The Big Short Michael Lewis Missed (w/ Raoul Pal and Jeff Greene)

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  • Опубликовано: 1 фев 2025

Комментарии • 135

  • @RealVisionPresents
    @RealVisionPresents  5 лет назад +4

    Get Real Vision Premium for only $1 for 30 days here: rvtv.io/Dollar30YT
    No more waiting for the content to make it here weeks or even months after it was shot and no missing out on insights and information that move markets. Better yet.... No advertisements! Join today!

    • @hexadecimal5236
      @hexadecimal5236 5 лет назад

      It's real easy to say everything will be ok when you're sitting on a hundred million, I've been a Libertarian my entire life, but TBH, if the Socialists marched on the banks and hung the CEOs by their necks in front of each one, I wouldn't lose any sleep, and the Gold Collars of most major corporations in all likelihood need to rcv the exact same thing.
      They negotiated contracts where they make millions even when both stock and stakeholders lose everything. From what we saw with the banking bailouta twice, the govt obviously can no longer be trusted to regulate markets, the regulatory agencies have been completely captured.

    • @thomaskauser8978
      @thomaskauser8978 5 лет назад

      I am for folding the federal reserve into social security and calling two wrongs a all right (ism)

    • @dawidw.6016
      @dawidw.6016 5 лет назад +2

      Was Really interesting to a point when he said he doesn't need gold :-)

    • @Michael-qy1jz
      @Michael-qy1jz 5 лет назад

      This guy had some serious inside info.

    • @j.s.1869
      @j.s.1869 4 года назад

      Real Vision Finance 29:26 onwards is 👍 great. Thank you RVF!

  • @KP-dd2ci
    @KP-dd2ci 5 лет назад +11

    Who else loves the "Ooooiiiiiiiii" at the beginning??

  • @texasRoofDoctor
    @texasRoofDoctor 5 лет назад +26

    Great interview with guy who succeeded by working hard, taking risks, being lucky. All the sub geniuses who think "muh, he is a boomer so it was handed to him" need to go back to their video game in grandmas basement. Yes, the economy is tough right now for many and yes, it was also tough in the 80's when he started. He provides a great blueprint for success.
    The last 10 minutes are a great assessment of the US.

    • @texasRoofDoctor
      @texasRoofDoctor 5 лет назад

      @James Zell we are probably past our peak but no one is close to passing us. Listen to Peter Zeihan video. Geography, demographics, and like Mr. Greene said: the US Constitution just keeps promoting success. Only internal strife will finally topple us.

    • @unknowndriver6652
      @unknowndriver6652 5 лет назад +1

      You dont get billioner just by luck

    • @1112-g1x
      @1112-g1x 3 года назад +1

      @@unknowndriver6652 he bought property? when it was affordable, and asset price inflation did the rest? gud on him but hardly genius

    • @happytrees4734
      @happytrees4734 3 года назад

      Correct. The right timing, not “luck” is how most billionaires are made.

  • @stevenoconnell6297
    @stevenoconnell6297 5 лет назад +24

    Quite the talker and story teller and my what a story his life has been. Seems like this guy could make gold out of air. That being said what he had to offer on the future of the average of the population I.e. wealth gap, opportunity, education even etc, was nothing short of disappointment. I appreciate Raoul for trying to bring the conversation around to the best interest of the average person and the true dilemmas of our time but the fact that he had little to offer not only on behalf of himself but seemingly on behalf of other figures of significance in the wealthiest class was discouraging. I found it dismissive. Still a fascinating life story and interesting conversation. I’m sure he appreciated your company as it seems like it’s been a while since he’s had a chance to talk with someone since he is definitely not short on words.

    • @richardb9017
      @richardb9017 4 года назад +2

      Yep, toss a coin 20 times and one person in every million will get heads 20 times..... Then they'll write a book and tell you how you can too ! Luck is without doubt s factor. Call it statistical probability if you like, I call it what it is. Obviously hard work is generally required , but luck gets you over the line

    • @savagesteve5894
      @savagesteve5894 4 года назад

      I enjoyed his entrepreneurial story right up until the point where he bet against his crony Harvard banking buddies and their reckless casino-like sports betting enterprise. Congratulations sir your billions was no less than a simple transfer of faux-mega wealth using Casino style capitalism. Glad your country club pals all convinced Henry Paulson at the Fed to throw a couple TARP's over the dead bodies. How's that 100M tax dodge tan in sunny Florida going?

  • @bolesfamily1744
    @bolesfamily1744 5 лет назад +8

    Great interview

  • @rdnylj
    @rdnylj 4 года назад +4

    Great interview. It would be great to hear what he thinks since COVID hit. Please have him back!

  • @johnbailey3351
    @johnbailey3351 5 лет назад +8

    Great interview, but Apple? Its share price is being propped up share repurchases and its primary recent profit growth was the 2017 tax cut! For 2015 its annual revenues #233.7 billion and for 2019 its revenues were $260.2 Billion. That is a 2.7% growth rate. Not much growth, especially if you back out inflation. Back out inflation and population growth it is probably loosing market share. In 2017 its pretax profits were $72.5 Billion and in 2019 its pre-tax profits were $65.7 Billion. Now its tax expense has been reduced from $19.1 Billion to $10.5 Billion, so all of its meager earnings growth came from the tax cut! Its EPS was $11.97 in 2019 versus $9.28 in 2015, but the EPS growth is 90% driven by buybacks with the other 10% being the tax cut. So Apple is a trillion dollar company whose dominant product is losing market share while losing profit margin, it sells at 25x, yields under 1% and it has China problems. To each his own, but I would sell.

    • @fadfaasfsafsasaf8235
      @fadfaasfsafsasaf8235 3 года назад

      How did that short work out for ya?

    • @johnbailey3351
      @johnbailey3351 3 года назад

      @@fadfaasfsafsasaf8235 Didn't short, but Apple has appreciated 13.2% versus the S&P 500 rise of 28.2% over the last year, so Apple has underperformed the broad market. How do you think it would have done in a bear market?

  • @wzeng02
    @wzeng02 Год назад

    It will be great to have a follow up interview with Jeff and see his views on real estate market.

  • @sommi888
    @sommi888 5 лет назад +6

    🧡💛💚💙 Great stuff Raoul 🧡💛💚💙

  • @KillaDukeBadMan
    @KillaDukeBadMan 5 лет назад +4

    "Cash is trash" new I would hear that this interview lol

  • @davidlong4000
    @davidlong4000 5 лет назад +1

    Great interview! One of your best! Thank you!

  • @maxcapital8570
    @maxcapital8570 5 лет назад +3

    Great interview 👍 Ral love your clothes ,were do you shop?

    • @suckers0
      @suckers0 5 лет назад

      Thrift shops? Albeit on the Cayman Islands :-)

  • @simona4315
    @simona4315 5 лет назад +8

    He's in The Greatest Trade Ever by Gregory Zu Kerman. John Paulson apparently felt betrayed by Jeff...

    • @davidalston3626
      @davidalston3626 5 лет назад +1

      Simon A Paulson was sharing the trade before he was set up to do the trade!

  • @keithsorlie9798
    @keithsorlie9798 3 года назад

    Love to hear an update from this man. Excellent

  • @thecloudtechguy
    @thecloudtechguy 5 лет назад +5

    Interesting interview. I dont really believe everyone is making more money... Plus I think he missed the point on Education is a factor but Parenting is actually the real problem in the country.

    • @rokyericksonroks
      @rokyericksonroks 5 лет назад +1

      People are making more money. It’s hard to tell because money has lost its value because rates are suppressed. Raise rates and restore purchasing power, but poor Joe Sixpack has been convinced that low rates are helpful, when in fact they are harmful to the low wage earner.

  • @adamdahl3080
    @adamdahl3080 5 лет назад +6

    so much knowledge and wisdom for free...Thank you Real Vision!

  • @vernefits1953
    @vernefits1953 5 лет назад +1

    Awesome guest

  • @rjlane3475
    @rjlane3475 5 лет назад +7

    more proof that naivete can also be one's super power ...

  • @dianatran7220
    @dianatran7220 2 года назад

    Great interview !!

  • @rd9102
    @rd9102 5 лет назад +3

    The ONLY way to "fix" the rich/poor divide is to educate the poor. The entire gap can be improved if the "poor" or even the middle class learns that their daily latte is in fact hurting them A LOT more then just the coffee and sugar.

    • @unknowndriver6652
      @unknowndriver6652 5 лет назад

      What?

    • @rd9102
      @rd9102 5 лет назад

      @@unknowndriver6652 What what?

    • @rd9102
      @rd9102 4 года назад

      @TheCanMan Can Since 1990 Is this supposed to be separate thoughts? It's a run on sentence.
      Did you mean Destroying the fire sector is the only way, enough feeding this nonsense delusion of yours?
      What is the fire sector? Is that some code word? Do you mean there are too many fires out there?
      Please make your thoughts fully coherent so we can have a proper discussion about how terrible educating people is.

    • @rd9102
      @rd9102 4 года назад

      @TheCanMan Can Since 1990 Is English your second language? I am having a hard time understanding what you are trying to say.
      I am not trying to make fun of you, what you write makes no sense.

    • @rokyericksonroks
      @rokyericksonroks 4 года назад

      R D
      The FIRE sector refers to the part of an economy made up of Finance, Insurance and Real Estate. Some people feel like these are places that produce very little of real value yet lots of millionaires seem to emerge from the FIRE sector. The term got co-opted by the Financial Independence Retire Early folks, so some confusion is expected.

  • @Theo-dj7vs
    @Theo-dj7vs 5 лет назад +1

    First 17:12 is a waste of time, unless you believe hearing a billionaire speak is going to make you money...

  • @edwardgofsky4862
    @edwardgofsky4862 5 лет назад +5

    One of my favorite characters from one of my favorite books of all time. I have the unabridged audio book which is over 10 hours long and i have listened to it dozens of times. The Greatest Trade Ever: The Behind-the-Scenes Story of How John Paulson Defied Wall Street and Made Financial History: By Gregory Zuckerman:

    • @Boabywankenobi
      @Boabywankenobi 5 лет назад

      Pellegrini was really the genius behind the trade.

    • @edwardgofsky4862
      @edwardgofsky4862 5 лет назад

      @@Boabywankenobi He really was, in fact Pellegrini was my most favorite character. His backstory is one of the most interesting in wall street history.

    • @georgekariuki8614
      @georgekariuki8614 5 лет назад

      Hi Edward,these guys are the stuff of legend!
      Do you mind sharing with me the audiobook?I would greatly appreciate to hear that story for some inspiration 👊

    • @curtisalex456
      @curtisalex456 5 лет назад

      Thanks for the recommendations.

  • @rw20000
    @rw20000 5 лет назад +4

    "as it turns out the market was SO undervalued"

    • @marine5546
      @marine5546 5 лет назад +1

      That reality is almost unfathomable right now

    • @odhran8825
      @odhran8825 4 года назад

      @@marine5546 You guys had no idea what crazy confusing times were ahead haha

  • @tanyakruyt5122
    @tanyakruyt5122 4 года назад

    That was great, thanks! :)

  • @martinleepgg
    @martinleepgg 5 лет назад

    Great story and life experiences from Jeff. Take opportunities as they present, key being able to recognize them, furthermore act on them.

  • @rainmaker704
    @rainmaker704 5 лет назад

    Great vid!

    • @rainmaker704
      @rainmaker704 5 лет назад

      Seems like a really great person.

  • @c3po631
    @c3po631 5 лет назад +2

    Raoul, where are your socks?

    • @suckers0
      @suckers0 5 лет назад +2

      He's short socks, long leather loafers!

    • @rokyericksonroks
      @rokyericksonroks 4 года назад

      The sock company waived the endorsement commission he was being paid, so he no longer wears their socks.

  • @LesGrossman69
    @LesGrossman69 5 лет назад +13

    Able to work, go to Harvard, save up $100k (in 1970 dollars), buy multiplexes for dirt, buy LA real estate for dirt and become a billionaire. OK, BOOMER.

    • @LesGrossman69
      @LesGrossman69 5 лет назад +2

      @Tarzan I'm 27, I make more than 90% of the people my age from working in two different industries and I live frugally without student debt. The opportunities this guy had are essentially impossible today and his success was mostly based on circumstance of the times that all of the Boomer generation had access to and got benefits from. That is the only thing to note here. Boomers are the cancer inside our society. They are also all fueled by greed. You must be a Boomer because you took my post personally, all while the millenials are the ones deemed as snowflakes.

    • @phillipgeorge8147
      @phillipgeorge8147 5 лет назад

      Cryptocurrencies are the opportunity of our times. There are plenty of opportunities today that you can utilise like the boomers did back in their day 😎

    • @jackiechan8840
      @jackiechan8840 5 лет назад +2

      @@LesGrossman69 This is the most ridiculous comment I've ever read. Your parents are Boomers FFS. Boomers are a cancer?! What is wrong with you?
      Sure, he was in the right place at the right time.
      No need to be so salty about it.

    • @jmc8076
      @jmc8076 5 лет назад

      Zach Statt
      Yeah, you told him. Hard to argue with such logic.

    • @rokyericksonroks
      @rokyericksonroks 5 лет назад

      Jackie Chan
      The 30yr US Treasury bond topped out in May 1981 (ever so briefly, but it did) at just over 15%. You’ve hustled together $100K and can effectively helped yourself to a risk free ROI like that, ...for thirty years? Instead, you want to jump into RE just as the S&L scandal is ramping up? You have to be hungry to do stuff like this.

  • @dare2race
    @dare2race 5 лет назад +1

    3 hot chicks walk into a party... on a boat, with a dj, it was Tyson's bday. Sounds like a great time!

    • @jmc8076
      @jmc8076 5 лет назад +2

      dare2race
      All that glitters isn’t gold.

    • @deathlarsen7502
      @deathlarsen7502 5 лет назад +1

      yeah and look at what he married with all his money. he's no looker neither

  • @Netstarr88
    @Netstarr88 5 лет назад +3

    Just shows me what I knew already and that is that John Paulson was shorting the sub prime derivative market while also pushing to start all this BS money printing at the Federal Reserve.

  • @simpinainteasy680
    @simpinainteasy680 5 лет назад

    She deserves better. Shes a strong independent woman who wants to be a stay at home mom ( and be taken care of for her whole life).

  • @barrycalvert8219
    @barrycalvert8219 5 лет назад +2

    These comments are identical to those in 2006.
    . Never been this bad, inequality, education, blah blah... wash, rinse, repeat

  • @davidoconnor1773
    @davidoconnor1773 5 лет назад +2

    I really hope this guy listens to the pros in the comments here so that he can finally start to make some REAL money!!

  • @russburton6262
    @russburton6262 5 лет назад +11

    staying single gave him focus =mgtow is the only way

  • @anshool21
    @anshool21 4 года назад

    amazing

  • @PopleBackyardFarm
    @PopleBackyardFarm 5 лет назад

    interesting thoughts

  • @warntheidiotmasses7114
    @warntheidiotmasses7114 5 лет назад

    You'd think with all these guys lining up to short CDS's those institutions would've raised the red flags internally, analyze it, and short them instead.

  • @mctheta249
    @mctheta249 5 лет назад

    Wow ! What an epic story. An American story. Brings you through our current history as an individual but as a group at the same time. He's thoughtful, happy and optimistic about the future. With the knowledge and wherewithal to make it so. Very inspiring !

  • @burrellinvestments5952
    @burrellinvestments5952 5 лет назад

    I'm from Bluefield WV right on the Virginia West Virginia line lmbo!!!! 4:00 ish

  • @1112-g1x
    @1112-g1x 3 года назад

    little simplistic at the end, i think we r reverting bck ttype ie feudal society, its what capital always pushes 4.

  • @DrugMusicNFT
    @DrugMusicNFT 5 лет назад +1

    A true hustler

  • @beyondhumanlimit
    @beyondhumanlimit 5 лет назад

    everthing has it price, what we do is not not enjoying the life now, it is to enjoying it later, that is all

  • @tomchips8297
    @tomchips8297 5 лет назад +2

    Sounds like Bloomberg

    • @deathlarsen7502
      @deathlarsen7502 5 лет назад +2

      jews

    • @RD-zq7bp
      @RD-zq7bp 5 лет назад +2

      @@deathlarsen7502 Yes sir. Did you catch the part where this guy said he went over to Israel as an exchange student? Definitely another jew.

  • @nickmattio3397
    @nickmattio3397 5 лет назад +2

    Oh you a young person trying to get into an undervalued asset market now to get on the wealth ladder?!? Too Bad So Sad Nice Try Though

  • @Johndoe-e1r
    @Johndoe-e1r 5 лет назад

    I thought it was a great interview! Most stuff I hear nowadays is negative and there are a lot of things being said on the tube that’s just noise. Don’t get me wrong, somethings that have been said have some truth in it. However, only thing that I would like is for the people that see flaws in the system and have some experience in these areas, why not do something about it by informing the people that have control over the outcome. Too much divide and conquer going on, the truths lie in the middle.

  • @jaylinn416
    @jaylinn416 5 лет назад +2

    What a great interview! And I am a rabid Trumpster.

  • @dadboss1
    @dadboss1 5 лет назад +1

    Great guy

  • @champstar9669
    @champstar9669 5 лет назад +1

    Almost the same story as Buffet. 1 trade/deal away from being completely ruined. Saved by a few bailout/restructured debt deals. More luck than skill. Could have easily turned out the OTHER way.

    • @colloredbrothers
      @colloredbrothers 5 лет назад

      not if these boys were working on inside information, its a BIG club and YOU'RE NOT INVITED as George Carlin would say. The way these people make this kind of money is by having close relations to the people who have their hands on the financial levers.

    • @rokyericksonroks
      @rokyericksonroks 4 года назад

      TheCanMan Can Since 1990
      FIRE = Finance, Insurance, Real Estate. A bunch people pushing paper around, although I can make a case that insurance makes your world easier to take the chances an entrepreneur must take.

  • @Z3N1T4
    @Z3N1T4 5 лет назад +1

    So anyone who can't become a millionaire at 20 working a paper route is a loser. Got it.

  • @gergokovacs2815
    @gergokovacs2815 5 лет назад +4

    "you are not going to make the poor richer by making the rich poorer" - what a great universal argument, meaning that we could never EVER even think of increasing the expectations towards billionaires in terms of social contribution. ridiculous to me that while paying more taxes is an absolute no go to most of these people, they love playing the philanthropist with 0.00001% of their actual wealth. so, so, soo greedy.

  • @SGHedge
    @SGHedge 4 года назад

    Loves the free Govmt money...!

  • @DonFather
    @DonFather 5 лет назад +6

    He's rich & he picked up 1 of 3 hot chicks at a party. But he made it sound like a friggen black swan event. Guy doesn't get out much does he?

  • @moonie8830
    @moonie8830 4 года назад

    He's smart, hardworking and lucky, but considering how rich he is and how poor many in his country are, he lacks empathy and participation in trying to make it better. The system clearly doesn't work today for the majority, but it works for him.

  • @grahamlister5659
    @grahamlister5659 4 года назад

    6 point plan for new banking system: 1. All Central banks and their right to create currency abolished. 2. All debt owed to Central banks extinguished 3. All assets and interests owned by central banks and central banks owners returned to respective governments i.e. people. 4. A National bank created for each country and owned by citizen tax payers with exclusive right omto create national currency 5. All banks nationalised. 6. Banks return to be utilities

  • @davidepstein06
    @davidepstein06 5 лет назад +2

    He gives too many wishy washy responses to how we can solve/fix the current economic system. “Get education” “this system works” “we’ll figure it out” The moment we entered into Keynesian economic policy ie taken off the gold standard and entered the world of fiat, was the moment everything changed for the worse. We need hard money. Gold and bitcoin

    • @donnyvu5153
      @donnyvu5153 5 лет назад +2

      Lol. We also need manual laborers and less paper pushers. But will we all agree?

  • @nwhuckin7761
    @nwhuckin7761 5 лет назад +2

    Great interview. Smart, likable and lucky guy, but what do we do with the rest of america that isn't so.. Not to mention that for every winner there are losers. At the end of the day there are only so many resources to go around..

  • @pedrogorilla483
    @pedrogorilla483 4 года назад

    I wonder what it is like to be a multimillionaire. The guy had 400 million and was wondering what he should do. I would have retired with much less. But again, maybe if I had made 400 mil I would understand.

  • @codymills1647
    @codymills1647 5 лет назад +1

    You didn't ask him if he owns any bitcoin...

  • @TerryPullen
    @TerryPullen 5 лет назад +1

    Only in America.

    • @TerryPullen
      @TerryPullen 5 лет назад

      @@clos8899 It's just a saying a boxing promoter used to use, but obviously your right.

  • @michael53572
    @michael53572 4 года назад

    talking about insider trading ...lol

  • @seanhope734
    @seanhope734 Год назад

    What’s funny guys like this don’t give any money to other people . This guy is properly the cheapest guy in the world .

  • @davidepstein06
    @davidepstein06 5 лет назад +7

    Privileged boomer. Buy Bitcoin

    • @jackiechan8840
      @jackiechan8840 5 лет назад

      Your parents are Boomers bruh.

    • @rokyericksonroks
      @rokyericksonroks 5 лет назад +1

      First, go put yourself through college selling circus tickets for a charity. Then, we’ll get you your own episode on Real Vision, okay bigshot?

    • @davidepstein06
      @davidepstein06 5 лет назад

      Boomer Alert

  •  5 лет назад +2

    This guy seems to be bragging about making money off the back's of other people's misfortunes. Just another middle aged white narc.
    Ripping people off as much as possible is nothing to brag about.

  • @cheninblanc8208
    @cheninblanc8208 5 лет назад

    great interview until the last 5 minutes.......where the guest revealed himself to be
    just another "let them eat cake" republican

    • @cheninblanc8208
      @cheninblanc8208 5 лет назад

      @James Zell Stockholm Syndrome afflicts many people

  • @janiceg7661
    @janiceg7661 5 лет назад

    Is this guy running for President? Maybe he should be.