@21:15 Fun fact, the chances of getting one right is: 1/3 for the first guess then 1/2 for the second guess then 100% for the last guess. It's technically 1/6 that you're right not 1/9. once you've selected one option it's removed from the pool so you only have two options for your second guess (assuming you guessed the first one right). Edit: removing incorrect math
That's technically both true and false, it's true if he was told her was correct or false on the first guess but there are a possible 9 combinations, all independent of each other each one with different results. Your solution is based on the fact he would be told if he is right or wrong in the first guess then he gets to guess the second pokemon.
@@A.S._fn there are not 9 possible options though. There are 6. If the multiplication strategy with elimination after selecting one doesn’t make sense to you then think of it this way: Pokemon 1/Pokémon 2/Pokemon 3 Ability (A) Body (B) Moves (M) You can’t apply more than one of A, B, or M to the same pokemon. You can’t apply A, B, or M multiple times. So you can do: A/B/M where Pokémon 1 gets ability, Pokémon 2 gets body, and pokemon 3 gets moves. Example, You CANT do either of the following: 1. A/A/A where pokemon 1, 2, & 3 get ability. 2. ABM/-/- where pokemon 1 gets ability, body, and moves but pokemon 2 & 3 get nothing. Therefore your options are: ABM AMB BAM MAB BMA MBA That’s 6 total options. Therefore when selected at random, he has a 1/6 option.
@@A.S._fn Instead of thinking about individual picks, try thinking about it in terms of picking the correct order of all 3 items. How many different orders can 3 items have? 6. SO it's a 1 in 6 chance to pick the right order.
to the person that said in pat's chat that "darkrai's so strong it's banned from vgc", i've got a better one for you. COSMOG is so strong it's banned from vgc.
Hey anyone noticed I think that shady was wrong. Dylan said body middle ability right moves left . As far as I saw reshiram was in the middle so ..........
1/6 chance, not 1/9. crazy how if you guessed at random every time, its an 88.7% chance to get at least 1 correct. it was almost a freebie if you didnt fuck up. Edit: replies dont know math (he has twelve chances to guess, since both teams individually get 6 rounds, with a 1/6 probability, because guessing the body is 1/3, the ability 1/2, and if both of those are correct, the moveset is a garunteed guess. thats the same as 12 d6 dice rolls, and if a single dice lands on 1 its a hit. Its 88.7%. Dont correct people and also be wrong) @justsomeguywhoneverdies9210, thanks for not being an idiot.
This is not how fractions and random guesses work. There is 1/6 but each chance has a 1/6 chance. They aren’t additive. It’s like the lottery buying one ticket every week does not increase your chances to win.
Your chance actually does increase as you do more attempts. But not in the way you are thinking Try to flip a coin 100 times and get head or tail 100 times in a row, you'll see it's really hard to do that. Individually it's still 50/50. But if you calculate the whole thing, if you get one result many times in a rows, the chance of you getting the other "will increase". Let's say you got tail which is 1/2 The chance of you getting tail 2 times in a row will be (tail chance * tail chance) = 1/2 * 1/2 = 1/4. While the chance of getting head is opposite of it 3/4. And the more tail you get in a row the harder it is to get another tail
@@justsomeguywhoneverdies9210 that's the gambler's fallacy. The average over the group will tend towards the odds, but the individual odds never change. It doesn't matter if you flip tails 1000 times in a row, the next flip is _still_ 50/50.
@@RabblesTheBinx it's not fallacy it's real math. and I *did* say the individual odds is still 50%. But we are not talking about *individual* here, Pattz didn't guess just once, he guessed multiple rounds. and we are calculating the chance of Pattz geting it right just *once,* by "we" I meant the original comment, I'm too lazy to rewatch the video to confirm if 88.7% is correct. and I hope you understand what I tried to say. If you say "there is 50% chance I can get 1000 tails *in a row* and 50% chance of getting just one head from 1000 flip", then I don't know what to say anymore
@@justsomeguywhoneverdies9210 kinda it’s still a 50/50 chance the variation in situations like this can be due by an uneven coin. Or in dice’s case unbalanced dice. You could very well flip a balanced coin 8 times and get heads each time but the next flip it’s not anything other than a 50/50. Now in this case if you had more time you could figure out the human pattern and find out what the person is most likely going to pick. But say the options were randomly generated everytime would be a 1/6.
Hey I know you mentioned Hazbin Hotel before and that the music is pretty much stuck in your head which I get because the music in that show is amazing. I liked every song from season 1. I’m very surprised about that. What’s your favorite song from the show? Mine’s Poison.
How does someone join Patterz RUclips chat? Is it free? (I swear to god if I have to pay I’ll be furious as RUclips already has awful policies and accounts have been screwed by YouRube’s stupidity.)
I wish one day you guys would do the opposite where you can see the starters but your opponent chooses the body, move set and ability
I think they have done that lol
@21:15 Fun fact, the chances of getting one right is: 1/3 for the first guess then 1/2 for the second guess then 100% for the last guess. It's technically 1/6 that you're right not 1/9. once you've selected one option it's removed from the pool so you only have two options for your second guess (assuming you guessed the first one right).
Edit: removing incorrect math
That's technically both true and false, it's true if he was told her was correct or false on the first guess but there are a possible 9 combinations, all independent of each other each one with different results. Your solution is based on the fact he would be told if he is right or wrong in the first guess then he gets to guess the second pokemon.
@@A.S._fn there are not 9 possible options though. There are 6. If the multiplication strategy with elimination after selecting one doesn’t make sense to you then think of it this way:
Pokemon 1/Pokémon 2/Pokemon 3
Ability (A)
Body (B)
Moves (M)
You can’t apply more than one of A, B, or M to the same pokemon. You can’t apply A, B, or M multiple times.
So you can do:
A/B/M where Pokémon 1 gets ability, Pokémon 2 gets body, and pokemon 3 gets moves.
Example, You CANT do either of the following:
1. A/A/A where pokemon 1, 2, & 3 get ability.
2. ABM/-/- where pokemon 1 gets ability, body, and moves but pokemon 2 & 3 get nothing.
Therefore your options are:
ABM
AMB
BAM
MAB
BMA
MBA
That’s 6 total options. Therefore when selected at random, he has a 1/6 option.
@@A.S._fn Instead of thinking about individual picks, try thinking about it in terms of picking the correct order of all 3 items. How many different orders can 3 items have? 6. SO it's a 1 in 6 chance to pick the right order.
You're right that it's 1/6, but for the record, having 3 options each time would be 1/27, not 1/9
3*3*3 = 27
@@draconis17 you’re totally right! I’ll edit my error
to the person that said in pat's chat that "darkrai's so strong it's banned from vgc", i've got a better one for you. COSMOG is so strong it's banned from vgc.
Nothing says you can't use Cosmog in Gen IX Reg G. You just throw by that being your only restricted.
22:54 ngl, that choice specs nasty plot darkrai is one of the movesets of all time.
Hey Pat you should react to Casual Geographic “The ridiculously Complicated World of Cats”.
The power of putting a creature on a horses back is immense, the move pool goes from dogwater to insane.
I know I’m 2 Months behind but the chat actually had 8 Bingos… but everyone forgot about the 1st board
I swear Pat gets more and more excited for the sponsor with each passing video 😂😂
Shady is so sick for the fire emblem names, Dedue really is just a Terrakion huh
Seeing past Patterrz being so excited about how successful this bingo was…boy do I have some news for you.
"Is that the b tech version" I haven't heard that in years 😭😂
As someone who hated mornings, once I changed my lifestyle to get up early it actually isn't so bad and I kinda prefer it now lol
Broccoli Bros!!!
Patterz completed the bingo quota for the week.👌
Was actually 6 because of double switch
if he didn't reset the board he would have had 7 bingos at once
Damn if there was money on the line for this bingo Pat would be rich 😂
Love these keep doing them please
*Cheering* Minun! Minun!
Hey anyone noticed I think that shady was wrong. Dylan said body middle ability right moves left . As far as I saw reshiram was in the middle so ..........
It's a 1/6 chance
1/6 chance, not 1/9. crazy how if you guessed at random every time, its an 88.7% chance to get at least 1 correct. it was almost a freebie if you didnt fuck up.
Edit: replies dont know math (he has twelve chances to guess, since both teams individually get 6 rounds, with a 1/6 probability, because guessing the body is 1/3, the ability 1/2, and if both of those are correct, the moveset is a garunteed guess. thats the same as 12 d6 dice rolls, and if a single dice lands on 1 its a hit. Its 88.7%. Dont correct people and also be wrong)
@justsomeguywhoneverdies9210, thanks for not being an idiot.
This is not how fractions and random guesses work. There is 1/6 but each chance has a 1/6 chance. They aren’t additive. It’s like the lottery buying one ticket every week does not increase your chances to win.
Your chance actually does increase as you do more attempts. But not in the way you are thinking
Try to flip a coin 100 times and get head or tail 100 times in a row, you'll see it's really hard to do that. Individually it's still 50/50. But if you calculate the whole thing, if you get one result many times in a rows, the chance of you getting the other "will increase".
Let's say you got tail which is 1/2
The chance of you getting tail 2 times in a row will be (tail chance * tail chance) = 1/2 * 1/2 = 1/4. While the chance of getting head is opposite of it 3/4.
And the more tail you get in a row the harder it is to get another tail
@@justsomeguywhoneverdies9210 that's the gambler's fallacy. The average over the group will tend towards the odds, but the individual odds never change. It doesn't matter if you flip tails 1000 times in a row, the next flip is _still_ 50/50.
@@RabblesTheBinx it's not fallacy it's real math. and I *did* say the individual odds is still 50%. But we are not talking about *individual* here, Pattz didn't guess just once, he guessed multiple rounds. and we are calculating the chance of Pattz geting it right just *once,* by "we" I meant the original comment, I'm too lazy to rewatch the video to confirm if 88.7% is correct.
and I hope you understand what I tried to say. If you say "there is 50% chance I can get 1000 tails *in a row* and 50% chance of getting just one head from 1000 flip", then I don't know what to say anymore
@@justsomeguywhoneverdies9210 kinda it’s still a 50/50 chance the variation in situations like this can be due by an uneven coin. Or in dice’s case unbalanced dice. You could very well flip a balanced coin 8 times and get heads each time but the next flip it’s not anything other than a 50/50.
Now in this case if you had more time you could figure out the human pattern and find out what the person is most likely going to pick. But say the options were randomly generated everytime would be a 1/6.
i wish everyone who is reading this comment a great day/night from central Europe
👋👍
EVERYTIME I HEAR O Kay So
I Here
Oh CaseOh
same 😂
Hey I know you mentioned Hazbin Hotel before and that the music is pretty much stuck in your head which I get because the music in that show is amazing. I liked every song from season 1. I’m very surprised about that. What’s your favorite song from the show? Mine’s Poison.
Lucario has no stab moves.
I think asking someone to record at 7 am just because you are up is pretty rude.
You kind got 5 bingos if you count saying youd get 4 bingos as pat guesses right
Yo Pat! 👋
Would you ever react to music??
Wow so many bingo
poketubers may be the only kind of content creators that actually touch grass
Day 2 of asking for react to the art of RUclips fan songs
How does someone join Patterz RUclips chat? Is it free? (I swear to god if I have to pay I’ll be furious as RUclips already has awful policies and accounts have been screwed by YouRube’s stupidity.)
let’s go man
40:07 he regrets that play
Another one
4th comment
I was going to give you shit but this is your second account fairplay.