Fun video. I was curious about this. Gets my like. For more info on how easy it is to open, I ran 1 million sims of the vault. I provide full code (in R) and results at the link at the bottom, but I'll note some big takeaways below. For example, it takes about 6.5 tries on average to open the vault from scratch. The chance to open the vault first try is about 1% (1/81). The chance it will be opened in two tries (either from 1 digit being revealed each time, or both being revealed the second try) is about 3.5%. A decent rule of thumb is, add 2.5 percentage points for the each subsequent number. So for each vault, there's about a 6% chance the third try will be the one, and so on. Going all the way forward, there's about a 20% chance any given vault doesn't open until the 9th and final try. A crude rule of thumb is, there's about a 1/3 chance it takes 1-5 tries to open, a 1/3 chance it takes 6-7 tries, and a 1/3 chance it takes 8-9 tries. (It's more like 30% - 30% - 40%, but whatever.) A higher number is always more likely than a lower one. Document with code and results and graphs: docs.google.com/document/d/1MtJt5tuUqVuuWSdBvOqUo4R6BUcighI_mGoL5E6q3Cc/edit?usp=sharing
you have a great microphone, but I'd advise turning your voice volume up slightly, as it can be a little tricky to hear you over the background music in the beginning otherwise great video, I was shocked you only had 2 subscribers!
![Seungmin "그렇게, 천천히, 우리(As we are)" | [Stray Kids : SKZ-PLAYER]](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/kAzmhLHePqU/mqdefault.jpg)
This video is really high quality for a channel with 7 subscribers, well done1
Fun video. I was curious about this. Gets my like. For more info on how easy it is to open, I ran 1 million sims of the vault. I provide full code (in R) and results at the link at the bottom, but I'll note some big takeaways below. For example, it takes about 6.5 tries on average to open the vault from scratch.
The chance to open the vault first try is about 1% (1/81). The chance it will be opened in two tries (either from 1 digit being revealed each time, or both being revealed the second try) is about 3.5%. A decent rule of thumb is, add 2.5 percentage points for the each subsequent number. So for each vault, there's about a 6% chance the third try will be the one, and so on. Going all the way forward, there's about a 20% chance any given vault doesn't open until the 9th and final try.
A crude rule of thumb is, there's about a 1/3 chance it takes 1-5 tries to open, a 1/3 chance it takes 6-7 tries, and a 1/3 chance it takes 8-9 tries. (It's more like 30% - 30% - 40%, but whatever.) A higher number is always more likely than a lower one.
Document with code and results and graphs:
docs.google.com/document/d/1MtJt5tuUqVuuWSdBvOqUo4R6BUcighI_mGoL5E6q3Cc/edit?usp=sharing
Great video! Hope your channel grows
You can just pause the game after each attempt and leave the game back to the Hot Air Balloon. Saves a lot of time!
you have a great microphone, but I'd advise turning your voice volume up slightly, as it can be a little tricky to hear you over the background music in the beginning
otherwise great video, I was shocked you only had 2 subscribers!
Joe says hi