If you want to find me on social media, I recommend Mastodon. Find me as @anderspuck@krigskunst.social. I do have accounts on other networks like LinkedIn and Facebook, but I am not nearly as active as on Mastodon.
@@andrewworth4810 It is a disputed term but I use it in lack of a better word. If you are interested, I made a video about what hybrid warfare is. ruclips.net/video/mVj-AbXIUZc/видео.html
Your opinions are really appreciated and extremely informative, could you explain what hybrid warfare actually in a technical, physical and psychological way. The Nord Stream ws probably an act of self harm as is all the pipe line explosions within Russia to frighten the Russian people, so what are examples of hybrid warfare that are to frighten the west, the obvious one is the use of nukes but what else has Russia done.?
@@plasticjock1090 I wouldn't say that nukes are hybrid. It's more about combining military and non-military means to achieve military results. And to do it below the threshold of actual war. Here is an example from before Russia's invasion of Ukraine, where I look at Belarus' use of refugees as a weapon against Poland and Lithuania. ruclips.net/video/_6wQzxTu01I/видео.html
A really good sentiment I read was something to the effect of “the value of education isn’t just about knowing facts, but achieving clarity of thought.” Every time I watch Anders, my worldview gets updated with bit of Anders’ clarity of thought on war, and that is priceless.
So thrilled to see a new video from you after such a long time! Your unique style and amazing content always leave us inspired and entertained. Your dedication and hard work truly shine through in every video. Can't wait to see what other amazing creations you have in store for us. Keep up the fantastic work!
Yes we have ignored it. And I've had my nose rubbed in it. Ex-customer of my company used to be broke to the point that he was on benefits in 2013. I know this since he had to hand over his full financial records as part of a government background check. He made news headlines in 2014 when he campaigned against the Association Treaty with Ukraine, specifically using toiletpaper rolls with slogans on it. He collaborated with the pro-Russian gossipblogger and alround POS human being Jan Roos. Now since 2013 he has acquired real estate totaling 38 properties and is making a comfortable living ruthlessly exploiting tenants. My jobs was to clean that up and make it according to regulations, something he kept going back on. Not an easy enforcement. Then after the 2022 'official invasion' he's back to Russian campaigning and came to our office to talk about what we could do 'about government corruption' (destabilisation through undermining trust in the democratic government). By then I was aware of his pro-Russian involvement. I volunteered back in early march, but Ukrainians rejected my application, so that's where I stand. Let's just say things got a bit heated, police attended and he's now very squarely an ex-customer, his records were handed over to the intelligence agencies as I can't abide traitors. Not they're going to do a damn thing about Russia's infiltration, but at least they have records to prove you can make millions being a Russian infiltrator.
Good to hear that you acted with such high integrity! It’s rarely against any laws to spread disinformation, but it’s always interesting when someone who does it starts accumulating extra wealth!
Yet nothing is done to russian oligarchs and their families ALL of which live in NATO countries. Confiscated money isn't going to Ukraine and West still blocks fighter jets purchases with excuse after excuse.
Interesting perspective on this topic. A war is difficult to follow in real-time as it occurs, even with modern technology putting cameras everywhere, but hybrid warfare is even more obscure for the average civilian trying to observe it. I hadn't even considered that the West might be intentionally downplaying these attacks or whatever one might call them. As always, a pleasure to watch one of your videos. Nice to see the production values getting a little bump as well, looks much more professional now! Hope to see more videos from you soon, even if you are understandably quite busy these days.
it depends which information you get and in which countries you follow the news, facts are that if you remember the Russians cut the gas to EU countries, one by one, to blackmail us into not helping Ukraine, this was predictable, because if you remember Ukraine's color revolution in 2004, the first thing the Russians did was cutting the gas to Ukraine and make people freeze for not voting for the pro Russian candidate , this is why in all contracts the other countries have signed since, there was a clause that the Russians have to pay a huge compensation if they would cut the gas out of spite over some political event, this is why they played a stupid game with the turbines first, remember? broken down, repair, delay, wrong export paperwork, and so on, when this was exhausted the Russians blew up the pipeline, for 2 reasons, first to escape the compensation payments and second to test NATO's article 5 reaction, as the pipeline is located in NATO territory, and to not give Putin the pleasure of a NATO reaction, we are pretending we don't know who did it, we need to investigate, and to Putin's despair the story disappeared from official news outlets🤡which has let to endless screaming from the Russian side, every week they accuse somebody else, first it was the US, then the UK and now they switched back to the US, the Russians are desperately trying to keep the story in the news, with little success, of course this story has not been explained widely and has left many people confused, by the way, the same happened with the missile that landed in Poland and killed 2 people, the closest to the truth in mainstream news is Polish State tv in English, if you want to check-TVP world
The most clear evidence I have for this approach is how the attack on Poland with Air Defence missiles was handled: I expected everyone to be super determined to establish the culpability of Russia but the opposite happened: everyone tripped over each other to say this was a missile of Ukrainian origin.
@@Viggo_Frb Yup, that one was pretty obvious. Also how Ukraine was brought in line. First they insisted very much that it wasn't them and then they apparently got convinced that it wasn't in their/our interest to play it up as a Russian attack on NATO. I agree with Anders: if Russia wants NATO to respond, they will have to get much more direct. But of course Russia doesn't want to really start a war with NATO; they just want something they can point at and claim as NATO aggression.
@@harmless6813 Exactly. It was extremely fast and without any formal investigation at all that the US found out that the rocket was of Ukrainian origin - and then soon thereafter everyone agreed... NATO also refused to institute a no-fly zone. Agree that we won't see any military action of NATO outside NATO territory. If Russia wants a war with Nato they will need to physically assault (and I don't think they are suicidal enough to do that).
I continue to be impressed by Anders's analysis and agree, let's leave confirmation of who destroyed the Nord Stream pipeline until after Russia's war against Ukraine is over.
That's a lot like saying let's not worry about whether Iraqi WMD were a lie to to start a war until after the Iraq war is over. This Anders guy is blatant NATO disinformation. A very detailed explanation of how the US was behind the NS sabotage has just come out and now he's saying look away. Forget about NS until after the war is over.
I'm always left more-reassured about all things pertaining to this war after Anders Puck Nielsen posts a new video. Anders, your fantastic presentation skills, even tone and logical explanation can make sense of the most obscure and confounding events being done or considered by this madman putin. Thank you for taking the time to prepare another episode. Don't go away so long, please!
The reason we don't react is that none of these alleged Russian hybrid attacks do much damage to anything. Somebody blew up a pipeline we were not using and probably would never use again anyway. That's not the kind of thing that sends people marching in the streets.
For years they were against this pipeline. They announced to end this pipeline. They have the means to end this pipeline. They don’t want to talk about this pipeline any longer. In front of a judge, you would need a really good lawyer to walk away free.
I really don't know what to think, because it's hard these days to trust out politicians, but I imagine security services are wiser enough than to start noise over something that has no impact. I imagine for a lot of them this is like they un-scheduled quality/security check. "Oh, we got hacked yesterday by Russia? Was Johnny sleeping again?"
Regarding cyber attacks - it really hard to know for sure who did them. Also, because some groups of hackers are freelancing even if you know it is a group based in russia, you may noy know if it was govrenment sponsored or independent.
It's a good thing he announced his stance on Nord Stream in the beginning. The rest of the video one may then ponder whether he actually believe what he's saying or if he's simply a shill doing what he's paid to do. Considering the nature of his squirming I suppose there's actually a fair chance he is a believer. I don't know whether Seymour Hersh got it right or might have been fed a false narrative in order to force a later contraction and so tarnish the idea of US involvement in the sabotage of Nord Stream. Hersh does have a track record though suggesting he knows what he's doing and I would lean towards the former but in the end it does not change anything on the ground. The idea that Russia would have sabotaged Nord Stream is simply nonsensical in any case. The reason western governments might not acknowledge hybrid attacks is presumably that they fear a public backlash and would rather lie to their citizens than allow them to make informed decisions. The average man does not really fancy having to worry about being poisoned or blown up on his way to work simply because of the actions undertaken by his government in Ukraine or Russia. Suppose there was indeed a Russian hybrid attack resulting in a fair amount of casualties. Perhaps the population would be outraged and demand revenge. Or perhaps the population would demand a withdrawal from Ukraine. Either way the style of the Government would be cramped as they'd be under pressure to escalate or retreat. Governments do not really like that. They'd rather be free to pursue whatever unfortunate policy they've decided on and preferably with the least possible amount of criticism or accountability. For a government to congratulate themselves on absolutely doing the right thing which surely must be successful while telling themselves the citizens must not know anything however as it might interfere with this glorious victory parade would be completely in character. It's curious to see how such an arguably distasteful and undemocratic approach to government is not only acknowledged but also basically endorsed by this man. It suggests a pro-establishment perspective through and through.
Watching an Anders Puck Nielsen video on this subject is like taking a mental health day. There is so much disinformation and propaganda constantly generated that it is highly valuable for a real expert who knows how to decipher it all to clear up all the smoke.
When the idea of Russia being driven out of Ukraine by the Ukrainians seemed far fetched it was fine for him to backhandedly scoff at the Kremlin' daring to chose a nuclear option. But that Russia loses conventionally seems a real possibility now, and nuclear weapons may well have utility for the Kremlin in rapidly developing losing endgame for them. Anders is trying to have it both ways with his talk of uncertainty and fear being part of a Russian psychological stratagem. There are some things, such as what the Kremlin would do with its theatre thermonuclear weapons in such an increasingly likely losing endgame for them, that have uncertain yet nonetheless credible outcomes it is wise to fear.
@@seancidy6008 I don't remember Mr. Nielsen scoffing at anything. He presents the facts as he sees them in as objective terms as he can based on his extensive knowledge and experience in this area. I think he is one of the most rational voices in this entire crisis. As for a Russian loss in Ukraine heightening the possibilities of Russia using nuclear weapons, what would a Russian victory do there. All indications are this is about far more than Russian ambitions in Ukraine. This extends to Central Europe and beyond. Into nations that are part of NATO like the Baltic States and Poland. A Russian victory in Ukraine could make a direct conflict between Russia and NATO more likely. Mr. Nielsen isn't trying to "have it both ways" any analysis of something as uncertain as a conflict this complex is going to have significant error factors. He's saying he doesn't know what is going to happen then giving his best assessment of what might happen. Also the ramifications of Russia using ANY WMDs in Ukraine are global not local. Russia would be locking itself out of economic and diplomatic relationships that would leave it even more isolated than North Korea. The long term consequences to Russia of using WMDs in Ukraine would be worse than a conventional loss there. So yes, Russia is almost certainly using the threat of nuclear weapons as a form of hybrid warfare that it is in our best interests in the west to ignore as we continue to support the nation of Ukraine in its defense. And given the questionable reliability of many Russian weapons systems we've seen in this war including a large number of catastrophic missiles malfunctions, would Russian commanders even be willing to deploy nuclear systems for fear of hitting Russian populations. That has been a major downside in this war for Russia, most speculation of how well designed and maintained Russian weapons systems are over. And the answer is not well.
@@seancidy6008 Doug Coombes answered you in great detail. Only one thing I like to ad, China. China is currently the country benefitting the most from the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty system currently in place. As the NPT keeps Chinas very capable adversaries from getting nukes themselves, Countries like Taiwan,South Korea and Japan have the capability to develop nuclear weapons and their delivery systems in short order without external input. That means that if Russia uses the Bomb in Ukraine and gets away with it, it wouldnt only kill Ukranians but also the current and all future attempts at a NPT. So in short Nothing will be holding Chinas neighbours back from developing nuclear weapons, wich will end Chinas ambitions on its neighbours. China knows this and much points to Russia being informed by China on this fact. A Russian Nuclear use in Ukraine results in for China: *A need to punish Russia to the extreme, severing all ecconomic ties is probably not enough. Look for direct destabilisation wich might be followed by military interventions,or: China must accept its status in the world as only a regional power on par with Brazil. Faced with the latter choice i belive the Chinese leadership would throw Putin under the bus without hesitation, Nuclear Non profliferation in Chinas own back yard is imensely more important to Bejing.
@@petermagnus9919 yes, this is a brilliant explanation, thank you, the second point against the nuclear option is the fact that if the Russians nuke Ukraine, they would also contaminate the most valuable part of Russia, the South West agricultural region of Rostov that feeds half of Russia and the Black Sea coast where Putin and his cronies have their Palaces in Sochi
@@seancidy6008 Sergei, when you lie, make sure your target has at least said what you alledge. Also no Sergei, your beloved Putler isn't nuking Washington as an endgame, not unless he wants to go down in history as the guy who ended Russia and ended Russians by getting Russia turned into one giant radioactive parking lot.
Dear Anders, I am not sure that "ignoring" is the best of "clever responses". It leaves the floor open for any kind of narrative from extremists or conspiracy theorists, without any proper information, response or correction. This undermines the "truthful position". As there were no correction they could claim "truth" and spread their narrative. I understand that you cannot and should not truly discuss with conspiracist and trolls. But you should get your message out as well, so that it can be recognised.
It's basically the same concept as ignoring a toddler who says a curse word they just heard. If you make a big deal out of it they do it again and again for more attention. If you ignore them they forget about it and move on.
Jake Broe sent me here! :) Given the recent 'we did not explode a drone in Romania, it was a careless smoker grass fire' event, people incl myself said wtf NATO and Romania! Yes that was a short fuse response but a better response would be to announce even more military aid to Ukraine. I would even throw in some careless smoking grass fires in Far East russia, that would drive them to more vodka. Cheers! ❤️🇺🇦
I think I can sum it up as "Don't feed the troll". Yes, these things are annoying, but when your buddy who you are handing weapons to is caving the troll's skull in, what is a little inconvenience? Even if the S300 in Poland was Russian and intentional, the response would never be NATO rolling into Ukraine, that is like using a cannon on a mosquito. The actual response would have been to speed up the timeline on weapons delivery, which is obviously bad for Russia.
I dont believe that. If a russian S300 hits Poland and kills polish people, even more if its intentional, then we are beyond hybrid warfare. Thats a direct attack, and NATO would respond, if not with nukes, then in a way more direct way.
Well, in 1937-39 everyone was ignoring those as well and WW2 started. You know, just mentioning. What a smart move to say that you do it on purpose, but not because you are afraid or don't know what to do.
Academic!?... It's a nonsensical collection of "highly likely", "As we all know" and other unsubstantiated postulates - the pinnacle of idiocy is his implicit admonitions to disregard all other positions
@@tommyandersson5878 Well, do you have another way of explaining this war, so I will sit in suspense and await your approach? I then expect you to explain yourself in a more educational way so that everyone understands what you write!
Something tells me that Nordstream was done by the US by how silent the Danish politicians(borgfred =political civil peace) have been it is a tellsign that it's a NATO partner. NATO chief Jens Stoltenberg will step down as chief in the autumn. The next one could be a German as some kind of compensation for Nordstream. And what about Leopard 2 was the conflict really about Nordstream ! There were 4 lines from russia. Today one line is in Poland and Ukraine, both countries is looking towards US for security. The lines in those countries can be used by US to press prices down to push russia financily. It's also possible US to demand ground to create a US-base within those two countries.Europe would then be forced to look south where Erdogan have for several years been pushing hard towards Europe by using fugistives situation in Syria. Who wants to control Russia ? -Put political pressure on EU(from Erdogan). -Remove Germany's possible political power in the post-war Ukraine. -Be the middleman when it comes to buying/selling oil from Russia. -Get NATO/US-bases as close to Russia as possible.
"So my guess is actually that in Moscow they are quite annoyed that these conspiracy theories get so much traction. Like they would prefer to get some more blame themselves". You get this so wrong. Like the opposite is true when it comes to russians. Also your advise to "not responding" is a perfect conditions for hybrid warfare to spread and escalate. It gives them sense that they can do whatever they want and they will be ignored. How ignoring hybrid warfare ends up you can see in Ukraine now.
This individual probably isn’t as “pro Western” as he portrays himself to be. You are exactly right, following his advice would be like self-sabotage which is maybe the intention here
I was thinking you were probably going to release another video soon. I would have thought it would be about the shift in initiative on the battlefield that has been brewing for some weeks now but this was a interesting different angle. Thank you for your insight.
Interesting topic and good anallysis. This all mimics some of my first (and still unchanged) thoughts when I first heard of the Nord Stream leaks in the news. And many other strange happenings in/ near our country in that period, some of them each exactly 3 days apart, the Russians visibly involved in several of these. _"The Russians want to let us know they can disrupt out this and that, they want us to accuse them, they will deny, but they above all want us to be scared."_ So we -forget- avoid it, and aren't scared.
@@gorillaguerillaDK Exactly. And the Kattegat incident was visibly Russian ships. And the Storebaelt sound navigation jamming (Russian ships with strange behaviour). And railroad disruptions in northernmost Germany. And broken electric undersea cable to Bornholm island. And leaking pipelines in Poland. And... how much did I forget? All these about 2-3 days apart one after another like pearls on a string.
I know of 3 other incidences. The spies on the Norwegian oil/gas facilities. (before and after NS1&2) Sabotage against Germany's railways system Deutsche Bahn. (~2 weeks after NS1&2) (BTW shortly after Scholz announced Leopard delivery, DB was sabotaged again.....) And an under sea comms cable in the North Atlantic between UK and Faroe Islands that was cut. (~4 weeks after NS1&2) Care to help me out with the other incidences you mentioned? I wanna make a list for myself.
@@jonson856 26 sept 2022 - Nord Stream 1 & 2 sabotages OTHER SUSPICIOUS INCIDENTS IMMEDIATELY AFTER 03 oct. 2022 - Storebält sound navigation system jammed (Russian ships visibly acting very suspicious in the area). 06 oct. 2022 - Russian warships acting very suspicious near Läsö island, at the spot of major undersea cable. 08 oct. 2022 - Railway signal system sabotaged in northernmost Germany. 10 oct. 2022 - Undersea electric cable to Bornholm island Denmark mysteriously faulty. 12 oct. 2022 - 2 mysterious leaks in Poland on oil pipelines from Russia. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Two of yours were new to me: - Spies on the Norwegian gas facilities - Undersea cable cut between UK & Faroe Islands
I'm from Norway and we did it. We let Boris the diver dive down to the pipeline and he lit a smoke, I'm sorry.......No more Nord-stream.. Btw grate video Anders keep em coming.
It was those damn Norwegians who destroyed the pipe line. As a Swede I can confirm that Norwegians are sneaky and greedy and cannot be trusted. Of course Norway did it. They had a motive, the capability to do this act and the oppurtunity to do it. They just destroyed the pipe line carrying Russian gas so that European countries would be forced to buy Norwegian gas instead, and so that Norway could jack up the energy prices even more and put more profits into their own pockets!!
Thanks brave Norwegian sailors and one amazing British beaver for doing the toothwork on the pipes! Even before they invaded, we in Ukraine wanted that pipeline down, because it exists to avoid paying us for transit... SDP having a painful withdrawal from not sniffing russian gas is a bonus.
I think it is not doing our western democracies any good to hide away information from the general public. In todays social media driven communication the emptiness you leave is immediately filled by other content. In addition I think we (especially as German citizens) have the right to know who is behind the disruption of a serious part of our energy infrastructure. To make it short: lack of transparency kills democracies, the very values we aim to defend in Ukraine.
The trouble with the West is we expect, especially the general public, that Putin/Russia will react in a "Western" way of things. Instead I thnk it helps if we view Putin as a modern day Tsar but unfortunately with the morals of an old time Czar. Also there are too many "ties' with each side to one another that we the Pubic will never know about. Anyway that's my two cents worth, once again Anders thank you for another informative and thought provoking video.
It isn't often that a video makes me go "hold up one second!" Damn this is a big shift in perspective. And it makes a lot of sense, more than any other option I have considered so far. Damn, I might actually grow some respect for some of our politicians.
I'm not worried about blackouts due to network failures or a lack of wind for the turbines, but because of hybrid warfare against western infrastructure. But even when there was clear sabotage against the German train traffic, there were no accusations of hybrid warfare from the official side. Now I see why. Thanks!
Tbh the train outage might also have nothing to do with hybrid warfare. Like in Germany our trains are infamous for being always late and unreliable. I guess thats what can make hybrid warfare powerful too. You often cant tell whats part of that warfare and what isnt.
@@termitreter6545 That‘s what I thought at first, but there was one cable cut in Berlin and at the same time its redundancy in Herne, 500 km away. There was someone at work with the means, with the knowledge and with the intent.
@@leopoldbloom4835 Yeah I was just reading up about it, and it seems like it was intentional knowledge with insider knowledge. Still possible it was someone thats really angry about the DB tho, maybe someone that got fired xD
Many thanks for providing us with another insightful and thought provoking video !! We know you have many other responsibilities to manage so your efforts are much appreciated. I love the image of the Russians bringing together their smartest planners, cooking up these bizarre schemes, directing their operatives and sitting back waiting for western leaders to run around screaming with their hair fire but in the end getting . . . nothing. Nada. Zilch. The bad guys must be SO frustrated!! Lol Anyway, love your videos and looking forward to the next one!!
I get the feeling from most of the videos on this channel that I got something that I haven't gotten elsewhere. The ideas may have been available elsewhere in some form or partly, but not on the few dozen sources of different type and quality that I follow on the war in Ukraine. The content is special, and I like the way Anders presents it. He pays attention to nuances and subtleties when they are important, and takes care to convey how probable the things he talks about are. He also doesn't seem self-important at all, which probably means that he has no trouble of admitting having been wrong, if and when that happens. In short: top content. The only flaw: there's not more of it 🙂.
Vlad Vexler? His channel is a bit different approach, but I find him really helpful in trying to understand Russia especially. (Not a military minded channel, altho I watch several of those too). 👍🇺🇦
@@bellbookcandle3051 I watch Vlad Vexler too. He is indeed very helpful to understand Russian thinking. He is also very intelligent and original as thinker. Although he comes from Russia, he supports Ukraine on this war (as you of course know).
Anders, can you do a video on Russian propaganda? Specifically the stuff intended for their domestic audience. I've noticed that basically anyone that I've seen that watches it in the West, myself included gets steaming fucking mad. I don't think that's what it's meant to do, like I don't think it's supposed to encourage more support for Ukraine by generating hatred from the West but that's definitely what it's doing. (This is 100% aimed at Solovyov and his shit)
What I find interesting is that the US is pretty much in full control over the information space globally, and the talk of Russian capabilities over this issue seem almost bizarre to me. So it leaves me wondering is all of this highlighting and exaggerating of Russian capabilities to influence the information space a tactic of the US hybrid control over especially on the European opinion. It seems to me to be utterly naive to think that the US wouldn't be doing this. Regarding the Nordstream, I would not be surprised if the US did it, but the fact that I would even ponder that, makes me a crazy conspiracy theorist of "oh you are one of those ones huh? Maybe less Russian propaganda for you" kind. I would argue that of course Russia would try to influence opinions, but they are piss poor at it, and other countries try to do the same, especially in the west, and they are very good at information control, and no one is even allowed to mention this. Just shows to me how good this "mind control" is, if you can call it that. Anyway I don't know, but I question what I'm being led to believe.
@@nian60 I honestly don't know what to say to that. You think I'm saying that the US bombed openly with military hardware on baltic for everyone to see? Never did I say that. Covert operation by US special forces, could easily do something like this, with little to no evidence, and could be blamed on Russia. All I said that you aren't even allowed to discuss the possibility, because in my view, the US controls the information in the western world so strong, that you are immediately attacked for even questioning. It might as well be the Russians, but the US is equally possibly being the culprit. They said openly that the pipe would be closed permanently, if an attack would happen, and they have lied about so many things, including the whole war in Iraq in 2003. Russia owns most of the pipe and has most to loose after Germany, if it went offline. Russia is an evil mafia country, no one is denying that. It's just that it isn't a black and white world. And I'm from Finland so I know a bit about the situation here in the Baltics, and have potentially my life on the line, if we are coaxed into a military conflict with Russia.
"What I find interesting is that the US is pretty much in full control over the information space globally," Huh? How did you come to this conclusion? The hordes of Russian trolls in the various comment sections seems to disprove that claim quite handily.
@@pekka1900 "The US is pretty much in full control over the information space globally" LMFAO The US isn’t even in control of any of its own media networks, but somehow you believe it controls media networks all over the rest of the world!? Oh, FFS, and you have the audacity to say it’s utterly naive to not believe the US is in full control…. Now I assume you’re being serious, although it would be great satire, but it’s so bonkers that it’s hard to not laugh either way!
@@gorillaguerillaDK Yeah, the twitter files don't exist, Julian Assange is not being prosecuted for journalism and Snowden is happily living in Alabama! Land of the free for sure.
Is Priority 2 helping Ukraine win? Or just stave off an immediate Russian win? Because it doesn't really seem like we are throwing everything we can at it
Some countries (and U.S. politicians) are concerned that priority 2 will compromise priority 1. That is to a large extent the reason why things are not moving faster.
@@anderspuck But the Russians are going to claim that any support which materially affects the balance of power, is a red line that will lead to immediate widening of the war. So Priority 1 negates Priority 2. It seems like the West is being successfully (at least partially) deterred from providing support which would actually allow Ukraine to win and so they are left with doing much less than what we are capable of. Love your videos. Keep up the great work!
@@anderspuck Priority 2 helping Ukraine win sounds exaggerated to me too. Previous actions taken justify wording helping not to lose at best. Either help to win and do everything necessary or do just what is possible without own involvement. Both can not apply at the same time. As your Austrian colleague Col. Reisner described western help "we walk along a woman who is in trouble, throw her pepper spray and ask her not to defend herself too much otherwise we get in trouble too".
I would be great if you could cover or touch on the fact that large amount of gass and oil resources was discovered in around Crime and Donbas prior to the 2014 invasion. To what extend do you Anders believe to be connected to the roote cause of the invasion. Thanks for the videos very well made.
It's not connected. Russia has lots of gas and oil already and use of fossil fuels are on the decline anyway. This war has hurt Russia a lot more than they can gain from any additional oil or gas fields. This is an imperialistic war to extend the Russian territory; they are already printing new maps that add Ukrainian territory to Russia that Russian soldiers haven't even stepped a foot on.
@@harmless6813 its not about Russia having gas. Its about EU dependence on Russian gas. Norway supplied 17% to the. If Ukraine found 3 times the amounts of Norways gas reserves with a superior supply/distribution network, then this could seriously undermine The russian petrole economy. That would be a motive to invade. Not that it would justify it
Very enlightening. This explains the current situation quite well. I actually was wondering why the russians never really used their hybrid capabilities. Turns out they kinda did, but the western leaders did the "mature" thing and practically ignored it and downplayed it as some kind of nuisance.
OK, so the first thing done after nordstream, was pointing to Russia. how does this fit? Also why not downplay the weatherballoon saga then, instead of blowing (haha) it up?
If you want to find me on social media, I recommend Mastodon. Find me as @anderspuck@krigskunst.social.
I do have accounts on other networks like LinkedIn and Facebook, but I am not nearly as active as on Mastodon.
Please define hybrid warfare - cyber attacks, propaganda and espionage?
@@andrewworth4810 It is a disputed term but I use it in lack of a better word. If you are interested, I made a video about what hybrid warfare is. ruclips.net/video/mVj-AbXIUZc/видео.html
Thx for the video. I would love to see more...!
Your opinions are really appreciated and extremely informative, could you explain what hybrid warfare actually in a technical, physical and psychological way. The Nord Stream ws probably an act of self harm as is all the pipe line explosions within Russia to frighten the Russian people, so what are examples of hybrid warfare that are to frighten the west, the obvious one is the use of nukes but what else has Russia done.?
@@plasticjock1090 I wouldn't say that nukes are hybrid. It's more about combining military and non-military means to achieve military results. And to do it below the threshold of actual war.
Here is an example from before Russia's invasion of Ukraine, where I look at Belarus' use of refugees as a weapon against Poland and Lithuania.
ruclips.net/video/_6wQzxTu01I/видео.html
Thank you for your thorough analysis, Anders! And welcome back, We've missed you!
Good to have you back, Anders!
A really good sentiment I read was something to the effect of “the value of education isn’t just about knowing facts, but achieving clarity of thought.”
Every time I watch Anders, my worldview gets updated with bit of Anders’ clarity of thought on war, and that is priceless.
Was longing for new content from you, you made my day 😊
For real!
Our boy is back in action! Great video as always!
So thrilled to see a new video from you after such a long time! Your unique style and amazing content always leave us inspired and entertained. Your dedication and hard work truly shine through in every video. Can't wait to see what other amazing creations you have in store for us. Keep up the fantastic work!
Yes we have ignored it. And I've had my nose rubbed in it.
Ex-customer of my company used to be broke to the point that he was on benefits in 2013. I know this since he had to hand over his full financial records as part of a government background check.
He made news headlines in 2014 when he campaigned against the Association Treaty with Ukraine, specifically using toiletpaper rolls with slogans on it. He collaborated with the pro-Russian gossipblogger and alround POS human being Jan Roos.
Now since 2013 he has acquired real estate totaling 38 properties and is making a comfortable living ruthlessly exploiting tenants.
My jobs was to clean that up and make it according to regulations, something he kept going back on. Not an easy enforcement.
Then after the 2022 'official invasion' he's back to Russian campaigning and came to our office to talk about what we could do 'about government corruption' (destabilisation through undermining trust in the democratic government).
By then I was aware of his pro-Russian involvement. I volunteered back in early march, but Ukrainians rejected my application, so that's where I stand. Let's just say things got a bit heated, police attended and he's now very squarely an ex-customer, his records were handed over to the intelligence agencies as I can't abide traitors.
Not they're going to do a damn thing about Russia's infiltration, but at least they have records to prove you can make millions being a Russian infiltrator.
Good to hear that you acted with such high integrity!
It’s rarely against any laws to spread disinformation, but it’s always interesting when someone who does it starts accumulating extra wealth!
Yet nothing is done to russian oligarchs and their families ALL of which live in NATO countries. Confiscated money isn't going to Ukraine and West still blocks fighter jets purchases with excuse after excuse.
I think the Nordstrom pipeline was blown up by colonel mustard, in the library, with the candlestick.
🤣🤣🤣
Or Greta Thunberg. Someone saw her diving around that time at that place, therefore it must be true.
I think the Nordstorm was blown up by Green house people.
You have no Clue. Lol.
@@SCH292
Interesting perspective on this topic. A war is difficult to follow in real-time as it occurs, even with modern technology putting cameras everywhere, but hybrid warfare is even more obscure for the average civilian trying to observe it. I hadn't even considered that the West might be intentionally downplaying these attacks or whatever one might call them.
As always, a pleasure to watch one of your videos. Nice to see the production values getting a little bump as well, looks much more professional now! Hope to see more videos from you soon, even if you are understandably quite busy these days.
it depends which information you get and in which countries you follow the news, facts are that if you remember the Russians cut the gas to EU countries, one by one, to blackmail us into not helping Ukraine, this was predictable, because if you remember Ukraine's color revolution in 2004, the first thing the Russians did was cutting the gas to Ukraine and make people freeze for not voting for the pro Russian candidate , this is why in all contracts the other countries have signed since, there was a clause that the Russians have to pay a huge compensation if they would cut the gas out of spite over some political event, this is why they played a stupid game with the turbines first, remember? broken down, repair, delay, wrong export paperwork, and so on, when this was exhausted the Russians blew up the pipeline, for 2 reasons, first to escape the compensation payments and second to test NATO's article 5 reaction, as the pipeline is located in NATO territory, and to not give Putin the pleasure of a NATO reaction, we are pretending we don't know who did it, we need to investigate, and to Putin's despair the story disappeared from official news outlets🤡which has let to endless screaming from the Russian side, every week they accuse somebody else, first it was the US, then the UK and now they switched back to the US, the Russians are desperately trying to keep the story in the news, with little success, of course this story has not been explained widely and has left many people confused, by the way, the same happened with the missile that landed in Poland and killed 2 people, the closest to the truth in mainstream news is Polish State tv in English, if you want to check-TVP world
The most clear evidence I have for this approach is how the attack on Poland with Air Defence missiles was handled: I expected everyone to be super determined to establish the culpability of Russia but the opposite happened: everyone tripped over each other to say this was a missile of Ukrainian origin.
@@Viggo_Frb Yup, that one was pretty obvious. Also how Ukraine was brought in line. First they insisted very much that it wasn't them and then they apparently got convinced that it wasn't in their/our interest to play it up as a Russian attack on NATO.
I agree with Anders: if Russia wants NATO to respond, they will have to get much more direct.
But of course Russia doesn't want to really start a war with NATO; they just want something they can point at and claim as NATO aggression.
@@harmless6813 Exactly. It was extremely fast and without any formal investigation at all that the US found out that the rocket was of Ukrainian origin - and then soon thereafter everyone agreed... NATO also refused to institute a no-fly zone. Agree that we won't see any military action of NATO outside NATO territory. If Russia wants a war with Nato they will need to physically assault (and I don't think they are suicidal enough to do that).
@@Viggo_Frb Well said, Seb.
I continue to be impressed by Anders's analysis and agree, let's leave confirmation of who destroyed the Nord Stream pipeline until after Russia's war against Ukraine is over.
That's a lot like saying let's not worry about whether Iraqi WMD were a lie to to start a war until after the Iraq war is over.
This Anders guy is blatant NATO disinformation.
A very detailed explanation of how the US was behind the NS sabotage has just come out and now he's saying look away. Forget about NS until after the war is over.
ANDERS!!! Glad to see you back! Hope you will make more! Your channel is so underrated!
I'm always left more-reassured about all things pertaining to this war after Anders Puck Nielsen posts a new video. Anders, your fantastic presentation skills, even tone and logical explanation can make sense of the most obscure and confounding events being done or considered by this madman putin. Thank you for taking the time to prepare another episode. Don't go away so long, please!
💯
The reason we don't react is that none of these alleged Russian hybrid attacks do much damage to anything. Somebody blew up a pipeline we were not using and probably would never use again anyway. That's not the kind of thing that sends people marching in the streets.
For years they were against this pipeline.
They announced to end this pipeline.
They have the means to end this pipeline.
They don’t want to talk about this pipeline any longer.
In front of a judge, you would need a really good lawyer to walk away free.
Always great to hear your perspective, Anders.
you're back!
I agree about the strategy of West is the right thing. It's like when a hyperactive child nags for candy and are ignored until it quiets down.
Tak for interessante og informative videoer
I really don't know what to think, because it's hard these days to trust out politicians, but I imagine security services are wiser enough than to start noise over something that has no impact. I imagine for a lot of them this is like they un-scheduled quality/security check. "Oh, we got hacked yesterday by Russia? Was Johnny sleeping again?"
Thank you for your analyse: it's always a big pleasure and interesting analyse from you . Best regards from Belgium.
Regarding cyber attacks - it really hard to know for sure who did them. Also, because some groups of hackers are freelancing even if you know it is a group based in russia, you may noy know if it was govrenment sponsored or independent.
Russia being annoyed about the conspiracy theories is such an interesting dynamic.
It's a good thing he announced his stance on Nord Stream in the beginning. The rest of the video one may then ponder whether he actually believe what he's saying or if he's simply a shill doing what he's paid to do. Considering the nature of his squirming I suppose there's actually a fair chance he is a believer.
I don't know whether Seymour Hersh got it right or might have been fed a false narrative in order to force a later contraction and so tarnish the idea of US involvement in the sabotage of Nord Stream. Hersh does have a track record though suggesting he knows what he's doing and I would lean towards the former but in the end it does not change anything on the ground. The idea that Russia would have sabotaged Nord Stream is simply nonsensical in any case.
The reason western governments might not acknowledge hybrid attacks is presumably that they fear a public backlash and would rather lie to their citizens than allow them to make informed decisions. The average man does not really fancy having to worry about being poisoned or blown up on his way to work simply because of the actions undertaken by his government in Ukraine or Russia. Suppose there was indeed a Russian hybrid attack resulting in a fair amount of casualties. Perhaps the population would be outraged and demand revenge. Or perhaps the population would demand a withdrawal from Ukraine. Either way the style of the Government would be cramped as they'd be under pressure to escalate or retreat. Governments do not really like that. They'd rather be free to pursue whatever unfortunate policy they've decided on and preferably with the least possible amount of criticism or accountability. For a government to congratulate themselves on absolutely doing the right thing which surely must be successful while telling themselves the citizens must not know anything however as it might interfere with this glorious victory parade would be completely in character.
It's curious to see how such an arguably distasteful and undemocratic approach to government is not only acknowledged but also basically endorsed by this man. It suggests a pro-establishment perspective through and through.
Great to have you back. Thank you for your insight.👍
Watching an Anders Puck Nielsen video on this subject is like taking a mental health day. There is so much disinformation and propaganda constantly generated that it is highly valuable for a real expert who knows how to decipher it all to clear up all the smoke.
When the idea of Russia being driven out of Ukraine by the Ukrainians seemed far fetched it was fine for him to backhandedly scoff at the Kremlin' daring to chose a nuclear option. But that Russia loses conventionally seems a real possibility now, and nuclear weapons may well have utility for the Kremlin in rapidly developing losing endgame for them. Anders is trying to have it both ways with his talk of uncertainty and fear being part of a Russian psychological stratagem. There are some things, such as what the Kremlin would do with its theatre thermonuclear weapons in such an increasingly likely losing endgame for them, that have uncertain yet nonetheless credible outcomes it is wise to fear.
@@seancidy6008
I don't remember Mr. Nielsen scoffing at anything. He presents the facts as he sees them in as objective terms as he can based on his extensive knowledge and experience in this area. I think he is one of the most rational voices in this entire crisis.
As for a Russian loss in Ukraine heightening the possibilities of Russia using nuclear weapons, what would a Russian victory do there. All indications are this is about far more than Russian ambitions in Ukraine. This extends to Central Europe and beyond. Into nations that are part of NATO like the Baltic States and Poland. A Russian victory in Ukraine could make a direct conflict between Russia and NATO more likely.
Mr. Nielsen isn't trying to "have it both ways" any analysis of something as uncertain as a conflict this complex is going to have significant error factors. He's saying he doesn't know what is going to happen then giving his best assessment of what might happen.
Also the ramifications of Russia using ANY WMDs in Ukraine are global not local. Russia would be locking itself out of economic and diplomatic relationships that would leave it even more isolated than North Korea. The long term consequences to Russia of using WMDs in Ukraine would be worse than a conventional loss there.
So yes, Russia is almost certainly using the threat of nuclear weapons as a form of hybrid warfare that it is in our best interests in the west to ignore as we continue to support the nation of Ukraine in its defense.
And given the questionable reliability of many Russian weapons systems we've seen in this war including a large number of catastrophic missiles malfunctions, would Russian commanders even be willing to deploy nuclear systems for fear of hitting Russian populations.
That has been a major downside in this war for Russia, most speculation of how well designed and maintained Russian weapons systems are over. And the answer is not well.
@@seancidy6008 Doug Coombes answered you in great detail. Only one thing I like to ad, China. China is currently the country benefitting the most from the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty system currently in place. As the NPT keeps Chinas very capable adversaries from getting nukes themselves, Countries like Taiwan,South Korea and Japan have the capability to develop nuclear weapons and their delivery systems in short order without external input.
That means that if Russia uses the Bomb in Ukraine and gets away with it, it wouldnt only kill Ukranians but also the current and all future attempts at a NPT. So in short Nothing will be holding Chinas neighbours back from developing nuclear weapons, wich will end Chinas ambitions on its neighbours. China knows this and much points to Russia being informed by China on this fact.
A Russian Nuclear use in Ukraine results in for China:
*A need to punish Russia to the extreme, severing all ecconomic ties is probably not enough. Look for direct destabilisation wich might be followed by military interventions,or:
China must accept its status in the world as only a regional power on par with Brazil.
Faced with the latter choice i belive the Chinese leadership would throw Putin under the bus without hesitation, Nuclear Non profliferation in Chinas own back yard is imensely more important to Bejing.
@@petermagnus9919 yes, this is a brilliant explanation, thank you, the second point against the nuclear option is the fact that if the Russians nuke Ukraine, they would also contaminate the most valuable part of Russia, the South West agricultural region of Rostov that feeds half of Russia and the Black Sea coast where Putin and his cronies have their Palaces in Sochi
@@seancidy6008
Sergei, when you lie, make sure your target has at least said what you alledge. Also no Sergei, your beloved Putler isn't nuking Washington as an endgame, not unless he wants to go down in history as the guy who ended Russia and ended Russians by getting Russia turned into one giant radioactive parking lot.
Thank you. This sure took care of a few question marks that have been accumulating for a while.
Dear Anders, I am not sure that "ignoring" is the best of "clever responses". It leaves the floor open for any kind of narrative from extremists or conspiracy theorists, without any proper information, response or correction. This undermines the "truthful position". As there were no correction they could claim "truth" and spread their narrative.
I understand that you cannot and should not truly discuss with conspiracist and trolls. But you should get your message out as well, so that it can be recognised.
It's basically the same concept as ignoring a toddler who says a curse word they just heard. If you make a big deal out of it they do it again and again for more attention. If you ignore them they forget about it and move on.
Excellent stuff, as usual. Please do more.
Jake Broe sent me here! :)
Given the recent 'we did not explode a drone in Romania, it was a careless smoker grass fire' event, people incl myself said wtf NATO and Romania! Yes that was a short fuse response but a better response would be to announce even more military aid to Ukraine.
I would even throw in some careless smoking grass fires in Far East russia, that would drive them to more vodka.
Cheers!
❤️🇺🇦
“Even more military aid”
Lol 😂
I think I can sum it up as "Don't feed the troll". Yes, these things are annoying, but when your buddy who you are handing weapons to is caving the troll's skull in, what is a little inconvenience?
Even if the S300 in Poland was Russian and intentional, the response would never be NATO rolling into Ukraine, that is like using a cannon on a mosquito. The actual response would have been to speed up the timeline on weapons delivery, which is obviously bad for Russia.
I dont believe that. If a russian S300 hits Poland and kills polish people, even more if its intentional, then we are beyond hybrid warfare. Thats a direct attack, and NATO would respond, if not with nukes, then in a way more direct way.
Well, in 1937-39 everyone was ignoring those as well and WW2 started. You know, just mentioning. What a smart move to say that you do it on purpose, but not because you are afraid or don't know what to do.
Thx for this, I in fact was wondering what was going on.
I like your videos, because they are so academic. I feel like I'm in a classroom being taught the theory behind what's going on in this war.
Well, as a Navy Commander Anders has actually been a teacher for new officers to the Royal Danish Navy - so it’s not so surprising he do it so well….
Academic!?... It's a nonsensical collection of "highly likely", "As we all know" and other unsubstantiated postulates - the pinnacle of idiocy is his implicit admonitions to disregard all other positions
Watch Perun who posts weekly War College level hour-long PowerPoints.
@@tommyandersson5878 Well, do you have another way of explaining this war, so I will sit in suspense and await your approach?
I then expect you to explain yourself in a more educational way so that everyone understands what you write!
@@linda1lee2 I'm sure he's very good, but I'm not really interested in that much of a class.
This is a very interesting point of view. Seeing it from that perspective, it makes a lot of sense.👍
Something tells me that Nordstream was done by the US by how silent the Danish politicians(borgfred =political civil peace) have been it is a tellsign that it's a NATO partner.
NATO chief Jens Stoltenberg will step down as chief in the autumn. The next one could be a German as some kind of compensation for Nordstream.
And what about Leopard 2 was the conflict really about Nordstream !
There were 4 lines from russia. Today one line is in Poland and Ukraine, both countries is looking towards US for security. The lines in those countries can be used by US to press prices down to push russia financily. It's also possible US to demand ground to create a US-base within those two countries.Europe would then be forced to look south where Erdogan have for several years been pushing hard towards Europe by using fugistives situation in Syria.
Who wants to control Russia ?
-Put political pressure on EU(from Erdogan).
-Remove Germany's possible political power in the post-war Ukraine.
-Be the middleman when it comes to buying/selling oil from Russia.
-Get NATO/US-bases as close to Russia as possible.
I have missed your updates, they give me cause to hope
"So my guess is actually that in Moscow they are quite annoyed that these conspiracy theories get so much traction. Like they would prefer to get some more blame themselves".
You get this so wrong. Like the opposite is true when it comes to russians. Also your advise to "not responding" is a perfect conditions for hybrid warfare to spread and escalate. It gives them sense that they can do whatever they want and they will be ignored. How ignoring hybrid warfare ends up you can see in Ukraine now.
This individual probably isn’t as “pro Western” as he portrays himself to be. You are exactly right, following his advice would be like self-sabotage which is maybe the intention here
I was thinking you were probably going to release another video soon. I would have thought it would be about the shift in initiative on the battlefield that has been brewing for some weeks now but this was a interesting different angle. Thank you for your insight.
That would be really great, seriously hope he soon have the time for it, but real life keeps him too busy.
I like your analysis - it explains things really well.
Hmmm, that is an interesting analysis. I guess your right.
Russia is just starting to look dumb online. You can only threaten WWIII so many times before people start laughing at you.🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
Interesting topic and good anallysis. This all mimics some of my first (and still unchanged) thoughts when I first heard of the Nord Stream leaks in the news. And many other strange happenings in/ near our country in that period, some of them each exactly 3 days apart, the Russians visibly involved in several of these. _"The Russians want to let us know they can disrupt out this and that, they want us to accuse them, they will deny, but they above all want us to be scared."_ So we -forget- avoid it, and aren't scared.
Spot on Lars - including all the weird behavior they had in Kattegat afterwards!
@@gorillaguerillaDK Exactly. And the Kattegat incident was visibly Russian ships. And the Storebaelt sound navigation jamming (Russian ships with strange behaviour). And railroad disruptions in northernmost Germany. And broken electric undersea cable to Bornholm island. And leaking pipelines in Poland. And... how much did I forget? All these about 2-3 days apart one after another like pearls on a string.
@@larsrons7937
Yup, but vatniks will probably tell us that everything was the Americans - the ships too….
I know of 3 other incidences.
The spies on the Norwegian oil/gas facilities. (before and after NS1&2)
Sabotage against Germany's railways system Deutsche Bahn. (~2 weeks after NS1&2) (BTW shortly after Scholz announced Leopard delivery, DB was sabotaged again.....)
And an under sea comms cable in the North Atlantic between UK and Faroe Islands that was cut. (~4 weeks after NS1&2)
Care to help me out with the other incidences you mentioned?
I wanna make a list for myself.
@@jonson856 26 sept 2022 - Nord Stream 1 & 2 sabotages
OTHER SUSPICIOUS INCIDENTS IMMEDIATELY AFTER
03 oct. 2022 - Storebält sound navigation system jammed
(Russian ships visibly acting very suspicious in the area).
06 oct. 2022 - Russian warships acting very suspicious near Läsö island, at the spot of major undersea cable.
08 oct. 2022 - Railway signal system sabotaged in northernmost Germany.
10 oct. 2022 - Undersea electric cable to Bornholm island Denmark mysteriously faulty.
12 oct. 2022 - 2 mysterious leaks in Poland on oil pipelines from Russia.
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Two of yours were new to me:
- Spies on the Norwegian gas facilities
- Undersea cable cut between UK & Faroe Islands
Glad to see a new video from you!
Thanks for your lucid analysis. I too have been missing you.
Thanks for sharing your expertise.
Nicely done Anders.😀👍
Straight and to the point as always many thanks Anders great analysis
Great to see you again!
I'm from Norway and we did it. We let Boris the diver dive down to the pipeline and he lit a smoke, I'm sorry.......No more Nord-stream.. Btw grate video Anders keep em coming.
Marve Flesnes did it!
Kim Dotcom ruptured the pipe attempting to crawl back to Germany.
It was those damn Norwegians who destroyed the pipe line. As a Swede I can confirm that Norwegians are sneaky and greedy and cannot be trusted. Of course Norway did it. They had a motive, the capability to do this act and the oppurtunity to do it. They just destroyed the pipe line carrying Russian gas so that European countries would be forced to buy Norwegian gas instead, and so that Norway could jack up the energy prices even more and put more profits into their own pockets!!
Thanks brave Norwegian sailors and one amazing British beaver for doing the toothwork on the pipes! Even before they invaded, we in Ukraine wanted that pipeline down, because it exists to avoid paying us for transit... SDP having a painful withdrawal from not sniffing russian gas is a bonus.
I didn’t know Boris was a smoker. Ah well… the more you learn.
Wait: Someone just said "Politicians are doing something right!" And I agreed with him! Surely the apocalypse will soon follow!
Cats and dogs living together. Mass hysteria.....
I think it is not doing our western democracies any good to hide away information from the general public. In todays social media driven communication the emptiness you leave is immediately filled by other content. In addition I think we (especially as German citizens) have the right to know who is behind the disruption of a serious part of our energy infrastructure. To make it short: lack of transparency kills democracies, the very values we aim to defend in Ukraine.
That were exactly my thoughts too.
It's amazing that I can have access to this kind of information as a civilian in 2022!
The trouble with the West is we expect, especially the general public, that Putin/Russia will react in a "Western" way of things. Instead I thnk it helps if we view Putin as a modern day Tsar but unfortunately with the morals of an old time Czar. Also there are too many "ties' with each side to one another that we the Pubic will never know about. Anyway that's my two cents worth, once again Anders thank you for another informative and thought provoking video.
We should compare him to a Mafia boss. Not only is that accurate, it's also a character type the public is familiar with.
It isn't often that a video makes me go "hold up one second!"
Damn this is a big shift in perspective. And it makes a lot of sense, more than any other option I have considered so far. Damn, I might actually grow some respect for some of our politicians.
Really interesting analysis, subscribed!
Appreciate your input 👌
I was already missing you, Anders!
Thank you!
Superb analysis.
ANDERS, thank you for your invaluable insight. As always, I enjoy your intelligence, and straightforward commentary. Paul Messina New York City.
I'm not worried about blackouts due to network failures or a lack of wind for the turbines, but because of hybrid warfare against western infrastructure. But even when there was clear sabotage against the German train traffic, there were no accusations of hybrid warfare from the official side. Now I see why. Thanks!
Tbh the train outage might also have nothing to do with hybrid warfare. Like in Germany our trains are infamous for being always late and unreliable.
I guess thats what can make hybrid warfare powerful too. You often cant tell whats part of that warfare and what isnt.
@@termitreter6545 That‘s what I thought at first, but there was one cable cut in Berlin and at the same time its redundancy in Herne, 500 km away. There was someone at work with the means, with the knowledge and with the intent.
@@leopoldbloom4835 Yeah I was just reading up about it, and it seems like it was intentional knowledge with insider knowledge.
Still possible it was someone thats really angry about the DB tho, maybe someone that got fired xD
@@termitreter6545 Then it must be at least two. We shouldn‘t rule out anything. 😉
@@leopoldbloom4835 True, the planned sabotage idea certainly seems more likely when you put it that way.
It would have been a good idea to define hybrid with one sentence at the outset.
Great content!
thank you for your video, I was looking forward and I appreciated it
I really wish you would provide more often of your insith
thanks again
Great analysis - yet again - thank you Anders.
Many thanks for providing us with another insightful and thought provoking video !! We know you have many other responsibilities to manage so your efforts are much appreciated. I love the image of the Russians bringing together their smartest planners, cooking up these bizarre schemes, directing their operatives and sitting back waiting for western leaders to run around screaming with their hair fire but in the end getting . . . nothing. Nada. Zilch. The bad guys must be SO frustrated!! Lol Anyway, love your videos and looking forward to the next one!!
Whoever did the pipe it was a job well done.
I get the feeling from most of the videos on this channel that I got something that I haven't gotten elsewhere. The ideas may have been available elsewhere in some form or partly, but not on the few dozen sources of different type and quality that I follow on the war in Ukraine. The content is special, and I like the way Anders presents it. He pays attention to nuances and subtleties when they are important, and takes care to convey how probable the things he talks about are. He also doesn't seem self-important at all, which probably means that he has no trouble of admitting having been wrong, if and when that happens. In short: top content. The only flaw: there's not more of it 🙂.
Vlad Vexler? His channel is a bit different approach, but I find him really helpful in trying to understand Russia especially. (Not a military minded channel, altho I watch several of those too). 👍🇺🇦
@@bellbookcandle3051 I watch Vlad Vexler too. He is indeed very helpful to understand Russian thinking. He is also very intelligent and original as thinker. Although he comes from Russia, he supports Ukraine on this war (as you of course know).
@@adoatero5129 I _thought_ maybe you watched him. ;-) Very glad I found his channel a few months ago too!
Must be rather annoying for the Kremlin to have to listen to Mr. Nielsen.😊
Anders we missed you alot.
Superb as always.
someone at last,saying it the way it really is 🇮🇪☘️
Anders, can you do a video on Russian propaganda?
Specifically the stuff intended for their domestic audience.
I've noticed that basically anyone that I've seen that watches it in the West, myself included gets steaming fucking mad. I don't think that's what it's meant to do, like I don't think it's supposed to encourage more support for Ukraine by generating hatred from the West but that's definitely what it's doing. (This is 100% aimed at Solovyov and his shit)
Thanks that is a very enlightening perspective. It explains a lot; I had an impression that Nordstream was deliberately being downplayed.
As was the missile that landed in Poland. Vanished from the news pretty quickly.
@@harmless6813 luckily we no longer have significant investigative journalism outside the control of our governments😢
Interesting. Thanks.
What I find interesting is that the US is pretty much in full control over the information space globally, and the talk of Russian capabilities over this issue seem almost bizarre to me. So it leaves me wondering is all of this highlighting and exaggerating of Russian capabilities to influence the information space a tactic of the US hybrid control over especially on the European opinion. It seems to me to be utterly naive to think that the US wouldn't be doing this.
Regarding the Nordstream, I would not be surprised if the US did it, but the fact that I would even ponder that, makes me a crazy conspiracy theorist of "oh you are one of those ones huh? Maybe less Russian propaganda for you" kind. I would argue that of course Russia would try to influence opinions, but they are piss poor at it, and other countries try to do the same, especially in the west, and they are very good at information control, and no one is even allowed to mention this. Just shows to me how good this "mind control" is, if you can call it that. Anyway I don't know, but I question what I'm being led to believe.
So are you saying that Sweden would join NATO if the USA bombs its borders? You don't know much about Sweden then.
@@nian60 I honestly don't know what to say to that. You think I'm saying that the US bombed openly with military hardware on baltic for everyone to see? Never did I say that. Covert operation by US special forces, could easily do something like this, with little to no evidence, and could be blamed on Russia. All I said that you aren't even allowed to discuss the possibility, because in my view, the US controls the information in the western world so strong, that you are immediately attacked for even questioning. It might as well be the Russians, but the US is equally possibly being the culprit. They said openly that the pipe would be closed permanently, if an attack would happen, and they have lied about so many things, including the whole war in Iraq in 2003. Russia owns most of the pipe and has most to loose after Germany, if it went offline. Russia is an evil mafia country, no one is denying that. It's just that it isn't a black and white world.
And I'm from Finland so I know a bit about the situation here in the Baltics, and have potentially my life on the line, if we are coaxed into a military conflict with Russia.
"What I find interesting is that the US is pretty much in full control over the information space globally,"
Huh? How did you come to this conclusion? The hordes of Russian trolls in the various comment sections seems to disprove that claim quite handily.
@@pekka1900
"The US is pretty much in full control over the information space globally"
LMFAO
The US isn’t even in control of any of its own media networks, but somehow you believe it controls media networks all over the rest of the world!?
Oh, FFS, and you have the audacity to say it’s utterly naive to not believe the US is in full control….
Now I assume you’re being serious, although it would be great satire, but it’s so bonkers that it’s hard to not laugh either way!
@@gorillaguerillaDK Yeah, the twitter files don't exist, Julian Assange is not being prosecuted for journalism and Snowden is happily living in Alabama! Land of the free for sure.
Brilliant.....Sooo miss you're content !!!
Russia; "Our hybrid warfare will bring you to your knees!"
West be like; "Don't feed the Troll."
excellent commentary as always
No, he's a moron if he doesn't think the USA did it. Or he's paid off. Everyone with a brain understands
Wow. Genius.
So, would an example of hybrid warfare be encouraging American far right militia groups to attack the electrical grid?
Yup, perfect example!
Great point!
Does he actually believe his own BS
That would be so smart. I never thought of it this way.
Thanks for the video.
Interesting.
Those are some provocative ideas. Very interesting video. Thanks!
Provocative?
@@harmless6813 as in: it makes you take things that you didn't think about into consideration
@@bruh5361 Ah. In that case I agree.
I would like to see the penalty clauses in the Nord Stream Supply contracts.
Thank you so much for your insight.
Is Priority 2 helping Ukraine win?
Or just stave off an immediate Russian win?
Because it doesn't really seem like we are throwing everything we can at it
Some countries (and U.S. politicians) are concerned that priority 2 will compromise priority 1. That is to a large extent the reason why things are not moving faster.
@@anderspuck But the Russians are going to claim that any support which materially affects the balance of power, is a red line that will lead to immediate widening of the war.
So Priority 1 negates Priority 2.
It seems like the West is being successfully (at least partially) deterred from providing support which would actually allow Ukraine to win and so they are left with doing much less than what we are capable of.
Love your videos. Keep up the great work!
@@anderspuck Priority 2 helping Ukraine win sounds exaggerated to me too. Previous actions taken justify wording helping not to lose at best.
Either help to win and do everything necessary or do just what is possible without own involvement. Both can not apply at the same time.
As your Austrian colleague Col. Reisner described western help "we walk along a woman who is in trouble, throw her pepper spray and ask her not to defend herself too much otherwise we get in trouble too".
Interesting spin, I never thought of that.
I would be great if you could cover or touch on the fact that large amount of gass and oil resources was discovered in around Crime and Donbas prior to the 2014 invasion. To what extend do you Anders believe to be connected to the roote cause of the invasion.
Thanks for the videos very well made.
It's not connected. Russia has lots of gas and oil already and use of fossil fuels are on the decline anyway. This war has hurt Russia a lot more than they can gain from any additional oil or gas fields.
This is an imperialistic war to extend the Russian territory; they are already printing new maps that add Ukrainian territory to Russia that Russian soldiers haven't even stepped a foot on.
@@harmless6813 its not about Russia having gas. Its about EU dependence on Russian gas.
Norway supplied 17% to the. If Ukraine found 3 times the amounts of Norways gas reserves with a superior supply/distribution network, then this could seriously undermine The russian petrole economy. That would be a motive to invade.
Not that it would justify it
Very enlightening. This explains the current situation quite well.
I actually was wondering why the russians never really used their hybrid capabilities. Turns out they kinda did, but the western leaders did the "mature" thing and practically ignored it and downplayed it as some kind of nuisance.
good thank you
OK, so the first thing done after nordstream, was pointing to Russia. how does this fit?
Also why not downplay the weatherballoon saga then, instead of blowing (haha) it up?
This was really great!
Very insightful, puts a new perspective on what the west has learned in dealing with hybrid warfare in the past years.
“I will deal with the (Russians) by dealing the greatest insult you can to an enemy, by ignoring (them)” - Warlord Okir, probably