I agree with everything here. But depends on the bet. Earlier this year I cashed $12k on a 60-cent Pick 4, where the winners were three longshots and a vulnerable fave. I wanted to fade that vulnerable fave, but had to play him for insurance, and glad that I did, ‘cos I otherwise wouldn’t have been able to sleep that night.
I think Barber Roads a well meant great trying horse but the pace will hardly favor that horse and I was against him from the start. Played the 9 and 7 on my pick 5 and was finally able to hit my first pick 5 at Oaklawn! This is a great example of a vulnerable favorite to leave off your ticket and beat.
great stuff was against BR also & caddo but keyed ECHO horse in race 12 so ilost keep vids coming great thxs oh 1 more thing that spot-lite # should be last 2 races 5 is long time in horseracing
Good question! More information available? More illegal drugs are in use & bettors have knowledge about which trainers are using said drugs? Not really sure, those are our best guesses.
@@Racingdudes So that's not a myth? Trainers actually pump their animals with drugs? I've got a theory in British traps, the gates sometimes open at different speeds. Also the most unexpected result often gets up, the one the pundit dismisses and says has little to no chance. Or a minor favorite with very little public interest. Happens time and time again. The absolute worst runner in a race wins all the time (both horses and dogs). I'm talking 20 to 100 shots. They actually seem to get up more than the primary underdogs. I cannot explain it other than corruption. Or is that what you call "value"? The American races generally don't run like that. Often the favorite will win almost every race. It's totally different.
@@truthxposed8975 "Arkansas woman arrested for disorderly conduct for screaming in the streets after 15-1 shot Barber Road upsets in the Oaklawn Handicap. Quote 'I TOLD THEM, I TOLD THEM IT WOULD HAPPEN! I NEVER LOST FAITH' Barber Road, well known for placing, but not winning, hasn't won a race since he was a 2 year old"
vulnerable favorite? ok. show me the stats where a 2-1 "vulnerable" favorite loses MORE than a 2-1 well rated favorite. show me the stats. horses going off at 2-1 ARE , in the long run, going to win close to a third of the time, PERIOD. it is what it is....the odds are what they are.
I agree with everything here. But depends on the bet. Earlier this year I cashed $12k on a 60-cent Pick 4, where the winners were three longshots and a vulnerable fave. I wanted to fade that vulnerable fave, but had to play him for insurance, and glad that I did, ‘cos I otherwise wouldn’t have been able to sleep that night.
I think Barber Roads a well meant great trying horse but the pace will hardly favor that horse and I was against him from the start. Played the 9 and 7 on my pick 5 and was finally able to hit my first pick 5 at Oaklawn! This is a great example of a vulnerable favorite to leave off your ticket and beat.
Congrats on the hit!
Aaron Great video! I have heard several talk about ticket construction. Any instruction on ticket construction for exotics and Pick 3/4/5.. Thank you!
Greetings from Venezuela, Land ofJJ Castellano and Ramon Dominguez! Thanks for the knowledge dropped here.
Thanks for coming by!
great stuff was against BR also & caddo but keyed ECHO horse in race 12 so ilost keep vids coming great thxs oh 1 more thing that spot-lite # should be last 2 races 5 is long time in horseracing
Thank you
In US the favorite wins way more frequently than in British markets. Why?
Good question! More information available? More illegal drugs are in use & bettors have knowledge about which trainers are using said drugs? Not really sure, those are our best guesses.
@@Racingdudes So that's not a myth? Trainers actually pump their animals with drugs? I've got a theory in British traps, the gates sometimes open at different speeds. Also the most unexpected result often gets up, the one the pundit dismisses and says has little to no chance. Or a minor favorite with very little public interest. Happens time and time again. The absolute worst runner in a race wins all the time (both horses and dogs). I'm talking 20 to 100 shots. They actually seem to get up more than the primary underdogs. I cannot explain it other than corruption. Or is that what you call "value"? The American races generally don't run like that. Often the favorite will win almost every race. It's totally different.
Can anyone outside of the UK bet into usa pools??? I love tote betting but can't find anyway of doing the usa horses pick3/4/5
He's gonna be mean to Barber Road isn't he? *1minute later* DARNIT
But I agree, 4/5 is waaaay too low
I even say later "I have respect for this horse but I can't play him to win ever at 4/5" LOL
@@Racingdudes I know you have a Barber Road hat, somewhere. Just waiting for the day he's over 5-1.. 🤣
@@truthxposed8975 "Arkansas woman arrested for disorderly conduct for screaming in the streets after 15-1 shot Barber Road upsets in the Oaklawn Handicap. Quote 'I TOLD THEM, I TOLD THEM IT WOULD HAPPEN! I NEVER LOST FAITH' Barber Road, well known for placing, but not winning, hasn't won a race since he was a 2 year old"
vulnerable favorite? ok. show me the stats where a 2-1 "vulnerable" favorite loses MORE than a 2-1 well rated favorite. show me the stats. horses going off at 2-1 ARE , in the long run, going to win close to a third of the time, PERIOD. it is what it is....the odds are what they are.
The point of the video is that it’s a case by case basis.
@@Racingdudes the odds ARE the odds. what you see is what you get. the tote board is an efficient market.