How To Make The Best Discard Choice For ANY Cribbage Hand | Cribbage Strategy

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  • Опубликовано: 21 июл 2024
  • In this video I show how to calculate the optimal discard pair for any six card Cribbage hand, using basic math and probability, and a concept called "Expected Average".
    www.amazon.com/dp/1389645894
    - Cribbage Discards: The mathematically best discard pair for every Cribbage hand
    www.cribbageforum.com/Discardi...
    - Cribbage Forum: An excellent source of information on Cribbage strategy, including Expected Average
    www.amazon.com/dp/0692136185/
    - Play Winning Cribbage (5th ed.): An excellent book on Cribbage strategy
    #cribbage
    #cribbagediscards

Комментарии • 18

  • @Cribbage_with_J
    @Cribbage_with_J  Год назад

    A volume-boosted version of this video can be viewed here: ruclips.net/video/AhT3fEONy2c/видео.html
    (I'm a slow speaker and recommend viewing at 1.5x speed)

  • @johnbedwell6962
    @johnbedwell6962 2 года назад +17

    The sound is very low on this Video. Great though

  • @bluzharpin20
    @bluzharpin20 Месяц назад

    Thank you for this excellent explanation!

  • @TwoBuckToll
    @TwoBuckToll Год назад +1

    Love the video. Something that would be interesting is the highest and lowest possibilities of your hand. That would help in certain situations, like I need to swing for the fences to go out before my opponent.

  • @HoFoShAo
    @HoFoShAo 2 года назад +4

    Loved the statistical analysis in this. It's exactly what I was looking for to help gain a strategic edge at my skill level. I didn't like how at the beginning it asked what two cards you would discard to the opponent's crib, then the first statistically optimal answer involved discarding to your crib. My initial decision was to discard the two aces to the opponent. Discarding the J5 to your own crib should be obvious. Thanks for creating this.

  • @allenwells33
    @allenwells33 3 года назад +5

    About an hour ago I got a 28. I had never seen or heard of it. I imagine that I will never see one again.

    • @ricanboy57
      @ricanboy57 3 года назад +5

      Four 5s and a 10 cut card is 28 but if you had 555J and the 5 cut card suit matched your J, you'd get 29 points.

    • @TwoBuckToll
      @TwoBuckToll Год назад

      I’ve had a 28 but I have never had a 29. Or a 19.

    • @Ryan-si2zb
      @Ryan-si2zb Год назад

      I’ve had a 24 and 21 in the same hand

  • @dankudlicki1030
    @dankudlicki1030 28 дней назад

    Okay, im just starting, how do you make those decisions/calculations within 3 seconds?

  • @badnewsbears2868
    @badnewsbears2868 8 месяцев назад

    so would this be used mostly in a study situation or do you do all these calculations in real game scenarios

  • @fancen
    @fancen 3 месяца назад

    simple

  • @rogerkearns8094
    @rogerkearns8094 3 месяца назад

    I chose AJ.

  • @Remember_when
    @Remember_when 2 года назад

    I'm just learning. How do you have 6 points in 15s at 5:21? If the starter card is an Ace and you discarded the 15, how is it worth anything to you if you don't have the crib? Sorry, that's confusing me.

    • @Cribbage_with_J
      @Cribbage_with_J  2 года назад +3

      This step is calculating the average hand value for A-A-7-7. This is done by calculating what A-A-7-7 would be worth, for each possible cut/flipped card, from A, 2, 3, etc... to K.
      So holding A-A-7-7, with an A cut, would be worth 14 points:
      7-7-A = 15 for 2 points
      7-7-A = 15 for 2 points
      7-7-A = 15 for 2 points
      7-7-7 = 3-of-a- kind for 6 points
      A-A = Pair for 2 points
      Thanks for watching.

    • @Remember_when
      @Remember_when 2 года назад +2

      @@Cribbage_with_J Thank you, I was thinking only of the 5 - 10. That is why my game suffers. Appreciate it. I have to be better at counting my card combinations.

  • @Jenjenn0710
    @Jenjenn0710 3 месяца назад

    Save the As and the 7s 7+8=15

  • @jordanrutherford1
    @jordanrutherford1 11 месяцев назад +1

    You made the volume low so the old timers can’t hear - give use young bucks a chance at learning strategy and winning lol