In Conversation with Yogendra Yadav| BBC News India
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- Опубликовано: 9 июн 2024
- Opposition politician and Narendra Modi critic on what the election results mean for him.
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Finally YY is being heard again. Good for him.
Arguably one of the best poll analyst, a part of the gold-standard CSDS-Lokniti analyses from long ago...
There are no words to describe this political genius, and if it wasn’t for Arvind Kejriwal and his greed for power, YY would be at the helm. Thank you BBC, you picked the right man.👏👏👏
He is a wise man
He even proved Prashant Kishor wrong
Yes PEREIRA! thats why he introduces himself as YY. Not wise, Smart guy, I would call.... like many Prakash Rajus
That was first time ever
Who is hell is Prashant?? His days of reading and prediction is over...The India Alliance proved he is just a big mouth...and don't need his goofy expertise...He has political ambitions and can be a danger to the Alliance...Better they keep him away...anyway his image has also taken a beating..like Modi...
As Yogendra said ..The India Alliance should stick together and seal the bond and don't allow MODI or his henchmen to infiltrate or make any inroads into any of the alliance parties or individuals in every state... especially were state elections are due...Build on the momentum and work just more harder to win in Maharastra.. Jharkhand and Haryana... double down and win as many Bi polls both Assy and loksabha seats...Dig in and bury the BJP at every seat...not even a sniff...The alliance should rather now sniff at BJP and allies... But seize these moments and keep the election mode and campaign just like how they did esp in TN .UP and Maharashtra...use all the social media tools and grass root workers and The Alliance leaders who shone in the 2024 Lok sabha elections...Don't let the opportunity pass with satisfaction...get back on the streets and blitz campaign and take huge advantages of the sentiments of the voters while it lasts...Also build up new leadership at MP.. Himachal..Andhra.and in other states were they are less in Assy and Lok Sabha seats...start seriously NOW.....
@@manoalex6575 because of him tmc won
YY is outstanding in every respect. He speaks sensibly for all parties as per the situation and doesn't cook up anything. Salutations to him. We love to hear him always.
Honest to the core, a clear thinker, objective, Yogendra Yadav, is a rare ggem, whose analysis is correct, and one can trust. Great respect and regards to YY.
🙏❤️💐🙏
Anynidea who is funding this.honest man
Sir you are great.
Yogendra Yadav - humble gentleman who really did proper research & groundwork before predicting the results...
Huge respect to 🙏 Mr Yogendra Yadav🙏...
He is 100 %accurate poll analyst
He clearly proved that Prashant Kishor is nothing but a cheap paid analyst with his accurate & impartial analysis.
Prashant Kishore ran TMC and DMK election strategy..makes him a deep BJP supporter according to our intellectuals
However dignified supporters of the Opposition are in their comments, I find that Modi supporters are so disgustingly abusive!
Isnt the opposition abusive? In your perception hasnt Mr modi done anything for the country..to call him a dictator is scathing..how would u describe Nehru ji, Indraji, Sonia ji.. this kind of Holier than thou rant is not acceptable...
Oh really, this is a new narrative for bbct? I have oppossed congress many times, always resoectsblyy.
Oh please....who are the people.calling Modi supporters about gomutra gobar and called him all.names
He is a true BBC personality
The biggest weakness of Modi is his hubris. The biggest strength of Modi is his ability to adapt. I can bet that he or his men has seen this clip and has begun restrategising.
By far Yogendra Jadav is the most decent, cool headed wise politician in India at present. Above all, when most politicians in India are corrupt and many with criminal records, he is an exception and well respected across India by all sections of people.
मैं योगेंद्र यादवजी की इज्जत करता हूं. उनका बात करने का लहजा और हर वक्त एक जैसी सोच सराहनीय है. दुर्भाग्य से उनकी सोशलिस्ट और दिखने में गांधीवादी विचारधारा काफी कालकी धारा से विपरीत है. 100 साल पहले अमेरिका में जब कामगारोंकी कार्य क्षमता के विषय पर बहस उनकी सीनेट में चली तब व्यक्त किया हुआ यह विचार यादवजी के विचारों का बुरी तरह विच्छेद कर देगा. तब उद्योग जगत के एक प्रसिद्ध अभियंताने सीनेटरोको बताया कि वह केक को काटकर उसके हिस्सो को कैसे और किसे बांटा जाए इसकी सोच रहे हैं, जबकि वह खुद केक को बड़ा बनाने का सफल प्रयास कर रहा है जिससे हर एक को मिलने वाला हिस्सा अभी से कई गुना बड़ा हो जाएगा. उनकी यह बात आज अमेरिका को कहां लाई यह सभी दुनिया के लोग देख सकते हैं. यादवजी और भारत इससे अगर सीख ले तो भविष्य काफी उजला होगा, नहीं तो हिस्सेदारों की संख्या बढ़ते बढ़ते वही केक ना के बराबर हिस्सों में कटेगा और बटेगा.
All eyes on Reasi 😞
Spot on!
Hindutva Fans ka prime enemy
What's yr problem.with Hindutva ?
@@Spr-no9oy ideal for Teenagers..carry on 🦟
Wonderfully explained...thank you
True observations.
yes it is possibles to recognize internationaly ,that is why bbc invited you as guest.
He always adorns the Assamese Gamusa. Wonder why?
Yogendra yadav....🙏
Yadav ..god knows why He cant be requested by Congress to join them...he reads and knows game plans of BJP well...
Yes he was right this time. I wonder what were his prediction for 2014 and 2019
What is YY s views on Kejri,why can't he come out
Arguably, the best analyst in India on Indian polictics
Yogendra Yadav has been predicting Congress win everywhere for the last ten years and will continue to do so indefinitely. 😊
One of the head of the two headed janus, but the key for success of rss and rss favoured political party.
Democracy has been damaged severely by JDU PDP etc.supporting modi .
Godi Media is the main culprit.
According to Mr.yadav if one is corrupt it is OK but he sports and praises if such corrupt person go on tells people equality, make false promises khat Kat then country is saved. He never uttered a word about kekriwal's actions .
He is a smart political man and true name i heard is Mr Salim Khan👍. Wonder why he is misleading.
Your true name I heard is Mohammad Babar
His father called him Salim. Have some sense
Still playing the same old game?
@@rocky49able And who added Khan? Have some sense!
And what is the point? What is your problem with Salim? Can you play any sensible game or just name call? Pathetic people remain stuck at pathetic level, you need to see what you are doing.
Listen to this and see how pathetic is what you are peddling, and what you have brought the discourse in this country to.
SHAME!!
Yoggenderji election result prediction is like Congress performance in election, may be not in tune with reality.
Bro, get a chill pill. YY predicted the LS election 2024 110% on point. Keep your illogical nose away.
@@Kite_Runner73verify the 2k19 2k14 predictions also🤣🤣
It's just a matter of tukka to be precise
😅
Scary…
Why call mainstream media Yadav ji you know it is Manustream media since its inception in India...even BBC reporters of today no different..😂😂😂
He won’t talk a word about Terror attack in Kashmir which killed many Hindu pilgrims. Pakistan based Islamic terrorists have claimed responsibility.
India collation still in a teething stage...unfortunately they have less time..
done and dusted
An agreement between Modi and Chandrababu Naidu gave Naidu control over Andhra Pradesh in exchange for Modi securing MP support. Despite Modi's party having a low vote share in Andhra Pradesh, Naidu allied with him. Allegations claim Election Commission officials, supposedly appointed by Modi, enabled manipulation of postal ballots and EVMs, resulting in the Modi-Naidu alliance's victory, raising concerns about democracy in India.
Don’t spread rumors. Allegations by who? Where is proof?
General election come I ignore, result day I regret that I ignore. Now, I vigilant I sure vote in assembly elections. Heart cross, ❤ modiji.
What ever one says.. Modiji is a tough person.
Actually many more may join NDA like DMK, TMC etc. Do not underestimate the power of the central government
i don't know about TMC....but DMK never ever going to join NDA.... and bjp is never going to win tamilnadu
@@sruthyd.s1152 You never know in politics. They will have to watch Andhra and Karnataka reap huge benefits with a favorable central government.
He is part and parcel of Tukde Tukde gangs. He and Prasanth Bhushan were thrown out by Kejrival. A part time job holder in the INC
Fools will always be fools!!!
Mr. MODI is not used to democracy??? What the hell do you ppl smoke?? Mr. MODI has served Gujarat for 13 yrs as the Chief Minister. He has served the country for already 10 yrs as the Prime minister. So you guys are saying there was no democracy since past 23 yrs??? Are you out of your mind?? You ppl would have been put behind bars just like How Indira Gandhi did during emergency if there was no democracy. Have some shame man . Cry harder !!!! NDA already had a pre poll alliance with TDP n JDU . In Bihar BJP didn't contest on all the seats. Then why do you hv doubt in BJP led NDA????
We hv an opposition which is a sum of all together 28 -30 parties and its supporters who have the audacity to question BJP which has singel handedly defeated an alliance 😂forget about NDA alone.
NDA is 293 which is 21 seats ahead of the majority mark . Yet you think it will affect them?? 😂😂
Yogendra Yadav is said to have hit the jackpot. Actually it is joke pot. Just fluke after a series of poor predictions in the last few years. This is his first time. Law of averages playing a big part. He is a Psephologist and yet to show his numbers behind his predictions.
Reasons attributable to the final outcome pre Vs post results show wide mismatch.
• Delhi, UP, Karnataka, West Bengal were not foreseen or sensed, even with reasonable confidence. Results show massive swing against all predictions/expectations
• MP also is a case in point. It has clearly bucked the trend. It remained stayput totally uneffected by the changes happened around it. It was expected to trend similar to the neighbor states particularly UP & Rajasthan
Questions to be answered are;
1. Given the similar political and demographic background why MP and UP behaved differently?
2. Why Karnataka has returned good numbers for BJP once again after suffering big set back just a year ago?
3. Why Delhi again voted for BJP?
4. What explains Mamata's continued good show in West Bengol?
Let me try answering your questions. You may not agree with my answers but such as they are, here they are.
1. Given the similar political and demographic background why MP and UP behaved differently?
In MP the reports say the “Ladli Behna” scheme, launched six months before the Assembly elections, influenced the women vote hugely in the BJP’s favour despite a strong potential anti-incumbency factor against the party.
In UP the voters primarily the Dalits and the Muslims swung the vote in the INDIA alliance's favor supported by excellent candidate placement by the SP.
2. Why Karnataka has returned good numbers for BJP once again after suffering big set back just a year ago?
I rebut your premise that the BJP has done well in Karnataka. At best you can say they have not done as badly as generally expected. True that the BJP has lost only 1.41 percent of votes, compared with its performance in the 2019 polls but the ruling Congress's vote share has increased 56 per cent.
3. Why Delhi again voted for BJP?
This remains a mystery. Nobody has solved it yet. I will not indulge in useless speculations but the ground reports were strongly against the BJP. Relatives of mine in Delhi say they were confused by the symbols while voting.
4. What explains Mamata's continued good show in West Bengol (sic!)?
Bengal fortunately (like Tamil Nadu) is a strongly non-communal state. The BJP ideology does not work there. And the people in general were happy with the TMC's welfare schemes.
I can understand your difficulty in accepting the election results but sitting in denial mode will not help. Wish you a healthy recovery.
@@lgopalakrishnan3181
@lgopalakrishnan3181
Basic question raised here is about the credibility of the Psephologist.
None of the answers provided above were identified/recognised as factors that might influence the election outcome in the prepoll predictions.
Reasons identified for the expected poor performance of BJP, prepoll, were unemployment, price rise, Kisan factor, anti incumbency, poor performance/ governance etc which are not appearing in your pointed answers.
Therefore, even though the overall predictions have come good yet the post poll preliminary analysis clearly points in different direction as far as the plausible reasons for the outcomes are concerned.
Therefore credibility of correct predictions are questionable, rather it sounds fluke.
I for one, being non political, non analysist and having no insight about the voter behaviour, poll % etc had made some observations which is more of speculative and intuitive kind of judgement. Mostly based on one single observation that this time there is complete absence of Modi wave and visible presence of general excitement about Rahul's impact/ performance.
My comments were put in response to various YT interviews of M/s PK, YY, YD, PP, AIM etc who are very credible/popular experts as well as about exit poll discussions. The comments were made starting from around 21.5.24 onwards and all the way till 4.6.24. Unchanged even after exit polls.
My observations were as below.
• BJP would miss the 272 mark this time. PK/YY/YD/ Annamala..... not needed.
• In such scenario BJP could still manage with the help of present NDA partners contributing up to 30 to 40.
• 220±20 + NDA Allies = 260±30.
• If BJP misses the mark by more than 50 then they would have to seek the support from outside of NDA.
I had no good reason to argue then nor do I have any now.
Good answers. Well taken.👍
There is scope for deeper study and clarity will emerge only after the facts/details/causes are analysed and understood. Political parties as well as study groups are bound to do their exercise which they may or may not reveal.
Has the main opposition outlined anything constructive or do they have a road map to take barath to new heights ...defaming the PM is not enough..opposing him for the sake of opposing is not good enough .Going overseas and smearing our country is so unbecoming for the leader of the opposition.. I guess live debates amongst the various parties will be more decent and acceptable.
Another anarchist after Keri😂😂
CONGRESS LOST ..Despite offering one lakh rupees to women & other freebies..Got less than 100 seats ..in a 543 seat parliament
Tere jaiso kr liye 5kg ki bori thik hai
Will be very difficult for modi to rebuild himself due to his arrogant and dictatorial style of mentality….like humpty his shattered image is gone forever…
Even a chameleon could take a lesson or two from Modi in changing colours - from Jaipur Shri Ram to Jai Jagannath. As Mr. Yadav pointed out, Modi and his plotter-in--arms must already have started luring, enticing and threatening some of the INDIA Alliance partners. Far from being a statesman, Modi is a megalomaniac, an autocrat and an antithesis to everything democratic.
Yogendra yadav is an anarchist, his slow melliflous demeanour betrays a very cunning.and disruptive scheming.mind...
Yes, honesty can be disruptive for authoritarians.
@@Romsie62 calling someone who isn't taking yr advice authoritarian, betrays an authoritarian mindset. But someone who keeps giving dog.whistles and instigates at the smallest provocation..is an anarchist
@@Spr-no9oy Straight talkers don't dog whistle. He's a straight talker. And anyone can ignore someone's advice. Everyone does it. But authoritarians don't even tolerate an opposing opinion. They muzzle it. There's a difference.
@@Spr-no9oyIt's interesting how supporters of authoritarianism always find an opposing view anarchic.
@@Romsie62 secretariat to streets...that's his style...and it will prevail in any situation. I guess.he found Kejriwal.very authoritarian.
मोदी का एजंट !
मोदीरिज मे मंहेगाई का म और बेरोज़गारी का ब बोलने से डरता है !
Boring
This guy is never stop disappointing of his bs....he only criticizes never gives his own plan or vision.
EVM is not fool proof till such time Rahul Gandhi gets elected as pm. 😊😊😊
YY has only opinion. If YY is so good, why he failed as politician.
There are two kinds of politicians, one, the statesman, the other the street smart, maybe your perception does not recognise his acumen. He is an outstanding politician, not only India I would dare any politician in the WORLD to debate with him.
Hats off to all those idiots who are listening to yogendra yadav seriously 😂😂
Oh yess atleast better than your PK's predictions
How can modi is a dictator, he is an elected leader … and btw who is this yogendra yadav … what happened to his party 🤣🤣
Hitler was also an elected leader until he became a dictator. Not everything is black and white.
Why is this even a topic, we all know modi doesn't have the freedom to do whatever he wants, he knows it and looks like he is getting along smoothly with his coalition partners atleast for now, and that is his and his partys problem how they get along.
For one moment i dont think he is leaving the PMs chair, shouldn't BBC and opposition be discussing what changes or new schemes are necessary for the benefit of the common man rather than worrying about modi.
Well said! There are so many media portals that smear BJP and Modhiji...why is YY spreading such misinformation...where is the evidence..?
What is the result of your party in the election? Modi's image might have been dented but you are dented ab-initio and that's why you have scored a duck.