Monte Carlo Simulation In Trading

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  • Опубликовано: 25 окт 2024

Комментарии • 40

  • @uiop5898
    @uiop5898 2 года назад +3

    The Excel example was very important. Thanks.

  • @super266
    @super266 2 года назад +3

    This guy is amazing at distilling complex topics succinctly. So glad I found his channel!

    • @StatOasis
      @StatOasis  2 года назад

      Wow, thanks!

    • @DanielButt
      @DanielButt Год назад

      @@StatOasis which method is better in the real world? Sampling or exact? i want data to know my system max drawdown

  • @carmelolasso1694
    @carmelolasso1694 2 года назад +1

    Awesome explanation about Monte Carlo Simulation! I was quite confused until I watched this video!! Thank you Ali for such a great tutorial!!!

    • @StatOasis
      @StatOasis  2 года назад +1

      Thank for the kind words

  • @fromzerotospyro
    @fromzerotospyro Месяц назад

    very good explanation but what was the verdict in the end? Is this a good (robust) strategy to go live with or not ? And if its good what are the signs of drawdown to look out for in order to stop it when it goes live? Thank you

    • @StatOasis
      @StatOasis  Месяц назад

      The 98% metrics is what you should expect your strategy performance in the future

  • @jash9897
    @jash9897 Месяц назад +1

    Thanks Ali, great video! when you export your trades from another platform to upload as csv to SQX, do you export the trades including commissions and slippage?

    • @StatOasis
      @StatOasis  Месяц назад +1

      you should, but if your average trade is +4X your slippage and commission then it will not make a big difference

    • @jash9897
      @jash9897 Месяц назад

      @@StatOasis gotcha thank you!!

  • @federicofebrer
    @federicofebrer Год назад +1

    thanks

  • @santiagobasso1712
    @santiagobasso1712 3 года назад

    great Ali! I'll wait for the second part of this video!

    • @StatOasis
      @StatOasis  3 года назад

      I posted it, and should be live tomorrow

  • @peralser
    @peralser 3 года назад

    Excelent Video and explanation! Thanks!

  • @XDosShane
    @XDosShane 2 месяца назад +1

    What does it mean if your main strategy's equity curve is sitting above most of the runs?

    • @StatOasis
      @StatOasis  2 месяца назад +1

      Your strategy is the most optimistic curve and the chance to repeat in the future is extremely low

    • @XDosShane
      @XDosShane 2 месяца назад

      @@StatOasis ah I see, thank you 🙏🏾

  • @Ethan-hp6ux
    @Ethan-hp6ux 3 года назад

    Great getting clearence in this, Hoping for the same in SPP aswell:)

  • @Yewbzee
    @Yewbzee 3 года назад

    Cheers Ali, do you perform these on every one of your potential strategies prior to live trading? [Jabezz].

    • @StatOasis
      @StatOasis  3 года назад +1

      no, use it many for capitalization

  • @55555davo
    @55555davo 3 года назад

    Good vid!!

  • @agentdark64
    @agentdark64 3 года назад

    10:48 Does that mean there is a 1 in 5 chance roughly that it will make a loss since it's profitable from 80% confidence level?

    • @StatOasis
      @StatOasis  3 года назад +1

      80% confidence level shows you the statistics that you will likely see at that level. say we have the following stats:
      Confidence level of 95%
      DD = 35%
      Net Profit = $50K
      the above means that I have a 95% chance of achieving $50K profit with 35% drawdown and 5% chance of having worse net profit and worse DD

  • @jgreer963
    @jgreer963 3 года назад

    Super informative vid, Ali - Thanks! Question: Discord link? Also possible to provide link to the Excel sheet?

    • @StatOasis
      @StatOasis  3 года назад

      You can join my discord server through patreon:
      www.patreon.com/statoasis
      although there are many benefits to join, but the excel sheet will be available there for free

    • @iameladlevi
      @iameladlevi 2 года назад

      @@StatOasis Hi Ali! Couldn't find the excel (at least for free), can you share a link please?

    • @StatOasis
      @StatOasis  2 года назад

      all downloads from videos, will be in the "Free Download Channel" in the discord server Go.StatOasis.com/Discord
      except for few big ones which are in the video description

  • @1ndraNugraha
    @1ndraNugraha 8 месяцев назад

    where is the code?

  • @clashwithsouravclashofclan704
    @clashwithsouravclashofclan704 Год назад +1

    Is this software free or paid?