My best counter argument for your prediction, is that there’s evidence that LLM AI is slowing down. It’s advanced. It certainly seems possible it could plateau.
I disagree. AI is overhyped. We are going to hit an asymptote, no matter how much you scale compute. We are running out of data and generating new quality data is a NP hard problem. Bruh all AI is just polynomial curve fitting on existing data and most of the data is dogshit.
From what I can tell it's in the early stages but it is advancing. I'm a back-end engineer and I can put "Convert this from Java to Python" and it does it with little errors. It may take time but I can see it little by little taking over.
Well, we were supposed to have self-driving semis by now, and we're not even close. There are still lots of counter-balancing forces to create equilibriums. Under capitalist democracies, the disenfranchised masses can vote to tax the elites and redistribute wealth. Skyscrapers can be built that allow more people to live on the same amount of land. The oceanic resources are still largely untapped - we can build new islands and bridges to make a more connected world. The coolest counter-balancing force I like the most is the DIY movement. Why do I have to buy everything that was made in a factory. Why can't I just make it myself in my own garage workshop. Why can't I make my own computer chips in my own semiconductor foundry in my garage? Of course things will change but I think we'll be fine.
We still need subject matter experts to ensure AI's accuracy and validity. AI's too stupid to solve edge cases, and achieving full accuracy. Thats why self driving cars is hard to solve, even after a decade of Musk announcing "breakthroughs".
IMHO: If you can't beat them, join them! Fuel the AI takeover. We need to 10x the infrastructure and data inputs needed for our AI oligarchs. Building decentralized open-source and independent data centers/networks for decentralized economies are also key.
15:50 you probably have 5 yrs; get real estate. Land will still be valuable going forward no matter what 16:30 now is not the time to be lazy; ai will likely destroy capitalism
Hey man! Just had some input I religiously followed the never explain philosophy and honestly it’s very bad. Here is why If you do something rude to someone on accident, for example I was doing sales and I rang her door bell 10x thinking it wasn’t working. She said now why did you ring my doorbell 10x? Do I just own being a total D-Head? No. I said oh my bad I thought it wasn’t working. She laughed and I continued selling her -- Second senerio. If you do something weak. Explaining it makes you look alpha. For example I am wearing a $5 shirt, I am wearing a $5 shirt, it feels the same and I’m budgeting well. The second one feels a lot more powerful. -- If you’re arguing or debating and someone accuses your channel of being bad and you explain how it’s helped X amount of people. That maintains your alpha status. If you just let him say that and don’t defend it then he will destroy you And by proving him wrong you also one up him. - This is my experience and take. I feel so free now that I let go of this rule. Hope this helps
It's a scary prospect, for sure.. I feel like it's definitely possible. I'm still waiting to see how good GPT5 is going to be before speculating on the timeline, though. Maybe the rate of improvement of the current technology is going to plateau, and they will hit diminishing returns. I'm personally afraid of human intelligence, AI, and being replaced. I'm afraid of what will happen to me when my economic value plummets. At the same time, if my job isn't safe anymore, then it means that most jobs aren't safe either. Everybody is going to be in the same boat. I like to think that we can change things as a society if things get bad.. On the other hand, I can't help but think it's kinda fucked up that my response to this amazing new technological advance is fear and the scarcity mindset. The upsides are potentially insane. I feel like this is actually a sign that our current society/model is fucked up. There's something profoundly wrong with a world where a good thing happening is terrifying to me. We have lost track of what is important in life.
You have lost track, not "we." Many of us are excited about free doctors, free accountants, free lawyers, free nurses, etc. We just need robotics to catch up so that we can have robotic farmers and building constructors. The scary thing is not the economic component. The scary part is that it becomes uncontrollable superintelligence that decides it is better to not have biological humanity in existence.
Here's a different take: AI will make many current jobs obsolete as you said, but capitalism will not die just transform. Everyone will have a universal basic income (UBI). Food, electricity and tech will become dirt cheap. But some things will also become immensely expensive: travel to exotic, not crowded places , real estate/land in exclusive locations, unique items, rare materials. People will also start with space tourism, colonizing Mars etc. And if you want any of these extra perks, you'll need more money than UBI. And what jobs will be left to make money? Actually most of science (physics, biology, astronomy, chemistry...) and arts. Also new jobs will be created, imagine something like AI managers and testers. People that will direct AI into the right directions, QA control and market analysis by having people give their preferences/explain problems. And I also believe this discussion is more of a 50+ year time frame to be honest. I understand the excitement of the last 1.5 years, it's truly crazy what is now possible. Progress over the next few years in AI will be mind blowing as well, but eventually progress simply will hit some barriers which will take longer to overcome. I'll happily be proven wrong though (happily because I actually look forward to this future). Edit: Writing this I wonder if people had similar discussions at the beginning of the industrial revolution. ‘Factories will make jobs obsolete.’ 😅
I think your take is pretty realistic. All of this stuff doesn't just happen in 5 years. It happens over a long period of time. I'm not interested in Mars though. I don't really get the fascination. Earth seems so much more exotic. But maybe just using VR to go to Space will be good enough.
Perhaps you are in a bubble and your interactions with jobs are limited. I own a blue collar business and interact with a variety of jobs Ai won’t replace. For example: construction workers, plumbers, arborists, electricians, movers, barbers, garbagemen, maids, sales reps, policemen, firemen, maintenance workers, landscapers, K-12 teachers, therapists, personal trainers, truckers, mechanics… Some of those jobs have been “threatened” for decades now and yet they keep on trucking. (Pun intended.) I could list a hundred more without googling. We are nowhere near Ai taking jobs. The “just you wait!” phrases and “if you think you’re safe you’re not” terms are extremely cliche at this point.
@@justinchamberlain3443 pessimist and nihilistic title yet he proclaims to be “mindset” channel, he could have said plan for ai he lost a new sub with this one
What are some optimistic scenarios towards AI? and surely governments wouldn't just let whole world basically fall apart and not intervene??? Certainly is a scary thought though.....
The optimistic scenario is the economic issue. The scary thing is a superintelligence that is capable of destroying biological humanity and is outside of our own control.
I'm a software developer. AI tooling is augmenting me and making me better/more efficient. I get tasks done quicker. This means companies need less people like me to develop their products/solutions. As AI gets better, only a fraction of the people will be needed compared to today. Eventualy I'll no longer be needed, sorry this is reality.
People said the same thing about higher order languages and look what happened, the opposite. It will only accelerate growth of humanity, but not reduce amount of software developer jobs. Unless we are talking very long-term like 50+ years, then maybe, anything is possible in that timeframe
Please make more videos on this topic, super helpful!
My best counter argument for your prediction, is that there’s evidence that LLM AI is slowing down. It’s advanced. It certainly seems possible it could plateau.
I see it exactly the same way.
A good book about this subject is called the end of work by jeremy rifkin
I disagree. AI is overhyped. We are going to hit an asymptote, no matter how much you scale compute. We are running out of data and generating new quality data is a NP hard problem. Bruh all AI is just polynomial curve fitting on existing data and most of the data is dogshit.
This is a good take, except that the current level of AI, combined with robotics is enough to eliminate most jobs.
@@BulldogMindsetV2😂 Not even close brother.
@@Jake-Day maybe 'most' is not 100% correct, but considering we are very much at the start of this and it is already as far as it is ....
From what I can tell it's in the early stages but it is advancing.
I'm a back-end engineer and I can put "Convert this from Java to Python" and it does it with little errors.
It may take time but I can see it little by little taking over.
@@chrisbaca3997 that's not impressive. what about please optimize this code with simd and offload it to cuda and opencl gpu cores
Well, we were supposed to have self-driving semis by now, and we're not even close. There are still lots of counter-balancing forces to create equilibriums. Under capitalist democracies, the disenfranchised masses can vote to tax the elites and redistribute wealth. Skyscrapers can be built that allow more people to live on the same amount of land. The oceanic resources are still largely untapped - we can build new islands and bridges to make a more connected world. The coolest counter-balancing force I like the most is the DIY movement. Why do I have to buy everything that was made in a factory. Why can't I just make it myself in my own garage workshop. Why can't I make my own computer chips in my own semiconductor foundry in my garage? Of course things will change but I think we'll be fine.
Very informative, more on this topic please, how to evolve in these times
We still need subject matter experts to ensure AI's accuracy and validity. AI's too stupid to solve edge cases, and achieving full accuracy. Thats why self driving cars is hard to solve, even after a decade of Musk announcing "breakthroughs".
also in regard to llms we are already running out of good data to feed it and if you feed it bad date it seizes to function correctly
IMHO: If you can't beat them, join them! Fuel the AI takeover. We need to 10x the infrastructure and data inputs needed for our AI oligarchs. Building decentralized open-source and independent data centers/networks for decentralized economies are also key.
15:50 you probably have 5 yrs; get real estate. Land will still be valuable going forward no matter what
16:30 now is not the time to be lazy; ai will likely destroy capitalism
The car background noise and the video vibration makes this so much more eerie and epic lol
Hey man! Just had some input
I religiously followed the never explain philosophy and honestly it’s very bad. Here is why
If you do something rude to someone on accident, for example I was doing sales and I rang her door bell 10x thinking it wasn’t working.
She said now why did you ring my doorbell 10x?
Do I just own being a total D-Head? No. I said oh my bad I thought it wasn’t working. She laughed and I continued selling her
--
Second senerio. If you do something weak. Explaining it makes you look alpha.
For example
I am wearing a $5 shirt,
I am wearing a $5 shirt, it feels the same and I’m budgeting well.
The second one feels a lot more powerful.
--
If you’re arguing or debating and someone accuses your channel of being bad and you explain how it’s helped X amount of people. That maintains your alpha status. If you just let him say that and don’t defend it then he will destroy you
And by proving him wrong you also one up him.
-
This is my experience and take. I feel so free now that I let go of this rule.
Hope this helps
It's a scary prospect, for sure.. I feel like it's definitely possible. I'm still waiting to see how good GPT5 is going to be before speculating on the timeline, though. Maybe the rate of improvement of the current technology is going to plateau, and they will hit diminishing returns.
I'm personally afraid of human intelligence, AI, and being replaced. I'm afraid of what will happen to me when my economic value plummets. At the same time, if my job isn't safe anymore, then it means that most jobs aren't safe either. Everybody is going to be in the same boat. I like to think that we can change things as a society if things get bad..
On the other hand, I can't help but think it's kinda fucked up that my response to this amazing new technological advance is fear and the scarcity mindset. The upsides are potentially insane. I feel like this is actually a sign that our current society/model is fucked up. There's something profoundly wrong with a world where a good thing happening is terrifying to me. We have lost track of what is important in life.
You have lost track, not "we." Many of us are excited about free doctors, free accountants, free lawyers, free nurses, etc.
We just need robotics to catch up so that we can have robotic farmers and building constructors.
The scary thing is not the economic component. The scary part is that it becomes uncontrollable superintelligence that decides it is better to not have biological humanity in existence.
Here's a different take:
AI will make many current jobs obsolete as you said, but capitalism will not die just transform. Everyone will have a universal basic income (UBI). Food, electricity and tech will become dirt cheap. But some things will also become immensely expensive: travel to exotic, not crowded places , real estate/land in exclusive locations, unique items, rare materials. People will also start with space tourism, colonizing Mars etc. And if you want any of these extra perks, you'll need more money than UBI.
And what jobs will be left to make money? Actually most of science (physics, biology, astronomy, chemistry...) and arts. Also new jobs will be created, imagine something like AI managers and testers. People that will direct AI into the right directions, QA control and market analysis by having people give their preferences/explain problems.
And I also believe this discussion is more of a 50+ year time frame to be honest. I understand the excitement of the last 1.5 years, it's truly crazy what is now possible. Progress over the next few years in AI will be mind blowing as well, but eventually progress simply will hit some barriers which will take longer to overcome. I'll happily be proven wrong though (happily because I actually look forward to this future).
Edit: Writing this I wonder if people had similar discussions at the beginning of the industrial revolution. ‘Factories will make jobs obsolete.’ 😅
Read a quarter of your post. Travel will get dramatically cheaper, especially with robotaxi.
I think your take is pretty realistic. All of this stuff doesn't just happen in 5 years. It happens over a long period of time. I'm not interested in Mars though. I don't really get the fascination. Earth seems so much more exotic. But maybe just using VR to go to Space will be good enough.
@@JoeBudd-Dhaha I dont get the fascination either, but eventually rich people will run out of exclusive experiences and then space travel will come
I really enjoy this kind of video
Perhaps you are in a bubble and your interactions with jobs are limited. I own a blue collar business and interact with a variety of jobs Ai won’t replace. For example: construction workers, plumbers, arborists, electricians, movers, barbers, garbagemen, maids, sales reps, policemen, firemen, maintenance workers, landscapers, K-12 teachers, therapists, personal trainers, truckers, mechanics…
Some of those jobs have been “threatened” for decades now and yet they keep on trucking. (Pun intended.)
I could list a hundred more without googling. We are nowhere near Ai taking jobs.
The “just you wait!” phrases and “if you think you’re safe you’re not” terms are extremely cliche at this point.
How are you gonna call yourself a mindset channel then come up with a demotivating title like this my man
@@justinchamberlain3443 pessimist and nihilistic title yet he proclaims to be “mindset” channel, he could have said plan for ai he lost a new sub with this one
What are some optimistic scenarios towards AI? and surely governments wouldn't just let whole world basically fall apart and not intervene???
Certainly is a scary thought though.....
The optimistic scenario is the economic issue. The scary thing is a superintelligence that is capable of destroying biological humanity and is outside of our own control.
I'm a software developer. AI tooling is augmenting me and making me better/more efficient. I get tasks done quicker. This means companies need less people like me to develop their products/solutions. As AI gets better, only a fraction of the people will be needed compared to today. Eventualy I'll no longer be needed, sorry this is reality.
People said the same thing about higher order languages and look what happened, the opposite. It will only accelerate growth of humanity, but not reduce amount of software developer jobs. Unless we are talking very long-term like 50+ years, then maybe, anything is possible in that timeframe