Hated the change in ceremony when they did actors after Best Picture. Hopkins winning and not being able to be present made it even a worse scheduling move.
I think because everyone was expecting Chadwick Boseman to win, that whoever was planning the show order expected it to. I was goobsmacked when it didn't happen.
Even if Boseman had won it still would have been - and was - a disgrace for the producers to move Actor after Picture. But at least it demonstrated that the results weren't rigged.
I would even argue this was a more embarrassing Oscars ending than the 'La La Land'/'Moonlight' mix-up for being so anti-climactic. Hopkins did give a great response video via social media after the ceremony though.
Tomei doesn’t get enough praise for her fine performance in this movie. Joe Pesci was great too. She was played down as an accidental win. Not fair to her. The trophy comes with its own baggage.
I love this win, too. The only comedic performance win I like more is Kevin Kline for A Fish Called Wanda. But this one was more of a surprise. Very cool!
I’ve never been more convinced that the winners results really are sealed up and kept confidential until the envelopes are opened, than the year Hopkins won over Boseman. No production team in their right mind would’ve put Best Actor at the end of the ceremony knowing it wouldn’t be Boseman.
I’m at Marissa Tomei at Rhode Island Comic Con back in 2023, and she was the first Oscar winner that I met in, person, and when I told her that, she said that she won’t be the last, mean that she won’t be the last Oscar winner I’ll meet.
Probably the happiest I’ve ever been watching the Oscars was when Olivia Colman won, I love Glen Close don’t get me wrong, but as a Brit, I’ve been watching Colman for years and I love her
@@billcook4768I thought that Gwyneth Paltrow was very good. She should have been nominated and won Best Actress for PROOF (2005). The year she won should have gone to Cate Blanchett.
Some of them were trully deserving though: Brody and Binoche, for example. They might not have been the favorites, but their victories were refreshing, IMO.
Most of these are deserving, even in the video the arguments used are often "everyone thought this person should win for SENTIMENTAL reasons, and then they didn't, the Academy went for the performances they liked better instead".
@@FrakkinToasterLuvva The Academy is so mercurial -- sometimes someone *does* win clearly for sentimental reasons, and sometimes they don't. I guess it's a reason to keep watching. I agree with you -- I rarely think any nominee is *not* deserving of a nomination, but I almost always have a favorite to be a winner!
I,will always support her in this category too. Anna was gifted and it was a performance deeoly connected to Holly Hunter's lead. It was quite a complex part for so young a girl.
Marcia Gay Harden's victory was the most surprising in recent years for me. She had not been nominated for any Oscar precursor. Golden Globe, Sag or Bafta and arrived on the day and won the Oscar that in my opinion should have gone to Kate Hudson.
Several of these are like "everyone thought this person should win for sentimental reasons and were ready for things to get really schmaltzy, and then it turned the Academy voted for the performance they actually liked better". Stalone should not win an Oscar, because he's not a particularly good actor. Not every beloved movie star needs to get awards. If anyone should've gotten an Oscar for their whole career, Mark Rylance has a huge edge over him.
I agree. But Glenn Close and ESPECIALLY Judy Garland really should have taken their awards. Not because they were (are!) legends of the industry, blah, blah, blah, but because they simply did better. Honestly, does anyone remember The Country Girl and Grace Kelly's performance in it??? And yet Judy's performance in A Star Is Born is still not only remembered, but treasured nd admired! I think we will forget about Olivia Colman in The Favourite eventually too. But I do agree that that speech was EVERYTHING! 😂
Definitely Olivia Colman is the biggest surprise in my life time watching the Oscar’s. I’ll never forget when her name was announced. I went crazy, I was so happy she won it over what would’ve been a career make up award for Glenn Close.
Anthony Hopkins's 2nd Oscar win for THE FATHER is probably one of the most significantly notable upsets in the last decade. That being said, I was one of those who predicted him largely due to eerie similarities between him and Jack Nicholson in terms of 1st Lead win vs 2nd Lead win. Both of them won their first Lead Oscar for a movie that swept the Big 5 awards (SILENCE OF THE LAMBS for Hopkins and ONE FLEW OVER THE CUCKOO'S NEST for Nicholson), and the movies that won them their 2nd LEAD Oscar (THE FATHER and AS GOOD AS IT GETS respectively) had very similar nomination overlaps (both had Picture, Screenplay, at least 2 Acting nods, Editing, and one other tech category (Production Design for THE FATHER and Score for AS GOOD AS IT GETS)). The eerie similarities in nominations paired with MA RAINEY's Picture snub (and Hopkins's BAFTA victory) were more than enough for me to predict Hopkins for the win.
They literally build that ceremony around Chadwick Boseman's win. Even if there were signs, I have a hard time believing anyone watching that show through Hopkins would upset. That being said, I think Hopkins winning is the best case scenario to be honest. As good as Boseman was, it felt gross how hard the Oscars were leaning on people's grief to bring in the ratings during the COVID year. Having it end on the most awkward note possible hopefully discourages that nonsense from happening again.
Some suggestions from the earlier days: 1939 - Robert Donat, the "man who stole an Oscar from Clark Gable" (and James Stewart) 1940 - Ginger Rogers 1943 - Paul Lukas over Humphrey Bogart 1947 - it was expected for Rosalind Russel to win so much, that after being declared a winner, Loretta Young said "What about Roz?" 1950 - Judy Halliday over both Bette Davis and Gloria Swanson
I feel Art Carney should be on this list for Harry & Tonto. Especially when you see he was up against 3 powerhouse performances from Jack Nicholson in Chinatown, Dustin Hoffman in Lenny and Al Pacino in The Godfather Part II.😱 Plus Harry & Tonto was considered a comedy.
On the contrary, Carney was not seen as a surprise at the time. It was between him and Nicholson (Carney won the Golden Globe in the Comedy category and Nicholson won Drama). If anything, GODFATHER 2 winning Picture was something of a surprise then as almost all major awards in the leadup to the Oscars went with CHINATOWN for Actor, Director, and Picture at the time (DGA being the only exception).
My Top 10 Acting Oscar Upsets of All Time 1. Judy Holliday (Best Actress for Born Yesterday) 2. Marisa Tomei (Best Supporting Actress for My Cousin Vinny) 3. Adrien Brody (Best Actor for The Pianist) 4. Juliette Binoche (Best Supporting Actress for The English Patient) 5. Anthony Hopkins (Best Actor for The Father) 6. Grace Kelly (Best Actress for The Country Girl) 7. Anna Paquin (Best Supporting Actress for The Piano) 8. Marcia Gay Harden (Best Supporting Actress for Pollock) 9. Art Carney (Best Actor for Harry and Tonto) 10. Olivia Colman (Best Actress for The Favourite) My Top 5 Honorable Mentions 1. Mark Rylance (Best Supporting Actor for Bridge of Spies) 2. Jim Broadbent (Best Supporting Actor for Iris) 3. Humphrey Bogart (Best Actor for The African Queen) 4. Lee Marvin (Best Actor for Cat Ballou) 5. Glenda Jackson (Best Actress for A Touch of Class) The English Patient did not win the Oscar for (Adapted) Screenplay that went to Sling Blade.
Hmmm, I don't know about 'The Wrestler'... Remember how brilliantly Penélope Cruz portrayed that INSANE character in (the otherwise mediocre) 'Vicky, Christina, Barcelona'??? That performance was just FLAWLESS
I love Anthony Hopkins' win for The Father. It was my favorite performance, so I wanted him to win. But they should not have put that award at the end of the ceremony. That was such a stupid idea without knowing if Boseman would win or not...
Richard Dreyfuss winning over Richard Burton; Loretta Young winning Best Actress of 1947 for The Farmer's Daughter, Humphrey Bogart winning Best Actor for The African Queen over Marlon Brando for Streetcar; Patty Duke's win for The Miracle Worker was considered an upset as well.
Gaga definitely was not the expecting herself to win. Shes great friend with Glenn Close and I still remember throughout that whole award season Gaga was rooting for Glenn to win. Gaga was more eyeing to win for best original song than Best Actress
The vast majority of these upsets are because people overrate overdue factor and narrative over strength of the film itself, which I think this season means Madison and Brody are rightful frontrunners while Culkin might be more vulnerable than he has looked so far.
Judy was a nightmare during the filming of A Star is Born- she disappeared for a week- news got around and many people were pissed at her- many people were getting tired of Judy's antics.
Emma Stone won her first Oscar for "La La Land", but the Oscar should have gone to Isabelle Huppert (for "Elle"), in my opinion. Glenn Close instead of Olivia Colman and Cate Blanchett or Fernanda Montenegro instead of Gwyneth Paltrow (for "Shakespeare in Love").
Absolutely 👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻 Emma Stone won two times the Oscar "beating" actress very higher to her: Isabelle Huppert 🇨🇵 in 2016 and Sandra Hüller 🇩🇪 in 2024. The reason... she is from 🇺🇲 🤐
I think Anthony Hopkins (for "The Father") and Riz Ahmed (for "Sound of Metal") had better performances than Chadwick Boseman, but he was overrated because of a strong "woke" agenda.
Stallone not winning was sad. I’d also add Mickey Rourke not winning for The Wrestler as well as Michael Keaton for Birdman. Sometimes Oscars are so disappointing.
Thank you for sharing. I am still not over Gwyneth Paltrow’s win for Shakespeare in Love. I thought either Fernanda Montenegro or Cate Blanchett deserved the win. Keep up the great work!
The reaction from the other nominees to Adrian Brody's win feels even sweeter in light of the fact (I think) that all of them had won before - they're all genuinely pleasantly surprised and happy for him
I would also add Geena Davis for The Accidental Tourist to that list considering she won without having any precursors going in that year. Most everyone thought that Sigourney Weaver would take supporting actress for Working Girl.
Jamie Lee Curtis - Everything Everywhere All at Once While Curtis gave a good performance and was nomination worthy, her win was definitely not deserved. It was clear her win was more of a career win that for her specific performance. Her costar Stephanie Hsu, who was also nominated in the same category for the same film, gave a much better performance and was more worthy of a win than Curtis was. In fact, out of the 4 EEAAO actors who got Oscar nominated for the film, Curtis’ was easily at the bottom
Idris Elba wasn't eligible to win an Oscar in 2015 because his film came from Netflix and back then the rules did not recognize that a streaming performance could win an Oscar. Anthony Hopkins was not at the Oscars for 'The Father' because he was 83 years old and we were still recovering from COVID and his doctors advised him against traveling.
Regarding the Tomei win, I recall that at the time pundits were thinking her win was a pushback against the dominance of British film at the time. The previous years had seen US films losing out to British films. The nominations that year were dominated by them. Whether this is true or not is unknown. This is not to say Tomei is undeserving.
I really don't think Olivia Colman was an upset. She did extremely well with critics' precursors, she won the Comedy Globe the same night Close won Drama, she won Comedy Critics' Choice the same night Gaga and Close tied (because BFCA is a cowardly organization who tries to hedge their bets across the board), and even though she lost SAG she won BAFTA immediately after, and she had the much stronger film overall in terms of accolades. It's just that people had deluded themselves into thinking Close's narrative would carry her to a win that they ignored the very real strength Colman had the whole way through.
Moonlight taking best picture over la la land was a shocker in my opinion since the only other place it won was best drama at the golden globes. La La land had 14 nominations at the Oscar’s tying for the most nominations in oscar history, and the BAFTAs and critics choice chose la la land as their best picture
Best Actress 1947 - Loretta Young was considered by columnists to be last place in the category for The Farmer’s Daughter. Rosalind Russell was considered the certain winner for Mourning Becomes Electra and leaned over, ready to run to the stage upon the announcement of the winner. In retrospect, point have been made that how Young won for her longevity (15 years of being a star at this point), the role being more daring than her usual (Swedish accent and political themes), and the film’s box office success (something Mourning Becomes Electra heavily lacked.)
I would have preferred Jodie Foster over Beatrice Striaght. Mark Rylance was way better than Stallone. America may not have heard of Rylance but he's an actor and Oscars should be given for acting not being a celebrity. You mention Grace Kelly over Judy Garland but what about Dorothy Dandridge? She was amazing. Again, Anthony Hopkins was a deserved win - a better performance than Boseman. Again, Anna Paquin was a deserved win. Marcia Gay Harden is a shocker. How Kate Hudson is one of the best performances ever not to win an Oscar. Adrien Brody was a surprise as the youngest ever best actor win but completely deserved - he holds the film for three hours himself. Amazing. Binoche is a great actress and again, an Oscar shouldn't be a lifetime achievement award, so she deserved it over Bacall. Another lifetime achievement award situation for Glenn Close but Colman was better. Marisa Tomei, again, was the better performer over solid but unspectacular competition. Judy Holliday over Gloria Swanson and Bette Davis for *Best Actress* in 1950 is a big upset for me. Gregory Peck over Peter O'Toole in 1962 for *Best Actor* a major upset Art Carney in 1974 for *Best Actor* over everybody. Jennifer Connolly for A Beautiful Mind for *Best Supporting Actress* over everybody else in 2001. Helen Hayes over Karen Black for *Best Supporting Actress* in 1970 Eileen Heckart over Jeannie Berlin for *Best Supporting Actress* in1972 Olivia De Havilland over Celia Johnson for *Best Actress* in 1946 Diane Keaton was an upset at the time for *Best Actress* against veterans Bancroft, Maclaine and Fonda but obviously deserved it. Jack Nicholson over Sam Shepard for *Best Supporting Actor* in 1983 Martin Landau over Samuel L. Jackson for *Best Supporting Actor* in 1994 Michael Caine over Jude Law for *Best Supporting Actor* in 1999.
I would not consider Nicholson winning for Terms of Endearment as an upset. He swept the majority of prizes that season whereas Shepard had no precursors going in to it that year. Landau also basically swept that year considering he also won most of the major prizes instead of Jackson.
You didn’t mention one of my favorite Oscar upsets: James Coburn winning the Best Supporting Actor Oscar for AFFLICTION (1998). He was the only one in his category that hadn’t won something. He was great in that movie.
That's another good pick. 1998 Supporting Actor was all over the place. Ed Harris won the Golden Globe, Robert Duvall won SAG, Billy Bob Thornton won Critics' Choice and Geoffrey Rush won BAFTA.
The 2021 oscars was one of the most horrible ceremonies ever filmed, but the worst ting for sure were the stupid idea of placing best actor at the end and above all, THE MUSIC
Actually, the cameras were at the hospital where Judy Garland had just delivered her son, Joey Luft, when she got her Oscar nomination and was expected to win.
I don’t see how anyone was surprised by Adrian Brody winning. It was the best male performance that year. What doesn’t get said enough is that he took no thought for the fact that Halle Berry was forced to kiss him. It was the ultimate example of male entitlement. “I’ve won the Oscar! Now I can force Halle Berry to kiss me!” Excuse me, WHAT! Winning an Oscar doesn’t entitle you to force ANYONE to kiss you.
Juliette Binoche was no upset! She was the favorite I think because of her much stronger film. She was also much better than Bacall. Let’s get one thing straight, if there was a top 10 actresses list of all time, Bincohe would easily make it there not Bacall (she would be in the 50-60 range).
I agree with number seven. Chadwick Boseman had won at every award ceremony and when they changed up the ceremony to put best after last, I think everybody thought that Boseman was winning. Now I don’t blame Anthony Hopkins for winning, but also when he’s not even present And he wins, that ending just felt like a thud
To this day, people still think Angela Bassett should've won the Oscar for playing Tina Turner in What's Love Got to Do With It over Holly Hunter's performance in The Piano. But here's the thing, Holly gave a very complicated performance. Yeah, she didn't say a single word throughout The Piano, but she had to rely entirely on sign language and body language. As a former theater kid, using body language to express emotions is very, very difficult.
It also helped marissa was the only americna in the category. It might have also helled Helen Hunt winning in as good as it gets. However, at least i like Marissa's win.
Beatrice Straight was absolutely amazing in the Network - a very memorable performance; and her Oscar speech is one of the best in my opinion: witty, humble and short.
I'd like to give thanks to whoever designed Marissa Tomei's wardrobe in My Cousin Vinny. She's freaking HILARIOUS in that movie, but I'm sure I'm not the only one who gets a good laugh out of the mere sight of her outfits the SECOND she's on the screen!!!😂😂😂!
You are right to point out how significant it is when a movie over-performs in nominations, and one of its key actors is up against a frontrunner whose movie seems to have under-performed. A real warning sign for upsets, to be sure. But I think another lesson from this is to look for trends in the category that one person bucks. Adrien Brody being the only nominee without an Oscar already, for example, or Marisa Tomei being the only American. (Reminds me of "Clocks" by Coldplay beat "Hey Ya" by OutKast for Record of the Year at the Grammys, perhaps in part because "Clocks" was the only nominee that wasn't hip hop or rap.)
Adrian Brody, Olivia Colman, and Anthony Hopkins were not a surprise to me; their performances were outstanding. Oh and btw, Olivia Colman is a hoot in talk shows and interviews. And I think Anthony Hopkins was in Wales and got a phone call in the middle of the night and was told he had won. He was so surprised, and made a video later thanking everyone.
It's razor tight races like these that make me wish the Academy published the vote totals after like ten years. I'd be super curious to see how many votes separated first and second in a photo finish!
To me Hopkins's win for The Father wasn't an upset, it was incredibly expected I wanted to happen and it did, because that was a no brainer of a choice. Hopkins earned it and deserved it
I'm glad you mentioned Olivia Colman's acceptance speech. I thought that speech was the most memorable event of that evening. I feel that most Brits give a good speech (Colin Firth being another memorable one).
Everything about the Best Actor presentation at the 2021 Awards was tacky and disrespectful to both Boseman and Hopkins. The producers were trying to create a “moment “ and using Chadwick’s passing to do so. Also the producers would not allow nominees to who could not attend (at the height of Covid) to attend via zoom (Hopkins has asked) so he was denied an opportunity to accept his award. One of the worse ceremonies.
Yeah, and though I love Frances McDormand and think she is one of the best actresses currently working, I think there were better performances in her category and she had already won three years before... so it didn't seem fair tbh. She only won because Nomadland won best director and best picture.
Oh please. Olivia Coleman was the best female performance that year. It seems like you are basing these on what other awards had been given that year, or who everyone’s favourite actors are.
This is why WE need to vote for the winners so there wouldn’t be an upset. After that Colman upset we need to vote for the winner. And for those who say this is ridiculous I ask you this: do you want Glenn to win???
I perform the Piper Laurie "Roadhouse Whiskey" monologue each morning in my bedroom before greeting the dawn. I don't care if she didn't win; it's an acting turn for all time.
Hated the change in ceremony when they did actors after Best Picture. Hopkins winning and not being able to be present made it even a worse scheduling move.
Who doesn't
I think because everyone was expecting Chadwick Boseman to win, that whoever was planning the show order expected it to. I was goobsmacked when it didn't happen.
The producer REALLY anticipated Chadwick Boseman winning and it being a big emotional ending. It was just a really bad move.
Even if Boseman had won it still would have been - and was - a disgrace for the producers to move Actor after Picture.
But at least it demonstrated that the results weren't rigged.
I would even argue this was a more embarrassing Oscars ending than the 'La La Land'/'Moonlight' mix-up for being so anti-climactic. Hopkins did give a great response video via social media after the ceremony though.
The Tomei win still holds up. That's an all timer comedy performance in my opinion.
Completely agree 👍 👏 🙌
Tomei doesn’t get enough praise for her fine performance in this movie. Joe Pesci was
great too. She was played down as an accidental win. Not fair to her. The trophy comes with its own baggage.
Yes
Agree. Massively underrated actress.
I love this win, too. The only comedic performance win I like more is Kevin Kline for A Fish Called Wanda. But this one was more of a surprise. Very cool!
I’ve never been more convinced that the winners results really are sealed up and kept confidential until the envelopes are opened, than the year Hopkins won over Boseman. No production team in their right mind would’ve put Best Actor at the end of the ceremony knowing it wouldn’t be Boseman.
So happy with the Tomei win and her 2 later Oscar nominations.
That says a lot.
I’m at Marissa Tomei at Rhode Island Comic Con back in 2023, and she was the first Oscar winner that I met in, person, and when I told her that, she said that she won’t be the last, mean that she won’t be the last Oscar winner I’ll meet.
Now just gotta convince voters that being funny in a comedy is as award worthy as doing an accent in a period drama.
Tomei deserved that award. Comedy is so tough, and her upset was no shock to me.
Probably the happiest I’ve ever been watching the Oscars was when Olivia Colman won, I love Glen Close don’t get me wrong, but as a Brit, I’ve been watching Colman for years and I love her
Rumor has it... the industry hates Glenn Close... a few years ago I met a person who works in the film industry in Los Angeles and he told me that...
@@cosmefulanitoo2625I've heard that too 😔
I wanted Melissa McCarthy to win that year, but I like Olivia Colman very much.
Ever since I saw Colman in “Peep Show” I’d been a fan. She was also great in the middle seasons of “The Crown”
Brody winning was extremely well deserved 👏 As was Binoche 🎉
Brody was great, but he should not have won over Day-Lewis.
@filmbuff2777 I had a difficult with that film. I could not get into it at all. Now Day-Lewis has 3 well deserved Oscars.
It still hurts me that Cate Blanchett lost to Gwyneth Paltrow in 1998 Oscars... she was marvelous as the young Queen Elizabeth
Either Cate Blanchett or Fernanda Montenegro were more deserving of the Oscar.
@@gios7409 And Gwyneth was also marvelous :) Though sometimes it seems I’m the only person who appreciated her win and the movie’s.
@@billcook4768I thought that Gwyneth Paltrow was very good. She should have been nominated and won Best Actress for PROOF (2005). The year she won should have gone to Cate Blanchett.
@@billcook4768 she was decent if anything. Cate makes you say "that's acting". Not even close
same!!
Some of them were trully deserving though: Brody and Binoche, for example. They might not have been the favorites, but their victories were refreshing, IMO.
Most of these are deserving, even in the video the arguments used are often "everyone thought this person should win for SENTIMENTAL reasons, and then they didn't, the Academy went for the performances they liked better instead".
@@FrakkinToasterLuvva The Academy is so mercurial -- sometimes someone *does* win clearly for sentimental reasons, and sometimes they don't. I guess it's a reason to keep watching. I agree with you -- I rarely think any nominee is *not* deserving of a nomination, but I almost always have a favorite to be a winner!
I will always go to bat for Paquin winning for the piano. She was excellent and it was a super complex role for a child actor to pull off.
Totally agree. She's what I remember from the movie.
I,will always support her in this category too. Anna was gifted and it was a performance deeoly connected to Holly Hunter's lead. It was quite a complex part for so young a girl.
Marcia Gay Harden's victory was the most surprising in recent years for me. She had not been nominated for any Oscar precursor. Golden Globe, Sag or Bafta and arrived on the day and won the Oscar that in my opinion should have gone to Kate Hudson.
Agreed, that was one of the best Oscar races of the last 30 years
🤔
That was fun! Good Job!
Several of these are like "everyone thought this person should win for sentimental reasons and were ready for things to get really schmaltzy, and then it turned the Academy voted for the performance they actually liked better".
Stalone should not win an Oscar, because he's not a particularly good actor. Not every beloved movie star needs to get awards. If anyone should've gotten an Oscar for their whole career, Mark Rylance has a huge edge over him.
I agree. But Glenn Close and ESPECIALLY Judy Garland really should have taken their awards. Not because they were (are!) legends of the industry, blah, blah, blah, but because they simply did better. Honestly, does anyone remember The Country Girl and Grace Kelly's performance in it??? And yet Judy's performance in A Star Is Born is still not only remembered, but treasured nd admired! I think we will forget about Olivia Colman in The Favourite eventually too. But I do agree that that speech was EVERYTHING! 😂
@@nestor1460nah Olivia Colman deserved it over Glenn Close
This is more like "most unexpected Oscar wins of all time".
Definitely Olivia Colman is the biggest surprise in my life time watching the Oscar’s. I’ll never forget when her name was announced. I went crazy, I was so happy she won it over what would’ve been a career make up award for Glenn Close.
All 3 actresses in The Favourite were supporting roles
Anthony Hopkins's 2nd Oscar win for THE FATHER is probably one of the most significantly notable upsets in the last decade. That being said, I was one of those who predicted him largely due to eerie similarities between him and Jack Nicholson in terms of 1st Lead win vs 2nd Lead win. Both of them won their first Lead Oscar for a movie that swept the Big 5 awards (SILENCE OF THE LAMBS for Hopkins and ONE FLEW OVER THE CUCKOO'S NEST for Nicholson), and the movies that won them their 2nd LEAD Oscar (THE FATHER and AS GOOD AS IT GETS respectively) had very similar nomination overlaps (both had Picture, Screenplay, at least 2 Acting nods, Editing, and one other tech category (Production Design for THE FATHER and Score for AS GOOD AS IT GETS)). The eerie similarities in nominations paired with MA RAINEY's Picture snub (and Hopkins's BAFTA victory) were more than enough for me to predict Hopkins for the win.
They literally build that ceremony around Chadwick Boseman's win. Even if there were signs, I have a hard time believing anyone watching that show through Hopkins would upset.
That being said, I think Hopkins winning is the best case scenario to be honest. As good as Boseman was, it felt gross how hard the Oscars were leaning on people's grief to bring in the ratings during the COVID year. Having it end on the most awkward note possible hopefully discourages that nonsense from happening again.
Some suggestions from the earlier days:
1939 - Robert Donat, the "man who stole an Oscar from Clark Gable" (and James Stewart)
1940 - Ginger Rogers
1943 - Paul Lukas over Humphrey Bogart
1947 - it was expected for Rosalind Russel to win so much, that after being declared a winner, Loretta Young said "What about Roz?"
1950 - Judy Halliday over both Bette Davis and Gloria Swanson
I feel Art Carney should be on this list for Harry & Tonto. Especially when you see he was up against 3 powerhouse performances from Jack Nicholson in Chinatown, Dustin Hoffman in Lenny and Al Pacino in The Godfather Part II.😱 Plus Harry & Tonto was considered a comedy.
That's a good one
On the contrary, Carney was not seen as a surprise at the time. It was between him and Nicholson (Carney won the Golden Globe in the Comedy category and Nicholson won Drama). If anything, GODFATHER 2 winning Picture was something of a surprise then as almost all major awards in the leadup to the Oscars went with CHINATOWN for Actor, Director, and Picture at the time (DGA being the only exception).
No question that was a huge upset. To beat out both Nicholson and Pacino in the Godfather 2. Very surprised that didn't make the list.
Marisa T was Amazing, She totally deserved 💯🔥
For me the biggest upset was Richard Dreyfus winning over Richard Burton ..A towering performance finishing second to a light commedy
My Top 10 Acting Oscar Upsets of All Time
1. Judy Holliday (Best Actress for Born Yesterday)
2. Marisa Tomei (Best Supporting Actress for My Cousin Vinny)
3. Adrien Brody (Best Actor for The Pianist)
4. Juliette Binoche (Best Supporting Actress for The English Patient)
5. Anthony Hopkins (Best Actor for The Father)
6. Grace Kelly (Best Actress for The Country Girl)
7. Anna Paquin (Best Supporting Actress for The Piano)
8. Marcia Gay Harden (Best Supporting Actress for Pollock)
9. Art Carney (Best Actor for Harry and Tonto)
10. Olivia Colman (Best Actress for The Favourite)
My Top 5 Honorable Mentions
1. Mark Rylance (Best Supporting Actor for Bridge of Spies)
2. Jim Broadbent (Best Supporting Actor for Iris)
3. Humphrey Bogart (Best Actor for The African Queen)
4. Lee Marvin (Best Actor for Cat Ballou)
5. Glenda Jackson (Best Actress for A Touch of Class)
The English Patient did not win the Oscar for (Adapted) Screenplay that went to Sling Blade.
Marissa backed it up with nominations for 'In the Bed Room' and 'The Wrestler'. had she won for either, no one would have blinked.
Hmmm, I don't know about 'The Wrestler'... Remember how brilliantly Penélope Cruz portrayed that INSANE character in (the otherwise mediocre) 'Vicky, Christina, Barcelona'??? That performance was just FLAWLESS
I love Anthony Hopkins' win for The Father. It was my favorite performance, so I wanted him to win. But they should not have put that award at the end of the ceremony. That was such a stupid idea without knowing if Boseman would win or not...
Richard Dreyfuss winning over Richard Burton; Loretta Young winning Best Actress of 1947 for The Farmer's Daughter, Humphrey Bogart winning Best Actor for The African Queen over Marlon Brando for Streetcar; Patty Duke's win for The Miracle Worker was considered an upset as well.
Those are good picks
I don't care what anyone says; Duke acted with every fiber of her body. She deserved that Oscar.
@@robertcanada5106 I 100% agree with you
I'm glad that Marisa Tomei won, my only gripe is that Joe Pesci wasn't also nominated. He is the face of that movie and did just as well as Marisa.
Seriously, if Denzel weren't in that category, I would say that Joe Pesci gave the best performance of the year!
You can really see that Lady Gaga was fully expecting the win to go to her or Glenn Close.
I think she was expecting Glenn Close, especially since Glenn is a friend of Lady Gaga's mom in fact, which Glenn mentioned in a talk show.
Gaga definitely was not the expecting herself to win. Shes great friend with Glenn Close and I still remember throughout that whole award season Gaga was rooting for Glenn to win. Gaga was more eyeing to win for best original song than Best Actress
They tied at Critics Choice…so I think if she was expecting anyone else to win over Glenn, it would have been herself. Thats why she was SO shocked.
Lesson for the modern Oscars: DON'T UNDERESTIMATE BAFTA
The vast majority of these upsets are because people overrate overdue factor and narrative over strength of the film itself, which I think this season means Madison and Brody are rightful frontrunners while Culkin might be more vulnerable than he has looked so far.
Marisa Tomei is the best female comedic performance to take the category in history, and it's not even close.
Judy was a nightmare during the filming of A Star is Born- she disappeared for a week- news got around and many people were pissed at her- many people were getting tired of Judy's antics.
Emma Stone won her first Oscar for "La La Land", but the Oscar should have gone to Isabelle Huppert (for "Elle"), in my opinion. Glenn Close instead of Olivia Colman and Cate Blanchett or Fernanda Montenegro instead of Gwyneth Paltrow (for "Shakespeare in Love").
Absolutely 👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻
Emma Stone won two times the Oscar "beating" actress very higher to her: Isabelle Huppert 🇨🇵 in 2016 and Sandra Hüller 🇩🇪 in 2024.
The reason... she is from 🇺🇲 🤐
I think Anthony Hopkins (for "The Father") and Riz Ahmed (for "Sound of Metal") had better performances than Chadwick Boseman, but he was overrated because of a strong "woke" agenda.
Absolutely! ❤Fernanda Montenegro
Yeaaah, I don't know what the big deal is with Emma Stone. She never seems believable to me...
@@jorgeandrew That was for the year 2023 when Sandra Huller was nominated.
Anna Paquin is so good in that role.
It was the right decision to award her the Oscar.
She has gone on to show what a terrific actor she is.
Stallone not winning was sad. I’d also add Mickey Rourke not winning for The Wrestler as well as Michael Keaton for Birdman. Sometimes Oscars are so disappointing.
I'm convinced (and have been for a while) that the Academy hates Glenn Close for some reason.
Thank you for sharing. I am still not over Gwyneth Paltrow’s win for Shakespeare in Love. I thought either Fernanda Montenegro or Cate Blanchett deserved the win. Keep up the great work!
The reaction from the other nominees to Adrian Brody's win feels even sweeter in light of the fact (I think) that all of them had won before - they're all genuinely pleasantly surprised and happy for him
Thanks for another excellent commentary, Brian. I believed the "urban legend" that Jack Palance called the wrong name.
The way Lauren looked at Juliette. She was fighting those intrusive thoughts.
I would also add Geena Davis for The Accidental Tourist to that list considering she won without having any precursors going in that year. Most everyone thought that Sigourney Weaver would take supporting actress for Working Girl.
That's a good pick
Jamie Lee Curtis - Everything Everywhere All at Once
While Curtis gave a good performance and was nomination worthy, her win was definitely not deserved. It was clear her win was more of a career win that for her specific performance. Her costar Stephanie Hsu, who was also nominated in the same category for the same film, gave a much better performance and was more worthy of a win than Curtis was. In fact, out of the 4 EEAAO actors who got Oscar nominated for the film, Curtis’ was easily at the bottom
Put some respect on Marissa Tomei’s name. Dying is easy. Comedy is hard. Tomei’s win is one of my favorite Oscar wins.
Olivia Coleman was more supporting female actor, not lead.
I love Marissa's performance and I still enjoy watching it to this day!
Idris Elba wasn't eligible to win an Oscar in 2015 because his film came from Netflix and back then the rules did not recognize that a streaming performance could win an Oscar. Anthony Hopkins was not at the Oscars for 'The Father' because he was 83 years old and we were still recovering from COVID and his doctors advised him against traveling.
I've been waiting on your video about Marissa Tomei's Oscar win but I guess this great video will have to suffice!
Regarding the Tomei win, I recall that at the time pundits were thinking her win was a pushback against the dominance of British film at the time. The previous years had seen US films losing out to British films. The nominations that year were dominated by them. Whether this is true or not is unknown. This is not to say Tomei is undeserving.
I really don't think Olivia Colman was an upset. She did extremely well with critics' precursors, she won the Comedy Globe the same night Close won Drama, she won Comedy Critics' Choice the same night Gaga and Close tied (because BFCA is a cowardly organization who tries to hedge their bets across the board), and even though she lost SAG she won BAFTA immediately after, and she had the much stronger film overall in terms of accolades. It's just that people had deluded themselves into thinking Close's narrative would carry her to a win that they ignored the very real strength Colman had the whole way through.
To me it was a supporting role.
Moonlight taking best picture over la la land was a shocker in my opinion since the only other place it won was best drama at the golden globes. La La land had 14 nominations at the Oscar’s tying for the most nominations in oscar history, and the BAFTAs and critics choice chose la la land as their best picture
Didn’t realise it was for acting, oops. But do best picture that would be cool
@Lennon-k3o La La Land did win. For about 20 seconds.
Michael Caine‘s win over Michael Clarke Duncan is a big upset as well. Total BS in my opinion.
Best Actress 1947 - Loretta Young was considered by columnists to be last place in the category for The Farmer’s Daughter. Rosalind Russell was considered the certain winner for Mourning Becomes Electra and leaned over, ready to run to the stage upon the announcement of the winner. In retrospect, point have been made that how Young won for her longevity (15 years of being a star at this point), the role being more daring than her usual (Swedish accent and political themes), and the film’s box office success (something Mourning Becomes Electra heavily lacked.)
I would have preferred Jodie Foster over Beatrice Striaght.
Mark Rylance was way better than Stallone. America may not have heard of Rylance but he's an actor and Oscars should be given for acting not being a celebrity.
You mention Grace Kelly over Judy Garland but what about Dorothy Dandridge? She was amazing.
Again, Anthony Hopkins was a deserved win - a better performance than Boseman.
Again, Anna Paquin was a deserved win.
Marcia Gay Harden is a shocker. How Kate Hudson is one of the best performances ever not to win an Oscar.
Adrien Brody was a surprise as the youngest ever best actor win but completely deserved - he holds the film for three hours himself. Amazing.
Binoche is a great actress and again, an Oscar shouldn't be a lifetime achievement award, so she deserved it over Bacall.
Another lifetime achievement award situation for Glenn Close but Colman was better.
Marisa Tomei, again, was the better performer over solid but unspectacular competition.
Judy Holliday over Gloria Swanson and Bette Davis for *Best Actress* in 1950 is a big upset for me.
Gregory Peck over Peter O'Toole in 1962 for *Best Actor* a major upset
Art Carney in 1974 for *Best Actor* over everybody.
Jennifer Connolly for A Beautiful Mind for *Best Supporting Actress* over everybody else in 2001.
Helen Hayes over Karen Black for *Best Supporting Actress* in 1970
Eileen Heckart over Jeannie Berlin for *Best Supporting Actress* in1972
Olivia De Havilland over Celia Johnson for *Best Actress* in 1946
Diane Keaton was an upset at the time for *Best Actress* against veterans Bancroft, Maclaine and Fonda but obviously deserved it.
Jack Nicholson over Sam Shepard for *Best Supporting Actor* in 1983
Martin Landau over Samuel L. Jackson for *Best Supporting Actor* in 1994
Michael Caine over Jude Law for *Best Supporting Actor* in 1999.
I would not consider Nicholson winning for Terms of Endearment as an upset. He swept the majority of prizes that season whereas Shepard had no precursors going in to it that year.
Landau also basically swept that year considering he also won most of the major prizes instead of Jackson.
@@leologan4503 That's fair enough. I suppose I am talking about who deserved to win as opposed to who was expected to win,.
finally watched The Substance
How was it?
@@henryhoneyman1535 A- in my opinion
good performances and great make-up, but maybe a bit too long in length
I find "The Substance" incredibly overrated. A very thin on-your-nose-story stretched on over 2 hours of screentime.
You didn’t mention one of my favorite Oscar upsets: James Coburn winning the Best Supporting Actor Oscar for AFFLICTION (1998). He was the only one in his category that hadn’t won something. He was great in that movie.
That's another good pick. 1998 Supporting Actor was all over the place. Ed Harris won the Golden Globe, Robert Duvall won SAG, Billy Bob Thornton won Critics' Choice and Geoffrey Rush won BAFTA.
Truly surprised, Binoche even said (during her acceptance speech) that she thought Lauren Bacall was going to win.
The 2021 oscars was one of the most horrible ceremonies ever filmed, but the worst ting for sure were the stupid idea of placing best actor at the end and above all, THE MUSIC
It was an awkward ceremony
Actually, the cameras were at the hospital where Judy Garland had just delivered her son, Joey Luft, when she got her Oscar nomination and was expected to win.
For me, Mark Ryance's role was mesmerizing. Still remember it. He's a brilliant actor.
12:40 "The English Patient" did NOT take Screenplay, that went to Billy Bob Thornton's "Sling Blade". But yes, it won 9 awards in total.
I was expecting Loretta Young and Judy Holliday to be up there somewhere.
Great vid
Piper Laurie would have deserved the Oscar for "Carrie". Unforgettably powerful. So was Sissy Spacek in the leading role.
I don’t see how anyone was surprised by Adrian Brody winning. It was the best male performance that year.
What doesn’t get said enough is that he took no thought for the fact that Halle Berry was forced to kiss him. It was the ultimate example of male entitlement.
“I’ve won the Oscar! Now I can force Halle Berry to kiss me!”
Excuse me, WHAT! Winning an Oscar doesn’t entitle you to force ANYONE to kiss you.
Juliette Binoche was no upset! She was the favorite I think because of her much stronger film. She was also much better than Bacall. Let’s get one thing straight, if there was a top 10 actresses list of all time, Bincohe would easily make it there not Bacall (she would be in the 50-60 range).
I agree with number seven. Chadwick Boseman had won at every award ceremony and when they changed up the ceremony to put best after last, I think everybody thought that Boseman was winning. Now I don’t blame Anthony Hopkins for winning, but also when he’s not even present And he wins, that ending just felt like a thud
To this day, people still think Angela Bassett should've won the Oscar for playing Tina Turner in What's Love Got to Do With It over Holly Hunter's performance in The Piano. But here's the thing, Holly gave a very complicated performance. Yeah, she didn't say a single word throughout The Piano, but she had to rely entirely on sign language and body language. As a former theater kid, using body language to express emotions is very, very difficult.
In fact, Adrien Brody over Daniel Day-Lewis back in 2002 was just NUTS. But Mark Rylance win in 2016 wasn’t unexpected at all.
It also helped marissa was the only americna in the category. It might have also helled Helen Hunt winning in as good as it gets. However, at least i like Marissa's win.
Beatrice Straight was absolutely amazing in the Network - a very memorable performance; and her Oscar speech is one of the best in my opinion: witty, humble and short.
When the people at the Oscars are shocked, I find it hard to believe. Aren’t they the wins voting? Maybe I don’t understand how the Oscars work.
I'd like to give thanks to whoever designed Marissa Tomei's wardrobe in My Cousin Vinny. She's freaking HILARIOUS in that movie, but I'm sure I'm not the only one who gets a good laugh out of the mere sight of her outfits the SECOND she's on the screen!!!😂😂😂!
You are right to point out how significant it is when a movie over-performs in nominations, and one of its key actors is up against a frontrunner whose movie seems to have under-performed. A real warning sign for upsets, to be sure.
But I think another lesson from this is to look for trends in the category that one person bucks. Adrien Brody being the only nominee without an Oscar already, for example, or Marisa Tomei being the only American. (Reminds me of "Clocks" by Coldplay beat "Hey Ya" by OutKast for Record of the Year at the Grammys, perhaps in part because "Clocks" was the only nominee that wasn't hip hop or rap.)
Adrian Brody, Olivia Colman, and Anthony Hopkins were not a surprise to me; their performances were outstanding.
Oh and btw, Olivia Colman is a hoot in talk shows and interviews.
And I think Anthony Hopkins was in Wales and got a phone call in the middle of the night and was told he had won. He was so surprised, and made a video later thanking everyone.
Piper Laurie should have won for Carrie in 1977.
Anthony Hopkins wins was NOT A JOKE!!!
THE GREAT ANTHONY HOPKINS
It's razor tight races like these that make me wish the Academy published the vote totals after like ten years. I'd be super curious to see how many votes separated first and second in a photo finish!
Oh man, this was a great list. Can you do another one, I was expecting Jamie Lee Curtis on it, that is still a complete shock. 😊.
Bacall was such a seemingly lock some pick the winners contest didn't think worth listing other nominees.
To me Hopkins's win for The Father wasn't an upset, it was incredibly expected I wanted to happen and it did, because that was a no brainer of a choice. Hopkins earned it and deserved it
Even if Chadwick Boseman had won, not presenting Best Picture last was a terrible decision
I'm glad you mentioned Olivia Colman's acceptance speech. I thought that speech was the most memorable event of that evening. I feel that most Brits give a good speech (Colin Firth being another memorable one).
If you watch these movies 20 or so years later, you will see that Marissa totally deserve that Oscar
Brody winning for playing a Holocaust survivor was well deserved
Glen close golden globes speech was so moving,
I'm still upset Stallone didn't win. I was shocked and angry when Mark won.
Good on you for not defaulting to the Art Carney win for Harry And Tonto for #1.
Everything about the Best Actor presentation at the 2021 Awards was tacky and disrespectful to both Boseman and Hopkins. The producers were trying to create a “moment “ and using Chadwick’s passing to do so. Also the producers would not allow nominees to who could not attend (at the height of Covid) to attend via zoom (Hopkins has asked) so he was denied an opportunity to accept his award. One of the worse ceremonies.
Yeah, and though I love Frances McDormand and think she is one of the best actresses currently working, I think there were better performances in her category and she had already won three years before... so it didn't seem fair tbh. She only won because Nomadland won best director and best picture.
Marisa Tomei is a great win
I completely agree with you, especially about Glenn Close, but not all the Academy members saw it; they overlooked it.
In my opinion the Oscars are at their best when they are unpredictable.
8:24 About the 2001 Supporting Actress nominees:
"It could have gone to anyone, really"
shows Jamie Bell 😅
Is it controversial that Marissa Tomei is one of my favorite supporting actress wins/performances of all time 😂
Paltrow over Blanchett??? Like what’s going on there
Oh please. Olivia Coleman was the best female performance that year.
It seems like you are basing these on what other awards had been given that year, or who everyone’s favourite actors are.
Marisa Tomei's win is my favorite Oscar win of all time.
Julie walters was so good in billy elliot. She was so good in this film
I still haven’t moved past Grace winning over Judy. That’s BEYOND a crime.
Why was the reaction shot template at the 2021 Oscars so weird looking? It straight up looks like a Picasso painting.
This is why WE need to vote for the winners so there wouldn’t be an upset. After that Colman upset we need to vote for the winner. And for those who say this is ridiculous I ask you this: do you want Glenn to win???
I perform the Piper Laurie "Roadhouse Whiskey" monologue each morning in my bedroom before greeting the dawn. I don't care if she didn't win; it's an acting turn for all time.
12:40 - Correction: The English Patient Did Not win Screenplay. That award went to Billy Bob Thornton for Sling Blade.
Idea is the same, it won a fuck ton of oscars
@ChrisThomson-y7l it won alot of techs but only 3 above the line.