Alcaraz vs. Medvedev US Open 2023 SF | Post-Match
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- Опубликовано: 18 окт 2024
- Former US Open champions Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev met in a major semifinal for the second time this year, with the Medvedev hoping New York would bring him better luck. Gill Gross breakdown and analysis...
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Medvedev served better and played his attacking consistent style like he did when he won USO and made those runs in AO. Alcaraz couldn’t match Medvedev’s constant consistency and ended up feeling pressured to do more and thus making more errors.
Do not underestimate anyone; such is the essence of tennis. May journalists draw valuable lessons from this, refraining from prematurely assuming the finalists and thereby showing disrespect to their fellow players.
Excellent point! Even though it's to be expected from the fans, the comment sections were replete with "experts" commenting "Daniil doesn't stand a chance" and "Alcaraz in 3"🙄. How quickly people forget!
The matches are played for a reason. And, when the match involves two top 10 players- nothing is guaranteed! Some nights top guys can either play lights-out or flat. Daniil plays like this again on Sunday, he's hoisting the trophy!
Most tennis journalists are vile.
Favorites are given those titles for a reason. Medvedev, unlike Zverev, knew that that title is earned by players’ performances leading up to a major, which Daniil’s had been less than spectacular. Unlike Zverev, who expected to be a part of the conversation just because, Daniil knew why he wasn’t being talked about and wanted his tennis to do the talking, which he achieved today. It’s actually much easier to play when you’re going under the radar. When you’re a favorite, you play with all the pressure on your shoulders. Daniil knew the advantages of this, same like in 2021, and hence didn’t complain. Zverev should take notes. Zverev never complained when he used to be a part of the favorites conversation.
Very true.
@@edkiely2712The problem is that people believe you can predict the future.
As much as I love Alcaraz vs Djokovic, I have been waiting for Djokovic vs Medvedev at a major for a very long time. This rivalry is due a big slam match after two lopsided finals in 2021.
I was thinking the same. We’re due for a competitive 5-setter between the two. AO21 Djokovic dominated, USO21 Medvedev dominated. Nadal and Medvedev had those two epics at USO 2019 and AO2022 where I thought both played fantastic; hopefully we could see something similar here.
Still hoping for a Meddy win today, in 4-5 sets.
This was a combination of a few things. 1. This was the highest level Meddy has played since the 2021 US Open tournament. It was his best serving match and probably his best ground stroke match I’ve ever seen. 2. Carlos wasn’t playing at a high level from set 2 on. He was spraying forehand error everywhere and even a few backhand errors. Abandoned his drop shot and couldn’t execute some of his usual shots. 3. The lack of adjustments made by Carlos and especially Juan Carlos Ferraro was astonishing. Clifford Drysdale rightly pointed out Medvedev knew where Alcaraz was serving all night. He would take a full step to his right every time waiting for the ball on his forehand. Carlos made no adjustments to Medvedev being a wall from the baseline or the return. That was the match. Good for Meddy. Totally deserved it.
I think Alcaraz played fine in the 3rd and even much of the 4th set, but a few too many unforced errors and he didn’t execute the drop shot well. In fact, I don’t think he’s executed particularly well on the drop shot since Wimbledon.
@@jkhjlkkljkhe played better but not his best. He said himself in the post match presser. Due to Meddy level but still.
as a alcaraz fan who watches every match of him i was the most surprised by his errors in clutch moments and his errors in longer rallies .. thats unusual for him congrats to danil he played an unreal match deserved winner 👏👏
@stepdownl4901 Ostapenko did the same thing against Iga in R4. Shelton did the same thing against Tiafoe in QF. Meddie did it to Alcatraz in the SF. Take away time, make them feel rushed, disrupt their rhythm and scare them with power, so they get impatient and try to muscle the ball through. This draws the error and break up those long rallies so they can’t show off.
For Alcaraz to win 54/70 net points and still lose 20 more points is unbelievable
Alcaraz was shanking his forehand the entire match. So if his forehand is off, does he have the shot tolerance to win - maybe not.
Whenever there's a big height advantage, the taller player usually overpowers the shorter - that happened regarding the serve. But meds got the best of both worlds, because his defense was better than Alcaraz's, and Med's didn't force the offense. It might be a more natural thing for Alcaraz to play more defensively - the guy is ultra aggresive tho - I don't know if that can be changed
Agreed. Alcaraz needs to tame his power and pick his spots a little better, but yeah, mainly all those shanks, he missed a lot of easy-for-him shots from the baseline and on the return, which if he had converted any of those break chances could have made it a very different match. Like he wasn't seeing the ball as well or something today
@@TimelyAdventurei agree . It wasn't the best carlos . But maybe it was because medvedev caught him off guard with his aggressiveness
Shut up looser, wait to next year.
@@Fraudkovic that’s a good point. Meddy was hitting harder and returning better than the last time and this rattled Alcaraz.
No one is invincible and no one can will it all.Congratulations to Meddy 🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉
No one can will it all lol
Yes no one is invincible. People thought Federer was invincible and God-like, but was brought down to earth first by Nadal and then by Novak and he ended up having a negative record against both of them, especially in grand slams which matter the most.
Good point!@@SrinivasRao-vd4ki
@@SrinivasRao-vd4kiExactly and this notiom that Carlos is gonna win everything after Nole retires is not true.He is impressive yes but that doesn't mean he is invincible
@@SrinivasRao-vd4kiFederer was virtually invincible for about 5 years. Alcaraz may have a 5 year invincibility period age 22-27.
Remember when Alexander Zverev boasted after his match/win against Daniil Medvedev at Cinci, how Carlos Alcaraz’s ‘game plan’ helped him beat Medvedev. I found it a bit disrespectful from both players, Zverev/Alcaraz. Just my opinion.
Yeah, found it disrespectful too. Who knows, Medvedev might have found it offensive.
Yep, you are right, sir. But what it makes even most disrespectful, that Sasha could of just to play golf with Tommy Paul before his QF match!!
Good point, Medvedev wasn't cold or dismissive to Alcaraz after their match but Carlos needs to be a little more guarded. I know he is a straight shooter but a little guile is necessary. As much as I love Carlos game and who he is as a person
I had thought it would be a easy 3 setter for Carlos. Meddy neutralized his wide serves well, covered the drops well and kept his balls deep. Medy ensured that Carlos pinned on the baseline. Once he ensured that, it was pretty one sided.
Where are those ppl saying Meddy is overrated or didn’t deserve the number 1? He’s a different material of his generation and he proved it another time today!
Medvedev is probably the smartest player in the top echelon right now, possibly matched only by Djokovic
Yes, I think Medvedev's extra pressure - hitting the ball harder, to be frank, and with less margin - is what persuaded Alcaraz to play more aggressively (and thus hit more UEs). Master class from Medvedev on increasing the heat/risk, rising in intensity and focus for the occasion, and changing his own natural game style in order to beat another top player.
And I agree that I think it's been a while (I think two years, pre-AO vs Nadal) since we saw this kind of play from Daniil. Hope he sticks with it.
That was vintage Medvedev which had gone away since he let that Australian Open final slip out of his hands. It's so good to see him back to his old form again after almost 2 years!
He was destroying Nadal, was more dominating than this match vs Alcaraz , but somehow Nadal turned the tables on, some clutch points by Nadal in the third and fourth that Alcaraz just didn’t do and that the weather at Melbourne was making Medvedev tired made the difference, I even think that if Melbourne had a roof Medvedev would have won.
Let's go! You write your own (counter)narrative! The match was so good. Much better than the Djokovic / Shelton SF. Alcaraz internalized the hype, the media commentary, the gassing up from his entourage and took his eye off the ball in terms of covering his weaknesses. Meddie was a beast! This is why we focus on serve. Slices, drop shots, lobs are defensive, crafty shots. Nothing can beat a beastly serve and forehand. Alcaraz wasn't good enough in either department. Meddie still stands too far back and doesn't anticipate the volleys and drop shots enough. Meddie knew to go to Alcaraz's forehand. When he tried to go to Alcaraz's backhand, that's when he ran into trouble. Alcaraz got into trouble by trying to be flashy and crafty while Meddie knew to hit the ball and play real tennis.
Good analysis.
Gill, you said that it’s ridiculous that people talk about Alcaraz relying too much on Ferrero’s coaching throughout the match. However, today, Brad Gilbert, who was sitting courtside, pointed out on ESPN that Ferrero was giving Alacaraz hand signals on where to serve, even when Carlos was on the other side, which is illegal. It’s absurd for the no.1 player in the world to constantly rely on being coached for basic strategies, instead of problem solving on his own, and only looking to his box every now and then for suggestions. Maybe learning how to look within himself for answers might also give him more confidence in such situations going forward, instead of needing to be told what to do at every point. That just can’t be sustainable long term.
also the fact that you could see medvedev staring at alcaraz's box for clues where hes going to serve lmao, im pretty sure it somewhat helped him, weird strategy from alcaraz
@@ProMikusit's odd because ferrero said nothing in the sinner match. He let Carlos figure this out on his own.
Almost everyone picking Alcaraz vs Novak for the final!🤣 Daniil sure wrecked that party. People forget how good he can be on hardcourts. Took Alcaraz's best shot and still closed the deal. Virtually nobody picked him in '21 against Novak, and most will go against him Sunday. If he plays like he did tonight- he will win! We'll see!
Djokovic is not Alcaraz, Medvedev can play whatever he wants, if Djokovic is at his best he is chrushing him in straight sets. This is not 2021 and a Calendar Year Grand Slam posibility and exausted Djokovic from the olympics. This Djokovic is way more powerful than that. It could be another AO 2021.
Yeah people said if Alcaraz plays like he did vs Zverev he would 3-0 Medvedev and Djokovic. Imma just wait until the final is over then comment
People forgot how good Daniil is on a hardcourt, because Carlos wrecked him in the Indian Wells final, and he has won nothing leading into the US Open. Medvedev, however, upped the ante and played the most aggressive I’ve ever seen him play. He truly played like someone who didn’t have anything to lose. However, as good as Medvedev was, Carlos made too many errors, which probably isn’t going to be the case with Djokovic. In 2021, Novak played a 4hr semi, shush wasn’t the case today, and he also had a long, grueling summer, which hasn’t been the case this year. Though there is no pressure of the calendar-year grand slam, there will be pressure for 24, while there’s no pressure on Medvedev again. However, Djokovic will come in prepared and ready for revenge. Who was the last player to beat Djokovic twice in a row at majors anyway?
Im guilty of that final haha.
But am also happy for daniil!
@@jokelot5221 if Medvedev plays like yesterday, Djokovic will not crush him in straight sets, also, Djokovic was not playing too great against Shelton and showed some nerves
Alcaraz did his job at Wimbledon.
You can't expect from this dude to be in every GS final.
He is still very young.
Exactly! And he also plays every time against an adversary
he's still very *garbage*
Novak is in every final. Carlitos can't handle the pressure. He failed in the slams where he was favourite, didn't even make it to the finals. Next year he will be in position of defending Wimbledon, he won't.
17:28 I literally was thinking the same thing when I watched that point with them grunting and hitting the ball hard back and forth. Medvedev got Alcaraz to go for the macho rally, and in the end Alcaraz went for too much while Medvedev kept being patient and waiting for him to try more. He got baited!
Alcaraz was overconfident thinking he was gonna make the final and hence didn't prepare adequately for this match. Him and his team was talking about beating Novak in the final before he'd even got there!! Glad he got humbled.
Everybody has been talking about Alcaraz and Đoković this season, but Medvedev in top form can match anybody. He has had a great season overall and deserves to win another grand slam. Novak will have his hands full in the final.
Agreed. I believe Medvedev will win it Sunday
Medvedev finally figured that he should be aggressive against the aggressor. He did not let Alcaraz play his game. Made him doubt his shots, whether to go for a winner, stay in the rally or go to the net. Whoever controls the game wins it, even if the statistics may say otherwise. For Alcaraz, i think he is experiencing this kind of game against him for the first time. He should get used to this cause others will follow.
He said this about Djokovic too, who plays a different kind of attacking tennis which is deceptively powerful but just as effective.
Hi Gill, It was a pleasure to see you and shake hands with you last Saturday at the US Open around the American Express Arena. I wanted a picture but you were in a hurry, maybe next time. A big fan of yours and your Tennis analysis. Thanks for all the breakdown and your tennis knowledge. Looking forward to your pre-match comments on Medvedev vs Djokovic for the finals.
Wow! This win by Medvedev proves that there is "escape from Alcaraz." It also cements Djokovic as the year-end No. 1, and enables him to move well past 400 weeks as No.1.
@lrongardner2150 it absolutely doesn’t not might wanna look at Atp race which is the points across 2023 rn before final Carlos is up 30 points on Djokovic
It gives Djokovic a couple extra weeks as #1 now he can’t lose it til week after Paris/Bercy concludes
@@colethomas903The losing kid doesn't deserve to be world no. 1. LoL 😂😂😂😂
Who cares
@simonsimonovic4478 there more obsessed with #1 then Novak is lol
@simonsimonovic4478 I absolutely agree with you the Nole fan base has become obsessed with #1 for the last couple years it’s hilarious the Nole fan base has become something they said they never would do 😂
Well played by Medvedev. As a fan of Alcaraz, I couldn’t even be mad at the outcome. Medvedev showed us that there’s still a ton of strength in his game: return the ball deep, move extremely well, don’t miss, serve bombs. Fact is, there’s not much you can do about that. Alcaraz’s rally tolerance maybe wasn’t what I hoped it would be, but he would’ve needed a Nadal-type of consistent baseline offense to win this. Extremely entertaining match, incredible tennis, and I think Djokovic is in for a tough match Sunday if Medvedev keeps playing like this. I see 2021 Medvedev right now. Final could go either way; Djokovic’s net game looks fantastic, but it wasn’t enough for Carlos, so maybe Medvedev can withstand Djokovic’s net game too.
I think maybe Carlos' thigh injury was affecting him.
@@marlenebuls9535 Ага все понятно тут виновата травма бедра а не игра Медведева не видя очевидного что Медведев играл лучше начинаем искать причину на стороне ! Ну ну !
@Sj-di5zu exactly I am big fan of alcaraz but I’m fan of Medvedev that might be the best match I’ve ever seen him play ever might be (hyperbole)
@@marlenebuls9535what injury 😂😂😂
@@colethomas903That was Medvedev's Greatest Match.I Didn't expect that level from him. I hope he can play consistent high level tennis in the next 12 months.
Gill underestimated Meddy heavily.... Was hoping this day comes soon 😂
Gill is finally here missed your analysis this whole tournament
Superb performance from Meddy. Alcaraz has some learning to do about mid-match adjustments
I think Carlitos again did not look as sharp as he was at Wimbledon. I think Meddy served too good and scrambled amazingly
Similar to the whole recent hardcourt swing.
I liked Alcaraz's old school tennis of Running towards the net after making a 1st Serve.
@@jeffreykaufmann2867whats the point in playing each point same way. Its modern game which is exploiting tennis whole potential
@@prohere2177 He plays modern also
Same reason Meddy beat Djokovic 2yrs ago. Unreturnable serves.
Alcaraz was only “sluggish” because of stiff opposition. A player always looks sharp and on point when the opposition is relatively weak.
I want to hear your takes on the on court coaching.
To me - it was on court strategizing: “serve here” each and every single point. Talking back and forth asking for help - signals every point from JCF.
Carlos was looking for help from his box 99.9% of the points.
Not the game it used to be
Then alcaraz should never be looped in the group of the greats since he constantly goes to his coach for strategy in a match.
Then alcaraz should never be looped in the group of the greats since he constantly goes to his coach for strategy in a match.
Then alcaraz should never be looped in the group of the greats since he constantly goes to his coach for strategy in a match.
I predicted 'Djokovik vs Medvedev' final in your 'US open preview and prediction' video !
nice!
Thanks for the rundown, Meddy injecting some chaos again into the top tier of the ATP.. Looking forward to both finals.
Medvedev was so brave in this match. He could have chosen the passive route but his returns and passing shots were very well executed!
I really think it’s the best I’ve ever seen Meddy play. Served and returned like a god.
As a Medvedev fan, I find it funny how the commentators were praising Alcaraz the entire match. Ok we know he is amazing but Medvedev is too. We are talking about a guy who beat Djokovic in a us final and nearly beat Nadal twice. I am so glad for this result. Many experts are sorry for dismissing him before the match. And Med was correct to not abandon his trademark court positioning. He is a joy to watch.
I couldn't believe how well Medvedev got his tactics in this match. Just amazing tweaks in his game to capitalise on Alcaraz's errors!
It felt like Alcaraz was thinking more about Novak than about Medvedev, he was overconfident, he needs to mature.
You’re right, Alcaraz said he felt Medvedev’s game “suited” him & was not prepared for Medvedev’s level today.
Danil brought the HEAT and kept bringin; it! WOW!!! Danil is BACK in a big way having climbed the Carlitos mountaintop. The final with Nole & Meddy could be EPIC! Thanx Gill! Best, Milan
Hope it is a 5 setter
@@colethomas903 totally get it! Nole turns into a different level for finals somehow & hope it happens again. This guy has made it to all 4 GS finals now in 2021 & 2123 - he's just amazing at 34 & 36 years doing things no one did before at such a late stage of career curve - got it! Let's see what happens! Cheers!
@tuningintotheone4BLN it’s actually
2021 33/34
2023 35/36
3 majors out of 4 are after he turns a different age bro he never make final of all 4 slams at the same age due to where his birthday is like many other players your birthday have to be in January before AO or October or later for it to work the way your describing my friend it is still very phenomenal what he is doing cheers
The summary of all these analyses is that it’s difficult to execute your game when you have a stiff opposition. Alcaraz was able to execute his game in his last two matches but just couldn’t do so against Danil. It’s for a reason.
Alcaraz had a mental advantage over the whole tour post Wimbledon. Now with North American Hard court swing, he has lost that aura. Many players can smell his blood. Djokovic/Sinner/Tommy/Sinner/Medvedev to name a few. It is easy to chase but when you are at the top and being chased, it's not easy. Going to the top of the mountain is only the first part. You have to sustain it. Good for tennis. Djokovic/Sinner/Alcaraz/Medvedev make up for interesting and intense rivalries.
@kapilbahel when did sinner beat Carlos in this NA HC swing post Wimbledon Paul always plays him tough and wins in Canada but lose in US
Djokovic/Sinner/Tommy/Sinner/Medvedev/Sinner/Sinner/Sinner
@@flpideas1 Djokovic/Sinner^5/Tommy/Medvedev + likely future entries Rune/Shelton
@@flpideas1you are forgetting zverev
Alcaraz is being micromanaged by his coaching team during the game which is not good for his development
I see Medvedev and Djokovic mental side is much more stronger then Alcaraz
Both of them their court coverage is more mental than physical while Alcaraz excellent court coverage is more physical than mental
This impacts the later stage of any match in terms of fatigue and focus
Very glad that Meddy won. I like Carlos's game a lot and he's been fantastic but he hardly had any challenge except Novak. Good Meddy stepped up. More the challenge, more the fun for us fans.
Most interesting point for me was Meddy going for it on 2nd serves.
He took the DFs in stride and kept pushing it, because he knows if he’s serving a poor 2nd serve, there is no way to win vs Alcaraz. He preferred double faulting and keeping the % missed serves instead of making more serves that are free points to Carlos.
In the long run, Carlos does not get the confidence from those easy winners, and Meddy keeps Carlos guessing on 2nd serve, which I think was the key.
This match really made me realize how much I missed watching Medvedev at his best vs a super aggressive baseliner on a hard court. Medvedev being 20 feet behind the baseline, getting to everything as the other guy clubs forehands all over the place. Nadal and Thiem vs Medvedev matches were always so much fun. I hope Alcaraz and Medvedev play more hard court matches, although it seems Alcaraz will still own him on clay, grass, and slow hard courts from what we’ve seen.
Exactly! This style of coaching is a detriment in the long run.
Med was in top form. Top drawer. Alcaraz had chances. But he lost his patience and played Meds game instead of his own which was the result
In today's match, definitely Med have played better tennis. Specially his power serve. Carlos is a new sensation in Tennis World. He needs some time for his maturity. He has loses his rhythm today. He already clinched some grand slam against the senior players. Good luck for him.
I think one thing you missed mentioning is meddy's attacking tennis. He hasnt really brought it out all open but he did in this match in the first two sets. Reminds me of his 2021 usopen style
The first two games on Daniil’s game went to dues was because Daniil double faulted 4/5 damn times when serving, not because Carlos was playing successfully exploiting the ‘weak’ second serve of Daniil
Amazing work Gill, great analysis! Keep it up!
This was the match of extraordinary playstyles.
Gill always underestimate med and zverev. He said they are faulty players. But in reality meds hard court numbers prove he is one of the greats on hard court and zverev at his best can best anyone. Against carlos zverev would 90% of the point but couldnt close it out at net. Man if zverev gets good at net he will be no 1.
Great analysis as usual. One additional thing I think Medvedev often does well, and certainly did well in this match, is anticipate his opponent's next shot, or at least the direction of the next shot. I thought Medvedev perhaps had just a little less trouble with the power of Alcaraz because, as you say, he kept Alcaraz on the run with his well directed baseline shots cross court and down the line, but also because he gave himself slightly more time to set up those baseline shots by anticipating so well and so consistently where his opponent was going to hit the ball next. He was reading Alcaraz pretty well in this match, I thought.
Hey Gil you were one of the tennis pundits that said Mededev simply cant beat Alcaraz and never would. Never say never 😅😅😅
Didn't say he never would.... but yeah I said it's a terrible matchup.
@@GillGrossremember you said in order for meddy to win another gs in the future, he has to avoid playing Carlos. He proved the opposite today to so many people who underestimated Daniil and his ability to withstand the best players on tours unlike a lot of other guys of his generation getting demolished by Carlos and Novak easily.
@andererizaev4162 let’s see if he finishes the job and beat Djokovic then we can say your right
@@colethomas903 I remember you. You mocked me when the GOAT (Novak Djokovic) didnt win Monte Carlo. Well he won almost everything else. 24 majors and counting giving him the triple GS and he won Cinncinati meaning if he wins Monte Carlo next year he will have triple golden masters . Already has double when no one has even one. Reply and mock me if he doesnt win it next year. Until then I am a happy camper with the GOAT until then. Peace out
This was never that unlikely tbh
Yeah for whatever reason people were acting like meddy is just some scrub.
Very true.I have never underestimated Medvedev
Don't lie. Based on the first two beat downs, not many people would have predicted this.
Hindsight is twenty-twenty. You weren't found anywhere before the match
@@caleb11122 Exactly!
Styles make fights. Novak seems to struggle against Danil a lot more than say a Nadal does. I'm going Med in 4.
doesnt djokovic lead h2h 9-5?
@@ProMikus quite possibly but I’m casting mind back a bit to some key match ups and he did beat Novak here in final before plus he seems to have better traction against him at places like Australia whereas in Australia as an example where nadal isn’t always firing I’ve seen him spank Med a couple times. Must be a style thing. Not saying he’s a greater player obviously I just think he has a good chance
@@adamp6401 yeah for sure i just dont think it will be that simple as in 2021, you cant deny djokovic was mentally and physically pretty weak in that final
After Wimbledon I thought Medevdev was second grade and no chance against Alcaraz as per Gil’s post match talks. I have to eat my thoughts now 😅
On slow courts and grass, yes Meddy is still second grade against Alcaraz
Gill, didn't you think the court was playing much faster and slicker than normal under the roof today? To my eyes, it was night and day compared to Alcaraz's match against Zverev. It looked unbelievably slick, the ball wasn't losing pace off the surface, nor was it taking a lot of spin. I don't think Alcaraz was ready for these sorts of conditions, and Medvedev obviously loves them. Wimbledon played much slower compared to the match today, which is surprising because the US Open has been slow this year, but it seems like it was the balls, and without the elements, the balls were flying and Alcaraz was really really rushed.
For the men's SF, they closed the roof and ran the AC because everyone was complaining about the heat and humidity over the past few days. It worked for Djokovic and Meddie's game.
@got2bjosh yup
@@colethomas903and I thought it was surprising because the balls were actually slower than last year. But this is why Carlos team.needs to do their homework for the Australian open next year. Spin won't be effective in night matches but conditions will be slower too, so they have to figure out what makes sense for Carlos game both during the day and night matches
@z1az285 I said yes because it favor Djokovic and Medvedev but I personally don’t think courts were faster under roof it just took wind out and help Medvedev be more consistent he deserved to win also Carlos serve well % wise just didn’t win enough points
@@colethomas903 Carlos arguably has the worst serve in the top 10. That's why he compensates with a bunch of crafty, defensive shots that wow the crowd. Meddie showed that you can't win on drop shots, volleys, and lobs alone. Sometimes, the best and most effective way to win is to make sure the serve, forehand, and backhand are firing on all cylinders.
Alcaraz failed to capitalize on the few moments where there was 🩸 in the water, proverbially speaking. He is used to his physicality wearing people down mentally but Medvedev was rock solid from a mental perspective in this match. However, there were still moments where I believe if Alcaraz had won certain points, this match goes a completely different way, and he failed to see in real time these opportunities that were handed to him that he didn’t take advantage of.
Congrats to Daniil 👏❤️
Great match by meddy, can’t say I saw this coming after the beat downs Carlitos gave him recently, I think novak redeems himself on Sunday in a tight match, wins in 4, hard to replicate a second flawless match in 2 days from medvedev against the goat, but let’s see, I predict Djoker in 4 close sets
You are again taking off Med, when people learn
@@aliuz861 maybe, but I think Djoker learns too from his last us open loss to meddy, unless he chokes again, but I think different circumstances this time he will get it done, less pressure than last time
The reasons are clear for anyone who saw the match 1. Med to his credit was playing at a very high level 2. Carlos level really dipped and his drop shots were weak and eminently attackable and 3. This continues to be Carlos’ biggest weakness that he DOES NOT HAVE a powerful 1st serve he can rely on to get him out of trouble (unlike say Fed at his peak who when he was in trouble could escape with just 4 aces ordered on tap) whereas 4. Med’s serve throughout was SUPERB (forget the last two double faults)
The way Carlos plays he relies on his huge talent and power which may help him most of the time now that he is young and ascending BUT power and agility and touch can fade with time so he needs a solid fallback routine to develop as a muscle memory he can rely on during lean times.
The textbook example was Novak in the Cincinnati final when he was almost ready to drop dead due to heatstroke when he conserved all his energies and moves and focused on outlasting Carlos and waiting for sunset and the dip in Carlos’ form and then he struck back - THAT was a PlanB Master Class
So the good news here is given the raw talent and power and freshness Carlos brings to the game he still has lots of room left to learn and grow and provided he takes care of his health and avoids the burnout route, he is guaranteed to be among the greatest in a few years time
Fact is.. Alcaraz is very good.. But not yet on the legendary level most of you guys are alluding to.. He has time though..
What sprung to me was meddy's serve is back. Has been awful in many matches this season. Meddy is back in the big big time.
Meddie was serving well all tournament.
@@got2bjosh heavily disagree his 1st serve points have been poor as well as unreturned %. Thought that would get even worse against the best returner in the game rn.
@@asadmohammed9982 Alcaraz & Djokovic aren't as lethal with their serves as Meddie. They survive by being aggressive returners, but take away the defensive tricks and they have to work harder to keep up. Meddie served well against Ruby and that's when I suspected he could do well against two players who have seen their serves underperform. I think it's mentally harder for Meddie to play his friend Ruby than it is to play Alcaraz or Djokovic, the golden boys of tennis.
@@got2bjoshMedvedev didn’t serve well against Rublev at all. He got broken 5 times in that match. He just made 55% first serve. Most importantly his second serve was worse all tournament long.
It was his return that was extraordinary and that won him matches.
Today was the anomaly. He served amazing today. I hope he continues serving well even against Novak.
@got2josh 1st serve was good all tournament but his 2nd serve was the best against Carlos the quality he been bad with 2nd serve
i agree with your analysis. it's not a good idea to ever bet against novak, but imagine if medvedev wins on sunday--what a tournament. he will have beaten balázs, o'connell, baez, de minaur, rublev, alcaraz, and djokovic. let's see what happens.
I am very surprised but then again i am not..
Nothing can be a surprise nowadays..
Hats off to Medvedev,he did an amazing job,again wasnt expecting that..
Lets hope for an amazing final..
Gill, Time to eat some crow and own up to the prediction that Alcaraz vs Medvedev is a bad match up period and any chance of Danil turning the tables is unlikely
Alcaraz came in not expecting the fight he got from Danil and didn’t match up the fight until 3rd set
Thank you Gill great Analysis 👏👏👏👏❤️🙏🇬🇧
As always Gil top analysis
I'm waiting for your USO men's final preview and prediction
This was what I predicted. I'm looking forward to the final. It should be an interesting match.
Only saw the first set. Medvedev played awesome. Much more aggressively than usual
You have established that whether a tactic or a part of the game is “fine” depends on if they cost you key games (like getting broken) when you talk about Medvedev’s second serve “they are fine because they did not cost him key games” something like that. But isn’t it double standard when you do not acknowledge that standing back to return is also fine despite the fact that he lost a large percentage of points to s and v, which should not have mattered based on your previous metrics as long as they do not cost you/ they win you key games, in this case it helped him break serve. So it is not about the percentage but about if they take place (contribute to winning or losing key games) in key games
There goes the blockbuster final we were all hoping for. Thanks a lot, party crasher, boooo!!!!!!! you'd better bloody win this thing now!
I thought Alcaraz's serve and volley alone can help him win service games. However, Alcaraz is visibly hesitant to serve and volley starting from the second set. That tells you how good Meddy's return is.
Hi Gill, I think you missed one of the main facts about Alcaraz losing the match....Closed roof. That is the one and only field where Alcaraz has not proven himself yet, and Medvedev is suited to such conditions. In any case, excellent observation of the match as always.👍
Yup
@@colethomas903And djoker,meddy will beat carlos every time in the indoor hard season,just wait,carlos will be out of top 2 at the end of year
@@rasikhalabbeewhat makes you so certain? This will prepare him for the Australian open next year. Wait
@@z1az285 Meddy ,Djoker are way better players than carlos in us,ao hard court,in grass,that bounce was good for carlos serve,but in hc,his serve got exposed,dude has worst serve in top 10,
Carlos wont win against meddy in ao,will get destroyed in straights against djoker
@@rasikhalabbee a 138-142 mph serve isn't "weak". Obviously there was a reason why he didn't serve big in this USO even in the zverev match. You are dreaming if you think he will get "destroyed". Wait and watch. We will find out
Concened about Alcaraz'z tennis IQ after this match. To be fair, he also looked out of form, so difficult to judge. Meddy played great and showed lots of mental discipline.
it just proves no one is unbeatable, top-ranked players can get beat on any given night....Meddy came out and played an attacking style of tennis that Alcaraz did not expect, and it worked.....
Very weak analysis: "Alkaras is a genius, but unfortunately he missed few valuable shots in key moments and he should go to the net on every point. Medvedev is no match for Alkaraz, but he just not missed few valuable shots in key moments" - facepalm...
I turned off the match after the first set. Carlos seemed to be trying to hit winners on every shot and it was painful to watch him miss so many returns. Was hoping he would make adjustments but he seemed really confused. It was just not his day. But hey losses are learning moments. And he’s still a kid… it would be weird if he won all his matches. Looking forward to seeing him grow and develop his game mentally to the next level. ❤
Medvedev was on his best version , and he simply played perfect game ...
Great match, saw all of it! Alcaraz should've served&volleyed most points in the second set, because even if Alcaraz would drop to winning only 70% of those points it would've been a far more winning plan than baseline attack and counterattack.
I never saw this comming. Definitelly not. I dont like anything about Medvedev, but he deserved to with this one, particulary because of that first 2 sets, that was a monster level performance. Congrats to him. Alcaraz should have counted his chickens when they hatched, definitelly underestimated Medvedev, he was out after the first set, still has a lot to learn. For example, how to play when things for wrong in his strategy. Djokovic will have his chance for a rematch to Medvedev, perhaps fitting. Also a very good final. Cant wait.
I'm not that surprised for the very simple reason Alcaraz didn't have any bite on his serve , even for much of the zverev match. The USO surface speed and bounce also suits Medvedev as much as it suits Alcaraz game. And yes, it has the potential to be a fantastic final. May the best player win
Story of the match: Medvedev's consistent pressure dulled down Alcaraz's weapons to a nub. This is going to be Alcaraz's Achilles heel even as he matures. The more one depends on their 'powerful' weapons, the less they'll know what to do when the weapons aren't working as expected.
P.S This was the best match this year in my opinion.
Wimby finals, Cincy finals, Sinner vs Zverev?
I predicted an upset in July: Preview | Alcaraz vs. Medvedev, Djokovic vs. Sinner Wimbledon 2023 SF. Redemption came two months later.
lets go octopus
I felt the court was slower in the night session
@gavaskar761 agree
Medvedev has lost 0 6 to Rafa in Rogers Cup and from 2 sets up in AO 22 Final...Garfia needs tips from the injured Master
He should wait his table then lol
Orthodox brothers in the final of US Open no better final that this 🇷🇸❤️🇷🇺 brothers for ever 👍👍👍💪💪💪and let the best man wins.
yes yes yes yes!☦
Love how the people got humble, seem like everyone was picking carlito over Daniil. Ouch
Med was virtually unplayable, but this match was very close. Carlito had lots of chances and couldn’t execute. Biggest surprise for me was Med returning like a God from the bleachers. Gil is right, it was about execution in that match.
I saw a lot of Tennis hence when Alcaraz tried 2 do something different against Medvedev didn't surprise me be4 Charlie others top baseliner serve n volley like Lendl n Wilander have done it n often did work cuz d opponent got caught off guard given that u r not supposed 2 play like a net player right? what really surprised me is that d octopus outsmart d Spanish n that's d real good news in this year's Open IMAO so Maddy demonstrated he can learn from his mistakes n actually improve his own game Now then I can't help but asking d Q will this be enough also 2 beat d GOAT?
Bravo Meddy you deserve this ! I’m just not sure you can overcome Novak. :(
He's playing way better than Novak right now...if he plays like today, Novak has no chance. Do keep in mind that Meddy is always a tough match up for Novak anyway
@@CW-rx2jsyeah but if he has a subpar day on the final it’s over, and Novak can have a sub Par performance and make it 5. I hope Meddy goes lights out.
@@CW-rx2jsI see this comment a lot. I get the feeling that most tennis fans don’t actually know what makes Djokovic an all time great. They think Djokovic “isn’t playing well,” because what he’s doing out there is above their heads.
100% agree. You've got to be bonkers to think Djokovic isn't playing well right now, and Djokovic disagrees with that statement as well, which should be a clue. As he and others have said, hard to say who'd win between him of today vs peak him of 10 years ago.@@JS-ln4ns
Most people didn't give Daniil a chance in '21, and he checked Novak!
What happened to your prediction that alcaras is going to win the us open
Very astute
Alcaraz feet were not moving by his standards. One of the biggest barometer is how they react following their drop shot, are they covering the court or ball watching? At times Alcaraz was ball watching. Daniil did play a perfect match though. His court coverage was out of this world 🌍
Carlos mentally weak today, too many shanks, missed shots and too many failures to convert break points and key game points in 4th. Goats must dig deep when they aren't playing well and missing their shots, they need to figure out a way to win like Novak does.
He dug deep at Wimbledon and hes only 20. I mean come on. Experience does count for something. The expectations that suddenly Carlos wins all GSs is ridiculous.
@@buzzfunkNot being able to play your best all the time isn't a sign of mental weakness.
And also there can be only one GOAT, if he start having a herd of them, the term has no meaning. And surely a 20yo cannot be the GOAT by any chosen metrics
@jeffreykaufmann2867 exactly
@italnsd The only 20 year old athlete who people said could be the GOAT was Gretzky.
MEDVEDEV IS THE KING ON THIS COURY
Alcaraz is a good player , a very talented player but he is way to overhyped. People are already talking about him in the same category with Nole, Federer and Nadal. How about we will have the conversation on how great Alcaraz is in about 10-15 years from now on and in another 20 SLAMS won (assuming he will be able to do win them) and let him do some proving meanwhile ?
@tanaseionut4251 I’m not saying he will be better then any of those guys all time but at 20 he clears them all and every stat says just look up GS stats up to Carlos at age 20 and compare it to Nadal Carlos is better
Carlos is more versatile player then Nadal was at 20
Carlos is > on HC/grass
Nadal is > on clay
Carlos made semis of 3 slams at 20
Nadal made semis of 2 slams at 20 RG/Wimbledon
He never made semis of AO til 21 almost 22 USO he was 22
Didn’t make AO final til USO til 24
@@colethomas903 Don't get me wrong, Alcaraz defo has the potential to be right there with the big 3. But we all know that doing that a long period of time like 12-15 years like the big 3 did its the true test of greatness. There were many with big potential that won GS at early ages but they failed to stay consistent for a long period of time. Boris Becker is a good example for this.
That's why I'm saying that Carlos Alcaraz need to do a lot of proving for a long period of time to be included in the same conversation with Djokovic, Nadal and Federer.
No one saw this coming
Meddie did! As did anyone not buying into the readymade narrative presented by media, fans, and AI. Alcaraz got comfortable being the it-boy and didn't prepare for Meddie in beast mode.
@@got2bjoshDon't lie. Based on the first 2 beatdowns, not many were expecting this.
@@jacobschmidt2709 I said what I said. Y'all are in too deep with these fandoms. I don't care. Give me something unexpected. Take the established narrative and use your will to flip it. That's exciting.
@@got2bjoshExcellent comment my friend! Many call it "confirmation bias" as well. All these "experts" calling matches before they're even played. Nothing is guaranteed! Alcaraz got checked and humbled tonight!
Claim: Medvedev served awesome.
Fact : He served over 10 double faults and two at match point. His first serve percentage was below 65%. If he had served like he did in 2021, the mole kid would have been roasted alive.
I agree. I think Meddy needs to serve +75% to beat Djokovic. People point to USO21 but that was a completely exhausted Djokovic. He is fresh and I would argue better equipped to handle Med. More experience in the match up and better forehand.
@@denistepavac2365last time Meddy and Novak played each other was in Dubai this year and roughly 55% of first serves in was enough to beat Novak in straights. Meddy has other weapons that can cause trouble for Novak. Also, confidence-wise, it feels like Meddy is on a much better ways because he overcame two bad matchups for him - De Minaur and Alcaraz whereas Novak hasn’t played any guys of a similar caliber. Will see though, it should be an enjoyable game!
@@aroam2031 Novak in grand-slam and Novak in normal tournaments are two different players. That Dubai result and stats doesn’t matter.
I want Meddy to win too. I absolutely agree, Meddy needs to make more 1st serves( 70%+) and continue mixing up second serves. Most important key for Meddy will be clutchness. He seems to get tight in major finals. He should have won that AO 22 final against Nadal but got really tight in later stages.
I’m pretty sure that without on court coaching Alcaraz would have barely made it to the top 10 , ffs Juan Carlos was literally telling Carlos what to do in every game 😅😅😅