good comp, ppl HATED eli that year. no one wanted anything to do w odell bc they were convinced the offense would stink
@DepositKingdom fair enough Eli was coming off a bad year but Eli still averaged 25 tds over his career and threw for a decent amount of yards. Daniel jones career year in passing TDs is 15. Nabers is their only threat so will face constant double coverage. Betting on a rookie WR on a likely bottom 5 nfl offense is a risky proposition especially in 3rd round. If nabers was going 4th or 5th then would be different but taking him over DK especially with the new OC and being a massive end zone target I never will get. Nabers over/under on tds for season on UD and sportsbook is 4.5 Tds. They are not in business of losing and in a half pt ppr site where touchdowns are king he's being overvalued greatly.
@@davem7173were you just gonna plagiarize everything Mason said or do you have any thoughts of your own on this matter?
@Gogi2Fresh LOL what a stupid comment. I've watched that clown like 7 times and each video he says repeatedly " I won 100k playing fantasy, I won 100k playing fantasy, I won 100k playing fantasy" and I turn it off. Believe it or not you don't have to have a youtube channel to have your own original player takes. If that's what Mason is saying about nabers he is also correct.
I love taking 3 qbs in the last 4 rounds on dk. They have just as much upside as any pick in those rounds. Bonix, oconnel, russ! It's criminal taking those late qbs!
yup great year for lrqb
Disagree about Jefferson being QB proof as we've seen many great WRs have a season tank due to bad QB play.
did you see what he did w nick mullens last year?
@@DepositKingdom That would give me hope if Nick Mullens was resigned and was the early season starter and not Darnold before McCarthy takes over. We have seen star WRs like Smith, Hopkins, Moss and Fitzgerald hit rock bottom due to QB play so I will always be hesitant to call a WR QB proof especially with a limited 4 game sample size. It might give one a thought at taking JJ over the likes of ARSB, Bijan or Hall in round 1. Out of all the round 1 WRs he has the worst QB throwing to him.
Jaxon Smith Njigba too smol
wait until you hear how lil tyler lockett is
Good ole back door Bo
always there in a time of need
Helllo Peter
hi andrew
Justin Jefferson I agree
🤝
No Ladd Mcmonkey??? 🙈🙉🙊
nah, i think he's overpriced
Daniels has only topped 15 TDs once and over 3000 yards twice…
Daniels played with 1st round pick Engram, and Engram had his best years by far at 28 after leaving NY
Same with Shepard, 2nd round pick who had his worst numbers with Daniels same with Golloday…
He makes people worse because he’s so bad… he had lots of guys in their prime and couldn’t do anything, like dump it off to Barkley…
His line is projected to be 4th to last per pro football focus…
Nabers would need to be so out of this world good to over come a team with a horrible line, no Barkley, and a QB who drags players down, oh, and is coming off an injury…
There is also the style of play in college, at LSU it was primarily one read… and wait to throw open or run… that’s why he was 3rd in target share in the NFL (but that’s not necessarily a bad thing)…
Fan duel compared his stats and everything almost across the board to Jamar Chase… and Slate is calling him a chase clone… but Chase had Joe… and he still didn’t go crazy…
Nabers in the 5th or 6th makes sense
nabers being out of this world good is the bet, he was an out of this world prospect. it would be weirder if he wasn't
@@DepositKingdom hey man, on a game built on the most logical outcome, that’s a huge leap of faith
@@Thoughtpologetics but its not a game built on the most logical outcome its a game built on ceiling. This game is only worth it if you hit the nuts
@@Artilleryfrost no it’s built on logic, ceiling is part of logic… which player logically has the highest ceiling, you use logic to figure out the hight of the ceiling
@@Thoughtpologetics you are telling me that one of the best WR prospects in the last 10 years that went 6th overall doesnt have one of the highest ceilings? You realize this video is about bestball ADPs right?
love the video pete but some of this picks🤮Also you should do a worst picks video too
send me ur favorites and ill have a head start for the worst pick video
Based😂
Damn, Matteks takes are rubbing off on you
mattek gets his takes from me
@@DepositKingdom*Taeks
Mcbride and nabers are terrible picks and value
but you love the ray davis one?!
@@DepositKingdom never said anything about ray davis. I only have 8%
2% zeke elliot is disrespectful
i know, it should be zero
@@DepositKingdom repent
i’ve been getting a lot of keenan allen fluff from creators I listen to, my 4% keenan exposure and 20% odunze exposure is starting to worry me
also I just want to say that the Ray Davis bull case makes me gag
the goal line back for the Bills is Josh Allen, there’s not too much there for Davis, and Cook owns all the between the 20s work on all three downs
Ray Davis’s ceiling is 7 fantasy ppg
The slot role in Waldrons offense was pretty underwhelming for fantasy last year (JSN)
i don't think they have to be mutually exclusive
i don't think u realize how low the bar is for davis to clear at that price, latavius had 4tds last year & he is awful
Nice video.. give me deebo over olave #PurdyPilled
ya he's my 2nd there
Wanted to troll but you correctly put McBride so I'll let it slide
mcgronk
@@DepositKingdom youre goddamn right
Can we please stop with the "if x gets hurt he's an absolute smash"
No kidding! That only applies to what, pretty every single RB/wr/te2???
Wow, if najee gets hurt warren would be a smash. Cool. Didn't know that.
um, absolutely not. contingent upside is a huge part of these tournaments and understanding which players would fully take the job vs. see a modest boost in usage is v important
@@DepositKingdomas far as paying off their ADP, it pretty much applies to almost any rb1/rb2 with maybe a few exceptions. Injuries are also totally random, and I would guess at least some of it is already priced in. I guess you could say it's not properly priced in, but no one ever really says that. It's always "if something happens to.......his backup is a smash"
@@DepositKingdomscanning the depth charts id estimate about 75% or more of them have a very clear #2 rb who would totally smash adp "if something happens" to the top guy.
There's also some chance the #2 just sucks or gets hurt himself too. To me it seems like a lot of it is priced in already.
@@mm-gp9ot the diff of what happens to corum if kyren goes down vs. what happens to the colts backfield if jt goes down is wildly diff, corum would be a smash, the colts backups wouldnt, we dont even know who it is lol, so thats the pt
"A te pick like Kyle Pitts or George Kittle" how dare you put them together. Pitts had been trash since being drafted, and no, it's not all the QB play. Anyone who takes Pitts before round 14 deserves to lose their money
i love how you took a random line in a video about 18 picks who wasn't one of the 18 picks to make your comment about lol
@@DepositKingdom you mean the line about how you could draft this other guy instead and be fine. Even though that guy has been one of the worst picks you could have made at his adp every year of his career so far.....
RB1 in cheap clothing is 🤌
🐑🐑🐑