"Everyone Will Be Wiped Out In 30 Days..." | Jeremy Grantham's Last WARNING
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- Опубликовано: 1 май 2024
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Jeremy Grantham warns about investing and the economy while we're in the next big stock market bubble and explains the history of 3 major bubbles over the last 100 years.
Chapters:
00:00 - 2024 WARNING
00:59 - Are We In A Bubble?
01:34 - When & Why Markets Go Up Or Down, Historically
07:40 - Will Stocks Go Up?
08:12 - The Only Free Lunch In Investing
09:24 - Magnificent 7 Stocks
11:36 - When & How To Start Buying (Bottom?)
12:29 - 2020-2024 Bubble, The Mania
15:09 - Asset Classes, Different Markets To Explore
16:28 - Going Short
17:33 - This Time Is Different?
19:06 - 2024 Recession, The Fed
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Yeah, this guy knows what he's talking about. Honestly, this concerns me and has left me uneasy. Especially this potential depression, no more a recession. I'm unsure about my $130K account strategy, considering the uncertainty of this whole recession mostly.
If you lack knowledge about market investing tactics, get advice from a financial counselor.
A lot of folks downplay the role of advisors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to $850k.
Please can you leave the info of your lnvestment advsor here? I’m in dire need for one.
Her name is 'Michele Katherine Singh’. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
Thanks for sharing. I curiously searched for her full name and her website popped up after scrolling a bit. I looked through her credentials and did my due diligence before contacting her. Once again many thanks
What's the best approach to capitalize on the current market conditions? I'm deliberating on whether to diversify my $200k stocks portfolio.what strategies should I employ?
The market is volatile at this time, hence I will advice you get yourself a financial advisor that can provide you with entry and exit points on the share/etf you focus on.
I was recently through an investing nightmare during the crash in march 2020. I think with the assistance of my advisor I have so far grown my initial investment of $145k to $480k
Accurate asset allocation is crucial, and some individuals use hedging strategies or allocate part of their portfOlio to defensive assets for market downturns. Expert guidance is vital for achieving this. This approach has helped me stay finan-cially secure for over five years, yielding nearly $1 million in returns on invest-ments.
How can one get a decent investment advisor? I wouldn’t mind getting in touch with yours. In few years I will retire and my portfolio will definitely need some management.
*Jennifer Leigh Hickman* She's been able to gain some reputation with over a decade of experience, so it shouldn't be a hassle to find basic information on the web.
The current market/economy is unnecessarily tougher for boomers/senior citizens, I’m used to just buying and holding assets which doesn’t seem applicable to the current rollercoaster market plus inflation is catching up with my portfolio. I’m really worried about survival after retirement.
Just buy and invest in Gold or other reliable stock , the government has failed us and we cant keep living like this.
Yes, gold is a great investment and a good bet against the devaluating dollar, been holding some for awhile now, I’m grateful my adviser’s moment by moment changes in the market are lightening quick, cos who know how much losses I would’ve had by now.
I envy you, I’m still trying to recover from losses I incurred in 2021/2022, who is this investment adviser you work with, I’m intrigued and I could use some quality guidance
Finding financial advisors like Tenley Megan Amerson who can assist you shape your portfolio would be a very creative option. There will be difficult times ahead, and prudent personal money management will be essential to navigating them.
I just looked her up on the web and I would say she really has an impressive background in investing. I will write her an email shortly.
I have followed Jeremy for 2 years, and he's always right..... With SPX above 5000 what assets/sectors will drive the next bull trend. I cashed out before the last dip, now I have less than 200k to average down with. Any ideas? Should I get into short positions in this quarter or is it headed higher?
I feel that one. I just bought SOFI, TSLA NVDA, I also included MSFT and ServiceNow, as well as some energy plays like WFRD stock.
Invest in real estate, ETFs and high-yield savings account.
It's unclear which stocks and sectors will continue driving the uptrend. Stay away from readjusting if you do not have guidance from a plannner and investment strategist. My finances have been in order since I got a wealth planner like Jennifer with large following working for me.
Who is this Jennifer you speak about? I have been searching for an advisor who can direct us on where the market is headed the rest of the year.
She goes by ‘Jennifer Leigh Hickman’ I suggest you look her up. To be honest, I almost didn't buy the idea of letting someone handle growing my finances, but so glad I did
Beware, viewers... scammers in almost every comment.
Yeah wtf 😂
It's insane. Overwhelming
It feels like everyone is out to scam you. 😬😂
@@leeroyb2856 just like this market lol
Oh yeah, how would someone profit from scamming you on their post. That’s stupidity
2024: how many last worning you want
Investors : yes
All you have to do is buy their gold and their book and their investing course and you'll be guaranteed to survive!
Stack cash and other “tangible assets”. Sad I have to use quotes because nothing is safe. There is a storm coming that maybe needs to happen. It’s not just the financial part. It’s the fabric of our world. People need to get back to the basics of togetherness. Love and caring for each other
if it goes…. hope we get to meet.
@@robertotto7673 me too Robert!!!
Invest in survival gear, you're gona need it
Our politicians. government employees and the military have bankrupted and destroyed this nation.
We all need Jesus
I’ve learned my lessons well! No more panic sales for me. This is the opportunity and I am slowly buying the dip! I’ve saved enough what I can afford to lose! Do your due diligence and be careful who you listen to! Don’t let your hard earned money go away easy! Good luck to all of us🙏
Very educational video. It's amazing how the little piece of information can lead to significant financial success. Thanks for introducing me to Sherryl, working with her is the best.
You just mentioned Expert Sherryl. Indeed, that woman has been an incredible mentor to me, imparting a deep understanding of the economy that I wish college had provided.
Woah for real? I'm so excited. Sherryl's strategy has normalised winning trades for me also. and it's a huge milestone for me looking back to how it all started.
I know sherryl. She is my family's personal broker and also a personal broker in many families I'm in the United States, she's a licensed broker and a FINRA AGENT in the United states.
The reason I invest in the crypto market; to make my money work for me, to prevent inflation from eroding my savings.
No doubt. The very first time we tried, we invested $2000 and after a week, we received $8,500, that really helped us a lot to pay upfront our bills.
It's fascinating how financial markets always seem to follow a cycle. Artur Grandi's book offers a great plan for securing investments and explores interesting opportunities, like investing in cryptocurrencies.
Warren Buffet and Charlie Munger also talk about investing in crypto. Check it out.
We live in a bubble, the atmosphere. Life will always revolve around and around.
Yeah, this guy knows what he's talking about. He's been through crashes in the past and has learned. You don't recoup from stocks crash in a day, a month, a year or even a decade! Try several decades.
My three favorite channels: FREENVESTING, Stock Brotha, & How Money Works. Make my week complete. 🔥 🔥 🔥
And which one of those are you covertly trying to promote?
Jesus dude, soon you life on street and you can't watch this anymore....
@@lerenleren8884😂😂😂I find it funny how you phrases that, but yeah
I will just buy the dip.
That's everyone did in 1929.
Positive attitude,
Love it!
I buy gold when it dips
@@MrRaybrown007 I bought gold the last time it was 1,700 oz. I feel like taking my profit and strutting.
Which one?
The biggest thing that I believe about the house market and real estate in general is that with insurers pulling out of nine states slowly due to weather and fire issues will cause a bigger problem for over all economy. If commercial and residential landlord are unable to get affordable insurance then businesses and rents would loose their housing and restaurant lose their space. What is the answer to the insurance problem.also Many of counties have over assessing houses.
They won’t “lose” anything. From an economic standpoint those increased costs will be priced into the housing market.
What this means is expect the real estate market in these areas of higher insurance to see the biggest drop in values.
While they tell you to sell guess who is buying ?
Thanks for this informative video and I'm hoping that they are totally wrong like they have been before. Peace and blessings to everyone.
Thanks for the update.
Yes, the crypto market is really taking off and Bitcoin is in good shape to start trading now🔉✅
Trading in Bitcoin now is the wisest thing to do now especially newbies beginner....
Te/e gram
@Rolandostrategy THAT IS HIS USER NAME
please make sure you write the USER NAME complete and He's verified
Hold cash during record inflation? Yeah
exactly. Gold and Bitcoin for the win.
Exactly! 💯
U right.
Money vel😅city slowdown would push towards deflation... Cash in hand is becoming rare.... During Sandy power outage no credit worked... Gas stations only took 20$ bills or less for gas... Bitcoin and Gold have third party risk.... Ya need a buyer to get what?
Holding helps buy up bargins.
I am experiencing one of the most challenging phases of my life... Lost a fortune lnvesting in emerging companies. How are other people in the same market raking in over $200k gains with months, I'm really just confused at this point.
Yes, a good number of folks are raking in huge 6 figure gains in this downtrend, but such strategies are mostly successfully executed by folks with in depth market knowledge
I agree, based on personal experience with an investment advisor, I currently have $985k in a diversified portfolio with exponential growth. It's not only about having money to invest in stocks, but you also need to be knowledgeable.
Please who is the consultant that assist you with your investment and if you don't mind, how do I get in touch with them?
*Sharon Lynne Hart* is the licensed coach I use. Just research the name. You'd find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
It's almost useless to compare historical trends in my opinion. The market is so drastically different now for 2 reasons. Way more small players, and faster info transfer. More globalized. Ai probably runs a bunch of it. That's more than 2. Completely unpredictable.
Spxs let's go!!!!!
Any interest rate rise can take more than 18 months before it bites into the economy. New mortgages are comparatively expensive as are business funding loans, and credit card interest rates make borrowing unaffordable. When unemployment rises in 2025 the housing bubble will pop and most of the Wester world's economies hinge around it.
The 18.5 year property cycle predicts it will pop around then. This guy talks like we are in a unique time, we are not. Cycles within cycles.
Great video.
One of the problems with Jeremy Grantham's analysis is that is timing model does not work. According to the new book, The Bubble that Broke The Bank the real estate timing model is the better model than his price model. You will lose a fortune prematurely without an accurate real estate model based on empirical real estate prices.
This guy is brilliant, I would love to sit down with him.
The one thing he doesn’t consider is the real value of the dollar. I’m concerned that in the next 10 years, the dollar will functionally fail.
You can’t run $2 trillion deficits too much longer until the market will respond. Once it does respond, the dollar will tank as investors realize hyperinflation via likely increasing of M2 is required.
At that point assets that hold their value become coveted. Whether it is a house, gold, bitcoin or stock.
I think the big money is ahead of this and why we’ve seen the stock market, gold prices and housing market explode.
In a perfect world, I think if you can buy assets right before interest rates deflate it would be ideal.
Physical cash on hand or just in general and in the bank?
With todays advancement in AI, how do we really know who's speaking?
other than maybe buying gold, which is normal even when the economy is good, wtf are these advices? people should NEVER take financial advice from youtubers.
Im from South Africa and this guy Jeremy is my uncle. I wanna meet him one day. Great man
My wife just put everything into the S&P. should she pull it and then buy in 5 weekd? and when would it be clear one way or the other that this particular concern was warranted or not?
Do not sell anything because market crash come and go if you sell everything and wait for the correct time to invest again then that time never come because you cannot predict the market so the best thing you can do is just wait and if you have some capital you can invest when there is a correction like 5-10-15% which will average out your total position so please do not even think about to pull out your money from the market
Morgage your house and sell your cars and put every dollar in
Invest in index funds/ETFs
Please take it out we have housing, employment, stock market, and rumors of war. Please do not risk your future now. Invest in the VIX. Or at least hedge with spxu.
@@davidgosnell5901callous answer.
I don't expect a Crash, but rather a Pull Back which we should have had 3 months ago. But bigger late than never. Yes I meant to say Bigger. It will be bigger since it's so late. But I think thats a huge buying time when that happens cause it will be massively up by the end of the year unless more crazy things like wars escallate or Inflation makes a huge leap.
I expect the latter to happen in what you said😔. But I got my faith in 👑 Jesus. So I'm all good.
@davidforslund2640 I'm on the bus with Jesus also! I'm of the ecenomic and geo-political opinion of "whats happening." it's biblical!
And, those two exceptions you listed are both rapidly approaching.
there are many in the u.s that are about to understand how good they had it, i fear those that have no experience of severe austerity will struggle to cope, we live in a country that feels hard done by when they don't have a motor vehicle at 16, take out food is not considered a luxury, menial workers get more per hour than anywhere on earth, and government supplemental income is at a staggeringly high level, 2025 after the deficit is revisited, there will be an eruption of insanity, and we have an election/selection to come before that, it won't be pretty and many millions will be broke very quickly because the majority of workers live way above their means, we aren't used to such harsh times here, not many many decades.
I listened and it seemed like he was talking out both sides of his mouth. What was his primary message?
Whoever this biden operative is he is all over the place not making sense of nada
My take: there are some great companies (monopolies), but their stocks are at bubble prices and will crash fairly soon along with everything else.
His conclusion was a whole lot of waffle with no end point
I'm convinced we are in the early stages of a silent depression right now.
Depression has barely started 😂
Why did you say Trump at 4:21?
Trump in bridge, whist, and similar card games) a playing card of the suit chosen to rank above the others, which can win a trick where a card of a different suit has been led.
"declarer ruffs the opening lead and plays a trump"
What crash ? I've just bought some sats on Nexo during the dip!
You should have bet on the dip, then buy the dip. Twice the money!
When and by how much exactly?
One thing to keep in mind, money is pouring into the U.S. stock market from around the world. Other countries are falling, and they are attempting to save their assets also. Many are choosing the US. Including Chinese investors.
You would have to be joking. Even the elites have exited.
investors with a long term view are well positioned for the ultimate recovery because they understand that the market and economy will eventually revive. I'm doing great personally with insights from my IA Anna Rounds Fay in etfs and blue chips and will keep pushing hard on coins in this wild market. Right now, my portfolio is up 47%. I'm going to take a backseat and watch how this all works, gradually adding more stocks.
Smart, I must commend you because etfs will keep making you solid profits through compounding while the other stocks pays monthly although advantageous you started big
Looks like she really knows her stuff. I also found her online page and read through her resume, educational background, qualifications and it was really impressive. She is a fiduciary who will act in my best interest. So, I booked a session with her
Hey, I'm in Ireland. Wondering if the stuff you recommend is USA specific or does it translate to other western countries?
🤖🤖 scam
I also work with her and speaking from pat experiences from working with her I think she's the best at predicting stock prices.
USA only
Amidst this market downturn, the idea of buying stocks is tempting. What do you think? I'm considering investing over $200k. Any thoughts on alternative strategies during this period of volatility?
Original video without the AI gfx?
Babylon the great land of confusion. Nwo
Was Jeremy Grantham right two years ago when he said the same thing? How about three years ago when he said the same thing?
Stop with your background comments...
Don't watch the screen
Didn’t
Understand
A
Word Y’all
Said‼️ 😵💫
That's what you said a year ago
IMO after following hedgefund gurus, their message is always fear which will leave you holding cash in bear market and not invested while in reality cash is the worst performing asset, come on, just invest in the best companies you can understand fundamentally when it's undervalued and you don't need to time the market
We are not in a bear market.
Yes even buy extra toilet paper chocolate and coffee or whatever you use than stash cash.
You can hold on to your cash, I just bought some more BItcoins.
Meh, stagflation
It's ALWAYS instructive to hear Jeremy Grantham's views. Thank you!
Do not frighten people listen to Benjamin Grahman
Its coming nobody knows when itll be the straw that broke the camels back
Lmao sure they will. Been watching these sensational headings for 2 years now
Right 😂 it’s a crash this year but wait it’s a crash next year. Nobody knows we just have to wait and see
Not me, I have cryptocurrency.
Just keep your money safe in the bank. I got CDs and a MM. my interest income has risen to $1.2K/month from $4/month.
Oh boy, you think that's safe still....haven't you heard of bail-ins?
Yeah sell and buy Gold silver and aluminum fraunk and yen😊😊😢😢
Huh?
DEBT is the cause-it sucks money out of the debtor plans-money they thought would would be theirs. So the ride comes to and end without the thrill.
BTC?? up 59K %. in 10 years.. show me the money...
Over half of these comments should not be investing.
When they control the highs and lows its easy to steal your investments.
Fiat currency is finished. Gold and Bitcoin are what I am stacking ❤
I'm trying to avoid new buys now in order not to get sucked into a bear trap. On the other hand, I’d love to know best possible areas and ways to invest amid downtrend, my goal is to retire comfortably at a ballpark of $1.2M
Honestly I realized after years that attempting to predict market outcomes through chart analysis was futile due to the unpredictable nature. My lack of a mentor led to years of struggle. I transitioned to following the market's direction and adopting a straightforward, disciplined approach.
Interesting, Who is the professional who is advising you, if you could perhaps tell us? As a novice investing in stocks without the correct direction of a professional, I have lost a lot of money.
Well ‘Wendy Birkett” is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You'd find necessary website to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
thanks for putting this out, it has truly rekindled the fire to my goal...
Truly I appreciate it. I'm fortunate to have come upon your message because investing greatly fascinates me. I'll look Wendy Birkett up and send her a message. You've truly motivated me. God's blessings on you.
Is the stock market actually getting better or is this the regular start of the year market manipulation to entice new investors, I'm currently sitting on an inheritance of 500k and i'm wondering do I invest in stocks or Gold?
In this current unstable markets, It is advisable to diversify while retaining 70-80% in secure investments. looking at your budget, you should consider financial advisory.
I've been in touch with a financial advisor ever since I started my business. Knowing today's culture The challenge is knowing when to purchase or sell when investing in trending stocks, which is pretty simple. On my portfolio, which has grown over $900k in a little over a year, my adviser chooses entry and exit orders.
‘’JENNIFER LEIGH HICKMAN’’ is her name. She is regarded as a genius in her area and works for Empower Financial Services
Thanks for the advice. The search for your coach was simple. I investigated her well before using her services.
⛔ Scam ⛔
When you make a prediction and it doesn’t come true, you discredit yourself. You are no better than the people responsible for the current state of the economy.
Buy XRP, XLM, XDC, H-bar!
How very Hulkish of you 👌
These are all cryptos that support the world economic forum. Xrp will be the bridge used to build the One world digital currency to enslave us all. I won't buy any of these cryptos. They are all complicit with the world economic forum agenda. You will own nothing and you will be happy. Remember that. I will not betray free societies with those suggested cryptos no way.
If we get trump we may have a chance (if we’re not doomed already)
I will be forever grateful to you, you changed my entire life and I will continue to preach on your behalf for the whole world to hear you saved me from huge financial debt with just a small investment, thank you Lorris Andrew.
Te/e gram
@Lorris439 THAT IS HER USER NAME
i just want to use this opportunity to say a very big thanks to Lorris Andrew, she changed my life.
Thank you very much. I am really fascinated with investing and I'm lucky to have seen your comment. I'll look up and leave a message.
Cool story bot
Which media? The media I'm exposed to is barraged with either Palestine news or Trump news, which is why skip right over that sh!t.
What ever happens happens don't really give a shit anymore if their going to screw you your screwed
Buy on a dip for the rest of the year!! As cuts commence in September, market will be less volatile and will continue its upward trend for next 18 to 24 months. Buy sector leaders with solid business, financials and leadership! These MFs are reaping profit by invoking fear! Stay with GS's conviction list!
Great video with no useful message for the investor.
Invest in lead
Buy Bitcoin.
BTC will crash too lol.
Bitcoin/Crypto$hyte will be tolerated as long as it diverts investors away from Precious Metals. Once the dust clears, it will be criminalized.
Ok zoomer.
@@grantronicle6169 I owned 18 monster boxes of silver along with a bag of gold so big I personally could barely lift it. And watched the price go from $50.00 dollars a coin from 2011 to 2017 down to $14.00 dollars a coin for silver American eagles. I sat for years on that mound of stash only to watch it go down and manipulated. All markets can be manipulated especially gold and silver. I could not get on a plane with 750 pounds of silver and gold, but I can walk out of this country with millions in my pocket without any red flags with Bitcoin. I'm sick of being held hostage by a government that criminalizes our wealth just so they can try an confiscated. You cannot even drive across our own country with large sums of cash without the cops trying to seize in on our own HWY's. They have criminals legal currency in the name of the war on drugs. Will I don't do drugs, never have and yet if I carry to much I am a criminal in the eyes of the law. You can't keep your money in the bank without them making laws stating "ALL DEPOSITORS ARE UNSECURED CREDITORS' so at any moment they can just keep your money in the bank if they like and you have no legal recourse to retrieve it. I like the idea of being mobile. I like the idea of walking my wealth out of this country if the shit hits the fan. This is real FREEDOM.
A fake... for impressing... scarring... correction 20%... yes... crash... no
With the way the market is moving, we'll mostly hold for longer than 2030 to realize profit gain, I think a video on "How to profit from the present market" will be more effective, I mean I've heard of people making upto 250K within few months and I'd like to know how.
💪😎🇺🇲
I think you need to see a doctor, and get some medication!💊
*YT Quick Survey:* For your shared investing ideas, what do you think will be the next Apple/Microsoft in terms of growth?
None!!!! considering the present unpredictable market volatility there are over a thousand reasons why the market is a no go especially now.
Although the market isn't so stable at the moment, it isn't as sick as some people have made it look... In all honesty, as a beginner who knows next to nothing, I have made over $45k just in a couple of months... I'm a retiree, and I am using these extra resources to help pay for odds and ends that I want.
NO I have never used a spreadsheet.. It's of no relevance to me... For my top holdings, I follow Kelly Marie Matwick's trading positions automatically... Look her up, she's good.
Grrrr,. .I fkn hate these quote/clip compilations. Spamspamspam....
Eeppicc
🤣
Hold cash, buy bitcoin, buy gold? Idk bro cash is paper bitcoin without power or pc is is pointless and “gold” like we are getting back in time to the Roman Empire? 😂💀
its about context. Also gold is not really Roman Empire. The main currency was copper, and yeah depending on the context I would take that over cash. Silver was the main currency of Europe. Gold has rarely been a currency. Its a savings asset and far less transitionally minded than other currencies.
If and when there is no power or internet to use bitcoin you’ll have bigger problems then trying to stay financially wealthy.
Don't buy buttcoin. It's a pyramid scheme, and if you buy now, you'll enter the bottom. Suddenly it has lost a lot of value It has happened before and will happen again.
I understand the desperation, because what does one have to do to ensure that inflation does not erode the value of one's money.
But one thing is certain, and that is that buttcoin and gold are not the solution. There are a lot of sharks that are just waiting for enough wretches to put their money in buttcoin and gold and then sell them off, leaving the rest with worthless gold teeth and buttcoin.
You think the power is going out all over the world?
Greenback is worthless.
In the last housing crash I thought well, I don't own a house and no one says it will affect stocks. Well, the stock market crashed too. It will happen again.
I hit 200k today. Thank you for all the knowledge and nuggets you had thrown my way over the last months. Started with 14k in last month 2024 in a short period of time. I'm especially grateful.
......
...........
Claret Ambrose strategy has normalized winning trades for me and it’s a huge milestone for me looking back to how it all started..
she's mostly on Telegrams, using the user name.
.......
@Claretfx7💯 ...... that's it
......
lol
*Bots talking to bots*
South Africa,as a 3rd World, will have a 2yr period, at least, but America is doomed...😮
Thanks to globalization....i think everyone will be screwed😅
I wish I had $5 dollars for each time I've heard "America is doomed" in my 65yrs of life. Lol
TRUMP 2024 ! The ONLY clear choice
America is done.!!!
I wish I had $5 dollars for each time I've heard that in my 65yrs. Lol
Better to be done than whatever halfbaked/raw you call a country. 🇺🇲💯
Venezuela here we come
Inflation at 3.5% currently. That’s not high.
lol, are you using bideomics??
@@cardboardboification lol.
You seem to be. We were 8.5% recently. It will never hit 2%
try shadowstats
😄😄😄😄😄😄😄😄
@@defendingthefaith.7889Wait.....weren't y'all at 5%??😂 what did i miss?
Doe’s being a gay help me survive during this like maybe I can sell some man cookie