Arizona Polls Are Likely UNDERESTIMATING Kamala Harris
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- Опубликовано: 4 окт 2024
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Over 538,000 people signed the constitutional amendment on making abortion legal in Arizona. There were men and women who were willing to do the work to get the referendum on the ballot. Arizona will elect Kamala Harris. We believe in 2024, not 1864.
You go girl, the WAP (Women are Powerful) Movement are some of these people who'll propel Kamala Harris to victory in November
Actually it was over 800k. Twice the signatures needed. No ballot initiative in state history has got as many signatures as
Well, that might be really important on MSNBC. But It’s not even in the top 5 issues in Arizona
@@dustinholt7308it's the number 1 issue for women
@@dustinholt7308 Spoken like a real Dustin (man)
Speaking of AZ, Tina Peters, the MAGA Mesa County clerk who criminally tried to swing the election for Trump, was today sentenced to 9 years in prison.
good, thanks for the info! Trump is next,
Finally some justice!
Glorious! Just Glorious! Love that the Judge, Judge Barrett, excoriated her during the sentencing. He said:
“You are no hero. You abused your position - and you’re a charlatan who used, and is still using your prior position, to peddle a snake oil that’s been proven to be junk time and time again!" After the sentencing, he immediately sent her to prison to begin serving her sentence.
Tina Peters did not try to change the outcome of the election she access voter data 😂
Yet it is still mind-boggling that the guy at the top still walks free and is able to run for president.
I would rather let Republicans think they're doing better than they really are. It will be THAT much better when they lose "bigly." 😂
I screenshot this comment and will comeback after the election 😂
@@karenwillreallyexposeyou8531 Sure, buddy. Lol I doubt you will be able to see clear enough through all of your tears. 😭🤣👍
@@karenwillreallyexposeyou8531 What a loser! 🤡
@@karenwillreallyexposeyou8531 You'll have 6 or 7 new usernames by the time the election happens.
Yes! 😂😂
Check your voter registration! Double check. GOP states are purging thousands.
Get your friends and family to check or register too.
It’s all about making sure you can vote. Vote early if you can. Get it banked!
Nobody cares
@@karenwillreallyexposeyou8531 Voters do care, you might not
Yes. All the adults in my large extended family (Florida) are all set to vote for Harris/Walz. We should receive our mail ballots in the next couple days.
@@karenwillreallyexposeyou8531the facts don’t care about your feelings crowd get awfully triggered when facts don’t fit their feelings 😂
@@JR-pr8jbI’m a swing state voter and I’ve checked mine a few times. Im ready to do my civic duty as soon as the polls open! Let’s do it!
AZ here and we are going to elect Harris and Walz!! No women under 50 that I know are voting for Trump. And we have a very young states. Let’s go ladies!! 💙🤍❤️🇺🇸
Us OLD ladies are voting Blue as well! We fought too hard to gain the rights we have to have them ripped from us and our daughters!!!! 🇺🇸💙💖🏳🌈💙🇺🇸
Thank You from my future grandchildren
I'm in Maricopa and I know hundreds of women under 50 that are sick of the do-nothing Harris/Biden administration and they can't wait to vote Trump.
WW3 Inflation Crime Border Economy & all you care about it is unlimited free abortions. WOW
When women show up Democrats win. LETS GO WOMEN!!!!!
I'm in Arizona and it will be close, it was Trump everywhere a few months ago but Harris is starting to catch up, a huge reason why is Arizona Republicans who are spending big on billboards and Ads. Democrats have won every major race since 2018. I agree Arizona and Nevada are constantly underestimated for Democrats . It's a toss-up, and turn out will be key. The Senate contest and the abortion referendum will help drive turn out.
Arizona is illegally withholding the list of 218,000+ registered voters who have not provided proof of citizenship as required by law.
I hope you are right. With a good candidate, AZ will vote Republican, and there are no good Republican candidates. Logic tells you that the Democrats are the only good candidates. If you purge a party of decent people, you get bad candidates. That's how I feel about it.
Yeah this abortion initiative makes me believe a Harris win is plausible. A majority of those voting to support the initiative will be voting for Harris.
BAHAHAHAHAHA 😂
@@karenwillreallyexposeyou8531 what are you laughing about.
@@karenwillreallyexposeyou8531 Are you in a mental meltdown? If i see all your comments my advice get some help.
It's not just Women's Reproductive rights, all other issues like REAL tax cuts for lower, working and middle class people would put Kamala Harris over the top
@@metsandjetsfan5174 water rights are big here too its absolutely preposterous that we were selling our water to an adversary nation during a massive draught. Conservation of the environment used to be big here in AZ because we are a tourist state. People come here for the canyon or the craters or the nature. It used to be conservative to protect our business interests by keeping our state clean and healthy. Wanna take a wild guess as to who is defending our water rights? Ill give you a hint that cares about the climate.
Let's hope this is the case. We NEED to have Kamala Harris win in November, as she's now our only hope.
We need Trump back 😢
@@karenwillreallyexposeyou8531 We’re not going back.
@@becausepuppets - Already reported that clown for spam
After the news that just came out from FEMA, I think it's time to say harris just lost the election. No way she wins Georgia now.😓
@@karenwillreallyexposeyou8531FDT
Ohio and Kansas had 59% of voters supporting abortion rights. The number will be even higher here in AZ. I saw a poll that said 70% backed the abortion rights initiative. While that’s probably too high I could see it winning with 65%. Will 15% of AZ voters vote for abortion rights and for the guy who killed Roe? Seems doubtful. And Nevada has a similar ballot initiative.
@@andrewward5891 hopefully, your right. I don't know if you follow the news but the judge let the legislature write an extremely partisan explanation of the measure in the voters guide designed to encourage people to vote against it.
Been canvassing in Tucson and our campus’s team is currently ranked 2nd in the nation for getting people register and committed to vote for Harris. We’ll sleep when we’re dead
@@dahbean2874 Bear Down!
@@dahbean2874 Got my masters in education degree there.
All best wishes to you and your compadres!
You do realize that Tucson and Pima County are the most Democratic portion of Arizona?
@@rebeccaorman1823*Doesn’t matter…what matters is they get people REGISTERED and out to VOTE!!🗳️👏🏼*
The consistent 5% under the real post Roe v Wade elections number keeps getting rolled out by big media pollsters.
Who cares
@karenwillreallyexposeyou8531 more than half of American voters and the rest of the free world that knows Trump is a joke. Not you, though, right? Why be a patriot? Why care about freedom? 😂
@@karenwillreallyexposeyou8531 You are a lousy troll
Exactly. Dems have been over performing the polls since Roe. They even won a seat in Alabama of all places.
Thank goodness states like Michigan, Arizona, etc. have Democratic secretaries of states and attorney generals. Imagine if those psycho candidates had won in Arizona in 2022.
Imagine if we didn’t ask
@@karenwillreallyexposeyou8531Imagine if you were able to comprehend what a general statement is.
Katie Hobbs herself wasn’t the best candidates, THAT is why AZ was so close. Ruben is a decent candidate, his only problem is the border for many people, but Lake is just… but anyway, Mark Finchem as Sec of State would be TERRYFYING because he was there Jan 6. As an independent, a lot of them shifted away. The attorney general race was 280 votes
@@roweboatryan Roasted him 😂😂
@@karenwillreallyexposeyou8531 L + ratio + didn't ask
It's hard to see Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania going red with big democrats' success there in 2022 and '23
I screenshotted this comment and will comeback when Trump gets elected back in the White House!!!!
@@karenwillreallyexposeyou8531 Karen moment
@@karenwillreallyexposeyou8531🤡🤡🤡
@@karenwillreallyexposeyou8531 likewise when Kamala wins I’ll be back
Kamala Harris no économie bad for l'Amérique
I’m in AZ and ready to vote in my 4th presidential election for Harris/Walz once my early voting ballot arrives.
HOT TAKE: whichever party wins the Senate race in Arizona is the party that carries Arizona in the presidential election. Split party voting in America is becoming more and more scarce. The only state in 2020 to go for one party in the Senate race but the other party in the presidential race was Maine. GOP Senator Susan Collins won reelection in Maine while Joe Biden won carried the state on his way to winning the election that same cycle. Kari Lake is very unpopular in Arizona and Donald Trump is going to need those McCain Republicans to win both Arizona and the election, and that starts off by no longer disrespecting John McCain and those more moderate Republicans.
Do not get complacent! Do EVERYTHING you can to secure a Harris victory!
It's about trends, and Harris is trending up. Trump has already tapped his base and that's all he's got. Dems should work HARD to get out the vote.
@@louisquatorze9280 I remember the election of 2004 and this election reminds me a bit of that one. John Kerry and George Bush seemed to be in a very tight race leading up to election day. But looking closer it felt like John Kerry was always running uphill. he was on the defensive in the month leading up to the election. While I wanted him to win, I don’t think any of us were surprised to see George Bush win.
karen replying to every comment with the hardest cope ive seen
@@Av0cadoToast ITS TRUETH!!!!!
@@karenwillreallyexposeyou8531 *truth
@@karenwillreallyexposeyou8531 *it's
@@karenwillreallyexposeyou8531 “trueth” social stock tanking 📉📉📉
😂
@@karenwillreallyexposeyou8531 learn to spell before trying to Russian bot us
I'm really looking forward to the amazment of the pundit class after the election when they realize that yes, women are STILL PISSED about the Dobbs decision.
This wasn't simply a court decision in the news cycle for us. And the republicans will be reminded of it every single time there's a ballot initiative. Sow the wind, reap the whirlwind.
Yes! This is my belief too. I don't hear them talking about it, they think we forgot. LOL
FAFO
Everybody needs to go out and vote. Turnout is everything.
Agrees
Agree Vote Trump2024
@@PetePeters-e1l You realize that since Trump can't actually hold office, if he wins, it's Vance that gets sworn in.
Big Gretch whooped some MAGATQ ass in 2022
I'm from Arizona and have been noticing this yeah. Abortion referendum will deliver the state to Harris. I live in a conservative area but even I've seen some signs for democrats (mostly for state candidates rather than harris tho)
Stop lying there are more conservatives than demonrats in Arizona!!!!
After the news that just came out from FEMA, I think it's time to say harris just lost the election. No way she wins Georgia now.
I live in a similar kind of area in Michigan, but I ordered a Harris sign three months ago and I just got notification that it shipped. I imagine a LOT of people are in similar situations.
At the same time, mainstream media is overestimating Trump! That orange buffoon is done! Finished!
Zombie Trump voters!!
I believe you are correct. The media tries really hard to normalize Trump. It's disgusting.
Let em’ keep overestimating him, so it drives turnout up, as turnout is what actually matters, not polls.
Dream on baby
Don't forget abortion is also on the ballot in Florida, in Nebraska, in Montana, in Missouri, and in a few other states as well.
Swing state Nevada too
@@andrewward5891 Yes, thank you
@@andrewward5891 This is why I think there might be a surprise somewhere that absolutely nobody is paying attention to, and Florida might be it. Everybody assumes it's in Trump's column, but the Haitian migrant crap plus abortion on the ballot and a competitive senate race, watch out for this state
I really do believe she is winning FL.
@@travis303 I think if there's a presidential level surprise it might honestly be Iowa. It's historically a swing state and only trended left as Democrats abandoned rural areas, and Trump tricked them into think he had their interests in mind, both of which are reversing between Walz being the VP and Trump losing grip on reality
Scary Lake being on the ticket helps.
How is a lake scary!!!???!?!?!? Can you stop being dramatic please
@@karenwillreallyexposeyou8531 That's Kari's nickname.
@@karenwillreallyexposeyou8531Cry harder. 😂
@@karenwillreallyexposeyou8531 Karen Fake? btw thanks for the interaction and engagement, it's really appreciated by YT
@@justinriley Something tells me that the Karen above us would have reacted the same way to me nicknaming Vivek as “Vivid Rampantswampy.”
Turn out and vote blue like she’s down in Minnesota and Virginia 💙
She is down. you just watch msnbc polls
@PetePeters-e1l You must only be looking at Rasmussen, Пётр.
.
💙🇺🇲💙🇺🇲 KAMALA HARRIS 💙🇺🇲💙🇺🇲
💙🇺🇲💙🇺🇲💙 TIM WALZ 🇺🇲💙🇺🇲💙🇺🇲
The 2022 Lake-Hobbs comparison is a good example to look at. Lake is hardcore MAGA and polls showed her a few points over Hobbs. Turns out the the opposite happened with Hobbs wining by almost a point.
Until RCP deletes Rasmussen's data, it'll be unreliable.
Who cares dude
@@karenwillreallyexposeyou8531🤡
True. 👍
Trafalgar too
Those polls are mostly used to balance out left leaning polls thp
Technically speaking, couldn’t the exact same thing happen in Florida then? They have an abortion and marijuana laws on the ballot this election season. Couldn’t that put Florida in play the same way Arizona is, or at least make it more competitive?
Yep.
If Florida "flips" Democratic (Senate and President), it will be because of the abortion issue.
It will make it more competitive, the main difference is that Arizona is already very close to begin with so it's easier for a ballot referendum to push Harris over the edge. The Florida referendums look like they could help kick Rick Scott out of the Senate though, which is still certainly a big win
because dems have given up on florida, iowa , ohio and texas. 😂😂😂 and soon they will have to give up on North Carolina and Pensylvania
She’s not losing by 5 lol. That would mean Trump would be expanding his win on 2016 and would likely vote to the right of Texas. Not happening
he expanded on 2016 in 2020?
@@AA-pk6fo no lol
First of all, Trump is winning Texas by more than 5, second of all yes, Trump will do better in 2024 than 2016. This is a bad environment for the incumbent party.
@@forrestasp3047 no lol. Even if he wins the popular vote by like 3 points, he’s still going to do worse in Texas than 2016. Florida he could expand. I think Florida votes to the right of Texas.
@@Samtember14 What do you think the margin in Texas will be?
Especially with crosstabs and them underestimating Hispanic voters. Also for Nevada especially.
He literally lost Florida in the debate when he mentioned the Haitians it's the largest Haitian population in the nation 544,000 are eligible to vote that's 200,000 more than Harris needs to take that state back to Blue
@@wisdomsleuth77777 Just because they are _eligible_ to vote doesn't mean that they will actually turn out.
As we all know, minorities don't turn out at the rates that whites do.
As an Arizonan, I think the key to our state is that we dislike stuffed suits. I can't believe this is a uniquely Arizona thing, but I do think it's an impulse that transcends party. It's part of the history of the cowboy culture, we care about authenticity and principles, we don't like cult mentality. John McCain is a hero here because he had a clear moral compass and he stuck to it. It kinda doesn't matter what the moral compass is, as long as it's clear and you're sticking to it. Keep your promises, you'll do well in Arizona. This is why Martha McSally, Kari Lake, and Kristen Sinema are all such pariahs. I suspect our electorate might have a women problem, but the deeper issue with all three of those people is that they struggled to clarify what their politics actually were while their stars rose. Sinema went independent, it was a last ditch effort to rebrand herself as someone who doesn't follow the crowd and stands up for what she believes in. It didn't work because she was already obviously in everyone's pocket and never answered the phones. Katie Hobbs assumed the governorship with the wind at her back of running a fair election and then proving it under scrutiny, that's the way you have a political career here, and on that note, the way Doug Ducey waffled on the Covid response is what killed him. We like Trump because he shoots from the hip, we don't like Lake because she's a sheep to him, and now we don't like Trump because he's obviously stopped giving a shit and just turned into a shill.
Polls would be a lot more accurate without the GOP skewed ones... ;-) Yeah, there are DNC skewed polls but are no way as far off... North Carolina will make this election a very short lived night for the Dems!!!
And keep the senate blue.
I'm worried about Jon Tester in Montana, but Sherrod Brown in Ohio is looking good and I am very hopeful for Colin Allred in Texas and independent Dan Osborn in Nebraska!
I am also really pulling for Debbie Mucarsel-Powell here in Florida - we have abortion access on the ballot here too, which should help a lot.
We can do this, everyone!!! 💙💙💙
LTE: The polls are likely underestimating Harris in Arizona
Also LTE: Harris is up in the polls in every swing state except Georgia
Also LTE: I think Arizona will vote Trump.
he is following the data and makes educated guesses with the info he has on hand at that time
None of those 3 sentences are contradictory.
@@derekrequiem4359 It literally is? "Harris is polling ahead of Trump in Arizona AND ALSO their polls are likely underestimating Harris." How does that equal a Trump victory in the state?
He thinks Arizona will vote Trump, not the polls are saying so@@supermarble94
Blarizona! 💙💙💙💙💙
Redazona ❤️❤️❤️❤️❤️
@@karenwillreallyexposeyou8531 doesn't even rhyme
@@antieatingactivistneither does President Harris..
@@kanyasmr um what?
New voter registratuons for young black women are up 175.8%, and young hispanic women are up 149%. I assure you they are not getting polled.
Vote blue to save our democracy and our freedom! We need to get Maga corruption out of our government 💙💙💙💙💙💙💙
Glad to see you point this out. I understand the polls are close. But I think a lot of people are underestimating how fired up people are about Roe v Wade.
Yup, every Gen Z beta male who can't get a date or girlfriend is fired up because their imaginary girlfriend will not have the right to an abortion.
1 issue voters are fools
a lot of one issue radical voters are. The rest of the country is trying to put food on the table to feed the children they haven't aborted.
I know split ticket voting will occur, I just don’t see how Gallego doesn’t drag Harris across the finish line with him in AZ with the large margin he’ll likely win by. Plus with abortion on the ballot I think it will be a narrow win for Harris but not an auto Trump flip like most think these days. Same for NC imo
Don’t get complacent! Please make sure to check your registration and vote! Also please consider volunteering to help get the vote out!!
WE DO NOT CARE 🛑🛑🛑
Yes we care! Thank you for consistently posting this! You know people are going to come back saying “I didn’t know”❤❤❤❤
@@karenwillreallyexposeyou8531 Who is we?
I haven't vote for many years. I updated my im waiting by mail to vote..😊
EXACTLY!
Lets GOOOOOO DEMS !!
💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
I see red
AZ voter here and I’m voting for Vp Harris, Ruben Gallego, Quacy Smith and blue down ballot.
💙💙🗳️YOUR VOTE MATTERS🗳️💙💙 Vote Harris/Walz and blue down the ballot! I’m voting early this year! 🙌🏻 DO NOT GET COMPLACENT. All gas, no breaks!! Volunteer, donate if you can, talk to neighbors, family and friends, talk to people about registering and having a voting plan, and vote early. I’m voting next week! 💙🗳️
Idk, I think VP Harris has the best chance to win in North Carolina, not Georgia or Arizona.
Here's a fun one that someone should start a betting site for:
What state do you expect to be MOST off on election day compared to how the polls indicate it should vote? And by how much percentage points, and in who's favor?
You could start quite the thing around that question.....
*yawn* BOOOOOORRRRRRIIIIINNNNGGGGGG
@@karenwillreallyexposeyou8531 Aren't there any new episodes of Mr Birchum for you to watch?
Alaska prob
I would probably guess Wisconsin based on 2020 and 2016.
Other good choices are probably TX, FL, NC, MI, or PA.
I'm feeling AZ being blue again
This election will be a repeat of 2016. High expectations often leads to disappointment. Harris will end free speech and a mandatory confiscation program and she will undermine the Supreme Court and the constitution. Economically illiterate and why doesn’t she do what she is promising now ? Why did she wait three years to visit the border. Harris deflects , distracts and disappears. Botched the withdrawal of Afghanistan. She is the incumbent and Harris is grossly incompetent. She is no friend to Israel. Harris should have picked Josh Shapiro for VP.
Democrats dropped the ball when they didn’t pick Josh Shapiro for the presidential candidate.
@@CharlesHutton-b7t I think Arizonans are a bit more concerned with her not choosing Mark Kelly seeing how well respected him and his brother are here. Though to be honest I think people are either more concerned with local elections and the top of the ticket.
@@CharlesHutton-b7t Nah, Walz brings way tf more energy. Shapiro would also drive down young voter turnout based on his history on Israel.
I mean Kari Lake is getting trashed in the Senate Race, I do have a hard time believing that none of that will seep over to Harris come election day
If I was a democrat politician, I would bend over backward for the American Indian vote.
Thanks for the content. As a former Arizonan, I truly hope you are right about Harris winning in AZ. 🇺🇸👍🏼
Please do a video examining Nebraska. We have quite the set of ballot measures this year. Two competing abortion measures, paid sickleave, removing public funding from private and charter schools, and medical marijuana.
There is an abortion referendum in Missouri. Do you think it could pull Lucas Kunce for Senate over the loathsome Josh Hawley?
No chance sadly. Missouri is just too red these days for it to make enough of a difference.
Harris campaign: make a billboard ad showing Rosie the Rivettier with the caption: WE WON'T GO BACK.
The abortion ballot, also the senate race, where Gallego is running far ahead of Lake, makes me think Harris will win the state.
I think its more likely than Georgia, as Georgia don't really have any big statewide races to help dems out this time around.
I live in Arizona and I was here in 2022 during the midterms. It really did seem neck and neck and this election feels similar. But I think Kamala is going to come out on top. Maricopa county is increasingly becoming more blue and Trump will have to rely on the scant amount of people in red counties here to vote more, which is impossible.
It’s better making people thinks closer race because it encourages people to vote
All polls underestimate Harris. It is how polls work. Upcoming candidates are always underrated. The same as in 2016.
😂😂😂😂😂 You mean like when she barely won in D+30 California
2 reasons why I believe the Harris and Walz will win Arizona.
Firstly the state of Arizona moving/trending more to the left over the last decade.
Secondly even though presidential and senate races are different, having Trump and Kari Lake on the same ballot together I reckon will definitely turn off swing voters as well as the John McCain Republicans.
My simple guess is that trash talking McCain won’t really help you win Arizona
Hi LTE I love your videos. you are one of my main sources for election coverage and appreciate everything you do. Recently, Ive come to question your bias when it comes to this coverage. To start out, I am very left leaning, and I've always gotten the vibe you were a bit left leaning, but gave an unbiased take on things. recently however, i feel like all your cover is about how well democrats are doing. I do agree they are ahead of trump, but when I look at polling from the nyt and other polling, it shows trump very close to kamala or sometimes at least gaining percentages in the swing states. When these polls come out, i feel like you never talk about them or you exaggerate Kamala's lead. I am left leaning so I am happy with what you are saying, but Im just wary to make sure Im getting my data from a source I can trust.
I believe he was slightly right leaning in the past but has drifted to the left he thinks the polls are underestimating Harris and its mostly a media game he kinda explained this in one of the recent videos he did
he just did a video the other day predicting just 276 electoral votes for kamala. very weird how half of his videos are gassing up kamala but then for the big predictions he walks it all back. feels like he's just click baiting (which tbh I can't blame him for this channel is only profitable every 4 years)
Arizona's polling was spot on in 2020, so it'll be interesting to see if there is a change in accuracy this November.
Arizonan here, it will be very close here. The polls seem to always underestimate Trump. We need to be up by 5 pts for me to feel comfortable. Anything under 5pts is basically 50/50.
Thank you for all of your hard work!
Thank you, LTE!!! Let's get Kamala Harris to White House! Vote Kamala Harris to be the 47th President of the United States !!! May God bless you more 🙏💙🇺🇸
-- from a Filipino supporter here in the Philippines 🇵🇭
Don't get complacent!
Register, check your registration and vote blue!
AZ here ...I've been saying AZ is blue all along. No more Trump nuts riding around in trucks w flags. People in red counties say they've turned but are afraid to publicly admit. Lots of enthusiasm in parts of Phx. Trump support being pushed to north & west. Gallego is big reason because encourage mote voting.
I believe that people are going to be very shocked by the results of the election in favour of Kamala Harris
I believe you are going to be shocked when Trump wins Maine.
@@forrestasp3047 I’ll revisit this after the election
Please show one with new voter registration minority regions and highlighting the voting trends and the ones that have abortion on the ballot compared to the states that had abortion on the ballot in 2022 that went blue. Also the ones with the red senate seat I would really like to see just how close they actually are I know the polls if they've even been taken in these states aren't going to reflect the 30 to 35% of the GOP that are now considering themselves McCain Rhino but you can see them in the Nikki Haley votes
Dont get complacent - vote !!!
Arizona may very well be underestimating Harris and maybe even Ruben Gallego in the Senate race. Harris could win by a slightly larger margin than Biden did in 2020 because of the abortion referendum. Gallego could win his Senate race by 10% or more because of this.
Nevada will also have an abortion referendum. Given that Harris has maintained a small average lead in this state, she may win by close to 3%, maybe more. Jacky Rosen could very well win her Senate race by 10% or more.
Montana will have abortion on its ballot, too. It has the potential to help Jon Tester in his Senate race.
Florida has a similar referendum, which could affect the Senate race there and possibly even the presidential race.
Nebraska will have abortion on the ballot, which can not only solidify the 2nd district for Harris, but potentially affect the Senate race there, too.
ECONOMY n immigration are more important than abortion. She's persuading young naive voters to vote for her for abortion issues. Abortion is at the bottom. ECONOMY, immigration, inflation, and crime is way more important. Even healthcare is important than abortion. She looked good on debates not bc she did good as VP. Just by attacking trump over his personal lawsuits and his misdemeanor. Accept the fact She's trying to distract people from focusing on economy to his personal life. His record is good and her??? Invisible and lot of people don't even know who she is?? Now election time suddenly she smiles and goes to border. As VP she never ever smiled. Fake fake. Young naive don't know. That's y older voting for trump.
Love these videos, no bias bs. Just numbers
props to lets talk elections, he has to make assumption videos to keep his fans happy since the actual polls and stats arent going his way 😂
I love your reports. Start off all positive Democrat/Harris and finish off Not sure
😂 it isn’t about being positive or negative toward anyone. He’s reporting on polls.
More than polls, he puts big positive spin for democrats at the start then finishes with more gloomy tempered reaction at the end.
He always firmly has a foot in each to cover himself in the event of a Trump win.
His role is say something sensational /shocking to get us to click.
I will say he was more confident of a Biden win in the 2020 lead up.
Anyway, Go blue
@@CaffeineJoggeri agree, i dont really think his analysis is all that insightful. i just use this channel as a sort of news update to keep up with what’s going on in the polls
So many left or Dem leaning channels just rehash pointless drama. Yours is the only political channel I still watch cuz you talk about actual data and not just "look at this crazy stuff some Republican did!!!"
Very interesting analysis. Let's hope you are right about Arizona. I( wonder if the analysis will apply to Florida?
If Arizona goes blue I believe it will be because of the issue of Abortion. If Arizona goes red I believe it will be because the issue of Immigration. It will certainly be interesting to see which way this state trends in 2024!
I would be inclined to agree with your assessment but I actually live in AZ and personally know 3 former (very vocal) democrats who have switched over to Trump (one from the rural areas and 2 from the "city" area). It's usually the economy...not social issues. Believe what you like but any poll that say's Harris has an advantage out here is (IMO) an attempt to keep democrats sitting at home on election day.
No way the Senate for Dem is a blow out, but the Presidential is way under.
There is a concern, though, that the abortion ballot allows women to BOTH vote to protect abortion but ALSO vote Trump (for the economy, border etc., even though he will be a disaster). Get out and vote vote vote!
Polling averages are not a barometer of where a race stands on the day you are looking at it. I don't care about their methodology, it's just not an accurate measure.
I hope all the polls underestimate Harris.
You should start looking at adding some international election coverage after the election, especially after this year where we had so many big elections around the world.
LMAOOOOOO no they’re not 🤣🤣🤣 I never thought we’d get to the point of claiming the DEMOCRATS are underestimated against trump 💀💀💀💀💀 THE COPE IS REAL 😂😂😂😂😂
7:05 Unfortunately for Democrats, this doesn’t translate similarly to Ohio where 58% approved legalizing up to the 22nd week and regulating marijuana like alcohol.
I have always felt this so I don’t pay any attention to them.
Vote blue in Wisconsin, spread the news as the super rich PACs of the GOP are trying to make it red in the senate.
Don't be complacent. VOTE! Registration deadline for Arizona is Monday, OCT 7.
Biden vs trump in hindsight would have been a disaster lol
Turnout would have been lower. I really don't know if Trump would have gotten many more total votes whoever he ran against. But yes, he would have had a much better chance to win
Michigan polls today are freaking me the fuck out.
Uh. People. Tina Peters was the Clerk in Mesa County, Colorado, Not Mesa, Arizona.
I can’t wait till November 6th seeing this channel trying to explain what happened 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
I'm in Arizona and just waiting to vote Harriz/Walz when the polls open October 7th.
Doesn't Florida have an abortion referendum on their ballot as well? 🧐🤔
So riddle me this. If this is your adament theory about Arizona, how is it ALSO not your theory about Florida?
Voting can prevent unwanted precidency 💙🌊🌈🇺🇲
Vote blue up and down the ballot 💞💙🌊🌈🇺🇲
Local elections matter 💞💙🌊🇺🇲
Volunteer 🌈💞💙🌊🇺🇲
Donate 💞💙🌊🇺🇲.
Remember Roevember!! Vote BLUE!!
This is razor Close Biden& Hillary were up slightly Higher.so do all u can to let people know the issues like bad on g.o.p. contract on working Families.😮
Great news but we ALL need to vote!!!!! 💙 💙 💙 💙 💙