LARRY WILLIAMS: Dow 40k, Cycle Analysis, and Lessons Learned

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  • Опубликовано: 20 июн 2024
  • 05.16.24: Legendary trader and author Larry Williams joins David Keller, CMT in the StockCharts TV studio. Larry shares his latest thoughts on Dow 40K, the resilient rise of gold and precious metals, cycle analysis on the S&P 500 and crude oil, and lessons learned in over 60 years as a trader. David highlights bearish momentum divergences for AMZN and DE, as how defensive sectors may yield insights on market rotation.
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    00:00 - Intro
    00:40 - Market Recap
    07:55 - Meta (META), Amazon (AMZN)
    09:29 - SPX Breadth by Cap Tiers ADLN - Cumulative Advance Decline Lines
    10:36 - Consumer Discretionary Sector/Consumer Staples Sector (XLY:XLP)
    11:45 - Applied Materials (AMAT), Deere & Company (DE)
    14:27 - Larry Williams - The Markets and Lessons Learned
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    ❗️DISCLAIMER
    Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither the Show Participants
    nor StockCharts.com guarantee any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment discussed on the show.
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    You should strongly consider seeking advice from your own investment advisor
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Комментарии • 85

  • @StockChartsTV
    @StockChartsTV  Месяц назад +3

    🧐 Dave's "Mindful Investor" ChartList: schrts.co/TTCbWDpE
    👀 See what better financial charting can do for you!
    Start your FREE 1-month trial today at stockcharts.com
    👍🏻 If you enjoyed this video be sure to hit the THUMBS UP
    ✅ If you found value, consider SUBSCRIBING to our channel and ring the bell so you never miss a new video! Subscribe Here: tinyurl.com/wvet7qj

  • @JonathanSebastian407
    @JonathanSebastian407 Месяц назад +34

    Larry Williams always makes the journey better

  • @j.j.9842
    @j.j.9842 Месяц назад +24

    Always nice listening Larry Williams. Such pleasure

    • @DKellerCMT
      @DKellerCMT Месяц назад +2

      What a pleasure to chat with one of the greats! D

  • @tradingbuddysystem7416
    @tradingbuddysystem7416 Месяц назад +6

    Love Larry Williams and listening to his wisdom! Thanks for having him on and asking great questions

  • @JohnInvest17
    @JohnInvest17 Месяц назад +5

    It's so good to have Larry WIlliam on again. I have been following him since 2018.

  • @strider88888
    @strider88888 20 часов назад +1

    Thanks Dave. I always learn something from your podcasts. And Larry - Well he is a Legend! Watching over a month later its amazing our accurate the cycles predictions have been.
    I'm following Larrys recent NVIDIA cycle forecast which showed from as early as 17-Jun a top, and buy pt back in 30-Jul. Pretty amazing that NVIDIA took a 3.5% hit today as well as most of the SEMI conductors - except AMD. Seems like there was a pretty large pivot that occured out of chips into the broader S&P. AAPL also took a 2% drop and MSOFT -0.14. Other Mag7 were up. We'll see how it pans out.

  • @ScottRussell7
    @ScottRussell7 Месяц назад +8

    The legendary Larry Williams! What a treat. Thank you!

    • @DKellerCMT
      @DKellerCMT Месяц назад +2

      Larry is also one of the nicest guys ever. D

  • @eddievangundy4510
    @eddievangundy4510 Месяц назад +5

    Money management is the whole thing. And the first part of that is position sizing. Thank you for the explanation, Larry Williams!
    And thanks to the host for the best question that prompted that response!

  • @omg_SallyKelly
    @omg_SallyKelly Месяц назад +8

    We love Larry Williams....we also love you to David :)

    • @DKellerCMT
      @DKellerCMT Месяц назад +1

      Feeling the love- thank you!! D

  • @lovepeace8991
    @lovepeace8991 Месяц назад +3

    Always a pleasure to listen to Larry Williams! Wonderful interview! Can you please invite him more often? Thank you so much!

  • @tanleproe
    @tanleproe Месяц назад +6

    Well said: "Money management is emotional management." Buy three dips on July 4th, Labor Day, and Halloween Day. The broad indices of Dow Jones, S&P500, RSP, IWM are showing green lights. GL.

    • @DKellerCMT
      @DKellerCMT Месяц назад +1

      Love that quote. D

  • @aspiringcoder2024
    @aspiringcoder2024 Месяц назад +2

    David - Excellent interview! You are so much better than the anchors of these so-called financial news channels. Thank you for bringing on the legendary Larry Williams.
    Larry - Thank you for taking part in this interview! I have learned so much from watching your RUclips videos and continue to do so. So, thank you again!

  • @gladyswj9968
    @gladyswj9968 Месяц назад +5

    Awesome. Love every opportunity to glean from Mr. Larry Williams.

    • @DKellerCMT
      @DKellerCMT Месяц назад +1

      You and me both! Thanks for watching D

  • @AnthonyCastelli
    @AnthonyCastelli Месяц назад +3

    Larry is one of a kind. He will really help

  • @daddykab
    @daddykab Месяц назад +2

    I always learn something listening to Larry Williams. Thanks guys.

  • @trader-xtrader-x2339
    @trader-xtrader-x2339 Месяц назад +1

    Add David Hunter, Insiidetrack, Signature FD and ITR ECONOMICS--- When all the stars 🌟 align... 🌈 💰

  • @AliKat143Always
    @AliKat143Always Месяц назад +1

    As someone who is still relatively new to the Market and trading, how do you know when it's best to sell so to not lose all your gains? Or is it better to hold, and hope it'll go back up? I appreciate all the in depth analysis and how informative you and your channel are. It's definitely been helpful.

    • @DKellerCMT
      @DKellerCMT Месяц назад +1

      Great question! Will address on a future show and thanks for the kind words D

  • @sjllee2588
    @sjllee2588 Месяц назад +3

    Larry, Always good to see you, sir.

    • @DKellerCMT
      @DKellerCMT Месяц назад +1

      One of the greats! D

  • @riderwoodnonsports1352
    @riderwoodnonsports1352 Месяц назад +1

    Great hearing from Larry.

  • @mehdikhosh8879
    @mehdikhosh8879 Месяц назад +1

    Great job gentlemen.

  • @goldenparachute392
    @goldenparachute392 Месяц назад +6

    Gold Nugget from Williams: Study your losing trades 💎

  • @nat8843
    @nat8843 Месяц назад +1

    Excellent show featuring two knowledgeable, clearly understandable, humble gentlemen. Keep up the good work!

  • @ryanwongcy
    @ryanwongcy Месяц назад +1

    Legend🎉 insightful as always.

  • @ericcharron4074
    @ericcharron4074 Месяц назад +1

    Great guest and great interview Dave (as always)

    • @DKellerCMT
      @DKellerCMT Месяц назад +1

      Agreed and thanks so much!! D

  • @youtubesteven6721
    @youtubesteven6721 Месяц назад +2

    Always enjoy your videos Dave. As for Larry, he makes sense with the money management and I know Larry is a legend but his past few cycles and trades he has brought up on Cramer's show have been 100% wrong with his cycles such as the FNGD and FNGU months ago and recently QQQ and SPY and NVDA all totally wrong. Not saying the guy is not an accomplished trader but today with J&J or Boeing right now makes no sense in my opinion but I do enjoy all your different guest's opinions so thank you for always having such a diverse range of guests. Enjoy your weekend.

    • @paulrobbo321
      @paulrobbo321 Месяц назад

      The larry fans don't let little details like this get in the way

    • @DKellerCMT
      @DKellerCMT Месяц назад +1

      Thanks for the thoughtful comments! Pleasure to bring different perspectives. D

    • @ireallytrade1
      @ireallytrade1 Месяц назад +1

      no one is always right....we did get a decline...not as much as i wanted ---but also showed when to expect the low Charts i sent to Cramer showed a low--buy point in mid May.

    • @youtubesteven6721
      @youtubesteven6721 Месяц назад

      @@ireallytrade1 Hi Larry. Hey, I genuinely appreciate you taking the time to respond. Yeah, I agree, nobody is always right and nothing personal is meant but the past 9 months +- of your calls on Cramer and here have been pretty far off. The slight decline we got was far far off from the cycle Cramer showed for your work and your FNGD and FNGU calls were both far off and same with NVDA. Hey, listen, regardless you are much better of a trader than me and I follow all the "experts" on all the channels for many years and will keep watching you but as all of you guys say, this is for educational and entertainment purposes only. A sincere thank you again for taking the time to respond and I appreciate that. Have a good weekend.

    • @youtubesteven6721
      @youtubesteven6721 5 дней назад

      @@ireallytrade1 Hi Larry. We had some brief texts a few weeks back. I saw Cramer yesterday (Friday, June 14) where he showed your cycle on NVDA with approx 30% move lower starting June 17. My question is do you see that for all the Mag 7 and so FNGD would be a good play on that cycle? Or is it just NVDA? Curious of your thoughts since I saw Cramer reference you again. As always, I know this is not financial advice and strictly for educational purposes only. Thanks Larry and happy father's day if you are a dad.

  • @felicitymabudusha4761
    @felicitymabudusha4761 Месяц назад

    Larry has been a journalist in the past!

    • @DKellerCMT
      @DKellerCMT Месяц назад +1

      A trader and educator from the beginning! D

    • @felicitymabudusha4761
      @felicitymabudusha4761 Месяц назад

      @@DKellerCMT Larry has been visual as a trader but this time was a journalist! Talk no charts!

    • @ireallytrade1
      @ireallytrade1 Месяц назад +1

      i have my degree (BS) from U of Oregon but never was a reporter---

    • @felicitymabudusha4761
      @felicitymabudusha4761 Месяц назад

      @@ireallytrade1 Markets from your perspective has always been visual! I am surprised you are talking markets in this instance like a reported! Where are your charts?

    • @StockChartsTV
      @StockChartsTV  Месяц назад

      @felicitymabudusha Larry is a guest on this show, and it's an interview format. If you're interested in seeing his charts and presentations, you can check out his Focus on Stocks/Family Gathering service on our site where he covers stocks, commodities and cycles in depth for his subscribers: www.stockcharts.com/larrywilliams

  • @midwestcannabis
    @midwestcannabis Месяц назад +1

    ❤nice

  • @TradeWithMathan
    @TradeWithMathan Месяц назад +1

    Glad to watch Larry Williams videos. I would like to know whether GLD is ready to short.

  • @vishal76i9
    @vishal76i9 Месяц назад +1

    Larry Williams Sir is a legend very informative thanks D.

  • @gigrockband
    @gigrockband Месяц назад +1

    Terrific video

  • @marsery
    @marsery Месяц назад +1

    Always a pleasure to listen to Mr Larry Williams , a legend in trading . Where can we read about sample of Larry 's newsletter for stockcharts ..he seems to focus on stocks (only?) , the link gets you drectly to a trial with credit card needed.Does he mention comodities also for instance (in the monthly newsletter?)

    • @StockChartsTV
      @StockChartsTV  Месяц назад +1

      @marsery We don't currently offer samples (looking into it!), but he absolutely covers commodities, cycles and stocks. Also, once a month he hosts his Family Gathering webinar, where he presents live to his subscribers. To see a general idea of what this webinar format looks like you can check out his previous specials on our channel, here's the playlist: ruclips.net/p/PLyNJu-3PikrRb9usHsiICHGI2-DDk-H99

    • @marsery
      @marsery Месяц назад +1

      @@StockChartsTV Thank you so much

  • @thetruthandnobs
    @thetruthandnobs Месяц назад

    Will the Hang Seng Index (HSI) of Hong Kong ALSO FOLLOW THE US BULL MARKET??? To a T?

  • @titusrider7948
    @titusrider7948 Месяц назад +1

    Great video interview with Larry. I watched twice and noticed you didn't mention the jobless claims numbers. Did I miss that ? Is the number important?

    • @DKellerCMT
      @DKellerCMT Месяц назад +2

      I would argue the reaction was priced into the market movements, and the specifics on jobs #s are better covered elsewhere! D

  • @pezzodipunto2239
    @pezzodipunto2239 Месяц назад +1

    Larry is one of the best, precisely because he has a strong view but remains open to the possibility that he is wrong and is willing to move on. Love the piece on Bitcoin, too funny. Thanks Larry & Dave.

  • @michaelengel3045
    @michaelengel3045 Месяц назад

    [1M] SPY linear chart. Oct 2022 low to July 2023 high = X. Oct 2023 low + X ==> Mar 2024 high. Can it go higher on the log chart : yes. [1M] RSI was never in bearish territory since Feb 2009.

  • @TemetNosce101
    @TemetNosce101 Месяц назад +1

    Larry I love you but I pay with crypto in shops all the time. You're behind brother. Larry is a legend and I subscribe to all of his services but on crypto it's time for the new generation to take over.

    • @DKellerCMT
      @DKellerCMT Месяц назад +1

      Crypto is uncharted territory (pun intended) for many! D

    • @ireallytrade1
      @ireallytrade1 Месяц назад +1

      you amay well be right still just dont get it.

  • @CaptainJimJames
    @CaptainJimJames Месяц назад +1

    Tell em Larry.

  • @JACk-hv7yf
    @JACk-hv7yf Месяц назад

    Larry saying BTC will go down soon & short will be my final gauge of the guy ……… clock’s ticking 🕛

  • @petervongino9523
    @petervongino9523 Месяц назад

    How old is he now, feels like Lw been around since the 70s trading

    • @DKellerCMT
      @DKellerCMT Месяц назад +1

      Larry started trading in the 1960's. He shared some fantastic stories off camera. D

    • @ireallytrade1
      @ireallytrade1 Месяц назад +1

      i'm 82 in october

  • @Tothemoonalice373
    @Tothemoonalice373 Месяц назад +1

    Yea williams

  • @garyportugal8035
    @garyportugal8035 Месяц назад +2

    great comment re studying losing trades

  • @jpducati916
    @jpducati916 29 дней назад +1

    Larry Legend!

  • @JamesCalabrese930
    @JamesCalabrese930 28 дней назад +1

    Larry is the best

  • @dfragoso
    @dfragoso 23 дня назад +1

    Larry is the G.O.A.T 📈 ❤

  • @douglaspmatheny
    @douglaspmatheny Месяц назад

    I’m a huge Larry Williams fan, but I cringed when he said he was long TLT. Kind of took the shine off for me.

    • @ireallytrade1
      @ireallytrade1 Месяц назад +2

      hey Doug thats whats great about thus business ---one of us will earn; the other learn Let;s check back end of June

    • @douglaspmatheny
      @douglaspmatheny Месяц назад +1

      Love you man!

  • @meta4kl237
    @meta4kl237 День назад +1

    He recommends JNJ but they have been doing terribly, still.

  • @paulrobbo321
    @paulrobbo321 Месяц назад +1

    I must have been paying and watching a different Larry as his 2024 predictions which I paid for called for a significant drop in late March or April. I didn't watch the video but honestly I wouldn't rely on his methods, too ethereal

    • @ireallytrade1
      @ireallytrade1 Месяц назад +1

      hold on!!! the annual report started saying we are in a bull market PLEASE look at chart 8 in the report my Natural Cycle.

    • @paulrobbo321
      @paulrobbo321 Месяц назад +1

      I’ll respectfully agree to disagree about the usefulness and my interpretation of the predictions

    • @phoggee
      @phoggee Месяц назад +1

      That's what I got from it as well.

  • @michaelengel3045
    @michaelengel3045 Месяц назад

    Larry the Great : [1Y] SPX. 2012 flip. 2020 #9. 2024 #5. 2023 inside bar. Hikkaki risk. 2024 UT ? Dr RSI Resistance line : 1929 [H] to 1999 [C] . 1999 RSI : 97.10. [1Y] RSI never entered a bearish territory,. Not in 1932, or in 1973 nor in 2009. Can we move higher along this line : Yes !