Tesla Drops BOMB Out Of Nowhere: Big Implications
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- Опубликовано: 12 май 2024
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0:00 Tesla Drops BOMB Out Of Nowhere: FSD Price Halved + Tesla AI Research Note From Wall St
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In this video, Tesla drops FSD price and new research on Tesla, Autonomy & Tesla AI.
Tags: #Tesla #Robotaxi #FSD #ElonMusk #TSLA #TeslaStock #TSLA #TeslaBot #Optimus #Cybertruck
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As always, in this video I'm just sharing my thinking process and my reasoning. Keep using your own brain. Don't be a sheep. 🐑
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p.s. Share your thoughts below. I love to read the comments!
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Day 4269 of me talking about autonomy.
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Hey genius... use your keword feature to block all the spam comments about AMV33X that are polluting your videos
Wowza! And I’ve been listening this WHOLE TIME!! 😊
cool
Tesla Semi Truck 🚛
+
FSD = Nuff said.
We just returned from the San Diego CA region for our vacation. It was our 1st use of FSD 12.3.3. While checking out a beach I accidently fell and hurt my knee, elbow and rib cage. I'm 76 years of age and my wife was too fearful to drive in the 6 and 8 lane CA traffic. We instructed the Car to return to our Hotel and stop at a Super Charger on the way. FSD got us back with very little intersessions on my part. (It was a 21 mile return trip). We couldn't have made it without FSD. So happy We had the trial during our vacation week! FSD still has some quirks to resolve but it really took the stress away from our trip home.
I believe. WIth the car as pilot flying and the human as pilot monitoring, the combination has become in general more reliable and safe than either party alone. This is almost entirely overlooked by the critics, who assume that no user is paying attention. To the contrary, I have seldom been as attentive when in charge of a car than when the software is handling the details.
As a data scientist, I can promise you the software architecture is what makes or breaks an AI project. There are many standardized architectures that will get you standardized results. If you want something that performs better than anyone else, you need a robust and proprietary architecture
As an amateur gynaecologist, I agree.
As an amateur crab wrestler this makes total sense
Same is true for a condo building. Ask Floridians 😂
At $99/m FSD PAYS FOR ITSELF in savings on insurance if you USE IT EXTENSIVELY.
$300/m is quite 'normal', but I am paying $200 with Tesla insurance. I could be paying LESS as my safety score improves as I learn how to 'game' the scoring criteria.
Use FSD for nearly all driving and your score can reach 98-100
맞아요😊
The world will not understand that FSD should cause; accidents, deaths, long term medical care of auto accident victims, and property damage to drop by huge percentages Tesla will probably bundle insurance into the monthly cost of FSD at no cost to the buyer which would make the decision to buy and use FSD a no brainer for the consumer especially young male drivers who sometimes have to pay several hundred dollars a month for car insurance.
Not yet ready for Tesla's version of safety monitoring to control anything about my life, and certainly not insurance rates. I hated the experience when I was being vetted for FSD a year or so ago.
This is an actionable path to profit
Just for the record: No stock or thing in existence is more VOLATILE than my ex girlfriend ....🧟♀️
Gift her a Tesla. Peace will reign...
At least you have a real girl friend…. Unlike SMR who has a doll and believes her to be the love of her life.
Hope you don’t have to buy the dip
Let’s go Tesla!
I used FSD during moderate to heavy rain…I could barely see but FSD did amazing! By far the safest way to drive when combining FSD’s capabilities with the human monitoring. I might actually subscribe…
Holy crap, the bots have gone mad in the comments!
They know this audience is their target market.
Good to hear ya back.
I truly love and believe in the future of Tesla,….but believe that “we” have some downhill roads to go, before moving back up. So, I am going to keep buying on drops, and hope and pray that Tesla delivers! My retirement is hinged on this! And I am not worried! 😊
Many will abandon car ownership expense in favor of cheap on demand point to point services.
I think they should erase the $12000 upfront cost and keep the $99/month in perpetuity as it gives you constant revenue and a price everyone can pay, giving you all data you will ever need.
Yes. Its 10 years. 12.000,-- one time cost hurts. 99,-- for each car that needs it is acceptable.
Not many people will buy it upfront now as it would take 10 years to break even. Most people will not keep a car 10 years so makes no sense. I reckon at $99 per month they will see a 25%+ uplift in subscriptions!
@@usefulrandom1855 Au contraire. Most people keep their cars 15 years and more. You are talking about company cars, yes they are only used 3-5 years, ridden hard and put away wet.
Make it $9.99 a month and they may be onto something. But most other manufacturers give assisted driving and safety systems for free
@@wolfgangpreier9160 I don't know a single person that has kept a car that long. I had my last car 10 years(everyone I know had multiple in that time) I think the average is about 5 years though. I am talking UK here. Our cars rust out after about 15 years in general.
I reckon about 20% or less are 15 years old on our roads unless its a classic/sports that has had a lot of money spent on it. The average hatchback no chance, at 15 years old it would not be worth the repair bills, 14 years on average they will be scrapped.
The reality is that if Telsas becomes money "printers" and anyone can deploy their Tesla, everyone will try to get their hands on one. Supply and demand will ensure the ROI on Robotaxi tends to 0 for Tesla owners
Every businesses profit tends to zero always. Lesson one, day one of Business 101 at university.
As profits persist, more and more players come to the game. That’s why Elon always mentions that the pace of innovation is all that matters.
In 10-15 years when FSD is everywhere and non-profitable for everyone the next player to innovate will win the market all over again. What is the next innovation after FSD? Maybe the actual Matrix? Some of you are already 90% plugged in at all times.
"Let that sink in" did i hear you say.. :)
Regardless of how good FSD/ robot taxi's are surely the resistance from all commercial drivers,Unions,federal and state institutions will slow down its introduction.There are a huge number of vested interests that will oppose its full scale introduction
The 1 mo free fsd for all is the perfect gateway drug. 😂
I heard FSD 12 is actually 40.000 Indians in a sweatshop with PC racing wheels.
More like 420.000. 40.000 are the Scammers needed for breaking the passwords.
More like 2 million and growing
Don’t tell anyone, duh…
Lmfao 😆
Do you mean people from India? Or America’s First Nations people?
Riding the AKWMTTP train feels so good, they really know how to make promises count and bring them to reality
I want this! This is so amazing! Huge moves expected!! Yay!
wtf where you buy it?
What is it?
lol I never thought they would actually establish it
Is this claimable in Canada?
Try driving a Tesla FSD in a rain storm snow storm and freezing rain all covering over the camera lenses and thats why they will never get Governments approved robotaxis without having Lidar.
$ 120 later this year ?
$ 100 next year ?
That is too much common sense for this clown. I want feels to win but these hustlers are too much.
How come all of your ads are scams??
I started the process of selling a property back in Dec23 and settle end of April. Hope I don't miss the party🎉😢
This video was like watching Memento. 😂
So at 99 dollars a month it would it take 10 years and one month to equal out the 12000 if you bought it out right and if you're running it as a robo taxi 22 hours a day -2 hours for charging would the car even last more than 10 years you might be better off doing that $99 if you're going to just run the car into the ground as a taxi 24/7
As I posted on a prior video - I just don’t get Morgan Stanley’s thinking around their TSLA price target of $310. If they are really seeing all this crazy high potential for Tesla in the near future how can they come to such a low estimate? Unless they actually have no clue how to price what they’re seeing and so are just running with an incredibly conservative estimate so as not to rock the boat too much and be ridiculed by their analyst peers.
So, if I operate a Rob O’Taxi, and I take a ride myself, and it crashes, does that mean I have to sue me?
Everyone talks about the take rate of existing Tesla vehicles. What about the 2 million vehicles produced this year and the continued increase is production in just the next few years? What about all the other automakers who license the technology? The exponential growth is beyond most people’s comprehension so they choose not to think about it. That’s a big mistake. This move to $99 per month for FSD makes me more bullish than ever about the future of Tesla.
Anyone know how FSD would operate following an accident like a rear end collision?
So i would be able to use my M3 as a taxi? How about charging cause i think it can only do 2 to 3 rides and will need charging
Tesla is as much of a car company as Amazon is a book retailor.
FSD should be ABSOLUTELY FREE until regulatory passage for a “PAID” Robotaxi App/ service goes into affect.
Why should “WE” Tesla owners “PAY” to do Elon’s work for him?
We already paid for the option on the car that “WE” the owners don’t get monetize???
WTF???
Some of us paid for that capability 5-6 YEARS AGO!!!
And the thing JUST NOW WORKS!!!
That was always the 'promise'. Pay now and get it once ready. It isn't complete, but still providing value in the current form. All those customers who payed subsidized developing it for the masses, just like the Roadster and S buyers subsidized the EV transition
It doesn’t work yet
Tesla needs to announce wireless charging stations for robotaxis. This will be especially convenient if you park a large car like a CyberTruck outside since it can’t fit in the garage. The homeowner can also sell parking and charging appointments for robotaxis. I hope 8/8 will have this information. FSD is nonetheless not ready. My recent experience is I had to constantly disengage to correct errors. They should offer another option like “Assisted FSD” so the drivers can make real world instantaneous corrections without disengaging.
Again, I don’t want to use my shiny new Tesla MYLR as a robotaxi that some customers will abuse. I don’t want to go into the taxi business, no matter how much money I can make. Why does SMR think everyone wants to be in the taxi business?
Oh, I just made a similar comment, sorry, I didn't see yours first lol, you beat me by 30 minutes! Thing about Steven is he has stated that he has Autism....and like most Auts, he doesn't really understand Human People. Taking pride in Owning a Vehicle is a complete mystery for him.
Its not all about you.
For plenty of people or situations being able to earn money of the second biggest asset most ever own is an advantage.
Signed an Auts
And ffs sake we suffer from logic ....
My reference to Steven's Autism was not a criticism (I am on the spectrum myself, just not as bad as Steven). My point is valid.
As for owners sending out their cars by the million to work as taxis...I just don't buy it, sorry. Too many downsides. Here in the real world, if you get the chance one Saturday morning, early hours, take a look in the back of a city taxi...not a pleasant experience.@@martinsmallwood9605
He doesn't, but in terms of actual miles driven the taxi fleet will eclipse all the rest quite quickly and so will be a primary driver of future Tesla revenue and profits.
And you won't have to. Entirely your choice.
When I saw the price drop to $99 I immediately reached out to my friend who has a Tesla and is in the middle of the FSD Supervised Trial. In the lastconversation we had about it, he likened its abilities to, "Driving like a teenager." I asked him if he would continue to use the FSD Supervised now that the monthly subscription has been lowered to $99 a month...his answer was, "Fu@K Yes!" He said, "I can see where this is and I can see where it is going. I drove from Sacrament to San Francisco for the Giant's home opener and while it drove like a teenager in SF I didn't have to do anything on the freeway between Sacramento and San Francisco. Mostly a stress-free drive."
subscription needs to be priced based on current value/capability for maximum take rate... outright purchase can include future hope of capabilities in the price. once you own it they dont raise the price. subscription rate can go up or have add ons for additional capabilities
I like the idea that you will have to purchase fsd to join the robotaxi network. Monthly subscriptions will only allow you to enjoy fsd. You could sign up with Uber if they allow a robotaxi to there network 🤔
There may be a ladder pricing structure for FSD subscriptions.
This half’s your “200 bucks” a month income from FSD. Another drop in the future?
Not looking good.
A single decrease in price, but an exponential increase in subscriptions, will most probably be the case. I only see upside will be interesting🤔
@@darrenparker6668I agree, that’s pure profit.
My next vehicle will be a Tesla. I was not planning on getting FSD (too expensive) but for 99/month, I’ll be willing to pay that.
The most volatile stocks, make the most gains....
Made already $68,563 year to date from my tesla robo taxi 🙌🙌🙌
Lots of bombs dropped but value of shares go down
Tesla dropped this because there is a sales problem. I’m the biggest bull but this is not good.
So here’s a thought: FSD “Full Supervised Driving” should now not just be an luxury option you can subscribe to for $99/mth, but it should be a mandatory requirement for ALL cars to have considering how distracted most drivers are now days. I almost got hit today on my bike by a lady making a left turn that didn’t see me. How many friends/people you know (cyclist) would still be alive today if this were available 10 years ago?
Price FSD supervised is low because in case of accident it is your fault.
Price fsd with insurance through tesla is more expensive 👋🏻
2 main obstacles lay ahead the notion of Tesla as a money printer”:
1. The necessary laws allowing autonomous driving of cars (no driver).
2. People who spent 40+K of dollars to own a private car to drive and enjoy, will not send it over night to make some on the side.
99 for fsd supervised
SMR: How much added pressure has the $99 announcement put on OEM's? The original data threshold of 6 billion miles should be achieved in a year by Tesla which means the timeline for OEM's has changed. If OEM's can't match (they can't) the safety of FSD their sales will fall off a cliff. Now that Tesla has set the price at $99 the ability for OEM's to sell licensed FSD for $199 falls off a cliff. If OEM's don't adopt Tesla's "cameras as eyes" system immediately, the cliff has just moved a lot closer
Now the name “supervised” fsd seems more significant. I think they will have a tiered subscription system. A cheaper “supervised” tier and a more expensive “unsupervised” tier. The increased take rate will increase fsd miles driven by a large margin. Awesome!
Maybe the price will vary like energy costs throughout the day- higher costs when demand is highest…
Absolutely! Price goes up 500% after a football game!
The amount of compute and effort needed to solve autonomy highlights the power of human minds 😅
Anyone who owns Tesla stock should prefer a monthly subscription model for FSD: it reduces the entry barrier while providing a long-term revenue stream and the flexibility to increase price over time.
Epic!
Love your videos! Tesla stresses Super in Supervised by dropping subscription price to $99!
100 bucks I’ll take that 😎💯
Half a share?
Great post smr but…
The daily prerecorded AG1 inset ad has just become tedious to your real fans… ( and I am a daily fan) so we turn your log off when you start the AG1 ad … not that it’s not a good product SMR!
It cannot be helping your algorithm numbers and thumbs 👍 anymore SMR.
I sold all my Tesla holdings and bought DJT.
We need reverse figured out to be fully self driving. After that it’s done. At least if you want to drop the steering wheel.
The EV is dead, long live the AV! $99/m for FSD and a Tesla own insurance discount combo! Surreal numbers soon!!
Tesla fleet will be a lot bigger than 40M in 2030.
All of them are fine picks. But they can't match the vision and purpose of Amazons AKWMTTP at any point, big difference.
$310 price target? What happened to buying it in the $400s without a second thought?
Musta ang Deal? Oo o hindi lang naman yan... Pag may deal syempre mag ka pirmahan yan... Ilang porsyento ba o ilang taong contract... Sigoro naman alam na kg teala ibig kung sabihin, hindi basta basta yun pang SIMI truck
Letting people ride in your car is not passive. People do icky things when not supervised, even on camera, and that stuff will need to be cleaned. I’d have a separate vehicle for business so I’d have only my own messes in my personal vehicle. Eew, yeah, I’m a girl!
Imagine hopping into your car in the morning, and you’re sitting in vomit 😂
Can you please briefly mention what will happen to real estate when people realize that they can get a house 2x as big for half price, 1 hour away from the center by robotaxi?
As TeslaBoomersMama says, the day is coming when a re-valuation of Tesla will occur as it changes being viewed from an auto company to an AI-Robotics company. Right now the problem is all the valuation is driven by car analysts who couldn’t care less about AI and robotics…
I love that Jonas is waiting to hear about the “next thing” on 8/8/24 when it is OBVIOUS. Just a matter of when, not if. Tesla doesn’t fail. Buy and hold.
So that’s why they sent it to me 🤔collecting my data ….it worked
The AKWMTTP is just incredible with being still undervalued at 1 USD if you don't know you will never know
Even if half the people trying to FSD trial go for the subscription that's still 1.2 billion of clear profit a year!!! and$99 is what some people just pay for cell phones or cable TV every month!!
$99/month?! The take rate will be 90%. OEMs will come over or die. FSD is the new automatic transmission.
If we go SAS, it is truly to the moon
I seldom go anywhere just to go there. I have to take half my life with me. I think Robo taxis will be used more than Uber and Lyft (I will be much more likely to use them if their human owner/operator is elsewhere), but maybe not as much more as the most sanguine sages think. We'll see. It will also be interesting to learn whether the costs of rides will as predicted go down, or whether the companies will pocket the saved labor costs.
100x
Volatility = trading opportunity
Giggity giggity goo
There's an AI takeover going on in your chat
The subconscious or intentional manipulation by the establishment never ceases to amaze, referring to the 'LT' acronym pointed out at 1:56. What I think is inside the editor minds is simply this: "So, we (the establishment publisher/propagators) feel that reading or fully pronouncing the words 'long term' are simply to laborious and (long term) so we're going to use an acronym to subdue and suppress the emphasis on 'long term' so that readers will see 'LT' and hopefully not quite resonate the meaning that we're trying to skirt. I know it only saves six letters and a space, but it's about more than that, as we're trying to avoid articulation and imprint of plain spoken words which might cause a problem for us. So we'll just compress it into an acronym 'LT' so that less readers will notice or resonate the meaning." It's must be so forbidden that they clearly acknowledge "...retain(ing) a positive (long term) outlook"!
Tesla will nearly be collecting data AT THE SPEED OF LIGHT😮
In 2024 with the ETFs and halving and everything coming up the biggest change to everything will be AKWMTTP hands down. They worked for years to get this done and needless to say how much impact will rise from that.
4:00 Rideshare drivers, don’t expect any mercy from Stephen Mark Ryan and Tesla corporate. They are already comparing FSD to hardest working Uber drivers.
Personally, I think this will not start to bite until about 2030-20235. About another 10 years at least where human drivers have most of the Rideshare market versus AI driven Rideshare. 🤖🚙🤖🚗🤖🚕🤖…
Fsd needs to improve before it’s taken seriously by doubters. Needs to be so good no one can deny that it’s the only way. I believe but a lot of doubters exist still.
Why stop at $99/month. At $49/month FSD would be the killer app that electrifies transport in an eye-blink of human history.
Truth is most of all that we would not even have this current climb if it was not for AKWMTTP bringing the main change so that even casuals are super interested now. A brand name like that one behind this asset is just the best we could have hoped for
Reveal in Shanghai at 8:00am on 2024-08-08, for Model 8! ❤
Imo, there's a difference between FSD and robotaxi. Teslas mission compels it to make FSD available to as many people as possible for safety. Spending as much as they have to develope it and make it financially unavailable makes no sense. Robotaxi, if not operated entirely by tesla, will generate revenue through a licensing program separate from a monthly fsd subscription. I've wondered though, if Tesla will choose to make fsd free to those who opt their vehicle into the robotaxi network for a certain number of hours a week
The bottom may be in!
The AI based behavior of FSD V12 is clearly much better than the predecessor. I enjoy using it. I do wonder whether the absence of some of the rule-based software of v11 won't occasionally get the trained-but-uneducated systems into trouble once in a while. I'm seeing evidence of behavior that I wouldn't have expected from V11 here and there. Here's hoping.
I don't know why this topic (FSD Pricing) is such a hot one. OF COURSE Tesla is going to reduce the price of FSD. The $12k annual is OBVIOUSLY the go-to-market "early adopter" price. This is how this all works. Not surprising at all.
Sure BTC ETH XRP they climb this year but the factor of 2x 5x or 10x if you prefer the highest it's AKWMTTP
So the foundatition for this year to become the golden one is set in stone, ETF approval, halving are the things people talk about it but the truth is that AKWMTTP has more of a role than any of these. You really believe it comes down to what mainmedia tells you? If you believe that then you slept the last ten years and you should actually wake up. Having the strongest brand in the world making their own asset, that's something which matters and that is what I would encourage you to understand
Anyone remember Siacoin? This is picking up some heat but not even close as strong as AKWMTTP for 2024
Given that Tesla got it's start in California, are you saying communism is the preferred economic system when you call it Comufomia?
If every owner made their car available as a taxi they would only get a couple of customers a day, that’s not going to even cover the increase in insurance that private hire vehicles need to pay, never mind valeting after drunk passengers have thrown up in it or eaten their takeaway in it. You would need to be a complete idiot to think this was viable long term business idea………….and that’s assuming that they make the massive increase in performance to the point where the car can drive completely unassisted. What happens when there is a minor accident, can the car swap details with the other driver as you are legally obliged to do? 🥧 + 🌌
and forget a ride to the airport curb. That won’t be allowed
And what if it snows? Will people smoke and eat and vomit in it? What happens if it gets a flat tire?
$99 FSD (right now) is necessary. But why would you call your ol'man, 'bra'?
Yes! Yes!! Yes!!
All 3 key attributes:
Data-Computer & ENERGY
WILL BE CRUCIAL to achieve FSD!
Achieving FSD is much closer than most people realize!!
FSD licensing for $99/months. is a master stroke by Tesla’s team!!
I've had the feeling BTC would actually recover it is just a small sidestep with these ETFhype slowing us a bit, but AKWMTTP brings us back up
Public liability insurance comes to mind. And taxi drivers will be jobless.
Here is something I one haven’t heard anyone speak to but it is what Elon has been saying lately. First there was chip shortage now there is transformer shortage on the horizon and finally energy both Elon and Sam and Microsoft know this we have seen it with the training of gpt5. Elon in the past has said that you could power all of North America with a giant solar system place in Texas. I believe that Elon understands the energy problem and has been playing 4D chess and will leverage this when energy is scarce as it takes ten years for a nuclear power plant to come online. And fusion is coming but not soon enough. But teslas energy division once autonomous driving is done will shift gears make solar farms to power the world giant compute server farms. This could push Tesla company even further then anyone could imagine with power autonomous cars and robots making them the largest company to ever exist.
It all sounds great...HOWEVER...Here on Earth, in the real world: So, you have a lovely shiny brand-new Model Y with FSD and you want to send it out to earn its keep by working as a robotaxi. Where...say, New York or San Francisco or LA.... now...who covers the cost of Cleaning the vehicle, you know, after some drunken passenger throws up or takes a dump on the back seat? Who covers the cost of deliberate vandalisation of the cars interior?
And How Much will the Public Liability Insurance Cost??
ASK any Uber driver about the behaviour of some of their customers: you really want them in your shiny brand-new pride and joy?
It's not all sunshine and roses as you predict: Humans are difficult and don't behave like Robots.
Tesla robo taxi will have to be a different vehicle outfitted to be a cab. It will have to have cameras and sensors inside, and a protected driver area (or perhaps no steering wheel or pedals for a customer to interfere with). This notion that my model Y is going to back out of the driveway and go pick someone up while I’m sleeping is complete nonsense.
completely agree. Someone please tell Steven!@@maxpayne7419
As AI becomes aware and when it understands logic and is connected to all human knowledge...
Forgive them for they know not what they have wraught.
As FSD improves toward zero crashes and towards absolute safety, who will want to risk being killed driving a non FSD vehicle?
Deluded