@@AFuller2020 Do you have an example? I've gone back to his first presentations in 2014. I have that book. That same map of Russia was published in Accidental Superpower before Russia invaded Crimea. A lot of that book is just a history in context and the demographics were pretty accurate.
feel the same, I watch the longer form videos just to catch all the regional stuff. The talk he did a while back in Alberta was a good one for this as well.
Yea same here. Same same. Even the moment about the third tier chips when he says "F***", but yea I agree with commenter below hell update his talking points when a situation changes.
Again this is one of Peter's best lectures because he applies all of the principles and the current geopolitical situation to the opportunities and problems of a specific region. It makes it much easier to see how it all works.
Yea... You should know that this guy haven't any true number of anything in his presentation Total bullsh you can find on the yellow pages. Yellow as Ucrainin flag
He has an interesting and insightful grasp on how the world works. I live a cpl hours from Shreveport and had no idea he was gonna that close. Hopefully he'll be invited back again.
Except that he praises and gushes for Biden. If you listen to some of his other videos and podcasts, he goes on about how Biden is perhaps the best president we have had... Ever. Bidens policies are right on point and putting the US in a clear path to success?? Never once does he mention that Biden isn't cognitively aware, or that Biden isn't even on control of his policies. I don't trust peter here with any of his models. Saying that China won't even be an entity in 7 years is beyond lunacy. If anything it sounds like this guy is a paid propagandist for China. Insinuating that China nor Russia are a threat to the rest of the world. Biden is a shill for China and Ukraine. But somehow that doesn't play into effect on the grand scheme of things.
Incredibly gifted communicator. Perfect mix of informed and interesting. Makes me skeptical of his conclusions, because he is so charming / convincing.
I always have this issue with Peter Zeihan as well. There is something with his confidence that makes me sceptical. I can't help thinking "everything is more complicated than this". He's always a blast to listen to though
He doesn't realize that other countries also has their own plans. Major EU countries even doesn't want to support Ukraine that much that Russia collapses or couldn't export energy or fertilizers after the war. It's just USA UK and some eastern European countries. I bet Germany is ready to shake hands with Russia as soon as possible. Unfortunately someone destroyed Nord Stream but luckily Sweden investigated the explosion site EU is not a middle-east, EU has strategy and plans. Damn Pope lives in Italy and has much more influence in Mexico and south America than USA. Even vatican is not a country of saints
This is the most solid explanation of the world economy I’ve ever seen. It made perfect sense to this layman, who has an interest, but almost no real education on the subject. This gent is incredible.
@@tylergeiger2012 he mentions the millennial gen at length in several videos, he's not necessarily flattering basically he's happy "we" exist. (I'm on the verge)
Some small people complain that Peter repeats a lot of information. Oh yeah? Well, the historical events that lead us all to this point haven't changed, and we need to have his help 'stringing these pearls of wisdom' together time and again to get it through our fool heads. Thank you PZ!
This is a fantastic presentation! Thank you to everyone who made this possible and to be viewed via RUclips and most of all thank you Peter for truly doing God's work by doing nothing more than taking historical data and enlightening others! God Bless America!
A very informative presentation. I hope that our state, local and federal level representatives will emerge themselves into this presentation. Spread the word!!!
Peter, the Jones Act gave the cruise industry a lot of headaches too, especially during the pandemic. Congress had to give Alaska bound ships a special exemption during the pandemic when Canadian ports were closed.
It also wrekts anyone injured on the water as the lawsuit laws are written in such a way as to impose a set cost certainty on to very uncertain injuries. With no acknowledgement of that uncertainty. It kills Puerto Rico’s economy as well as out other territories.
The Jones Act limits ship owners liability to the value of the ship. The policy was to promote shipping. The Act applies to vehicles capable of transportation on the water. Negligent jet ski leasing company sent out a teenager with inadequate instruction. Dead. 💀 Recovery limited by the Jones Act. Arguably protects Rose from not letting Jack on the “raft”. 🤦♀️😊
When you wrap a bow around this, our country has an once in a generation opportunity to be a special place for it’s citizens, we’ll see if this opportunity to prosper can overshadow our leadership’s desire to drive a wedge into society to retain power.
Yup, you’ll be good for the next 50 years. Buuuuttttt… February 9th, 2024 marked the warmest day in 183 years of keeping weather statistics and 2023 broke the 1.5 Celsius barrier scientist have warned us about a ‘point of no return’. Mankind has about 100 years left on this planet, so let’s all pray for some more innovation from Musk to make space travel an actual possibility.
Love Peter’s way putting together economics, geopolitics, culture and economics again to understand what the hell is happening around us and in the world
The dude seems to dance on other people's graves too much. I mean isn't it cringe to get literally excited over the collapse of multiple countries - just to anticipate the monetary gains for the US citizens? This kind of egoism is what US is disliked for worldwide. I enjoyed the show myself, but it left an unpleasant aftertaste
My brother happens to live in Shreveport and be a leading activist in trying to preserve the Red River. He wrote me after watching this video to express both his interest in Zeihan's views but also his suspicion that Zeihan is unaware of some important details that should override his concern for the Jones Act on domestic shipping in the region. In his words: "Shreveport has been fighting the Red River for hundreds of years. For the past 50 it's been the Army Corps of Engineers. When they put in the locks and dams in the 80's, they miscalculated the amount to sediment that the Red carries. Now it it silting in behind the locks and raising the flood levels and they can't dredge/keep a shipping channel sustainably... a ton of resources going into artificially making this a port-city. In the meantime overlooking the opportunities and gifts the river naturally presented." I know zilch about port shipping and would be interested to know how barriers like this would be overcome to achieve anything to the degree Zeihan thinks is possible here.
Another absolutely great presentation by Peter Zeihan. IMHO, Peter has done a tremendous amount of research on a huge number of technical topics and has put together a wonderfully informative presentation on geopolitics and demographics. If we could get all 435 US House of Representatives and all 100 US Senators to watch Peter's presentation, we would undoubtedly see an improvement in American governance. Peter's discussion in his 2015 first book, The Accidental Superpower, about Ukraine and Russia was exactly on target.
I agree, but the problem then are the elected representatives. They wouldn’t know what to do with the truth if it landed on their face and started to wriggle. Cheers.
BTW, that book was published in 2014...before Russia seized Crimea. He's admitted he's a generalist which means he works with a lot of specialists to assemble his arguments. So consider he was probably writing that book back in 2012...which makes him even more prophetic. Those same strategic maps of Russia were in Accidental Superpower.
Pete Z is always a great speaker and he has no issues saying Green Religion Tech is doubtful and environmentally damaging, praises Trump (on NAFTA), generally a well rounded person.
@Marius M the only thing Trump did right? $2 gas. NATO contribution to its own defense, tried to warn them about Russia. The Abrahamic Accords. No war in Ukraine. Kept North Korea in check And I'm just waking up. Yes, tweeted like a 9th grader, egotistical but he knew what was what.
@@dre6289 The general audience for all of his speeches and books are Americans. And his message is always “ America will be fine and the Rest of the world will collapse “ which is what his audience want to hear.
Always learn something from Peter's talk. Thank you for mentioning NE Alberta's winter weather, I'm not sure a lot of Americans know about the weather here, lol.
And just recently, the Speaker of the House is now from Shreveport. Someone needs to get him to listen to this, particularly the part about the Jones Act.
Great talk and great information... the reality will shaoe the future.. whether you like it or not.. Now that we can see the big waves that are comming.. he have to be prepared to surf them!!
Will admit, I find Zeihen useful but if your a longer term listener China and Europe should’ve imploded like 2 years ago. I like his work but it does often fall into the fearporn category. He’s often right with Trends and the finals destination just not the timing and slopes of those trends.
Peter Z is so damned good in understanding how the world and humans work! Please don't make your whereabouts known , or you may find a balloon hovering over you.
@@kenhickford6581 What does his being an American have to do with it? His news is bad for everybody. He just delivers the medicine with a spoonful of sugar.
@@blafonovision4342 My post was not about him, it was about ANY American. Basically, his talks are more or less saying 'The USA is gonna be 'ALL right Jack', we are pulling out of the rest of the world to let you get on with it. In all probability he is right, but twice now in History USA has withdrawn into 'Isolationism', but now the weapons available are far more powerful/devastating. PS.....I never saw any 'Sugarcoating'!? Factual yes!....Sugarcoating?,,,NO!
@@kenhickford6581 I don’t understand. The rest of the world has argued for the end of the American Empire since 1945. I would think the rest of the world would be happy that the Americans are withdrawing their military.
@@blafonovision4342 Re: "I would think the rest of the world would be happy that the Americans are withdrawing their military"? Really???......Tell me that in a couple of years time,....If the system you will be living under even allows you that privilege...Or if we are still alive! Lol! Inasmuch as the Yanks are are 'Angina Rectum', much akin to our alleged corrupt Police Force, you will find that they are a necessary evil!
1:25:00 Brilliant stuff 👏. GenX are Zoomers' shadow generation. GenX the nomad and Zoomers the artist. Kinda similar, but kinda different. One thing I could envision would be a meeting of all the major oracles like Peter Zeihan and Neil Howe.
Pretty interesting. Also, that's a great example why a single country must never be the only resource source for the entire continent. I understand that we can't magically move the resources between countries, but what we really can do is to make everything that a single gigimon country splits in like 10-20, so decentralized regions are easier to be forced to behave like normal human beings
Very interesting I think. It isn't a coincidence that South Korea and Japan both set the stage for developing nuclear arsenals or having a piece of another country's nuclear deterrent deployed within their borders. Putin's nuclear threats have already sobered up a lot of governments around the world. Well a distinction can be made. A democracy has the benefit of evolving ideas and self-reflection. When you let a man play king in a nuclear-armed nation, he's completely unchecked. That is why Putin, Xi, and other dictators are dangerous when they get ideas that go completely unchecked. The ability to protest without consequences or share a different opinion is a very important feature of democracies. We should be happy to have opposition to our ideas as long as the overwhelming majority agrees that a democratic form of government is actually in their best interest from the standpoint of affecting real change in the direction of society. The opinions of voters matters. None of that exists in Russia or China, and it makes them dangerous regardless of how powerful our military is.
That's foolish, then we would be at the mercy of foreign countries to provide goods. At a time when we are reshoring our manufacturing you really want to offshore our transportation?? How does that make sense?? You want to deglobalize production, but globalize ocean transport...........
@@williamanderson4029 globalize is irrelevant. The jones act recently only functioned to keep the US shipbuilding industry afloat against stronger competitors. This led to decline of cities that by all means should be absurdly rich. Those competitors are going away to a large extent. Plus, the new tariffs that will make US industry and ships competitve again with whichever countries we trade with. Those cities will rise again, with or without the Jones act, but the Jones act no longer serves a purpose.
The Jones act will continue to stand on national security grounds. Repealing it would supercharge the water transportation sector, yes, but at the cost of wiping out what little shipbuilding and shipping industry we have left. The US military relies on the domestic shipbuilding and maritime shipping industries to build, maintain, and operate its merchant marine. They also add additional construction and maintenance capacity to the military's and the defense industry's yards in event of a war. The reshoring of our manufacturing and onset of deglobalization will already induce demand for river shipping and will grow the industry whether the Jones Act stays or not.
@@adurpandya2742 You need to do a bit of research on the topic prior to commenting. A large percentage of major shipyards in the US are wholly or partly owned by foreign companies. Austal USA, Keppel in Brownsville TX, Kvaerner in Philly, Fincantieri in WI, and on and on. These yards are foreign owned with a US subsidiary that allows them to compete here. Foreign (ie Asian) yards are NOT stronger, they simply pay their labor at slave wages that no first world country can compete with. Judging from your title I would guess you are from Singapore (a major Asian shipbuilding state), now that drillship & semi production has stalled your simply looking to break into other markets. Good jobs and onshored production are what is going to carry the US thru th enext 10 years of hardship.
Just a thought, and I am sure Peter has already had these conversations with several equity firms, but an investment model trading on areas of this 5 to 10 year projection would be extremely interesting. I am not talking wholistically, more industry or market specific (I am sure I am not the only one who has watched this and his other videos with an eye towards industries and companies that will or should thrive). This would be in the re-industrilization, processing, refining or agricultural base or any of the hundreds of knock on impacts from there. Then there is the internal demographic changes that have been accelerated with Covid (high cost urban to lower cost rural/medium urban) just within the US that will only be accelerated by the industrilization. The change in capital flows internally from High cost northern urban centers to lower cost "new" manufacturing locations in the US (looking at you Alabama)....
I'm always looking for investment ideas which resonate with PZ's insights. Hopefully, Sprott's new energy transition metals fund (symbol SETM) benefits. I just bought some.
@pa3465 "ETFs just took a nose dive in the last month." Wouldn't that depend on what a particular ETF holds in its portfolio? "Indexes are still king for most." Wouldn't that depend on what a particular index follows?
I’m a big Zeihan fan … been listening steady for 4 years. I’m having a disconnect between Peter’s description of China, and what the news talks about concerning their space skills such their space lab and military build out ….
I hear you. I've also had that cognitive dissonance between the Ray Dalio "Changing World Order" China depiction versus Peter's "China has a few years left" depiction. Both depictions likely have their partial truths, I personally like to look at it as both having valid points. China is surging militarily AND will have to deal with massive demographics problems
I am retired CIA and thought I had a pretty good handle on the world today. Peter Zeihan mentions stuff I have NEVER heard of, I'm truly impressed and also now scared feces-less. If half of what he mentions comes true the world will SOON BE IN THE SHIT up to our necks.
The problem is that demographics usually moves at a glacial pace. Yet it’s inevitable. We can make a very accurate prediction of how many 20 year olds there will be 15 years from now. They’re already here.
I'm sure the corrupt politicians and their friends will find a way to hinder progress and divert the wealth to their own advantage. Like the old saying goes, "In Louisiana, we don't tolerate corruption, we insist on it."
If you watch this you can skip 90% of all the future RUclips Zeihan videos in the future except his live feeds. They will chop this up and recycle it with new graphics and say they are just an hour old and keep recycling them for months. This is recent.
There's a number of You Tube channels riding his coattails. But it does get him to a wider audience. I haven't watch Joe Rogan in a year or so but I went back to see his piece with Zeihan.
The graphic at 1:12:10 is quite a stretch of imagination. Neither Finland nor Sweden can ever be a net food exporters when most of their territory are exposed to harsh conditions to agriculture and their supermarkets are basically filled with MUCH cheaper products from South Europe. I know because I live in Scandinavia. Where does this man gets his graphics?. Great show, I give him that.
What map are you referring to? The map on the right shows population density which is low in Finland and Sweden. The map on the left shows they don't have farm land (green).
Zeihan is more entertainer than scholar. He presents well, but ultimately his tendency towards hyperbole and melodrama exposes and undermines his own arguments.
@@arcabuz I agree. This is my first Zeihan video. I had heard about him from others and was curious and really hoped for better. But it's so full of inaccuracies, hyperbole and wild non sequitur conclusions I had to stop halfway through. He's the "intellectual" the current internet generation deserves lol (btw thank you for sharing your information on Scandinavia and food security in the original post.)
"We're looking at the end of the German manufacturing *system * in less than two years" This guy doesn't mince his words! Let's come back in two years and see how things panned out.
You can go back to the first presentation he gave in 2014. It's the earliest I could find and it occurred while he was hawking his first book published the same year. It's prophetic.
@@Anonbinarymouse actually coming to fruition. He put a lot of pieces together for me that I kinda already knew but never put them together to predict the future. For example, I knew that much of Europe was suffering from low birth rates. But it never occurred to me that would result in their economies becoming dependent on exports rather than internal consumption.
Peter is very entertaining to listen to. His predictions are gargantuanly exaggerated at best and totally BS at worst, but pre presentation is excellent.
Can't find a timestamp but what he said about the Kerch strait bridge is wrong. The car bomb destroyed one of the two road bridges and damaged the other one. The two rail bridges were slightly damaged because a train was passing at the time and it caught on fire. Both rail bridges and one of the road bridges were able to be utilized again within weeks. Normal rail traffic is running again on one track and reduced-load trains are running on the other, and that's information from early December. Likewise one car lane is destroyed but the other is open to light traffic. Not a frame-shattering error but something he said that was blatantly wrong, delivered with confidence and panache. Since i know it wasn't true, that was the one I caught. But I'm sure other people heard other things that they're familiar with and thought "wait, that's not right."
@@michaelstanley5215 his claim was that it was still totally out of commission in early 2023 and that russia couldn't supply crimea by that route. That's straight up wrong.
A lot of the content in his books is a contextualized telling of history. He explains why things are happening now. What in events in history set the stage for current events. But let's be honest...half of the country really doesn't want to be reminded of history.
Build a society that funnels wealth up to the CEOs and multi-millionaires, at the expense of the working class, and the working class has fewer and fewer kids. Fewer kids = fewer consumers. Fewer kids = fewer workers.
No CEOs...no workers. If you think otherwise then get the unions to open up companies with the union dues and share in the profits. Cut the CEO's out and see how that works out.
There is not a single place in the industrialized world, where births per women is more than 2.1. and there are plenty of leftish governments out there
He makes it sound as if they were sitting on an absolute gold mine that's just waiting to be utilized. That's a sign of a great speaker. But the combination of extremely cheap electricity and the proximity to both massive urban centers and easy maritime access does sound like a great opportunity for business, especially given the current world events
Legend. He is so energy conscious, the maps and graphs have to black out after 5 seconds so you can't look at the map/graph to see what he is talking about, when he is talking.
Just pause and replay what you would like time to study and absorb. I do that with Peter Zeihan all the time because of how much information he packs into his presentations. Graphics AND narration.
He meant the closest useable game-changer source for Germany. The UK and Scandinavia get the lion share of Norway gas. I'm pretty sure the Dutch get a lot too. Most of Europe is scrambling to engage west and north Africa to fill in the Russian gaps.
There are also huge fields under the Mediterranean that Egypt and Israel are starting to develop, and Qatar which has the largest reserves of natural gas on the planet.
Damn, but I want Peter’s tie. Peter does a fantastic job of breaking down complex topics and explaining implications. I disagree with some of his conclusions about Globalization, but I have different sources.
The convoy didn't FORGET fuel and food. They were expecting to be welcomed with flowers, even took their parade uniforms with them. Thought they'll obtain locally whatever resources they might need.
He changed my mind about Russia and USA. USA is basically destroying Europe by waging war here in europe against Russia. What a bastard country infact now I believe they truly did blow up the Nord Stream and I'm glad my brothers in Sweden investigated the explosion site.
It is worth wondering why his estimation of US stability is always so enthusiastically positive. Just saying, IMO all online experts are a bit drifters and entertainers
I believe that North American stability in general will be related to the generous geographical blessings such as minerals, arable land, WATER, sea coasts, easily defensible land borders, cooperation with regional trading partners, hard working blue collar types in the heartland among other factors.
I see a ton of people saying he’s full of it and that he’s “fear mongering” to sell. Like the dudes job is to interpret data, geography, politics, resources, economies, people, etc. ALL of his presentations show a STRONG correlation between REAL current circumstances that point to a very dangerous future. He makes an amazingly solid argument for everything he believes.
@@Inkkari9 if they throw all of their resources into winning and can’t recuperate the loss of their resources, then they won’t be able to sustain the industrialized country they are rn. It’s the same thing that happened after WW1 which is why Russia had to go into the Ukraine and take every scrap of food they had.
@@natebaker8125 they still have money in swiss banks and can access it when conditions is met and collapsing Russia would be a problem for Europe and also for USA. It has nasty consequence if it totally collapses and like with Soviet Union when it collapsed, it was helped. It's too big to fail. Their government and style of leading their country can collapse and change, but after that it just needs help. If usa aren't helping I'm pretty sure Europe and China and others will. Dangerous to have a wild west with nukes and weapons
Except he's just plain wrong in even the basic data. Too much hyperbole and over the top drama in his presentations to take him seriously. But he's fun to listen to.
I saw Peter Zeihan's Name, and I clicked. Thank you for sharing this BRF Louisiana.
I truly enjoyed this presentation.
He is wrong a lot, look at his old videos.
@@AFuller2020 About global demographic trends?
Same here. Peter is great!
@@AFuller2020 Do you have an example?
I've gone back to his first presentations in 2014. I have that book. That same map of Russia was published in Accidental Superpower before Russia invaded Crimea. A lot of that book is just a history in context and the demographics were pretty accurate.
I've heard much of this before but it's always such incredibly compelling viewing and it's usually subtlely updated every time.
feel the same, I watch the longer form videos just to catch all the regional stuff. The talk he did a while back in Alberta was a good one for this as well.
Zeihan is able to update as the situation develops. John Mearsheimer can't make that pivot and continues to say this is all the US' fault.
We should never gotten involved with their business.
Yea same here. Same same. Even the moment about the third tier chips when he says "F***", but yea I agree with commenter below hell update his talking points when a situation changes.
The fault is in the past. It doesn’t change as time goes on.
Again this is one of Peter's best lectures because he applies all of the principles and the current geopolitical situation to the opportunities and problems of a specific region. It makes it much easier to see how it all works.
Yea... You should know that this guy haven't any true number of anything in his presentation
Total bullsh you can find on the yellow pages. Yellow as Ucrainin flag
Exactly the person we need right now, Peter is officially now the most interesting person on the internet.
He has an interesting and insightful grasp on how the world works. I live a cpl hours from Shreveport and had no idea he was gonna that close. Hopefully he'll be invited back again.
Except that he praises and gushes for Biden. If you listen to some of his other videos and podcasts, he goes on about how Biden is perhaps the best president we have had... Ever. Bidens policies are right on point and putting the US in a clear path to success?? Never once does he mention that Biden isn't cognitively aware, or that Biden isn't even on control of his policies. I don't trust peter here with any of his models. Saying that China won't even be an entity in 7 years is beyond lunacy.
If anything it sounds like this guy is a paid propagandist for China. Insinuating that China nor Russia are a threat to the rest of the world. Biden is a shill for China and Ukraine. But somehow that doesn't play into effect on the grand scheme of things.
Incredibly gifted communicator. Perfect mix of informed and interesting. Makes me skeptical of his conclusions, because he is so charming / convincing.
The US has everything it needs and has a massive market place. That is about all you need to analyse everything.
I always have this issue with Peter Zeihan as well. There is something with his confidence that makes me sceptical. I can't help thinking "everything is more complicated than this". He's always a blast to listen to though
He doesn't realize that other countries also has their own plans. Major EU countries even doesn't want to support Ukraine that much that Russia collapses or couldn't export energy or fertilizers after the war. It's just USA UK and some eastern European countries. I bet Germany is ready to shake hands with Russia as soon as possible. Unfortunately someone destroyed Nord Stream but luckily Sweden investigated the explosion site
EU is not a middle-east, EU has strategy and plans. Damn Pope lives in Italy and has much more influence in Mexico and south America than USA. Even vatican is not a country of saints
He's more entertainer than scholar. Too much hyperbole and inaccuracies all over the place. The Neil Tyson DeGrasse of geopolitics lol
Point out some inaccuracies then
Zeihan always does a great job of simultaneously entertaining and educating.
more entertaining, much less educating.
@@mensrea1251 if you think this doesn't educate anyone you're absurd lmao.
by
This is the most solid explanation of the world economy I’ve ever seen. It made perfect sense to this layman, who has an interest, but almost no real education on the subject. This gent is incredible.
Once again another great presentation from Peter. Bravo.
Stunning
As a millennial fan of Peter's, I want to hear this hour long talk on our generation.
As a Gen X fan of Peter, I’m happy he keeps his thoughts about his and my generation a secret.
Hi Tyler,
no you don't :p
@@jeebusk bring it on, I say!! safe spaces are for Gen Z ;)
@@tylergeiger2012 he mentions the millennial gen at length in several videos, he's not necessarily flattering basically he's happy "we" exist. (I'm on the verge)
Not an hour long talk, but some workforce aspects of the different generations (millennials included)
ruclips.net/video/5s-lefbN0Hc/видео.html
Some small people complain that Peter repeats a lot of information. Oh yeah? Well, the historical events that lead us all to this point haven't changed, and we need to have his help 'stringing these pearls of wisdom' together time and again to get it through our fool heads. Thank you PZ!
Thank you uploader person! This is the most informative information on RUclips atm
Peter is the GOAT! Thank you for putting this out to the public, loved the listen.
-young entrepreneur
This is a fantastic presentation! Thank you to everyone who made this possible and to be viewed via RUclips and most of all thank you Peter for truly doing God's work by doing nothing more than taking historical data and enlightening others! God Bless America!
A very informative presentation. I hope that our state, local and federal level representatives will emerge themselves into this presentation. Spread the word!!!
I enjoyed the hell out of this. It was so good that the time flew by. lol Peter is ultra intelligent and has a wonderful way of explaining things.
Peter, the Jones Act gave the cruise industry a lot of headaches too, especially during the pandemic. Congress had to give Alaska bound ships a special exemption during the pandemic when Canadian ports were closed.
The Jones Act is a disaster.
It also wrekts anyone injured on the water as the lawsuit laws are written in such a way as to impose a set cost certainty on to very uncertain injuries. With no acknowledgement of that uncertainty. It kills Puerto Rico’s economy as well as out other territories.
The Jones Act limits ship owners liability to the value of the ship. The policy was to promote shipping. The Act applies to vehicles capable of transportation on the water. Negligent jet ski leasing company sent out a teenager with inadequate instruction. Dead. 💀 Recovery limited by the Jones Act. Arguably protects Rose from not letting Jack on the “raft”. 🤦♀️😊
It also keeps Phillipino and Russian nationals from driving those tugs up and down the Red River.
As a native Shreveporter, I appreciate this upload.
The best meal of my life was in a seafood Shreveport restaurant under an overpass!
When you wrap a bow around this, our country has an once in a generation opportunity to be a special place for it’s citizens, we’ll see if this opportunity to prosper can overshadow our leadership’s desire to drive a wedge into society to retain power.
well you allready know the answer. Look at the average populus and you see your future
Yup, you’ll be good for the next 50 years.
Buuuuttttt… February 9th, 2024 marked the warmest day in 183 years of keeping weather statistics and 2023 broke the 1.5 Celsius barrier scientist have warned us about a ‘point of no return’.
Mankind has about 100 years left on this planet, so let’s all pray for some more innovation from Musk to make space travel an actual possibility.
Love Peter’s way putting together economics, geopolitics, culture and economics again to understand what the hell is happening around us and in the world
by the internet news titles... Pretty pathetic
@@BRANDMAW what are you, even?
More importantly he is entertaining to watch/listen to. Thats what makes him unique.
@@CharliMorganMusic Russian bot.
The dude seems to dance on other people's graves too much. I mean isn't it cringe to get literally excited over the collapse of multiple countries - just to anticipate the monetary gains for the US citizens? This kind of egoism is what US is disliked for worldwide. I enjoyed the show myself, but it left an unpleasant aftertaste
Was waiting for another round of hr long PZ presentation. Great job guys.
Damn, our government better be listening to this guy. He's 20 steps ahead
Thank you for uploading this.
My brother happens to live in Shreveport and be a leading activist in trying to preserve the Red River. He wrote me after watching this video to express both his interest in Zeihan's views but also his suspicion that Zeihan is unaware of some important details that should override his concern for the Jones Act on domestic shipping in the region. In his words:
"Shreveport has been fighting the Red River for hundreds of years. For the past 50 it's been the Army Corps of Engineers. When they put in the locks and dams in the 80's, they miscalculated the amount to sediment that the Red carries. Now it it silting in behind the locks and raising the flood levels and they can't dredge/keep a shipping channel sustainably... a ton of resources going into artificially making this a port-city. In the meantime overlooking the opportunities and gifts the river naturally presented."
I know zilch about port shipping and would be interested to know how barriers like this would be overcome to achieve anything to the degree Zeihan thinks is possible here.
Zeihan is just generally unaware. He's an entertainer masquerading as a scholar.
Excellent!! Making this mandatory for all my friends and loved ones….
What a fantastic presentation! Thank you everyone for sharing via RUclips and especially thank you Peter for really doing a job at Great Brain!!!🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
I started watching this guy analyze the world and it’s crazy his point of view keep pushing videos of this guy amazing.
I just recently discovered this guy..and I live in Shreveport…I hate that I missed this
Same! I don't live in Shreveport, but I work here and I really hope the audience took this speech to heart.
Bossier City here. Hate that I missed this.
Thank you Louisiana for sharing this with everyone! J
Always knocks it out the ball park ! Well done !
Thank you for sharing this!
Another absolutely great presentation by Peter Zeihan. IMHO, Peter has done a tremendous amount of research on a huge number of technical topics and has put together a wonderfully informative presentation on geopolitics and demographics. If we could get all 435 US House of Representatives and all 100 US Senators to watch Peter's presentation, we would undoubtedly see an improvement in American governance. Peter's discussion in his 2015 first book, The Accidental Superpower, about Ukraine and Russia was exactly on target.
I agree, but the problem then are the elected representatives. They wouldn’t know what to do with the truth if it landed on their face and started to wriggle. Cheers.
He has said he’s worked with the Defense Dept & that not all are receptive.
BTW, that book was published in 2014...before Russia seized Crimea. He's admitted he's a generalist which means he works with a lot of specialists to assemble his arguments. So consider he was probably writing that book back in 2012...which makes him even more prophetic. Those same strategic maps of Russia were in Accidental Superpower.
I have never before been this depressed and entertained at the same time...
Love Peter. He is great a breaking the big picture down for a wide variety of audiences.
and he's probably very wrong too
@@Vifnis Highly unlikely, but feel free to refute his arguments with your data and analysis.
First geopolitical stand-up ever
Loool
That was great thank you very much for uploading such an awesome seminar
this guy is telling the same story for years,not only that he is full of himself,he kind of preach to us that the sky is blue... amazing!
Totally agree
He needs to stick to the agenda. So it doesn’t matter how accurate his predictions are.
Pete Z is always a great speaker and he has no issues saying Green Religion Tech is doubtful and environmentally damaging, praises Trump (on NAFTA), generally a well rounded person.
The only thing the trump regimen did right- the only. And i begrudgingly admit it.
USMCA
@@starcrib he helped lower my federal income tax.
@Marius M the only thing Trump did right? $2 gas. NATO contribution to its own defense, tried to warn them about Russia. The Abrahamic Accords. No war in Ukraine. Kept North Korea in check And I'm just waking up. Yes, tweeted like a 9th grader, egotistical but he knew what was what.
@@GoodmanMIke59 🇺🇸🦖☄️SORRY NO SALE..... A shameless insurrectionist. REPUGNANT LEADERSHIP
This guy always knows his audience
That’s a fine way to put it
He always says what the audience wants to hear. This is how he makes his money and sells his books.
@@rogerma7831 no he doesn’t. He just repackages his jokes. But the core content of the talks stays the same
@@dre6289 The general audience for all of his speeches and books are Americans. And his message is always “ America will be fine and the Rest of the world will collapse “ which is what his audience want to hear.
@@rogerma7831 you should see where he gave a talk in India to a room of Indians. He gave them some hard pills to swallow. His talk didn’t change.
Always learn something from Peter's talk. Thank you for mentioning NE Alberta's winter weather, I'm not sure a lot of Americans know about the weather here, lol.
@P A Canada. North of Montana
Southern Alaska
unless there are e4 tornados and the sky is falling we arent impressed 😂
Bad thunderstorms and hail occasionally. But mostly cold and dry like he says. Lots of bugs in the summer.
And just recently, the Speaker of the House is now from Shreveport.
Someone needs to get him to listen to this, particularly the part about the Jones Act.
Excellent, as always
Hey anyone else from Shreveport and also know of Peter?
...one word for this conference... PREPPING!!!
Great talk and great information... the reality will shaoe the future.. whether you like it or not.. Now that we can see the big waves that are comming.. he have to be prepared to surf them!!
Will admit, I find Zeihen useful but if your a longer term listener China and Europe should’ve imploded like 2 years ago. I like his work but it does often fall into the fearporn category. He’s often right with Trends and the finals destination just not the timing and slopes of those trends.
This was amazing!
God Bless America 🇺🇸
Peter Z is so damned good in understanding how the world and humans work! Please don't make your whereabouts known , or you may find a balloon hovering over you.
If you go to his channel he put a video talking while dressing up for this video. That's crazy!
A joy to listen to.
Thanks BRF
Re: "A joy to listen to"!............If you are an American!...And even then............
@@kenhickford6581 What does his being an American have to do with it? His news is bad for everybody. He just delivers the medicine with a spoonful of sugar.
@@blafonovision4342 My post was not about him, it was about ANY American.
Basically, his talks are more or less saying 'The USA is gonna be 'ALL right Jack', we are pulling out of the rest of the world to let you get on with it.
In all probability he is right, but twice now in History USA has withdrawn into 'Isolationism', but now the weapons available are far more powerful/devastating.
PS.....I never saw any 'Sugarcoating'!?
Factual yes!....Sugarcoating?,,,NO!
@@kenhickford6581 I don’t understand. The rest of the world has argued for the end of the American Empire since 1945. I would think the rest of the world would be happy that the Americans are withdrawing their military.
@@blafonovision4342 Re: "I would think the rest of the world would be happy that the Americans are withdrawing their military"?
Really???......Tell me that in a couple of years time,....If the system you will be living under even allows you that privilege...Or if we are still alive! Lol!
Inasmuch as the Yanks are are 'Angina Rectum', much akin to our alleged corrupt Police Force, you will find that they are a necessary evil!
That tie makes me wanna slam my iPad on the desk, but I'm not gonna do it...
This is one of the most informative videos I've watched in my lifetime!
Misinformative. It is disinformation.
You've been mugged lol
Bravo! Great presentation.
I'm here for Peter "Melon Scoop" Zeihan
Zeihanadomis
Wish I knew he was coming. Would've been nice to attend as I'm right down the road from Shreveport.
I am a Zeihanist!
1:25:00 Brilliant stuff 👏. GenX are Zoomers' shadow generation. GenX the nomad and Zoomers the artist. Kinda similar, but kinda different.
One thing I could envision would be a meeting of all the major oracles like Peter Zeihan and Neil Howe.
thank you!
Pretty interesting. Also, that's a great example why a single country must never be the only resource source for the entire continent. I understand that we can't magically move the resources between countries, but what we really can do is to make everything that a single gigimon country splits in like 10-20, so decentralized regions are easier to be forced to behave like normal human beings
Very interesting I think. It isn't a coincidence that South Korea and Japan both set the stage for developing nuclear arsenals or having a piece of another country's nuclear deterrent deployed within their borders. Putin's nuclear threats have already sobered up a lot of governments around the world.
Well a distinction can be made. A democracy has the benefit of evolving ideas and self-reflection. When you let a man play king in a nuclear-armed nation, he's completely unchecked. That is why Putin, Xi, and other dictators are dangerous when they get ideas that go completely unchecked. The ability to protest without consequences or share a different opinion is a very important feature of democracies. We should be happy to have opposition to our ideas as long as the overwhelming majority agrees that a democratic form of government is actually in their best interest from the standpoint of affecting real change in the direction of society. The opinions of voters matters. None of that exists in Russia or China, and it makes them dangerous regardless of how powerful our military is.
All eggs in same bucket, that's the way to go 😁
Or maybe not force them into a war
Yeah sure. Invading your neighbor, killing their people and kidnapping their children is “forced”
Hooray, more Peter Z!!
Repeal the Jones Act! ❤
Soon, we won’t even need to. Even though we should.
That's foolish, then we would be at the mercy of foreign countries to provide goods. At a time when we are reshoring our manufacturing you really want to offshore our transportation?? How does that make sense?? You want to deglobalize production, but globalize ocean transport...........
@@williamanderson4029 globalize is irrelevant. The jones act recently only functioned to keep the US shipbuilding industry afloat against stronger competitors. This led to decline of cities that by all means should be absurdly rich. Those competitors are going away to a large extent. Plus, the new tariffs that will make US industry and ships competitve again with whichever countries we trade with. Those cities will rise again, with or without the Jones act, but the Jones act no longer serves a purpose.
The Jones act will continue to stand on national security grounds. Repealing it would supercharge the water transportation sector, yes, but at the cost of wiping out what little shipbuilding and shipping industry we have left. The US military relies on the domestic shipbuilding and maritime shipping industries to build, maintain, and operate its merchant marine. They also add additional construction and maintenance capacity to the military's and the defense industry's yards in event of a war.
The reshoring of our manufacturing and onset of deglobalization will already induce demand for river shipping and will grow the industry whether the Jones Act stays or not.
@@adurpandya2742 You need to do a bit of research on the topic prior to commenting. A large percentage of major shipyards in the US are wholly or partly owned by foreign companies. Austal USA, Keppel in Brownsville TX, Kvaerner in Philly, Fincantieri in WI, and on and on. These yards are foreign owned with a US subsidiary that allows them to compete here. Foreign (ie Asian) yards are NOT stronger, they simply pay their labor at slave wages that no first world country can compete with. Judging from your title I would guess you are from Singapore (a major Asian shipbuilding state), now that drillship & semi production has stalled your simply looking to break into other markets. Good jobs and onshored production are what is going to carry the US thru th enext 10 years of hardship.
Damn I've been hoping the presentation he used that glorious tie for would actually go up on the youtubes.
Just a thought, and I am sure Peter has already had these conversations with several equity firms, but an investment model trading on areas of this 5 to 10 year projection would be extremely interesting. I am not talking wholistically, more industry or market specific (I am sure I am not the only one who has watched this and his other videos with an eye towards industries and companies that will or should thrive).
This would be in the re-industrilization, processing, refining or agricultural base or any of the hundreds of knock on impacts from there. Then there is the internal demographic changes that have been accelerated with Covid (high cost urban to lower cost rural/medium urban) just within the US that will only be accelerated by the industrilization. The change in capital flows internally from High cost northern urban centers to lower cost "new" manufacturing locations in the US (looking at you Alabama)....
the cheap land and labor of the American south is kinda begging for re-industrialization.
I'm always looking for investment ideas which resonate with PZ's insights. Hopefully, Sprott's new energy transition metals fund (symbol SETM) benefits. I just bought some.
@pa3465 That's why an ETF seems like the prudent way to participate. I look at a fund like PBW and am reassured about the trend.
@pa3465 "ETFs just took a nose dive in the last month." Wouldn't that depend on what a particular ETF holds in its portfolio? "Indexes are still king for most." Wouldn't that depend on what a particular index follows?
I’m a big Zeihan fan … been listening steady for 4 years. I’m having a disconnect between Peter’s description of China, and what the news talks about concerning their space skills such their space lab and military build out ….
I hear you. I've also had that cognitive dissonance between the Ray Dalio "Changing World Order" China depiction versus Peter's "China has a few years left" depiction. Both depictions likely have their partial truths, I personally like to look at it as both having valid points. China is surging militarily AND will have to deal with massive demographics problems
@@JohnScargall1 They don’t have to outlast the US. They just have to outlast their closest rival, Russia.
I am retired CIA and thought I had a pretty good handle on the world today. Peter Zeihan mentions stuff I have NEVER heard of, I'm truly impressed and also now scared feces-less. If half of what he mentions comes true the world will SOON BE IN THE SHIT up to our necks.
The problem is that demographics usually moves at a glacial pace. Yet it’s inevitable.
We can make a very accurate prediction of how many 20 year olds there will be 15 years from now. They’re already here.
So glad to be American.
90 minutes!!! This is going to be lit 🔥
I sure hope Louisiana listens to this man
I'm sure the corrupt politicians and their friends will find a way to hinder progress and divert the wealth to their own advantage. Like the old saying goes, "In Louisiana, we don't tolerate corruption, we insist on it."
@@kangarooninja2594 Unfortunate reality
If you watch this you can skip 90% of all the future RUclips Zeihan videos in the future except his live feeds. They will chop this up and recycle it with new graphics and say they are just an hour old and keep recycling them for months. This is recent.
They get the clicks. It’s annoying. I wish there’s a filter for recycled content.
I wonder why people pay to go see him live when all this has been said before in his countless other RUclips video's?😀
@@meinhd1483 industry and trade groups pay him. In this case he focused on their region. His talks can get more specific depending on the audience.
There's a number of You Tube channels riding his coattails. But it does get him to a wider audience. I haven't watch Joe Rogan in a year or so but I went back to see his piece with Zeihan.
Fascinating talk
Peter is funny to listen to and know to how entertain the crowd.
And that’s about all. His facts are somehow poorly backed by reliable data. But he delivered a show. I guess this is how you sell books.
lol yeah, more entertainer than actual scholar.
The legendary tie knocks it out of the park once again.
The graphic at 1:12:10 is quite a stretch of imagination. Neither Finland nor Sweden can ever be a net food exporters when most of their territory are exposed to harsh conditions to agriculture and their supermarkets are basically filled with MUCH cheaper products from South Europe. I know because I live in Scandinavia. Where does this man gets his graphics?.
Great show, I give him that.
What map are you referring to?
The map on the right shows population density which is low in Finland and Sweden.
The map on the left shows they don't have farm land (green).
@@obcane3072 my bad, I pointed to the wrong time, fixed. I mean the map at 1:12:10
Zeihan is more entertainer than scholar. He presents well, but ultimately his tendency towards hyperbole and melodrama exposes and undermines his own arguments.
@@mensrea1251 it is such underwhelming feeling to listen to an articulate person whose content is not thoroughly backed by right data
@@arcabuz I agree. This is my first Zeihan video. I had heard about him from others and was curious and really hoped for better. But it's so full of inaccuracies, hyperbole and wild non sequitur conclusions I had to stop halfway through. He's the "intellectual" the current internet generation deserves lol (btw thank you for sharing your information on Scandinavia and food security in the original post.)
"We're looking at the end of the German manufacturing *system * in less than two years" This guy doesn't mince his words! Let's come back in two years and see how things panned out.
Lol this silly fear porn sells well but if there is a major setback for German manufacturing, I will say the global economy will be in shambles.
You can go back to the first presentation he gave in 2014. It's the earliest I could find and it occurred while he was hawking his first book published the same year. It's prophetic.
@@Anonbinarymouse actually coming to fruition. He put a lot of pieces together for me that I kinda already knew but never put them together to predict the future.
For example, I knew that much of Europe was suffering from low birth rates. But it never occurred to me that would result in their economies becoming dependent on exports rather than internal consumption.
Said another way; "We blew up Nordstream and now Germany is done."
@Lightdamp Sweet enough Yes, Biden said they'd "take care of it". US blew it up.
AMAZING TALK!
On 1:10:15 : 12% of imported potash coming to Australia from Lithuania is most probably Russian potash. Never heard of potash mined in Lithuania.
Belarus. And the Lithuanians are doing some soul searching about helping Lukashenko with that export.
Great presentation
Hot-rolled steel is not "stronger" than cold-rolled steel. It's "weaker" but more ductile.
Per industrial costing.
Great info!😊
Peter is very entertaining to listen to. His predictions are gargantuanly exaggerated at best and totally BS at worst, but pre presentation is excellent.
That's it, this guy is a good talker and he's getting a good paycheck
Can you point out where he's wrong that isn't a complete nit pick?
Can't find a timestamp but what he said about the Kerch strait bridge is wrong. The car bomb destroyed one of the two road bridges and damaged the other one. The two rail bridges were slightly damaged because a train was passing at the time and it caught on fire. Both rail bridges and one of the road bridges were able to be utilized again within weeks. Normal rail traffic is running again on one track and reduced-load trains are running on the other, and that's information from early December. Likewise one car lane is destroyed but the other is open to light traffic. Not a frame-shattering error but something he said that was blatantly wrong, delivered with confidence and panache. Since i know it wasn't true, that was the one I caught. But I'm sure other people heard other things that they're familiar with and thought "wait, that's not right."
@@baronobeefdip1119 More then slightly damaged, the rail line had to be rebuilt which took over a month. He wasn't incorrect about that.
@@michaelstanley5215 his claim was that it was still totally out of commission in early 2023 and that russia couldn't supply crimea by that route. That's straight up wrong.
Most important video on RUclips
This is what we need in school
Current events
A lot of the content in his books is a contextualized telling of history. He explains why things are happening now. What in events in history set the stage for current events. But let's be honest...half of the country really doesn't want to be reminded of history.
Great comments!
Build a society that funnels wealth up to the CEOs and multi-millionaires, at the expense of the working class, and the working class has fewer and fewer kids. Fewer kids = fewer consumers. Fewer kids = fewer workers.
Still kind of nice not being so expendable
No CEOs...no workers.
If you think otherwise then get the unions to open up companies with the union dues and share in the profits. Cut the CEO's out and see how that works out.
@@obcane3072 You do know that America has co-ops, right?
There is not a single place in the industrialized world, where births per women is more than 2.1. and there are plenty of leftish governments out there
Zeihan is truly one of us, a hater of Gentiles. Thank God for him. Shalom.
Lol...
Starts @ 1:20.
He makes it sound as if they were sitting on an absolute gold mine that's just waiting to be utilized. That's a sign of a great speaker.
But the combination of extremely cheap electricity and the proximity to both massive urban centers and easy maritime access does sound like a great opportunity for business, especially given the current world events
Legend. He is so energy conscious, the maps and graphs have to black out after 5 seconds so you can't look at the map/graph to see what he is talking about, when he is talking.
Just pause and replay what you would like time to study and absorb. I do that with Peter Zeihan all the time because of how much information he packs into his presentations. Graphics AND narration.
I didn't notice that. That's is really interesting. Thank you for pointing that out. The real information is in the subtlety isn't it....?
I just watched one of Peter’s talk in 2014, he was on spot to predict Russia Ukraine war with geopolitical & demographic information. Brilliant ❤
The closest natural gass to Germany that's not Russian is NOT Nigeria! It's Norway - a neighbour
Yeah but Norway gas is mostly spoken for and can't produce near the capacity to fuel the Germans economic juggernaut.
@@frankcrosby6222 Maby, but Norway's still the 7th biggest producer of natural gas in the world, while Nigeria is at 12th. So either way, PZ is wrong!
He meant the closest useable game-changer source for Germany. The UK and Scandinavia get the lion share of Norway gas. I'm pretty sure the Dutch get a lot too. Most of Europe is scrambling to engage west and north Africa to fill in the Russian gaps.
@@frankcrosby6222 He simply didn’t know it. If he did, he would know Germany get more gas from Norway than before.
There are also huge fields under the Mediterranean that Egypt and Israel are starting to develop, and Qatar which has the largest reserves of natural gas on the planet.
Extraordinarily entertaining
This guy has missed on so much in the last 2 years
He's a paid propagandist by the DoD
Damn, but I want Peter’s tie.
Peter does a fantastic job of breaking down complex topics and explaining implications. I disagree with some of his conclusions about Globalization, but I have different sources.
The convoy didn't FORGET fuel and food. They were expecting to be welcomed with flowers, even took their parade uniforms with them. Thought they'll obtain locally whatever resources they might need.
Even if you think he's mistaken, Zeihan is still fun to listen to. Amazing presenter.
He even admits on some things he's taking best guesses. It's a rough estimation of what's to come.
He changed my mind about Russia and USA. USA is basically destroying Europe by waging war here in europe against Russia. What a bastard country infact now I believe they truly did blow up the Nord Stream and I'm glad my brothers in Sweden investigated the explosion site.
Russia must never have Ukraine. We will not let Russia do what it wants
Too many errors to be entertaining.
@@Claude_van Chinese bot
what a great presenter.
It is worth wondering why his estimation of US stability is always so enthusiastically positive. Just saying, IMO all online experts are a bit drifters and entertainers
I believe that North American stability in general will be related to the generous geographical blessings such as minerals, arable land, WATER, sea coasts, easily defensible land borders, cooperation with regional trading partners, hard working blue collar types in the heartland among other factors.
@@carylhalfwassen8555 it is a little naive to omit the social issues that keep polarising it. Empires have imploded before.
That was fantastic
I see a ton of people saying he’s full of it and that he’s “fear mongering” to sell. Like the dudes job is to interpret data, geography, politics, resources, economies, people, etc. ALL of his presentations show a STRONG correlation between REAL current circumstances that point to a very dangerous future. He makes an amazingly solid argument for everything he believes.
Much of it depends on collapse of Russia which isn't going to happen
@@Inkkari9 if they throw all of their resources into winning and can’t recuperate the loss of their resources, then they won’t be able to sustain the industrialized country they are rn. It’s the same thing that happened after WW1 which is why Russia had to go into the Ukraine and take every scrap of food they had.
@@natebaker8125 they still have money in swiss banks and can access it when conditions is met and collapsing Russia would be a problem for Europe and also for USA. It has nasty consequence if it totally collapses and like with Soviet Union when it collapsed, it was helped. It's too big to fail. Their government and style of leading their country can collapse and change, but after that it just needs help. If usa aren't helping I'm pretty sure Europe and China and others will. Dangerous to have a wild west with nukes and weapons
Except he's just plain wrong in even the basic data. Too much hyperbole and over the top drama in his presentations to take him seriously. But he's fun to listen to.
I like his tie.