24:07 Hi, combinatorics amateur here. In this case, its better to look for a random pair. Discarding 4 cards and keeping the 3 means you draw 4 new cards. If P(A) is drawing the three and P(B) is not drawing the 3, the odds of drawing the 3 (P(A)) is equal to 1 - P(B). P(B) is when we don’t draw the 3 after 4 attempts, which means its 20/21 * 19/20 * 18/19 * 17/18. Some easy canceling and we see that its a 17/21 chance to not draw the 3. This means P(A) = 1 - 17/21 = 4/21 or 19%. You had a 19% chance of drawing the 3 after discarding 4 cards. Calculating the exact odds of “Discard 5 cards and draw a pair” is significantly more difficult. However, as long as it can be shown that the percentage is greater than 19, it is the better option. You have 9 types of cards left, 3 of which (J, 8, 3) had 1 in the deck, 3 of which (10, 9, 6) had 2, 2 of which (4, 2) had 3, and 1 of which (7) had 4. If we discard the 3, we will draw a card X. As long as X has a second copy in the deck, you will have the same, or greater, odds of drawing its copy (compared to drawing the 3). This is because you will have the same number of draws (4) to match X, but you will be drawing from a deck of size 20, which is better than the case with 3 where the deck had size 21. Now, there are only 3 cards you can draw where this is NOT the case: 3, 8, and Jack. So 18/21 of the cases are strictly better odds. Also, even though 3/21 cases are worse odds, the 18 cases are *much* better than the 3 cases are worse. - If you draw a 10, on the first draw (2/21) you have a 19/20 * 18/19 * 17/18 * 16/17 chance to not draw the second one. Thats 16/20, so 1 - 16/20 = a 4/20 chance to draw the second 10. Now including the odd of drawing the first 10 to begin with, we have 2/21*4/20 =8/420 = 2/105 or a 1.9% chance. We can apply this logic to the 9 and the 6 since they both have exactly 2 copies in the deck. So now 1.9% * 3 = 5.7% Similarly, if we draw a 4 (3/21 chance), we can do P(A) = 1 - P(B) where P(B) is not drawing another 4. P(B) = 18/20 * 17/19 * 16/18 * 15/17 = 16/20 * 15/19 = 4/5 * 15/19 = 60/95. So P(A) = 1 - 60/95 = 30/95. Include the odds of drawing the 4: 3/21*60/95 = 180/1,995 = ~9%. Apply the logic to 2’s as well: 9% * 2 = 18%. Add 18% and 5.7% = 23.7%. Without even adding the odds of getting a pair of 7’s (more likely than 9%), 23.7% > 19%. TLDR; Its worse to keep the 3 and its better to discard 5 cards to look for a random pair. Yes I’m a type-A chatter.
I will one up you, you can check misprint to know the card you are gonna get from discarding in collection without actually having it, fuck your numbers I am rigging your game.
I love how he was the greatest Cine2Nerdle player ever and he quit playing that to be the most average Balatro player ever. He cracks me up with these, ive watched them all i have a problem.
I loved this game enough to read the credits the other day and noticed that Vegabond is the only joker art made by a random person. Wish I remembered their name though.
@@Merith89I’m not sure how true this is (As i have no reason to drive, my eyesight is so bad i feel like i would put people and myself at risk). but where i’m from: due to COVID they don’t even bother doing a driving course, just the test, it just seems very dangerous.
I will never make fun of nl for making an obvious mistake again. Today I lost a run when the blind was 14 million even though I was consistently pumping out 30+ million point hands because I forgot to move blueprint off of my DNA and onto my steel joker.
It's actually well-documented that the younger generation isn't good at computers. There's a now 10 year old article about it, 'Kids can't use computers'. It's because most of them don't have access to one until they enter the office, computer classes aren't taught any more, all of their previous experience is with a mobile device that's locked down and it's hard to find files in
Wow, I really can't believe he actually survived the round where he just sold all of his jokers and then skipped the next blind. Say what you want about NL, but he's got guts.
the "they can't type or use computers properly" is true of the 13 year olds I teach in particular because it was assumed they knew how to use a computer and no one taught them.... it's not like... inherent.. its a failing of US the people raising them
One of the most spectacular views in Scandinavia. Geirangerfjord in western Norway is said to be one of the regions that served as the inspiration for "Frozen." The spectacular scenery of a U-shaped valley with a depth of 260m and a mountain with a maximum altitude of 1700m is a world heritage site.
Campfire gotta be a D tier rare. It's a great xMult joker for getting out of sticky situations, but not getting rid of it for a stable xMult joker causes tool fixation. Buy/sell 6 cards and wreck your build- just to get the same quality of xMult that can be pulled from Driver's License. Then it resets again in two rounds, and gets worse with Skips. I can see it being strong with cards that generate sell opportunities, of course -- but now we need to make room for jokers that don't do anything for our score. Constellation, Stone Joker, Steel Joker, and Throwback are all far and away superior scaling xMult and also trigger Baseball card. For non-scaling xMult, Card Sharp, Acrobat, and Driver's License all provide an incredible and steady 3x for minimal effort to trigger. I doubt any of these would have gotten past 300,000,000, though, for the record.
It's funny, watching you, then pausing and playing Balatro on my tablet and then looking up on the paused screen, the cards are floating on your paused stream. Thought I was going crazy!
59:13 It's true. A family member of mine taught 7th grade last year. She had to put up one of those alphabet wall borders because the kids didn't know how to write capital letters. The students were mad to have the kiddy decorations at first, but then they were like _"It actually helps a lot..."_
I just had double polychrome campfire on a run it was amazingly op, got to ante 12 for the first time cause of how much it scaled, also ended up with a lot of economy cause of a double tag and a blind skip that gave 35 gold.
I love how the video just started with a silencer "if you know the lottery numbers in advance just pick'em, its that easy." Istn called northernlion for no reason, cause that was straight up COLD.
Chat is right though. Hack basically give +2 mult, but only if you only play the right cards. That said, you don't pick Hack for that, you pick it to try and do busted stuff with it later. I think it was still a fine pickup, even though Four Fingers was technically probably better.
I’m glad NL is putting true respect on chips. It’s so much better than mult at the start of endless But man ditching fortune teller for the trio.. when your best hand has a base +8 mult, +50 mult is functionally x6(with scaling), as opposed to the Trio’s x4.5.
I feel like hack is insane in concept, but Ive not once seen it pop. The problem with it is that the floor is worse than just playing face cards or even 8-10s
it goes hard in the deck without face cards, especially if you get something like fibonacci or wee joker and/or ride the bus. You could probably also use it to cover your bases in a straight deck that also has sock & buskin
@cyanthrope it's not a bad joker, but Id call it C tier. It takes a lot of building around. Especially if you get it late, itll be hard to make it work. Most of the time Sock and Buskin will just be flat out better. You're more likely to be using face cards, there's the joker that makes everything a face card, business card to gain money, which opens up a million combos there. I just dont think Hack has the same juice.
I'm commenting on this 9 month old video to say Ms Rachel is awesome. I'm not sure how anyone could think watching it is somehow bad for kids . My 2 year old knows like hundreds of words and can count to 20, knows all her colors, knows what each letter sounds like (for the most part) and it's mostly from Ms rachel.
Ive noticed he almost never makes 2 cards lucky cards with magician in any of the runs I've seen, only one card usually. Like 9:10 and 13:10 , is there a strat to this
1:00:15 It's not. Kids have no social and no technical skills. Everyone claimed this generation would be cracked at technology. The problem is tech is so user friendly, that kids quit at the first obstacle. If it doesn't work instantly, its broken and garbage and they punch the device like a toddler. Don't even get me started on their failure to regulate their outward emotions...
As a teacher I’m so tired of my coworkers and others complaining about kids these days. Like shut up. Every generation says the same thing about the next generation. Teachers especially love to look back with rose tinted glasses. You were just as much a little shit when you were a kid.
If your planets are leveled up very high, then most jokers that add chips and flat mult are not very impactful. If your planets are low level though (especially before Ante 8) then yes, you're recipie is quite good.
Every time I watch a Balatro video from NL I contemplate how many horrible things I would do to tarnish my name and reputation and the reputation of my children for years to come just to have an ounce of his luck and I'm not even bald. He's out here winning and I have to spend money on shampoo or my coworkers make fun of me. Life is no fair man
"We're cooked Brother!"
Gretel to Hansel when the witch opens the oven.
+2
+2
+2
+2
+2
39:31 seeing the Queen being selected as he laughs at chat is like seeing the world in slow motion before being hit by a car
he won anyway, actual god gamer
It hurts so good.
@@peace_n_loveHe won, but at what cost
What NL did to that Ride The Bus joker is the legal definition of entrapment.
“Who’s gonna tell him?” 😂
24:07 Hi, combinatorics amateur here. In this case, its better to look for a random pair.
Discarding 4 cards and keeping the 3 means you draw 4 new cards. If P(A) is drawing the three and P(B) is not drawing the 3, the odds of drawing the 3 (P(A)) is equal to 1 - P(B).
P(B) is when we don’t draw the 3 after 4 attempts, which means its 20/21 * 19/20 * 18/19 * 17/18. Some easy canceling and we see that its a 17/21 chance to not draw the 3. This means P(A) = 1 - 17/21 = 4/21 or 19%.
You had a 19% chance of drawing the 3 after discarding 4 cards.
Calculating the exact odds of “Discard 5 cards and draw a pair” is significantly more difficult. However, as long as it can be shown that the percentage is greater than 19, it is the better option. You have 9 types of cards left, 3 of which (J, 8, 3) had 1 in the deck, 3 of which (10, 9, 6) had 2, 2 of which (4, 2) had 3, and 1 of which (7) had 4.
If we discard the 3, we will draw a card X. As long as X has a second copy in the deck, you will have the same, or greater, odds of drawing its copy (compared to drawing the 3). This is because you will have the same number of draws (4) to match X, but you will be drawing from a deck of size 20, which is better than the case with 3 where the deck had size 21.
Now, there are only 3 cards you can draw where this is NOT the case: 3, 8, and Jack.
So 18/21 of the cases are strictly better odds.
Also, even though 3/21 cases are worse odds, the 18 cases are *much* better than the 3 cases are worse.
-
If you draw a 10, on the first draw (2/21) you have a 19/20 * 18/19 * 17/18 * 16/17 chance to not draw the second one. Thats 16/20, so 1 - 16/20 = a 4/20 chance to draw the second 10. Now including the odd of drawing the first 10 to begin with, we have 2/21*4/20 =8/420 = 2/105 or a 1.9% chance. We can apply this logic to the 9 and the 6 since they both have exactly 2 copies in the deck. So now 1.9% * 3 = 5.7%
Similarly, if we draw a 4 (3/21 chance), we can do P(A) = 1 - P(B) where P(B) is not drawing another 4. P(B) = 18/20 * 17/19 * 16/18 * 15/17 = 16/20 * 15/19 = 4/5 * 15/19 = 60/95.
So P(A) = 1 - 60/95 = 30/95. Include the odds of drawing the 4: 3/21*60/95 = 180/1,995 = ~9%. Apply the logic to 2’s as well: 9% * 2 = 18%.
Add 18% and 5.7% = 23.7%. Without even adding the odds of getting a pair of 7’s (more likely than 9%), 23.7% > 19%.
TLDR; Its worse to keep the 3 and its better to discard 5 cards to look for a random pair. Yes I’m a type-A chatter.
Nerd
I will one up you, you can check misprint to know the card you are gonna get from discarding in collection without actually having it, fuck your numbers I am rigging your game.
Balatro dipped in Squammylicious Chilli Oiiill!
I love when NL dips his cards in Mama Liz's Eatyourass oil
I love this community.
And a CAROLINA REAPAHH
@@pedrokiihl856 😂😂😂😂💀💀
I’ve never been so squammed
The foreshadowing of 10:58 to what transpires at 39:40 is why I keep on coming back to the egg for more
we've got a 5, 6, 7, 8 he says as he discards a 4
not quite his tempo
Thats not his tempo bro
Ngl, I've done that too in the hopes of getting a 9. I get screwed 75% of the time
I haven’t even watched the video yet but I needed to be spoiled and oh my god
The 4 discard in 5-6-7-8 straight, and the queen play at 39:40 radiate strong type A energy
41:12 me when I empty my party size bag of Cool Ranch Doritos onto the Yosemite Falls hiking trail
+2
This run actually cracked me tf up.
Pogged out of our gourds, dipped in Momma Lizzie's shut the fuck up sauce
"Toss your detritus thusly" this is the power of lateral thinking
39:40 the horror of pogs lost
38:41 news articles in 37-41 CE era Rome
+2
+2
39:38 Another classic egg moment.
I love how he was the greatest Cine2Nerdle player ever and he quit playing that to be the most average Balatro player ever. He cracks me up with these, ive watched them all i have a problem.
The Him Me dance by NL @48:48 😂
Wonder for much it'd be if it was 5 of a kind
>play double tag deck
>Get 2148 double tags
>Beat ante 8 without a single negative joker tag
>Repeat
Oh good, for a moment there I was afraid he was going to miss how hard Wee Joker goes with retriggers.
wee joker + hack has worked wonders for me, I call them the ventriloquist's act
this run felt like i just watched a season of a show with multiple story arcs, i didnt know where it was going but i was pogged up
That dry “again” in the first millisecond of the video really spoke to me.
I loved this game enough to read the credits the other day and noticed that Vegabond is the only joker art made by a random person. Wish I remembered their name though.
That would be LumpyTouch, just recently saw a RUclips post by them saying they drew the artwork on that card
lumpytouch is a youtuber and an artist, perhaps best known for his mario and garfield parody short animations
It would be really cool if people could submit alternate designs for some of the cards and then it would be random which design you got for the card.
Vagabond is my favorite
What a ride of a run. Watching him swap strategies was so entertaining, lol.
This was the craziest clutchiest rollercoaster of emotions ever uploaded on yourube
This was actually the god seed if he didn't frick up the Ride The Bus Joker. The only thing he was lacking the whole time was huge base mult.
59:40 People called genZ digital natives, stopped teaching computer classes, and now the kids don't know how to use computers
imagine if we did that with anything else. "Eh this generation knows their times tables, let's pull all the math classes"
@@Romanticoutlaw Totally. Like, cars are so ubiquitous these days, guess we don't need drivers ed anymore ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
@@Merith89I’m not sure how true this is (As i have no reason to drive, my eyesight is so bad i feel like i would put people and myself at risk). but where i’m from: due to COVID they don’t even bother doing a driving course, just the test, it just seems very dangerous.
My pog is directly proportional with the length of the episode
This one starts off cooking. "if you knew the lottery numbers you just pick em"
3:45 hes so freaking straightblind its insane
I've been there lol, when the opening hand is missing one card, yet 35 cards cycled via discards & hands played, fails to draw it.
The thing is, Straits are just bad. They don't score as well as Flush or Full House. (Not to mention they're harder to get)
@@manguy01 how that relevant in any way for this situation^^
@@Nightknight1992You said he was straitblind. I was just telling you how he became that way.
But, no cap, that one physically hurt to watch
Just played for 5 hours this game has broken us brothers
I cant stop man it just scratches that special itch
girl, you ain't kidding
Let's gooo. My daily Balatro quota will be satisfied now.
I will never make fun of nl for making an obvious mistake again. Today I lost a run when the blind was 14 million even though I was consistently pumping out 30+ million point hands because I forgot to move blueprint off of my DNA and onto my steel joker.
Oh man, I was yelling at the screen when he put that queen to play at about the 39 min mark. I have done that so many times...it hurts. Great video!
It's actually well-documented that the younger generation isn't good at computers. There's a now 10 year old article about it, 'Kids can't use computers'. It's because most of them don't have access to one until they enter the office, computer classes aren't taught any more, all of their previous experience is with a mobile device that's locked down and it's hard to find files in
That is what you get as a result of highly abstracted systems.
One of the few games that has me screaming at the screen
The poppin Wee made me pog with glee.
Wow, I really can't believe he actually survived the round where he just sold all of his jokers and then skipped the next blind. Say what you want about NL, but he's got guts.
the "they can't type or use computers properly" is true of the 13 year olds I teach in particular because it was assumed they knew how to use a computer and no one taught them.... it's not like... inherent.. its a failing of US the people raising them
One of the most spectacular views in Scandinavia. Geirangerfjord in western Norway is said to be one of the regions that served as the inspiration for "Frozen." The spectacular scenery of a U-shaped valley with a depth of 260m and a mountain with a maximum altitude of 1700m is a world heritage site.
A diamond queen dipped in “mama lizard’s ruin your mult” oil
The smart competition thingy handled masterfully, loved it!
An appetizer for the rest of the video :P
Campfire is pretty Pog, my high score run was with 3 campfires and it was awesome
Campfire gotta be a D tier rare. It's a great xMult joker for getting out of sticky situations, but not getting rid of it for a stable xMult joker causes tool fixation. Buy/sell 6 cards and wreck your build- just to get the same quality of xMult that can be pulled from Driver's License. Then it resets again in two rounds, and gets worse with Skips. I can see it being strong with cards that generate sell opportunities, of course -- but now we need to make room for jokers that don't do anything for our score.
Constellation, Stone Joker, Steel Joker, and Throwback are all far and away superior scaling xMult and also trigger Baseball card.
For non-scaling xMult, Card Sharp, Acrobat, and Driver's License all provide an incredible and steady 3x for minimal effort to trigger.
I doubt any of these would have gotten past 300,000,000, though, for the record.
2:01 Scripture from the egg lord
8:35 "keeping the straight potential alive" by keeping his 4, 5, 6 as he throws away a 7 and an 8
He was really cooking when he bought the wee joker and then dropped the classic line "there's something two it." 🤣
It's funny, watching you, then pausing and playing Balatro on my tablet and then looking up on the paused screen, the cards are floating on your paused stream. Thought I was going crazy!
"Forces one card to always be selected"
We know where this is going.
59:13 It's true. A family member of mine taught 7th grade last year. She had to put up one of those alphabet wall borders because the kids didn't know how to write capital letters. The students were mad to have the kiddy decorations at first, but then they were like _"It actually helps a lot..."_
39:35 it's like I was watching an imminent plane crash right in front of my eyes
Your thumbnail had the answer. Blueprint is the best IMHO
Ah I gotta pause my balatro game to watch NL play balatro
4:35 Now I have to go listen to that again.
its really fun y how all the jokers that do work well with hack showed up only after selling it. this is the luck i usually get in my runs xD
The entertainment value of this episode could warrent a second watch lol. Unreal.
13:56 Orville Redenbacher at the board meeting when quarterly sales are down yet again
That run was super dynamic. Even if NL made mistakes he played through them very well.
I came here for the videos, stayed for the references
If you watch enough Northern Lion Balatro videos
You realize it's always just Vagabond.
38:46 me whenever I’m a cell and I undergo mitosis
I just had double polychrome campfire on a run it was amazingly op, got to ante 12 for the first time cause of how much it scaled, also ended up with a lot of economy cause of a double tag and a blind skip that gave 35 gold.
I won my first game of Balatro while this video was playing. Thank you NL
The good old ride the bus wee joker combo.
I love how the video just started with a silencer "if you know the lottery numbers in advance just pick'em, its that easy." Istn called northernlion for no reason, cause that was straight up COLD.
There was a void in my day then I see an NL video and it’s gone
blueprint bonfire is a classic combo
I know he made some mistakes but it's actually really impressive how he pulled this back.
I nearly won my first game today with campfire, then fat finger and sold it right before the boss blind
The day he learns how to use the Servant boss blind will be a glorious day for type A's
He did in this run
@@countrybackflip the optimal play is almost always to discard 1 card each time until you're out of discards
Chat is right though. Hack basically give +2 mult, but only if you only play the right cards. That said, you don't pick Hack for that, you pick it to try and do busted stuff with it later. I think it was still a fine pickup, even though Four Fingers was technically probably better.
The true Jokers are the friends we met along the way
I can feel the type A energy bubbling up. Im about to burst
should definitely burn discards on the first round to try for the full house before just sending since it costs you $1 when you have to play 2 hands
buy sell build in balatro has me pogging out of my gourd
love the balatro keep up the good work brother stay pogged
Watching this I finally get double tags! Should help me build on my one successful run! 😂
I’m glad NL is putting true respect on chips. It’s so much better than mult at the start of endless
But man ditching fortune teller for the trio.. when your best hand has a base +8 mult, +50 mult is functionally x6(with scaling), as opposed to the Trio’s x4.5.
I been shaking all day waiting for new Balatoro
I’m so early he hasent discarded a full house without noticing it yet
Best episode yet
Ride the bus must be a must have for no facecard deck lmao
on my 20th video of Balatro, I still have no idea what is happening
The queen play is one of the greatest of all time, stay winning NL youre great
bro would break the bus on ante 8. Never been more pegged up
Not even my RUclips premium could save me from 360p
42:38 party house reference
Mk4 line hit me like 3 minutes after it was said
My maaaan we gotta be spending mooooney before going in with tarot joker
I feel like hack is insane in concept, but Ive not once seen it pop. The problem with it is that the floor is worse than just playing face cards or even 8-10s
it’s really only good with glass cards and/or red seals
it goes hard in the deck without face cards, especially if you get something like fibonacci or wee joker and/or ride the bus. You could probably also use it to cover your bases in a straight deck that also has sock & buskin
@cyanthrope it's not a bad joker, but Id call it C tier. It takes a lot of building around. Especially if you get it late, itll be hard to make it work.
Most of the time Sock and Buskin will just be flat out better. You're more likely to be using face cards, there's the joker that makes everything a face card, business card to gain money, which opens up a million combos there. I just dont think Hack has the same juice.
I'm commenting on this 9 month old video to say Ms Rachel is awesome.
I'm not sure how anyone could think watching it is somehow bad for kids .
My 2 year old knows like hundreds of words and can count to 20, knows all her colors, knows what each letter sounds like (for the most part) and it's mostly from Ms rachel.
Curious. Is the egg joker an easter egg to the Egg?
unlikely, as it was seen in the demo before NL truly started pogging at it
Likely, since it's a roguelike deckbuilder so the dev could expect NL might play it.
yes, confirmed by the dev
Ive noticed he almost never makes 2 cards lucky cards with magician in any of the runs I've seen, only one card usually. Like 9:10 and 13:10 , is there a strat to this
No, these are old vids from when Magician could only upgrade 1 card lol it got buffed to upgrade 2 cards after a lot of these vids came out
1:00:15 It's not. Kids have no social and no technical skills. Everyone claimed this generation would be cracked at technology. The problem is tech is so user friendly, that kids quit at the first obstacle. If it doesn't work instantly, its broken and garbage and they punch the device like a toddler. Don't even get me started on their failure to regulate their outward emotions...
As a teacher I’m so tired of my coworkers and others complaining about kids these days. Like shut up. Every generation says the same thing about the next generation. Teachers especially love to look back with rose tinted glasses. You were just as much a little shit when you were a kid.
For real, MFs back in Roman times were complaining about how the young generation were not up to scratch
39:39 scared me omg
10:40 is that an MK4 reference?
Dropping Fortune Teller is insane, like yeah you can get more mult on campfire but you have no flat mult to multiply
Still waiting on NL to pick up the joker that makes straights with A, 1, 2, 3, 4
I swear his eyebrows react faster than his brain
what’s the best joker comp? One chip, one mult, three multiply?
If your planets are leveled up very high, then most jokers that add chips and flat mult are not very impactful. If your planets are low level though (especially before Ante 8) then yes, you're recipie is quite good.
Every time I watch a Balatro video from NL I contemplate how many horrible things I would do to tarnish my name and reputation and the reputation of my children for years to come just to have an ounce of his luck and I'm not even bald. He's out here winning and I have to spend money on shampoo or my coworkers make fun of me. Life is no fair man
How does he do it