➡ Sign up for Larry's 2025 Annual Forecast Report: ireallytrade.com/forecasts/ 👀 See what better financial charting can do for you! stockcharts.com 👍🏻 If you enjoyed this video be sure to hit the THUMBS UP ✅ If you found value, consider SUBSCRIBING to our channel and ring the bell so you never miss a new video! Subscribe Here: tinyurl.com/wvet7qj
Larry- Thanks to you. This time in late Dec 2022 my account was crushed by the tech crash and rate hiking regime. I watched your video on 2023 market forecast. Your track record/cycles convinced me to get more aggressive to make back my losses. Two years later I have 2.5X my account and back to my all time high's. Retirement is much better now. I can't thank you enough!
Larry Williams ... the one, the only. I remember Larry from our days in chasing Mount Sinai with the late David Fasold, who passed away more than 20 years ago.
I had problem comprehending trading in general. I tried watching other RUclips trading channels, but they made the concepts more complicated. I was almost giving up until when i discovered content and explain everything in detail. The videos are easy to follow
I've been a subscriber of Larry's annual forecasts for many years now and I've always found them helpful in navigating markets. Whenever the technicals and Larry's cycle forecasts align I know my chances of a successful trade are high.
Thank you Larry - a very Merry Christmas and Happy New Year 🎉 to you and yours - always very insightful - your 2024 forecast kept me in the market and my futures trading has improved immensely thanks to your futures course. God Bless!!!!
I’ve developed a stock model that excels at identifying entry points. Compared to random entry points, which have a 54% probability of closing higher on the second day, the model’s entry points show a 68% probability of an upward move. Additionally, the model’s selected entries have an average second-day return of 0.43%, compared to just 0.05% for random entries. This model uses S&P 500 index data from 2011, and its performance has remained consistently strong over the years. The model is based on a straightforward trend reversal pattern, which I found to outperform more complex models built using machine learning or neural networks when it comes to selecting entry points.
Thank you Larry (and thank you Stockcharts for convincing Larry to do these excellent videos!)........you are simply the BEST. wishing you and Louise great health and happiness for 2025.
Awesome video! You crushed the analysis. It’s always a pleasure watching your videos because you always go the extra mile. Step Finance is making major strides, can we expect a detailed breakdown of their ecosystem soon?
Larry, where can a newbie start if he wants to learn more about long term market cycle ? Could you suggest some studies, websites, or people to follow? I find your cycle study information fascinating. Thank you very very much for providing us years of valuable information in guiding us through the crazy market ups and down. I wish I found you earlier.
Hi Larry, Will a recession inevitably mean the Fed will have to cut rates? If so, what are your thoughts on holding US long-term treasuries and TLT etf given a potential upcoming recession? Thank you for all your videos.
Larry, what a wonderful analysis of the markets. Thank you for the work you do and for your willingness to share your insights with the public. I was wondering if you or anyone else has studied or kept records of how many shares there are that are currently outstanding? So, I’m wondering if share “rarity” due to the great number shares that have been pulled in via buybacks have played a role in the upward pressure in share and index prices? IE supply and demand influences. It seems to me that companies with fewer and fewer shares outstanding, their share prices move with greater amplitude than companies with huge numbers of available shares. With these thoughts in mind, it would seem as if the shrinking universe of stocks (if this occurs) might create a subtle and potentially powerful directional force in the markets. One of things that I feel as though supports this hypothesis is how quickly deep sell offs recover as shares are gobbled up by the dip buyers. It seems as if there is a big entity out there that simply can’t wait to scoop up the shares that some other group has let go of. I’d like to hear your thoughts on this theory. Merry Christmas sir and may God Bless you and your family.
The video states that the current P/E ratio of the dow is 38.5. Every source i can find on the internet says the P/E ratio of the Dow is 26.8 Using Larry's 20.95 6 year average P/E ratio, the actual current 26.8 P/E ratio is about 28% higher than than the 6 year average - not 54% higher, as the video claims. His errored 38.5 and 54% values are shown at the 14:00 minute mark.
So he is predicting an overall 5% for the markets or so this year? Did I follow that? Hardly above short term treasuries for the risk. Also, although he did discuss tariffs, he did not mention of impact on economy on mass deportation of shadow workforce. I would expect that labor reduction in a tight labor market to have disastrous effects?
Successful investing is hard work because it means disciplining your mind to do the opposite of human nature. Buying during a panic, selling during euphoria, and holding on when you are bored and just craving a little action. Investing is 5% intellect and 95% temperament.
3:30 Good, Bad and the Ugly in 2025 7:30 Profit taking in January 8:30 High protective tariffs 13:00 The ugly 18:30 *Bullish bias for 2025* 21:50 Rally imminent 23:00 AI
Great to see you Larry... we're both still at it... and Liz Taylor's doctor was mine for years :) . You and I are the only veterans dating to Channel 22 in LA and enjoyed your hospitality once in Carmel. Anyway we're focused (inger letter of course plus my daily 'X' comments @stockseer ) .. anyway we are in the Quantum Stocks for 2 months and huge gains which are parabolic; no idea what's next and doubt you do either. Our BBAI and SOUN holdings are working out after lots of struggle and volatility. Anyway just wanted to say hi... let's do this for more orbits of the Sun :)
I'm relatively new to investing and have recently purchased and read through the forecast for 2025. I still am a little confused on the difference between the short-term wave (red line) and the blue line for the most likely bull wave? Should I be following the red or the blue ?
Mr. Williams - In late Aug, Jim Cramer's presentation of your work based on long and short cycles showed a guess that NVDA might go down to around 68, then up by the end of the year to between 90 and 120. The top-end year-end prediction was achieved, but in between the dip to around 70 (predicted by both your cycles' analyses) was not. What happened in between to cause the miss on the low ? Thanks.
Larry, is the CAPE index you are showing adjusted for changes in how businesses report under GAAP? See below. Limitations of the CAPE Ratio Critics of the CAPE ratio contend that it is not very useful since it is inherently backward-looking, rather than forward-looking. Another issue is that the ratio relies on generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) earnings, which have undergone marked changes in recent years. In June 2016, Jeremy Siegel of the Wharton School published a paper in which he said that forecasts of future equity returns using the CAPE ratio might be overly pessimistic because of changes in the way GAAP earnings are calculated. 4 Siegel said that using consistent earnings data such as operating earnings or NIPA (national income and product account) after-tax corporate profits, rather than GAAP earnings, improves the forecasting ability of the CAPE model and forecasts higher U.S. equity returns.
➡ Sign up for Larry's 2025 Annual Forecast Report: ireallytrade.com/forecasts/
👀 See what better financial charting can do for you! stockcharts.com
👍🏻 If you enjoyed this video be sure to hit the THUMBS UP
✅ If you found value, consider SUBSCRIBING to our channel and ring the bell so you never miss a new video! Subscribe Here: tinyurl.com/wvet7qj
Awesome Larry Williams, Merry Christmas and a Happy and profitable New Year
Larry- Thanks to you. This time in late Dec 2022 my account was crushed by the tech crash and rate hiking regime. I watched your video on 2023 market forecast. Your track record/cycles convinced me to get more aggressive to make back my losses. Two years later I have 2.5X my account and back to my all time high's. Retirement is much better now.
I can't thank you enough!
Congratulations and hope you get to take some profits off the table. Lots of people just see these gains and don’t realize some of it
Thanks!
Thank you!
Larry Williams ... the one, the only. I remember Larry from our days in chasing Mount Sinai with the late David Fasold, who passed away more than 20 years ago.
Very much appreciate StockCharts TV bringing us the iconic Larry Williams. Merry Christmas/Happy Holidays. Be well.
with Larry's 2024 forecast, and a lot of CNBC time, i made a 187% gain YTD as of 12/18. i have the data to prove it. Thanks Larry!
Congratulations.....any clue how?...
@@nconde67show us your stats bro. You can screenshot them here
Biggest winners? Proof?😊
NVDA
Thank you so much Larry Williams for the great teachings all over the years ❤
I had problem comprehending trading in general. I tried watching other RUclips trading channels, but they made the concepts more complicated. I was almost giving up until when i discovered content and explain everything in detail. The videos are easy to follow
Dear Larry, Merry Christmas 🎄
Love you LW. So good to hear your voice. Merry Christmas & Happy Hollidays everybody.
Thank you Larry and have a good start into 2025
happy holidays mr williams! thanks for the insights
Thank you Larry for your invaluable insight.
Larry Williams 2025 predictions, thank you so much. Merry Christmas
Thank you Larry! Have a great Christmas and New Year.
I've been checking LWs theory with his indicator for the past 3 years. He is right on with long term trends.
Excellent overview, thanks Larry!
Thanks Larry. You've been a great help to me! I look forward to your annual report!
I've been a subscriber of Larry's annual forecasts for many years now and I've always found them helpful in navigating markets. Whenever the technicals and Larry's cycle forecasts align I know my chances of a successful trade are high.
Just checked his subscription but he hasn't released it. How much does he usually charge for the annual report?
@@Palmer-gs3wz Maybe 200 bucks
@@Palmer-gs3wz It's been $199 for the past several years. Not sure if there will be any increase this year or not.
@@Palmer-gs3wzsomething north of $150
@@shortcalls17 oh ok, not bad. Thanks
Please do more interviews Larry...don't retire too quick
Thank you SO MUCH MR WILLIAMS! Your Forecasts truly are roadmaps for those that take the time to read it thoroughly... cant wait for Dec 31st!
Thank you Larry - a very Merry Christmas and Happy New Year 🎉 to you and yours - always very insightful - your 2024 forecast kept me in the market and my futures trading has improved immensely thanks to your futures course. God Bless!!!!
Thanks Larry! Great forecast as usual.
Larry is tops. No BS . He is one of a kind!
Thanks for the informative and specific opinions. Appreciate the forecasts- you have a great record. Merry Christmas
Always looking forward to your videos. Thank you Larry
Great presentation, Thanks
Thank you Larry❤
Thank you Larry, I enjoyed your presentation! 🎉
Thanks Larry. Have a great Christmas!
Thanks for your prompt information & keep supporting us
great stuff, larry. thanks so much
Larry you are one of the very best!
Thanks Larry, your the best!
Much appreciated Larry, thanks!
I’ve developed a stock model that excels at identifying entry points. Compared to random entry points, which have a 54% probability of closing higher on the second day, the model’s entry points show a 68% probability of an upward move. Additionally, the model’s selected entries have an average second-day return of 0.43%, compared to just 0.05% for random entries. This model uses S&P 500 index data from 2011, and its performance has remained consistently strong over the years.
The model is based on a straightforward trend reversal pattern, which I found to outperform more complex models built using machine learning or neural networks when it comes to selecting entry points.
Thank you for these insights!
Thanks Mr. W. Good Stuff.
Thank you. Interesting-- as a retiree I would love to know what he recommends for asset allocation. Long term chart looks grim.
great video
Very helpful. Thank you!
Thanks for the video, larry ❤
Thank you Larry (and thank you Stockcharts for convincing Larry to do these excellent videos!)........you are simply the BEST. wishing you and Louise great health and happiness for 2025.
Awesome video! You crushed the analysis. It’s always a pleasure watching your videos because you always go the extra mile. Step Finance is making major strides, can we expect a detailed breakdown of their ecosystem soon?
Thank you so much doing this impossible task possible by using your decades of experience and study.
Merry Christmas and Happy New Year ❤
The greatest living legend in our world! Thank you, Larry
Larry, where can a newbie start if he wants to learn more about long term market cycle ? Could you suggest some studies, websites, or people to follow? I find your cycle study information fascinating. Thank you very very much for providing us years of valuable information in guiding us through the crazy market ups and down. I wish I found you earlier.
Happy Holidays @Larry Williams & family ❄️🎄🐾
God bless you, Larry! Legend status
Simply superb report! 🙏
Listen to Larry Williams. Trust Larry Williams!
Hi Larry, Will a recession inevitably mean the Fed will have to cut rates? If so, what are your thoughts on holding US long-term treasuries and TLT etf given a potential upcoming recession? Thank you for all your videos.
our presentation style is so engaging! I found myself captivated from start to finish
Great job Larry!
He is BACKKKK! Missed you Larry 🙂
Thanks for all you share and wishing you a Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays!
Larry is a legend.
Looking forward to reading the 2025 forecast
Great analysis as usual! I do think tariffs will basically destroy the economy though. That’s where the volatility will come in.
Awsome, thank you!
I love Larry Williams and I miss our monthly meetings. Is there a way we can have him come back quarterly?
Thank you StockCharts and Larry Williams! Merry Christmas to you and your family!
Very cool, thanks!
👍 great work
Thank you Larry
Hell yeah, Larry has the crystal ball 🙌😁🌙🚀🌙🥳🎉🤗 🔮
Larry, what a wonderful analysis of the markets. Thank you for the work you do and for your willingness to share your insights with the public. I was wondering if you or anyone else has studied or kept records of how many shares there are that are currently outstanding? So, I’m wondering if share “rarity” due to the great number shares that have been pulled in via buybacks have played a role in the upward pressure in share and index prices? IE supply and demand influences.
It seems to me that companies with fewer and fewer shares outstanding, their share prices move with greater amplitude than companies with huge numbers of available shares. With these thoughts in mind, it would seem as if the shrinking universe of stocks (if this occurs) might create a subtle and potentially powerful directional force in the markets. One of things that I feel as though supports this hypothesis is how quickly deep sell offs recover as shares are gobbled up by the dip buyers. It seems as if there is a big entity out there that simply can’t wait to scoop up the shares that some other group has let go of. I’d like to hear your thoughts on this theory. Merry Christmas sir and may God Bless you and your family.
Larry Williams= 85% Clarity,
and that's Good enough for me🏅
Larry is numero uno 🎉🥳🎊🥳🎉🎊🎉🎊🥳🎊
The video states that the current P/E ratio of the dow is 38.5. Every source i can find on the internet says the P/E ratio of the Dow is 26.8 Using Larry's 20.95 6 year average P/E ratio, the actual current 26.8 P/E ratio is about 28% higher than than the 6 year average - not 54% higher, as the video claims. His errored 38.5 and 54% values are shown at the 14:00 minute mark.
If employment remains high in the US.Doesn't that mean that interest rates will not come down?Put more pressure on inflation.
A True Legend and a True Gentleman
Brilliant Larry!!!
Best content ❤
So he is predicting an overall 5% for the markets or so this year? Did I follow that? Hardly above short term treasuries for the risk. Also, although he did discuss tariffs, he did not mention of impact on economy on mass deportation of shadow workforce. I would expect that labor reduction in a tight labor market to have disastrous effects?
Successful investing is hard work because it means disciplining your mind to do the opposite of human nature. Buying during a panic, selling during euphoria, and holding on when you are bored and just craving a little action. Investing is 5% intellect and 95% temperament.
I don’t believe anyone but Larry! Thanks Larry! 😊
Thanks Larry 😊
Thank You
Great video, thanks Larry. Shared it with our group members as well.
3:30 Good, Bad and the Ugly in 2025
7:30 Profit taking in January
8:30 High protective tariffs
13:00 The ugly
18:30 *Bullish bias for 2025*
21:50 Rally imminent
23:00 AI
Great to see you Larry... we're both still at it... and Liz Taylor's doctor was mine for years :) . You and I are the only veterans dating to Channel 22 in LA and enjoyed your hospitality once in Carmel. Anyway we're focused (inger letter of course plus my daily 'X' comments @stockseer ) .. anyway we are in the Quantum Stocks for 2 months and huge gains which are parabolic; no idea what's next and doubt you do either. Our BBAI and SOUN holdings are working out after lots of struggle and volatility. Anyway just wanted to say hi... let's do this for more orbits of the Sun :)
Amazing thanks 😊😊😊
I'm relatively new to investing and have recently purchased and read through the forecast for 2025. I still am a little confused on the difference between the short-term wave (red line) and the blue line for the most likely bull wave? Should I be following the red or the blue ?
Thank you Larry!
So when shoot i sell my portfolio? January or wait
Thank you Larry. Merry Christmas 🌲
Thank you dear legend, Larry William. In LW we trust.
Good stuff Larry. Are you still competing in the olympics?
Happy Holiday. Thank you for posting.
Very interesting. Thanks
Mr. Williams - In late Aug, Jim Cramer's presentation of your work based on long and short cycles showed a guess that NVDA might go down to around 68, then up by the end of the year to between 90 and 120. The top-end year-end prediction was achieved, but in between the dip to around 70 (predicted by both your cycles' analyses) was not. What happened in between to cause the miss on the low ? Thanks.
Where can I view the Bitcoin GBTC chart?
I am interested in the charts that shows years ending with 4s, your best fit for 2025 and long term cycle! Tnx
Can you please do a video about Neonode vs Samsung, Apple and Google?
Larry, is the CAPE index you are showing adjusted for changes in how businesses report under GAAP? See below.
Limitations of the CAPE Ratio
Critics of the CAPE ratio contend that it is not very useful since it is inherently backward-looking, rather than forward-looking. Another issue is that the ratio relies on generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) earnings, which have undergone marked changes in recent years.
In June 2016, Jeremy Siegel of the Wharton School published a paper in which he said that forecasts of future equity returns using the CAPE ratio might be overly pessimistic because of changes in the way GAAP earnings are calculated.
4
Siegel said that using consistent earnings data such as operating earnings or NIPA (national income and product account) after-tax corporate profits, rather than GAAP earnings, improves the forecasting ability of the CAPE model and forecasts higher U.S. equity returns.
Gidday, Larry...What do you guesstimate the S&P 500 Shiller CAPE Ratio Circa 38 currently will find support/base around? Shows the LTA Circa 20ish
very good
Thanks. 👍