I Can't Stay Quiet on Nvidia Stock (NVDA) Crashing Any More
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- Опубликовано: 10 июн 2024
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#nvidia stock ( #nvda ) has gained over $1 TRILLION in value since #openai released #chatgpt over a year ago thanks to their Hopper GPUs. But just this month, Nvidia stock CRASHED by 15%!! What gives? Is NVDA stock one of the best AI stocks to buy now or is this "the beginning of the end" for Nvidia? 🙄
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Timestamps for this totally necessary Nvidia episode:
00:00 My Mistake on NVDA Stock
01:03 Reason for Nvidia Stock Crash
03:14 Important Nvidia Stock Data
13:21 My Thoughts on NVDA Stock
Resources & References:
» Nvidia GPU Advances: • Nvidia's Breakthrough ...
» Nvidia AI Advances: • Bigger Than ChatGPT?! ...
» OpenAI Dev Day: • OpenAI & Microsoft's H...
» Google AI War: • The AI War Has Begun! ...
🙏 Thanks for watching!
Disclosures:
All content on this channel is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as professional financial advice or recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading stocks, ETFs, other securities, and/or cryptocurrencies poses a considerable risk of loss. Neither host or guests can be held responsible for any direct or incidental loss incurred by applying any of the information offered. The content of this video is solely the opinions of the speaker who is not a licensed financial advisor or registered investment advisor. Should you need such advice, consult a licensed financial or tax advisor. When you make purchases through links in this video description, the author may earn a commission.
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P.S - I can't wait to see all the comments from people who didn't actually watch the video 🙄
damn I'm a gaming nerd that was always passively in stocks did good on apple luckly in 2016 I had google for awhile but I bought nvidia at a fat premium and I don't even care will be with the company the rest of my life. Always bought nvidia chips wish I was smart enough to buy and hold the stock since 2016
I like bitcoin too definitely going up in the near future
I'm favoured financially, Thank you Jesus $32,000 weekly profit regardless of how bad it gets on the economy.
How
..? Am a newbie in crypto investment, please can you guide me through on how you made profit?
Sure I am a born again Christian I recommend and share what is good and profitable, (Sandrina Edmondson). That's her name
I've been holding NVDA for about 10 years now. My basis is $33.64 and it will keep holding for the next 10 years.
Respect!!
Wow, what else are you holding for a long time
Long term holder/fanboy as well. Current basis $53.75 (2018), also holding. (I'd already doubled profits from long before, taken profits, kicked myself, and got back in!) Yes, there were times (years) when I wondered if I should sell, when the stock wasn't rising as others were. I held. Why?...
Nvidia pioneered the GPU graphics cards for PC's - fueling the PC gaming market.
Nvidia stayed in front, keeping its graphics cards on the cutting edge, which validated my reason to buy, and to hold in the harder years. Nvidia was always one step ahead of the competition.
Then Nvidia started getting into Databases...
Then came the crypto mining. (Boost!)
Also self-driving car applications. (Boost!)
These breakouts from the GPU world into new markets are the key to stair-stepping up NVDA's value.
Now AI - a huge boost as the near monopoly supplier. (This could be transformational, in the same way as going from dirt roads to the interstate highway system transformed the USA, making the unheard of, possible. The AI runway is a long one...)
Meanwhile all of Nvidia's GPU/database/parallel processing capabilities are only getting stronger and continue to stay in front of the competition. That's par for the course, for NVDA. Leading a market over decades is a rare track record among investments. Other companies won't find it easy to match Nvidia's tech, and when they do, Nvidia will have something new for them to chase. My take is that NVDA still has plenty of room to grow from here, and has the income and drive to continue the investments in future tech/R&D to stay firmly in front.
It is not hard to see that Nvidia tech is the most likely engine underlying Virtual Reality systems (and who knows what else!) that people only dream about today. These will not be stored maps/content, but will be generated by AI on demand. That's WILD to think about.
Thus, I hold with firm conviction, and will weather the cyclical drops that are inevitable.
sell calls monthly 😂
What’s the current stock under $60 you see performing in a similar manner?
I'm hanging on to NVIDIA.
9:10 Cathie Wood !!! .. WHY is she considered the tech guru of investing?? Her damn ARKK fund has lost 80% of investors it once had, and produced ZERO GAINS over the last 6 years, ZERO!!!!!
@KrustyKlown Thank you, she's nuts and her fund has only grown 70% over the span of 10 years or more. I'm sorry but that's not acceptable if you ask me. She's not someone anyone should be listening too unless you don't want gains.
@@ZinnNasty Seems like she appears on media channels to Pump her bad decisions. It's not proving profitable.
@@KrustyKlown She is an industry plant/ paid actor serving ulterior motives, I've picked up on patterns & signals in the market, just about anytime she massively promotes buying anything, It soon after plummets, yet sometimes, much less frequently rises & it hit me over & over again that Ark Invest makes $ in other ways or makes other people $, @ this point it's obvious & like a catcher communicating with pitcher w/ hidden signals, definitely as a catalyst for waves in the market from my viewpoint
Reverse Cramer is more legit probably lol
Nice the witch is improving
NVDA BULL here!
My favorite anecdote is that Fidelity says their most successful investors are people who have either died or forgot they had an account (not sure how that happens but anyway)...
'time in the market not timing the market'
funny as shit
past inst always future
yes so did dead investors with enron shares
I’ve been watching you nearly since you started. You started singing the praises of NVDA and it was hanging around $200.
I figured I’d invest but wanted to wait for a drop. Needless to say it never came, I never bought, and I learned my lesson.
I suggest buying the new tesla innovation shares at this point as they are relatively cheap and are sure to yield long-term profits
NVIDIA stock did not crash! The market dipped. NVIDIA dipped. Always buy the dip with NVIDIA!!! Earnings are in less then 4 weeks and they will be BLOWOUT! NVIDIA will be over $1,000 soon!
Because nvidia is the market right now
I appreciate the enthusiasm. If they do not blow out earnings or investors get scared of the bucking brono that is NVDA … remember … never sell. Ever.
@@MatthewMS. Made my first large buy with NVIDIA in 2017 and have literally been buying monthly ever since. I'll think about trimming some at $1,200 per share (pre-split).
How can you loose when your already ahead 40%......???
Its over 1k now!
nvidia was the first stock i ever bought (i buy their cards was my only thesis lol.) and remember at the time it was the end of my world when my small position of 500 bucks dropped like 20% over a week (didn't panic sell.) now it's 80% of my net worth and i find calmness in the volatility.
Well said. Holding Nvidia stock forced me to grow in a lot of ways over the years as well.
That's called, "letting your winners run!"
Excellent video, Thanks for the update and info....
I was lucky to purchase Nvidia at $132 in 2021, and as a tech investor who is based on fundamentals for my investment, I made 4 additional Nvidia purchases over the last 6 months $482, $750, $882, and $804. The last 20+ trading days, when the stock made its massive profit taking and corrections from its peak of $974, I was happy to pick up more shares as I believe it is a cheap stock based on the continuing strength of its unique position in AI system, and forward PEG.
You got in late
Possibly still early, only time will tell.
Here we go again, market analysis in circles. Finally, Bitcoin moved, but nothing grows like my wallet with Eledator, they can bring profit, that's the real deal.
Down 20% is not a crash.
My point exactly
Depends on your perspective. If you're in at the top it sure feels like a wreck lol
especially after a +1000% ..
@@TickerSymbolYOU I also trade crypto. Yes down 20% is nothing lol.
thats how a crash starts
Great info...
Much appreciated.
Market corrections will test your resolve. It's during those times that you can make the most money, either by buying on weakness or simply just not sell the bottom.
Thanks for your hard work on the NVDA and the chip space. You save us investors a lot of time. I'm in at $40 a share, and it's now my largest position at around 15% of my portfolio. I have sold 15% of my position when it was above $900 a few weeks ago or so. Here is my issue, I never want to take profits again. My goal as a long-term buy and holder is to literally be an owner of these companies for 10-20 years and not have to keep up with the day to day news. Just wanted to share my thoughts, I know my investing strategy isn't for everyone.
I completely feel the same way. I would be golden if I didn't peek at my stocks for about 10 to 20 years. That volatility is scary.
Thank you. Very informative video
Lots of good advice in this video… Thanks for sharing👍🏻👍🏻
just found your channel. big thumbs up for your no-noise no-nonsense straight-to-the-point style! thanks, and thanks for not holding us hostage! :)
My pleasure. Thanks for taking the time.
Just came across your channel. Great analysis. Liked and subscribed.
Thanks for your candor and for "showing your work". Much appreciated, helps me understand it all.
NVDA currently has a 9.6 out of 10 stock rating by Fidelity.
Was 9.9 for the longest time before that. With all of the other tech companies only announcing more orders than previously estimated and the quickness with which it rebounded after it's recent 10% fall, I'm more bullish than ever!
Kind of tells you everything you need to know, huh?
What's your thoughts on TSM and also smci
Really good approach, Alex. Thanks, and good luck!
Awesome video Alex thank you!
Great analysis, thank you.
Great video delivered with passion, honesty and conviction. Thank you.
I think you're amazing.Thank you so much for all of the information.It's been so helpful.Can you tell us some more about poet when you get a chance?Thanks
As usual great video. Never worried about NVDA, because fundamentals are strong and so the future functions.
Great information . NVDA my fever stock NVDA going 1.400$ per share soon. I bought NVDA 266$
I got in at $785 and Can’t wait to accumulate more
Great work dude. I think a video on super micro computer would be cool too. I liked your video before, but that stock has been all over the show! I guess their upcoming earnings will be very insightful in terms of where they’re heading
great video man. keep up the good work!
Appreciate it!
Do you have any video that explain the "science behind the stocks" :) Thanks! Would love to watch
Good video Alex. Very wise and helpful advice. I think I will stay subscribed to YOU
Thanks sir Alex. Well done.
Even with the sell off in SMCI, I'm still up 240%. I always tell my friends, buy more NVDA. I'm up almost 600%. I'm holding both companies for years. High growth stocks always have wild swings. Best to buy more when there is a sell off. There was a time nobody was better than TMF. Most of my biggest winners I got from that site. When one of the brothers (David) mostly retired, their picks haven't been as good. His stocks picks beat his brothers easily. This channel is very good, I'll keep watching.
Yes, it's the wild swings, the volatility, that make it harder to hold on to- and it's great to have individual investors share their strategy and experience.
If you're up 240% on SMCI you haven't held it for years.
I bought it last year at near all time high and I'm up over 900% since my first buy in
@@snailedlt and SMCI couldn't pre-announce EPS as usual because they did a secondary offer on 3/14 or so. And they offered GS another 30 days. Hence, by rule, they can't. WFC was wrong as usual.
I personally was in SMCI while the shorts lost 3 billion dollars over 5 months. My thesis was correct, SMCI saves energy costs, builds better quicker (stickyecosystem...
ect.) Vacation happens, I jump ship. My loss & great learning moment. Professionals traders willing to blindly lose LG amts of money, on a stock they could manipulate to make one Billion. & lose 4 billion... Meaning... when you know your right. Don't let the fools w/money take you down or shake you. Japan's financial SOFI just announced their fully investing in an AI centric endeavor for X billions of $... That makes 3 plus countries fully investing untold amts in AI centric centers. How many countries left...? Quite a few will be following very soon. No One will want to be left behind... NVDA is golden for how many yrs & how many industries...? At GTC they announced partnership with over a thousand Robtics companies... This is clearly a buying opportunity... Thank you Alex... you have provided exceptional advice. I now invest with confidence.
I appreciate you can tell me what does it mean by TMF, thank you.
Thanks…it takes a lot to think for yourself and stand up to all the big boys and girl out there.
Outstanding content. Very honest and to the point. Love it.
Glad you enjoyed it!
To clarify, its much better to invest before may 20th? due to the report of earings coming out?
Do you have any thoughts about Tenstorrent?
I think you have a great channel. Thanks man
Hi Alex. Thank you for all the valuable information you gave away. I am a beginner investor, and I really put attention to it. Last week, you talked about the ticket POET, It is moving up about 75% since I invested into it. Thank you
Love the Honesty. Definitely enjoy listening to you. keep up the good work.
Another Geat Video. Thank You
Does this mean I should wait until earnings and a respective dip before entering into phase II?
What do u think of nvda in terms of its competitive advantage over companies that use tpu in inferences
Great video! Thanks.
Glad you liked it!
I'm a newbie and doing exactly what you say ! I listen to multiple sources and compare - the best often coincide in their views - that is when I know I'm on the right track. The NOISE out there is deafening and often manipulative. Thank you for your excellent work, attention to detail, and most of all your honesty. And since I am focusing on Tech sector, disruptive technologies, AI ... your channel is priceless for me. I don't have a penny in the market yet - I have resisted investing until I understood at least the basics. I missed the dip on NVDIA and it's partner, but I've learned that isn't the end of the world, I missed on TSLA too. I'm OK with that. I will wait and let more earning reports filter out, and look buying on Monday. The market is so volatile right now, I am staying risk averse. BTW I joined delete me and the service is excellent.
When I started investing, I read multitude of articles and was just frustrated that it was often a 50-50 divide between bears and bull on the same stock. The NOISE is still deafening and I think driven by the 24-hour news cycle, minute by minute hoopla but recognizing that is the first step to desensitizing to it. I wish you the best, you are wise to learn all you can and stay cool!
Alex, I love your channel and how your gives us insight about Nvidia (NVDA). Your GTC coverage was impressive and I thank you for that!
I heard rumors about NVDA splitting the stock sometime this summer. Also, Jensen Wong is getting interview this upcoming Sunday on "CBS Sunday Morning" show. Do you think that He is announcing the stock split this Sunday? That will be "out of the norm" for Jensen and NVDA, but plausible since the stock is being down last week. Your sapience in this matter will be appreciated. Thank you!
Psychology of stock market is the most difficult thing to overcome. Your channel is valuable ❤
Thank you! Wish I just got it years ago! Now it’s so easy to recognize what channel/person is legit and who is only in it for the money.
Will keep watching!
Great call on POET.
Nice content. I am slowly adding to my NVDA postion. And I expect NVDA to hit $1400 by end of year, so today's prices don't seem so high to me. Sentient machines are going to need real-time compute and inference. Inference is already close, but compute has a ways to go, and nVidia is far and away the dominant hardware player in what will be and incredible bonanza!
thank you love your stuff
You're still top of my RUclips list Alex. Thanks for another great video.
Told my brother about poet on sunday evening, I didn't buy, he did. it casually did 150% this week. I did buy clsk at 3 bucks in july 2022 because of you ;)
I bought also poet but not much and now I am crying should bought more! Also because of him 😃
WONDERFUL VIDEO 👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻📈🇺🇸. Wow. I’ve been long NVDA since 2018 and all in and pounding the table since *(edit: 1st week April 2020, immediately after the Covid March flush)* I am doing well financially now. I’ve held and bought more during several huge unrealized losses down 50%. I knew enough about Nvidia and the moat that it was a matter of time. You own it don’t trade it. GREAT JOB! 👍🏼
Thank you 🙏
i really like that u say enn-vidia and not ne-vidida like a lot of tubers have been gaggling about..
I really enjoy this video. Balanced, insightful and real. Cheers.
What most people either don't know or forget is NVIDIA's "AI Enterprise Software Subscription" program. On top of the chip price, NVIDIA is charging $4,500 per chip per year for all the CUDA software support. Estimates for 2025 are that NVIDIA will have manufactured 4 million chips. 4M x $4,500 = $18 Billion in software support for a single year AND IT"S CUMULATIVE. So add in 2024 and 2025 and 2026 and that is another $45-$50 BILLION dollars (on top of all the chips, automotive, etc) EVERY YEAR!! This is how NVIDIA is going to grow their revenue stream! Everyone keeps asking if the chip sales are sustainable, well SOFTWARE SUBSCRIPTION is how they bridge that gap. No one is going to stop buying their chips and in buying those chips you have to buy the software subscription.
I did not know that. I thought it is the one time chip fee bet 20,000 to 30,000 ish
How worried are you about SMCI's earnings actually though?
Thank you, Alex!
Nice video. I’m gonna buy some now!
never seen this way before 6:48, this a very interesting chart
Best days still to come, just getting a chance to get a few more shares
Just stopped for a look see and liked , will be looking (You) up more. Great info
Your the best at Analysing the tech future * market stocks ❤🎉🕉
Great discussion of NVDA!
Very impactful and relevant data. Keep up the great work! Always appreciate your content.
I appreciate YOU 🍻
That was such a good video. Thank you.
Glad you enjoyed it!
@alex can you do another deep dive on Pltr DNA and TWST those are think can be winners long term
Will be $1000+ soon
Thank you for producing and bringing us this high quality, top shelf content and advice. I bought NVDA last year, and am waiting for a good dip in NTFX (which might be now) based off of your recommendation. You're definitely an important voice to us tech investors, so thank you. 🙂
Hi, how will the recently announced Taichi photonic chip affect the future prospects of traditional GPUs and how will Nvidia deal with this threat?
GREAT VIDEO. THANKS.
Glad it was helpful!
Aye excited to hold Nvda since 2015
Wasnt it the case that Nvidia stock price was based on the assumtion that it will keep rising by a largw pwrcentage year over year for about 10 years? Something like 50% per year for 10 years?
Thanks for this video Alex. I have to admit I was a tiny bit concerned with the dip, but you’ve made your case & I’m holding! 🙂
Don't sell your shares
It will yield profits in the long term. You should buy the latest Tesla innovation shares
Thank you
Is it a good time to start a position now?
GREAT vid, Alex. You know, sometimes the simplest concepts are the hardest to execute. Here is my favorite tough one…
But low, sell high.
I found this vid to be so valuable that 2 other points come to mind. This first one I have found to be really helpful. It is the first time I’ve ever written about it…
When a stock drops by 50%, yes, you do have to make 100% to return to where you were. But that is merely a mathematical “trickery” of little significance. Think about any significant loss you have had. You then made yourself more depressed by this simple, but misleading, math oddity. And yes, you have repeatedly earned it back as easily as you lost it (plus or minus).
Why? Think of that same loss of 50%, say from $10,000 to $5,000. To make back that $5,000, you have to make, um, duh, $5,000. And assuming that the stock is not a dog, it’s just as easy to make $5,000 as to lose it (a bit easier, actually, as you have demonstrated here, Alex).
When I think about a loss like that, it’s much easier on the nerves by thinking in dollar terms, again assuming that I really do know that company.
This is true for any loss. Take blackjack, which I used to profitably play 45 years ago, by counting cards. If I took a one-day loss of say, that same $5,000, I always made it back, although not usually in one session (for reasons that should be clear if you really think about why - see if you can figure this little puzzle out before I explain it below :-) ).
I hope that this rule helps someone here think differently about losses…
“It’s the dollar amount that matters, not the percentage.”
My second point… I mentioned above that it takes longer to make it back. Here’s why…
I’ll keep this to blackjack since it’s easier to follow, but you’ll be able to translate that to Nvidea. It might take me months of playing 100s of hands per day until I finally have such a bad day. It would, of course, also take me that long to make that much (shorter since I had a 1% advantage, but let’s ignore that).
OK, here’s the big point… to make it back, I’m on the clock. It only took me a day to lose AFTER MONTHS OF NORMAL PLAY, but I have to make it back, starting now, not starting on my next really great day.
I trust you see how this generalizes to volatile stocks…
Be patient - you WILL earn it back.
If you really internalize these 2 points, I guarantee you’ll deal with big losses much better.
That said, I’m 70 now. I’m not sure how to deal with Alex’s point that it could take 8 years to earn that back. I guess I’ll leave instructions in my will! 😂
NOTE: 1 edit for typo, 1 for clarity
What happened to how many times the stock split?!?
Its normal to correct after going up so much.
Great video Alex, I just joined as a paid member. Your content is invaluable... Cheers friend 😄
🙏 thanks for your support and welcome
Appreciate, what a mind boggling data presentation plus personal experience detailed ! Who on earth does such revelation!? Hats Off my dear Alex😍
What us your view on smci?
What is the massive bombshell you're talking about in the thumbnail?
Thanks Alex! Love your videos. I regret not buying NVDA last year!
My Tsla account has me worried with a basis of 330 a share. I invested at the wrong time apparently.
Everyone has done that.
Is NVDY ok for taxes?
Ive had it since 2016 it was 35 bucks and im at 800k so im very happy
Thanks for the video! It helps me to become a better trader.
This is a window of opportunity to get as much of the latest tesla innovation shares as possible considering the dip
It's ok to be wrong, it's ok to be right. Thanks for condensing info we voluntarily choose to watch and saving us time to spend with our loved ones in the process. Don't feel pressured even if it gets applied - it's not representative. Know that a likely vast majority of your audience simply appreciates the work and doesn't have time to get too involved. Keep it up, mate! Much appreciated. My first and likely last comment :-) Cheers
🙏 Thank you, I really appreciate that!
Cathie wood is such a joke. I’m not convinced she understand most innovative companies she invest in.
Congrats on your investing journey. I'm sure it was not easy
really like the way he doesnt push you to watch all the video, all info on front
Your time is valuable
They trying to let us get in. You have about six months.... Helllooooooo!
Have done something like this on COST?
MSFT, META, and Google spending is through the roof. Who are they spending it with NVDA and AVGO.
Why do I hear for SMCI for the first time, did you mention it before?
Yes several times, including a full video on them and they’ve been on my lists for a while