Please LIKE and SUBSCRIBE. I also appreciate your continual support of these geology education videos. To do so, click on the "Thanks" button just above (right of Download button) or by going here: www.paypal.com/donate/?hosted_button_id=EWUSLG3GBS5W8 Or: www.buymeacoffee.com/shawnwillsey
Thanks Shawn! At 74 yrs old, I thought I knew a bit about earthquakes but your updates on the volcano has helped me understand so much more about both geological events. It is much appreciated!
Thank you so much for the update. You're an excellent teacher. Us two 60s & 70s year olds look for your videos and we're still learning. Thank you again!
Though Professor Willsey didn't mention it today he did mention Bruce's prediction graph in the last video. I say that because I'm really rooting for Bruce's eruption prediction to come to fruition because of the amount of work he spent as an volcano enthusiast compiling the data within his graph.
It appears with the latest uplift through the accumulation of magma an eruption would be spectacular. Just another awesome day on rocky Mother Earth. Thanks for the videos today Shawn.
We’re all on eruption watch! Amazing how we can instrument the area to give us a better understanding about the geology. PS - appreciate your briefing, makes it more interesting when I know a few basics.
Yay 😊 another update ! 🎉🎉 You’re so kind to share these updates with us. Such good thoughts and support for those that may be affected by this activity 🙏🏼🌸🌼
Thanks for the update and the reminder for what stuff probably looks like below the surface! My money is on Bruce Garner's modeled prediction for very late August/early September. When you first showed his charts earlier this summer, I thought no way we'd make it until September before another eruption. But here we are, creeping up on September!
Wow, what a beautiful video cam view today of a quiet, sunny day on the Reykjanes Peninsula Thank you for sharing your insights while we watch and wait for the next eruption.
Thanks for updating us so regularly, Shawn! Your dedication is much appreciated. And I love your diagrams, I find them very helpful indeed. Enjoy the weekend, take care :)
The concept drawing is great. It gives a good understanding, with logical explanation, of what's happening underneath and why the eruption zone is away from the epicenter of elevation from the satellite image. Thank you Professor!
Thanks for showing the GPS data all the way back to December. Even with the adjustment, amazing to see the ground shifting so fast over an extended period.
Thanks Shaun, I have learned so much over the months. Living on an old continent (Newcastle, Australia) earthquakes and eruptions are foreign to us. Take care, Allen.
Hi Shawn, thanks for sharing. The current eartquake map looks very similar to the earthquake locations of the week before the May 29 eruption. It could indeed start any moment if that is similar too. Thanks for the conceptual graph, It clarifies a lot and I agree to this as well. It would be interesting to also add pockets of water and boreholes ;-) Cheers, have a good weekend
Though he well could have, Shawn didn't invent this phrase, which has been gaining currency among geologists for at least the last decade or so. There's actually a Wikipedia entry for "crystal mush" in this same sense, which in turn cites a paper from 2017.
Great update Shawn, thank you. I love the hand drawn diagram with the crystal mush. They are the best at getting concepts across. I wonder, would they be able to identify the %melt to %crystal ratio based on the seismic data using the speed of the S and P waves etc.?
Thanks again Shawn for the informative review. Volcanos are captivating geological events and this 80 year old geologist appreciates how you bring them to life. Thanks again. D. Suter
Brilliant layout of what it potentially may look like under the surface, even though it's just a picture, it speaks a thousand words Shawn. Also helps us visualise the location of the Eq's and see why the vent is where it is. Many thanks indeed :)
😊I like the illustration. Gives me relative perspective of the movement of the magma. Don't care about specifics, yours is great to explain all I need! 😎
Thank you for the updates this drawing I was able to understand this the most of any drawing. Iceland has always been a place I have not been able to understand . Over the past several months you have given me information I can understand . I have a whole different understanding about volcanoes and magma. I think we all understand having jobs on top of learning (for me) a whole different field.🦩
I'm not sure because the weather in Iceland is awful but the eruption might have started in the last hour or so. there has been a column of smoke that started between Hargafell and the other mountain. And there is a glowing line that has been expanding but it's behind a bunch of cloud. So it could be folks building the berms in the night.
Deeply appreciate your updates, interpretations and analysis. I selfishly hope the eruption happens this weekend, before you are busy with the new semester. I’m following all of your videos, and it’s improved my life. Thank you. 🙏
Be neat to overlay the uplift data with the earthquake data, maybe see some correlation between areas that are slowly experiencing uplift with earthquake occurrence. Correlation does not equal causation, yeah yeah... but it'd still be neat!
Fantastic information. Your schematic really brought into focus how the magma travels to eventually create an eruption. Thanks for your dedication to provide such excellent educational material!!
Cheers shawn. As always, a great condensing down and explination of the available info. this situation perfectly outlines the unpredictability of volcanism and it's inner workings. Your other video showing where the actual volcanic plume is coming from was awesome and glad you find such info. I still cannot find it on webby sites to peruse at my leisure. Your conceptual art has come a long way, lol, thank you.
One caveat about the InSAR maps is that they measure surface displacement in the line-of-sight between the satellite and the ground, which is typically about 35 degrees from the vertical. This means that some horizontal displacement is combined with the vertical in the signal and the peak InSAR displacement is not necessarily at the peak of vertical displacement.
Not that I want to belittle your very nice effort to pronounce Icelandic words, but I was explaining the following to someone else, and it occurred to me to share this with you. Regarding these sounds as in fjall, fell, hellir and so on, this "T" sound is actually almost not present or at least very soft. You put your tongue in the same place at the gums behind the upper teeth, but instead of letting the air explode at the tip of the tongue, it is released at both sides of the tongue, while keeping the tongue at the T-position. Similar goes for the word vatn. Insted of pronouncing the t-sound, the pressure is released at the back of the throat and then out the nose with voice while the tip of the tongue is kept in the t-postion.
I'm a nobody geology wise, but I always tune in to Shawn's Roadside Cuts or these updates on Iceland's quakes to learn more. That said, I think that including those subzero microquakes in the activity for each week make the activity seem greater than it really is. It would be nice to see weekly activity both with and without the subzero microquakes.
Aloha from Makaha.....I love watching your video's to start my day......looking at earthquake data, not seeing enough activity to make a prediction.....maybe after watching your update, I'll share my thoughts on the the date of the next eruption and where it will take place.....
I saw nothing on your video to disagree with.....I think your location is spot on for the next eruption....as for the date, maybe some time in the next two weeks?
We're learning so much with you Shawn! Thank you for bring us along with you to explore and understand events in Iceland! Do I have it right, the total uplift since the first eruption is 800mm-almost 32 inches?
Thank you Shawn for another informative update! I am heading to Iceland on Monday and look forward to seeing the countryside in person (though not this area of course!)
IMO is already since July 13th mentioning that they aren't that sure about eruption in the original zone. Every eruption is a bit further south so next eruption might be well possible dangerous to Grindavik. The chances between scenarios 1 and 2 are equal (as IMO states).
Thanks for having the auto-shut taken out of your office light 😊. I'm one of viewers from the other side. You know, one of those evil doctorate folks. Still admire your teaching style. Keep up the excellent work.
I would agree with you on the point you deem most likely for the next eruption 'But is it possible that this other region with all those earthquake could be a different system building up 'I notice a break between both areas 'It's just a thought
I think the decline in uplift is pretty logical. When you blow up a balloon it will grow centimeters with the first breath, maybe one with the second a half with the third and so on. So with the same influx the expansion in centimeters declines...
re 13:00 I suspect the 'anomalous' deflation after the eruption is subsidence due to the more gradual escape of depressurized gases & perhaps water/vapor.
Please LIKE and SUBSCRIBE. I also appreciate your continual support of these geology education videos. To do so, click on the "Thanks" button just above (right of Download button) or by going here: www.paypal.com/donate/?hosted_button_id=EWUSLG3GBS5W8 Or: www.buymeacoffee.com/shawnwillsey
Thanks Shawn! At 74 yrs old, I thought I knew a bit about earthquakes but your updates on the volcano has helped me understand so much more about both geological events. It is much appreciated!
Thank you so much for the update. You're an excellent teacher. Us two 60s & 70s year olds look for your videos and we're still learning. Thank you again!
Though Professor Willsey didn't mention it today he did mention Bruce's prediction graph in the last video. I say that because I'm really rooting for Bruce's eruption prediction to come to fruition because of the amount of work he spent as an volcano enthusiast compiling the data within his graph.
It appears with the latest uplift through the accumulation of magma an eruption would be spectacular. Just another awesome day on rocky Mother Earth. Thanks for the videos today Shawn.
Love the illustration! Your channel is the only place I can get the most pertinent information explained all in one place. Thank you! 👍
We’re all on eruption watch!
Amazing how we can instrument the area to give us a better understanding about the geology.
PS - appreciate your briefing, makes it more interesting when I know a few basics.
Yayyy! Been waiting for this! Gosh this volcano is really making everyone wait like no tomorrow!
Yay 😊 another update ! 🎉🎉
You’re so kind to share these updates with us. Such good thoughts and support for those that may be affected by this activity 🙏🏼🌸🌼
Thanks Shawn for the update. The waiting time is so hard. Appreciate what you are doing for us. Have a wonderful day.
Thanks, Shawn, for the update. I really appreciate that you present and interpret the data without resorting to sensationalism or click bait.
Hey Shawn! I’m in Sicily right now and I’m going to tour Mt. Etna tomorrow. The volcanic landscape here would interest you so much!
have a great trip. Jealous, me. Lol.
Great illustration at the end, Shawn. Some viewers may forget it's a 2D drawing of a 3D real life situation. Nicely done post, thanks.
The crystalline mush discussion was much appreciated. It helps to conceptualize what’s goes on in these systems.
Thanks for the update and the reminder for what stuff probably looks like below the surface! My money is on Bruce Garner's modeled prediction for very late August/early September. When you first showed his charts earlier this summer, I thought no way we'd make it until September before another eruption. But here we are, creeping up on September!
Thanks for your updates! I look forward to yours as I know they are realistic and accurate.
Wow, what a beautiful video cam view today of a quiet, sunny day on the Reykjanes Peninsula Thank you for sharing your insights while we watch and wait for the next eruption.
Thanks for updating us so regularly, Shawn! Your dedication is much appreciated. And I love your diagrams, I find them very helpful indeed. Enjoy the weekend, take care :)
Thank you for the update, Shawn. I really appreciated the schematic drawing of the system; I found that really helpful.
I'm currently in Iceland and visit Blue Lagoon tomorrow. Hopefully, I can see something and don't die 😅
Thank you, I love the diagrams, easy to understand, about my level❤
Thank you, Shawn. The schematic at the end really helped me conceptualize the processes at work and explain the waiting game around eruptions.
Thanks Shawn. Enjoyed your illustration towards the end.
The concept drawing is great. It gives a good understanding, with logical explanation, of what's happening underneath and why the eruption zone is away from the epicenter of elevation from the satellite image. Thank you Professor!
Thanks for showing the GPS data all the way back to December. Even with the adjustment, amazing to see the ground shifting so fast over an extended period.
Thanks Shawn. That is a great illustration. It helps tie the data to the physical locations. Keep up the good work.
It all makes sense now, thanks Shawn
Thanks for another update! Haven't had much to say lately, but still appreciating all your vids!
Thanks Shaun, I have learned so much over the months. Living on an old continent (Newcastle, Australia) earthquakes and eruptions are foreign to us. Take care, Allen.
Hi Shawn, thanks for sharing. The current eartquake map looks very similar to the earthquake locations of the week before the May 29 eruption. It could indeed start any moment if that is similar too. Thanks for the conceptual graph, It clarifies a lot and I agree to this as well. It would be interesting to also add pockets of water and boreholes ;-) Cheers, have a good weekend
Crystalline mush, a new scientific term invented by you, Shawn. Thanks for the update and good luck this semester!
Though he well could have, Shawn didn't invent this phrase, which has been gaining currency among geologists for at least the last decade or so. There's actually a Wikipedia entry for "crystal mush" in this same sense, which in turn cites a paper from 2017.
Thank you Shawn 😊 great content update and breakdown I look forward to your next instalment 😊👏👏👏
Thanks Prof. Willsey for the update. I love the explanation over the hand made diagram, no powerpoint or adobe illustrator needed! :)
Great update Shawn, thank you.
I love the hand drawn diagram with the crystal mush. They are the best at getting concepts across. I wonder, would they be able to identify the %melt to %crystal ratio based on the seismic data using the speed of the S and P waves etc.?
Thank you for your comprehensive and understandable update. Much appreciated.
Thanks again Shawn for the informative review. Volcanos are captivating geological events and this 80 year old geologist appreciates how you bring them to life. Thanks again. D. Suter
Brilliant layout of what it potentially may look like under the surface, even though it's just a picture, it speaks a thousand words Shawn. Also helps us visualise the location of the Eq's and see why the vent is where it is. Many thanks indeed :)
😊I like the illustration. Gives me relative perspective of the movement of the magma. Don't care about specifics, yours is great to explain all I need! 😎
Thank you for the updates this drawing I was able to understand this the most of any drawing. Iceland has always been a place I have not been able to understand . Over the past several months you have given me information I can understand . I have a whole different understanding about volcanoes and magma. I think we all understand having jobs on top of learning (for me) a whole different field.🦩
Thank you for another informative update, Shawn, and I love your diagrams and how you explain things.
i enjoy your tempered pace & explanation on these eruptions without the melodrama of some other reporters.
I'm not sure because the weather in Iceland is awful but the eruption might have started in the last hour or so. there has been a column of smoke that started between Hargafell and the other mountain. And there is a glowing line that has been expanding but it's behind a bunch of cloud. So it could be folks building the berms in the night.
What a fantastic hand drawn diagram and explanation !
As always an informative & well explained view of what’s happening. Nothing sensational or click baitish about these vids 👍
Thanks
Thanks Shawn your diagram makes so much ch more sense
Thanks for the great update
Deeply appreciate your updates, interpretations and analysis. I selfishly hope the eruption happens this weekend, before you are busy with the new semester. I’m following all of your videos, and it’s improved my life. Thank you. 🙏
Thanks Shawn - have a good weekend. 😊
Thank you too. Much appreciated.
Waiting with baited breath.thanks for keeping us informed.wendy albany western Australia
amazing. informative and very useful information I always learn lot's of good stuff from you thank you Shawn 😀
Be neat to overlay the uplift data with the earthquake data, maybe see some correlation between areas that are slowly experiencing uplift with earthquake occurrence. Correlation does not equal causation, yeah yeah... but it'd still be neat!
Thanks Shawn, been away, can’t wait to return to Iceland.
All too interesting. More knowledge about our earth. Thank you!
Nice geologic schematic drawing that shows one possible configuration and key aspects.
Thank you for your very informative explanation, and great diagram towards the end.
Fantastic information. Your schematic really brought into focus how the magma travels to eventually create an eruption. Thanks for your dedication to provide such excellent educational material!!
Thanks Shawn for the update
Thanks Shawn, you explain it so well 👍
Thank you for this very informative video. 😊 So appreciated!
Helpful? Always. TY. Education and understanding is a great thing.
Cheers shawn. As always, a great condensing down and explination of the available info. this situation perfectly outlines the unpredictability of volcanism and it's inner workings. Your other video showing where the actual volcanic plume is coming from was awesome and glad you find such info. I still cannot find it on webby sites to peruse at my leisure. Your conceptual art has come a long way, lol, thank you.
One caveat about the InSAR maps is that they measure surface displacement in the line-of-sight between the satellite and the ground, which is typically about 35 degrees from the vertical. This means that some horizontal displacement is combined with the vertical in the signal and the peak InSAR displacement is not necessarily at the peak of vertical displacement.
Thanks!
Much appreciated
Thank you for the continual updates. Flying to Ísland tonight. Who knows we might get lucky. Thanks
Another cliffhanger from Shawn. I expect the eruption will take place on Sunday morning about 11 GMT
my prediction is about five days out of date now. GL with yours, rooting for ya
Was hoping to go to Iceland, but will to wait til next year😕
Hi there Shawn.Thanks for the update and wait😉👍
Thanks for the update, Shawn! Excellent as usual!
Thank you for the update.
Awesome update, thanks, Shawn
Diagrams always appreciated, thanks. Sue, Adelaide .
Thanks for the extensive explanation Shawn!👍🏼😀
Not that I want to belittle your very nice effort to pronounce Icelandic words, but I was explaining the following to someone else, and it occurred to me to share this with you.
Regarding these sounds as in fjall, fell, hellir and so on, this "T" sound is actually almost not present or at least very soft. You put your tongue in the same place at the gums behind the upper teeth, but instead of letting the air explode at the tip of the tongue, it is released at both sides of the tongue, while keeping the tongue at the T-position.
Similar goes for the word vatn. Insted of pronouncing the t-sound, the pressure is released at the back of the throat and then out the nose with voice while the tip of the tongue is kept in the t-postion.
I'm a nobody geology wise, but I always tune in to Shawn's Roadside Cuts or these updates on Iceland's quakes to learn more. That said, I think that including those subzero microquakes in the activity for each week make the activity seem greater than it really is. It would be nice to see weekly activity both with and without the subzero microquakes.
Aloha from Makaha.....I love watching your video's to start my day......looking at earthquake data, not seeing enough activity to make a prediction.....maybe after watching your update, I'll share my thoughts on the the date of the next eruption and where it will take place.....
I was not aware of a new MET Office update...thanks
I saw nothing on your video to disagree with.....I think your location is spot on for the next eruption....as for the date, maybe some time in the next two weeks?
Thanks for all the hard work on these videos!
Thank you!
We're learning so much with you Shawn! Thank you for bring us along with you to explore and understand events in Iceland! Do I have it right, the total uplift since the first eruption is 800mm-almost 32 inches?
Great info, thanks Shawn!
Thank you Shawn for another informative update! I am heading to Iceland on Monday and look forward to seeing the countryside in person (though not this area of course!)
Enjoy!
Thanks! Will do! And enjoyment will be enhanced by your posts about Iceland’s geology
thank you so much
Most helpful! Thanks.
Great prediction. The eruption began on August 22, 2024, 6 days after this video.
Excellent title for your presentation Shawn. Fear mongering does not exist wrt Icelandic eruption preparedness and awareness in my opinion.
“All models are wrong, but some are useful” -- British statistician George E. P. Box.
Love the magma influx schematic!👌
Great diagram.
🍿thanks Shawn!🎉❤
Hello Prof. 😊🌱
Lincoln, N.E.🌱
IMO is already since July 13th mentioning that they aren't that sure about eruption in the original zone. Every eruption is a bit further south so next eruption might be well possible dangerous to Grindavik. The chances between scenarios 1 and 2 are equal (as IMO states).
Thanks for having the auto-shut taken out of your office light 😊. I'm one of viewers from the other side. You know, one of those evil doctorate folks. Still admire your teaching style. Keep up the excellent work.
I would agree with you on the point you deem most likely for the next eruption 'But is it possible that this other region with all those earthquake could be a different system building up 'I notice a break between both areas 'It's just a thought
I can’t understand why there hasn’t been as much or more damage around the power plant in comparison to what Grindavik has had.
I think the decline in uplift is pretty logical. When you blow up a balloon it will grow centimeters with the first breath, maybe one with the second a half with the third and so on. So with the same influx the expansion in centimeters declines...
All areas seem dangerous now to me due to previous lava buildups
re 13:00 I suspect the 'anomalous' deflation after the eruption is subsidence due to the more gradual escape of depressurized gases & perhaps water/vapor.
The diagram really helps
These Mag 3-5 at Bardarbunga are normal at this time of year, I always thing it is Ice melt getting to meet the Magma or an Icequake through Ice melt.
Hi from Terri from Waverly TN USA