TESLA IN THE S&P 500 | $7000 PRICE TARGET??
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- Опубликовано: 12 июл 2020
- Lets go to go over the reason Tesla stock has increased so much over these last few months, whether or not it’ll continue to go even higher, and then how much the price will be affected if it joins the SP500 - Enjoy! Add me on Instagram: GPStephan
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IF Tesla meets the full eligibility for SP500 inclusion, and IF it’s voted on to join the SP500..how much of an effect will this have on the stocks price, and is getting added to an index all it takes to boost up the stock?
When a stock is going to be added to an index, it’s announced AHEAD OF TIME - BEFORE index fund managers can actually go ahead and buy it. This leaves time for individual investors and speculators to buy in, anticipating it being added to the index within the coming week - and trying to make a profit.
When it was researched, it was found that stocks DO generally see a rise in price once it’s ANNOUNCED they’re going to be added to an index - but ONCE they’re actually added to the index, the pent up demand slows down - the stock price drops - and then it returns it a new “normal.”
seekingalpha.com/article/4009...
This was also confirmed by a study published in the 1990’s, that found that the announcement and inclusion of a stock within the SP500 DID have a measurable effect on the price…short term.
people.stern.nyu.edu/alynch/pd...
Long term, however, it was found that adding a stock to an index has no permanent effect on the price.
www.newyorkfed.org/medialibra...
In fact, it was studied that a stocks “premium” for being added to an index completely wore off after 2 months, usually returning to the same price before it was ever announced.
www.wealthdaily.com/articles/...
And overall, studies have shown that stocks added to an index did NOT see any superior performance and demand over stocks which were NOT traded within an index…
repository.upenn.edu/cgi/view...
Likewise, it was also found that stocks REMOVED or BUMPED DOWN from an index did not see any large dip in price, now that they weren’t being bought by an index….
www.nber.org/digest/nov13/w19...
So, IF Tesla gets added to the SP500 - according to all the history and research out there - the ANNOUNCEMENT that it’ll be added will have a MUCH more powerful affect on the stock price than the actual INCLUSION of the stock to the index. After all, Yahoo was cited as being the most recent comparable of its size back in 1999…that stock surged 64% in 5 days between the announcement of being added to the index, and actually being added to the index.
www.autoblog.com/2020/07/11/t...
But once a company is added to an index - it must actually PERFORM well, and much of its stock price movement will be from it’s earnings, performance, and ongoing development. Otherwise, if it doesn’t perform well, it’ll get bumped and the price will go down - causing a small percentage of the overall index to go down, with it.
But there’s one message I just want to make clear…in my personal opinion…at these levels, investing in Tesla is a gamble - and if you’re going to buy in, hold it with the expectation of keeping it for at a LONG TIME. This is the type of stock that’ll be just as likely of dropping 50% as it is of going UP another 50%….so, if you buy in, just be prepared for a really, really wild ride - for better or worse.
For business or one-on-one real estate investing/real estate agent consulting inquiries, you can reach me at GrahamStephanBusiness@gmail.com
*Some of the links and other products that appear on this video are from companies which Graham Stephan will earn an affiliate commission or referral bonus. Graham Stephan is part of an affiliate network and receives compensation for sending traffic to partner sites. The content in this video is accurate as of the posting date. Some of the offers mentioned may no longer be available.
Waited to post at 4:20pm ;)
Dank af fam
Graham you Pothead!
Waited to check till 4:20 😏
FUNDING SECURED
Yeah the drop was real today
I remember when people didn't think I was named after a car. Those were the days.
Plus your last name after a camera.(-n)
Were you named after Nikola Tesla?
Sounds more like one of the supposed super-weapons he designed that was confiscated, on top of being a cool-sounding name. 🤘😸🤘
A Tesla Cannon would be super cool 😳😳
Hope your dad stashed away lot of Tesla stocks too !
Graham: do your own research
Me: this video is my research?!?
I laughed so hard because this is so true.
Exactlyyyyy lolll i unfortunately suck with understanding companies and rely on youtubers like graham so im glad im not the only one
Rob Mauers TESLA Daily Is where you need to go for Tesla news and advice. Also Dave Lee investing. Graham is pretty clueless about the valuation. a bit disappointed that he like most people who cannot fully understand that tesla is a DOMINATING, Disruptive tech company disrupting auto, AI, solar, energy storage.
Joe Kim you cant just go to steven on ”solving the money problem” and hear about how tesla is the best company ever created and that you should buy no matter what because you will make infinate amounts of money. You also have to listen to people like graham that still invest but cautiously
Ah this comment saved me 11 minutes. Thank you friend =)
Never give into FOMO or the fear of missing out. There will always be opportunities
No there won’t be another opportunity’s. Buy buy buy
U r r8 bro .. patience is the key in stock market. 2008 2020 any many more their will be chance every time..
Yes and that opportunity is TSLA
Instructions unclear: Bought $2,000,000 worth of Nikola stock.
Haha xd
You should just put the $2 million on 2021 TSLA calls. JESUS LOVES YOU BRO
Rip 2,000,000
Nike+Coca-Cola=Nikola
The photoshop company lol
I’m so happy, I bought 15 shares of Tesla at $200 after I graduated Highschool last year and haven’t looked back since, just sold 10 today at $1700. Now I have enough for a loan at 20% down payment for a property. Gonna stockpile on Stephen graham videos until market dips in a couple of years then invest that money into properties at the age of 20! One day, I hope to accomplish what you’ve done so far Graham. You’re such an inspiration to future generations who know the true value of frugality and money!
Lol yeah fucking right
Bad move selling those stocks
post sounds fake
Vong Manu in the us you graduate when youre 18
@@vongmanu4419 bro most ppl graduate at 18 lol not saying I believe him but ya
I can't believe Elon is richer than the guy that created Buffets.
This
People talking about Elon surpassing Buffett in net worth just don't make any sense.
Buffett got rich through profits and returns in either business or investing. Elon isn't actually rich now. He is just flooded with SHAREHOLDERS' money. That is not the same as being rich. Whether he will be rich depends on whether he can generate RETURNS on that money.
Swan Freak nah hes rich in stock. If he sells it (disregarding the fact that the stock will crash) he would you know have $1500 x however many stocks he has. He doesnt just hold money for investors? He owns assets/investments
The guy invented paypal and shoots rockets, teslas, and people into space. Not sure whats hard to believe.
Buffets are very popular. No words to read, or even misleading and doctored photos. Just go up and get some of what you want. I LOVE buffets. I vote with my dollars. I vote for buffets.
Hey Graham! I just wanted to let you know that the first video I ever watched of you was the one where you explained why you sold your Tesla stock back in February. Ever since then I have been addicted to your channels in addition to financial wellness. You have really motivated me to turn my financial situation around. Keep up the good work and inspiration!
Imagine being the hedge funds that shorted TSLA at $300 😭😭
nOooO
Which hedge funds shorted Tesla at $300
I see many at eToro 😂😂🚩
Lol there have been dudes shorting that went from billionaire to millionaires. Dont listen to them lmaoooo
I was in around $800 I feel so good fucking good right now!
*In therapist's office 30 years from now*
But doc, you don't understand. I could have bought Tesla for $420 a share 😭
Bitcoin for $1, too
@@GrahamStephan Exactly!!
I had it $69 and had to sell it to pay for my divorce...sigh
bhillboy37 Ahhh shoot! Sorry mate
Alexander Hansen - I know. People act like they’ve missed the boat. It’s hilarious.
Since I'm not risking going to Disney anytime soon, I gotta say Tesla has been the best rollercoaster I've ridden in a long time!
My dad showed me his fidelity invoice from 2011, when he bought Tesla at $11/share. He unfortunately sold it at around $35/share 😭
Noob...just kidding. lol
Still 3xd his money lol
Oh wow... DOH!!!
Will happen even today...you just don’t know which of your $10 shares would be the next Tesla
I wish I could back in time but if I could go back to 2011, I would buy Bitcoin. Why didn't I buy Bitcoin? Why? *cries*
Gonna create 69k fake profiles just to make sure we hit this goal
Lets do it for Elon
I see you have 69 likes so I’m not gonna ruin it by liking
Dislike unsubbed
Pay the Russian to do it they are good at making fake accounts
Already surpassed the goal
Your channel has encouraged me to live better financially, I have 2 extra bedrooms and I rented them both out to make it free to live here :)
Graham, thank you for the explanation below.
Been watching you since the early days
the videos just get better and better
Thanks Graham
Instead of 1 Tesla stock I bought 20 years worth of $0.20 Iced Coffee : )
:p
now you sell it to the people at 5$ a Iced Coffee :)
Show me the way. I'm just getting my feet wet with stock
In four years, you can buy 96 years worth of $0.2 iced coffee if you bought 1 Tesla stock.
@@erikburzinski8248 stonks
Who else smashed the like button so Graham does a photo wearing those Tesla short shorts in front of his Tesla? 😂😂😂
Haha what are the odds you put out the same challenge?🤪
Hopefully they arrive soon!
Smashing like button NOW!!!!
@@fuge511 if this comment gets 10k likes then I'll do the same challenge 😂
Invest With Queenie I did! 😂
I've watched your videos for a few weeks now. Congratulations, you just earned my first like on your channel.
Went on youtube just to check if you have uploaded a vid about Tesla! Right on time :) Thank you Graham for your insight and advice always!!!
I love how I have watched so many of his videos that before the video even starts I automatically smash the like button
THANKS!!
Can I just say this channel has the most positive audience. It’s good to see everyone get a long and hope for the best in each others futures on a comment section for a change 🙏🏼👏🏼
ah thanks so much! so happy to see that, too
Yeah man.. I noticed the same thing! For once, reading the comments didn't make me angry 😂 Wish you all the best bro! ✌
one of the best videos, thanks for explaining and doing the research!
Damn Graham, great research! That’s why I love your channel
Don’t lie who else has been a huge fan of graham he’s the best
Agreed been with him since 300k
he has an outstanding role model in my life
Don’t lie you really want likes on ur comment don’t you
Duo1ze you bet ya
just sold my house for this, thanks Graham!!
:O
Hey relax, man relax
this is exactly what I need to know. Thank you for your research.
An immeasurable amount of value, as always Graham!
In da house.
In da Tesla
Tesla is my house
This matters!
This matters
This matters
Thought Graham was going to miss the video today... Only Graham would wait to post at 4:20 for Elon 😂😂😂
You know it ;)
Thank you for doing good research and not just spouting opinions. I gained some valuable new information. Good work.
I really like your honesty. Not fear mongering but more rational advice.
Posted at 4:20
Clearly a man of culture
Very sophisticated
I'm gonna buy a Tesla and wrap it with the picture of Graham in the short shorts once we hit this milestone
Valuable and opportune info, thanks Graham!
Graham thank you for sharing!!
Every time I see TSLA news I think about you lol
Ah thanks! :)
Normal motto: “ like caus it helps the algorithm”
New moto: “like so that I have to wear Tesla short shorts”
Thx man this really is convincing me to be apart of these markets
Excellent video. Thanks for all the research.
just started watching season 2 of selling sunset on Netflix and noticed that you appeared from time to time and was wondering if you worked at the Oppenheim Group full time or not?, whether you worked at the office?, and why you didn't make regular appearances on the show? Love your content on your , keep it up.
Still BEATING myself for not having the BALLZZ to buy TSLA even when it as near $200.
yikes...who knew
Well researched video, thank you
Always great stuff!!
i have 41 shares bought in at 209$ almost 3 years ago
Lucky
@@allaroundentertainment66 Wow! You're rich!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I Envy you!!!
How much have you made
@@babyhoho6745 well stocks rn are around 1300, so he has made about 46k
S&P 500 and Stephan are like Batman and robin
That was a pretty good presentation. I like your analysis both from an investor's standpoint and regarding the stock and the history. Great job. af
I'm cool with you not having to wear the short shorts. I just appreciate your videos and the intelligence that you put into it! :)
Well said, I bought when it was consolidating at $800. I thought it was expensive then and that was before it took off. I'd like to add shares in one of my other accounts, but I just can't comfortably throw $1500 at it right now. I'm selling some put spreads way below it to generate some cash off it, but Tesla is just way too crazy right now IMO. Smashed the like button just to help that effort along. Probably a better gamble than TSLA 😂
You can buy fractional shares so say you but 100$ worth how ever much your comfortable with right now just incase it takes off again!
Dont worry, your time will come again.
There is a lot of hype right now, everyone and their mother is buying, there is bound to be a correction just wait it out.
Waiting for Elons tweet. "Tesla stock to high imo" so I can get some tesla stocks
very insightful.
I smashed the like button not just for RUclips algorithms, but to see you wearing those shorts lol
Great video as always 👌
Let's goooo 🔥🚀
:)
Was literally just trying to find an index fund with Tesla stock in it! Funny timing
ARKK if you don’t want to wait until august
Not quite an index but I've been having luck with $LIT
I did the similar thing, bought around 200 last year, sold some just this morning when it’s around 1700 to get the initial invested money back. Planning to hold the rest for long. Hope Tesla will do good in five years.
Thanks Graham!
Just clicked, and there is already 9 people saying “first”
Definitely left a like for the tesla short shorts 😂😂
:D
Love the video Graham!!!
Learning a lot from you man..... plz explain NIO & PBF ENERGY
This is awesome news for Tesla! I'm excited to potentially get it in my S&P 500 ETF.
We'll see what happens!
HE SAID THEM
GUYS, HE SAID THEM
THE FUNNY NUMBERS!!!!
*one of us*
I love how u respond to the viewer unlike the greedy you tubers who only care about the views
Thank you!
*There's only 2 Rules you need to know about Elon*
Rule 1: Don't bet against him
Rule 2: Read rule 1
pretty much!
Honestly. I'm a hardcore futurist, and in my opinion nobody is talking about the true future of Elon Musk. Everyone is undervaluing him by many orders of magnitude, from my point of view. I suppose we'll see.
@@tkeleth2931 I 100% agree with you. I think the only thing that could be his undoing is his split focus between all of his projects but it hasn't been an issue so far so shouldn't be in the future
Faxs yo
@@GrahamStephan Hey dude big fan of yours just wondering if you know if a common investor from Canada can invest in pre ipo companies like SpaceX. If you have an idea can you please make a video on that, it would be greatly appreciated.
"You have to be a little crazy to want to be a part of Elon Musk's overwall vision"
I'm not sure. I think the concept of humanity being forever confined to earth is crazier!
@Krystal - Flying cars are not practical. People crash vehicles on roads everyday. Would you really want the average person cruising around in a flying bomb, it wouldn't be like the Jetsons. Also, Airplanes exist.
Krystal According to Elon, flying cars are dumb and already exist. They are helicopter.
@@krystal5887 what a bad analogy honestly. Flying cars were imagined in a time where they didn't know anything about how that would be done. It's stupidly impractical.
Going to Mars is however very much possible with current technology, they're getting close to their first rocket capable of doing it
@@PreviousAccount528 living in two planets makes sure we don't go extint if the planet is trash
Graham! Hoping you'll review what's going on with the July credit score changes. The world is upside down! My credit plummeted and I've had an 800+ for years. Thanks!
I think this is literally the only youtube channel where i hit the like button when you say it at the beginning of the video:))
I'm conflicted. I want Graham to get well over 69k likes, but Graham in those tesla short shorts... I don't know 😂😂😂
If you're not sure...err on the side of smashing the like button
Graham Stephan bro just wear leggings under them
Prepare for your personal eyepocalypse. Good luck!
Waiting for the “$4200 funding secured” tweet 🚀
Any day now
what does that mean?
@@remybuitenhuis2433 It's referring to a tweet by Elon where he said he was going to take Tesla private at $420
I would give you more than a like for your super videos, thank you man! 🤘
5:20 to 5:50 is the epitome of how pumps happens. Especially these small stocks do the exact same thing LITERALLY ANY TIME they release "good news" PR's .
I'm not looking forward to seeing Graham in Short Shorts😂
Posted at Elon’s favorite time 😏 (4:20)
Gang gang
Couldn't resist
@graham's girlfriend - are you going to wear Tesla shorts too?
@@jastingill677 He surprised me with a pair, so of course! Also nice car :)
I was expecting more: SMASH THE LIKE BUTTON! but it was okay hahaha thanks for the video graham 😂
Great vid Graham. We bought 12 shares at $260 and sold most of them last week at $1,480. We are very okay locking in profits like you said.
Tesla is undervalued - r/wallstreetbets
love wsb
@@GrahamStephan like a true degenerate should
@@GrahamStephan can we be gay bears together?
@@keevomora NO
All Hail King Elon!!
Terrific break down.
How do you like that El Primero? 42mm too to keep in line with the 42(0) theme of this video
48k. Looks like I’m getting a new wallpaper
Graham, react to “What it’s like to be LA top real Estate agent” by CNBC Make It!
I'll check it out!
Why would he react to himself?😤😂
THANK YOU!!!!
You should make another channel for just stocks. Pretty sure you'd get lots of hits or even do it on this channel time to time. Love it man!
How about a $10,000 price target (unless they do a stock split) 🚀
Why not 20,000? Or 100,000 price target?
Haha 10000 would make it worth 2 trill
what is a stock split
@@erikburzinski8248 the stock creates more shares for the a lower price to make it more accessible. This means if you have 3 shares of tesla stock at $1000 and they do a 4:1 split, you will now have 12 shares of tesla stock valued at $250 each. either way you have $3000 worth it just looks different.
Millennials using the robin hood app is the reason why its so high.
I feel as if regardless, Tesla is a great company and with the Tunnel projects and Solar energy. I feel like in 10 years time it probably will be worth $5000 to $15,000. Of course alongside all other companies hitting the 2000-5000 dollar mark knowing how compounding works. What do you think?
This is an interesting thought! Could definitely be the case!
yeah this sounds reasonable. I feel like buying the stock now and holding onto it for +10 years is not a bad idea despite the overvalued price. The price might drop again short term but in my opinion it will definitely go up to +5000 long term
Great content everytime. He has some magic to make people listen to him
THANK YOU
Here is why this situation is different from the mentioned research:
1. Tesla stock has been incredibly volatile in large part due to huge shorting and low institutional involvement. Addition to the S&P 500 will not only add demand, it will transform the characteristics of the holding base: a _bunch_ of shares will end up in funds obligated to hold onto them instead of profit take or speculate or loan out to shorts; that itself plus the status of being in the index will green light many other institutions to buy and hold; shorts will be squeezed out and have trouble borrowing shares to speculate in the future.
2. Tesla is unprecedentedly big. On inclusion a _lot_ of buying will have to happen on the fund side. A percent or so of trillions is a lot. Say, ~1% of 3 trillion to ballpark = $30 billion = 20 million shares = ~14% of the float. Now, some of that float is locked up and more is reluctant to sell. That 14% will contractually need to be bought, though.
The jury's out, but I don't think that the prior research is particularly pertinent here. The first point is actually the one I think will have the longest term effect. We may be seeing a phase change for the stock from daytrading shortsellers' darling to a more broadly-held and stable issue.
Just my 2c.
“S&P 500 prices goes up thanks to Tesla”
*elon hits blunt*
Love these types of videos Graham and would love to see you do a video on Alibaba and their projected upcoming 8:1 stock split... If you haven't done it already stock split would be a great topic to cover. Take care and be safe!
Perfect timing as I purchased TSLA today lol
Should have said “if I don’t get 69,420 likes I’m wearing the shorts.”
MAKE SURE TO SMASH THE LIKE BUTTON!!!!
I reeaaalllyyy want to see him in tesla shorts
🤯🤯🤯
GREAT VIDEO GRAHAM!!👍👍👍👍
Can you do a video on the rewards of revolut cards coz I’m so confused
Tesla’s stock price started going on a tear when it was discovered that all of their vehicles have been sending road data back to the company to help build Tesla’s autonomous driving network. No other car manufacturer (regardless of EV’s) is even close in this space. The previous thought that the german auto manufacturers were going to catch up by the time Tesla would become a dominant player has been proven to be false. Once you start digging into the meat of what Tesla has done with their charging network, software programming, electronics, ability to correct manufacturing issues quickly, on top of building a gigafactory in China in a year, the other auto manufacturers have been caught flatfooted. Now Tesla is building a factory in Germany.
Autonomus driving is not even legal in germany and most countries
A wise man once said: "Be greedy when others are fearful, and fearful when others are greedy." Tesla makes me fearful.
I regularly check my stocks in robinhood and have tesla on my watch list. The rate it's gone up in value seems really artificial. Something is going on.
So if you're fearful then I should be greedy?
@@bakersmileyface others plural. ie don't follow the market
Shady Shaxx ......Wall Street finally started to figure it out.
Buy high, sell low
Well said sir
well said