Should We Prepare For (the Next) Break-up of Russia?
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- Опубликовано: 12 сен 2024
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economies "collapse" when they are over financialized and unprotected. Russia produces commodities and weapons and nuclear fuel. what is this garbage you are posting? It is as though you think you are casting a spell and then like magic the CIA makes your dream come true.
the Art market is a scam and a way to launder money for rich people.
what does it "collapse" into? a disintegrated Russia under any conditions is an unnatural state of political affairs. This is obvious by the fact that they are always attacked as a Russian state. Why would they then just spontaneously "collapse" like a consumer product
at least you admit the Soviet Union began as an American banking project. please untwist that tootsie pop for the audience starting with Irving Kristol
@@puppetperception7861 wow you are butthurted aint you, Chinese D is waiting for you.
This Ukraine war has been a fascinating experience for me. I'm a 21 year old, so I've never really experienced any world shaking moments in history. I was too young to remember 9/11 or Iraq or the financial crisis. I read in history books about the world wars, Vietnam, the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan, the toppling or the Berlin Wall or the disintegration of the USSR.
It's an odd experience to be living through a momentous moment in history. I turn on the news and watch in real-time events that will one day be recorded in history books.
It is dangerous to say, I want to live in interesting times. As long as it's on TV, it's harmless. It's worse when you watch it through the window.
@@MK-xz6ot, I didn't say that I wanted to live through war. Its just a very odd experience to turn on the TV and witness events that I know that I will one day read about in a history book.
@@TheCrimsonS4ge I assure you, it's a better experience to turn on the TV and there not be a war on. That shit is very real, whether it's on TV or right there in your face.
I'd rather just read about interesting world shaking moments in books recorded as past history than actually live through them.
Now imagine you live in a neighboring country of ukraine/russia. Shit is scary but I have total confidence in NATO. We shall overcome this
The tragedy of Russia is that it really could have been so much better than it turned out to be. Mismanagement of a superpower left us with this forever shrinking nation that remembers the glory days, and desperately wants to have that prestige back, but can never quite grasp why they are missing the mark over and over again. I hope that Russia doesn't face another break up, but in many ways, that seems inevitable.
in 1991, in the Union republics, they said that they feed Russians, today they go to Russia from these republics to work as cleaners on the streets
Because Russia always focus outward instead of inward. Its like a strong beast that can only think of attacking its prey but it has no ability for introspection. A dangerous beast but one that will die from its own stupidity.
Russia could've expanded their oil industry even further and also diversified their economy instead of only playing with a single card (oil & natural gas) in the global economy. They could've also improved quality of life like the west did, which creates a more educated population which then makes it easier to invest in technology and to compete in the global market. It is indeed a tragedy that Russia, the biggest country in the world with near unlimited natural resources has the same GDP has South Korea, which is 171x smaller than Russia in terms of land size and only has 1/3 of their population.
@@КириллМирченко still doesn't change anything about the statement of the OP. It only says those republics do even worse jobs🤦♂️
You talking about America?
You almost could have written the same comment about the US…with their abysmal education system, rising numbers of anti-trans bills and hate, stripping of human rights and bodily from more than half the population, I could go on. I mean, it’s a different situation for sure, but I’ve written similar comments about the Us, has the resources to do so much better, could offer all its people rights and health care, decent min wages etc, but nah. They won’t. Because they keep voting in idiots like MTG, Boebert, and so on 🤦🏼♂️🙄
Greetings from Ukraine, I am 30 years old, and I also didn’t think that I would live in "history" I read a lot of stories about how the 2nd World War began (partition of Poland, false reasons for the invasion of Germany) in short .... I came to visit my mother, I go to bed February 23, in the morning my mother wakes me up and says the Odessa Aerodrome is being bombed, I tell moms you must have messed something up and Russian proxies are again shelling the airport in Kramatorsk, after 5 minutes I wake up and see on my phone 100 messages about missile attacks on throughout Ukraine, I hung out for a few minutes, we call my sister, she lives in Odessa, 1-2 km from the Aerodrome, she says that at night there was a series of missile strikes, and in the city there were arrivals at different houses, we told her to come to us, we decided what to do, we decided to go to work in the mall we have our shop there, it was creepy, but I didn’t want to sit at home alone, we just went to chat with other store owners to support each other, there were no buyers, everyone went to withdraw money from ATMs and no one knew banks What will happen . An important clarification, I am from the Odessa region and, for example, people where the military events began immediately have a completely different experience
Russia is in a BAD position. But we shouldn't believe things just because we like the thought of it.
Russia will not collapse. on the contrary - Russia and China will build the new world order.
At least ur smart not falling for this click bait propaganda by Zelensky’s bots lol
@@ninzki143 Nice of you to agree with "Russia is in a BAD position" at least.
You don't see that honesty from Russian trolls often
Well said guys both you J X and Ninzki,We must be careful that there is two sides of this war which turns out to be Propaganda machines even show like infographics have went on anti Russian propaganda
I was about to write something along these lines. Russia cannot break up because it is a single, unified entity. There's only tiny regions on the borders that have large ethnic minorities but the russian population is so large that even if completely disorganized they would still be able to crush any rebellions.
The only thing that could happen besides business as usual is the overthrow of Putin and replacement by either another dictator or a more democratic system. Both scenarios don't entail the dissolution of the country
This video is everything CaspianReport used to be. Fantastic work!
And what Visual Politic can't even begin to understand.
What’s wrong with Caspian Report?
@@evolvedape2161 their quality has dropped off a lot lately. Used to cite primary sources and interviewed people. Now settles for speculation using less remarkable sources that were news months ago.
@@kirkwells5134 I think Caspian was a little infatuated with the "realist" school of thought as exemplified by Mearscheimer and Kissinger. The limitation of realists is not recognizing the agency of smaller states like Vietnam and Ukraine. So Caspian seems to have lost its footing a bit.
@@evolvedape2161 Their analysis used to be questionable, now its just straight up nonsense lol. They were always bad when it came to Russia, as they much more so than other anti-Russian geopolitics channels (ex. William Daniel) REALLY let their personal beliefs cloud their ability to comprehend what all is going on.
While their videos on Afghanistan (where they suggested the government would likely collapse around 2-3 months from now, when it actually fell only a week later) and Ethiopia (where they suggested rebels were likely to take control of Addis Adaba right before a massive government counteroffensive which forced the rebels to accept a very unfavorable ceasefire) aged poorly, those are at least understandable. Even top experts in the US government didn't expect Afghanistan to fall as quickly as it did, and the combination of mass illiteracy and extreme censorship makes it super difficult to assess what was going on in Ethiopia accurately.
But in the past half year or so quality has gone off a cliff. Oh my fucking god his two recent videos about France. Just straight up laughable. The former member states of French West Africa aren't secretly colonies still--I mean FFS Mali is practically owned by the Wagner group at this point, and more nationalistic politicians opposed toward increasing ties with France can and do regularly get elected and reduce those countries' reliance on France. And the assertion that France seeks to dominate Europe by undermining Germany and forcing small countries to conform to Paris's will is hilarious to anyone who has the slightest clue about Macron's foreign policy.
Other highlights include a video where he suggests China is becoming a puppetmaster over South America based on the fact that *checks notes* more Chinese businesses are investing in South American countries. Or the video where he says Russia can never become a democracy because past attempts at democratization failed (y'know, like famous dictatorships Spain and Greece). Or that video where he claims "US predicts war with China by 2025" which is a bald faced lie.
But all of those are practically Pulitzer-prize worthy journalism compared with the video where he says Bolivia may prepare for war with Chile to regain access to the sea WHEN THEY ALREADY HAVE SEA ACCESS PROTECTED BY A TREATY WITH CHILE WITH WHICH THEY HAVE CLOSE DIPLOMATIC RELATIONS!
Starting history of Russia with Moscow principality is just like starting history of German with Prussia...
The USSR’s seat in the UNSC rightfully belongs to the glorious nation of Kazakhstan 🇰🇿 🇰🇿 🇰🇿 🇰🇿
Да ты что, а долги и всё остальное за СССР, заплаченное Россией ты отдаёшь?
Borat?
What.
@@shtein4476 debt? Impossible for the glorious nation of Kazakhstan 🇰🇿 🇰🇿 🇰🇿 🇰🇿
Technically Kazakhstan has as much legal claim to that seat as Russia does.
The video makes it seem like Russia targeted Austria-Hungary, and Russia is responsible for WW1, which isn't based in reality at all. For all of Russia's faults and crimes, WW1 isn't one of them and is a rare instance of Russia being the good guy. Russia, rightly, went to Serbia's aid against Austro-Hungarian Imperial aims. If anyone is to blame for WW1 its Konrad Von Hotzendorf and the Austro-Hungarian Empire, not Russia.
The video is full of such petty hoaxes and lies that are not based on reality, but are an integral part of Russophobic propaganda. Apart from the information, the same tendency can be seen in the photographs that were used as illustrations, which serve the viewer the image of the West/good, Russia/bad with sublimated messages.
It's terrible to me how impossible it is to be objective today, vile tendencies of distorting reality and spins permeate everywhere, and even in such a technically and visually very well done article, which at first glance perfidiously hides the classic Western black-and-white narrative of spitting on everything Russian...
Which just proves that proverb - 'the devil is in the details'.
Uh, did anyone else catch the part where he said Russia "started World War II?" And then goes on to say that Russia just so happened to find itself on the victor's side despite the Americans putting in the lion's share of the effort? If I seem to recall correctly, Hitler started WW2. Sure, Stalin agreed to annex the eastern 3rd of Poland as part of the Molotov-Ribbentrop agreement, but they paid for the deal in blood 2 years later when German violated the non-aggreasion pact and invaded the Soviet Union, resulting in countless deaths (including in Ukraine.) Lend-Lease DID help the Soviet Union immensely indeed, but as much of their industrial base was far to the East (as was much of their military reserve,) it's doubtful they would've lost even if they'd lost Moscow. In fact, the Japanese (Hitler's ally) agreeing to a non-aggression pact with the Soviet Union, thus freeing up a significant portion of the Soviet military in the eastern part of the country helped more than anything else. I am emphatically opposed to Russia's invasion of Ukraine and current actions worldwide, but eschewing historical accuracy in order to score rhetorical points does NOT help.
Cry harder... Ussr did invade a lot of countries like Finland and Romania
@@aeganratheesh All justified by the way, cope harder wehraboo.
This was one of your best videos imo. No critiques. It's a small thing but the smooth transition in and out of your ad was very well done. Little things like that matter
For real, it took me a good 30 seconds to realize that's what it was then it was almost done. A+
😂 Comedy Gold the Ruble is at 100 to the UK Pound GDP is rising record profits from Gas and Oil its economy stable a fully Gold backed currency. Trade with Europe increased by 180 billion. Israelistan 🇺🇲 near total collapse its economy in ruins 64 Countries just dropped the US dollar for trade. No longer needed to buy Saudi oil and US bonds being flushed faster than a toilet with talk of default on its loan repayments. Germany in ruins over 200 businesses many up to 200 years old have gone bankrupt the latest a metallurgical Co 900 yes that's 900 years just failed. Most of Europe is even worse. Shitstain 🇬🇧 is barely afloat with massive debt and 10.5% inflation US inflation at 18% not the 8% they feed the public. The west will be lucky to see out 2023. New BRICS additions trade in Chinese YUAN booming world wide.
Until he says Russia initiated WW2
Very well presented. Am 62yo and I have seen the USSR, Breshnev era, invasion of Afghanistan, Gorby, Berlin Wall, and after 1992, suddenly new countries emerged that I only knew from stories of the Arabian Nights like Armenia and Kazakstan.
This video is an absolutely astonishing essence of the history of muscovy. Truly a superb work. Thank you so much!
This predatory colossus on feets of clay will fall. And we are destined to take a direct role in the slay of the beast.
Greetings to my Polish brothers and sisters from Kyiv.
Oh, you are now welcoming them and not killing them? How many Poles did Banderra's soldiers kill for free Ukraine?
And the terrible thing about it all is that the Poles are still able to follow you, while you are just stupid tools in the USA's world power plans. You sacrifice your country to kill your own blood, the USA laughs at you.
Muscovy indeed has its days numbered
"Muscovy"? Bruh it's Novgorod that founded everything, including Kievan Rus 😂😂😂
@@AndRei-yc3ti moscovy is doomed.
It didn't create shit doofus..
Manténganse fuertes y resilientes guerreros del mundo libre, en Chile los amamos y acá también se lucha políticamente contra los orkos esclavos de moscovia, Слава Україні !! y viva Chile Libre !!!
Seems like from the beginning of the Russian country to an empire, 2 things never changed. The focus on expansion instead of building/investing/developing in their own sovereign territories. and secondly, the standard of living was always low during its all history.
Name one powerful country that didn't focus on expansion.
@@СергейЖ-ш2щWell most haven’t since the 1940s. Russia never had a political philosophical revolution, like Europe did. Russia has always solved their issues with brute force and manpower. The full disregard for its own Oblasts and their needs to build robust internal political mechanisms for improvement of their populations, in support for an overly centralized, and predatory tax structure only begets further poverty and corruption. There was one time where the federal tax structure levied variable trade tariffs between Oblasts themselves. Russia is and always was a bureaucratic nightmare.
@@СергейЖ-ш2щ China. Had its borders it was content with, everyone around them could do whatever they want as long as they Kow-towed to the emperor when summoned.
@@tomac100 all of this is just verbal diarrhea with no basis in policy facts. We get it. You love Russia, despite all of the war crimes they commit.
In before you say “hurr durr Americans commit warcrimes too”. There’s pretty solid consensus globally on Russia.
Enjoy living back in the 1940s.
13:57 Why do you say Russia was "The aggressor and initiator" of WWII? Germany invaded Poland first; the USSR invaded 16 days later. What am I missing?
Go cry about commies losing the war... Everyone in the world hates them now except a few delusional Anerimutts and 3rd worlders
And to think that with all its human and natural resources Russia could be Europe´s new lokomotive, it could rival US and China economically and technologically given time. Instead we got this.
Right now Russia rival US
You even be an empire or die trying
@@zhidoslav Then why is the ruble worth only .013 of a US dollar? 😂
@Жидослав new York, California, and Texas all individually have larger economy's that Russia, sit down
@@superpieman5773 how did you count economy?
Defining the soviet union as "the beginning of the end of the russian state" when it was at its most globally influential is certainly interesting take...
15:25 In comparison to the USSR's 175 million people in 1948, the USA had a population of 146 million people. The USA also owned 2/3rds of the world's gold stocks and had roughly 50% of the world's manufacturing capacity.
Historically, Russia and the USA have had so much in common and yet, in many ways couldn't be more different. It's fascinating.
Masterworks is super shady, relying on the fact that SEC, FTC, FINRA don't regulate art. They pump art because there's no regulatory system against it (while the rules for pumping stocks are strict).
They also take your money but don't give you actual fractional ownership. Can owners vote when to sell pieces of art? Ummm, no.
also i think it isnt morally right to trade and pump art in such manner. I mean what are the artists seeing from those prizes?
This whole marked is just another method to enrich people whom nothing is holy to but money. Its just disrespectful
Honestly I don't think artists will be harmed by this. I think we have an extreme oversupply of art in the modern age, and whether a piece of art by a dead artist is investment pumped or not, it won't do squat for the existing ones.
The narrator says at 13:58 that Russia was "the initiator and aggressor" of WWII. I have no reason to listen to this channel ever again, but some behavioral psychologists who specialize in propaganda and misinformation might be interested.
It's questionable to say the USSR were an initiator of WW2, but them invading Poland two weeks after Germany did lends credence to the aggressor claim.
@@enpakeksi765
I'd say the Hitler-Stalin pact rather proves the claim.
I like how your trend based and big , not a history repeats itself and tactic guy. You, Perun, and Ukraine reports provide nice range of analyse from an international but western perspective. Tanks, er, thanks.
There is no russian perspective but propaganda
@@kaladore6798 would'nt this be "western" propaganda then?
@@DerLoller100 propaganda of what?
@@DerLoller100 Russian propaganda = state propaganda.
That's it - there is no other source in Russia.
Western "propaganda" could mean anything from actual western state propaganda to randomly anti Russian/eastern European nutjobs (or related Cold War veterans) to actual western experts on Russian geopolitical and socio-economic issues.
RUclips is so big that you are likely to run the gamut of all of them at some point - but you can tell the propaganda because it retreads the same points ad infinitium like they are reading from a script they did not come up with themselves.
frankly, as a person from a tiny patch of flat land near Russia...I can say their anxiety is more of schizophrenia that is past from generation to generation. they like to use that as a moral excuse for their empire. but they have to learn to cope with it. I think they will learn that this time. because this "little" Russian anxiety cost millions of lives thru out centuries. we all know how Russians often think of themselves as "good samaritan", while killing other nations over and over again. that anxiety is excuse to be maniacs.
their logic is: we have to destroy / kill them first, before they get a chance to do it to us
they think like mongol orda in XII century
True. Ģreatings from Ukraine
The thing you don't mention so much is that people were thinking Russia would balkanise well before the war in Ukraine. But we all know it's related. The Kremlin fears this.
Russia can't balkanize because it is a homogenous country with russians making the vast majority of the population. Here in the balkans we have different ethnicities, languages, religions, and most importantly memories of past wars and atrocities done to each other.
Russians don't have this. They're a single ethnicity, one that was lead by one of the most centralized governments in the world. There is little sense of regional identity and hence no reason for russians in certain regions to want independence from the rest of the country.
@@redhidinghood9337 I would disagree with Russia being an ethno state or atleast homogenous. Russia is very diverse and coincidently, it is the minorities (especially ethnic Turks) who are being conscripted to fight in Ukraine.
@@redhidinghood9337 can you not speak unless you know what you are saying please.
@@redhidinghood9337 yeah you have zero idea what youre talking about. There are tons of different cultures, languages and ethnicities in Russia. You are horrible at your job, russian bot.... go find another employment.
@@redhidinghood9337 homogenous country? Sorry what?😂😂 no it's not
Some Feedback:
1. Soviets did not "initiate" ww2.
Germans initiated ww2 by invading Poland.
2. Biggest reason Germany lost, was because of the Soviets.
Germany would have won if the Soviets did not stop them.
The Allies played a huge part, but the Soviets played the biggest part in Germany's defeat.
Russia by far suffered the biggest loss of Soldiers.
3. After ww2, USA proposed the Marshall plan. Which was aimed to help Europe rebuild after the war.
The Soviet declined this, and rather relied on it's satellite states.
After the war, the relationship between the United States and the Soviet Union deteriorated rapidly, and military aid was no longer provided.
1. This is half true and certainly and leaves out the key detail that stalin signed a non aggression pact with Hitler which had a secret clause to divide Poland and Eastern Europe between the ussr and the nazis. Stalin even aided the nazis before Hitler stabbed him in the back. Somehow I think Hitler would have thought twice if the ussr wasn't so keen on the idea.
2. The biggest reason why the ussr lost was because stalin was military incompetent. Despite his own generals warning him that Hitler was not to be trusted he refused to listen to them and was completely cut of guard. Stalin was so desperate on the Eastern front that he wanted the western front to open early. He wouldn't have been able to defeat Germany on his own. Germany failure was more to do with economics than anything. Without a supply of oil and economic resources to fund the war they were screwed.
3. It might well be true that Russia declined the Marshall plan. But all its economy extraction from its regions is a serious problem. You have to ask yourself if you are in Russia and you don't live in Moscow or St Petersburg what incentive do you have really have for this Moscow centric controlled vertical of power. None at some point your going to want out and there is nothing anyone can do to stop that
@@pgpython 1. I'm pretty sure the Germans would have tried their luck regardless of that pact.
The pact just made it a lot easier for them.
Germany obviously had no intentions with upholding that pact. And it was a massive failure on the part of Soviets to do that.
The reason they signed the pact, was because negotiations were pretty much at a halt with the allied powers. Soviets thought it could have brought them more power, to negotiate themselves into the pact between them and the allies. Like you pointed out, a massive mistake. Regardless, Germans were hellbent on war anyway. Being inspired by the Italians who were already warmongering. They were also already trying to eliminate socialist and communist movements in their own country. As it would pose a threat to them.
I'm sure ww2 would have happened without that disastrous pact, but it would have played out differently for sure.
2. I'm not sure what you mean by "lost" ?
Overall, they won ww2. Although they did lose battles throughout the war. (Finland for an example.) Without the Soviets, the Allied forces wouldn't stand a chance.
But I agree, Stalin was a very bad military strategist overall. He could have been much more efficient if he'd actually listen to his Generals.
3. Yeah, it is a massive problem.
Especially after the fall of the Soviets.
That was a disastrous time.
It's a very interesting topic to me.
@@pgpython
1. The west was the one to assist nazis, not the soviets. Non-agression pact gave USSR much needed time and Germany would invade even if Stalin refused. Plus, seizing eastern Poland saved the people living in it from nazi camps.
2. First of all, why would Stalin think that Germany was going to attack? Germany was already in a war, Japan was the bigger threat. Secondly, how is wanting to have the war end sooner and with less casualties military incompetent and prove that USSR couldnt win on its own?
3. For, uhh, pay? I really dont see your point there. Working in remote regions gave better pay and benefits.
but, if the Russian Federation collapses, how many of its provinces are actually viable as independent nations? does all of eastern Russia become another Africa? a series of civil wars fueled by external powers extracting natural resources. or outright imperialist expansion by neighboring nations. or...
That's what the west wants. A bunch of failed states with thousands of nukes each. That's why for Russia this is also a war for their survival
Most of em don't receive help from the state and are drained of their resources so... Nothing much would change
The ones with gas and oil could be just about the richest little countries on Earth if they play their cards right. You can be sure that not a single ruble reaches them now.
@@abrahamdozer6273 Well, im from the Chuvash Republic inside Russia and nobody here is wanting to break away, that would be very stupid.
@@ZOMBIEo07 You may not have a choice. A Russian army mutiny ended the Romanov dynasty. A Russian army mutiny ended the Soviet Union and it it highly likely that another Russian army mutiny will end the Russian Federation ... and soon. You are losing your war. The World now despises you and things are finally going to change in Russia because it is no longer acceptable to have an aggressor like you on this planet.
This cyclical theory of Russian evolution seems very plausible to me. I served the USN as a sonar technician on fast attack submarines. Russia was my enemy then, because it was my job. As far as I know everyone was at least somewhat surprised when they called us in to announce that there were no more Soviet submarines to hunt. There were indications as we look in retrospect, but hindsight is always 20/20. Today I no longer wear the uniform, but am still involved in the defense industry. Again, Russia is my enemy because of my employment. But what I know of the Russian people, and the few Russians that I have met, leads me to say that the people have never been my enemy. The Russian people deserve better governance than they have ever gotten.
If only they had been given such an order, they would have killed you without hesitation. And they wouldn't need an order to rape someone in your family or rob your home. In Eastern Europe we call it war crimes, and in the West and in Russia it is called "Russian soul".
Indeed... except they love Putin and Putin seems to love Russia. That being said, he's a product of his environment.
Most people deserve better leaders in Most nations. Just look at USA.
Typicsll american response
people have the exact government they deserve. Nation government is a part of that nation, it arose from it. Government is powerless if nation does not support it.
Russians aren't unable to resist the Cremlin. They don't want to. At least for now.
The orcs deserve nothing of that sort. After RuZZia breaks apart ukraine should get rid all traces of the ruzzian language both internally and internationally. Slava ukraini!
Cant wait to welcome independent karelia, dagestan, chechnya, tuva, circassia…etc to the world.
China will be next, it will split up into seven separate countries in the next 15 years. They are apparently tens of trillions of dollars in debt... all that development that was shiny and new --> the debts have to be paid back.
Even with all of them breaking away, Russia would still remain the largest, unless you suggest splitting Russia in half or something
@@ardagus9917 lmao not the guy with the SPQR icon saying this
@@ardagus9917 I mean, technically Canada would be the biggest country in the world then if you split off even just the sub-republics of the Russian Federation. And, well, not to knock my Canadian neighbors but they ain't much of a super power. Land doesn't quite equate to power. It helps a LOT, more land means more people more GDP more everything but since the Industrial revolution it hasn't been a straight 1:1 correlation between agriculturally viable arable land and power. It's a way more complex relationship than simply land. Even if it did flip back to that standard (somehow) the US would remain the most powerful country on the planet (by like a large margin) followed by like Argentina, Brazil and Ukraine. And whatever russian rump state got the lionshare of the steppe plains (probably like tartarstan).
@@ardagus9917 So what? Geographic size is only one aspect of a nation. If every other aspect sucks, that nation will never succeed.
Thank you for all the effort and work you put inside the Videos portraying history and recent events
"Extremely inefficient communist social contract." As a person who was born under said "contract" in Soviet Ukraine, I must say that it is one heck of a nice way of describing the waste, brutality and endless hunger that USSR really was. It was not inefficient, it was devastating in its effectiveness to subjugate and enslave its people. There was no so called "social contract." unless forceful absorption of other nations and then starving them out to prevent uprisings is what you call a "contract."
Really good analysis. Hopefully if you continue to cover the possibility of Russian collapse, you can talk about the security of their nuclear stockpile. If it were any other country, it might not be such a calamity. Yet with a nuclear stockpile the size of the US arsenal and little common knowledge of the state of its readiness or safety, a collapse in Russia could be a portent of disasters everywhere.
Can you imagine a handful of Russian warlords going rogue with a crapton of nukes? That would be scarier than anything that's currently going on.
@@artrocious It's what people worried about when the USSR fell.
@strykenine7902 yes but technically it belonged to Moscow so would all of today's nukes just move to Moscow?
The only way to exclude nuclear war is to remove the nukes from RF, if whatever will be left from it after it collapses. The Russians simply must learn to live like other normal people of any other normal country, without nuclear weapons to threaten and blackmail their neighbours. They have clearly demonstrated that they are not qualified as a nation to possess such weapons.
@@artrocious This is what I was talking about when I said he ought to do a video on the subject.. Nuclear weapons aren't kept everywhere - they are in very specific places, particularly Russian nukes. They're on submarines, mobile launchers and in missile silos. There are probably some tactical nuclear weapons forward deployed near the front line of the current conflict. If Russia were to Balkanize, their nuclear arsenal could wind up in in half a dozen different states.
Best considerations for the state of the world that I watch. Thank you for continuing with this content, and thank you to all the patreons and supporters that help make it possible for you to keep going.
He appears to gloss over the attempts by British, French and Americans to invade Russia?
No mention of the Grand Army of the Republic that lost most of their members on the way back to france in the winter of 1813.
No mention of the British losing a half million troops in Crimea, so British Empire exploitation of India could continue unimpeded.
The presence of Saakashvili in Georgia attacking Russia territoriy, and the US then moving Saakashvili to create problems from Odeaase appears to be overlooked, as the US attempts to bribe former Soviet Nations like Poland and Romania to become NATO members.
The US now has $32 trillion worth of debt.
Russia paid off most of their debt with oil money.
The US could not sell more than about 20% of the Gas market demand in Europe.
So the US torpedoed Nordstream.
The use of Propaganda has not advanced much since Goebbles was working with it in the 1940's......
This appears to be just another piss poor attempt to make Russia appear to be failing?
South Africa informing the US that they are not planning to arrest Putin when He attends the BRICS Summit in August, appears to be an indication that the presentation is like German Propaganda between wars........Lies or illusions?
The nations who now ask to be included in the BRICS Group seem to represent a very large number of Producer Nations.
The US appears to be the nation to look at as their GDP seems to have difficulty staying out of the Red?
There is one difference in today's Russia that it had not had to deal with in its past imperialism - the widespread use and distribution of drugs and alcohol. This has weakened the social fabric much more than even during the Soviet times. The cohesion of the country died 40 years ago, and it's not coming back.
😂 Comedy Gold the Ruble is at 100 to the UK Pound GDP is rising record profits from Gas and Oil its economy stable a fully Gold backed currency. Trade with Europe increased by 180 billion. Israelistan 🇺🇲 near total collapse its economy in ruins 64 Countries just dropped the US dollar for trade. No longer needed to buy Saudi oil and US bonds being flushed faster than a toilet with talk of default on its loan repayments. Germany in ruins over 200 businesses many up to 200 years old have gone bankrupt the latest a metallurgical Co 900 yes that's 900 years just failed. Most of Europe is even worse. Shitstain 🇬🇧 is barely afloat with massive debt and 10.5% inflation US inflation at 18% not the 8% they feed the public. The west will be lucky to see out 2023. New BRICS additions trade in Chinese YUAN booming world wide.
@@danielhutchinson6604 BS
@@alexanderchenf1 That seems to be what the US Fiat Dollar now appears to be........BS.
How well will the use of a Promissory Note,
when compared to a Gold Standard Currency?
The US is already looking at financial issues.
If you are so well informed,
why not explain how my opinion is invalid?
This was a well researched and produced summary of pre-1945 Russian history that puts current events into sharp and understandable context. Thank you.
Please put a date on at the end of your productions. For example MMXXIII
Well researched? Have you studied russian history for long? The way this vid depicts ww1 is humorous, no other word for that.
Are you guys all payed shills who claim "great production well researched"? Maybe you are from the same NSA troll factory?
@@1337Skrjabinn My dear Ivan, what problem you have with this vid I wonder? Why not share what you're russian school is teaching about this period?
@1101 Moskva You are a Muscovite bias
@@Moskva-uf9bc Yo Troll, don't waste all your time in one thread or they might send you to the Western Front.
I will be setting up an autonomous corn farm in the centre of Moscow
I guess I'll have Ural mountains then
While we're doing this Poland wants half of Ukraine back.
@@ericvulgate 😁🖕🇵🇱🤝🇺🇦
In the video, it's said that there was a lot of investment from the west into the Russian Empire. Soviet Union also bought a lot of technology from the west.
The question is, who in their right mind will invest money in today's Russia?
Some Chinese buggers afraid enough of the Yanks such that they're willing to commandeer Russia to try and counter it.
Investment from western countries is effectively over, at least unless there is a regime change and a period of stability. It's telling that companies continue to withdraw from the Russian market, even after gambling that they could weather the public outcry. I think many business are coming around to the view that dealings within Russia is a gamble with a zero-trust partner. It's just not worth it.
It will take decades....Can you imagine someone suggesting during a board meeting a 10mil investment in Russia now.....:) Only a regime shift will not help.....
Chinese state investment, but it will take a decade or more before you see any real private investment in Russia.
The same people who invested in China and are now hostage to the CCP.
You said if it weren’t for the American lend lease program that Russia would have lost is true but it goes both ways. If Russia would have lost so would have the rest of the Allie’s. Every single Ally was needed to win that war and each and every ally sacrificed as much as they possibly could.
Russian warfare is a disaster.
Couldn't even conquer 1 entire region of Ukraine since the beginning of this war.
Don't they control the whole of Luhansk oblast right now? I mean, I know it's not much, but it is, strictly speaking, "1 entire region"...
The main reason the West was surprised is because the USSR was a closed society, it's extremely hard to gather data which indicates collapse if it's top secret, not gathered at all or hard to obtain.
The West sought to stabilize the situation by discouraging statehood for newly freed societies, the goal was to smooth things over as power did or did not transition from one party to another.
Additionally, there were still unknowns about the situation, mainly people wanted to avoid war which meant largely doing nothing about the situation.
Who wants to do anything about it anyways and risk making things worse? The can was kicked down the road because the US just wanted to move on with its life while continuing to expand the sphere of influence. Simple.
Wrong. Polish Solidarity movement was a needed ignition to destroy USSR from the inside. It was known fact for the US administration since Polish (for example Brzezinski) advised to US how to do it. Poles and Hungarians are the best when it comes to derailment of the lunatic ideas in Europe. Our other Central European neighbors prefer to be silent, since they are too polite or less stubborn (Ukraine as a country wasn’t a thing yet).
So, back to US, Solidarity was a game between US/Western intelligence and communist ones. There have been intels, money, people flows and even a radio “Wolna Europa” - Free Europe. USA was infiltrated by Soviets (just like today still are by ruZZians and Chinese as well) and manipulated to just hit the wall. It was done step by step since Vietnam war (for example Hippie movement boosted by Soviets) to the critical mass at the end of 80s, when US faced an existential threat when it comes to its economy (another one after 70s). Polish Solidarity was a last chance for USA to keep them going and to make another try to destabilize Soviet block, but it couldn’t be done without secret agreement between Solidarity and Polish commies. But, that’s another long story.
Anyway, USA secretly supported Polish anti communist movements and that movements were able to inform USA how things are going behind the curtain. Especially in the 80’s (after Afghanistan war), BUT they didn’t expect that it’s gonna collapse so big. That was a big surprise because an unexpected ally appeared. But as I mentioned it is another story.
Russia took over all of Donbas, which is the most industrialized part of Ukraine, also the most Russian populationwise, and secured fresh water supply for Crimea, which the Ukrainians blocked prior to the conflict. Domestically, Russia strengthened the ruble and weakened the dollar, achieving further success on the road to dedollarization, not only of the Russian economy itself, but worldwide, as numerous countries switched to trading with Russia and China in domestic currencies. All this looks rather successful to me. Add the relentless attrition of Ukrainian forces as time goes by. It's a win-win for Putin.
No they didn’t. The Donetsk oblast is still mostly under Ukrainian control. On top of that the Russians have lost most of their territorial gains and have suffered extremely heavy losses of both man an equipment.
I’d this is winning I’d hate to see what Russia losing looks like.
@@baneofbanes Not according to recently leaked CIA documents.
@@zdzislawmeglicki2262 yah no
Your content is amazing! Really looking forward to the next episode :)
Oh heck yeah, new video let’s go!
here after Wagner's coup d'état 👁️👄👁️
Expecting that Russia will collapse is just wishfull thinking and projection.
TATARSTAN will be independent!
The imf is predicting the Russian economy will grow this year. Russia has found large markets for its commodities in India and China. We are not going to see a repeat of what happened to the ussr because modern Russia is a very different country
And because putin is not the old traitor.
Plus, africa is welcoming BRICS
The IMF has no means to investigate Russia's internal economic situation so they just reported Rosstat figures. Their "prediction" is entirely based on what the Russian government said.
During the first collapse it was not just the polish and finnish who gained independence, but also the baltics (Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania). These independent states were also annexed by the USSR, not already a part of it (as depicted in 14:33 in the video). They were imposed to terrible foreign rule and deportation. They regained their independence in the second collapse of this time the USSR. Would appreciate it if the map would be corrected in that period. Otherwise a good analysis.
I'm just sitting here in Lappeenranta waiting for the moment to reclaim my ancestral home city of Vyborg.
Fucking BASED and FINNISHPILLED.
@@JekaZMD Clowns like you do not care. Because jesters have no history, nor ancestry, no bloodline or homeland.
Their world is a mere tent 😂 🤡
You can continue to wait until you become like pic.
As a massive colonial nation-state. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the non-Russian ethnic groups, start seeking independence from Russia in a few decades. Hell, one might argue, that China and Japan might take a few chunks of Russia for themselves too, when the time comes.
What ???
Barack Obama already in 2014 destroyed the Russian economy.
He said it from the stage. And he received the peace award for it.
You cannot destroy what has already been destroyed.
🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
Well, in the last decade, Russia has been adding new territories (and millions of population), not breaking up.
You mean Crimea and Donbas? The ones which is going to be brought back to Ukraine soon? Well, then grab the popcorn 🍿 and watch
lol saying that Russia instigated ww1 by starting conflict with austria hungary when it's well known fact that austria hungary planned to attack Serbia no matter what and it indeed started ww1 by attacking Serbia .... and people in comments are complimenting this channel .... laughable
Mой сын кажа - маскавіцкая мова ўвогуле не патрэбна будзе ў жыццi. Калi знiкне лукавы пра - маскоўскі тыран, у Беларусi (ВКЛ) будзе беларуская мова, а калi прыйдзецца жыць за мяжой, то будзе патрэбна мова той замежнай краiны. А для паразумення з iншаземнымi сябрамi, патрэбна ангельская, польская цi ўкраінская.
😂😂😂
@@Zauberkaffee2001 "Благодаря невероятно успешной внешней политике путина у нас всегда будут полные холодильники! " - заявил директор Ростовского морга ...
@@hybridarmyoffreeworld 😂😂😂😂😂
@Basile Dex Mосковская орда должна распасться т к смысла в ее существовании нет. Нынешняя элита Неспособна на Реформы, общество неспособно на революцию, поэтому будет продолжаться гниение, которое закончится распадом, т к и затяжное гниение тоже всех утомит. Сегодня московская орда занимает первое место в мире: ■ по уровню умышленных убийств; ■ по числу курящих детей и подростков; ■ по числу взяток при поступлении в вузы; ■ по темпам роста табакокурения; ■ по аварийности на дорогах; ■ по смертности от самоубийств среди подростков 15-19 лет; ■ по абсолютной величине убыли населения; ■ по количеству самоубийств среди пожилых людей; ■ по числу разводов и количеству детей, рожденных вне брака; ■ по числу детей, брошенных родителями; ■ по смертности от заболеваний сердечно-сосудистой системы; ■ по числу пациентов с заболеваниями психики; ■ по объемам торговли людьми; ■ по количеству абортов и материнской смертности; ■ по объёму потребления героина; ■ по потреблению спирта и спиртосодержащей продукции; ■ по продажам крепкого алкоголя; ■ по темпам прироста ВИЧ-инфицированных; ■ по количеству авиакатастроф (в 13 раз больше среднемирового уровня); ■ по числу миллиардеров, преследуемых правоохранительными органами; With cost of “black gold” at 15-23 dollars per barrel, the USSR economy collapsed, and the sovok itself collapsed, and the "golden" horde ("russia") budget can only be fulfilled only with oil price at $ 42.4 and higher
@@hybridarmyoffreeworld це правда
Very informative video, and a lot of the points match up with similar videos regarding the topic of Russia potentially breaking up. I think what helps sets this apart is the illustration of the cyclical nature of the Russian state through its history and mentioning the scant opinions of the break up of the USSR.
You say Russia’s invasion of Ukraine failed to achieve ANY of its goals? I’m sure restoring water to Crimea was a goal. That’s done. I’m sure connecting Crimea to Russia overland was a goal. That’s done. Russia is now putting immense economic and military pressure on Ukraine.
So what are Russia’s goals of which NONE have been attained????
Russia will win
Addendum for the successful bit around 5:00: In 1905, the largest building in the world was the Singer Sewing Machine factory in Siberia, built by a Harvard engineer named Dixon.
This supports the idea that the failed Russian revolution of 1905 was a revolution of rising expectations, not a revolt against immiseration as some Western propagandists claim.
The futurist Alvin Toffler in his 1980 book The Third Wave actually predicted a wave of decentralization which included Russia collapsing and losing many prinipalities. The Third wave was basically major waves of development, the first being agriculture, the second the industrial revolution and the third being a computer and media revolution. I read it at the time, and thought it was interesting but I certainly didn't think Russia would collapse.
I read that book as a teenager. 50 years later I can't remember anything I read in that book. I just remember getting excited about what it said
Alvin Toffler didn't anticipate the divisive nature of a planetary Internet. If anything, he would have predicted it to be a uniting force. Early on, people thought that the Internet was going to be like a gigantic Wiki. Instead, every nut-case with an agenda and good presentation can gain a following.
@@abrahamdozer6273 true enough, he did however predict decentralization and independence movements (but not for instance the EU as a form of European unification.)
@@peterkratoska4524 I read it decades ago (I'm 67). You're right. It's time to take another look.
At 10 seconds they cite the Atlantic Council "think tank".
At 27 seconds they cite an analyst from The Jamestown Foundation.
I need listen no further. I'm outta here.
I saw a visible separation and veiled animosity between white Russians and native Kazakhs when I visited Kazahkstan a couple years ago.
I always wonder about alternative realities where nations just had a constant supply of decent rulers who kinda cared about their citizens enough to the point they would have been democracies or become first world nations with high standards of living at least.
Like the tsar really was a idiot. So many factors at play I know. But I just think of what nations could be if such and such happened.
It needs to be broken up into small enough parts such that no sociopathic dictator can ever again hold its own ppl hostage to fear while threatening human existence on the world stage.
Exactly correct, China is next to fold and erupt into a Civil War... It happens every 80 years there, times up.
Don't wait you bastards!
It's funny that people like you don't consider yourself sociopaths.
@@user-gf4kb1jb4q Скоро всё таки дождёмся)))
Путина в любом случае свои же свергнут после потери Крыма.
Your comments remind us of the glorious "Ghost of Kiev". Or if you prefer: "Monty Python's flying Circus"... Zelensky going into history as the gravedigger of Ukraine. 🐸🪱
Kremlinbot 🇷🇺🐽
@basiledex2164 Azov = 🦾
Terrorussia = 🪦
"The arrogance that accompanied Tsar Nicholas II, has now infected Tsar Vladimir Putin" THAT WAS A FIRE STATEMENT I LOVED IT!!!
Here 2 months later & YES
This is some thought provoking analysis. The implications of the break-up are just as intriguing. The break-up of the Russian Federation might be just as pivotal as the break-up of its predecessor. Great video.
A lot of channels do the same bullshit every week. They are just printing money with the popular shit. There is a dozen video about how Russia is breaking appart or how Ukriane will take bakc Crimea next week every week. Its nonsense.
Very thoughtful provoking.
The main thought it provoked from me was how TF were the Soviets "the aggressor and initiator of the second World War"
@@shanerooney7288 they were an agressor as they invaded eastern and central european country, germany and soviet union both invaded poland and initially aimed to split the land
It depends on China, do they want to help russia or not
They'll likely want to keep it going, at least for now. They have no other allies.
China already has their plate full. Its economy is not doing so well either.
China helps only China.
That much has always been clear.
@@MrDosonhai Yeah, it's terrible. People are literally protesting. Old people are protesting. In China.
Bananas.
China has a peace plan, they're gonna take a mighty big piece of Siberia ... that's the plan...
In the section 2:22 of the video
You should not forget that Russia actually started not from the golden horde but from Kievan Rus - just like Ukraine and Belarus.
Thank you for this, I learned a lot. Among other things why Ukraine uses the word Moscovites to describe a war that is not good for Russia, but might be good for the leaders in Moscow.
0:59 If thats how Russia stores its chicken you can add salmonella to the list of problems too.
but what's the problem? It is covered in plastic film, here in Ukraine we have the same packaging
@@jskratnyarlathotep8411 The wrap is fine, more the case of it being stored on a shelf without refrigeration.
@@lilpwnige those are fridge shelves, as far as i see, it has holes where the cold air blows out. at least it looks like one of those
@@jskratnyarlathotep8411 нет такого в Украине 💀
@@Andrew-or2gf how can i prove? we cant send links here, can we?
14:00 soviets as the initiators of WWII.
The propaganda on this one is so grounded that he's willing to give Hitler a pass. Let that sink in.
уровень аналитики который заслужил запад, надеюсь они и дальше будут так считать
Точь в точь мои мысли. "Ах, обмануть меня не трудно - я сам обманываться рад". Главное, что большинство комментаторов у канала - укропетеки, которые беседуют сами с собой.
@@IrkinsEselsior барашек, ВСУ скоро на Крым пойдут,так что надеюсь,что уже этим летом получится в украинскую Ялту съездить.
@@Andrew-or2gfгде леопард?
@@kazuhiramiller7491 на фронте воюет.
А вот где сейчас те 6 вертолетов, 1 самолёт и Воронежская нефтебаза, по которым недавно вагнера били?
Отрицательно живые?
I'm sorry to say that's not going to happen. It would need to be similar to Austria Hungary's breakup and it would not come to pass. Wed have a world war and a nuclear war before that happens. God I'm sick of war mongers. Do any of you people think of the men that would die in this kind of situation. That you want this makes me ill!
No one would have died if Russia never invaded in the first place
An opinion that is not "Millions must die"? You sounds like a russian bot to me...
Too much wishful thinking, if not propaganda. This disintegration has been estimated since the Crimean War... It's a dangerous dilusion. Time and again, crises make Russia bigger, with the only exception of 1991.
This is the most absurd propaganda i've ever heard. I belly laughed so hard I nearly injured myself.
we have bee seeing self harming propaganda since they embraced lgbtlmnop
He is in poland
@Basile Dex Its really sad. He is either intentionally lying or divorced from reality. He is going to be affirmatively wrong in such a short amount of time. Its like the people that said Russia was going to collapse within a month after the war started...
This is a great analysis, thanks! I'm waiting for the second part.
This is selective to the point of being official propaganda.
This is my first time watching this channel. Thank you, I’m going to put it on my list!
Quality, well researched content, as usual. Looking forward to the next episode.
Well done to the author of the text/screenplay! Great work!
The entire point of Democracy is that the leaders must stay in touch with their people.
It's a bit of temporary crazy but global stability for the country.
Regular voting defuses bigger problems.
Every other theory misses the point 👉.
Stability allows constant growth for decades.
All the ideas are discussed.
Love this channel...even though it's already been one of the very best on RUclips for awhile they still continue to upgrade & improve the maps & visuals...been watching for years & will continue to watch for many more
Very interesting description of the cycle of self-redefinition and collapse. Thank you for the material!
The misunderstanding of the cause of this conflict from very beginning makes the rest of the video unworthy to watch.
this video is biased. 1917 was the beginning of a better economy for the russian proletariat. i do not expect english sources to provide accurate information about socialism and communists.
Exactly, there's literally no mention of how the Soviets industrialized a country of peasants within a few decades. Only biased language about how they were "under the boot" of Communism. Ofc, I knew this would be heavily biased, but it's useful and responsible to know what these clowns are saying.
It's coming, just not the massive "every oblast/republic becomes a country" jigsaw puzzle that everyone usually throws around on Twitter.
Chechnya, Dagestan, Kalmykia, Tartarstan and Bashkiri will break away, with a fair chance for Kabardino, Tuva and Buryatia as well. Apart from that though, there's primarily going to be just one big split down the middle ( Siberia / likely everything east of the Ob river splitting from "Core Russia"
Siberian regions east of Urals are also not a great fans of Moscow too. As majority of profits from oil and gas that being extracted locally "settles down" in Moscow.
@@090giver090
Question is how much they fear China. Russia maybe the devil they know.
Nope, not even close. Not even Chechnya will want independence.
@@footisman2059 Keep coping man.
@@090giver090 Im not the one coping, i just know the facts.
I fully agree with the comment made around the 9:00 mark. The more I look at it, the more I begin to think the problem with Russia is not that they are searching for natural borders for their country, but rather that natural boundaries like deserts and mountain ranges are what prevent their further expansion. In this regard I get the feeling that, in the case of Russia, most geopoliticians get this whole notion of natural borders backwards. If you think about it, don't the Urals present a natural boundary to Russia? Yet they pushed beyond it. The Black Sea presents a natural border, yet Russia craves taking Istanbul and opening the Bosporus. They talk about defendable borders, yet dream to taking the Balkans. I think the "natural boundaries" concept seems more a case of finding excuses for Russian expansion than anything.
The French also had a policy of natural frontiers (*). A 'natural' frontier is a frontier to protect and look, there was always another 'natural' frontier somewhere further in another man's land.
(*) If put to the vote I would vote France, barring Russia, the most criminal nation in European history. But I admit I'm a bit prejudiced being Flemish. Nevertheless, if the French had halve the respect for another man's father/motherland then they demand for their own Europe's history would have been a lot less bloody.
I have read a lot of the history pertaining to the wars promulgated by France wanting to "reach their natural boundaries", especially monarchs like Louis XIV. And how they seemed to fight a lot of their wars beyond those boundaries, like in northern Italy and the Holy Roman Empire. Being of British descent, I also feel that France did a lot of things they shouldn't have done as well (although to be fair, BOTH sides were as bad as each other during the period of the 100 years war).
Should We Prepare for the Fall of Ukraine? There......I fixed it for them.
Thank you for the video, I am appretiate that you make this kind of research. Russia always conquer another nations. I am Buryat-Mongol from Republic of Buryatia, which is curretly is a part of Russian Federation. Our lands was conquered in the first hald of the 17th century by Russian Impire and captured our lands and kill innecent people, womans and children, force to change our own religion (which is shamanism and buddhism) and own buryatian names to russian names. When in 1631 russians build a Bratsk burg (Bratsk city) on our buryat land they start to invade deep to our lands by using our Angara river and Lake Baikal, our heroes warriors have been fight against them during 138 years, after all we lose because we can not fight with arrows, swords and horses against gun power. After this Russian Imperia capture our land which is currently Irkutskiy Region, Buryat Republic and Zabaikalkiy Region.
Russian imperialism is a cancer of Eurasia and this must be ended by the liberation of all the ethnic groups of Russia with their ancestral lands.
I hope that Buryatia will be free.
Ironically, when it comes to territorial integrity, the place they're putting all of their military effort, the West, is probably where they have the least threat of all. China, Mongolia, and the Turkic states would all really like a piece of Siberia. An internally collapsing Russia would be a great opportunity for them.
YYour lies about China are still understandable, but your stories about Mongolia are completely absurd. 3 million people live there, how will they seize something from Russia. The biggest threat to Russia today is Turkey, which is trying to revive the Ottoman Empire. This is a really serious threat that Russia must respond to.
In general, you correctly noted that threats come from different sides, not only from the West, but also from other countries. Everyone wants to share this piece of the pie, because they believe that Russia has such large territories undeservedly.
I am glad that in this case, China in one form or another competes with the West and it is unprofitable for them to enter into a conflict with Russia, since then the balance of power will change not in their favor.
Um, China wants the entirety of the Russian East. Russia wanted to nuke Beijing in the 60s, now they'll have their chance, again.
Mongolia 😂😂😂 and Kazakhstan????? What are they going to do. Kazakhstan's northern border with Russia has millions of ethnic Russians so if anything they'd secede
And to add to that, Siberia is like 80% ethnic Russian except for Tuva, Yakutia and Buryatia. The areas where China would have any historical claim are majority ethnic Russians and even the places that aren't, aren't ethnically Chinese, they're Siberian and they have no similarity to the Chinese at all
China for sure Will reclamé north Manchuria and maybe more
POV: you're trying to find comments about Wagner's coup
Ah yes Russia, one of the few lands on earth not colonized and plundered by Anglo Europeean imperialism
Excellent analysis. Hope more people see this.
in 1991, in the Union republics, they said that they feed Russians, today they go to Russia from these republics to work as cleaners on the streets
This is propaganda and is expected from all sides.
Russia's fear of it's neighbors that pathological scar left over from the Mongol Yoke is both the source of their greatest strength and their greatest weakness. Ironically their only hope for true greatness is by abandoning that fear and joining the modern world as an equal fearing no one and embracing all.
IT'S HAPPENINGGGGGGG
A very interesting commentary and I’d agree with a lot of that. Although we’d be fools to underestimate Russian resilience, they have an uncommon ability to continue when others wouldn’t. Your own video shows that in spite of overwhelming circumstances, they will find another route to the objective and that is why I find the Ukrainian situation interesting, it will be a pivotal time. I’m not pro/anti Russian, I’m just someone who connects the dots…
Excellent work 👍👍👍
in 1991, in the Union republics, they said that they feed Russians, today they go to Russia from these republics to work as cleaners on the streets
Russian GDP has shrunk to the size of Italy, while it dose have the strength that comes with Autocracy to its ability wage a costly war.
Its also deeply corrupt, and inflexable, leading to repeated costly mistakes.
War is far from a forgone conclusion, but Russian Army has shown itself to be rather weak
@@КириллМирченко Деб*ил , ты под каждым комментом это пишешь ? 😂Жалко тебя
@@КириллМирченко ?
I subscribed😘Love your content & want to see more👍🤟From the USA
Your videos are so amazing. I absolutely cannot fathom why you don’t yet have 1M subs. Keep up the good work and the time will come. Thank you for all your hard work.
@Toask You are going to collapse… again. Lol 😂 eternal loosers 😂
On a more hopeful note: Which ever NEW countries appear would in theory not have to worry about sanctions since technically they aren't the Russian federation anymore. So it might actually be in a lot of people's benefit to to declare independence especially since Putin and the Kremlin are quite content with continuing the war.
Ethnic Russians make up 70 to 80% of RUSSIA so that wont happen since every region is tied to Moscow for survival and any rebellion would be painful and would be crushed by any muscovite army.
It is enough to look at the example of the former Soviet republics. Kazakhstan has very rich oil and gas fields, but all these fields belong to a large foreign corporation. In addition to Western corporations, part of the business is under Chinese companies. The people of Kazakhstan live in deep poverty and survive only through speculation of Chinese goods in the markets. Kazakhs' salaries are much lower than in the poorest provinces of Russia. This is the reality of "freedom from the Russians." Do you think small ethnic groups in Russia do not see these examples? They understand that they can survive only as part of a federal state. So all this nonsense from bloggers who have never been to Russia can only help these bloggers get a couple of cents from gullible people.
You lost me at 'nearly 50%'. Dude that is less than half. After removing the padding of Bias, we have 5%, yes? Don't lead with wrong numbers, please.
All russian expansion wars ended in very hard looses, and small succes, or in complete disaster and collapse of Russia.
Um, the Russian Empire was one of the largest states in the world. It is enough to look at how the Russian Empire expanded and expanded over the centuries. This does not fit into your theory that Russia has suffered defeat after defeat. The collapse of the Russian Empire occurred due to internal conflicts against the background of the First World War, in which Russia fought on the side of France and Great Britain. Your sources are very strange, as they contradict common sense ... Russia remains the largest state, even retaining only part of its lands after the decolonial policy of the USSR...
@@Fillipok Lost 50% of GDP and collapsed from its own stupidity. Thats the truth, vatnik
@@Fillipok look at this expansion.
Can you name conquest of Siberia am successful expansion? Yes, but this gave Moskow almost nothing.
When real expansion, with real gains, in Europe was a painful and slow one.
Take middle of 17 century, in conflict moskow loose more than half of its elite warriors, and progress was just half of Hetmanat was paying tribute to moskow.
Next, northern war, 1/3 of population was lost during conflict, gigantic numbers.
Ottoman/Russian wars, the only successful, but even them was going hard for both empires.
Rusdian empire did not defeated Ottomans in battles, and gained all of modern south ukraine, it was slow and painful for evonomies of both empires process, which took all enegry from them.
Napoleonic wars was not successful at all, only 6 coalition was not bad, but even after all defeats that Russian army suffered in previous coalitions, gains was just piece of poland, rich one, but still small.
Crimean war was both painful, and unsuccessful.
Russian/Japan war was catastrophic, after this war Empire almost gain parliament.