New Countries That Might Exist By 2030
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- Опубликовано: 1 июл 2024
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▶ In this video, I talk about The New York Times' List Of Potential New Countries, as written by two opinion authors in 2012. It's important to note this wasn't an official New York Times position or prediction, but rather that of those two authors - Frank Jacobs and Parag Khana. Throughout the video, I go through a few of their predicted countries, such as Azawad - a breakaway state in Mali caused by Tuareg rebellion and focusing on the topic of Berber Nationalism in North and West Africa. The hypothetical of Afghanistan and Pakistan into Balochistan and Pashtunistan, uniting the ethnic groups that are today separated by the countries' border. The Arab Gulf Union, which the authors predicts would mean a Saudi Arabia take-over of the Peninsula, bringing Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, the UAE, Yemen and Oman under their control via a de facto political and economical union. The potential breakup of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, namely the Eastern provinces of Kivu - which could join Rwanda too - and the Southern province of Katanga - which could join Zambia. Moving on to Somaliland, Somalia's breakaway state and the most likely prediction they made. Presenting a hypothetical scenario for post-internal conflict Syria, where the old regime would be reduced to the coast, creating an Alawite State and mimicking the division of Syria at the time of French Colonial Rule. As well as an independent Kurdistan based on Syria's internal troubles and Iraq's constant instability. Finally looking at the potential of an expansion for Azerbaijan, into the Azeri populated region of Northern Iran, should the latter break up due to a regime collapse.
📰 Link to the source article: archive.nytimes.com/www.nytim...
TIMESTAMPS:
00:00 Intro
00:37 Azawad
02:03 Balochistan & Pashtunistan
03:26 Arabian Gulf Union
05:48 More Congos
07:09 Somaliland
07:59 Alawite
08:45 Kurdistan
09:34 Greater Azerbaijan
10:16 Summary
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*Do you think any of these potential countries still has a chance of becoming independent? And which others do you think could become their own nation in the future?*
I don't think there will be any pashtunistan any time in near future because that thing ended quite a while ago after the fencing of the pak Afghanistan border and development of roads and highways in the area of Kpk which connected the province and made it more united. After the Taliban take over of Afghanistan. The pashtun people in kpk have become anti Taliban because they had seen what Taliban did 15 years ago when there was taliban presence in kpk.
شما ارزوی تجزیه ایران رو به گور میبرید
India warned Pakistan that if there was another terrorist attack like the one happened in 2008 in Mumbai, Balochistan will be split from Pakistan and be a new country. India gives asylum to Baloch freedom fighters and when the above-mentioned scenario happen Baloch fighters are gonna get more training and weapons from unknown entity and finally get to have a new state.
Pro tip don't get info from losers working for a newspaper.
@@IxoraNerain which Bollywood movie india will separate Balochistan? I think you forgot pulwama attack where 40 indian pigs were sent to hell by kashmiri freedom fighters.
Bougainville is the only one that’s set in stone
True.
True.
Wdym by that
@@pauleragbaiits the only one set in stone
Has the parliament of Papua New Guinea already accepted the result? If not, it is not set in stone, as it was a non binding referendum
Considering a lot of those predictions were about the Middle East/other Muslim states, I think it’s important to remember that these predictions were made in 2012; i.e. right off the back of the Arab Spring. Everyone was optimistic that the Middle East would overthrow their dictators and give freedom to their people… yeah, we saw how that went. With that context, it’s easier to see why they thought all those Islamic countries would collapse, which seems unthinkable now.
The writer forgot that there are already many breakaway movement even in Europe itself and it did happen when the book is written. Technically only 1 is "success" but only for 8 second
Without russian and American intervention iraq and syria was going down.
@@fakhrianuar9264 Catalonia?
@@thelegendaryarceus5618 yeah, who else actually got independence only for 8 seconds
Arab spring bull!!! Created by NATO. Nothing was wrong the Midlle east countries!!!
Gulf Union!??? Again and Again, NATO wants to create countries?? So they can fight each other again!!! How can you mix : Oranges V Lemons!???
By 2025 Whole Palestine will be created!!!
Creating a new state is hard, if not borderline impossible in the modern world. You need significant enough support (because minority uprisings usually fail eventually due to weight of numbers) and for the Great Powers to either back you or not intervene.
Bougainville has a decent chance
And maybe French Polynesia who recently voted in pro Indy people
@@gothicgolem2947 I believe Bougaineville will succeed and French Polynesia stands a chance because neither Papua New Guinea nor France are going to fight a war over some islands in the Pacific that make up a tiny fraction of their territory, population, and (most importantly) economy. Those are cases of indifference or at least the countries that control them likely not viewing escalating the issue as worthwhile. They don't stand a lot to lose while the people there stand something to gain.
@@SurgicalStrike41 yeah Papua New Guinea already fought a war before in Bougainville I doubt they want to repeat that. And French Polynesian has a good chance too if they aggressively push for it for the reasons you said and the fact France has a track record allowing referendums.
The most png would do is vote against it and hope it dies down but if any sort of rebellion happens I doubt they would want to contest it again
About a month ago a constitutional referendum passed in Mali, creating two new regions in the north, wich was part of a peace deal with seperatists
Somaliland is honestly one of the most stable states in the Horn of Africa. Lack of international recognition is due to them not breaking bread with the western banking cartels, not because they have contested or unstable authority over the region.
There is an ongoing conflict around Las Anod. That region wants to return to Somalia so their authority over the whole claimed territory is in dispute.
It is really surprising how stable they have managed to make it, especially being a break-away state.
@@General.Knowledgeit's a breakaway
It was independent since 1960 FROM Britain.
There is no act of union signed as ruled by Somali court in 1961
You can say despite not being recognised
As an American i would love to see a independent Somaliland
And putnitland is also in somalia
As a Pakistani,if the government continues to do basically nothing then yeah its probably gonna collapse.
Ima bet the indian nationalists are going to start hollering about "reclaiming pakistan" or some other shit if that happpens.
A collapse to be honest a detriment to India
@@gautam414nah nobody wants burden
@@gautam414 no one wants to have that shit Pakistan lands
I am Pakistani too from (Balochistan) and 2023 elections are happening soon let’s just hope Imran khan wins
You're forgetting the risk of collapse of the Belgian state and the independence of Flanders.
There's definitely a lot more examples yeah, I feel like Belgium is an ever-present example
Considering the presence of the EU, I don't think this is particularly likely or consequential
This video literally shows how diverse is Iran 😁 as Iranian Kurd I just like Iran look like how it does today, but with a good government and more rights for minorities.😌
The Persian imperial state can’t be allowed to live- soon enough we’ll need to wipe away Persia
If Iran was to give more freedom to the people then Iran had changed to pro west
Are their many Islamists people in Iran
@@karankapoor2701Pakistani Iranian here, there's not that many Islamist people in Iran and 33% of people would describe themselves as irreligious.
ارزوی تجزیه ایران دیوانشون کرده
Iran's protests have nothing to do with a division in the country and in fact that is not even a minor threat for a country like Iran. As an Iranian Azeri I should say that unification of The UK and France is a more probable thing than Iran's Azeri part joining The republic of Azerbaijan!
ارزوی تجزیه ایران داره دیوانشون میکنه
@@lucinae8510 I think the first and the most dramatic error that some westerners make about Iran is that they think of Iran as other middle eastern countries but the huge difference of Iran is that these people are a real nation for thousands of years under the name of Iran (or Persia) and it should be compared to a nation like China in this case not Syria or Iraq which are built based on westerners idea. About Azerbaijan we sould take a look back in the history and see how Aran and Shervam regions (now called the republic of Azerbaijan) were separated from the Qajar Persia. Those people had even some movements to not let this happen but you can't resist in front of Russia at the time. Then you see how the Pan-turkism tries to change the identity of this part by first taking the name Azerbaijan which was referred only to the southern parts of the Aras river (today the Iranian Azerbaijan) and then making a whole new history! That's fascinating to see that the history books for example are so different in the republic of Azerbaijan today even different from Turkey.
As someone of both Iranian Azeri and Armenian descent (not Azerbaijani descent), it really pisses me off en westerners try to portray Iranian Azeris and Azerbaijanis as having anything to do with each other, we're night and day. We actual Azeris hate the current regime in Iran, but still want to be Iranian. Why would we leave Iran only to enter a much worse dictatorship that is Azerbaijan the country?
@@qapra Yeah bro that's disgusting at some point!
@@Reza-uf9ql Thank you for pointing this idiotic rewriting of history. Azerbaijan calling themselves Azeris is the same foolishness and North Macedonia calling themselves Macedonia while having absolutely no Greek populations.
These guys have nothing to do with Atrapatan and have been brainwashed by Turkish propaganda to try to steal our identity while being pawns of Turkish dream of uniting Turkic states however foolish that may be.
In fact Baku wanted to rejoin Iran after the collapse of the USSR but the Islamic government refused being worried that a influx of ex communists would impact the "morality balance" in the country. Quite a mistake if you think about as these lands were historically ours and the fact that we created a Turkish puppet state in the process and put our Armenian brothers in jeopardy eversince.
Theres a common theme with these, people assume that whatever is happening in a country will continue at the same rate, whereas in reality it either excellerates or stops.
Most breakaways never happen and will never happen. People usually dont realise what brother races are. As a Turk no one can tell me Kurds are a completely different race that needs indipendence. Not because i want a chunky imperialist Turkey but because Kurds have always been with us. Our cultures collided to the point that we are basically the same with small changes. I will always call a Kurd a Turk as well if they are okay with it. Many Kurds would never leave us Turks. There are too many reasons they wouldnt want to. The Kurds wanting indipendence is America spreading "freedom". Before America was spreading "freedom" British were spreading "christianity". All i want to say is if every goverment stopped meddling with our goverment we would have never had an issue in the first place. Any not brainwashed Kurd KNOWS whats going on. Looking at the current goverment if a total collapse happens and European and American Gov. start spreading peace in Kurdish lands i will seriously sell everything i own buy guns and gear to protect my Kurdish brothers from the real imperialists.
@histo6651 y'all literally denied their existence for decades, don't pretend to be sentimental
@@dfv2060 generalisation?
In Spain 🇪🇸 we also have several independence movements, the main ones being: the Catalan one, which demands the independence of Catalonia; the Basque, which claims the independence of “Euskal Herria” (formed by the Spanish Basque Country, Navarre, and the French Basque Country) and the Galician, which claims the independence of Galicia.
He already has videos bout em
Isn't there also a smaller movement in the Canary Islands? Which is somewhat somewhat moving from autonomy towards independence?
Spain will stay united.
@@Snoy_Flywell see if a PP VOX government become reality, the Catalans, Basques, and Galicians could completly ignore Madrid and declare there independence. The upcoming elections will be crucial
@@Snoy_Flythere is no way Spain would stay United under a nationalist government. I’m pretty sure places like Catalonia wouldn’t be fans of another far right group running the country like it had in the past.
Hey, great video man - Azawad has always interested me! Despite their often tumultuous relationship with colonial French authorities, more than a few Tuareg seemed to believe Paris would allow for the creation of some kind of autonomous Tuareg-Berber state. That never happened of course and I do agree, following the Tuareg Rebellion of 2012, I think it's highly unlikely we'll seen an independent Azawad anytime soon...if ever. There's still a possibility of greater autonomy within Mali, but I guess only time will tell.
Azawad Independence was strangled by Islamists who came in from Nth Africa. Azawad Liberation Organisation had to make a deal with Mali Gov in order to get help fighting back the Islamists.
tbh most ppl who live in pakistan see themselves first as pakistani
Lol
very interesting video. Congrats
Great job on this video.
The East African Union sounds like an interesting idea
The independence of Basque country, Catalonia, Scotland and dissolution of Belgium and unification of Romania and Moldova are more realistic than all the list in this video
You should make a video about possible border changes in the near future
I dont see balochistan independent, its very unlikely it can survive and iran wont let balochistan independent bec it might encourage the balochies in iran to have an independent movement , other than that cpec ( china pakistan economic corridor)needs gawadar which is a city in balochistan so china will also be against it and the last country balochistan will border is afghanistan and the greater Afghanistan includes balochistan and theyll try to take over balochistan's cheap gas and resources, that only leaves india as a potential ally in the reigon but i dont think india would really go to war with pakistan over balochistan since india is rapidly growing and going to a war with another nuclear power might end their rapid economic growth , and pushtunistan is very unlikely rn
As a Pakistani balcoh if India goes to war to “ free” us balochi people will be the main people fighting against Indians
As of today Balochistan is independent from Pakistan because Pakistanis are afraid of even traveling there and Pakistani soldiers are being killed on a daily basis.
True
This movement has been happening since years but the balochis don't wanna be divided
iran themselves supports baloch freedom struggle 😂and same goes to pakistan they support some groups like janduallah
I heard that Africa wants to avoid certain border splits based on culture and race because that could bring back some bad times like earlier in their history.
With that I'm sure many places do want to split into smaller nations as well.
Africa borders are fake because it was divided by European
We need to go back to our root before white man came to destroy us
From SIbi Balochistan i love my country PAKISTAN
"Civilization Day" is a good one.
Nice one
3 other countries in the article that were not mentioned in the video:
1. Split of Belgium into Flanders and Wallonia
2. China conquering Siberia
3. United Korea
WHY DO YOU MENTION CHINA CONQUERING SIBERIA? ISNT SIBERIA RUSSIA?
Adding Tigray to the list, your suggestion is highly probable. Flemish, Tigrayan and Wallonian causes is quite similar: national, ethnic, linguistic and cultural differences
As a balochi i am really shocked at after researching only 6% of people want independence from Pakistan but that’s still shocking anyway I’m personally one of the 94% of people who want to remain Pakistani 🇵🇰
Thanks bro love from another Pakistani hope u the best.
Pakistan Zindabad
@@Naderium YESS!!! 🇵🇰💕
Love you bros 🇱🇰❤️🇵🇰
How do you people feel about Iranian and Afghan Balochistan? Do you have any affinity towards them?
Great video
1:40 Thank you for talking about my origin, Kabylia in Algeria. Where did you find that image?
I can imagine Kashmir trying to break away from Pakistan and India. It would probably arrange for security guarantees from either China or the US, each with huge geopolitical implications.
Dumb movement of independence. If independent then would be left just at the mercy of India .
Most likely the usa wouldn't because if the usa did it could damage indian relations which could move india into more pro east India is already pro west so I would hate to see my nation damage relations with india
@@hriday1341well it also borders china sooo...
@@ldubt4494 So WW3 between China and India/US.
@@hriday1341it would be a Chinese Puppet state like Bhutan is an Indian Puppet state
In contrast to those Iranian officials who claim that the Turks in Iran were actually originally Persians, the late IRGC Commander Qassem Suleimani claimed that the descendants of Turkic dynasties that live in Iran are not Iranian. Suleimani claimed: "Turks are aliens and non-Iranians. For hundreds of years (during Turkic rule in Iran), Iran had no history. Non- Iranians like the Seljuks invaded and ruled Iran."74
Shaffer, B. (2023) Iran is more than persia: Ethnic politics in Iran. Berlin: De Gruyter.
You are literally everywhere writing how turks are the master race of mankind lol
@@AmirSatt Azerbaijanis are a turkic-speaking group ethnically and culturally Iranian
Most of azeris from İran claims that they are iranian.
I have an Azeri friend from Iran who says that "he speak turkish but he is iranian". His name is Mahdi, azeri name.
@@AmirSattright? He's like the youtube least nationalist turk
Turks are not genetically Turkic. The Turks from Turkey are all descendants of Greeks, Romanians, and Jewish Gypsies. Turkic people (the ones from Asia) are very genetically diverse. Some are integrated Iranians, but others are nomadic and have East Asian phenotypes.
thanks you for share
So interesting!!!❤
India warned Pakistan that if there was another terrorist attack like the one happened in 2008 in Mumbai, Balochistan will be split from Pakistan and be a new country. India gives asylum to Baloch freedom fighters and when the above-mentioned scenario happen Baloch fighters are gonna get more training and weapons from unknown entity and finally get to have a new state.
I’m getting flashbacks
At least you guys accept RAW is involved in Balochistan
As a Pakistani I believe ISI has done Mumbai attacks
@@MSthesmart It's pretty much an open secret that "Establishment 22" trained baloch fighters in Chakrata, Uttarakhand.
India itself is a terrorist state training terrorists which you admit and yet have the audacity to talk lmao
ofc a comment from an indian who aids separatist movement like iraq
Its impossible to divide Pakistan its a foolish technique to make videos on dividing Pakistan and giving airs to the internal problems and civil war in the country its quite offensive i know its a trick of superpowers to disappoint the ethnic groups 😠
Actually imran khan can do that
We want more this type of video
I remember this video from 4 years ago
As a Pakistani, Baluchistan and KPK can not break up because Balochistani Government relies heavily on the Pakistani government and the Pashtun Political Parties have ran as prime minister and succeeded. The people of Balochistan, Sindh, Punjab and KPK are united, that's what kept us alive for over 70 years.
I'm Iranian Azerbaijani And I love My Country 🇮🇷👌🏻
Lol Iranian Azzerbaijani... What does that mean? You can be either Irani or Azzerbaijani....
@@pradixrajpoot Iranian citizen, ethnically Azeri. It's not that hard to understand. Borders are important, culture is important, language is important. The nation-state theory ("ethnic groups always need to have their own separate country") was invented in Europe in the 19th century; it did not work very well for Europe (wars, deportations, erasing minority cultures). Ethnic groups are free to share a country among themselves.
@@jg-reis Got it!! It really makes sense!
there is no race as azeri (except 200k ppl in azarbaijan rumors says) Azarbaijan is a country name they are oghuz Turks like Türkiye. They are turks.@@jg-reis
@@steelhd7843 azeris orignate from medes (the same people kurds orignate from) so no they arent turks the only thing turkic about azeris is their language + most anatolian turks got greek dna anyways
Katanga already tried declaring itself indepentent in 1960.
The Tuaregs just launched a campaign in Mali. They saw your vid and said "bet"
+ Sakha, Ural Republic, Chechenya, Green Ukraine (Outer Manchuria), CossackLand, etc.
I think it probably won't happen, maybe with the Chechens, they are very nationalistic and they have relatively high fertility rate.
I want to see a kurdistan
@dunyakahrmani racist
@dunyakahrmani dont worry kurdistan will re-educate u
we'll make sure you see one 😉
Kurdistan will be free one day.
It will probably collapse in 1 week.
Gentleman says, "I don't know why?" an embarrassing amount of times...
No South Brazil???
Please! Make a video about it.
Somaliland has recently been recognized by Taiwan (ROC) so I guess that's something
That's basically like South Ossetia recognising Abkhazia
@@jonseilim4321 i know but still
@@jonseilim4321*south
@@jonseilim4321but south Ossetia are just poor countries while Taiwan have deep pockets
@@jonseilim4321Not exactly as Taiwan is more accepted as an independent country than South Ossetia
Baluchistan and Pastuhistan will be independent over my dead body
over our dead body
Cry more ...😂😂😂
It is possible that this is the same Frank Jacobs who used to write brilliant poetry satire, movie satires and other satirical comedy for Mad Magazine.
The quick view of the map of an ethnically fragmented Africa looked interesting. Have you ever done a full video on that? I think all their new flags would be quite interesting.
I did laugh at the comment that "Somalia is the poster child for a failed state". 😜
Inshallah Kurdistan will be free one day ❤️🌞💚
u ppl r really gud n beautiful
Sir your voice is so sweet
Thought Azawad came about but then faded away.
In my opinion of these i think
1 Azawad could get independence due to the borders being just lines with no geographical or ethnic components taken in. Just like the borders for the rest of Africa
2 regime change in Afghanistan is likely in the next few decades but unlikely to change borders due to the other countries not wanting to get involved
2.5 Pakistan has been going through some issues but the people from Balochistan kpk sindh punjab and kashmir see them selfves as Pakistanis internal changes will happen but border changes is extremely unlikely
3 the gulf union is extremely unlikely as the monarchies are content with keeping the power and not sacrificing it for a bigger country. Yeman is unfortunately to unstable to even stay together in it own borders sadly.
If this union was to happen it would be due to the threat of iran which has clamed since the Chinese reconciliation talks.
4 more Congo's is likely due to reasons in no 1 but at an even larger scale.
5 solmiland is defacto independent but just need approval from Somalia
6 maybe not sure but more possible then others
7 Kurdistan is unlikely as it would cause too many problems for the surrounding Nations ie iran turkey iraq syria because of the kurdish issue
8 greater Azerbaijan is unlikely due to iran be a autocratic but stable country in terms of borders. Internal change is possible but if Azerbaijan gets the north of iran rest of iran may collpase as the are many ethnic groups in iran
Sorry this was really long good video though
i heard that african union is completely opposed to redrawing ethnic borders in africa and instead wants to increase country cooperation. and they dont want countries to break apart and usually take african union military action. that means breakup of african countries is pretty unlikely
Just to add to point 6, the Alawites are highly unlikely to ignore their own tremendous sacrifices in winning the Syrian war and give up their gains in (most of) Syria; their present leader, President Assad's, domination over Syria is likely to continue
1 Mali itself is incredible unstable, relying on the Wagner Group for security now that the French are out. Depending on how Wagner activities in Mali are effected by the situation in Russia, this instability could allow Mali to collapse.
2 both are rather unlikely. PR China will not allow a total collapse of either Afghanistan or Pakistan as its border regions could be seriously effected. Also an independent Balochistan is a danger to Iran as they also control part of Balochistan.
3 Golf Union will not happen. Definitly not now that the UAE and the Saudi's are becoming suspicious of one another.
4 more Congo's is I would say unlikely. Rwanda could in theory officializing its control of certain territories in Khivu but doing that would endanger Rwanda's growth as a regional and continental power player. But DR Congo collapsing in the East is an option jut rather unlikely imo.
5 Somaliland had a strong case but the recent fighting in Las Anod has made people more carefull. As the whole Las Anod region wants to return to Somalia it could be used as a bargain chip but in its current borders it is unlikely that Somaliland become a recognized state.
7 Kurdistan could become independent within Iraq so in that sense it is possible. As a full fledged independent state, it is somewhat unlikely although it is not impossible. If Russia completly collapses the Syrian regime will be in big trouble. Iran does not have the air power to secure Syria so in this scenario maybe.
8 it could happen. If the succesion of the ayatollah will be as messy as it seems to be, Iran will be shaken to its foundation. This would open the door to more protests. Another option is that if a third Nagorno Karabach war happens, Iran acts on its words and join in on the side of Armenia. In this case a Armenian-Iranian defeat could see Southern Azerbaijan become Azeri territory.
@@leadharsh0616 ur right hower if the host country gives permission they can get independence example Sudan and South Sudan.
Somiland needs to negotiate with somolia however Azawad could be a cival war and become independent like south or in a state of limbo Like somiland
@@jonseilim4321 yea is definitely less likely due to the fact Asad is being reintroduced back to the world or at least to the Arabs
Cardiffstan, Warszawastan, Chicagostan... Add 'stan' anywhere and be happy 😁
idea do a video on failed statee
These could be new countries in existence in seven years. Belgium is so divided, so the new countries of Flanders and Wallonia can soon form. Catalonia, California, New England, Québec, Greenland, Texas, New Caledonia and Zulia are possible future countries as well. One thing is certain: no country will last forever. I am almost 31 and want to be excited about new countries coming in existence for the rest of my life for the first time.
I mean, South Sudan got independent in 2011, and I'm sure more countries were made from the timeframe between 1992-1993 to now
Liberland is the future country
@@mahatofficialvlog444 what land now?
@@thelegendaryarceus5618 it was a not a country yet but in future it will become a country it was a unclaimed land between cortia and Serbia 🇷🇸
@@mahatofficialvlog444 Just because a land is unclaimed by two countries doesn't mean it'll be a country. Hell if two countries don't want it that usually means it isn't worth it and won't survive on its own
That Greater Azerbaijan map implies they would straight up absorb Armenia
And with that, the genocide of thousands if not millions of Armenians, the destruction of Armenian history, and exile from their ancestral homeland. Causing an even larger diaspora then they already have.
Exactly
Your country is Shirvan not Azerbaijan
"Greater Azerbaijan" is disgusting because it would just mean butchery, ethnic cleansing and genocide. It would be disastrous news for humanity.
It’s clear that they thought the Arab Spring would have been more successful than it actually was
Bouganville is confirmed in 2027
Yes, all african borders should be redrawn based on cultural- und linguistic lines
The borders of Africa already look like a kindagardner drew them i agree with this comment
The world cup qualification for Africa needs to be increased massively then
perfect recipe for civil wars without end to establish those borders..
Do you know how many countries would be formed ? Do you think 2km of land that belongs to some tribe could count as a country ?
@@kingleothesomethingsomethi285 yes, Vatican is only half of the said number
The breakup of Congo may seem logical from an outside perspective, but if you know the demographics of DRC then that theory quickly becomes unrealistic.
Unless Congo breaks up into 30 micro states, there will be intense ethnic power struggles in these new countries. Particularly in the Katanga and Kivu regions.
Also, any chances of Katanga joining Zambia died in the 60s. They’re too culturally different at this point. As for the Kivu region, the only ties that Kivutians have to Rwanda is the 10% Hutu population. However, given the extreme disdain that the majority of the population has for Rwanda, that would never happen.
Lmao the joining of the two Congos is more realistic than the breakup of either at this point
Rumours about Western Cape province in South Africa? Are they a possible country?
It’s so easy to defeat a fractured country… division is never the answer and will only weaken the country
US and allies failed to create these countries 😂😂😂
I don’t know how it’s their fault really. Sure most borders where messed up by them but many of these regions only started to want independence now and if they tried to make them then every nation would want to kill them. The only reasonable exception is probably Kurdistan
Azawad and Baluchistan both seem possible tbh
Not Balochistan if the CPEC project finishes it will benefit the whole country specially Balochistan
@KACE2. "If there will be a referendum by the United Nations, I believe 90% of Baloch will vote for freedom," said Mir Suleman Dawood Jan, who belongs to the former ruling family of Kalat, a princely state which became a part of Pakistan's Balochistan province after Independence.
Dawood, who currently lives in exile in Cardiff, in the UK, was speaking on the sidelines of the 36th regular session of Human Rights Council (HRC).
@@KACE2.😂how cpec can change our country 😂china did same with Sri lanka and we are not fool like pakistan to sell our land to foreigners punjab can pakistan can but we will not let any invader to sell our land to china or Saudi
@@KACE2.CPEC will never be completed. China stopped the funding already. And out of 11 projects…only 4 were completed in last decade.
@@mohammadgandhumcbc8478 With all due respect, he is wrong. 99.99999% will want an independent Balochistan.
Bouganville: am I a joke to you?
You can add Tigray to your list. It is likely going to separate from Ethiopia
I hope the Ogaden rejoin Somalia too
I think the place that is almost guarenteed to be a country by 2030 is Bougainville. I am uncertain of which is the next likliest nation as I only see others growing their independence movements but not necessarily declaring independence. I certainly see stronger movements in Scotland, Khalistan, West Papua, Greenland, Faroe Islands, Wales, French Polynesia, etc.
If New Caledonia does another independence referenfum, then maybe.
And the situation with the Chuuk Islands is so uncertain that I am truly uncertain myself lol!
Khalistan has no buyers in India. If they wish to create one, it is possible in Canada!
Khalistan can only be made in Canada because Indians Sikhs don't support Khalistan...canadian Sikhs demand that even though they don't live here
Scotland already voted no and wales would as well
The Khalistan movement is centred in Canada, so if they ever become independent, they will from Canada.
Bougainville is confirmed for 2027 from memory, the vote already happened, the preparations are taking time to get it right.
I would like you to talk about the karaplak people in Uzbekistan and Afghanistan with the Tajik and Uzbeks I would think these Central asians would invade Afghanistan and claim the tajik and uzbeks areas after taliban fall but I think it would be messy because of America and Europe might do sanctions and I don't think these central asian countries might be able to do that but I feel sorry for the hazaras and Kurdish people they deserve a Homeland
they don't deserve it they played a major role in the armenian and assyrian genocide with the turks. but even if they got their kurdistan turkey will just invade them ,they already drop some rockets on duhok province in iraq for fun from time to time
sending love from kurdistan
There has been a big genocide going against Hazaras in Afghanistan since 130 years ago. The ruling governments have been ethnic cleansing against Hazaras. Hazaras, unlike people who supporting Taliban, are pro democracy, pro education, and against any extremism. We are victims of extremism and facism in Afg. But still we love our country. ❤
62% of Hazaras were massacred 130 yrs ago. The govt has been dehumanize Hazaras sice then. Hazaristan regions have been the most deprived regions in Afg.
It is possible for Scotland to become an independent country as well as Ireland. Then comes Texas and Alaska. The real question is why all the crap is happening far away from America and England.
Ireland is already a country? Alaska and Texas were countries in the past and that’s nonsense? Scotland voted no?
@@dwaynekeenum1916 he obviously means Northern Ireland. Scotland did vote no but that was a long time ago
"Hostile merger" sounds like invasion and annexation
As a Tunisian 🇹🇳 I support Gulf Arab union and East Africa federation. I like the idea of unions more than breakup's frankly this world has enough more than 200 nation mots of them have Bad economy
. And union mean power and USA is the best example
USA example of a union? A union between handful of British colonisers who drew lines in foreign land? A better example would be Russia, Spain, Ethiopia, or India, with all of their cultures being united under 1 federal country. Even Germany would be a better example as they were former Kingdoms that united unlike america that was just completely made up states
@xrazi1213 you're happy because germans came together and chose the union themselves. Meanwhile the rest of the world, people were forced to share countries by borders drawn by Europeans for example the African borders made in Berlin.
Great example of a union that would work but restricted by current borders is if somalia and somaliland were united with somali region of ethiopia, djibouti and North East Kenya. Then somaliland would not seek independence but thanks to modern day borders people in somaliland are significant minority and therefore wish to separate.
Where Is Khalistan & Manipur ?
In your mom ash
Cry harder beggars
Aatanki nabi ki aatanki ummat
Khalistan - The separatist movement of Khalistan is popular amongst the Punjabis of Canada and the UK, but barely so amongst those in Punjab itself.
Manipur - If you've followed the news properly, there is no independence movement there. The recent instability has been caused due to a conflict between two groups in the region.
I hope this solves your query.
Make a video on American breaking states
I am from pashtunistan but we don't want separate country
02:03
Yes
Balochistan and Pashtunistan 🎉🎉🎉🎉
Love from India ❤❤
Calm your horses smelly pajeeet
@@harlowida stop spreading reality about my porkistan 👺
YES
Khalistan Manipur Mizoram Tripura Meghalaya Assam Nagaland Sikkim Arunchel-pradesh and Naxal comunist guerrillas 🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉
Love from you're precious neighbour Pakistan ❤❤❤
@@harlowida said the smelly Abdool lol look it up the heath negatives of burka which includes bad smell and also don't forget to self explode
Unlike Balochistan,They all joined willingly @@shahzebali5390
Actually Balochistan can become a new country sooner than 2030, at this current situation in Pakistan.
Keep dreaming cuz that's never gonna happen
@@Anonymous--no Will happened in future 😊😊😊😊
@@Anonymous--free balchlistan
@@rockyhd5gangxd784 in your dreams
@@Anonymous-- no cry harder 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣 Jai Hindi
What about Western Australia?
The question when it finally became attached to the forefathers of the contemporary Kurds as their ethnonym or a term of collective identity does not have a clear answer. At any rate, at least until the 17th century, Kurd had not yet become a real term of collective identity, being, rather, a name given to the Kurdish-speaking mass (possibly, to non-Kurdish-speaking similar groups as well) by the Arabs, Turks, Persians, and Armenians. The main markers of identity for this mass were clan affiliation and tribal belonging.
Asatrian, Garnik. "Prolegomena to the Study of the Kurds." Iran & the Caucasus 13, no. 1 (2009): 1-57. Accessed September 2, 2020. pp. 27-28.
love from kurdistan
What about Scotland, Bavaria, Corsica, Catalonia, Occitania...?
How about Scotland, Catalan or Basque ?
What about Mani pur, Nagaland, Kashmir, khalistan and other states of india
Khalisthan in Pakistan punjub
Cry harder beggars 😂😂😂 I am from Manipur and a Cristian we'll not seperate from our country instead we'll kick ass of pakis with our Indian brother 😂😂
many who dreamed about it becoming free are no longer alive. it's dream is as real as your Allah😂
@@stonedcrusader84 why u ppl always drag relegion when u have nothing other to defend yourself.
@@Louder111 people should know fake Ola is the main culprit here 💥🕋 ... dogs have a better life ...
What about Catalonia and Tibet?
I think the potentiel countries are : Anguilla, Bougainville, Greenland, Hadhramaut, Southern Yemen & Somaliland.
As a geopolitic researcher i would like to add that we live in an era of unification of western alias
Though our country Iran is going toward a very likely regime change in the future the Greater Azerbaijan Kurdistan predication are unlikely. Ever since the new wave of the protests or the "Woman, Life, Freedom movement" our people are showing more and more unity, even Sunni parts of Iranian Kurdistan, traditionally a stronghold of Kurdish nationalism is showing a lot of signs of drifting toward unity.
Personally I think Kurdistan should be independent they’re whole language and identity is banned in turkey Iran Iraq and Syria like that’s kinda extreme
@@Fahia6382Kurdish languages are not even mutually intelligible
@@Fahia6382 I'm sorry but you're not really informed on the situation. First of all, you say they're banned in Iraq which flat out false. Kurdish in Iraq is co-official with Arabic and the Iraqi president have to a Kurd. Not to mention they effectively have their own country inside Iraq in all but name, with it's own police and even military.
As for Iran, the Kurdish language isn't banned. As far as I know they are TV channels in Kurdish. However Kurdish isn't taught in schools since the Islamic republic is a Shia Islamo-fascist regime that hates anything other than its own brand of stateless revolutionary Shia'ism. Persian is taught in schools, but each time the course books are revised, they have less Persian historic literature and more propaganda about hating Israel and the US. While no movie or show can be made about pre-Islamic Iran.
I can give you many examples of how our people (Kurd or not Kurd) are oppressed by this regime and how all of us are unitying to fight this common enemy.
@@Fahia6382 what? bro kurdish language is taught in mainland iraq but it's just 2 years and in the kurdistan autonomous region it is taught as the main language
@@Fahia6382 love you bro
I don't think there will be any pashtunistan any time in near future because that thing ended quite a while ago after the fencing of the pak Afghanistan border and development of roads and highways in the area of Kpk which connected the province and made it more united. After the Taliban take over of Afghanistan. The pashtun people in kpk have become anti Taliban because they had seen what Taliban do 15 years ago when there was taliban presence in kpk.
What about Hollandistan, Belgistan, Frankistan, Swedistan, Germanistan and maybe Italystan by 2100?
You forgot Norwegistan.
The Kurds were abandoned by the USA, and thrown in the maw of Turkey. One day Kurdistan will be real.
L+ratio+unfortunaly wont be
A free and independent Balochistan is a key element for peace and prosperity and development of Middle East and Central Asia and Indian Sub Continent ... ✌️
You have a small mind, bigger territories are better than small, this is why empires existed throughout antiquity.
@@jamescook4402 bigger territories have shorter life spans.
FreeKhalistan is solution for the Asia and Middle East Including Kashmir
It’s better to just throw this small 20 million balochi population to Iran and Afghanistan and take back our rich balochistan land. There balochis can make their country there
@@samdesigns4427many who saw this dream are no longer alive.. this dream is as real as your Allah😂😂😂
Tanganyika is now Tanzania
I'm Algerian and I thinking about azawad of mali and niger independence soon
Probably they joining to us in north
And they're desent Accepted to go Out without a Sea on Green part
That's what's I think to go with
What about potential countries in India....????Kashmir,Nagaland,mesoram,south India,greater Bangladesh,........
As a Saudi, the Gulf Union is a very very strong union. A Unification one day isn't that far stretched of an idea and it's something many of us, if not most of us, wouldn't mind, if not support.
However, it definitely wouldn't happen through conquest. You must realise Saudis don't want to fight Qataris, and Qataris don't want to fight Saudis. A fight between gulf states would be seen as pretty much a civil war, and no one wants to fight his own kin.
Also, one last point. Qatar and Saudi relations are perfectly fine today. I think non-Arabs (specifically non-Gulf arabs) don't realise how interconnected the gulf is. We intermarry very often, the borders between us are open, we share the same tribes, and we consider ourselves genuine brothers.
During the world cup in Qatar, Saudis were sone of the highest attendees, when the world up ended, the Qataris were begging the Saudis to say a bit longer after the world cup, just hang out with the Qataris.
Yes, a political problem happened. It's solved now. Just like when you fight with your brother, you wake up the next day like nothing happened. Saudis are Qataris, and Qataris are Saudis.
Bonus note: There are many songs, sayings, etc, that are very common among gulf states. There is a Kuwaiti song, referencing Kuwait and Saudi, that goes "Two homes as if they are one home, justbborders on a map". A very common saying among Saudis and Emiratis to each other is "One nation, one condition".
If you're wondering why its usually Saudi-X relations, Saudi is the only country that borders all of them, and for over half of them, it's the only gulf state that borders them. Also the largest, and thus has he highest diversity, and thus one of the smaller gulf nations can find a subgroup in Saudi that is "closest" to them. Ie: Bahrain and Dammam, Kuwait and Riyadh, etc.
To any of my khaleejis reading this, انتم على راسي وعيني.
Lol “Qataris begged saudis to stay a bit longer” hahahaha
@@yaasinm ruclips.net/user/shortsG1v5xUJBp_Y?feature=share4
The translation goes something along the lines of "Qatar, close the borders right now. Saudis please don't leave, I dont want them leaving, you have to stay, stay here for a while let's have fun let's party."
Why would I lie lmao.
@@yaasinm In case you don't believe what I'm asking, the "🇸🇦❤️🇶🇦" all across the comments should at least be enough to convince you of the idea.
@@Nawaf-qk9mu you sending me a RUclips clip to convince me and asking me to read comments the to get convinced? Lmao are you new to the internet. Stop embarassing yourself. That doesn't mean nothing, I can find exactly the same vidoe that says the opposite of yours. Get real
@@yaasinm So I show you Qatari people asking Saudis to stay. Then I show you Saudis and Qataris showing so much love to each other. Then you say "Well it's RUclips so no!!". Go on then. Bring me videos of Qataris hating Saudis or vice versa, where the comments all reflect that sentiment.
The linguistic influence of the Turkomans (Oğuz) from beyond the Caspian has been strong among all the western Turks. From the Turkomans stemmed the Selcuks, the Osmanlis and other later clans like the Black and White Sheep (Kara and Ak Koyunlus), the Afshars and the Kacars, who have dominated the political and military life of Iran and Anatolia during the past nine hundred years.
The Azeri Turks adhere to the Shi'a heresy of Persia (by contrast to the Sunni Osmanlis and the Sunni tribes of Dagistan)and Azer- baijan was, in fact, the homeland of the Shi'a renaissance and of the great Sufi family of Safawi shahs who were themselves partly of Turkish origin and used Turkish speech.
Culturally eastern Transcaucasia has been very much under Iranian influences since the remote period when the Iranian Sassanids were holding Derbent against the northern nomads. Some Turkish elements penetrated there soon after the era of the Hijra¹ One of the Arab geographers of the ninth century A.D. describes the typically Turkish physical type and compares the harsh dialect of Azerbaijan with that of Khurasan. It is worth noting that, while the Volga and Crimea Tartars have passed increasingly under the in- fluence of their Russian neighbours and the Anatolian Turks feel the attraction of the Mediterranean world, the cultural background of the Caucasian Turks, like that of the Turks of central Asia, is very largely Iranian. The Turanian and Iranian worlds have for two thousand years, probably for very much longer, been subject to mutual blending and to all kinds of linguistic and cultural cross-currents; in recent centuries, while neighbouring Turkish groups have been attracted by the ancient civilizations of Iran, Turks have formed a substantial pro- portion of the population of the Persian empire, and sturdy Turkish clans like the Shahsevens of Karadağ have always been the core of the armed forces of successive Persian dynasties-the latter themselves often of Turkish blood."
Both Turks and Persians were imperial peoples, but the Turks proved more vital as a military power than the Persians. In the fifteenth century the Osmanli Turks had revived the classic style of 'world power' in the Middle East; and the history of the development of the Russian empire in Asia is that of conflict for control of the basins of the Black Sea and of the Caspian between this classic style of world power and the new world power which had arisen in the Eurasian plain. Modern Russian imperial power in its new expression as a union of soviet republics represents a blending of Slavic, Turkic and Caucasic elements.
load of shiiit and pan Turk propaganda .
Azeri people are ethnically Iranian and that is proved with DNA studies too. language was adopted through force by ottoman when they occupied that Provence briefly
Lmao you are everywhere, bouffon. Turkey and Azerbaijan are disgusting countries, may they never steal territory again
Interesting
Hello there
General Kenobi?
East Turkestan
🇨🇳
@@mohannadkhalil2577 who tf are you
@@uyghurpatriot I’m a Kurd and if you don’t accept the independent Kurdistan, it’s the same example with east turkestan.
Real
@@mohannadkhalil2577Many Kurds In Turkey And Iran Are Jash And Don't Want A Kurdistan Let's Forget It
Pakistan is incomplete without Balochistan
And we Baloch are incomplete without Pakistan
Pakistan Zindabad 🇵🇰❤️❤️
I am myself a Baloch , And we want freedom from pakistan.I know well that you Are not a baloch.
@@Bikesticx lol a fake Lundian bot 🇮🇳🤡💩
@@Markhor579 I am a Real Baloch and I know well Balochi , In Balochi : Mn yakk Balocheya or mn Balochi Shrri sara zani.
@@Markhor579 By your name its Already known that you are a Punjabi or Something Else.
@@Markhor579 humai Naa hee India sai koi lena dhena hai , Ham Bass Pakistan Azadi Chathe hain.Ayendha Mujai Indian Bot na kehna.
Video title should be how to trigger peoples for view and money.