*"Never sell on War news"* and this is no small War easily the biggest War in human History over 1000 days continuous Russia against Ukraine now has exploded upon The Syria. Imagine if you can a City of 800,000 people suddenly abandoned that is Aleppo Syria in just the past 48 Hours. Whatever caused that clearly will be heading towards Damascus...and elsewhere 😊😊
One lesson I've learnt from billionaires is to always put your money to work, and diversifying your investments. I'm planning to invest about $200k of my funds in stocks this year, and I know I’ll make profits.
You are right. The best approach I feel is to diversify investments by spreading investments across different asset classes like bonds, real estate, and international stocks, they can redupact of a market meltdown.
In a similar circumstance, I consulted an investment advisor. I've increased my portfolio's value from $200k to over $800k in a few years by diversifying it and reorganizing it with growth stocks, S&P 500, and quality ETFs.
One of the most well-known people in her field is my CFA, Annette Marie Holt. I advise doing more study on her qualifications. She is a great resource for anybody trying to understand the financial industry because of her many years of expertise.
IMO he is more right than wrong. Nothing goes up forever unless you clear the atmosphere and all gravitational pulls.. Then you are into space. Markets have never cleared that and have always corrected. It is just a matter of timing.
There are no investors any more. Its all speculation. Betting on companies like nVidia for their earnings for 200 years. Hmm. This time it will be different. "Stocks are going up forever", some wise guy said on Oct 23rd 1929..
when you call for the depression all this time, and it happens 4 years down the road, you are not really right, are you? that means somebody is making a killing for 4 more years.
I feel investors should be focusing on under-the-radar stocks, and considering the current rollercoaster nature of the stock market, Because 35% of my $270k portfolio comprises of plummeting stocks which were once revered and i don't know where to go here out of devastation.
Safest approach i feel to tackle it is to diversify investments. By spreading investments across different asset classes, like bonds, real estate, and international stocks, they can reduce the impact of a market meltdown. its important to seek the guidance of an expert.
A lot of folks downplay the role of advlsors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $$275k to $850K...
This is definitely considerable! think you could suggest any professional/advisors i can get on the phone with? I'm in dire need of proper portfolio allocation.
Level headed, cogent and clear answers to questions. That kinda says that this is not only a guy who knows what he's talking about but isn't working from a particular agenda or attempting to sell particular outcomes. Thanks for this.
It's astonishing how many voters cannot see this, and continue to blame "immigrants, commies, baby killers, and eco-nuts" for our socioeconomic problems. Until the broad middle-class understands what's been happening to their collective wealth for the last 40 years, nothing will change. The oligarch-plutocrat class will continue to suck their wealth and liberty until we no longer have the liberty this country was founded upon.
LOL I recall friends not investing in 2009 or 2010 because we had so much debt. Of course they held out until the dow hit 30,000 and missed the opportunity of a lifetime. Debt is not a problem as long we remain productive and attractive for foreign buyers.
Employment is definitely the most strangely behaving data set this business cycle. If unemployment was 5-6% and initial claims were at 400k, it would line up perfectly with manufacturing, freight, and other leading economy macro data, and it would also line up with the Fed undergoing a serious easing cycle. We're not seeing that. Whether it's more about Uber and Doordash, or more people living off the income of friends and family, or living off past savings, I'm not sure.
Well, according to the plan, we are supposed to have an eventual "explosion" of unemployment due to inflation, AI, banking crisis, credit crisis, supply chain crisis, etc. Once unemployment skyrockets, the plan shows the stock market is going to collapse. Do we know exactly "when" this is going to happen? No. However, it's the 5th stage of the Great Reset.
In December 2023, Henrik was on Jay Martin, and he said a recession would start by May 2024. He was completely wrong. He makes good points, but good points with bad timing will lose you money.
Adam. Been listening to you since you were on the other channel, and followed you here. Also been a subscriber to Henrik’s Serivce for about 1.5yrs and he has been spot on so far. Glad to see you have him in your channel!!!
In the mid 2000 after 2 decades on Wall Street as a bond trader ... I remember landscapers showing me their gains in their equities portfolios and waitresses giving me stock tips and investment advice ... ie: "stonks only go up" ... then I'd ask them where they were, what the were doing in October 87 ? ... or how much money they were managing ? .... then I look at the comments here and other video's .... lol .... the next crash will be a black swan even, triggering billions of losses via machine trading ... this time it will be instantaneous ... and I'm not sure most will survive it
What’s different this time compared to history is that the Fed knows quantitative easing the printing of money prevents severe crashes and each time they use this inflationary weapon they drive greater adoption of Crypto
@@CliffPrice-fe9blthe Fed is too slow. Sell programs will kick in and it will be over before the Fed has their first meeting. That’s also what is different.
@ It’s a good point but these automatic trading signals also start buying at certain low levels equally fast… you sometimes see these massive spikes up and down in an instant way outside normal price movements and they can be in either direction up or down… So I’m not sure the whole market will tank in an instant as predicted. I think also you always have the bargain hunters in retail and regular investors who dollar cost average no matter what the market is doing. I don’t think anyone knows for absolute certainty what will happen
@ I agree it won’t be instant but way way faster than it used to be. My argument is only that the Fed is too slow and its moves take a year to take effect. It won’t blunt it very much. Some amount yes, but that will only make it last longer so they have to pick their poison.
I feel investors should focus on under-the-radar stocks, considering the current rollercoaster nature of the stock market, Because 35% of my $270k portfolio comprises plummeting stocks that were once revered... I don't know where to go here out of devastation.
Find quality stocks that have long term potential, and ride with those stocks. I have found it takes someone who is very familiar with the market to make such good picks.
Yes. It is very easy to buy in on trending stocks but the problem is knowing when to sell or hold, which is why a coach is important. I've been in touch with one for about a year now and although I was initially skeptical about it, I will say I've made more progress within a year generating 6figure profit
Fantastic discussion Excellent analysis Henrick Thank you Sir I always love listening to you Adam, thank you for interviewing such a fantastic guest Thank You Gentlemen
Henrik has been the most spot on economist and analyst. He gets the macro side and completely agree we will look back in a couple years and wonder how more people didn’t see the market and crypto bubble. Just crazy times
@@banana-lakefishing6077 Michael Burry shorted the 2006 and 2007 markets. He also had a bunch of shorts up against the 2023 markets, and deleted his twitter. "They saw it, and as a response they shorted some of the biggest market rallies in history" doesn't sound as cool for a movie intro, though
I have been following The Zeberg Report since March 2022, I take everything he predicts with a grain of salt, I would have done better with a coin flip. He does really well explaining things that have already happened, which is still insightful.
I know at some point a bull market ends and a bear begins, it goes on and on... I have a 7 figure ballpark goal and I intend spreading across maybe 50k - 150k on plummeting stocks, my question is how can I know when a market bottom has been reached?
I've been in touch with a financial analyst ever since I started investing. Knowing today's culture The challenge is knowing when to purchase or sell when investing in trending stocks, which is pretty simple. On my portfolio, which has grown over $900k in a little over a year, my adviser chooses entry and exit orders
This time *IS* different, because at no other point in recent history we have been deficit spending at 7%/GDP while at 4% unemployment, record low credit spreads, SP500 at record highs and the Fed starting the rate cut cycle!!! We have never seen this level of juicing.
You can always count on the bear with this guy. Following Wealthion really messed me up for a while. Truth be told, if the market corrected 50% now, I would still be ahead of when this guy (and Snider, Schiff, Gammon, SVM, Booth etc) started spewing BS. If it wasn't for Fedguy Joseph Wang and Cross Border Capital Michael Howell, I would have bought these guys BS longer. Lesson learned... Head shift to Joseph Carlson too.... maybe RUclips investing is not a great idea Ha HA.
I have a 3 fund portfolio consisting of 33% S&P, 33% Total stock, and 33% international. I feel a need to focus on complete growth so I went 100% stocks, but does the SP500 and TSM overlap too much to make sense holding both? However I’ve been in the red for a month now. I work hard for my money, so investing is making me a nervous sad wreck. I don’t know if I should sell everything, sit and just wait but watching my portfolio of $450k dwindle away is such an eye -sore.
there are tons of cool stocks in different industries to watch. You don't have to act on every forecast. I suggest teaming up with a financial advisor who can help you pick the right times to buy and sell the stocks or ETFs you're eyeing. They can give you some solid advice to make smart moves.
That's awesome to hear! Having a skilled advisor to guide your day-to-day investment decisions, especially with their expertise in long and short positions, risk management, and access to exclusive information, can really make a difference. It's no surprise you've seen such impressive returns, netting over 2.8 million in over 2 years. Keep up the great work with your advisor!
I actually subscribed for a few trading courses but it didn't help much, been getting suggestions to use a proper financial advisor, how did you go about touching base with your coach?
My CFA Melissa Terri Swayne, a renowned figure in her line of work. I recommend researching her credentials further. She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market.
The scary thing is, I agree with most of the things said. The thing is that a lot of people are seeing the same, which may influence it all. I see the bottom dropping out about March
I still remember his interview with Adam 4yr ago. Also back then he had some hard numbers on market downturn, one example “Gold at 900$”, which didn’t age well. I would take il his word with a heavy grain of salt, but still interesting interview
The 'problem' is most economists have been suggesting a recession for years, but as soon as we get close to it, the printing presses are started and kick it forward through government borrowing. Economists don't really factor in the printing presses because it is policy not economics. The thing that has changed this time around is that there is no appetite to lend to the US government (nor pretty much any other government) because there are better gains to be had elsewhere, plus the personal liquidity keeping the stock markets rising is not limitless (and will probably run out very soon), plus the huge existing deficits. So, an actual correction and recession is much more likely now. The best we can hope for is a slow ride down, but we'll probably get a sharp fall IMO
It is always about timing, not about whether the sun will come up tomorrow or set thereafter.. There are cycles. How stretched can the rubber band get?
Yes, I agree with this guy. Yeah inflation migth be the long term theme but right now M2 is flat and we are heading towards recession, expect yields to drop in short to medium term.
@@mrm7309 Look at the M2 charts, as a percent of GDP it's below trend. Recession incoming, the data wasn't great, and now that election is over the economic data will magically deteriorate.
Adam has had on so many doom people who say inflation will return and that the economy and stock market will collapse that I find it hard to believe them now. If we get a pullback, it will probably be a short lived correction before the Feds step in and bail out the assets. Inflation higher than it used to be, probably, but maybe not hyperinflation. This is the same story we've been hearing since 2022.
The rich want assets prices to go up. Markets are always like a ball under water, they rise. Someday shit will hit the fan, but by then perma bears will still have never made money
Good guest. Very anaylitical. I think very relevant is the fact that the American consumer is up to 1.17 trillion dollars of debt. Average household almost 8K. One has to ask themselves what happens when the credit market dries up. Your guest indicated he thinks it will.
People have been talking about it since 2016. Around '16/'17 Chyna allegedly did something to push it off again, then in '19 USA pulled the COVID trick to push itnoff again. What will happen this time.
Thank you Adam and Henrik, for another fantastic interview! It leaves me wondering a bit what people like me, who don't have a lot of money to invest or hedge, might do to weather the coming 'storm'... But we'll (have to) manage one way or the other, I guess 🙏🙂
So this current administration let in millions of noncitizens and they’re not added to the unemployment data? Shouldn’t there be some consideration for the impact on those people?
Why should they be on the unemployed data? The state and federal government classifies them as "asylum seekers" or "undocumented workers", and gives them weekly checks + medicaid, hotel accomodations, etc. Does the government give this to people in your unemployed list?
Biggest lesson i've learnt in 2024 in the stock market is that nobody knows what is going to happen next, so practice some humility and follow a strategy with a long term edge.
The real economy doesn't lie. Meanwhile recessions don't happen; they are announced. Opportunistically. If possible, with something big to blame them on. Thanks for this update!
Good luck with that since 99% of media is ridiculously one-sided, being perma-bull. I follow all of the government reports and notice CNBC actively NOT reporting anything that sounds negative. Inversing the media now = sell
Not factored in or at least mentioned is the size of the US debt and the real possibility of the esculation of war. I'd love to hear his toughts on this.
There is no business cycle, there are no "recessions" as the term was traditionally used. Now it is only govt printing and spending. 330 billion in new deficit spending every month, and growing daily They will print and spend as long as they are allowed, and will do whatever is possible to keep it going. The only question is how long they can keep it up for. Look to Argentina's story to see the future.
It will continue until the people buying the bonds to fund it start demanding higher and higher rates. Once that pops it’s game over. I have no idea when that will be.
I think precious metals are telling us the endgame after gold skyrocketed above $2000. The world is going to be splintered more than it already is amongst the people who actually hold rare things. Rare cars, rare artworks, but the best most valuable collectibles will become numismatic gold bullion as the purchasing power of the world’s 99% diminishes drastically. I think the timeframe for this will be sooner than people think.
Agreed. Hopefully people pick up on this and it gets a name and is universally derided as bad policy. Why? Because calling it a recession doesn't change the reality for most people. The private labor market and many industries are already acting like we're in a (minor) recession. You can call it the great depression or best economy ever, it doesn't change the reality that stuff isn't good
I often wonder what the best investment opportunities are right now. There are many opinions, but I’ve found that soon after, those opinions don't seem to matter as the market takes an entirely different turn from what was predicted.
Stocks are overrated at the moment. Consider putting 5% in crypto, the rest in cash, and invest in gold. Wait for the stock, property, and land prices to crash, then buy after they've been at the bottom for 7 to 12 months.
Even with the right technique and assets some investors would still make more than others, as an investor, you should’ve known that by now, nothing beats experience and that’s final, personally I had to reach out to a market analyst for guidance which is how I was able to grow my account close to a million, withdraw my profit right before the correction and now I’m buying again.
Kimberly Grace Flanagan is the CFA I use and im just putting this out here because you asked. You can Just search the name. You’d find necessary details to work with to set up an appointment.
Thoroughly enjoyed this interview. I think he could be right as other smart people have said similar things but from a sentiment level. Adam have you heard of Avi Gilburt. He shares a similar view to Henrik but from a different angle to similar results. He spoke at the New Orleans investment conference.
Perhaps I am living in another world, but what we are experiencing is a booming economy, booming stock market and a booming luxury real estate market. Powell has done a good job of making the rich even richer. Just yesterday one of our clients said that he didn't care what the price of goods are, he is willing to pay it because he makes so much money. That is the sentiment we are hearing more often than one might believe. Powell continued rate cutting will simply make things worse.
That's great. A 55% downturn even without the risks and impacts from global warming inadequately factored in to the market. And those risks and impacts are guaranteed and guaranteed to get worse, and worse still for many decades and decades.
Never forget august 3 the “system” did NOT allow you to trade as the shit was hitting the fan. Look how fast it fell. It was seconds and minutes. “I have time to get out!!” Do you really?????? Be honest with yourself
It's good to hear another bear perspective, thanks. Personally though, I must say I am not a fan of discussions that encourage fear and moving money around. That is how wall street, financial advisors, etc, makes money, when money is moved due to fear and uncertainty. Stick to your plan(I hope you have one), stay calm, stop reacting. Slow and steady, boring, dollar cost averaging the general market is what builds wealth, oh and the biggest thing is avoiding parasitic financial advisors that charge % based fees(this channel tries very hard to herd people into their advisors). If you're truly worried about a crash then you should have already been hedged, such as 60/40 or 50/50 stocks & bonds. Giving you a historical return of 9.1% & 8.7% respectively since 1926.
The fear is justified. We're at $36 trillion and the interest on the debt exceeds $1 trillion. Maybe those numbers don't mean anything to you. If they did, they would INSTILL fear in you as well as a need as to how to protect yourself when we crash and burn. You sound like a, "hear, speak and say no evil" investor. Someone that sticks their head into the sand because uncertainty is too painful. If you're not willing to read the trend, the economy and historical references, you're going to be UNPREPARED and LOSE.
@ Hunter been spot on most of his calls but not all of them of course, yet Adam still has not had him back on his show , I can’t figure out why ( yet he still has guests on that are constantly wrong like Pento )
they haven't dropped any interest rates on credit cards, and those in charge of how this is going to go, want things to stabilize at these rates, normalizing this higher output for the same products and services.
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*"Never sell on War news"* and this is no small War easily the biggest War in human History over 1000 days continuous Russia against Ukraine now has exploded upon The Syria. Imagine if you can a City of 800,000 people suddenly abandoned that is Aleppo Syria in just the past 48 Hours. Whatever caused that clearly will be heading towards Damascus...and elsewhere 😊😊
One lesson I've learnt from billionaires is to always put your money to work, and diversifying your investments. I'm planning to invest about $200k of my funds in stocks this year, and I know I’ll make profits.
You are right. The best approach I feel is to diversify investments by spreading investments across different asset classes like bonds, real estate, and international stocks, they can redupact of a market meltdown.
In a similar circumstance, I consulted an investment advisor. I've increased my portfolio's value from $200k to over $800k in a few years by diversifying it and reorganizing it with growth stocks, S&P 500, and quality ETFs.
@@JamesDinsdale-e6q Please can you leave the info of your lnvestment advsor here? I’m in dire need for one
@@JamesDinsdale-e6q this is all new to me, where do I find a fiduciary, can you recommend any?
One of the most well-known people in her field is my CFA, Annette Marie Holt. I advise doing more study on her qualifications. She is a great resource for anybody trying to understand the financial industry because of her many years of expertise.
This guy may end up being 100% wrong but I love how he directly answers questions and is not afraid to give timelines. I enjoyed this show.
100% right, bubble go pop
IMO he is more right than wrong. Nothing goes up forever unless you clear the atmosphere and all gravitational pulls.. Then you are into space. Markets have never cleared that and have always corrected. It is just a matter of timing.
no one knows, it's all educated guessing
There are no investors any more. Its all speculation. Betting on companies like nVidia for their earnings for 200 years. Hmm.
This time it will be different. "Stocks are going up forever", some wise guy said on Oct 23rd 1929..
when you call for the depression all this time, and it happens 4 years down the road, you are not really right, are you? that means somebody is making a killing for 4 more years.
I feel investors should be focusing on under-the-radar stocks, and considering the current rollercoaster nature of the stock market, Because 35% of my $270k portfolio comprises of plummeting stocks which were once revered and i don't know where to go here out of devastation.
Safest approach i feel to tackle it is to diversify investments. By spreading investments across different asset classes, like bonds, real estate, and international stocks, they can reduce the impact of a market meltdown. its important to seek the guidance of an expert.
A lot of folks downplay the role of advlsors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $$275k to $850K...
This is definitely considerable! think you could suggest any professional/advisors i can get on the phone with? I'm in dire need of proper portfolio allocation.
Her name is Annette Christine Conte can't divulge much. Most likely, the internet should have her basic info, you can research if you like
I merely Googled her name, and her website up right away. So far, it looks interesting. I sent her an email, and I hope she responds soon. Thanks
We all know that something is wrong but we don't know when it will happen...
Do you, Mr. Jones?
Level headed, cogent and clear answers to questions. That kinda says that this is not only a guy who knows what he's talking about but isn't working from a particular agenda or attempting to sell particular outcomes. Thanks for this.
Keep track of his predictions and bring him back in March 2025 to discuss
yeah i followed him since 2022 and same story every year. crash imminent blah blah
Chicken little
This is usually what happen when you keep living in the same bedroom and read news. Look outside, everyone is working and just fine.
The government, the public has already spent the future growth way into the future. In short, way too much debt.
It's astonishing how many voters cannot see this, and continue to blame "immigrants, commies, baby killers, and eco-nuts" for our socioeconomic problems. Until the broad middle-class understands what's been happening to their collective wealth for the last 40 years, nothing will change. The oligarch-plutocrat class will continue to suck their wealth and liberty until we no longer have the liberty this country was founded upon.
LOL I recall friends not investing in 2009 or 2010 because we had so much debt. Of course they held out until the dow hit 30,000 and missed the opportunity of a lifetime. Debt is not a problem as long we remain productive and attractive for foreign buyers.
@@smb-zf9bd Well then, maybe it the lack of brains.
Unemployment is also being masked by the gig economy, this wasn’t around in 2008.
Exactly. Part time and foreign born jobs have decimated the statistics under the covers for full time jobs for native born people.
Employment is definitely the most strangely behaving data set this business cycle. If unemployment was 5-6% and initial claims were at 400k, it would line up perfectly with manufacturing, freight, and other leading economy macro data, and it would also line up with the Fed undergoing a serious easing cycle. We're not seeing that. Whether it's more about Uber and Doordash, or more people living off the income of friends and family, or living off past savings, I'm not sure.
Bs
Well, according to the plan, we are supposed to have an eventual "explosion" of unemployment due to inflation, AI, banking crisis, credit crisis, supply chain crisis, etc. Once unemployment skyrockets, the plan shows the stock market is going to collapse. Do we know exactly "when" this is going to happen? No. However, it's the 5th stage of the Great Reset.
I love Henrik Zeberg. I am so glad you have him on as a guest. I always enjoy hearing what he has to say.
Yes, Please have Mr. Zeberg back on. He is very intelligent and informed.
Great discussion. Please ask this gentleman to return soon.
I have been really wanting you to interview Henrik Zeberg for months. Outstanding interview as always. Thanks, Adam. Have a blessed holiday season.
In December 2023, Henrik was on Jay Martin, and he said a recession would start by May 2024. He was completely wrong. He makes good points, but good points with bad timing will lose you money.
It did start
The only way stupid money knows what is happening is because of the GOVERNMENT SUPPLIED DATA
And they LIE
Understand ?
This man is a genius!!! Clearly explained and spot on.
Adam. Been listening to you since you were on the other channel, and followed you here. Also been a subscriber to Henrik’s Serivce for about 1.5yrs and he has been spot on so far. Glad to see you have him in your channel!!!
Thanks!
In the mid 2000 after 2 decades on Wall Street as a bond trader ... I remember landscapers showing me their gains in their equities portfolios and waitresses giving me stock tips and investment advice ... ie: "stonks only go up" ... then I'd ask them where they were, what the were doing in October 87 ? ... or how much money they were managing ? .... then I look at the comments here and other video's .... lol .... the next crash will be a black swan even, triggering billions of losses via machine trading ... this time it will be instantaneous ... and I'm not sure most will survive it
What’s different this time compared to history is that the Fed knows quantitative easing the printing of money prevents severe crashes and each time they use this inflationary weapon they drive greater adoption of Crypto
@@CliffPrice-fe9blCrypto is crashing too
@@CliffPrice-fe9blthe Fed is too slow. Sell programs will kick in and it will be over before the Fed has their first meeting. That’s also what is different.
@ It’s a good point but these automatic trading signals also start buying at certain low levels equally fast… you sometimes see these massive spikes up and down in an instant way outside normal price movements and they can be in either direction up or down… So I’m not sure the whole market will tank in an instant as predicted. I think also you always have the bargain hunters in retail and regular investors who dollar cost average no matter what the market is doing. I don’t think anyone knows for absolute certainty what will happen
@ I agree it won’t be instant but way way faster than it used to be. My argument is only that the Fed is too slow and its moves take a year to take effect. It won’t blunt it very much. Some amount yes, but that will only make it last longer so they have to pick their poison.
Wonderful interview with Henrik! Thanks to you both.
I feel investors should focus on under-the-radar stocks, considering the current rollercoaster nature of the stock market, Because 35% of my $270k portfolio comprises plummeting stocks that were once revered... I don't know where to go here out of devastation.
Find quality stocks that have long term potential, and ride with those stocks. I have found it takes someone who is very familiar with the market to make such good picks.
Yes. It is very easy to buy in on trending stocks but the problem is knowing when to sell or hold, which is why a coach is important. I've been in touch with one for about a year now and although I was initially skeptical about it, I will say I've made more progress within a year generating 6figure profit
how can I get your advisor please, if you don't mind me asking? I could really use a help as of now.
Her name is 'Kenia Giordani Borges’ Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
Thank you for this amazing tip. I just looked the name up, wrote her explaining my financial market goals and scheduled a call
Two brilliant men...thank you!
Top shelf guest. This was enjoyable! Thanks, Adam!
Fantastic discussion
Excellent analysis Henrick
Thank you Sir
I always love listening to you Adam, thank you for interviewing such a fantastic guest
Thank You Gentlemen
Adam - This is another one of your interveiws that's a listen over and over and then over somemore!
Henrik has been the most spot on economist and analyst. He gets the macro side and completely agree we will look back in a couple years and wonder how more people didn’t see the market and crypto bubble. Just crazy times
Opening credits of The Big Short:
“They saw it by doing something the rest of the suckers never thought to do…..They looked”
@@banana-lakefishing6077 Michael Burry shorted the 2006 and 2007 markets. He also had a bunch of shorts up against the 2023 markets, and deleted his twitter.
"They saw it, and as a response they shorted some of the biggest market rallies in history" doesn't sound as cool for a movie intro, though
Great guest he’s always amazing
Excellent discussion thank you. Not investing advice, but a solid perspective. We all listen and follow the data I hope!
YES! Long term unemployment is such a major labor market indicator that is happening. Thank you for bringing this up! We can't shout this out enough.
Veryt informative. Henrik is reinforcing a message I have been hearing for a few years. It seems only a matter of time.
Thank you. Please have Henrik Zeberg back!
I think you are very RIGHT about a severe depression coming, but 99% of the people I talk to, think all is good.
Trump promised, and many fools believed him. Now the world will suffer
I have been following The Zeberg Report since March 2022, I take everything he predicts with a grain of salt, I would have done better with a coin flip. He does really well explaining things that have already happened, which is still insightful.
I know at some point a bull market ends and a bear begins, it goes on and on... I have a 7 figure ballpark goal and I intend spreading across maybe 50k - 150k on plummeting stocks, my question is how can I know when a market bottom has been reached?
I also think everyone needs a Margin of Safety in their portfolios and just remember, It's time in the market versus timing the market.
I've been in touch with a financial analyst ever since I started investing. Knowing today's culture The challenge is knowing when to purchase or sell when investing in trending stocks, which is pretty simple. On my portfolio, which has grown over $900k in a little over a year, my adviser chooses entry and exit orders
I could really use the expertise of this advsors
Her name is ‘Marissa Lynn Babula’. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
You Can't.
This time *IS* different, because at no other point in recent history we have been deficit spending at 7%/GDP while at 4% unemployment, record low credit spreads, SP500 at record highs and the Fed starting the rate cut cycle!!! We have never seen this level of juicing.
Really great point, seems like war time spending is here to offset deflation primarily exported by China.
+$34 T in debt and a simultaneous credit/housing/stock bubble that hasn't happened since 1929
Wealthion claimed: Crash in 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, now 2025? lmfao.
Expert on saying nothing with flare!!! This guy has like a hundred channels and all blurting out the same wrong BS LOL
Yep, no credibility when your predictions don't come true!
You can always count on the bear with this guy. Following Wealthion really messed me up for a while. Truth be told, if the market corrected 50% now, I would still be ahead of when this guy (and Snider, Schiff, Gammon, SVM, Booth etc) started spewing BS. If it wasn't for Fedguy Joseph Wang and Cross Border Capital Michael Howell, I would have bought these guys BS longer. Lesson learned... Head shift to Joseph Carlson too.... maybe RUclips investing is not a great idea Ha HA.
The market fell 25% in 2022. Not enough?
Always next year. Meanwhile lost gains
Thank you for giving us Henrik Zeberg's views.
I have a 3 fund portfolio consisting of 33% S&P, 33% Total stock, and 33% international. I feel a need to focus on complete growth so I went 100% stocks, but does the SP500 and TSM overlap too much to make sense holding both? However I’ve been in the red for a month now. I work hard for my money, so investing is making me a nervous sad wreck. I don’t know if I should sell everything, sit and just wait but watching my portfolio of $450k dwindle away is such an eye -sore.
there are tons of cool stocks in different industries to watch. You don't have to act on every forecast. I suggest teaming up with a financial advisor who can help you pick the right times to buy and sell the stocks or ETFs you're eyeing. They can give you some solid advice to make smart moves.
That's awesome to hear! Having a skilled advisor to guide your day-to-day investment decisions, especially with their expertise in long and short positions, risk management, and access to exclusive information, can really make a difference. It's no surprise you've seen such impressive returns, netting over 2.8 million in over 2 years. Keep up the great work with your advisor!
I actually subscribed for a few trading courses but it didn't help much, been getting suggestions to use a proper financial advisor, how did you go about touching base with your coach?
My CFA Melissa Terri Swayne, a renowned figure in her line of work. I recommend researching her credentials further. She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market.
I searched her up online and checked out her credentials since I was so intrigued. Top-notch! I emailed her to inquire about accepting new clients.
The scary thing is, I agree with most of the things said. The thing is that a lot of people are seeing the same, which may influence it all. I see the bottom dropping out about March
“Lack of fear” in the markets is a sobering observation.
Thank you for another great interview that helps me decide how to deal with what may happen.
I still remember his interview with Adam 4yr ago. Also back then he had some hard numbers on market downturn, one example “Gold at 900$”, which didn’t age well. I would take il his word with a heavy grain of salt, but still interesting interview
Can't you even see that the markets have been manipulated because of the election ?
They lie on the jobs and other data TO YOUR FACE and you ignore it
No one can predict the future but Mr Zeberg tells it like he sees it and unfiltered, for that he has my respect.
Top tier interview!!
Glad you found it of value!
Good stuff 😊
Favorite interviewer and near favorite interviewee (Rick Rule rules). Excellent episode.
Hey RUclips algo; give this channel more love
Thank you for the interview, Adam.
Henryk Zeberg told the same story 4 years ago ! His beliefs are constant and he will end up being right but when ?
Someday when were all dead
4 years ago, he laid out his charts. They have been correct and made all of us money who subscribe to his report.
The 'problem' is most economists have been suggesting a recession for years, but as soon as we get close to it, the printing presses are started and kick it forward through government borrowing. Economists don't really factor in the printing presses because it is policy not economics.
The thing that has changed this time around is that there is no appetite to lend to the US government (nor pretty much any other government) because there are better gains to be had elsewhere, plus the personal liquidity keeping the stock markets rising is not limitless (and will probably run out very soon), plus the huge existing deficits.
So, an actual correction and recession is much more likely now. The best we can hope for is a slow ride down, but we'll probably get a sharp fall IMO
@@shambhangal438Also most of our trading partners are already in recession so demand is going down no matter how much they print.
It is always about timing, not about whether the sun will come up tomorrow or set thereafter.. There are cycles. How stretched can the rubber band get?
I want Henrik to be on EVERY DAY
Great work Henrik
Thanks Adam 👍
good stuff - - - henrik rocks
Great guest Adam TY
Have bookmarked. Let's revisit in March.
Thank you Adam and Hendrick
This was really good. Thank you
Thanks Adam
Another fine mind, thankyou both for this overview, it feels correct tbh !
100%agree with his assumptions & time line !!
It's all over people!!! Times up. I'm in my underground bunker ready to seal the hatch. I'll be checking in topside next year. 🙏
🤡
Yes, I agree with this guy. Yeah inflation migth be the long term theme but right now M2 is flat and we are heading towards recession, expect yields to drop in short to medium term.
Can't have a recession when government is deficit spending at 10% GDP. Printers go brrrrrrrrr.
@@mrm7309 Look at the M2 charts, as a percent of GDP it's below trend. Recession incoming, the data wasn't great, and now that election is over the economic data will magically deteriorate.
Great discussion.👍
Adam has had on so many doom people who say inflation will return and that the economy and stock market will collapse that I find it hard to believe them now. If we get a pullback, it will probably be a short lived correction before the Feds step in and bail out the assets. Inflation higher than it used to be, probably, but maybe not hyperinflation. This is the same story we've been hearing since 2022.
The rich want assets prices to go up. Markets are always like a ball under water, they rise. Someday shit will hit the fan, but by then perma bears will still have never made money
Adam is merely talking his books, that's already very obvious. The problem is his followers losing money and opportunity.
Look at the 2yr 10yr inversion chart back to 1980… 6/6 recession followed. But you think this won’t? What charts are you using?
Thank you Henrik for that chart!
Wow! I was just asking if you could do an interview with Henrik Zeberg! Thank you!
Good guest. Very anaylitical. I think very relevant is the fact that the American consumer is up to 1.17 trillion dollars of debt. Average household almost 8K. One has to ask themselves what happens when the credit market dries up. Your guest indicated he thinks it will.
I've been waiting for 4 years for this recession
You’ll eventually get it. It’s been push off by the huge federal deficit spending which can’t go on forever
I have lost an estimated $500K not being all in waiting for the big drop.
@raesmart3305 your not alone.
People have been talking about it since 2016. Around '16/'17 Chyna allegedly did something to push it off again, then in '19 USA pulled the COVID trick to push itnoff again. What will happen this time.
@raesmart3305 remember, to make up for a 50% drop you'll need to make 100% just to break even. That's not easy, can take years
Thank you Adam and Henrik, for another fantastic interview!
It leaves me wondering a bit what people like me, who don't have a lot of money to invest or hedge, might do to weather the coming 'storm'... But we'll (have to) manage one way or the other, I guess 🙏🙂
So this current administration let in millions of noncitizens and they’re not added to the unemployment data? Shouldn’t there be some consideration for the impact on those people?
Why should they be on the unemployed data? The state and federal government classifies them as "asylum seekers" or "undocumented workers", and gives them weekly checks + medicaid, hotel accomodations, etc. Does the government give this to people in your unemployed list?
Great as usual, Adam!
Biggest lesson i've learnt in 2024 in the stock market is that nobody knows what is going to happen next, so practice some humility and follow a strategy with a long term edge.
The real economy doesn't lie. Meanwhile recessions don't happen; they are announced. Opportunistically. If possible, with something big to blame them on. Thanks for this update!
This aligns with my thesis.
This video certainly helps to buy more stocks and indices. Negative media perception means further rally. S&P to touch 7k in 2025
Good luck with that since 99% of media is ridiculously one-sided, being perma-bull. I follow all of the government reports and notice CNBC actively NOT reporting anything that sounds negative. Inversing the media now = sell
Not factored in or at least mentioned is the size of the US debt and the real possibility of the esculation of war. I'd love to hear his toughts on this.
There is no business cycle, there are no "recessions" as the term was traditionally used. Now it is only govt printing and spending. 330 billion in new deficit spending every month, and growing daily They will print and spend as long as they are allowed, and will do whatever is possible to keep it going. The only question is how long they can keep it up for. Look to Argentina's story to see the future.
It will continue until the people buying the bonds to fund it start demanding higher and higher rates. Once that pops it’s game over. I have no idea when that will be.
I think precious metals are telling us the endgame after gold skyrocketed above $2000. The world is going to be splintered more than it already is amongst the people who actually hold rare things. Rare cars, rare artworks, but the best most valuable collectibles will become numismatic gold bullion as the purchasing power of the world’s 99% diminishes drastically. I think the timeframe for this will be sooner than people think.
@@deanrotering879 MSTR is offering Bitcoin backed bonds
Agreed. Hopefully people pick up on this and it gets a name and is universally derided as bad policy. Why? Because calling it a recession doesn't change the reality for most people. The private labor market and many industries are already acting like we're in a (minor) recession. You can call it the great depression or best economy ever, it doesn't change the reality that stuff isn't good
@@deanrotering879what prevents the fed from buying gov debt directly like Japan?
Decline When?. After increasing 75% from today’s value, or from today’s values? We all know it’s overvalued, but....
He’s awesome
I often wonder what the best investment opportunities are right now. There are many opinions, but I’ve found that soon after, those opinions don't seem to matter as the market takes an entirely different turn from what was predicted.
Stocks are overrated at the moment. Consider putting 5% in crypto, the rest in cash, and invest in gold. Wait for the stock, property, and land prices to crash, then buy after they've been at the bottom for 7 to 12 months.
Even with the right technique and assets some investors would still make more than others, as an investor, you should’ve known that by now, nothing beats experience and that’s final, personally I had to reach out to a market analyst for guidance which is how I was able to grow my account close to a million, withdraw my profit right before the correction and now I’m buying again.
How can i reach this person?
Kimberly Grace Flanagan is the CFA I use and im just putting this out here because you asked. You can Just search the name. You’d find necessary details to work with to set up an appointment.
Thank you for the lead. I searched her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.
Very informative thanks
Great Interview!!!
Negative sentiment is growing :-)
Thoroughly enjoyed this interview. I think he could be right as other smart people have said similar things but from a sentiment level.
Adam have you heard of Avi Gilburt. He shares a similar view to Henrik but from a different angle to similar results. He spoke at the New Orleans investment conference.
Henrik is great 🎉He is in the right track...🎉i follow him for a Long Time🤑💪
And he's hot so I like watching the interview too!
I once believed markets had cycles. I don't know what to believe anymore.
You can argue narrow credit spreads is no different to stock price highs. In a bubble they would both squeeze together before any pop.
Awesome interview. Please follow uo with him.
Perhaps I am living in another world, but what we are experiencing is a booming economy, booming stock market and a booming luxury real estate market. Powell has done a good job of making the rich even richer. Just yesterday one of our clients said that he didn't care what the price of goods are, he is willing to pay it because he makes so much money. That is the sentiment we are hearing more often than one might believe. Powell continued rate cutting will simply make things worse.
That's great. A 55% downturn even without the risks and impacts from global warming inadequately factored in to the market. And those risks and impacts are guaranteed and guaranteed to get worse, and worse still for many decades and decades.
LOL
Mr Zeberg is the best
Hi pops and bro!
Thanks for the timestamps! Please keep them in all videos.
Never forget august 3 the “system” did NOT allow you to trade as the shit was hitting the fan. Look how fast it fell. It was seconds and minutes. “I have time to get out!!” Do you really?????? Be honest with yourself
It's good to hear another bear perspective, thanks.
Personally though, I must say I am not a fan of discussions that encourage fear and moving money around. That is how wall street, financial advisors, etc, makes money, when money is moved due to fear and uncertainty. Stick to your plan(I hope you have one), stay calm, stop reacting.
Slow and steady, boring, dollar cost averaging the general market is what builds wealth, oh and the biggest thing is avoiding parasitic financial advisors that charge % based fees(this channel tries very hard to herd people into their advisors).
If you're truly worried about a crash then you should have already been hedged, such as 60/40 or 50/50 stocks & bonds. Giving you a historical return of 9.1% & 8.7% respectively since 1926.
The fear is justified. We're at $36 trillion and the interest on the debt exceeds $1 trillion. Maybe those numbers don't mean anything to you. If they did, they would INSTILL fear in you as well as a need as to how to protect yourself when we crash and burn. You sound like a, "hear, speak and say no evil" investor. Someone that sticks their head into the sand because uncertainty is too painful. If you're not willing to read the trend, the economy and historical references, you're going to be UNPREPARED and LOSE.
So don't watch
@@guydaleyMarket timing is the worst thing you can do.
Thank you Adam.
David Hunter called all of this a couple of years ago.
Hunter claims Henrik plagiarized him -and has pretty compelling evidence.
@ Hunter been spot on most of his calls but not all of them of course, yet Adam still has not had him back on his show , I can’t figure out why ( yet he still has guests on that are constantly wrong like Pento )
Everyone has a crystal ball.
Thank you for the content
they haven't dropped any interest rates on credit cards, and those in charge of how this is going to go, want things to stabilize at these rates, normalizing this higher output for the same products and services.