This equation for working out if it is a good bet or not is ludicrous! The IO On the xtra place catcher takes into account the lay odds aswell, makes no sense unless i am missing something?
You started with 10 pounds, the first winning bet you were already down to 9.50, so if the 10 losses had come straight from the beginning you would've gave it up? How sustainable is this system really? Just as 10 losses came in a row, 20 may come, and how long until a bankroll is totally depleted? I think it would be better tested with a larger bankroll, and using a point system, that's how value bets work. Depending on the +EV is the amount of points you risk. So if you have a 100quid bank, it's a 100 points, and you would use at most 5% of your bankroll, so 5 points i.e 5 pounds
I got stake restricted so I cannot make more than 12 quid on any bet with Sky... only been with them a couple of months and had no warning or email... just found the account restricted.
I have a great respect for you Chris and you have took my Matched Betting to another level but not sure why you are using the EP matcher to choose the horses value? The EP matcher IO is showing the profit from the lay wins as well. Your 101 odds horse would actually be 10.50 IO for it to place, not the 12.98 IO showing on the EP matcher. Or am I missing something?
Implied odds aren't relevant for non-layed extra place value bets as you say - because implied odds is a function of qualifying loss and potential winnings
@@harry3706 Just relied to your comment on his other video, but I wanted to ask if you do any EWNL stuff yourself? I have been trialling it for about a month and have been using the each way catcher on profit accumulator, and looking for a rating of over 100% (with the “arb” coming from the place) In your opinion would there be any value to using the each way catcher to find Ewnl bets? My thinking is that the rating we get does not factor in the extra place, and so perhaps a rating of above 90% or 95% would still be positive EV given an extra place. Am I right in my thinking here or how does the math work here?
Hi. I have emailed Odds Monkey at least 3 times, and they have not replied. Get them replying to me sunshine. They are starting a war they can’t win.I spent £180 in March and have had corporate avoidant personality disorder for no reason. Get them replying to me freely……
I AM PROBABLY MISSING SOMETHING BUT WHY ARE WE MULTIPLYING BY 1.5 AND I WISH I COULD BACK 100-1 SHOTS WITH SKYBET, WELL TELL A LIE I PROBABLY CAN BUT ONLY TO A 10P STAKE
Hi Chris what if there is more than 1 horse in the race with value odds do you back them all or just the one with the biggest odds cheers
This equation for working out if it is a good bet or not is ludicrous! The IO On the xtra place catcher takes into account the lay odds aswell, makes no sense unless i am missing something?
You started with 10 pounds, the first winning bet you were already down to 9.50, so if the 10 losses had come straight from the beginning you would've gave it up? How sustainable is this system really? Just as 10 losses came in a row, 20 may come, and how long until a bankroll is totally depleted? I think it would be better tested with a larger bankroll, and using a point system, that's how value bets work. Depending on the +EV is the amount of points you risk. So if you have a 100quid bank, it's a 100 points, and you would use at most 5% of your bankroll, so 5 points i.e 5 pounds
I got stake restricted so I cannot make more than 12 quid on any bet with Sky... only been with them a couple of months and had no warning or email... just found the account restricted.
Needless to say but this strategy would work on any bookmaker offering multiple extra places on a race?
I have a great respect for you Chris and you have took my Matched Betting to another level but not sure why you are using the EP matcher to choose the horses value? The EP matcher IO is showing the profit from the lay wins as well. Your 101 odds horse would actually be 10.50 IO for it to place, not the 12.98 IO showing on the EP matcher. Or am I missing something?
Implied odds aren't relevant for non-layed extra place value bets as you say - because implied odds is a function of qualifying loss and potential winnings
@@harry3706 Just relied to your comment on his other video, but I wanted to ask if you do any EWNL stuff yourself? I have been trialling it for about a month and have been using the each way catcher on profit accumulator, and looking for a rating of over 100% (with the “arb” coming from the place)
In your opinion would there be any value to using the each way catcher to find Ewnl bets? My thinking is that the rating we get does not factor in the extra place, and so perhaps a rating of above 90% or 95% would still be positive EV given an extra place. Am I right in my thinking here or how does the math work here?
How close to the off do you look at the IO?
Another good informative video
Did you ever use PA instead odds monkey? Is oddmonkey better?
Does this strategy only work on sky bet? Or can you do it on any bookie ?
Skybet offering 2 extra places instead of 1. Others do it as well.
Why multiply by 1.5 what is the reason
He clearly has no clue what he's doing.
Lol
Hi. I have emailed Odds Monkey at least 3 times, and they have not replied. Get them replying to me sunshine. They are starting a war they can’t win.I spent £180 in March and have had corporate avoidant personality disorder for no reason. Get them replying to me freely……
How did you spend 180 in odds monkey?
Lmao
I AM PROBABLY MISSING SOMETHING BUT WHY ARE WE MULTIPLYING BY 1.5 AND I WISH I COULD BACK 100-1 SHOTS WITH SKYBET, WELL TELL A LIE I PROBABLY CAN BUT ONLY TO A 10P STAKE