SW Florida's Housing Market Classified as HIGH RISK | 2025 Predictions

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  • Опубликовано: 30 дек 2024

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  • @shanerogers9386
    @shanerogers9386 13 дней назад +35

    There is nothing riskier than a loan written on a $1.5MM home that sold for $500K 3 year ago.

    • @alterfloyd1
      @alterfloyd1 12 дней назад +2

      And yet here we are with the appraisals being rubber stamped. Its almost like the banks have been bailed out before and they aren’t as risk averse.

    • @rdee7406
      @rdee7406 12 дней назад

      @@shanerogers9386 provide me ONE example of that. You cant

  • @RyanRichMD
    @RyanRichMD 12 дней назад +16

    Moved from South Florida to NW Arkansas. Couldn’t be happier. Great financial move. Florida is where you go once you’re retired if you have the means. Not sure why anyone would stay there during their working years with depressed wages and a sky high cost of living these days. The warm climate is enjoyable but it’s not worth living in poverty IMO.

    • @jacknasty6940
      @jacknasty6940 12 дней назад

      I’d rather be poor and warm than poor and cold

    • @amandabrau-v6w
      @amandabrau-v6w 12 дней назад +1

      We are headed to Alabama! Can’t wait!

    • @stevem-h5e
      @stevem-h5e 12 дней назад

      Honestly, I wouldn't want my kids or grandchildren to grow up in the dumbest, most poorly educated states in the country, because I didn't want to put on an extra layer of clothes.

    • @ponygirl1624
      @ponygirl1624 12 дней назад +2

      agree good for you when my elderly parent passes on I will leave FL here since '71....NY CA NJ and CH can have it

  • @s99614
    @s99614 13 дней назад +14

    The rent is too damn high!

  • @donnaanasse5177
    @donnaanasse5177 9 дней назад +3

    There is alot os excess inventory in Lee county, and it's not moving.

  • @tomswierszczyk1162
    @tomswierszczyk1162 12 дней назад +6

    Thanks!

    • @PianoMatronNeeNee
      @PianoMatronNeeNee 12 дней назад

      Very generous of you 👍

    • @bensellin
      @bensellin  12 дней назад +2

      @@tomswierszczyk1162 Tom that was very nice of you! Thank you so much for the generous gift and support!

  • @charlies3502
    @charlies3502 13 дней назад +7

    I know a woman (widow) who owns a small house on the SE side of Florida. The house is on water but it is west of US1 (there are fixed bridges). She and her husband bought the house for $64,000 in 1977. The house is pretty much now as it was then. The lot is .20 of an acre. The current valuation on the property appraiser's website is over a million. The land is valued at $800K. She is paying $398 in taxes. I'm sure there are many people in her situation. I think it is incredible the windfall the counties are going to get when these properties change hands. At the same time I can't see how they can ever really drop their valuations...

  • @booboolips6053
    @booboolips6053 12 дней назад +6

    Home prices drop but property taxes, insurance shoots up.

  • @tmclean9
    @tmclean9 12 дней назад +4

    Good stuff Ben. I ran into two very active realtors at Publix in Naples today. Both said things were slow and sellers are asking unreasonable prices. Merry Christmas!

    • @bensellin
      @bensellin  11 дней назад

      Thank you sir! Same to you! Always appreciate the info.

  • @tomswierszczyk1162
    @tomswierszczyk1162 12 дней назад +3

    Merry Christmas, Ben !!!

    • @bensellin
      @bensellin  12 дней назад +1

      @@tomswierszczyk1162 Merry Christmas to you too and thank you again!

  • @seawhaturnissen
    @seawhaturnissen 12 дней назад +5

    Well Done Ben! Thank you for all you do. Justin

    • @bensellin
      @bensellin  12 дней назад +1

      Thanks Justin!!

    • @bensellin
      @bensellin  12 дней назад +1

      What a great RUclips Handle by the way

  • @dreyes8948
    @dreyes8948 12 дней назад +2

    You doing a great job! Thanks for be a honest Realtor, reality is reality, bad markets coming and good market coming, we need to flow with the reality and try to the the best, maybe later good opportunities in the market will come, continue with this great and honest videos.

    • @bensellin
      @bensellin  12 дней назад +1

      I appreciate that! Well said!

  • @xslfyk4
    @xslfyk4 12 дней назад +1

    Love your content. Thanks, Ben from a commercial RE credit analyst..

    • @bensellin
      @bensellin  12 дней назад

      Glad you enjoyed it!

  • @aprilgentile5438
    @aprilgentile5438 12 дней назад +5

    I’m sure there’s plenty of shadow inventory being held back buy builders.

    • @shanerogers9386
      @shanerogers9386 9 дней назад

      Even more shadow inventory in the hands of speculators who severally overpaid for them.

  • @madeleineaudette1586
    @madeleineaudette1586 11 дней назад

    Good information as always! Glad you’re doing well with your little guy. Merry Christmas.

  • @jtmoney530
    @jtmoney530 9 дней назад

    Love all your videos, great content. But actually have a question. What Camera and microphone do you use?

    • @bensellin
      @bensellin  8 дней назад

      Thank you. I just use my cell phone and a dji wireless mic.

  • @ronie6773
    @ronie6773 12 дней назад +1

    Great content

  • @dbanka471
    @dbanka471 12 дней назад +2

    Those areas like Lee and Collier counties are significantly over valued -from the data from revenuture….so pricing holding steady (without appreciation) is a win

  • @MicheleSWFL
    @MicheleSWFL 10 дней назад +1

    It's no surprise the foreclosure rate in CC is high since the mackle homes were running at 300k and people were buying houses sight unseen. Just my 2 cents

    • @bensellin
      @bensellin  9 дней назад +1

      I am seeing some short sales on those homes

  • @melB2392
    @melB2392 12 дней назад

    Congratulations!!!

  • @danidaydreaming919
    @danidaydreaming919 12 дней назад +1

    Bonkers!

  • @davidmajer3652
    @davidmajer3652 12 дней назад +1

    That $1,000,000 mark is a big phycological hurdle.

  • @mari8857
    @mari8857 10 дней назад

    Hi Ben any idea if the popular custom home builders like southwest Florida dream builders, DM dean custom homes or Genesis Construction will ever lower their prices, we plan to build in 2025 near this area.

  • @ld9044
    @ld9044 13 дней назад +1

    The house at 9:00 has the strangest roof. A mystery as to why would someone do that?

    • @bensellin
      @bensellin  13 дней назад +1

      It is certainly unique lol

    • @rocqitmon
      @rocqitmon 11 дней назад +1

      an air barrier is great at not transferring heat from the roof to the living spaces below

  • @Mr_CigarJaxGuy
    @Mr_CigarJaxGuy 12 дней назад +3

    Honestly brother, people knew what would eventually happen I don’t feel bad for them if they’re non locals. My rent went up so why would I feel bad for new homeowners who are new residents as a local. It’s unpopular to say and I totally understand why. You do a great job brother you’re a good person the negative comments are probably people who can afford anything and don’t understand the common working class person keep it up brother you a a good guy!

    • @bensellin
      @bensellin  12 дней назад

      I appreciate the support!

  • @onthemark-hi
    @onthemark-hi 12 дней назад

    Got my renewal about 2 months ago and for the first time in many years it simply said no increase. I'm hopeful it's going to stabilize.

    • @bensellin
      @bensellin  12 дней назад +1

      Glad to hear. That is my best case scenario right now is just things stabilized out

  • @ca_native_gardens
    @ca_native_gardens 12 дней назад +2

    what's going on with Charlotte county cops killing unarmed people? Now I see a deputy was murdered. All of this in 1 month? That place seems to be going to hell in a hurry!
    I graduated from Port Charlotte High in 1991 and can't believe all I'm reading.
    I'm living in California now making 270K a year and only paying 3400 a month in rent. Left for CA as soon as I graduated from UCF.
    So glad I left that place behind but it's mind blowing to see people playing $2500 a month to live in Port Charlotte, ROFLMAO!!!!

    • @fit4ya1975
      @fit4ya1975 8 дней назад

      California is beautiful but they tax you to death. $3400 rent? LOL

  • @davidduty8199
    @davidduty8199 11 дней назад

    Ty

  • @PelicanIslandLabs
    @PelicanIslandLabs 12 дней назад +3

    "Crash Bro" ..................... 🤣

  • @alterfloyd1
    @alterfloyd1 12 дней назад

    The inbound migration buyers are key because those are the buyers that don’t realize they are overpaying by 30%

    • @allanbauer4076
      @allanbauer4076 11 дней назад

      How many of them paid insane amounts of money for houses without checking flood zone. Now they own homes that flood. I can't imagine what's going on in their heads now. Paid a million or more for a house that is basically worthless.

  • @LockedUpLarry
    @LockedUpLarry 12 дней назад +2

    80% gains in 4 years! Yeah, a bit of risk. A sprinkle if you will😅

  • @ajsreptiles6170
    @ajsreptiles6170 12 дней назад +2

    My prediction for the area is another 15% correction.

    • @bensellin
      @bensellin  11 дней назад

      Possible

    • @jeffamburgey7485
      @jeffamburgey7485 10 дней назад

      No, I wouldn't say 15 percent, I think values increase only 5 percent or so in 25. Reverse correction.

  • @CryptoVin
    @CryptoVin 11 дней назад +4

    I’m so happy that Florida is getting bad press. Hopefully the market tanks so I can buy a house cheap.

  • @markmcfarren1854
    @markmcfarren1854 11 дней назад

    hi ben i found the legal stuff on 3 storie condo we are 3 floors even with the first floor parking but as we speak its in court so we will we will find out soon thanks for your help great videoo

  • @endofsociety
    @endofsociety 13 дней назад +5

    Well, the housing is artificially Waaaaayyyy over priced, and they keep building more crappy homes in a hurricane/tornado zone. There's no way as an insurance company would i insure those overpriced homes for any less than what they're charging. As a matter of fact, id keep raising the rates the more homes they build. Or just pull out of florida all together. Too much of a risk. As a matter of fact, 1,745 acres in cape coral has just been sold to developers for the cool price of $100 million. They are set to build more cheaply built overpriced homes that the average Joe cannot afford, nor insure. This is going to be disastrous. The government of florida needs to put a stop to all the building. The infrastructure cannot handle it. Too much. And they are getting rid of too many natural habitats.

  • @spscorse
    @spscorse 13 дней назад

    Congratulations

  • @andyjax9215
    @andyjax9215 12 дней назад +1

    How did they get planning permission for that square block monstrosity, sticks out like a sore thumb. I know every man's home is supposed to be his castle but not literally.

  • @chris-co3ej
    @chris-co3ej 12 дней назад +1

    In the drop of an eye" 3:40

    • @bensellin
      @bensellin  12 дней назад

      Haha i know I saw it in editing but the damage was done

  • @davido3746
    @davido3746 13 дней назад +1

    Drop of a 🎩

    • @bensellin
      @bensellin  13 дней назад

      I know lol messed up

    • @davido3746
      @davido3746 12 дней назад +1

      @@bensellin 😂. Aw man, couldn’t help it! Always love your content.

  • @Aksteelheader86
    @Aksteelheader86 12 дней назад

    High Risk just means *Investors Get Out Before The Correction*
    But for everyone else nothing is wrong it’ll be fine nothing to worry about

  • @bobwright5557
    @bobwright5557 13 дней назад +1

    Follow the data, speak the truth. It’s all you can do. And the hat rocks!

  • @kevingrandyify
    @kevingrandyify 11 дней назад

    1500 yankees a day move here, these prices aren't going anywhere

  • @MM-kf3gq
    @MM-kf3gq 12 дней назад +4

    Florida in recession

  • @jeremyjedynak
    @jeremyjedynak 12 дней назад +1

    If anyone accuses you of being a "crash bro", be sure to correct them that you're a "build-up bro".

  • @kevinweber5129
    @kevinweber5129 13 дней назад +2

    Every one else in the country should insist that FEMA stop writing Flood Insurance in Florida.

  • @frankdattilo1836
    @frankdattilo1836 12 дней назад

    Conjecture: What happens when Equity Markets meltdown 50% minimum…Give us your Best Guess

  •  12 дней назад

    Only the rich will move to FLA , poor or middle class people will just have to wear their down coats 🧥 in the cold.

  • @samuell4775
    @samuell4775 12 дней назад +1

    The extreme political situation adds to the turmoil.

  • @bradbradshaw-i4n
    @bradbradshaw-i4n 12 дней назад

    i keep hearing you and other people say how bad things are or will be. i live in new smyrna beach and i just don't see it. 1 in 449 is nothing.

    • @bensellin
      @bensellin  12 дней назад +1

      20% median price decline in my area in two years. That is big, but it is very area specific as I mentioned. Some places have seen 20% price increases.

  • @alterfloyd1
    @alterfloyd1 12 дней назад

    All that money sitting in assets with zero growth. Meanwhile stock market and crypto or even being a hard money lender you are making gaaainzzz

  • @progessiveknowledge4433
    @progessiveknowledge4433 12 дней назад +1

    "What if I told you 20% decline was a Crash" 😂 Sure Travis, especially after a market increase of damn near over 60%.
    It's all going to come down to interest rates and insurance. 2025 will definitely end the debate. I honestly think the "crash" happened in 2024.

    • @bensellin
      @bensellin  12 дней назад +1

      Time will tell it sure was wild

  • @scottturner6139
    @scottturner6139 12 дней назад

    Enjoy parenthood.

  • @IbrahimKone-ix4qi
    @IbrahimKone-ix4qi 12 дней назад

    I am at the beginning of my "investment journey", planning to put 385K into dividend stocks so that I will be making up to 30% annually in dividend returns. any good recommendation on great performing stocks or Crypto will be appreciated!!

    • @YevaSonia
      @YevaSonia 12 дней назад

      As a newbie investor, it’s essential for you to have a mentor to keep you accountable.
      Ruth Ann Tsakonas is my trade analyst, she has guided me to identify key market trends, pinpointed strategic entry points, and provided risk assessments, ensuring my trades decisions align with market dynamics for optimal returns.

    • @JoseLopez-lf9rw
      @JoseLopez-lf9rw 12 дней назад

      I managed to grow a nest egg of around 120k to over a Million. I'm especially grateful to Adviser Ruth Ann Tsakonas, for her expertise and exposure to different areas of the market.

    • @YevaSonia
      @YevaSonia 12 дней назад

      I don't really blame people who panic. Lack of
      information can be a big hurdle. I've been
      making more than $200k passively by just
      investing through an advisor, and I don't have
      to do much work.. Inflation or no inflation, my
      finances remain secure. So I really don't blame
      people who panic.

    • @JoseLopez-lf9rw
      @JoseLopez-lf9rw 12 дней назад

      Without a doubt! Ruth Ann Tsakonas is a trader who goes above and beyond. she has an exceptional skill for analysing market movements and spotting profitable opportunities. Her strategies are meticulously crafted on thorough research and years of practical experience..

    • @IbrahimKone-ix4qi
      @IbrahimKone-ix4qi 12 дней назад

      how would you recommend i enter the crypto market? I am also looking at studying some traders and copying their strategy rather than investing myself and losing money emotionally. What's your take on this approach? and How can i reach her, if you don't mind me asking?

  • @freeheeler09
    @freeheeler09 12 дней назад +1

    Global warming is speeding up. We are pumping record amounts of carbon into the atmosphere every year. We are paving over every square inch of wildland and farmland. And, we are crossing tipping points that’ll speed up warming even more. Things are going to get even more interesting in Florida

  • @10000Islands
    @10000Islands 13 дней назад +4

    Florida is not the place for most people. We have hurricanes, tornadoes, high humidity, mosquitos, alligators, crocodiles, Burmese pythons, Gambian rats, sharks, high insurance rates, high HOA fees, expensive houses, big bugs, big birds, thunderstorms that will shake your bones, 6 months of summer swelter, I mean, what's there to like?

    • @johnkatrich2954
      @johnkatrich2954 12 дней назад +7

      Spend a nice harsh winter in a northern State and you will understand the allure of Florida. LOL

    • @wadeinn463
      @wadeinn463 12 дней назад +1

      The grass is always greener somewhere else

    • @dbanka471
      @dbanka471 12 дней назад +1

      @@johnkatrich2954yep….at least for the months of December-March

    • @juniorcrandall8933
      @juniorcrandall8933 12 дней назад +1

      What, no mention of the Cane Toads?

    • @kevingrandyify
      @kevingrandyify 11 дней назад

      Yankees that can't drive

  • @odessajackson4551
    @odessajackson4551 11 дней назад

    Florida's so overrated!!!.

  • @rdee7406
    @rdee7406 13 дней назад

    Why do you make these videos dude? You’re not helping anyone living here with your fear mongering. Seriously go find another side hustle

    • @bensellin
      @bensellin  13 дней назад +16

      If you feel that way, why do you watch them?

    • @Robin-s7s
      @Robin-s7s 13 дней назад +5

      He’s not fear mongering , he’s giving you a perspective based on the numbers . He is letting buyers and sellers free information. I am out of state and have worked with him and his information was extremely valuable for me on my decision making .

    • @Robin-s7s
      @Robin-s7s 13 дней назад +2

      Giving free information , take what you want from his information. At the end of the day I had to make the decision, if it was in my best interest to buy . I was for me , maybe not for you .

    • @Mr_CigarJaxGuy
      @Mr_CigarJaxGuy 13 дней назад +4

      He’s telling the truth and a good person chill out dude

    • @johnkatrich2954
      @johnkatrich2954 12 дней назад

      You answered my question when you mentioned the Burnt Store Corridor. Taylor Morrison is about to open their new Esplanade Community and there are two more huge developments coming on line right up the street so it will be interesting, but I think this bodes well as compared to old 50 and 60 year old homes that really can’t compete with new construction in quality or desirability or the cost of insurance