Tropical Update, Hurricane Milton to Rapidly Intensify to Major Category 4 Extreme Florida Landfall!
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- Опубликовано: 6 окт 2024
- ***Tropical Update...Hurricane Milton rapidly Intensifying and is likely to become a Category 4, and some models now bringing it to a Category 5 Storm!?! I have complete details on how strong this storm could become, along with landfall along the west Florida Coastline, and huge impacts that could affect Florida in a widespread way. It must be noted that this storm will have a huge circulation and is not a single point. Areas of importance along the West Florida Coast include Tampa St Petersburg area, Sarasota, Cape Coral, North Port, & Fort Myers, and extending north and south up and down the coast of these areas. I have complete details on what could be a historic October Storm for Florida, and unfortunately we could be looking at another storm on its heels come next weekend! Full details in this edition of MeteoMark Weather!
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Video Contents & Chapters:
0:03 - Intro to Tropical Update, Watching Tropical Storm Milton
0:27 - Satellite Analysis of Caribbean & Gulf Tropical Wave Update
0:58 - Hurricane Milton - HWRF Model Analysis
5:17 - Hurricane Milton - Euro Hurricane Model Analysis
6:50 - Hurricane Milton - GFS Model Analysis
9:09 - Intensity Forecast for Hurricane Milton Update Category 4 or 5????
9:31 - Upper Level Vorticity & Steering Currents of Hurricane Milton
10:36 - Tropics Dry Air & Moisture Outlook Thanks to TropicalTidbits
12:05 - Wind Shear Analysis for the Atlantic, Caribbean & Gulf of Mexico
13:13 - Florida Rainfall Totals Flood Threat long before Milton
13:49 - Caribbean Islands & Central America rainfall totals
15:11 - Rest of the Tropical Atlantic - Hurricane Kirk & Hurricane Leslie
18:49 - Future Radar Oct 6-8, 2024 - HRRR Future Radar
20:27 - Synoptic Scale Forecast Through Mid October 2024
21:25 - Rainfall Totals for the United States through Mid October 2024
21:52 - Canadian Weather Outlook through Mid October 2024
23:35 - Western Pacific Tropical Update - Heavy Rainfall Continues
25:24 - Trilogy Maps Affiliate Information!! - Check Out Awesome maps!
26:20 - Temperature Forecast Oct 6-11, 2024
27:19 - Extended Forecast for Binghamton, NY To Scranton, PA
27:48 - Finale, Please Share, Like, Subscribe to MeteoMark Social Media!
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Stay safe my friend
Thank you, definitely keeping an eye to the sky and those nasty storms currently over Northwest Pennsylvania and Western NY headed my way.
GREAT update ... Thank You. My 'go to' meteorologist !!
Thank you so much, great to have you on the channel. I will keep the updates coming, thanks for watching.
I live in North Port and you mentioned it lord help us we have shutters up and supplies purchased
I am watching this development closely for you. Becoming increasingly concerned about not only that slight shift southward, but the fact that the storm will be stronger and have a large eye wall. I will keep you posted and updated.
Watching from Miami-Dade. The shift south...
I will keep you posted on this trend, as it may continue shifting based on the trough lifting across the North Central & Northeast Gulf these next few days. It may end up meaning further impacts for Miami-Dade area. I will keep the updates coming, thanks for watching.
I’m in Coral Springs but work in Dade and I was worrying about the shift as well 🙏🏾
My local meteorologist said it will probably only hit as a tropical storm so I'm honestly not even worried about it. Been in the Tampa area forever and nothing ever happens. Fear monger away though .
I think it'll hit as a Cat 2 or 3 storm. Just really depends on how much and how quickly the storm weakens.
I appreciate your recent updates. I noticed your accent and was wondering where you are originally from. Thank you.
Thank you so much, I am glad you like my recent updates, definitely going to keep them coming. I am originally from the Western Pennsylvania area about 120 miles northeast of Pittsburgh Pennsylvania.
Mark, we are still having 100% humidity ! Cant take it anymore ! 😪
It truly is awful, can't wait for us to get some of that dry Canadian air coming mid to late week to scour out that humidity. It seems to be really bad at night too these days where the fog rolls in with 100% humidity too. I am definitely up for some drier air too which hopefully is coming mid to late week.
I wouldn’t be surprised if Miami and Broward County feels hurricane force wind gust from Milton
That is quite possible, as the wind radius will expand in a huge way as it nears the west coast of Florida. This storm may end up being larger in size that Hurricane Helene was, and that was a very large storm.
@@MeteomarkIt seems like this year Florida just been the hit zone for these hurricane landfalls this season I am praying for Tampa and all of Florida period especially after Helene this is definitely an active hurricane season
Florida definitely is in the hurricane highway unfortunately. Very concerning. Watching the model trends.
@@Meteomark Yes
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Thank you so much, it really does help. Always great to have you on the channel and thanks for watching.
I feel so bad the stricken areas of NC who had 30' feet of water will get more water 💧
Me too, I feel so bad for NC, I can't even imagine that type of flooding. The way it came up so fast and swept so many away and entire towns gone.
Ok Folks my Prediction is becoming very true.... For those who didn't know I had forecast 3-4 Named storms to hit Florida we already have 2 Debby and Helene... Now it looks Milton... Could Nadine?
Definitely watching that possibility, your prediction is likely coming true with these storms late season. It is looking like a bad situation, one right after another. And that next storm behind it later next weekend, that may try to come north out of the Caribbean.
Ever other model says south of Tampa
One or two models had shown that second storm possible crossing Florida and going up the eastern seaboard.
That is something that needs to be watched, I was going through the models and saw that on one of the runs as well. Going to start updating on that possibility as we get closer, as it is only about a week away.
@Meteomark
Yeah, I noticed that myself. Being that I am in south Georgia, I keep a constant eye on the tropics.
The one thing that really bothered me regarding Helen, when it hit Valdosta, NWS nor anything local channel forecasted the change in direction. We got lucky, while others were not. One of many reasons I watch the models when they are updated.
Well I mean the affects?
❗🥵 from Ft. Myers - Cape Coral
Good luck everyone !
Good luck and stay safe, I will keep you updated as I am very concerned for your area.
@@Meteomark Thank you 🙏
@@Meteomark Thank you 🙏
Every other meteorologist says it makes landfall on Wednesday
It is likely to make landfall in Florida mid to late afternoon Wednesday, I was just showing the HWRF hurricane model how much slower it was in bringing in Hurricane Milton and compared to the faster evolution of the Euro & GFS run bringing it in Wednesday.
I'm still worried about it shifting south into Sarasota or Bradenton.
Definitely watching and concerned for areas from Sarasota & Bradenton with not only that shift southward but the potential for this storm to be stronger and have a much larger eye wall. I will keep you posted and updated.
Isn't the latest model showing it making landfall in Sarasota?
The latest Euro Model is taking it into Sarasota, waiting on the HWRF hurricane model as the newest one should be out later this evening.
Pasco county here: doesn’t look good for us..
I am definitely concerned for your area in Pasco County, I will keep you updated as the eye wall is potentially coming near or over your area.
@@Meteomark thank you I will stay updated with you very informative
Happy Sunday and Monday to you my favorite friend!! CAT 4 hurricane likely for Florida! My team sucks this year Alabama. Did you find out about me wanting to be certified as trained weather spotter like costs or I have to sign up? For now, I work tomorrow through Friday eight hours a day. Tampa Bay extreme risk for flying trampolines and fishnados. More like adios trampolines 😅😂
Happy Sunday & Monday to you and yours as well my friend! Cat 4, and do I dare say this storm may briefly touch Category 5. I did find out some details on Skywarn Spotter info for your area, and it is free, covered by your region from NWS State College PA and the website link is here www.weather.gov/ctp/SkyWarn they have both in person and virtual sessions which makes it convenient and changes on a weekly and monthly basis. Tampa Bay is going to be crazy, flying trampolines and fishnadoes for sure. Crazy times, this week will be crazy with this hurricane.
@@Meteomark Agree, there shall be flying trampolines and fishnados roaming around the central Florida region, hopefully Florida region is prepared, Thank you so much
Poor Florida 😢
Living at 2" above sea level ....
It definitely has to be rough. That would always be in the back of my mind during hurricane season.
How wide this storm is
It is crazy how wide this storm will become, right now as of 5PM Sunday, it is up to 25 miles from the center of Hurricane force wind, and up to 85 miles from the center of tropical storm force wind. By Wednesday this storm is likely to grow to hurricane force wind extending outward up to 100 miles which could make hurricane force wind 200 miles wide, and tropical storm force wind up to 250 miles from the center of circulation, which could put us at 500 miles wide in a few days time. Watching this development closely.
@@Meteomark thanks very much
Will suwannee county of live oak fla get part of the rain,?
Great question, Suwannee County will definitely get that northern shield of rain and wind, with impacts likely around 2-4 inches and wind gusts around 40-50 mph.
Looks like Miami is out the cone just alittle bit but doesn’t mean anything
Very true, as it is concerning with the slight shift southward today, along with the fact that we may be looking at a much stronger storm, and bigger wind field. Keeping close watch, still Miami looking ok but concerned about the southern and eastern feeder bands for Miami area. Watching closely and I will definitely keep you posted.
@@Meteomark Thanks Mark for keeping us informed you are the best in what you are doing and I appreciate you
Is it possible for these 2 storms to merge?
That is a distinct possibility, I didn't even think of that, especially if the extra tropical low pressure left over from Milton sticks around off the Southeast Coast, it could merge with the next storm.
How far huracan force wins extend from the center I want to know
Great question, Currently as of 5pm Sunday, Hurricane Force Winds extend 25 miles from the center of circulation.
Florida is terrible to live in
Not like NY
Yes it is please don’t come here. In fact every should move out of here 😁
It sure is. I hate it here but can’t move because of family obligations
Where should everyone live where there are no natural events smart-🐴?
Not really... I was there around 7yrs and loved it. It's a matter of perspective.
Why do so many not pronounce their T’S??????????
And please also give me update on Seoul south Korea thanks again 😊😂
That’s not funny people are dying and loosing everything they have