#Eurovision2024

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  • Опубликовано: 11 июл 2024
  • This is simply the start of this ongoing conversation we will have this year but it's been a while since we've had a "grounding" conversation so you at least know where I am coming from and you can tell me where you're at.
    LET'S BE REAL. THIS ISN'T A CONVERSATION ABOUT WHAT WE LIKE... CHALLENGE: think generally about what type of Eurovision "package" has the best chance at winning this year.
    Alesia Michelle is a Eurovision blogger, based in the United States and has been covering the Eurovision Song Contest on RUclips since 2015. The 68th Eurovision Song Contest will be hosted in Malmö, Sweden. Semifinals and finals will be held May 7th, 9th and 11th in Malmö Arena.
    CONNECT
    Listen: anchor.fm/alesia73
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    TikTok: / alesiamichelle
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    Facebook: / teamalesia

Комментарии • 247

  • @AlesiaMichelle
    @AlesiaMichelle  4 месяца назад +16

    Firstly, I apologize for how high-pitched my voice it and the makeup... 5 years ago I did this but ultimately, my points are pretty much the same. Here's me 5-years ago, "How to judge a Eurovision entry": ruclips.net/video/EMMbBIHUymI/видео.htmlfeature=shared

  • @black_bean_paste
    @black_bean_paste 4 месяца назад +71

    The professionalism in this video is exactly why you are the best Eurovision RUclipsr and blogger. Loved this analysis. Loyal fan here 🤘

  • @leekorn3796
    @leekorn3796 4 месяца назад +37

    each year we have :
    - a shock NQ
    - a "top 10 by odds" in the bottom 5
    - a good surprise
    - a song that ranks well because of international news or an external event
    - a "meh" performance
    But above all, each song influences the others. So we have to wait for all the songs to predict their fates.

  • @AJLopez
    @AJLopez 4 месяца назад +9

    By far one of the smartest Eurovision videos I’ve seen. This is certainly the way to think about a winner.

  • @judicyy
    @judicyy 4 месяца назад +12

    Love that depth in eurovision analysis ( I cound hear you for hours )

  • @aaronward4822
    @aaronward4822 4 месяца назад +8

    I love how educated you are in what you say, and the analysis you give is spot on. Lots of love from Ireland🇮🇪🇮🇪

  • @konraarthursson7217
    @konraarthursson7217 4 месяца назад +10

    Woke up, saw Alesia video, clicked on it, and I LOVED IT (like always). As one hardcore fan to another, THANK YOU for such an elegant and outstanding analysis on this contest! Currently, and still my #1 best subscription on RUclips

  • @MultiSky7
    @MultiSky7 4 месяца назад +9

    Angelina will win.

    • @user-ti3ko1dc6j
      @user-ti3ko1dc6j 4 месяца назад +5

      Italy will win Eurovision Song contest again

    • @ValS1111
      @ValS1111 4 месяца назад +5

      For now she is the strogest entry

  • @heppolo
    @heppolo 4 месяца назад +12

    I call it the "Eurovision pendulum", it definitely swings in a different direction this year.

  • @pika6131
    @pika6131 4 месяца назад +14

    What’s interesting for me this year is that multiple entries and songs give me “top ten vibes” but I haven’t had those winner vibe tingles yet. Ukraine, Norway and Italy “feel” like top ten finishes but idk about winner. Serbia also has a couple songs in their NF I think could do major damage on the scoreboard. I’m very excited to get our full entry lineup and see what gives me those “winner tingles” then (lol).

    • @EurovisionOpale
      @EurovisionOpale 4 месяца назад +1

      I totally agree with you. Last year we had a lot song to fight for TOP 10. This year is just meeeh, I cant find a proper song to listen to it on a daily dose. Idk

    • @alohim1573
      @alohim1573 4 месяца назад +1

      Same.
      I think maybe someone from the internal picks will have potential to win

  • @martinkilp4473
    @martinkilp4473 4 месяца назад +10

    Of course I’m still watching Alesia 😌we all areeee

  • @edmundtory6931
    @edmundtory6931 4 месяца назад +3

    best ESC content by far!

  • @JakeAbrahamsen
    @JakeAbrahamsen 4 месяца назад +12

    I think I agree with you ultimately. But the interesting part about this year is the artists have TWO artists to copycat, Loreen and Kaarija. Those two have so many genres covered and the crave is real for something new and fresh. Ukraine does fill that void, but it isn't the 100% we know this is the winner yet. I can absolutely see one act being the full force winner potential, but I can also see a murky unknown leaderboard. We just came out of a two horse race that sucked literally ALL the points away from 24 other acts, so maybe this time people won't coalesce as much towards one act. Who knows. It's gonna be interesting

    • @AlesiaMichelle
      @AlesiaMichelle  4 месяца назад +4

      Yes! I totally could have expanded but completely agree that the Kaarija inspired entries AND Loreen entries will be plentiful. AND YES Interesting is right.

  • @esccse30
    @esccse30 4 месяца назад +15

    I root for Serbia and cant wait to see live performances. I think that it will do some boom! 😊😊🇷🇸💜💜
    At this point my winner is Dons with Hollow. Absolutely.

    • @esccse30
      @esccse30 4 месяца назад

      @@obobyuobobyu64 In the case of Serbia this year, we can only say some conslusions after the live performances. Sometimes you hear winning vibe but its floop on live staging.. So... yes 👏👏🇷🇸🇷🇸🇷🇸

    • @esccse30
      @esccse30 4 месяца назад

      @@obobyuobobyu64 But its okay.. why we need to know everything before it started. For example for me, Ukraine is never winning song, boring and thats it. There were so many winning songs that were : just okay and nothing else,when released. So... I will not predict anything :)

    • @bosko41
      @bosko41 4 месяца назад

      Pesme su nam s*anje ove godine. Ništa od finala

    • @esccse30
      @esccse30 4 месяца назад

      @@bosko41 Ne kaki puno.

    • @bosko41
      @bosko41 4 месяца назад

      I da oću nemogu srat koliko ti sereš po komentarima 🤣

  • @kaiinoue6594
    @kaiinoue6594 4 месяца назад +3

    I honestly love your videos and your honest takes which is one of the reasons why I've watched you since 2019 (although I'm not sure if I was subscribed or maybe it was another account, I know I watched you around that time) You were basically apart of my childhood and my gateway to Eurovision as an 11-year-old new fan. I think watching you also helped me be more honest and give proper criticism not just in Eurovision but also outside Eurovision! Glad to be a loyal fan 💖

    • @AlesiaMichelle
      @AlesiaMichelle  4 месяца назад +2

      Oh my! Thank you so much: what an amazing compliment.

    • @kaiinoue6594
      @kaiinoue6594 4 месяца назад +2

      @@AlesiaMichelle No worries hehe! I'm glad to be a fan! Excited to see more upcoming Eurovision content once more songs come out! Especially your prediction videos, they're always fun to watch. Hope you and your family have a great day!

  • @siaG-sn6zj
    @siaG-sn6zj 4 месяца назад +1

    Hats off to you for such a deep, thorough and IMPARTIAL analysis! Rarely do we get an opinion these days that is respectful to all countries and contestants. Pure joy listening to you ❤
    Eurovision is usually about the emotion and being in the moment, with that being said it does come down to staging as we’ve seen it often times ruin the song, and the other way around.

  • @adamtideman4953
    @adamtideman4953 4 месяца назад +10

    Bambie Thug being half Irish half Swedish can win. Do you know how many Eurovision wins flows in those veins?

  • @katie-vj2nu
    @katie-vj2nu 4 месяца назад +15

    I really love oh boy from ryk but have to see a live and germany has to pick it

  • @thomasharteveld9614
    @thomasharteveld9614 4 месяца назад +3

    Italy and Norway have selected songs with 2024 winner potential.

  • @OfficialSpencer
    @OfficialSpencer 4 месяца назад +2

    This was such a great conversation.... even though the people wanted something fun and different in 2023 with Cha Cha Cha, Tattoo did come 2nd, so the crowd/Europe wanted something dancey-pop.... so I feel this year will be hopefully 1 of the 2 or both...
    Seeing the trends as we see it, and Europe rarely follows what's trending in the music world, which is currently, hip-hop/rap, sad girl/sad boy songs
    The winning song is likely to be a
    1: A genre that’s not pop (e.g Rock, Rave, Ballad, Ethnic Folk)
    2: A country who has never won before

  • @revolution9095
    @revolution9095 4 месяца назад +14

    I think that Alesia is soft-launching a case for a German win this year, assuming that Ryk's Oh Boy is selected. It would align with the general trends outlined in the video (a male ballad to contrast with the most recent winners). A reference to Germany is conspicuously absent from this video (unless I missed it, I'm open to correction). Our pocket-books would breathe a sigh of relief (relative to another Nordic win).
    UPDATE: Well I guess it’s all moot now 😅

    • @sandracosta29
      @sandracosta29 4 месяца назад +6

      I suppose she didn't mention Germany because this country hasn't chosen the song yet. And I have to be honest: for the first time in DECADES, germany is my favourite country, assuming that Ryk wins.

    • @ESC_Mike
      @ESC_Mike 4 месяца назад +3

      Nothing conspicuous about it. Why mention a song/singer/country when we don’t know who they’re sending and with what song.

    • @heylinsworld6673
      @heylinsworld6673 4 месяца назад +2

      its the only song we've got in national selection limbo that meets her criteria, so I was thinking the same!

    • @Shellydaliie
      @Shellydaliie 4 месяца назад +3

      @@heylinsworld6673 In a yt short Alesia did where she talks about the German selection the caption says something to the effect of ,"does this selection have a potential winner?" and she talks about Ryk's song so I do think Alesia is probably referring to Oh Boy as a potential esc winner.

    • @heylinsworld6673
      @heylinsworld6673 4 месяца назад

      @@Shellydaliie as a song it would be above mon amour for me if he can carry it live she may be onto something.

  • @RF-lb2ud
    @RF-lb2ud 4 месяца назад +29

    I think Ryk could do something great for Germany 🤞🏼🤞🏼

    • @revolution9095
      @revolution9095 4 месяца назад +11

      I think Alesia thinks so too😉

    • @henryjervis6730
      @henryjervis6730 4 месяца назад +2

      imo it would be a lot like only teardrops which I'm not mad about it just needs to feel unique and standout cos Germany normally suffer a bit there

  • @Crowleas
    @Crowleas 4 месяца назад +3

    Wonderful and very interesting video!
    I 've always been thinking that copying the most recent winner is the safest recipe for failure. It only worked in 2004 and 2005 and never again since.
    My favorite entry so far is Norway but I don't think it can really win. 3rd place would be its best case scenario.
    I have that feeling that it's France's year. Slimane is way too good to be overlooked, even with a relatively uninspired song. As the line up is forming, we are gonna have too many up-beat songs and too many weird songs for special tastes. I think the simple, globally recognizable classic emotional ballad will stand out. Especially as served in a so exceptionally great and impactful version by a so solid, generous, charismatic and charming man. It looks like Slimane won't have any direct competition but even if he has, his perfection is glorious enough to beat any competitor. I mean he's doing the male emotional ballad as powerfully as it gets. I don't think any man could top that. So, I feel that France is a great contender to win the jury vote and if the staging is wise enough to let the emotion flow and shine properly, even the televoting will give him a top4 finishing. Which would make a winner.
    Italy can and will climb up there in top3 but all (or a few) of those other strong ladies you mentioned will deprive Angelina of victory potentials.
    Ukraine is almost guaranteed top5 but I think (and HOPE) is not having a momentum for victory.

  • @jackseas2929
    @jackseas2929 4 месяца назад +15

    The reset this year surprisingly I don’t think will be based from the winner’s result last year, I think it’ll be down to Käärijä. I feel a lot of countries will have seen how well he did with the juries and will try to replicate that, whilst going for that semi-final televote appeal. ie. Finland, Netherlands, potentially Croatia if Let3 perform again, the roop are in the mix again.
    Whilst I don’t think an act like that has the potential to do as well as Käärija did, I just have a feeling it’ll be a well produced male pop track that people will gravitate to, with solid vocals and an overall great package and staging that will cut through a lot of the madness this year. That’s why I feel the UK have been very smart choosing Olly - but again we’ll have to wait for the whole package in Malmö! (great video btw)

    • @AlesiaMichelle
      @AlesiaMichelle  4 месяца назад +10

      Okay- so I'm not crazy or alone in my thinking. Thank you for watching and YES The UK are definitely working from an advantage in more ways than one.

    • @emrk6517
      @emrk6517 4 месяца назад +6

      I don't think most of Finland see Windows95Man as something that will win in Malmö. The Finnish selection wasn't that inspiring, so Finland voted for what was entertaining. Personally I also think the winning song tends to swing in a different direction every year. Norway sounds interesting in 2024.

  • @liamkampff1
    @liamkampff1 4 месяца назад +3

    If we want to restore balance this year, Ireland needs to win to regain our record of most wins and all will be right in the world. *smiles with a ding ✨️* hahaha

  • @mathlexx
    @mathlexx 4 месяца назад +10

    this year is between Norway and Italy.. 2 completely different entries but equally potential contenders

    • @GianniDN
      @GianniDN 3 месяца назад +1

      Norway doesn’t stand a chance, they will end up outside the top 15.

    • @mathlexx
      @mathlexx 3 месяца назад

      @@GianniDN i will reply in May

  • @laimazalgiryte6887
    @laimazalgiryte6887 4 месяца назад +1

    Fun, good dance vibes will win this year🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉

  • @SailingMayhem
    @SailingMayhem 4 месяца назад +3

    When Gåte wins and the ESC is in Norway next year you could rent free cabin at my sailboat close to teh areana :) Because, they WILL win :D Great reflection vid! Thanks

    • @Maria_muziekjes
      @Maria_muziekjes 4 месяца назад

      I think Europe has problems with ethnic songs (Spain last year) so I don’t think Norway will win

  • @turtellok4964
    @turtellok4964 4 месяца назад

    I love these kind of videos and I totally agree with you when you say that our winner is more likely to be a man or to just go in a different direction than Loreen did last year. Also I think when we look at the line up we have so far Slimane still sticks out a lot, we don't have a lot of ballads or male performers this year. Also I wouldn't rule out Norway just yet when we're talking about winner potential. I might be biased, but this blend of ethnic elements and rock elements paired with this great execution, might lead to a top 3 finish with the televote if not even a win. However I kinda feel like we haven't heard the winner yet

  • @aengusprice8869
    @aengusprice8869 4 месяца назад +5

    A strong card for ireland is that bambie thug will be (i believe) the first openly non binary artist at eurovision to be out during the show and we could possibly see something along the lines of 2014 where the community comes out in force for the song as there will likely be a lot of casual viewers who may flick on the tv and see bambie thug, grasp on to the song and throw them a vote. As well as that bambie has very openly stated that they want to win and will jot do anything by half. I think that this year there is a good chance for people to gravitate towards a more niche genre and wind up sending ireland into an economic disaster 😂

  • @firephonix7293
    @firephonix7293 4 месяца назад +8

    With the female ballad coming in with a disadvantage I 100% agree!! People have already said that Marcela with "Gasoline" is just a wannabe Loreen, so they immediately don't want her to win Dora!

    • @jockey7069
      @jockey7069 4 месяца назад +3

      The worst part is that she actually both looks like loreen and sounds like loreen 😭

    • @AlesiaMichelle
      @AlesiaMichelle  4 месяца назад +2

      Yeah it isn't fair the comparisons but every year iwe hear it so folks should just be prepared.

    • @e_la_cumbia_della_noia
      @e_la_cumbia_della_noia 4 месяца назад

      Basically what happened to Sara Siipola... Many Finns didn't vote for her because she reminded them of Loreen

  • @sandracosta29
    @sandracosta29 4 месяца назад +4

    I have a simple, humble opinion: either people will go for the male ballad,due to the fact that there are sooooo many women, this year (I would love SO MUCH to see France or Germany win), or people will go for a "screw everything, we wanna have fun" positive vibe. In that case, Estonia and Spain will have a very strong chance to get the prize (assuming that the song with the big name wins). As for my country, Portugal, I don't even think it will qualify, so I'm being quite neutral, in this comment. Ireland? Oh, I would love to see this country qualify! In short, the usual songs with a female in the lead, singing or dancing well, are for a very rough 2024.But anyway, good luck to everyone. great analysis, Alesia, as always :).

  • @loujohnson3735
    @loujohnson3735 4 месяца назад +3

    There are so many up-tempo bops this year that will split the televote, I think a jury friendly ballad or something really left-field might have the edge 🤔

  • @Katin.7eo
    @Katin.7eo 4 месяца назад +3

    From all the officially chosen competitors' songs I've heard so far, France is really much better than the rest

    • @Maria_muziekjes
      @Maria_muziekjes 4 месяца назад

      Do you think so? He’s a-fantastic singer but the song doesn’t stand out, we will see❤

  • @mypondlife
    @mypondlife 4 месяца назад +3

    I could easily have had another hour of this LOL.

  • @heppolo
    @heppolo 4 месяца назад +4

    Some may not be ready for that conversation, but João's entry in Portugal...if and only if he can do it live.

    • @AlesiaMichelle
      @AlesiaMichelle  4 месяца назад +4

      I'd be here for that conversation, but yes we need to see it live: But it could do something....

  • @ysteinlwer235
    @ysteinlwer235 4 месяца назад

    This is so in depth for ESC-connoisseurs, so spot on... Being posted before Belgium's entry was released, I believe Mustii's entry fits right into the "when you hear it, you know it's gonna win" category.

  • @jjkiely6827
    @jjkiely6827 4 месяца назад +47

    I think Oh Boy by Ryk for Germany is a potential winner!

    • @GaryWalshDublin
      @GaryWalshDublin 4 месяца назад +9

      I agree. I really hope he wins the German contest

    • @revolution9095
      @revolution9095 4 месяца назад +8

      Why do I feel like this is where we're going? 😁

    • @thinesajayy
      @thinesajayy 4 месяца назад +6

      YES!! So glad someone’s saying it, been listening to it non stop ❤❤

    • @teddytete.mp3
      @teddytete.mp3 4 месяца назад +1

      Nah. It's my favorite but it won't do shit in the televote. Australia 2022

    • @jjkiely6827
      @jjkiely6827 4 месяца назад +1

      ​@@teddytete.mp3oh ye of little faith!😀

  • @CarlosBosca
    @CarlosBosca 4 месяца назад

    @AlesiaMichelle I think that at this stage of Eurovision 2024 pre-selections we can already say it`s being an anomaly year when it comes to music, apart from the world context and unrest. With that said, it seems like there isn`t a firm contender for the win (unlike 2023 with Loreen) or a specific musical genre standing out. There`s been kinda shift of musical pattern in recent years, since we`ve turned from ethnic entries to more "generic" songs. It feels like the "freak age" or the dark years of the second half of the 2000' s are coming back again and I personally wouldn`t want to see that again, and I must remark I enjoyed Lordi`s victory back in 2006. But to my Eurofan experience, any country except for Israel could hold the glass microphone in May.
    I really love the excellent work you`ve done in these years and you`re still doing, keep it going! 😍😍😍
    Let`s go Nebulossa!!!
    💪💪💪💪
    Sorry if my English is not accurate. Kisses from a Spanish eurofan since 2006 🥰🥰🥰

  • @constantineliverakos1950
    @constantineliverakos1950 4 месяца назад +2

    I believe this year winner will be Greece or UK. Both this two countries send very good singers, and very different one an another. I can wait to listen to this two songs, will released in March.

    • @AlesiaMichelle
      @AlesiaMichelle  4 месяца назад +2

      I need songs before I get comfy with a proclamation

  • @pagaporvista569
    @pagaporvista569 4 месяца назад +6

    France and Italy are my favorites right now. I think they will both do well.

  • @shawnverbonac5971
    @shawnverbonac5971 4 месяца назад +5

    I am very, very drunk off the Kool-aid 💀

  • @Frederic1406
    @Frederic1406 4 месяца назад

    Alesia, an age long loyal fan of yours here.
    I see copycats often happen with top 5 entries but not so much with the winner. We have had several Fuego songs, several songs with dance breaks (Slomo). A consistent thing to copy is a Sanremo style of performance like male or female solo singer with an emotional ballad. To me this is good to stand out and be top 10 but not for winning because you miss the X factor.
    I am feeling a disruptor could come. And I am feeling someone more mature could be that disruptor. Loreen was 39 I think last year. Some seasoned artitst in their 40s (or even 50s) could be that disrupter.

  • @volkangurbuz701
    @volkangurbuz701 4 месяца назад +13

    I really hope, we send Ryk - Oh Boy 🤞

  • @kpop2476
    @kpop2476 4 месяца назад +6

    Ryk please ❤❤❤

  • @trildi
    @trildi 4 месяца назад

    Amazing analysis. At this point, looking at the remaining 24 countries to yet release a song, it might finally be time for Australia 😆If it's Danii, we might just get a Kylie-type song to lose our heads over haha

  • @samuraj2910
    @samuraj2910 4 месяца назад

    It could go into two possible directions: very quiet ballad about hope or an upbeat pop. First, because we can not underestimate the effects of the war in the middle east on europe’s collective psychology. Having said that, the upbeat pop could win from the similar reasons: people are tired and need something to lift them up a little. I would agree that Italy have sent Irama, male power ballad, maybe he could have fit in in that prediction of yours about patterns. He had such a powerful presence on stage. However NS sometimes have a problem, because the cultural preferance for the particular preformers could inspire people to vote for their winner but could miss the potential winner of ESC.

  • @mattfiddler7690
    @mattfiddler7690 4 месяца назад +10

    I think this year Norway can win because it is something new and also the same time that has its roots in the tradition of a nation with a genre that is not at all obvious like classic ballads or euro-trash pop songs.

  • @liamkampff1
    @liamkampff1 4 месяца назад

    For me winner potential breaks down to
    1. Uniqueness
    2. Execution
    3. Context of the year it's competing as well as previous winner

  • @stevieboy666
    @stevieboy666 4 месяца назад

    What I will say is I think there is an opportunity for someone to win if they absolutely nail the staging. Sweden 2015 comes to mind as a reference. I haven’t heard a song this year that can win with an average stage show.

  • @Tomdoeslife_oui
    @Tomdoeslife_oui 4 месяца назад +2

    Your pronunciation of Joost is great

  • @M12534
    @M12534 4 месяца назад +2

    24:06 girl I can’t 😂

  • @KieranLikesCake
    @KieranLikesCake 4 месяца назад +4

    I hope something more risky wins this year

  • @davidsweden6932
    @davidsweden6932 4 месяца назад +13

    Italy Is now the only possibile winner.
    Upper level song and stage standing

    • @AlesiaMichelle
      @AlesiaMichelle  4 месяца назад +6

      For now maybe but it is early and that direct competition is heating up and waiting to emerge from the wings.

  • @karlssonhermes
    @karlssonhermes 4 месяца назад

    Loreen/Euphoria was the ABBA/Waterloo of the 2010s. It brought that much-needed serious contemporary pop vibe Eurovision was really lacking the years prior.

  • @davidbenjamin3714
    @davidbenjamin3714 4 месяца назад +5

    as die hard fan of ESC could Bambie thug be a disruptor? also watch the space on Denmark as that could be a winning pattern since they won in 2013 just speculating/thinking out loud

    • @AlesiaMichelle
      @AlesiaMichelle  4 месяца назад +8

      The Denmark threat was real... but I don't think this line=up could get it done unfortunately. I would be SO HERE for a Bambie disruptor, I think it might be unlikely to happen but I'm hopeful for it. Bambie is BOLD DIFFERENT and I really believe Ireland is back in the final.

    • @davidbenjamin3714
      @davidbenjamin3714 4 месяца назад +2

      as an Irish van I think Bambie has clear blueprints of a vision but as our national selection is rubbish for many years as it underestimate the first impression of this song
      I saw Bambie at download festival last year and has a HUGE stage presence to break Ireland's non qualifying curse to grand final fingers crossed

  • @andreas74764
    @andreas74764 4 месяца назад

    I think Mans' win in 2015 was also a turning point in Eurovision. Introducing LED Screens and Animation as a key staging element to elevate a song

  • @ITerrivel
    @ITerrivel 4 месяца назад +1

    Prepare yourself, because Portugal is coming with Iolanda (Grito), what a song!

    • @AlesiaMichelle
      @AlesiaMichelle  4 месяца назад +2

      Interview coming soon...

    • @AlesiaMichelle
      @AlesiaMichelle  4 месяца назад +2

      Oh I'm ready: ruclips.net/video/MouIYmV65P0/видео.html
      Check out my interview with her.

  • @abbyroed
    @abbyroed 4 месяца назад +2

    I loved Eurovision in the Early Noughties. There were some bangers that came out of that era! This year feels very Female Pop Diva Heavy. This year I just want to dance! The songs I'm wild for right now are United Kingdom, Spain, Italy, Ukraine, guuurl Albania. Chile 💅 Albania always gets me. France's entry is male, it's a ballad, it's for some people. Not, for me. And, I acknowledge that it's a refreshing entry from the sea that's out there. The spitting in the video kinda grosses me out, wish they had selected a different part of the video clip. If, we are going to get Male powerhouses it's probably going to come from the Baltics, or Greece, or Cypress. What is Germany doing?

    • @esccse30
      @esccse30 4 месяца назад +1

      Chile is not participating and Greece sends female artist 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂

  • @aengusprice8869
    @aengusprice8869 4 месяца назад

    I feel like there is also something to be said for a countries track record.
    With hosting for example no one would be angry if we got another year like Liverpool 2023 but people might hesitate in going back to say turin 2022, so fans may be less likely to vote for a country likely to deliver a poor show if they win. Just some thoughts myself and some other eurovision friends came up with.

  • @GospodinNelson
    @GospodinNelson 4 месяца назад +8

    I often see comments like "No one is like him/her, they're gonna stand out and win", but that can go in two totally different directions. If several entries are in same sphere, but they are staged in excellent way so that they all become contenders that one "other song" could just be left in dust doing its own thing. The moment when "that song" becomes contender is when others are not executed in such a good way that people fight for them to win. With that said I actually think this year's overall winner will be a woman and that it will be something epic and powerful. Women have been clearly carrying this year's national final season and music industry in the world in general and dominated in almost every national final this year, and several internally selected female artists are very skilled performers, so I just think 2024 will give us another female winner.
    I think that out of confirmed songs Norway and Slovenia could be contenders for the win and Ireland is a dark horse that could potentially pull Finland 2006, and I think the fact that Sweden came for them last year is doing them a big favor and this year they somehow overcame themselves and brought something authentic and original, so the stars could really align for them. Other countries which could be winner contenders are Greece, potentially Serbia and Italy, and Switzerland is obviously cooking something in silence. If we're gonna have a male winner with a power ballad (which is possible cause ESC can be a six sided dice game) it's gonna be Latvia. I truly felt winner vibes in Supernova final performance and something which could captivate both jury and televoting.

    • @AlesiaMichelle
      @AlesiaMichelle  4 месяца назад +6

      Okay- I hear you on the potential for another woman to take the crown. I don't think it's impossible but the fight to STAND out will be tough. I love the mention of Switzerland because they are dropping crumbs that could be really promising: I don't want to count them out, but I'll need to taste the sauce. Greece and Serbia could DEFINITELY "WOW" us some I am buckled up for that.
      BUT! I think if Germany selects Ryk, he's going to best Dons when it comes to the studio cut. I think "Oh Boy" is far more ambitious and modern of a studio cut than "Hollow" even though it is perfectly fine and executed well.

    • @GospodinNelson
      @GospodinNelson 2 месяца назад

      ​@@AlesiaMichelle
      So Switzerland kept Eurovision winner in the end 😏

  • @verakuipers3605
    @verakuipers3605 4 месяца назад +1

    If this was an anomaly year, maybe something with a message of hope could win too. I’am thinking about something like Iceland 2022.
    The world is now in a nihilistic and escapist state, so maybe something optimistic is appreciated.

    • @AlesiaMichelle
      @AlesiaMichelle  4 месяца назад +1

      Nice point... I don't know if we have that song yet, but even more reason that if we got one it'd stand out.

    • @wysteria6571
      @wysteria6571 4 месяца назад +1

      @@AlesiaMichelle Teya Dora’s Ramonda does have that message (of rebirth and hope)but it need to have an immaculate staging that will depict its story and message to the public

  • @ImStevan
    @ImStevan 4 месяца назад +6

    Teya Dora is coming for it

    • @AlesiaMichelle
      @AlesiaMichelle  4 месяца назад +7

      mmmmmmmmkay GURL.

    • @sav0001
      @sav0001 4 месяца назад +2

      She won't even PZE IMO

  • @knutagon
    @knutagon 4 месяца назад +1

    If Roseelu wins DMGP I believe, Denmark can win 👀
    It has Euphoria Vibes, and is that perfect blend between Power Ballad & Eurodance

  • @karlssonhermes
    @karlssonhermes 4 месяца назад

    Sidenote after hearing all your points in this video, I really think AND want LITHUANIA to win!!!

    • @AlesiaMichelle
      @AlesiaMichelle  4 месяца назад

      Haha! I wouldn't be mad at that AT ALL.

  • @beyondgod414
    @beyondgod414 4 месяца назад

    Its time for small countries to start winning finally, people focus on france, germany, sweden and all those other but small countries with good entries are forgotten. May lithuania win this year

  • @drakonius95
    @drakonius95 4 месяца назад +2

    I wonder if Estonia will go safe this year and choose Daniel Levi - Over the moon... it could do well with the juries and kinda give this Salvador vibe

    • @AlesiaMichelle
      @AlesiaMichelle  4 месяца назад +5

      I really hope not.... Daniel is giving Sam Ryder dupe . But Really I just want to be able to keep saying PuuuuuuuuuuuuuLUUUUUUUUPPP in every video :-P [jokes]

    • @sav0001
      @sav0001 4 месяца назад +2

      5minuust is landsliding Eesti Laul this year

    • @drakonius95
      @drakonius95 4 месяца назад +1

      @@sav0001 we used to say it about many Eesti Laul participants in the past. We have to keep in mind that EL organisers love to pull some string through the jury

  • @alexandrasgarn
    @alexandrasgarn 4 месяца назад +7

    I GOT A NEW VIDEO I GOT A NEW VIDEO ALESIA MICHELLE (HEY GIRL) i'm ready to go. (how you feeling) EUROVISION FAM? are you ready for the show? (ahahhihihihi)
    I catch myself singing that way more during eurovision season than any of the actual eurovision songs with all the good content you provide 🤸

  • @cherrycolouredshades
    @cherrycolouredshades 4 месяца назад

    honestly i think there’s a big chance we get a 2022 situation, we’re gonna sit around speculating while ukraine is the obv winner all along. they had very good televote score last year when the song itself seemed to have very few supporters. you can imagine what’ll be this time
    i get the need to identify patterns and to some extent they may be valid, but i think it’s way more relevant to analyse the current context and what we know about this years’ songs. at the end of the day it’s a math equation. and what the people really want isn’t guaranteed to end up winning (people pretty clearly wanted kaarija last year, and not loreen)
    but yeah overall, ukraine taken apart from the discussion, males should have an upper hand this year

  • @merimalicina635
    @merimalicina635 4 месяца назад

    What's interesting for me is that people are very divided on who's going to win, there seems to be no clear favourite so far, except for the odds pointing to Croatia. Here's my thoughts:
    - Italy is going to be up against Greece, Malta, Cyprus, and Luxemburg. My mind is not made up yet, but I feel the momentum is gonna be on Greece, either way none of the countries will accumulate enough points to win the whole thing because they are very similar and hit the same public vote. I could see the Jury favouring Italy out of the other 4 but not the Tele-vote.
    - Potential winner pot following the patterns that you mentioned (which I agree on): Croatia, Switzerland, the Netherlands, Belgium and perhaps Lithuania. Now this is interesting because they are going to attract the same crowd (as UK, Estonia and Finland but all three are out of winner competition). So the tele-vote will be very indecisive though I could see it favouring the Netherlands or Croatia. The winner will be one which accumulates enough points from the Tele-vote and the Jury, and I think Switzerland is capable of both. Either way I think a lot of countries will get very few points from the Tele- vote because of this strong pot.
    - Winner vibes but unlikely to win: Ukraine and France
    - Winner: Switzerland with both Jury and Tele-vote but not winning either or Croatia winning a landslide in the Tele-vote

  • @lenamyhre3109
    @lenamyhre3109 4 месяца назад

    Norway 🎉🎉🎉🎉❤

  • @kon6708
    @kon6708 4 месяца назад +1

    Pronunciation tip for Joost Klein: Joost rhymes with boast and the J is pronounced like "Y", and Klein rhymes with fine

  • @firephonix7293
    @firephonix7293 4 месяца назад +6

    Even before I heard the snippet of "Dizzy" I was already biased towards the UK's victory for this year. After 2022 and seeing how fantastic of a performance Sam Ryder gave us, as well as how brilliant Mae Muller's performance was (disregarding vocals) only to see her end up in 25th place left a bad taste in my mouth. After 2 years of pure winner level quality I'm craving the UK's victory. And after the royal disaster that was the 2022 show from bad arena lighting, to so many camera fails, to the main focal point of the stage breaking before the show was horrible. Then seeing how amazing of a show the BBC put on in Liverpool left me desperate for them to host again, just for the pure fantastic show quality. Olly Alexander has so much momentum that if his song really isn't a radio friendly song and a much more impactful one, he could have this in the bag.

    • @AlesiaMichelle
      @AlesiaMichelle  4 месяца назад +2

      and I don't think you're alone in this sentiment.

  • @GabrielEduardo
    @GabrielEduardo 4 месяца назад

    You know what? I am gonna say it! Yes, I will! I hope Nebulossa does take the win this year at least the top 5 will be. Idk, I can really see it.

    • @AlesiaMichelle
      @AlesiaMichelle  4 месяца назад +2

      I think folks are slightly underrating Spain this year...

    • @kapijo
      @kapijo 4 месяца назад

      be serious 5 minutes I like the studio song but she sings so badly it is intended for the bottom 5

    • @GabrielEduardo
      @GabrielEduardo 4 месяца назад

      @@kapijo I disagree. I think the song is good. And im not mad about the voice. Kaajira was also not a vocalist and he end up is second place.

    • @kapijo
      @kapijo 4 месяца назад

      uh but the comparison with kaarija is a bit too much the song has much less impact

  • @Arriba_ftv
    @Arriba_ftv 4 месяца назад +3

    I think Europe is still on the let's have some fun mood, specially after last year results. Which one of those will come on top and how much they will hurt each other? we'll see. I think baby lasagna could take it if it is well executed live and chosen lol

  • @drwood728
    @drwood728 4 месяца назад

    Womp womp Ryk

  • @doyourmath826
    @doyourmath826 4 месяца назад

    If *that song* from a national finale gets into eurovision can you tell us, which one it was🥰

  • @Uil7686
    @Uil7686 4 месяца назад +1

    The Netherlands performer you pronounce like: Yo - st

  • @JunzeShen
    @JunzeShen 4 месяца назад +1

    It truly feels like a college level course on Eurovision

    • @AlesiaMichelle
      @AlesiaMichelle  4 месяца назад +4

      Eurovision should be a course!

    • @GospodinNelson
      @GospodinNelson 4 месяца назад +1

      ​@@AlesiaMichelle
      You should create an online Eurovision course and sell it on Internet 😂

    • @sav0001
      @sav0001 4 месяца назад +1

      @@AlesiaMichelle Australia has a Eurovision course in one of our universities lol

  • @PennyAfNorberg
    @PennyAfNorberg 4 месяца назад

    Look at winners in sweden, denmark and norway is common.

  • @ESCJenn
    @ESCJenn 4 месяца назад

    23:52 hahahaha Joost Klein 🤣 it’s uhmm.. Yoast Kline

    • @Maria_muziekjes
      @Maria_muziekjes 4 месяца назад

      You pronounce the oo in Joost as the o in host or ghost

  • @MrNixtt
    @MrNixtt 4 месяца назад

    Marina Sati Greece ❤

  • @manuelferreira6838
    @manuelferreira6838 4 месяца назад

    At the moment, I think EBU is beting on France as most strong to win and gave already Eurovision Junior to Spain, not to have both competition in France. But, we will see.

    • @AlesiaMichelle
      @AlesiaMichelle  4 месяца назад

      Giving it to Spain I think was moreso because they've already hosted JESC so frequently. But, an interesting thought.

  • @tonyttt31
    @tonyttt31 4 месяца назад

    When you speak about Austria 2014, do you feel that the performance wasn't winner worthy? The song is ok but the performance was great - I'm just stunned when I watch it - even still.

    • @AlesiaMichelle
      @AlesiaMichelle  4 месяца назад +2

      The song: ehhhhh. The live performance: yes... But there were combos that year that had both.

    • @Maria_muziekjes
      @Maria_muziekjes 4 месяца назад

      Calm after the storm was amazing too, that staging❤️

  • @jockey7069
    @jockey7069 4 месяца назад +3

    So far absolutely nothing honestly. I never had a year where I didn't instantly felt like "ok this intro is already giving winner"

  • @jeroenmeuleman8110
    @jeroenmeuleman8110 4 месяца назад

    You kind of sort of pronounce 'Joost' as 'Yoast' (I'm a native Dutch speaker)

  • @iyawakarehen
    @iyawakarehen 4 месяца назад

    the way you say slimane's is taking me out lmao, the a is a AAAh not a o-ish sounding noise 🥲

  • @petepeto9335
    @petepeto9335 4 месяца назад +1

    No rules 💪💪🕺🕺

  • @JustSaying001
    @JustSaying001 4 месяца назад +1

    ❤🇺🇦

  • @firephonix7293
    @firephonix7293 4 месяца назад +4

    Little Dutch lesson for you Alecia.
    when you see two o's next to each other (oo) it is pronounced as the name of the letter O. For example like in the word "floor". So Joost's name is pronounced "yOe-st" and then "Klein" is just how Calvin Klein is pronounced.

    • @im.joeyb.
      @im.joeyb. 4 месяца назад +2

      I'm Dutch and it's not pronounced like that at all. "Yoast kline" is the closest way for an English-speaker to pronounce it. Pronouncing it with an "o" sound as in "floor" would make his name sound like "Jost." "Oo" is the Dutch equivalent to the English "oa."

    • @firephonix7293
      @firephonix7293 4 месяца назад

      @@im.joeyb. the “oe” was me trying to figure out how to spell how it sounds so I came up with using the rule where “e” at the end of a word is supposed to make the speaker say the vowel before its name for example “bare” or “knife”
      The example of how “oo” sounds in Dutch that I was using was “boos”

    • @AlesiaMichelle
      @AlesiaMichelle  4 месяца назад +2

      I am so throrughly confused. I will wait for the interview, cuz Ima have to hear it LOL. Thank you for trying to help me tho I really do appreciate it.

    • @im.joeyb.
      @im.joeyb. 4 месяца назад

      @@AlesiaMichelle Use Google Translate. Might be easier too. 😂

    • @volkangurbuz701
      @volkangurbuz701 4 месяца назад

      In Germany, we spell the name differently haha

  • @FeeESC
    @FeeESC 4 месяца назад +1

    Joost is pronounced like 'Yoast' 😂😂

  • @anthonylabrum4095
    @anthonylabrum4095 4 месяца назад

    Spain.
    This isnt a great year tbh for songs but spain is amazinf

  • @broerbier
    @broerbier 4 месяца назад

    Joost is pronounced as host, with a J instead of an H

  • @davidbenjamin3714
    @davidbenjamin3714 4 месяца назад +1

    I don't get why i'm not buying into Olly from the UK as winning song
    The UK keeps sending the same vanilla disco pop track that is off mainstream radio that never clicks with ESC And I just think it will still continue to streak of during poor in the grand final would love to be proven wrong

    • @AlesiaMichelle
      @AlesiaMichelle  4 месяца назад +1

      I think we need to give Olly the benefit a full fist listen before we write it off.

    • @davidbenjamin3714
      @davidbenjamin3714 4 месяца назад

      @@AlesiaMichelle
      it's a very strong projection of mine not writing the song off at all as competition I just want to know why everyone thinks it's going to win or do well at the grand final it just seems to overhyped

  • @boscabruscairgang
    @boscabruscairgang 4 месяца назад +5

    The thing about Italy, is they don't care if they win Eurovision or not. They see Eurovision as a 3rd rate song contest compared to Sanremo. This is why they don't put any imagination or effort into their staging.

    • @AlesiaMichelle
      @AlesiaMichelle  4 месяца назад +4

      I know- which is why I'm not dusting off my Italian flag this year as of now... I gotta get a whiff of what they are cooking up.

    • @alessshorts
      @alessshorts 4 месяца назад

      I’m Italian but don’t live there, it’s a shame if this is the case.. although maneskins staging in 2021 was something else..

    • @MultiSky7
      @MultiSky7 4 месяца назад +1

      @@AlesiaMichelle Marta Dona was/is manager behind Moneskin, Marco Mengoni and Angelina. She knows her job.

  • @aleksapetkovic8722
    @aleksapetkovic8722 4 месяца назад

    Serbia dark horse!

  • @tonyttt31
    @tonyttt31 4 месяца назад +2

    Where do you think the weakness is in Norway's path to winning? Norway do well in the televote. If jury and televote both but Norway top 3 then there's a path.....what do you think?

    • @AlesiaMichelle
      @AlesiaMichelle  4 месяца назад +3

      I think my "pause" is I am not sure how televoters will treat it. There are so many act blatantly courting the televote there won't (potentially) be much to spread around AND I never trust the juries with entries like this. I think it qualifies I think it's possibly top 10 but the are bumps in the road.

    • @tonyttt31
      @tonyttt31 4 месяца назад

      @@AlesiaMichelle True. The juries didn't exactly go for Spain last year.

    • @4kmusicvideosperformances154
      @4kmusicvideosperformances154 4 месяца назад

      @@AlesiaMichelle My guess is 75% chance for Top 10, 50% chance for Top 5, 25% chance for Top 3, 5% chance for Winner. Top 11-15? Probably also 25% chance, it is one of those acts that is extremely hard to predict.

  • @Luisbrgt85
    @Luisbrgt85 4 месяца назад

    Spain has all the potential!

  • @Bandido894
    @Bandido894 4 месяца назад +9

    Ukraine again, this time pure because the song. No need sympathy.

    • @esccse30
      @esccse30 4 месяца назад +9

      No. Its pure sympathy again. Song is boring, my opinion.

    • @Bandido894
      @Bandido894 4 месяца назад

      @@esccse30 That was 2022. 😉

    • @MultiSky7
      @MultiSky7 4 месяца назад +1

      @@Bandido894 No, that's every year. I'm sick and tired of their propaganda.
      I am from Bosnia/Croatia. When my country was at war, the ESC was the last thing on our minds.
      No body gave sh*t about ESC and yet they never missed a single one.
      Their absurd lies that they have to "listen to the ESC over the radio in the bunker" BS - and there you have Bono at the same time holding a concert in the Kyev metro.
      They never missed one, they're there every year all set up with the staging, the best led effects, the best pyro all tip-top. So, no, it's every year - lies and playing on emotions.

    • @MultiSky7
      @MultiSky7 4 месяца назад +1

      @@Bandido894 Nope. It's every year.

    • @siaG-sn6zj
      @siaG-sn6zj 4 месяца назад +1

      @@MultiSky7 A little bit of respect wouldn’t hurt. If a country wants to present their culture at the big stage, I see no problem with it whatsoever. That’s the beauty of it - you have 36 other songs to vote for. What I can’t seem to understand is spreading hatred, cause that comment ain’t criticism.

  • @MrGiancana
    @MrGiancana 4 месяца назад +2

    Diasphora - remember there are millions of ukrainian refugees all over Europe, they will vote for ukraine. So the betting odds may be right.

    • @AlesiaMichelle
      @AlesiaMichelle  4 месяца назад

      But the jury still has 50% power and they aren't going to put this entry in the top 3- maybe top 5 but Idts...

    • @MrGiancana
      @MrGiancana 4 месяца назад

      Maaneskin won from juryplace 4@@AlesiaMichelle