Moneyball Clinic: WOLVES | Team, Tactic & Transfer Guide | FM24
HTML-код
- Опубликовано: 2 окт 2024
- The first episode in a new team guide series, where I'll be using a statistic-led approach to squad assessment, tactic building and recruitment.
How to choose the first team? Well...data, of course. Wolves were statistically the biggest underperformers in the EPL during simulations, and so I set about putting them on the right track!
FEEDBACK
If you want to leave feedback, but rather it was kept anonymous, you can do so via this form: docs.google.co...
METHODOLOGY
I performed 10 full detail simulations of the Top 30 leagues to create a single database to give me insight into player and team performances under the current Match Engine. Set up in real world mode, with the first transfer window disabled. Teams were able to make transfers in January, allowing us to get a sense of what the AI considers each team's areas of weakness.
All player statistics were exported for players in active leagues who played over 900 minutes, aggregated and then standardised to per 90 metrics. All players recommended will come from this pool.
League results were similarly exported, and averaged out to help give a high level overview of team performance, which will instruct us on the state of teams at the start of the game and provide a baseline for us to measure against. I'll be using the save file from the season that is the closest representation of a team's average performance to then drill further into specific details.
FILES
Maybe you want to take a look at the saves for yourself? Have at it:
Save 1: www.mediafire....
Save 2: www.mediafire....
Save 3: www.mediafire....
Save 4: www.mediafire....
Save 5: www.mediafire....
Tactic: www.mediafire....
MUSTERMANNFM
A veteran of the FM series, going all the way back to Championship Manager Italia in 1993 (yes, I'm old). Creator of the Mustermann skins (links below) and recently started creating RUclips content. Awful sense of humour.
MODS USED
Mustermann Iconic Skin: bit.ly/46zPxAP
Cut Out Player Faces Megapack: sortitoutsi.ne...
Standard Kits Megapack: sortitoutsi.ne...
Background & Stadiums Megapack: sortitoutsi.ne...
FMG Standard Logos Megapack: sortitoutsi.ne...
Trophies Megapack: www.fmscout.co...
DONATIONS
If, for whatever reason, you are so enamoured with this skin you want to send me a coffee, feel free to donate via PayPal: www.paypal.com.... I would like to stress there is no obligation whatsoever!
MUSIC
"genre hiphop lofi" by Teodholina
pixabay.com/us...
This guy deserves a lot more views in the future. His presentation is better than any FM RUclipsr I've seen.
Very kind words, thank you 🙏
I hope I can only continue to learn and improve.
This is a great series.
Definitely adding this to my Mustermann playlist
Awesome!!! Glad you enjoyed it. I really think this can be an interesting series, and look forward to exploring other teams and leagues.
i’ve just come across this video randomly on youtube but it’s one of the best i’ve seen, great work. one of the best FM creators on here
Welcome 👋 - I'm glad you've stumbled upon it, and that you enjoyed it. There'll be more coming in due course!
You've knocked it out of the park once again - great video!
Thank you, dude 🙏 - I have high hopes for this series. Think it will be really interesting exploring different teams and leagues and seeing what data can do for us!
Please make this a series! Very enjoyable. Would love to see this with more teams across Europe.
That's the plan!! Obviously, I don't have the time and resources to be able to push these out quickly, so it might be a few weeks before the next episode, but there will be more of these for sure.
i’m a wolves fan so i already love this and haven’t even finished the ads yet
As a Villa fan...I apologise for the disclaimer 😂
What a fantastic video. Very much looking forward to the next one!
Thank you very much, dude! I have high hopes this can be a really interesting series - looking forward to exploring other teams/leagues
Bookmarking this one to give it a whirl later, excited to see you get into the super nitty-gritty stuff like that
I'm waiting for the "that's not moneyball" comments. I didn't mention Bill James once 🙈
Love your videos, mate. 🍻
Thank you, dude!
Another great vid mate and a great idea for a series!
Ta very much, Adam! Been really fun working on this one.
This is amazing mate!
Thank you very much, dude 🙏
Love your videos! But this one is amazing! Ty for the content!
Thank you, dude, glad you enjoyed it!
Your videos have been pure class, keep it up :)
Thank you very much 🙏 really appreciate the kind words!
Only found your content because of your skin. You´re doing a fantastic job mate, keep it up.
Ta very much!!
Love this video
Thank you, dude 🙏
What a vid this was.
Thank you 🙏 and glad you enjoyed it. Next episode will be out next week!
Great video, love the concept! As an Arsenal fan, I would love to see you do Arsenal. Maybe I get some inspo and motivation to a new save :) ( for the 100th time)
I'll add it to the list! It might be a little while before I head back to the Premier League, though, as want to explore a couple of others first.
As a data nerd myself, I cant be happier with this video. Solid work. Might give this skin a try as well.
Thank you, dude, glad you enjoyed it. Obviously it only touches the surface of what can be included in a data-driven approach, but I wanted to keep the video length down and the subject accessible 🤣
@@mustermannfm solid approach. I will write you a dm with a question on twitter
Great video again
Could you share the spreadsheet with the stats download?
Not yet, I'm afraid. It needs tidying up, explainers added, etc... and just isn't ready for public release.
After the same, I’ve never done a moneyball save but really interested in giving it a go. Also helps it’s one of my fav films 🤣
I think you should sim with your new tactic before you make a signing aswell so we can see if its the new player making the difference or just the tactic
I could also sign the player and leave the tactics up to the assistant manager to see if it's the new player making the difference or just the tactic. Or I could sign all the recommendations in different saves and run multiple simulations to see which is the very best. Or I could play the season in full multiple times because success is not just down to tactics and players, but injury and morale management. I could perhaps target a different position, and do the same for those positions, too. I might only make one video a year, though.
Isn't there a rule in the FA guidebook that the 4-4-2 must be referred to as the 4-4-F*&^$%g-2?
If not there should be...
My original voiceover might've referred to it as such 😇
What can i say class video again been waiting for upload
Thank you, dude. Glad you enjoyed it! I really think this will be an interesting series when eploring different teams and leagues!
btw ur skin is actally a gamechanger found so many good talent with it for cheap @@mustermannfm
As usual, you are creative and helpful. Question: Can I build a suitable tactic using player data "pizza chart"? Or do I create a custom tactic and contract with specific players using this data who will apply this tactic?
You can do either. In fact, I do both in these videos.
I use data from the pizza chart to understand what actions players perform well and explain how I created a simple tactic from it. I then use that tactic to inform what I'm looking for when trying to then sign players.
“A very dribbley boy”😂
Appallingly, I think I even spelt it as "boi" in the script 🙈
Absolutely fantastic, struggling to download skin for Mac, followed instructions, but stuck, any help, greatly appreciated
I don't know specifics about Mac, unfortunately - but this thread here should be able to help: community.sigames.com/forums/topic/558156-graphics-skins-installation-guide-user-data-location-info/
@@mustermannfm Worked a treat, can't wait to get stuck into this, keep up the amazing work!!!
@@shaunguest5606 glad to hear it, and hope you enjoy it (it does take a little bit of getting used to!)
Ahh man where do I begin with team recommendations: Ajax, Lyon, Chelsea, Basel,… basically teams that are underperforming irl. Although tbf Chelsea aren’t really underperforming at this point.
So many teams...not enough time! It's always difficult with teams underperforming in real life, if they are otherwise good in FM. Man Utd, for example, finished 4th in the aggregated simulations, and so the players we'd be targetting in FM are likely to be very different to what they need irl.
But then it's not just about underperforming teams. I think it will be interesting to see if they are some unexpected options that will provide marginal gains for supposed "big" teams, too. It would be quite cool to unearth some unheralded journeyman in Switzerland and him being the player to help topple Bayern's dominance of the Bundesliga.
Awesome! Would you consider making a video in the future about how to interpret stats and the pizza charts but like for dummies?
Probably not. There's not really a full video's worth of material. Two things that might help - I explain it in the skin video here: ruclips.net/video/j8S_LUuqYrA/видео.htmlsi=8Q7LlDB6IzSYhEck&t=299
and the Athletic article: theathletic.com/2746113/2021/09/12/a-guide-to-smarterscout-and-understanding-the-athletics-pizza-charts/
(it's behind a paywall, but scroll down, press Ctrl + A to select everything, Ctrl + C to copy, and then paste it into Word or Notepad)
Thank you for all of this! More than happy to watch your content!
Thank you, dude 🙏
This series comes with the added benefit of me NOT mispronouncing Greek names every 5 minutes 😂
Wolves consistently under perform in my FM games. But when I managed them in the beta to get to know the game, I managed a third place finish, with Kalajdzic nettting 25 goals, sarabia 20 odd assists. Go to my normal jounrney man save, and they are relegated first season
Yup, virtual Gary O'Neill seems to struggle getting the most out of the team.
Love this approach, and trying to do something similar in my save at the minute. Could you share the view you used to export player data?
Of course, here you go: www.mediafire.com/file/rbf9hwsvkufzyf9/Moneyball_Clinic.fmf/file
Great video and very appealing way to play the game. I'm wanting to try your player finding way but struggling to find the best way to display the filter as per your Moneyball Clinic, any chance we can grab that view from somewhere? :)
This one here, sire?
www.mediafire.com/file/rbf9hwsvkufzyf9/Moneyball_Clinic.fmf/file
@@mustermannfm that is it kind sir! Thank you.
A newbie-to-stats question now, how did you import it so nicely into Google Sheets?
@@Pequito print screen as web page. This will create an html file. Copy and paste that in to Google Sheets. Clean it up a little bit (find and replace all cells that are "-" exactly with "", find and replace all instances of "km" with "").
This is it @@mustermannfm
There are so many questions now! ha! As in how do you restrict that player search to the higher divisions?
@@Pequito in FM? Then add Division to the player search filter. You'll need to add each division you want to consider.
Great work. Even supplying the save files absolute gold, well done.
Thank you 🙏
And I had to provide them...everyone should check out that 94 goals conceded season! 1) Almost every single result is ridiculous, and 2) it should help show that I haven't tried to manipulate outcomes, because if I did, I definitely wouldn't have included that in the final results 😂
Good job again mate. One question, why don't you use the scouting in the game and in edit player search, you add the Tackles Won % and Pass Completion or whatever stats you want and narrow them down to the top 3 players you want instead of place them in a spreadsheet? Isn't faster?
How many tackles/passes/etc... have players made when you start a new career?
@@mustermannfm When did you do that, I usually get stats every half and end season.
@@FalseNine.9 the point I was trying to make was that this series is looking at teams at the start of the game. There are no in-game statistics to go by until games have been played.
I've compiled data the data to be able to analyse how teams and players play under the in-game managers to then make tactical suggestions and practical signings from the very first transfer window. Once you're further in the game, of course you would use the tools available in-game.
Thanks for your answer. Going back to the spreadsheet and a previous video you compare players with Bubble graphs, is it the same to do this in the game in the scouting again, adding the stats you want and will show you the players available? The game doesn't compare them for you , whats the graphs help you if alll the players you compare have the same stats?@@mustermannfm
@@FalseNine.9 It really depends on what you're looking for from a specific. For example, in the video here, I was looking for someone who would essentially be a water carrier. Win the ball back and play it safe. This is all visible in the pizza charts in my skin (and I've given permission to other skins to use, such as Electric Panther, Statman, etc...).
If I was looking at something that required combining stats, then I'd use third parties like Looker Studio. For example, if I'm looking for a winger or attacking midfielder I might want to view certain actions together (shots, key passes, dribbles, fouls won) that I otherwise can't through the game itself, or aren't easy to compare in table format.
In terms of tie-breaking players with similar stats (it's exceptionally unlikely anyone will have the exact same), then the main considerations are personality, adaptability and value. Graphs won't help you there.
Great series. Do you use filters in game to lower the number of potential targets, if so, are they available for download?
No. I play attributeless, so I don't use filters to limit the results. I rely on scouts to build a pool, and then I look at statistical performance to identify targets. When looking at statistical performance, I will consider strength of opposition/standard of league.
@@mustermannfm apologies, aware of the attributesless. I meant for performance based statistics like tackles per 90, completed passes, etc?
@@liamreynolds1247 Still no. A couple of reasons:
No two player searches are ever the same. When I'm looking to fill a position I want to look at what I expect of the role, and the baseline of the player they might be replacing. My requirements will be different every time, and using a preset filter/template encourages you to not think about what you're actually looking for.
Stats also only ever tell part of the story. A player might be below an arbitrary threshold, but when you take a closer look you see that it is expected as a result of the role they fulfil in their team at the time. With player search disabled, and only scouted players to check through, it's rarely a massive undertaking to look through all viable players (e.g. those who are affordable and interested). I should also add that stats that volume statistics (passes per 90, tackles per 90, etc...) are always indicative of the tactical style of the player, too. If you can find someone who excels in a similar system to your own, that's great, but there are players who might appear better/worse because their team does more of a specific action. You always want to look at it in a broader sense. For example, when I'm looking at progressive passes, I am also looking at passes completed. If two players have roughly the same number of progressive passes, but one makes considerably fewer passes, then I know they tend to look to be more progressive than the other.
Finally, I might have an idea of what I want from the role, but I end up finding someone with a slightly different profile who might make me reasses. A player might have a lower pass rate than I wanted, but be a much more progressive carrier, capable of breaking the lines by dribbling, and that might lead to me considering whether they could fulfil a different role, and I could move someone else into the position I initially intended to fill.
@@liamreynolds1247 sorry for the long reply!
Amazing so good again as always. As a Villa fan I also can confirm you don't want to be Wolves 🤣
The only saving grace was at least Villa finished above them in every test 😂
Great video.. where do you get your graphics used for the covers?
For the thumbnails? I create them myself.
This is perfect given my comment about the trusty 442 today.
Both Wolves and Chelsea I've ended up using a 4-4-2. Just felt most appropriate for those squads. I have a feeling that's not gonna be the case with Fluminense next, though!
great video! is there a possibility to access the database?
Sorry, I'm afraid not. It's a live document, that is in no way fit for public release, and will become obselete when the next SI patch comes out, so I don't want to spend time tidying it up before it has to all be replaced anyway 🤣
@@mustermannfm okay, no worries. do you have a suggestition how i can gain a bigger sample size of data for my save?
@@longislandishim Once you're beyond the first transfer window, use the performance data in your game world. This will always be the most useful approach, as once you hit "Continue" for the first time, your save will be different to everyone elses. It will capture the development and regression (usually because of injury) of players that will be appropriate to your save.
I recommend making a save point before the seasons change over so you can go back and see historical data, or just export it to the spreadsheet software of your choosing.
When I play proper saves, such as the PAOK series, I have player search disabled, so I'm purely using data from the players that my recruitment team have scouted. Sure you might potentially miss a great player out there that you don't know about...but then again, you didn't know about them, so you don't know you've missed them 😂. I haven't found that having a small pool to be particularly problematic, as I'll be comparing them against players in my squad already, and likely to be narrowing it down to 2 or 3 options anyway (some of which is done by virtue of players being too expensive or not interested)
Might still be new to the whole spread sheet analysis thing. One of your older fm23 videos you used a comparison graph after importing from a spreadsheet so do you still have a method to share it with us.
I do appreciate how you choose your players
For using Looker Studio (or Tableau) there are links in the description on those videos for how to use them. In terms of sharing the spreadsheet from this, I am not in a position to do so at the moment. It would need tidying up, explainers adding, etc... and isn't fit for public release.
You can use the player search view to export yourself and, as I often explain, it is always more valuable to come up with metrics appropriate for your own tactical preferences when assessing players. www.mediafire.com/file/rbf9hwsvkufzyf9/Moneyball_Clinic.fmf/file
@@mustermannfm thanks a lot all what I wanted was the software to be used and the filter
@@siu1823 as explained in the other video, I use Google's Looker Studio - just because it's what I'm familiar with, but a lot of other people in the FM space use Tableau. I expect Tableau is better/more user friendly, but I'm getting old and learning new things is hard 😂
Hi Mustermann! Great video please keep on doing these kinda videos, kinda like a virtual 'who should Wolves sign'. A selfish request, please do an Arsenal one 😂❤️
Someone else has already asked, so I've added Arsenal to the list, but it might be a while before I head back to the Prem. Gonna explore some other leagues first.
Fantastic video.
How can I get this skin tho?
The link is in the description!
I do need to point out that not everything in this video will be available in the skin. I will edit certain pages so that I can take screenshots for specific videos, and things like the aggregated pizza charts I create externally (as the skin creator, it helps that I created all the assets to begin with 😂)
Love this series. Hope you pick Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga for the next video. 😉
I'll add them to the list. There's a couple of others I've already got lined up...but given the research I did into Bremen's history for the PAOK series, it only makes sense!
Teach me, senpai
Good video, but you forgot to make use of Wolves' best player Fabio Sil- *holds laughter*
I was shocked to discover that he's still only 20! Swear he's been around for decades.
@@mustermannfm Right? In any case, fantastic work. I could never have the patience to go as in depth as you did, but the results you've gotten at are truly fascinating. Hoping to see more in the future!
@@-shikajin-4078ta very much. In the internet era it's so easy to find wonderkids, and players with great attributes. It's quite nice to find instead those situational players. Ones who will perform and improve teams, but only in specific circumstances.
Is it good to use the pizza part in the scotish second devision or it will be bad
Absolutely fine. Whilst the quality of players are lower, so are the opposition, so it's still useful for understanding the strengths and weaknesses of players at that level. For example, it was perfectly useful for me in the South African second division in FM23.
@@mustermannfm ok thanks
Amazing! 👏
It's the last paragraph of the 'DISCLAIMER' for me... 😂 😂 😂
A true Villian. 👏
I couldn't go the whole video without insulting Wolves once 🤣
fantastic video bud, love the idea of this series
Cheers, dude! Think this one might have legs!
Great work, always worth making enough time to watch your videos 👍
Thank you, Rensie - absolutely appreciate it!!
10/10 once again. Class dismissed
Thank you, dude!!
Wow! You’ve pretty much made your own Tifo in the FM world. Amazing stuff
There was definitely some inspiration!!
Thoroughly enjoyed this mate. Will be tuning into these going forward.
Thank you, dude! Glad you enjoyed it, and hope the next will be just as good!
This is FM Tito, very cool tbh!
I'll take that as a compliment! I do enjoy the Tifo guys!!
Brilliant video mate, cant wait for the next one in the series
Cheers, dude. I'm looking forward to exploring other teams/leagues!
What a cool video, subbed and can’t wait for the next episode!
Glad you enjoyed it. Might be a couple of weeks until the next in this series, but should be a good 'un!
@@mustermannfm ah fair mate, I can see how much work goes into it. Can’t wait!
6:07 As good a reason for Counter Pressing as I can think of 😂
It really is that simple!!
This is amazing holy shit keep going man!
Thank you very much 🙏 and glad you enjoyed it!
Another great one! Now, this is Moneyball!
Many thanks, dude 🙏
Really looking forward to exploring other teams and leagues!
Great video 🦜(new viewer)
Welcome 👋 and I'm glad you enjoyed it!!
Disclaimer Is funny I approve, you should remove the hidden video from this playlist Munster
As long as someone found it funny, I'm happy!!
And thank you for pointing that out. I'd uploaded two versions of the Sevilla one in case the main one fell foul of copyright; and didn't even think it wouldn't get removed from the playlist after I deleted the video.
@@mustermannfm how often are you planning to come out with this series, and is there a series on how to get my game to look like yours?
@@loganadams1205Realistically, with work commitments and the PAOK series, it's likely this will be a once very few weeks kind of thing.
As for getting the game to look like mine, you can download the Mustermann Iconic skin: bit.ly/46zPxAP
Installation guide and skin overview covered in this video here: ruclips.net/video/j8S_LUuqYrA/видео.html
@@mustermannfm thank you!
@@loganadams1205 I should've added before that there will be some things in these videos that won't be in the skin. As a skinner, I will make changes/tweaks to help me display information in the video that won't necessarily be useful to be displayed in that manner in a released version of the skin. There are also times where I will make things externally for the video. For example, the squad planner with wage spend. I don't believe there would be a way to do that inside the game, so I recreated it externally for this video (as I felt the squad planner was a better way of displaying that information than just a list of players).
Lovely stuff as ever
As always, thank you ❤
Great presentation and info. Look forward to your next one
Thank you, dude 🙏
Loved the video, awesome production as always. I was wondering if you could link the Moneyball Clinic view you used? Thank you!
The spreadsheet?
@@mustermannfm the view in FM you made to show the stats of all the players , 8 seconds into the video, which you then used to export to excel🙏
@@AlexGarcia-fs4qt sure, here you go: www.mediafire.com/file/rbf9hwsvkufzyf9/Moneyball_Clinic.fmf/file
Nice video but l can t find emil 😢
Do you have the Norwegian Eliteserien loaded?
@@mustermannfmokay thanks
great video!!
Thank you very much, dude 🙏
One of the best videos I have ever seen
Thank you kindly!
Great video! I learned a lot:)
Awesome! Glad to hear!!
Interesting, but the music is annoying.
Thank you for the feedback. No one else has raised any objections yet, but if others feel the same, please do let me know (adding a thumbs up to ThreeRunHomer's comment would also be useful)