Tour de France 2024 Stage 1 - PREVIEW / FAVOURITES / PREDICTION

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  • Опубликовано: 14 окт 2024

Комментарии • 68

  • @nillske2
    @nillske2 3 месяца назад +5

    One hell of a preview! Nice we need you on belgian television! Asap

    • @CyclingGuy
      @CyclingGuy  3 месяца назад +2

      Hehe, if you have connections somewhere, don't hesitate to do a 'goed woordje' 😆

  • @nicknick1963
    @nicknick1963 3 месяца назад +11

    I don't know the riders,I don't know the teams,but I watch this race every year. Blood, sweat, tears,crashes,drama,drugs, endurance, and some of the best scenery in the world.

    • @PazLeBon
      @PazLeBon 3 месяца назад +2

      so you saw me win it a couple of times?

    • @CyclingGuy
      @CyclingGuy  3 месяца назад

      @@PazLeBon 🤪

    • @CyclingGuy
      @CyclingGuy  3 месяца назад

      Enjoy ey, I don't think it will disappoint

    • @Lion-wd1px
      @Lion-wd1px 3 месяца назад

      ​@@PazLeBon yes PazLeBon dropped me last year on Col de laluze with astonishing 9w/kg

    • @akinom269
      @akinom269 3 месяца назад +1

      @nicknick1963 I truly recommend Netflix series about Tour de France. There is 2 seasons so far: TdF 2022 and TdF 2023. They introduce teams and riders pretty well and share some insides from the team buses and hotel rooms. I watched it as a total noob and now I'm all over the tour this year 😊

  • @andretim75
    @andretim75 3 месяца назад +2

    great analysis !
    Quite fitting - and even though it will probably go a different way, it would be a plausible outcome for sure !

    • @CyclingGuy
      @CyclingGuy  3 месяца назад

      Cheers! There's always more chances it will go a different way - that's what makes this so interesting to me - enjoy the stage

  • @keepitreal1547
    @keepitreal1547 3 месяца назад +3

    I expect Bettiol to have the greatest motivation to win today, along with fantastic form on a stage to suit him. I'm sure he will have been dreaming of the win in front of his home fans...indeed it's an extremely special day for all Italian riders & many will be motivated to do their absolute best.
    Can't wait.
    P.s Guy...what about a poll asking how much of this stage & others people will be watching live/have watched?
    Eg:
    1) who watches the whole stage live?
    2) much of it, but not all?
    3) the last hour or so?
    4) highlights only?

  • @mondociaociao
    @mondociaociao 3 месяца назад +2

    Yes, it all depends on how Tadej will set the stage. If he wants a hard stage, all the GC guys will fight then little possibilities for riders like Bettiol. If Tadej decides a conservative race (mmm... Tadej always wants to attack EVEN WHEN USELESS) then Bettiol is a nice name to win.

  • @PazLeBon
    @PazLeBon 3 месяца назад +4

    ive changed my mind a bit and its gonna be like 35 degress heat. I think UAE do have to try and smash the first stage and not play nice

    • @J-cz7yv
      @J-cz7yv 3 месяца назад +1

      The heat is for sure the X factor. Can’t wait for the start

    • @PazLeBon
      @PazLeBon 3 месяца назад +1

      @@J-cz7yv tyoically f1 inbetween :) glad its 200km.. hmm, might be longer than the gran prix actually

    • @PazLeBon
      @PazLeBon 3 месяца назад +2

      @@J-cz7yv changed my team about 15 times so far :)

    • @CyclingGuy
      @CyclingGuy  3 месяца назад

      @@PazLeBon you still have time, change some more 🤪 - I'm still fiddling with my Zweeler team as well

  • @greniermatteo2905
    @greniermatteo2905 3 месяца назад +1

    As always tysm for your work and those videos !
    Which jersey does Alberto prefer ? National champion or yellow ? Why choose when you can wear both in the TDF 🤪
    I'd love to see Healy try in the hills but as long as Bettiol is in the team I'm not sure he will atack. Healy not being Healy :(
    Also if Soler manages to be in the group in the final I think he'll try something, or Almeida. Not sure Matthews is strong enough to be in the final today.
    I like Aranburu but there will be stronger sprinters, he must arrive alone..
    I'm with you on Gee; there's also Williams they both can do well tomorrow for sure
    So I'll go on :
    🥇Bettiol
    🥈Van Gils
    🥉Pidcock

    • @CyclingGuy
      @CyclingGuy  3 месяца назад +1

      My pleasure, and THANK YOU for sharing your thoughts as well. Healy in the attack and Bettiol following wheels behind could be an option for EF - I've not considered the other UAE riders yet, but I agree with you it could be an option - Gee was a machine in the Dauphiné, having a bet out on him as well, how cool would it be to see him take yellow - ENJOY

  • @johnnewman4985
    @johnnewman4985 3 месяца назад +1

    Bettiol is a good bet for the podium for this stage. Do you see other stages that suit Bettiol? Do you see other stages for him? I am not planning on picking him for my team because I don’t see another stage for him. What do you think?

    • @PazLeBon
      @PazLeBon 3 месяца назад +2

      you can change riders each stage so see what happens

    • @CyclingGuy
      @CyclingGuy  3 месяца назад

      Not really ey, in my book, this is the one, if the gradients on stage 2 would be slightly less, I would also consider, ... that being said, I really do think that national champ jersey on home soil will give him an extra

  • @tugabooga
    @tugabooga 3 месяца назад +1

    Why is everyone sleeping on Laurance? I reckon he'll do better on the climbs than MVDP, and he does have a significant punch/sprint

    • @CyclingGuy
      @CyclingGuy  3 месяца назад

      Not unlikely, would be great to see him come of age on the biggest cycling stage of them all

  • @angelochristides6794
    @angelochristides6794 3 месяца назад +2

    👍👍👍👍👍

  • @djmanahan9466
    @djmanahan9466 3 месяца назад +1

    I think uae will send joao as a satellite in the break and if jonas doesnt react uae will let joao finish the stage with a possible win.

    • @CyclingGuy
      @CyclingGuy  3 месяца назад

      Ohhh, I like that one! Enjoy!

  • @tmqq746
    @tmqq746 3 месяца назад +1

    Mads Pedersen is winning in from the small peleton

  • @nielskjr5432
    @nielskjr5432 3 месяца назад +1

    I'm a bit surprised you didn't mention Evenepoel.
    This stage seems taylormade for him.

    • @keepitreal1547
      @keepitreal1547 3 месяца назад +3

      Remco is at his very very leanest for Le Tour & it'll be extremely interesting to see how he goes today. Normally speaking, he's a just little off the best climbers over such climbs, but with him slimming down to his leanest ever...he can't be dismissed.

    • @CyclingGuy
      @CyclingGuy  3 месяца назад +2

      I fully agree he can't be dismissed, I just don't expect them here - if he's really up there and I were him, I wouldn't be showing it from stage 1

    • @keepitreal1547
      @keepitreal1547 3 месяца назад +1

      @@CyclingGuy
      I would totally agree with you Guy, yet in an interview on Thursday, he stated that the 'we' the team will be doing all we can to get stage wins...from the first stage, to the last.
      It was a confident thing to say, especially from Remco, as he is usually very measured in interviews.
      I'm 50/50 of what to make if it...what's your thoughts?

    • @CyclingGuy
      @CyclingGuy  3 месяца назад +2

      @@keepitreal1547 🤔I was traveling for work, thanks for sharing that interview - sounds to me like a: 'I'm here for stage wins not GC cover up' - while I don't think that's thru (till the point he would actually drop out of contention), ... in my book, the better he is, the more invisible he should try to be

  • @sabugdalantx
    @sabugdalantx 3 месяца назад +2

    EF got stage 1 by Italian National Road Champ or Powless goes for polkadot jersey. Go EF

    • @CyclingGuy
      @CyclingGuy  3 месяца назад

      It's a stage that suits Powless really well, I agree

  • @JoeFoxJr
    @JoeFoxJr 3 месяца назад +2

    Oof, no love for WVA! I think if he is at the finish with a bunch that does not contain the likes of Pedersen, he can win it.

    • @CyclingGuy
      @CyclingGuy  3 месяца назад +1

      I absolutely love WVA, yet he could not convince me in the Belgian champs, he was hanging on for dear life and it was nowhere near as hard as this stage - OK, I agree, he just came off the mountain, yet still, ... as usual, I hope he proves me wrong

    • @PazLeBon
      @PazLeBon 3 месяца назад +1

      @@CyclingGuy i read the positive message that came out as not positive lol

  • @dannydijkhuis2094
    @dannydijkhuis2094 3 месяца назад +2

    How about Aranburu, hes in top form yoo

    • @CyclingGuy
      @CyclingGuy  3 месяца назад

      Yep, I like that call, even though I don't think he's ever won a stage with more than 3000m of elevation gain, ...

    • @PazLeBon
      @PazLeBon 3 месяца назад +1

      @@CyclingGuy how many actually have :)

    • @CyclingGuy
      @CyclingGuy  3 месяца назад

      @@PazLeBon 🤔I think you have a point there

  • @alexandreumbelino9068
    @alexandreumbelino9068 3 месяца назад +1

    Acredito que Van der Poel consiga se não perder muito tempo na última subida!

    • @remcovandekuinder3967
      @remcovandekuinder3967 3 месяца назад +1

      To hard for him, but good that you support a Dutch rider ;)

    • @CyclingGuy
      @CyclingGuy  3 месяца назад +1

      @@remcovandekuinder3967 he is looking very sharp ey, and nobody expects him on this one, ...

    • @remcovandekuinder3967
      @remcovandekuinder3967 3 месяца назад +1

      @@CyclingGuy oke oke, i will give him a spot in the first 9 for this stage in 2 of my 14 tourpoules 😜🤪

    • @CyclingGuy
      @CyclingGuy  3 месяца назад +1

      @@remcovandekuinder3967 now you're stressing me ey 😝

  • @gannonyarmus4121
    @gannonyarmus4121 3 месяца назад +1

    van Gils or Stephen Williams. I called it

    • @CyclingGuy
      @CyclingGuy  3 месяца назад

      Both great picks 🤞

  • @mikyatsuarez6596
    @mikyatsuarez6596 3 месяца назад +2

    sprinters got no chance on this stage. Its a gc battle!

    • @CyclingGuy
      @CyclingGuy  3 месяца назад

      Not excluded, yet I'm not sure ey, IMO it will al depend on - the GC guys know that this ain't where they're going to win it

  • @davidpeverley2123
    @davidpeverley2123 3 месяца назад +3

    Skinny Mads

    • @keepitreal1547
      @keepitreal1547 3 месяца назад +1

      As a former rider, it's difficult to lose weight in a relatively short time without losing strength. Mads has done exactly that, indeed he looks like a pure climber now. I really hope he has maintained strength & that weight loss enables him to achieve his goals

    • @CyclingGuy
      @CyclingGuy  3 месяца назад +1

      @@keepitreal1547 MVDP looking extremely sharp as well ey

    • @greniermatteo2905
      @greniermatteo2905 3 месяца назад +1

      @@CyclingGuy Remco as well 😉

    • @CyclingGuy
      @CyclingGuy  3 месяца назад

      @@greniermatteo2905 agreed

  • @remcovandekuinder3967
    @remcovandekuinder3967 3 месяца назад +1

    I didnt select pedersen 😪😪

    • @CyclingGuy
      @CyclingGuy  3 месяца назад +1

      WVA is the one that surprised me today ey, probably the back from altitude bothered him on the Belgian champs, yet up there with the best today

  • @alexb5949
    @alexb5949 3 месяца назад +1

    pello bilbao!!! lfg!!!

  • @carlospagi
    @carlospagi 3 месяца назад +1

    Good stuff! 🚴🚴‍♂🚴‍♀

    • @CyclingGuy
      @CyclingGuy  3 месяца назад +1

      Cheers Carlos, it should be a banger ey

  • @erichgerber251
    @erichgerber251 3 месяца назад +1

    My money is on MVDP for stage 1

    • @CyclingGuy
      @CyclingGuy  3 месяца назад +1

      He looks super sharp and indicated to be feeling well, ... most people seem to think it will be too hard for him, ... could be, yet I'm expecting him in the mix as well - I've spread my bets over non riders and MVDP is one of them 🤞

  • @ivanstrle346
    @ivanstrle346 3 месяца назад +1

    Remco win.

    • @CyclingGuy
      @CyclingGuy  3 месяца назад

      Nice call, he's looking lean, yet if he's smart, he'll play it low, no need to draw attention yet

  • @pyraxwhippa
    @pyraxwhippa 3 месяца назад +1

    You are doing the same mistake as before the giro haha

    • @CyclingGuy
      @CyclingGuy  3 месяца назад

      hehe, are you Pogacar or what?