Me too, and on the 2 month annivesary, with many important people on the plane ,, He was bluffed by putler. He was coaxed to moskow, by a master manipulator.
@@robertlopez9347Yes, it wasn't prigozhins plane it was his planes double. This didn't happen in Russia, it happened in Russias double. I AM NOT ME, I AM MY DOUBLE!
Western media doesn't even care about the Russian political mind. But now we know that Vivek Ramaswamy is a Putin ally. Vivek thinks that old military gear should be sent to the Mexican border, not Ukraine. A loud-mouthed idiot, Balmyswamy should stick to giving presentations to gullible investors.
You're saying that as if western media actually wants to cover the intricacies of bloodthirsty non-western politics. I am going to have to remind you, as a western viewer of western media, I would be happy if western media would one day, just once, maybe in February, somewhere mid month, maybe between the second and third weeks for no particular self indulgent reason at all declare: "nothing is going wrong elsewhere in the world, everything is nice and there is nothing weird to worry about, the weather is going to be great today and all of your friends have brought you sausages and cheese of various vintages" "India has made friends with Pakistan and they are both currently baking a cake together, Xi Jinping has acknowledged that China is a pluricentric country and has made a Hong Kong cinema film in which he performed all of his own stunts, the war on drugs has been cancelled and the capital of the United States is now Tenochtitlan, Dogs have decided to make peace with Cats and both species are now playing fetch with each other, Shiites and Sunnis have both simultaneously realised that deep down, everyone is a Jew, and Hitler has been reanimated and been forced to confess that actually, the Nazis and the Communists are both as deludedly ideologically motivated as each other and maybe no one ever really gave a fuck what _either_ of them thought to begin with, because neither of them were all too polite about explaining it, and they are both making an apology video together to let the world know how sorry they are for what they did." And now let's turn over to April Ryan with the weather report!
One note, Litvinenko was killed with Polonium-210 in his cup of tea, NOT Novichok. Another hit in the UK which showed callous disregard to the unrelated people in the surroundings. Anyone picking up that teacup could've potentially been harmed.
When I first heard the news that Prigozhin had stopped his coup attempt and agreed to a deal, the words "When you play the game of thrones, you win or you die" immediately came to mind. It seemed insane that he decided to stop when he had real momentum behind him. Perhaps he was thinking of the failed coup back in 1990 but if he wasn't willing to bear the risk, he shouldn't have started it in the first place.
Possibly waited for a more ideal opportunity and making 99% sure he could see it through. Surprise element without all his bases covered might've been his only option, being against the most insidious spying organisation ever devised in human history with Putin likely able to know exactly when and what Prigorsion had for breakfast on any day of his choice.
It wasn't intended to be a coup - Prigozhin's power struggle was with Shoigu, not Putin. What Prigozhin failed to see, but is obvious in hindsight, was that Shoigu's orders came from Putin. It's also very notable that Putin took a very long time to first react to the uprising, as if he was deliberating on how best to play it. I read this delay that Putin considered Prigozhin a very valuable asset that he didn't really want to loose, but he also didn't want to risk Prigozhin successfully seizing control of the Army, in case he then turned against Putin. There is very much more to this than meets the eye, but whichever way you slice it, Putin lost. He has even expressed some regret and I don't think this is entirely phony.
He probably overestimated the courage, power, and backup of the potent ones (such as Surovikin) supporting him. Once he moved and the reality kicked in, it was too late. It's basically no different than in daily life, school, or work. People tend to blabber a lot behind the scenes, then when it's time to act, they poop their pants and disappear, and the few brave ones are left alone and are screwed. What I don't understand is the whole aftermath story. He must have known better. Probably I gave him too much credit.
There is evidence that Putin is enamored of doing things on "significant dates". The fact that the assassination happened two months to the day after the mutiny is a pretty good example of this.
@@paulhargreaves1497 if it was so easy for the ukrainian army to get rid of Prigozhin, it would have already happened long ago, when he was a threat. Listen to the clumsy comments of Putler and Kadyrov and you will understand that they evidently do not show any regret of what happened and admit that they did foresee this coming.
Putin may have slept a bit more soundly last night but, deep in the solitary darkness of his soul, he must know that his final act is approaching. Every desperate atrocity for his self-preservation is another nail in the coffin of the Moscovy empire
The theatricality and spectacle of blowing Prigozhin and his lieutenants out of the sky says a lot about the depth of Putin’s insecurity. Rich but insecure men buy exotic sports cars, yachts, luxuries mansions for their mistresses. Putin has disobedient subordinates ostentatiously annihilated. What would we think if Trump used a golden toilet to publicly bludgeon Mark Meadows to death?
Excellently produced. Vlads predictions about the trend of the war moving more and more onto russian territory proving spot on at every step of the way. Staying tuned!
Plan well your march on the Gremlin, No cold feet half way Your next meal a bitter resentin' Your plane falls in broad day Dugin's 'spiritual leader' on the go Now a wisp of vapor outside Moscow. 🇺🇦
Oooh "Wagnerian ambitions contributed to a Wagnerian outcome." THAT is gold. Great stuff as usual. While the main channel has become supplemental reading to the Chat channel for me, I LOVE these video treatments of issues we talk about on the other side. Vlad - thank you, as usual, and keep up the great work!
Just because a group of criminals and murderers called themselves ''Wagner'' you shouldn't insult Richard Wagner the composer. It is a bit sickening, gives them too much honor and credit.
Rhyme is reason for hacks, not scholars. It's just a cute little quip. It condenses the gestalt of a deeply idiotic episode into "A is A," which is all it ever stood a chance of being because all the players involved were ancephalic opportunists who lacked even the animal cunning to understand that they were playing a game where the winner walks out with a knife covered in blood, only to die three weeks later in a counter-coup, and nobody else walks out at all. If throwaway twitticisms like this sway you to any serious degree then you ought not to be forming opinions on complex topics.
Hurling hot takes out the door within a day of the precipitating incident is, inherently and incontestably, an act of punditry & media populism in the hopes of catching views from current affairs viewers. This is a conscious decision to prioritize the news cycle over principled analysis. Everyone who participated in the game of takes on August 23-24 is reset to british tabloid tier credence forever. Literally all it takes to be highly confiden[t] in the ground truth of what you're about to present to a large audience of nonspecialist viewers is to give it a couple friggin days of work.
@jeremycahill4662 yeah, I mean, I wasn't running for office on that platform or anything, I just thought it was clever. Also, I think you meant "anencephalic."
Love your blogs Jake!----Imagine that YOU were Putin---Do you really think that Pootler didn't do away with PrigoZhin right away---sadistically torturing him for quite some time?----Pootler stated that "he had met with PrigoZhin, earlier in the day"---BUT NO VIDEOS!--They would have shown him shaking hands, kissing, etc. but that DID NOT HAPPEN!---No one saw PrigoZhin--only an old picture of him in his underwear, and a mysterious nigh-time video in the dark--what kind of videos are made without lights? It wasn't two months!--Pootler had Prigozhin killed right away!---Pootler staged the "death", putting PrighoZin's froZen body into the plane. Pootler needed to wait a bit and pretend that PrigoZhin was still OK for him to deal the Wagner troops!---No one saw PrigoZhin for the time till the plane was blown up--only still pictures, and a "video" in the dark!
"Prigozhin - the criminal, turned hot dog vendor, turned presidential chef, turned mercenary leader" That has got to be the craziest biography ever. Edit: You are down right lyrical in this one, Vlad.
Dear Prof. Vexler, last year when Mr. Prigozhin left the underground and came up to the surface of social media I wrote in the comments to your chat that the myth is dead and the combatants might eat themselves. You agreed. Love the outcome and that you underlayed it with the "Walküren" 🌻
It's literally just cookie-cutter, boilerplate clickbait. When you see a red arrow in a thumbnail flanked by a title like "the REAL reason..." you're dealing with someone who read a "how to lure idiots to your channel" article, and thinks absolutely nothing more of his audience.
I'm a US Marine veteran who volunteered for the Legion in Ukraine last summer. Your content has helped me contextualize what this war is all about. I knew in my heart I was fighting for a good cause, and your content solidifies that. Thank you
🥴 you definitely were not on the right side of this war. This guy isn't telling fact's. This is propaganda site. No one even knows at this time who killed Wagner leader. There's several people who wanted him dead. Go to other sites and get more educated. I feel sorry for you fighting Obama Biden proxy war. 🙄 I'd feel super stupid for fighting for the wrong side.
Oh yeah ?! I'm a marine vet over here as well fighting. My grandmother is from Odessa. I've been here since the first week. What region are you in? As an American military vet I know you're intelligent enough to understand by looking at my call sign what I'm helping with. God Bless America 🇺🇸 and watch over you brother. Slava Ukraini to our new brothers and sisters in arms. Let's get their land back from this monster. Semper Fi !!
Overtime, I have really come to rely upon your videos, not only for news, but explanation. I like the way you explore a lot of possibilities and outcomes, in an attempt to cut through to the truth. It's something that the general media doesn't do. There's always plenty to agree or disagree with. You make for a proper open ended discussion. Thanks Vlad.
At the time of the mutiny wager was a substantial military force. Immediately after they began losing most of their heavy vehicles and personnel were aggressively recruited by the MOD. They were down to maybe the size of a motorized rifle brigade. My opinion is they just waited until he was a bit less dangerous.
I think putin's people put out feelers among the wagner command to find people to take over wagner, specifically to continue its african operations, before taking out prigozhin and utkin.
@@Vgallo Yes, I know. I would agree, I think it's easily the most logical options Vlad mentioned. Although what he said about Putin trying to bring his enemy closer before getting rid of him makes sense also.
I would also argue that they needed to Utkin and the other bugger off the board at the same time. If the Wagners’ second and third in command were still in play, they might have been able to organize some kind of retaliation. With all three dead, the remaining Wagnerites are likely to spend the next 3-6 months figuring out who’s in charge, bleeding men and arms the whole while.
also, didnt similar timing speculation happened with Nordstream... that remote detonation was used to not let public and media connect dots as easily, cause ambiguity who did it... this works same among lot of other things (daily reorganization)
Your clarity is amazing. The real importance of this bit of theater is the act and it being seen rather than the details. I hope RUclips gives this video the prominence it deserves.
7:50 - 7:58 Beautifully put, Vlad. Prigozhin, even if for a brief moment was against the monster in the Kremlin, was still a vile warlord & outlaw in a world where seldom few of them ever get the luxury of dying quietly in their sleep.
If he was "for a brief moment...against the monster in the Kremlin," it was because the monster wasn't being monstrous enough.Let's not get sentimental here (not saying you are: Internet comments are tough to interpret).
Prigozhin launched a mutiny, in which Utkin shot down a command aircraft with many officers on-board. The image of that aircraft spinning to Earth and yesterday’s incident are eerily similar. Prigozhin may just have started to breathe easy again, which is the cruellest moment to murder. Utkin was a command officer. He couldn’t be forgiven, but his death didn’t carry enough political weight without killing Prigozhin and PMC Wagner too. It wasn’t clumsy, it was their best chance to kill all three. The military have the revenge that will remove all thoughts of mutiny.
And the people should wonder how wise it is to continue to tolerate a regime that will knowingly and callously and directly murder innocent civilians purely as a part of a pointless, needless game. Kristina Raspopova deserved better. Her family deserve better.
Exactly! Utkin, a name most people have only heard recently, is callsign "Wagner." Even if Prego had a deal, Utkin was toast. It was only a matter of time.
I doubt the conclusion that it shall remove all thoughts of mutiny. I believe that it taught a lesson to pull through when starting a mutiny and not cave in when Putin is offering an agreement. It showed that Putin cannot be trusted at all, thus nobody will try to negotiate with him anymore. Putin and his regime are not in a better situation than before that killing; it showed weakness, not strength.
I'm so glad to see this drop! I've been waiting for your analysis and thoughts. They are always well considered and take the Russian mindset and dump it out on the table like so much scrap and gunk, then explain it too us Westerners. Thank you. SLAVA UKRAINI!
Really great choice playing _Siegfried's death and Funeral march (Götterdämmerung)_ by Richard Wagner starting at 4:47. With its menacing tones and the underlying story of betrayal, in which Hagen kills Siegfried with a stab in the back, this is the perfect score for this event.
Swirling evil! Also used for Darth Vader’s scenes in Star Wars. Writer, director and producer, we need more people like Vlad Vexler - even Vlad’s name is cool!
I just can't wrap my head around the unbelievable stupidity/arrogance required for Prigozhin to make the choice to fly in a private jet over Russian territory. If I were him, I wouldn't have gone anywhere *near* Russia while Putin remained in power. It's obvious that this would happen.
Fool wargner boss went to speak with putin directly so there's no way he could have known putin would stab him in the back like that after giving him something to drink before he left
Prigozhin seemed to be of the view that if there was no way to avoid assassination, he'd live his life as before without taking precautions. Or at least that's the best explanation I can think of for why he'd continue to fly around on jets after being ordered to stay in Belarus. Or maybe he actually thought that he was too powerful and/or useful to Putin to be summarily murdered. In any case, getting to do what he wanted for two months probably gave him the impression that he wasn't going to be punished for the mutiny. I wouldn't be surprised if Putin deliberately drew it out just to give Prigozhin hope before dropping the boom.
This era reminds me of medieval history, with its warlords, intrigues, and endless feudal power games. At the beginning of the 21st century, I could not have believed that we would end up back in the Middle Ages in a few decades.
Stalin was a Star Wars scale science fiction mass murderer. A middle ages scale one as Shakespeare loved to depict is a lesser evil : they generally keep content with a few victims at a time. Medieval wars were generally small-scale and highly ritualized.
Great analysis, I liked especially that part of the regime’s inevitable downward spiral in which killing or not killing Prighozin actually has the same effect, cannot stop it.
Tomorrow 1420 asking people on the street about Prigozhin "Who? The cook, I'm not interested in cooking, I generally don't follow cuisine in my personal life!" 🧐😉
I am reminded of the end of Ernst Róhm, who was the leader of a powerful force and a threat to ruler, except here the power balance is reversed: the Army is big and Wagner was small, just over 1 division, whereas Röhm had around a million to the smaller Reichswehr.
1991 GKChP and yeltsin RSFSR counter/auto-coup. 1993 yeltsin auto-coup. three events that happened in near-contemporary russian history of far more direct relevance than a ridiculous corporal and poison dwarf conspiring to dispense with the SA and röhm.
yeah that's a rather far-fetched nazi comparison. the situation with the night of the long knives was that hitler, soon after becoming dictator of germany, consolidated his power by getting rid of other leading nazis who could limit his authority through their official status in the party. since it was founded by freikorps members, the nazi party had a paramilitary wing from the beginning, which became the SA, and that's the force röhm commanded when he was killed. that was the entire muscle of the nazi party, whereas wagner is a small quasi-military force created by putin less than 10 years ago. hitler used the party's power to bring the state fully under control, then used the state's power to bring the party fully under control, and then he for the most part replaced the party-loyal SA with a new explicitly hitler-loyal SS, which he then took care to keep strong enough to subdue or deter potential partial coups and revolts committed by the national military.
@@Ass_of_Amalek these objections (mine included) are, of course, a trap / unfair in their own right: comparing russia with any society that advanced under its own power beyond the neolithic is fundamentally a category error. you could draw comparisons with african postcolonial struggles to manage peaceful transitions of power between executives, but this would falsely imply that russian society, stripped of soviet vassals/satellites, is third world. left to their own devices, they're closer to the sentinelese, but with none of the geographic-determinism excuses for lack of development. the only humane solution to russian culture is systematic, full-scale resettlement of the entire ethnically russian population around the globe, efffectively cleansing humanity of russkiy mir for at least a few generations while giving 1/8th the usable landmass of the planet a fighting chance, for the first time in forever, to develop like literally anywhere else in the world.
@@Ass_of_Amalek It's not a NSDAP comparison, talk a stroll down logic lane, Oxford. It is about the situation of a dictator consolidating power, the removal of a challenger. That Röhm was in the NSDAP is simply the background.
Putin has been shaped by decades of bitterness and revenge. He's learned to hold deadly grudges. Vlad, you look very bright-eyed and healthy today. Wonderful ❤
You are just brilliant Vlad! So many twists and turns and yet you manage a golden thread through it. The tapestry and what unfolds is for the future, For now, I salute your nimble fingers!
My initial thought too. Also Putin (or "Putin") was photographed with orchestra behind him on that day. As he was celebrating Kursk battle anniversary.
Excellent analysis! Your insight into the russian mindset provides a much needed foundation for those of us who, in the past, have assumed we can understand what drives this mafia run nation. I still have much to learn- so thank you, dear Vlad, for taking the time to share. Be well.
@@jahazbrooga309 calm your titties, ladies, and get off your high horse. By any definition until 2014 ukraine was by all means a "mafia run nation". Only 20 out of the 195 countries are considered full democracies, so the definition of a mafia-run nation can be applied to the rest of the world as well
@@jahazbrooga309 for what reason would I delete it? It's a fact. Most you couldn't even point to Ukraine on a map before all of this started. What would you know of it? Europe's capital of corruption all of the sudden is a great, free democratic nation just because Russia decided to take matters into its own hands... Pathetic. You're all so easily manipulated it's sad
One Russian journalist said that Putin waited for Prigozhin to transfer his business ties in Africa to Putin's people. There was The Russia-Africa Summit in Russia a month ago where Prigozhin was and Putin also .
It’s really too bad Prighozin didn’t understand that once he started the convoy toward Moscow that there were only two outcomes - win or die. As risky as the results could have been, I really wish Prig had gone through with it and deposed Shoighu and potentially even Putin.
As to taking on Putin, OK. But Shoigu, for whose sake are you hoping? The largest advantage of Shoigu to everyone including Ukraine and the world at large is that he's absolutely incompetent and very corrupt.
He started the convoy because he had already lost. Official decisions had been made to dismantle Wagner and integrate it into the DoD. People tend to miss that.
WATCH NEXT: The REAL meaning of the killing of Dugin's daughter ruclips.net/video/y-Zk7K9Un2U/видео.html THIS explains why Russia starts insane wars ruclips.net/video/V6UiEXrVrvg/видео.html Why Losing Crimea May Destroy Putin https:/ruclips.net/video/N6CGbYQIVJs/видео.html How Putin Fooled the Western Left ruclips.net/video/017WGzJ5fHA/видео.html --- You can now support Vlad's work on Patreon! www.patreon.com/vladvexler Support Vlad via PayPal www.paypal.com/paypalme/vladvexler?country.x=GB&locale.x=en_GB --- WATCH MORE: The Postmodern Hell Of Russian Propaganda ruclips.net/video/_j6Vg7yLx54/видео.html Why I left the USSR....and why post-Soviet Russia failed ruclips.net/video/8BbXqeW7mz8/видео.html The Riddle of Why Russians Don't Protest ruclips.net/video/K4O3D7CfThA/видео.html
I am curious. Prigozhin was not an idiot. He knew Putin better than anyone and that only his assassination would suffice to feed Putin's rage. He must have known that flying with the Wagner leadership from Moscow to St Petersburg was to invite a missile as sure as jam a wasp. Why on Earth was he so foolish?
Many criminals evade justice throughout life. That Prigozin was arrested aged 20 and jailed for 12 years suggests his arrogance came before his criminal intelligence. He wasn't born into a criminal family.
The Evil Elf in the kremlin has struck again! You really did a fabulous job on this video! You did a really evenhanded and deep analysis of what on the surface has a sort of “Flamboyant Mob Hit” feeling to it. I do feel bad for people like the pilots and stewardesses on the flight who didn’t deserve the horrible fate they found themselves in. The Hotdog salesman and the elf deserve the same fate.
It seems like putin needed to do a few things before safely killing prigozhin. 1. Disarm and disband Wagner 2. Destroy prigozhin's and Wagner's public image. 3. Strengthen his security. 4. Scare off any more or less famous commentators and "war correspondents" by jailing Strelkov.
Think about the need for all that theatricality. What is Putin’s true position if he needed to stage a Hollywood spectacle when a simple assassination would have sufficed?
Easy. Russian style as usual. They showed him a photo of his family and told him, is it the revolt or your family? And he chose for his family to live and revolt to finish. I still believe he was killed a little time after the revolt.
@@cyruslupercal9493 Historically though, fled leaders stay fled. Which is why Zelenski stayed. Once he left, his power was gone. I understand your point and it's been made well by other, eg Perun, but apart from the Khallesi, who had major plot armour, which exiled leader ever regained power ?
Great analysis, thanks for your brillant constant work! Always great to watch! Wish you all the best and hopefully soon better News from that part of the world. I’m not too optimistic but hope never dies.
I feel very sorry for Putin. He seemed to be very sincere when he offered his condolences when hearing of the crash. He was almost sobbing. It is true that the relationship between Putin and Prigozhin wasn’t perfect. For example two months ago Pirgozhen tried to march on Moscow and kill Putin. But this is normal. Every relationship has its ups and downs. Putin already forgave Prigozhin. They kissed and made up. Prigozhin cooked some of his famous hot dogs. It was Vova and Zhenya together forever! And now this terrible accident. I have no doubt that the investigation now beginning will show no connection to the Russian government.
“I knew Prigozhin for a very long time, since the early ’90s. He was a man of complicated fate, and he made serious mistakes in his life, but he achieved the right results” I don't know, when someone is telling something like that after the death of a person, he is basically admitting that he saw that coming and justifying the death. Would a reasonable person mourn the death of someone by saying "he made serious mistakes?". That seems the commentary of a psychopath, as Putin is. Unluckily the dwarf is getting old; his brain starts to lag. Kadyrov also said something on the same line: "I asked him to leave personal ambitions for the sake of matters of paramount national importance. Everything else could be decided later. But he was like that, with his iron character and desire to achieve his goal right there and then,"
This wouldn't be the first time it was suspected that an aircraft crash had been used to dispose of a political opponent. There was Alexander Lebed, who was at one time a favourite for becoming president and had made connections with the West, who died in a suspicious helicopter crash in 2002.
You'd think that, given the kind of guy he was, Prigozhin should have known the first rule of going after the head of the mob. If you're going to take a shot at the boss? Don't fucking miss because it'll be the only chance you ever get.
You misunderstand a few things. 1) Prigo not once publicly criticized Putin. 2) Prigo did not take a shot at Putin. He took a shot at Shoigu and the MoD. 3) Prigo was convinced his mutany against the MoD was a minor issue compared to what he could do to benefit Russia and Putin's war efforts. He thought he was safe. Incorrectly, but not unreasonably.
Thank you for an incisive, clear and concise video. Your choice of background music had me snorting with laughter at points. Wagner on Wagner eh? Take care and thank you again for your analysis.
Its interesting the parrels between Hitler's and Putin's method of ruling. Both would delegate overlapping duties to subordinates. Then sort of referee their fight.
Prigozhin's ultimate fate was a fate on rails even before his act of mutiny. His rhetoric leading up to the mutiny was enough to reckon the course he was moving on.
Agreed. The mutiny was a joy ride, a suicide run. Some commenters are asking how could he be so stupid as to board a plane. That’s like saying how could he be so stupid as to go on living once he was marked for death. It was towards the end of Bakhmut that he really started getting squirrelly. I think he realized he was getting screwed by Shoigu the pimp. But it was on the road to Moscow he fully realized it was Putin screwing him all along. By then it was too late to lay down and spread his legs.
@@MarcosElMalo2 That all seems to make sense to me. He quite noticeably lost his head at Bakhmut and that's about when I started to see he was in trouble and when he kept escalating is when I started predicting he was headed to his grave. Then came the mutiny to complete the act, theatrically speaking/a refrence.
Why are you discrediting the glorious russian army? It is not a 10 day special military operation. It is a 3 day special military operation. All the grain we destroyed was nazi grain that had little swastikas in each seed. Coincidence? *Disclaimer: I tried to sound as absurd as I can, but regardless how hard I try someone is still gonna think I'm a ruski troll, and I don't blame ya considering how god damn stupid they are. Slava Ukraini.
Excellent video. Very compelling reasoning and so accurately expressed. Putin is walking a tightrope, he hasn't fallen off yet but he's looking increasingly shaken.
I wish there were an English word for: “an idea, argument, or thesis which is perhaps inherently too mired in perspective and opinion to rightly call it factual but is so demonstrably informed, clearly articulated and logically contextualized that a kind of inherently valid, self-evident truth is communicated” That’s the thing I love about your best videos
The depolitization of the general population and the lack of non-lethal conflict resolution (I also include de facto life sentences for any type of opposition) are two massive trends for Russia that won't bode well for anyone, even for the current loyalists. Thanks for that insight! Excellent choice of music too!
I think it was an accident. Because the air defence worked so poorly over Moscow previously Putin had to let Igor Girkin shortly out of prison, so he could show how S300 works.
Bravo, bravo Mr Vexler. The analysis is spot on. Priggo thought all his mines and possesions were really his own. It always was just given to him on time, and when the real owner showed up, priggo didnt react accordingly. He thought he could have everything.. the cake and a full stomach.
It must be just as likely that Putin was just biding his time to see who else was supporting Prigozhin, making those around him feel relaxed while the FSB bugged everyone and anyone that Putin suspected.
Exactly, a lifetime career in the KGB and it's well oiled machinations over, give or take, a century, would make Putin an absolute Phd in the insidious science of it all.
Love the content Vlad. The YT media space should worry more about exposing the harsh truth than hiding the unpleasant aspects of dysfunctional autocracy. We're all grown ups jere
It is no surprise to hear of Prigozhin's apparent death. Those outside Russia thought he was a dead man walking. But what baffles me is, whatever the agreement between Putin and Prigozhin was, that ended the so-called mutiny or Justice March, why would Prigozhin trust Putin? He knew and understood the man. Why would Prigozhin behave in such a cavelier manner with regard to his personal safety? Why would he pack his Wagner management team, including himself, all on the same plane? Succession planning 101 dictates, you do not want to create a situation where if one goes down, they all go down? Ever since Prigozhin's mini-revolt in June and his sudden halt to Wagner's Justice March on Moscow, his behaviour has made ZERO sense to me. For such a methodical, cut-throat, cunning and coniving individual who is/was devoid of any moral compass, he suddenly behaved very stupidly.
You're assuming Prigozhin would want Wagner Group to go on without him, which I'm not so sure is a safe assumption. If Prigozhin saw Wagner as a means to live the way he wanted to live, and cared nothing for what happens after his death, then succession planning would be irrelevant, and if he felt that Wagner was being taken from him BEFORE the mutiny, then perhaps he bets everything on one roll of the dice: Will the Soviet Army and the general public flock to his cause on the road to the capitol? If they do, then he has options, but they didn't, and so all that is left is to see if you can cut a deal, and then decide: Life in exile, or go on living the way you want with the knowledge that if Putin wants you dead, the blow will come someday. Perhaps he didn't think Putin would brazenly murder multiple innocent civilians as a means to his own end.
This is weirdly off-topic, but you should record your videos at that time of day more often. The blue-ish light from the window makes the yellow-ish foreground pop more, like a Michael Bay movie.
The fact that Prigozhin was able to so easily let his guard down and make himself vulnerable to this outcome is what surprises me.
He's not dead... It was most likely his double...
Me too, and on the 2 month annivesary, with many important people on the plane ,,
He was bluffed by putler.
He was coaxed to moskow, by a master manipulator.
@@robertlopez9347oh he's dead. And if he's not , he wants to be😂
@@robertlopez9347Yes, it wasn't prigozhins plane it was his planes double. This didn't happen in Russia, it happened in Russias double. I AM NOT ME, I AM MY DOUBLE!
Dude should have run off to West immediately
Vlad covers Russian politics better than any credible western media outlet. Every analysis is such a hit.
I have the same intuition but than hearing how spectacularly clues he is when taking about Poland gives me a pause.
Western media doesn't even care about the Russian political mind. But now we know that Vivek Ramaswamy is a Putin ally. Vivek thinks that old military gear should be sent to the Mexican border, not Ukraine. A loud-mouthed idiot, Balmyswamy should stick to giving presentations to gullible investors.
You're saying that as if western media actually wants to cover the intricacies of bloodthirsty non-western politics.
I am going to have to remind you, as a western viewer of western media, I would be happy if western media would one day, just once, maybe in February, somewhere mid month, maybe between the second and third weeks for no particular self indulgent reason at all declare:
"nothing is going wrong elsewhere in the world, everything is nice and there is nothing weird to worry about, the weather is going to be great today and all of your friends have brought you sausages and cheese of various vintages"
"India has made friends with Pakistan and they are both currently baking a cake together, Xi Jinping has acknowledged that China is a pluricentric country and has made a Hong Kong cinema film in which he performed all of his own stunts, the war on drugs has been cancelled and the capital of the United States is now Tenochtitlan, Dogs have decided to make peace with Cats and both species are now playing fetch with each other, Shiites and Sunnis have both simultaneously realised that deep down, everyone is a Jew, and Hitler has been reanimated and been forced to confess that actually, the Nazis and the Communists are both as deludedly ideologically motivated as each other and maybe no one ever really gave a fuck what _either_ of them thought to begin with, because neither of them were all too polite about explaining it, and they are both making an apology video together to let the world know how sorry they are for what they did."
And now let's turn over to April Ryan with the weather report!
Yes, and he looks like Mischa Auer while doing so! I am a fan!
🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
One note, Litvinenko was killed with Polonium-210 in his cup of tea, NOT Novichok. Another hit in the UK which showed callous disregard to the unrelated people in the surroundings. Anyone picking up that teacup could've potentially been harmed.
Slip of tongue realised it as soon as I watched!
Also, only after he announced to publish evidence on Putins pedophilia.
Special offer: send one Novichok and receive 1000 Storm Shadow.
@@VladVexlerThat's the nice thing when you have a community: Someone will set things right.
@@JuliaMRichter And we trust each other. That's the best.
When I first heard the news that Prigozhin had stopped his coup attempt and agreed to a deal, the words "When you play the game of thrones, you win or you die" immediately came to mind. It seemed insane that he decided to stop when he had real momentum behind him. Perhaps he was thinking of the failed coup back in 1990 but if he wasn't willing to bear the risk, he shouldn't have started it in the first place.
Possibly waited for a more ideal opportunity and making 99% sure he could see it through. Surprise element without all his bases covered might've been his only option, being against the most insidious spying organisation ever devised in human history with Putin likely able to know exactly when and what Prigorsion had for breakfast on any day of his choice.
He was relying on his history with Putin to counter the threat of retribution. He was extremely wrong
Prygozhin stopped because Surovikin, who was then in custody, said one word ' STOP '
It wasn't intended to be a coup - Prigozhin's power struggle was with Shoigu, not Putin. What Prigozhin failed to see, but is obvious in hindsight, was that Shoigu's orders came from Putin. It's also very notable that Putin took a very long time to first react to the uprising, as if he was deliberating on how best to play it. I read this delay that Putin considered Prigozhin a very valuable asset that he didn't really want to loose, but he also didn't want to risk Prigozhin successfully seizing control of the Army, in case he then turned against Putin. There is very much more to this than meets the eye, but whichever way you slice it, Putin lost. He has even expressed some regret and I don't think this is entirely phony.
He probably overestimated the courage, power, and backup of the potent ones (such as Surovikin) supporting him. Once he moved and the reality kicked in, it was too late. It's basically no different than in daily life, school, or work. People tend to blabber a lot behind the scenes, then when it's time to act, they poop their pants and disappear, and the few brave ones are left alone and are screwed. What I don't understand is the whole aftermath story. He must have known better. Probably I gave him too much credit.
There is evidence that Putin is enamored of doing things on "significant dates". The fact that the assassination happened two months to the day after the mutiny is a pretty good example of this.
....and on Ukraine Flag Day
@@paulhargreaves1497 if it was so easy for the ukrainian army to get rid of Prigozhin, it would have already happened long ago, when he was a threat. Listen to the clumsy comments of Putler and Kadyrov and you will understand that they evidently do not show any regret of what happened and admit that they did foresee this coming.
Well, it is a significant date for Ukraine....their national day.
As Bagration (1944) was three years to the day to Barbarossa (1941).
In general that’s true
Putin may have slept a bit more soundly last night but, deep in the solitary darkness of his soul, he must know that his final act is approaching. Every desperate atrocity for his self-preservation is another nail in the coffin of the Moscovy empire
soul?
@@skdfdjkdfjkd S… 🙂
The theatricality and spectacle of blowing Prigozhin and his lieutenants out of the sky says a lot about the depth of Putin’s insecurity. Rich but insecure men buy exotic sports cars, yachts, luxuries mansions for their mistresses. Putin has disobedient subordinates ostentatiously annihilated.
What would we think if Trump used a golden toilet to publicly bludgeon Mark Meadows to death?
Or not
he's 70 years old. 71 exactly two weeks from today. he will die in office. talking like a grandstanding weirdo accomplishes nothing.
Excellently produced. Vlads predictions about the trend of the war moving more and more onto russian territory proving spot on at every step of the way. Staying tuned!
Lol! Just caught the "Ride of the Valkyries" in the background!
Who cares
This has been happening since the war started in 2014 - Nemstov was gunned down in sight of the Kremlin in 2015.
Slick stuff indeed. VV and his crystal ball.
Plan well your march on the Gremlin,
No cold feet half way
Your next meal a bitter resentin'
Your plane falls in broad day
Dugin's 'spiritual leader' on the go
Now a wisp of vapor outside Moscow.
🇺🇦
Oooh "Wagnerian ambitions contributed to a Wagnerian outcome." THAT is gold. Great stuff as usual. While the main channel has become supplemental reading to the Chat channel for me, I LOVE these video treatments of issues we talk about on the other side.
Vlad - thank you, as usual, and keep up the great work!
I’m surprised I haven’t seen any videos of the jet falling out of the air set to Flight of the Valkyries.
Just because a group of criminals and murderers called themselves ''Wagner'' you shouldn't insult Richard Wagner the composer. It is a bit sickening, gives them too much honor and credit.
Rhyme is reason for hacks, not scholars. It's just a cute little quip. It condenses the gestalt of a deeply idiotic episode into "A is A," which is all it ever stood a chance of being because all the players involved were ancephalic opportunists who lacked even the animal cunning to understand that they were playing a game where the winner walks out with a knife covered in blood, only to die three weeks later in a counter-coup, and nobody else walks out at all. If throwaway twitticisms like this sway you to any serious degree then you ought not to be forming opinions on complex topics.
Hurling hot takes out the door within a day of the precipitating incident is, inherently and incontestably, an act of punditry & media populism in the hopes of catching views from current affairs viewers. This is a conscious decision to prioritize the news cycle over principled analysis. Everyone who participated in the game of takes on August 23-24 is reset to british tabloid tier credence forever. Literally all it takes to be highly confiden[t] in the ground truth of what you're about to present to a large audience of nonspecialist viewers is to give it a couple friggin days of work.
@jeremycahill4662 yeah, I mean, I wasn't running for office on that platform or anything, I just thought it was clever.
Also, I think you meant "anencephalic."
This was a fantastic video Vlad! Thank you for your work!
Thank you Jake!
Love y'all both. Slava Ukraine!
What is this, a crossover episode?!
Joking aside, always lovely to see other Ukraine coverage creators show up.
Happy to see you both watching each other’s work and hope for a collaboration episode in future!
Love your blogs Jake!----Imagine that YOU were Putin---Do you really think that Pootler didn't do away with PrigoZhin right away---sadistically torturing him for quite some time?----Pootler stated that "he had met with PrigoZhin, earlier in the day"---BUT NO VIDEOS!--They would have shown him shaking hands, kissing, etc. but that DID NOT HAPPEN!---No one saw PrigoZhin--only an old picture of him in his underwear, and a mysterious nigh-time video in the dark--what kind of videos are made without lights?
It wasn't two months!--Pootler had Prigozhin killed right away!---Pootler staged the "death", putting PrighoZin's froZen body into the plane. Pootler needed to wait a bit and pretend that PrigoZhin was still OK for him to deal the Wagner troops!---No one saw PrigoZhin for the time till the plane was blown up--only still pictures, and a "video" in the dark!
"Prigozhin - the criminal, turned hot dog vendor, turned presidential chef, turned mercenary leader" That has got to be the craziest biography ever.
Edit: You are down right lyrical in this one, Vlad.
I hope to get a netflix series on him
He was a child writer at some time, don’t you forget
@@theb1z0n Shoot, I had forgotten! I think the idea of it was too disturbing to remember.
@@theb1z0n a good man as well
Have you noticed, whenever Putin speaks, there are NEVER windows in background 😊
I have. It makes it kind of difficult to know where he actually is.
And that no one is within 10 meters of him at a minimum? 🤣
Dear Prof. Vexler, last year when Mr. Prigozhin left the underground and came up to the surface of social media I wrote in the comments to your chat that the myth is dead and the combatants might eat themselves. You agreed. Love the outcome and that you underlayed it with the "Walküren" 🌻
Amazing work putting this together so quickly. Your herculean efforts don’t go unnoticed, Vlad.
Why do I have the feeling that Vlad had this mostly produced already since he certainly predicted it Either way, a top notch effort
Very grateful!
Ya ya ya and russia also bomb ns2 ya ya thay say 🤣👎
It's literally just cookie-cutter, boilerplate clickbait. When you see a red arrow in a thumbnail flanked by a title like "the REAL reason..." you're dealing with someone who read a "how to lure idiots to your channel" article, and thinks absolutely nothing more of his audience.
I'm a US Marine veteran who volunteered for the Legion in Ukraine last summer. Your content has helped me contextualize what this war is all about. I knew in my heart I was fighting for a good cause, and your content solidifies that. Thank you
Israelistan the most evil country in human history lecturing on right and wrong. You're the perfect example of a brainwashed AmeriGoyim
úiyyyyyyyyyy⁹yjc6😊₩₩😂
I
😂
Most people in Europe don't thi nk Ukraine is a good cause,its always been very corrupt.
🥴 you definitely were not on the right side of this war. This guy isn't telling fact's. This is propaganda site. No one even knows at this time who killed Wagner leader. There's several people who wanted him dead. Go to other sites and get more educated. I feel sorry for you fighting Obama Biden proxy war. 🙄 I'd feel super stupid for fighting for the wrong side.
Oh yeah ?!
I'm a marine vet over here as well fighting. My grandmother is from Odessa. I've been here since the first week. What region are you in?
As an American military vet I know you're intelligent enough to understand by looking at my call sign what I'm helping with. God Bless America 🇺🇸 and watch over you brother. Slava Ukraini to our new brothers and sisters in arms. Let's get their land back from this monster. Semper Fi !!
Overtime, I have really come to rely upon your videos, not only for news, but explanation. I like the way you explore a lot of possibilities and outcomes, in an attempt to cut through to the truth. It's something that the general media doesn't do. There's always plenty to agree or disagree with. You make for a proper open ended discussion. Thanks Vlad.
At the time of the mutiny wager was a substantial military force. Immediately after they began losing most of their heavy vehicles and personnel were aggressively recruited by the MOD. They were down to maybe the size of a motorized rifle brigade. My opinion is they just waited until he was a bit less dangerous.
Vlad did say they waited until he was weakened
I think putin's people put out feelers among the wagner command to find people to take over wagner, specifically to continue its african operations, before taking out prigozhin and utkin.
@@Vgallo Yes, I know. I would agree, I think it's easily the most logical options Vlad mentioned. Although what he said about Putin trying to bring his enemy closer before getting rid of him makes sense also.
I would also argue that they needed to Utkin and the other bugger off the board at the same time. If the Wagners’ second and third in command were still in play, they might have been able to organize some kind of retaliation. With all three dead, the remaining Wagnerites are likely to spend the next 3-6 months figuring out who’s in charge, bleeding men and arms the whole while.
also, didnt similar timing speculation happened with Nordstream... that remote detonation was used to not let public and media connect dots as easily, cause ambiguity who did it... this works same among lot of other things (daily reorganization)
The crash of the Valkyrie's, very funny Vlad.
_Entry of the Gods into Valhalla_ would have been better
ruclips.net/video/7Ch227pV-A0/видео.html
The final Act of Wagners' Gutterdammerung never disappoints.
This is excellent analysis. Thank you Vlad. ❤️
Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
Your clarity is amazing. The real importance of this bit of theater is the act and it being seen rather than the details.
I hope RUclips gives this video the prominence it deserves.
7:50 - 7:58 Beautifully put, Vlad. Prigozhin, even if for a brief moment was against the monster in the Kremlin, was still a vile warlord & outlaw in a world where seldom few of them ever get the luxury of dying quietly in their sleep.
No rest for the wicked.
Sleeping on planes is common.
@@AstroGremlinAmericandon't think they were trying to say it isn't.
"All who take the sword, die by the sword." (Jesus, Mat 26:52)
If he was "for a brief moment...against the monster in the Kremlin," it was because the monster wasn't being monstrous enough.Let's not get sentimental here (not saying you are: Internet comments are tough to interpret).
Prigozhin launched a mutiny, in which Utkin shot down a command aircraft with many officers on-board. The image of that aircraft spinning to Earth and yesterday’s incident are eerily similar.
Prigozhin may just have started to breathe easy again, which is the cruellest moment to murder.
Utkin was a command officer. He couldn’t be forgiven, but his death didn’t carry enough political weight without killing Prigozhin and PMC Wagner too. It wasn’t clumsy, it was their best chance to kill all three.
The military have the revenge that will remove all thoughts of mutiny.
And the people should wonder how wise it is to continue to tolerate a regime that will knowingly and callously and directly murder innocent civilians purely as a part of a pointless, needless game.
Kristina Raspopova deserved better. Her family deserve better.
Exactly! Utkin, a name most people have only heard recently, is callsign "Wagner." Even if Prego had a deal, Utkin was toast. It was only a matter of time.
I doubt the conclusion that it shall remove all thoughts of mutiny. I believe that it taught a lesson to pull through when starting a mutiny and not cave in when Putin is offering an agreement. It showed that Putin cannot be trusted at all, thus nobody will try to negotiate with him anymore. Putin and his regime are not in a better situation than before that killing; it showed weakness, not strength.
excellent comparison, had forgotten many details of events from June.
👍🤣
I really enjoyed how you worked in the “hotdog vendor” angle. That was pure genius brother!!
I'm so glad to see this drop! I've been waiting for your analysis and thoughts. They are always well considered and take the Russian mindset and dump it out on the table like so much scrap and gunk, then explain it too us Westerners.
Thank you.
SLAVA UKRAINI!
Thank you!! 🌻
Your political analysis is amazing! And you started out as a concert pianist? Kudos!
Really great choice playing _Siegfried's death and Funeral march (Götterdämmerung)_ by Richard Wagner starting at 4:47. With its menacing tones and the underlying story of betrayal, in which Hagen kills Siegfried with a stab in the back, this is the perfect score for this event.
Thanks for that detail - I just heard the Valkyries and went looking for a comment with more context. Another great Ride of the Vlad-kyries
Swirling evil! Also used for Darth Vader’s scenes in Star Wars. Writer, director and producer, we need more people like Vlad Vexler - even Vlad’s name is cool!
I just can't wrap my head around the unbelievable stupidity/arrogance required for Prigozhin to make the choice to fly in a private jet over Russian territory. If I were him, I wouldn't have gone anywhere *near* Russia while Putin remained in power. It's obvious that this would happen.
Fool wargner boss went to speak with putin directly so there's no way he could have known putin would stab him in the back like that after giving him something to drink before he left
He traveled on a plane to Belarus immediately after the March. Thats pretty dumb.
Prigozhin should have rented one of those 1950s era armored train cars from North Korea.
You can be powerful, you can be evil...but that doesn't necessarily make you smart.
Prigozhin seemed to be of the view that if there was no way to avoid assassination, he'd live his life as before without taking precautions. Or at least that's the best explanation I can think of for why he'd continue to fly around on jets after being ordered to stay in Belarus. Or maybe he actually thought that he was too powerful and/or useful to Putin to be summarily murdered.
In any case, getting to do what he wanted for two months probably gave him the impression that he wasn't going to be punished for the mutiny. I wouldn't be surprised if Putin deliberately drew it out just to give Prigozhin hope before dropping the boom.
Two things surprised me!
First that took so long, second Prigozhin’s naivety.
What was his naivety? If Putin wanted him dead, do you think not taking a plane would make a difference?
Considering how many planes Wagner shot down, yes. I guess he kind of chose how to die.
One would think that after knowing him for over 20 years,
Prigozhin would have known that Putin isn't the kind of guy
who will settle for a draw.
"Keep your friends close, but your enemies even closer". Machiavelli
This era reminds me of medieval history, with its warlords, intrigues, and endless feudal power games. At the beginning of the 21st century, I could not have believed that we would end up back in the Middle Ages in a few decades.
Stalin was a Star Wars scale science fiction mass murderer. A middle ages scale one as Shakespeare loved to depict is a lesser evil : they generally keep content with a few victims at a time. Medieval wars were generally small-scale and highly ritualized.
Thanks. Impressive you managed to stitch together a main channel video so quickly. 😊
Hi, Anders! Plus a live session at midnight for his community. So we all could sleep sound and well.
Hello friend! I really pushed it!! Really enjoyed your talk with Perun!
Machiavelli: 'Do not make your enemies afraid NOT to kill you.'.
Of all the ineptness Russia has flaunted throughout this war, they’ve demonstrated they’re still quite adept at murdering from the top down.
Last time I checked, Russia controls 20% of Ukrainian territory and Ukraine is always begging for weapons like a homeless man begging for a dollar
Great analysis, I liked especially that part of the regime’s inevitable downward spiral in which killing or not killing Prighozin actually has the same effect, cannot stop it.
Well of course, that was excellent. The whole thing is just astonishing. Thanks, Vlad.
I just started the video and am already audibly giggling at Wagner's "Flight of the Valkyries" in the background. Devilish, Vlad! 😂
Tomorrow 1420 asking people on the street about Prigozhin "Who? The cook, I'm not interested in cooking, I generally don't follow cuisine in my personal life!"
🧐😉
🤣🤣🤣
I am reminded of the end of Ernst Róhm, who was the leader of a powerful force and a threat to ruler, except here the power balance is reversed: the Army is big and Wagner was small, just over 1 division, whereas Röhm had around a million to the smaller Reichswehr.
1991 GKChP and yeltsin RSFSR counter/auto-coup. 1993 yeltsin auto-coup. three events that happened in near-contemporary russian history of far more direct relevance than a ridiculous corporal and poison dwarf conspiring to dispense with the SA and röhm.
yeah that's a rather far-fetched nazi comparison. the situation with the night of the long knives was that hitler, soon after becoming dictator of germany, consolidated his power by getting rid of other leading nazis who could limit his authority through their official status in the party. since it was founded by freikorps members, the nazi party had a paramilitary wing from the beginning, which became the SA, and that's the force röhm commanded when he was killed. that was the entire muscle of the nazi party, whereas wagner is a small quasi-military force created by putin less than 10 years ago.
hitler used the party's power to bring the state fully under control, then used the state's power to bring the party fully under control, and then he for the most part replaced the party-loyal SA with a new explicitly hitler-loyal SS, which he then took care to keep strong enough to subdue or deter potential partial coups and revolts committed by the national military.
@@Ass_of_Amalek these objections (mine included) are, of course, a trap / unfair in their own right: comparing russia with any society that advanced under its own power beyond the neolithic is fundamentally a category error. you could draw comparisons with african postcolonial struggles to manage peaceful transitions of power between executives, but this would falsely imply that russian society, stripped of soviet vassals/satellites, is third world. left to their own devices, they're closer to the sentinelese, but with none of the geographic-determinism excuses for lack of development. the only humane solution to russian culture is systematic, full-scale resettlement of the entire ethnically russian population around the globe, efffectively cleansing humanity of russkiy mir for at least a few generations while giving 1/8th the usable landmass of the planet a fighting chance, for the first time in forever, to develop like literally anywhere else in the world.
@@Ass_of_AmalekWagner is more SS than SA. SS also started as paramilitary and ended with elite tank brigades staffed with convicts
@@Ass_of_Amalek It's not a NSDAP comparison, talk a stroll down logic lane, Oxford. It is about the situation of a dictator consolidating power, the removal of a challenger. That Röhm was in the NSDAP is simply the background.
Putin has been shaped by decades of bitterness and revenge. He's learned to hold deadly grudges.
Vlad, you look very bright-eyed and healthy today.
Wonderful ❤
Great work putting this fantastic video together, Vlad.
I really enjoyed the theatrics.
Thank you!
Sending feel good hugs from Hawaii! 🤗
Oh wow
Much felt compassion to you Hawaii 😢 for your tragic losses of lives 😥
You are just brilliant Vlad! So many twists and turns and yet you manage a golden thread through it. The tapestry and what unfolds is for the future, For now, I salute your nimble fingers!
I think the shooting down was also symbolic, as they had shot down their own people during the “mutiny”.
My initial thought too. Also Putin (or "Putin") was photographed with orchestra behind him on that day. As he was celebrating Kursk battle anniversary.
Who could’ve possibly seen this coming?
I did Nazi this coming
Great video! Slickly produced. 👍👍👍👍
What great insights Vlad. Keep up the good work. 🙏🇺🇦🙏
Excellent analysis! Your insight into the russian mindset provides a much needed foundation for those of us who, in the past, have assumed we can understand what drives this mafia run nation. I still have much to learn- so thank you, dear Vlad, for taking the time to share. Be well.
Mafia run nation? You talking of russia or ukraine? lol
@@TheMarineGamerIGGHQhahahah how funny hahahah look at this smart joke everybody!! Look!
@@juancsmix Just in case he deletes it, he said "Mafia run nation? You talking of russia or ukraine? lol". What a fool 😂
@@jahazbrooga309 calm your titties, ladies, and get off your high horse. By any definition until 2014 ukraine was by all means a "mafia run nation". Only 20 out of the 195 countries are considered full democracies, so the definition of a mafia-run nation can be applied to the rest of the world as well
@@jahazbrooga309 for what reason would I delete it? It's a fact. Most you couldn't even point to Ukraine on a map before all of this started. What would you know of it? Europe's capital of corruption all of the sudden is a great, free democratic nation just because Russia decided to take matters into its own hands... Pathetic. You're all so easily manipulated it's sad
One Russian journalist said that Putin waited for Prigozhin to transfer his business ties in Africa to Putin's people. There was The Russia-Africa Summit in Russia a month ago where Prigozhin was and Putin also
.
It’s really too bad Prighozin didn’t understand that once he started the convoy toward Moscow that there were only two outcomes - win or die. As risky as the results could have been, I really wish Prig had gone through with it and deposed Shoighu and potentially even Putin.
Putin went to Saint Petersburg straightaway. But he might've occupied the Kremlin, and that's where things might've gotten interesting...
I was indifferent. Prigozhin would have been Putin 2.0
No peace, no democracy, no liberties. Just same thug life different thug.
If you're going to take a shot at the mob boss, you'd better not miss. It's going to be the only shot you get.
As to taking on Putin, OK.
But Shoigu, for whose sake are you hoping? The largest advantage of Shoigu to everyone including Ukraine and the world at large is that he's absolutely incompetent and very corrupt.
He started the convoy because he had already lost. Official decisions had been made to dismantle Wagner and integrate it into the DoD. People tend to miss that.
Excellent analysis of the assassination of Prigozhin, and it's ramifications affecting Putin and his hierarchy. Well done.
Again crystal clear analysis from Vlad. Thank you for your work!
WATCH NEXT:
The REAL meaning of the killing of Dugin's daughter
ruclips.net/video/y-Zk7K9Un2U/видео.html
THIS explains why Russia starts insane wars
ruclips.net/video/V6UiEXrVrvg/видео.html
Why Losing Crimea May Destroy Putin
https:/ruclips.net/video/N6CGbYQIVJs/видео.html
How Putin Fooled the Western Left
ruclips.net/video/017WGzJ5fHA/видео.html
---
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WATCH MORE:
The Postmodern Hell Of Russian Propaganda
ruclips.net/video/_j6Vg7yLx54/видео.html
Why I left the USSR....and why post-Soviet Russia failed
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The Riddle of Why Russians Don't Protest
ruclips.net/video/K4O3D7CfThA/видео.html
This was a good video, Vlad! Thanks.
Do you think this is the beginning of the end, besides the attempted Coup?
Love your content, not sure how I feel about new camera work. Bit of distracting
A couple of slips in this video - I pushed a bit too much to get it out today. Love to all!
😂🤣😂🤣🤣
Good one Vlad and good to see that you have been feeling better recently.
I am curious. Prigozhin was not an idiot. He knew Putin better than anyone and that only his assassination would suffice to feed Putin's rage.
He must have known that flying with the Wagner leadership from Moscow to St Petersburg was to invite a missile as sure as jam a wasp.
Why on Earth was he so foolish?
Many criminals evade justice throughout life. That Prigozin was arrested aged 20 and jailed for 12 years suggests his arrogance came before his criminal intelligence. He wasn't born into a criminal family.
Because psychopaths have no fear.
@@skdfdjkdfjkd Psycopaths "feel no fear", but they aren't stupid either.
No, he was not stupid - he and his people must have received and believed assurances that he was safe from harm.
@@gregwilliams2746 that's pretty stupid, to believe in it. I knew the dice was cast..
Hello Vlad! Commenting just to show my support to your work. Keep doing the good work buddy!
Vlad is in a class by himself among the RUclips essayists. Incredible analysis.
Thank you so much! And thank you for being here!!
its common sense
The Evil Elf in the kremlin has struck again! You really did a fabulous job on this video! You did a really evenhanded and deep analysis of what on the surface has a sort of “Flamboyant Mob Hit” feeling to it. I do feel bad for people like the pilots and stewardesses on the flight who didn’t deserve the horrible fate they found themselves in. The Hotdog salesman and the elf deserve the same fate.
I feel sorry for the stewardess. The pilot was a Wagnerian.
Wasn't no stewardess. And they're called "flight attendants" since about 20 years ago.
@@AstroGremlinAmerican I think that’s the official job description? Ok just trying to be respectful and according to news outlets there was one.
@@AstroGremlinAmericanNo need to be an ass. You have a problem you need to work out. Please do it elsewhere.
@BlogsNewsReviews Nevertheless an innocent victim of pure evil.
It seems like putin needed to do a few things before safely killing prigozhin.
1. Disarm and disband Wagner
2. Destroy prigozhin's and Wagner's public image.
3. Strengthen his security.
4. Scare off any more or less famous commentators and "war correspondents" by jailing Strelkov.
It's the drama that gets me! This is more unbelievable than any James Bond novel, evil begets evil...it really is natural justice
Think about the need for all that theatricality. What is Putin’s true position if he needed to stage a Hollywood spectacle when a simple assassination would have sufficed?
Hey Vlad! Great video as always! Keep it up!
Love your work and insights, Vlad!
The only mystery is why Prigozhin stopped his revolt.
Easy. Russian style as usual. They showed him a photo of his family and told him, is it the revolt or your family? And he chose for his family to live and revolt to finish. I still believe he was killed a little time after the revolt.
Most likely it was due to reason most coups fail: some of the key plotters get cold feet.
Because Puntin fled. If you can't decapitate the old leadership in a swift move they can rally the loyalists and it leads to a civil war.
@@cyruslupercal9493 Historically though, fled leaders stay fled. Which is why Zelenski stayed. Once he left, his power was gone. I understand your point and it's been made well by other, eg Perun, but apart from the Khallesi, who had major plot armour, which exiled leader ever regained power ?
Thanks Vlad, I have been anticipating your take on this. I hope you are feeling as well as possible.
I wonder if we will ever get the last recordings of the black box from the moments before the plane hit the ground.
"SHOIGUUUUUUUUUUUUUuuuuu!"
That black box will disappear into eternity.
Great analysis, thanks for your brillant constant work! Always great to watch! Wish you all the best and hopefully soon better News from that part of the world. I’m not too optimistic but hope never dies.
Like the more casual chats on the second channel, but must admit I totally love every time you release a new main channel video 😊
Agreed!
I feel very sorry for Putin. He seemed to be very sincere when he offered his condolences when hearing of the crash. He was almost sobbing. It is true that the relationship between Putin and Prigozhin wasn’t perfect. For example two months ago Pirgozhen tried to march on Moscow and kill Putin. But this is normal. Every relationship has its ups and downs. Putin already forgave Prigozhin. They kissed and made up. Prigozhin cooked some of his famous hot dogs. It was Vova and Zhenya together forever! And now this terrible accident. I have no doubt that the investigation now beginning will show no connection to the Russian government.
😂...well done!
Prigozhin never wanted to kill putin
@@vedser Since he had plenty of opportunity as Putin's personal chef.
“I knew Prigozhin for a very long time, since the early ’90s. He was a man of complicated fate, and he made serious mistakes in his life, but he achieved the right results”
I don't know, when someone is telling something like that after the death of a person, he is basically admitting that he saw that coming and justifying the death.
Would a reasonable person mourn the death of someone by saying "he made serious mistakes?". That seems the commentary of a psychopath, as Putin is.
Unluckily the dwarf is getting old; his brain starts to lag.
Kadyrov also said something on the same line:
"I asked him to leave personal ambitions for the sake of matters of paramount national importance. Everything else could be decided later. But he was like that, with his iron character and desire to achieve his goal right there and then,"
This wouldn't be the first time it was suspected that an aircraft crash had been used to dispose of a political opponent. There was Alexander Lebed, who was at one time a favourite for becoming president and had made connections with the West, who died in a suspicious helicopter crash in 2002.
You are the Vlad I look forward to seeing and hearing about, another great video as always
Absolutely love your excellent work Vlad!
Slava Ukraini! 🇫🇮❤️🇺🇦
Grateful to have you!
why do bad things happen to bad people? 😢
law of averages
Why do stupid people ask stupid quastions?
he was taken too soon 😭
Oh the horror of it all
You'd think that, given the kind of guy he was, Prigozhin should have known the first rule of going after the head of the mob. If you're going to take a shot at the boss? Don't fucking miss because it'll be the only chance you ever get.
You misunderstand a few things.
1)
Prigo not once publicly criticized Putin.
2)
Prigo did not take a shot at Putin. He took a shot at Shoigu and the MoD.
3)
Prigo was convinced his mutany against the MoD was a minor issue compared to what he could do to benefit Russia and Putin's war efforts.
He thought he was safe. Incorrectly, but not unreasonably.
Great episode! Your content and voice continues to strengthen!
I watch DW, Sky, US news... his astute and informed analysis is up there with Timothy Snyder and Julia Ioffe.
Thanks for posting this Vlad, I've been waiting for this since the news of the shoot down.
Thank you for an incisive, clear and concise video. Your choice of background music had me snorting with laughter at points. Wagner on Wagner eh?
Take care and thank you again for your analysis.
Its interesting the parrels between Hitler's and Putin's method of ruling. Both would delegate overlapping duties to subordinates. Then sort of referee their fight.
Prigozhin's ultimate fate was a fate on rails even before his act of mutiny. His rhetoric leading up to the mutiny was enough to reckon the course he was moving on.
Agreed. The mutiny was a joy ride, a suicide run. Some commenters are asking how could he be so stupid as to board a plane. That’s like saying how could he be so stupid as to go on living once he was marked for death.
It was towards the end of Bakhmut that he really started getting squirrelly. I think he realized he was getting screwed by Shoigu the pimp. But it was on the road to Moscow he fully realized it was Putin screwing him all along. By then it was too late to lay down and spread his legs.
@@MarcosElMalo2 That all seems to make sense to me. He quite noticeably lost his head at Bakhmut and that's about when I started to see he was in trouble and when he kept escalating is when I started predicting he was headed to his grave. Then came the mutiny to complete the act, theatrically speaking/a refrence.
What I like most in Vlad is that he looks at all the angles of a subject. ❤❤❤
So many were expecting this to happen. Now I wonder if Putin accidentally made a martyr out of Prigozhin?
Day 547 of Putin’s disastrous ten-day 'Special Military Operation' against civilians, civilian buildings, churches and grain.
❤❤❤☮️☮️☮️
Why are you discrediting the glorious russian army? It is not a 10 day special military operation. It is a 3 day special military operation.
All the grain we destroyed was nazi grain that had little swastikas in each seed. Coincidence?
*Disclaimer: I tried to sound as absurd as I can, but regardless how hard I try someone is still gonna think I'm a ruski troll, and I don't blame ya considering how god damn stupid they are.
Slava Ukraini.
He flew too close to the sun.
Or am I alone in that reminiscence? The myth of Ikaros serves as a metaphor for the murder method.
Another great analysis. Thank you Vlad.
Thank you for your continued great work and to notch videos. I know your time is valuable, so therefore, I appreciate your work that much more.
thank you for your valuable work
Putin: "it's time, get it done"
Shoigu: "How would you like it done?"
Putin: "make it look like an accident"
Gerasimov: "So, we use our air defence?"
Thank you Vlad! Signature dense epic summary 🙏
🌻
Everyone knew he was going to die, except for Prigozhin
Nah man I think prigozhin knew he was f***ed He was just an i don't give a f*** kinda guy
He thought he would but you can’t show weakness at the level he was at he had to keep up the show of relevance.
Excellent video. Very compelling reasoning and so accurately expressed. Putin is walking a tightrope, he hasn't fallen off yet but he's looking increasingly shaken.
I wish there were an English word for: “an idea, argument, or thesis which is perhaps inherently too mired in perspective and opinion to rightly call it factual but is so demonstrably informed, clearly articulated and logically contextualized that a kind of inherently valid, self-evident truth is communicated”
That’s the thing I love about your best videos
The depolitization of the general population and the lack of non-lethal conflict resolution (I also include de facto life sentences for any type of opposition) are two massive trends for Russia that won't bode well for anyone, even for the current loyalists. Thanks for that insight! Excellent choice of music too!
I think it was an accident. Because the air defence worked so poorly over Moscow previously Putin had to let Igor Girkin shortly out of prison, so he could show how S300 works.
I just can't believe they crammed Utkin and Prigozhin into the same plane.
Pity Girkin couldn't be on it too
@@jacqdanieles He's doing poorly in jail. Won't be long.
Bravo, bravo Mr Vexler. The analysis is spot on. Priggo thought all his mines and possesions were really his own. It always was just given to him on time, and when the real owner showed up, priggo didnt react accordingly. He thought he could have everything.. the cake and a full stomach.
Glory to Ukraine 🇺🇦 ❤
Great analysis once again, Vlad. Thanks
It must be just as likely that Putin was just biding his time to see who else was supporting Prigozhin, making those around him feel relaxed while the FSB bugged everyone and anyone that Putin suspected.
Exactly, a lifetime career in the KGB and it's well oiled machinations over, give or take, a century, would make Putin an absolute Phd in the insidious science of it all.
Putin expressed regrets about the plane crash in a strangely soft and effeminate manner.
Love the content Vlad. The YT media space should worry more about exposing the harsh truth than hiding the unpleasant aspects of dysfunctional autocracy. We're all grown ups jere
"Keep your friends close, keep your enemies closer"
- The Godfather -
It is no surprise to hear of Prigozhin's apparent death. Those outside Russia thought he was a dead man walking.
But what baffles me is, whatever the agreement between Putin and Prigozhin was, that ended the so-called mutiny or Justice March, why would Prigozhin trust Putin? He knew and understood the man. Why would Prigozhin behave in such a cavelier manner with regard to his personal safety? Why would he pack his Wagner management team, including himself, all on the same plane? Succession planning 101 dictates, you do not want to create a situation where if one goes down, they all go down? Ever since Prigozhin's mini-revolt in June and his sudden halt to Wagner's Justice March on Moscow, his behaviour has made ZERO sense to me. For such a methodical, cut-throat, cunning and coniving individual who is/was devoid of any moral compass, he suddenly behaved very stupidly.
yep hence the myth of "piggy put his body double on the plane with upper command per usual then got it shot down cuz blah blah"
You're assuming Prigozhin would want Wagner Group to go on without him, which I'm not so sure is a safe assumption. If Prigozhin saw Wagner as a means to live the way he wanted to live, and cared nothing for what happens after his death, then succession planning would be irrelevant, and if he felt that Wagner was being taken from him BEFORE the mutiny, then perhaps he bets everything on one roll of the dice: Will the Soviet Army and the general public flock to his cause on the road to the capitol? If they do, then he has options, but they didn't, and so all that is left is to see if you can cut a deal, and then decide: Life in exile, or go on living the way you want with the knowledge that if Putin wants you dead, the blow will come someday. Perhaps he didn't think Putin would brazenly murder multiple innocent civilians as a means to his own end.
This is weirdly off-topic, but you should record your videos at that time of day more often. The blue-ish light from the window makes the yellow-ish foreground pop more, like a Michael Bay movie.