Tropical Update, Early Start Atlantic Tropics? Severe Weather & Tornado Outbreak? Pacific Typhoon?
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- Опубликовано: 29 сен 2024
- ***Tropical Update for the Atlantic Basin Could get an early Start here in May. I have the details on a very stormy Caribbean, and which areas are likely to explode with development!
***Western Pacific Could very well have a Typhoon Brewing by May 12? I have the complete details!
***Severe Weather Outbreak is likely to be more widespread this week with more tornado threat likely. How many outbreaks are we expecting and what areas?
***A big cool down in the lakes & Northeast US along with Southeast Canada? Full details on a cooler rest of May that is likely!
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Video Contents & Chapters:
0:02 - Introduction to Active May Tropics, Severe Weather, Pacific Typhoon?
1:20 - Tropical Update for the Atlantic, Caribbean & Gulf of Mexico
3:08 - Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures are Boiling?!??!?!?
3:50 - Tropical Forecast Models through May-Jun thanks TropicalTidbits
5:13 - ENSO Index, El Nino goes to La Nina
5:42 - Caribbean & Central America Rainfall Totals through Mid May
6:38 - Severe Weather Outlook May 4 through May 8
7:41 - HRRR Future Radar Mesoscale Severe Weather Future Radar Update
9:44 - SigTor Parameter (Significant Tornado Parameter)
10:20 - Synoptic Scale Forecast through Mid May
12:05 - Upper Level Pattern for North America through May & Jun 2024
13:21 - Precipitation Analysis through Mid May
13:41 - Canadian Weather Forecast Outlook May 2024
16:48 - Viewer Sent in Photos & Videos!
18:45 - Western Pacific Typhoon By May 12?!?!??! Full Update!
18:13 - Canada Winter Storm Update Forecast through Mid May 2024
20:44 - Trilogy Maps Affiliate Information!! - Check Out Awesome maps!
21:40 - Temperature Forecast May 5-10, 2024
22:54 - Extended Forecast for Binghamton, NY To Scranton, PA
23:29 - Finale
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One place that does have any concern for the Atlantic hurricane season is Tampa Florida. Because it’s not only a tourist spot and has two universities, But it produces more thunderstorms than anywhere else in the United States. The word Tampa is a Calusa Native American word meaning lightning. If a major hurricane strikes St. Petersburg Tampa damage could definitely be in excess of over $100 billion dollars. The city of Tampa has been very lucky although they’ve been close calls.
A cat 3 would be way more than 100 billion a cat 3 but it has to be a direct hit on Dunedin
I couldn't have said it better myself, well said. Tampa is a ticking time bomb. My whole meteorology life, I have been thinking Tampa is well overdue. Thank you for that on the word Tampa, I never knew what it actually meant. They sure do get a lot of thunderstorms, and they live up to their name. I shutter to think what would happen if a major hurricane veered right into St Petersburg Tampa. The results would be catastrophic beyond belief. The amount of building that has taken place over the last 2 decades in Tampa is astounding. Since they haven't been hit, people continue to build in areas that would likely be totally destroyed under a Cat 4 or 5.
There is a possibility of a convective upgrade
Definitely, the crazy rare high risk category has been issued from central Oklahoma to Central Kansas.
ya it was ,koooler THANit has been this morning is 55f at 725 am . warmed up . !!!! over night .
Definitely feeling warmer my friend. Likely 70s by Tuesday.
hello mark . THANK YOU 4 THIS UPDATE
Hello my friend, glad to keep you ahead of the weather.
On May 2 in Mercer County, NJ I got into my car after work. My dash said it was 99 degrees. Of course I know it was only 99 in the car. But these are July/August temps. I think this is definately showing how crazy this summer is going to be.
That is some crazy heat for this early in the season for sure. I think you are right, this is going to be some intense heat of summer. Likely going to be our hottest summer on record. I have never seen everything start growing so fast, leaves on the trees already. July & August are definitely going to be scorchers.
When do you see mid and upper 80s coming to Erie Pennsylvania during the day for temperatures and do you ever see 60s or 70s at night this year in Erie Pennsylvania
I am thinking there will likely be mid to upper 80s in Erie Pennsylvania by around June 28-Jul1 timeframe with lows in the upper 60s/lower 70s.
What kind of temperatures do you see next week and beyond during the day in Erie Pennsylvania
Great question, it appears a major cool down is coming with mid 50s the rest of this week in Erie Pennsylvania, and not likely climbing to the low to mid 60s until the middle of next week (May 15-16). An unseasonably cool airmass with a trough will likely keeps temperatures below average the rest of the month with temperatures finally making it to the upper 60s to near 70 by May 24. Still a few more cool shots through Memorial Day weekend though as temps will pullback at times into the mid 60s for highs.
I was watching that eclipse from southern Indiana with telescope with a view screen and there was also a solar telescope with a solar filter. Totality lasted 2 minutes 45 seconds starting at 3 pm
Very nice, glad you were able to catch it, as some areas had too much cloud cover. Sounds like it was perfect in your area.
since i woke up about 11pm . i c it has been light rain and still is 51f cloudy here at 101am
Great to hear, definitely raining here too off and on. Cloudy ☁️ rainy 🌧️ cool and damp.
What kind of temperatures do you see in June this year during the day and at night in Erie Pennsylvania
Great question, I see a lot of mid to upper 70s for highs throughout June for Erie Pennsylvania, with lows around 58-61 at night, Very little temperature changes and not much chance for any cool waves in June for Erie Pennsylvania.
Thanks for all you do to keep all of us informed
Thank you, Glad to keep you updated and ahead of the weather.
Big up from Jamaica 🇯🇲 heart a love
Thanks so much, glad to keep you ahead of the weather in Jamaica. I will keep the tropical updates coming.
Do you see any 80s in early or mid June at all this year in Erie Pennsylvania
The way the pattern is setting up going into June, I think there may be a day where it gets above 80 in Erie Pennsylvania the first half, however I think most days will be in the 70 to 75 degree range in early to mid June before warming quickly into the upper 70s and lower 80s toward the last week of June.
Will I see another warm up here currtiuck nc I’m ready for more 80s here currtiuck nc
Great question, for temperatures in Currtiuck, you will likely warm very quickly over the next week or two, as a very warm high pressure systems builds lots of 80s into your area. Expect a fast warming trend through the mid to late part of this week.
I’m happy to hear I want to have people over to swim I hope next weekend I’m dispointment could have company over
Please warmer next weekend better weather so we can have people over swim in are pool really next weekend
I love seeing the wildlife that was in those photos, this part of NASSAU COUNTY on LONG ISLAND is so nice
That does look nice, a very beautiful part of Nassau County Long Island. Looks so peaceful. Watching wildlife is fun, and even better to get some good photos of it.